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Xu BZ, Wang B, Chen JP, Xu JG, Wu XY. Construction and validation of a personalized risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Clinics (Sao Paulo) 2025; 80:100580. [PMID: 39893830 PMCID: PMC11840486 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinsp.2025.100580] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2024] [Accepted: 01/03/2025] [Indexed: 02/04/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although emergency Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI) has been shown to reduce mortality in patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI), the risk of in-hospital death remains high. In this study, the authors aimed to identify risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in AMI patients who underwent PCI, develop a nomogram prediction model, and evaluate its effectiveness. METHODS The authors retrospectively analyzed data from 1260 patients who underwent emergency PCI at Dongyang People's Hospital between June 1, 2013, and December 31, 2021. Patients were divided into two groups based on in-hospital mortality: the death group (n = 61) and the survival group (n = 1199). Clinical data between the two groups were compared. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was used to select non-zero coefficients of predictive factors. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was then performed to identify independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in AMI patients after emergency PCI. A nomogram model for predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in AMI patients after PCI was constructed, and its predictive performance was evaluated using the c-index. Internal validation was performed using the bootstrap method with 1000 resamples. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess the goodness of fit, and a calibration curve was plotted to evaluate the model's calibration. RESULTS LASSO regression identified d-dimer, B-type natriuretic peptide, white blood cell count, heart rate, aspartate aminotransferase, systolic blood pressure, and the presence of postoperative respiratory failure as important predictive factors for in-hospital mortality in AMI patients after PCI. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that d-dimer, B-type natriuretic peptide, white blood cell count, systolic blood pressure, and the presence of postoperative respiratory failure were independent factors for in-hospital mortality. A nomogram model for predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in AMI patients after PCI was constructed using these independent predictive factors. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded a Chi-Square value of 9.43 (p = 0.331), indicating a good fit for the model, and the calibration curve closely approximated the ideal model. The c-index for internal validation was 0.700 (0.560‒0.834), further confirming the predictive performance of the model. Clinical decision analysis demonstrated that the nomogram model had good clinical utility, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.944 (95 % CI 0.903‒0.963), indicating excellent discriminative ability. CONCLUSION This study identified B-type natriuretic peptide, white blood cell count, systolic blood pressure, d-dimer, and the presence of respiratory failure as independent factors for in-hospital mortality in AMI patients undergoing emergency PCI. The nomogram model based on these factors showed high predictive accuracy and feasibility.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bing-Zheng Xu
- The Wenzhou Medical College Dongyang Hospital Emergency Department, Zhejiang, China
| | - Bin Wang
- The Wenzhou Medical College Dongyang Hospital Emergency Department, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jian-Ping Chen
- The Wenzhou Medical College Dongyang Hospital Emergency Department, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jin-Gang Xu
- The Wenzhou Medical College Dongyang Hospital Emergency Department, Zhejiang, China
| | - Xiao-Ya Wu
- The Wenzhou Medical College Dongyang Hospital Emergency Department, Zhejiang, China.
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Ardito V, Sarucanian L, Rognoni C, Pieri M, Scandroglio AM, Tarricone R. Impella Versus VA-ECMO for Patients with Cardiogenic Shock: Comprehensive Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analyses. J Cardiovasc Dev Dis 2023; 10:jcdd10040158. [PMID: 37103037 PMCID: PMC10142129 DOI: 10.3390/jcdd10040158] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2023] [Revised: 03/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/27/2023] [Indexed: 04/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Impella and VA-ECMO are two possible therapeutic courses for the treatment of patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). The study aims to perform a systematic literature review and meta-analyses of a comprehensive set of clinical and socio-economic outcomes observed when using Impella or VA-ECMO with patients under CS. A systematic literature review was performed in Medline, and Web of Science databases on 21 February 2022. Nonoverlapping studies with adult patients supported for CS with Impella or VA-ECMO were searched. Study designs including RCTs, observational studies, and economic evaluations were considered. Data on patient characteristics, type of support, and outcomes were extracted. Additionally, meta-analyses were performed on the most relevant and recurring outcomes, and results shown using forest plots. A total of 102 studies were included, 57% on Impella, 43% on VA-ECMO. The most common outcomes investigated were mortality/survival, duration of support, and bleeding. Ischemic stroke was lower in patients treated with Impella compared to the VA-ECMO population, with statistically significant difference. Socio-economic outcomes including quality of life or resource use were not reported in any study. The study highlighted areas where further data collection is needed to clarify the value of complex, new technologies in the treatment of CS that will enable comparative assessments focusing both on the health impact on patient outcomes and on the financial burden for government budgets. Future studies need to fill the gap to comply with recent regulatory updates at the European and national levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vittoria Ardito
- Centre for Research on Health and Social Care Management (CERGAS), SDA Bocconi School of Management, 20136 Milan, Italy
| | - Lilit Sarucanian
- Centre for Research on Health and Social Care Management (CERGAS), SDA Bocconi School of Management, 20136 Milan, Italy
| | - Carla Rognoni
- Centre for Research on Health and Social Care Management (CERGAS), SDA Bocconi School of Management, 20136 Milan, Italy
| | - Marina Pieri
- Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, 20132 Milan, Italy
| | - Anna Mara Scandroglio
- Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, 20132 Milan, Italy
| | - Rosanna Tarricone
- Centre for Research on Health and Social Care Management (CERGAS), SDA Bocconi School of Management, 20136 Milan, Italy
- Department of Social and Political Science, Bocconi University, 20136 Milan, Italy
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3
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Tarzia V, Bagozzi L, Ponzoni M, Pradegan N, Banchelli F, Bortolussi G, Bellanti E, Bianco R, Zanella F, Bottio T, Gregori D, Gerosa G. Prognosticating Mortality of Primary Cardiogenic Shock Requiring Extracorporeal Life Support: The RESCUE Score. Curr Probl Cardiol 2023; 48:101554. [PMID: 36529235 DOI: 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2022.101554] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2022] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
We aimed to identify prognostic laboratory markers during extracorporeal life support (ECLS) in patients with primary refractory cardiogenic shock (RCS) and to create a preliminary specific mortality score. All 208 consecutive subjects admitted for primary RCS and treated with ECLS between January-2009 and December-2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate regression analysis on laboratory markers during the first nine days of ECLS was used to develop a "Refractory End-stage Shock CUred with Ecls" (RESCUE) score. Serum creatinine (OR = 3.72, 95%CI: 2.01-6.88), direct bilirubin (OR = 1.40, 95%CI: 1.05-1.8), and platelet count (OR = 0.62, 95%CI: 0.42-0.94) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality and were included in the score. The mean AUC was 0.763 (95%CI: 0.698-0.828) in the development cohort and 0.729 (95%CI: 0.664-0.794) in the bootstrap internal validation cohort. The RESCUE score represents a novel promising instrument to predict early mortality during the first critical days of ECLS and to help in properly guiding the therapeutic decision-making process.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vincenzo Tarzia
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
| | - Lorenzo Bagozzi
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Matteo Ponzoni
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Nicola Pradegan
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Federico Banchelli
- Statistics Unit, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Giacomo Bortolussi
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Ermanno Bellanti
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Roberto Bianco
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Fabio Zanella
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Tomaso Bottio
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Dario Gregori
- Unit of Biostatistics, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Gino Gerosa
- Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
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Silverberg D, Hater H, Halak M. Rise in Percutaneous Vascular Procedures and Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Is Associated With Increase in Emergent Vascular Operations. Vasc Endovascular Surg 2022; 57:53-59. [PMID: 36165401 DOI: 10.1177/15385744221110433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
Background: The workload of vascular surgeons is widely affected by the procedural activity of other departments within the same medical center. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the trend in emergent vascular surgery procedures over a 5 year period in a tertiary referral hospital and categorize these procedures based on the nature of the operative procedure required. Methods: A single center, retrospective review of all emergent surgical operations performed at our tertiary referral hospital between the years 2017-2021. Data collected included types of emergent vascular surgery performed, in addition to procedures performed by the departments of interventional cardiology (IC), interventional radiology (IR), neurointerventional radiology (NIR) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) at our institution. Results: During the study period were performed a total of 1783 operative procedures (mean 356 ± 26/year). Of those, 485 (27%) were emergent cases. We observed a gradual increase in emergent operative procedures performed from 2017 to 2021 (22% to 34% of all cases, increase of 56%, P<.01). A striking increase was seen with vascular repairs performed for iatrogenic vascular injuries secondary to arterial access complications (47% to 65% of all iatrogenic vascular injuries, increase of 38%). The increase correlated with an increase in activity seen in the departments of IC, IR/NIR and ECMO (15%, 31% and 300%, respectively). Conclusions: An increasing number of emergent surgical procedures performed by our vascular surgery department correlates with the increasing number of endovascular procedures performed by non- vascular services. As these procedures are expected to increase, together with the number of stroke units and ECMO units being created, medical centers must be aware that these may result in a significant increase in the workload of the vascular surgery department in order to deal with complications associated with these procedures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Silverberg
- The Department of Vascular Surgery, 549269The Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, The Sackler School of Medicine, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Haitam Hater
- The Department of Vascular Surgery, 549269The Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, The Sackler School of Medicine, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Moshe Halak
- The Department of Vascular Surgery, 549269The Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, The Sackler School of Medicine, Tel Aviv, Israel
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Impact of Obesity on In-Hospital Outcomes in Veno-Arterial ECMO Patients. Heart Lung Circ 2022; 31:1393-1398. [DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2022.03.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2022] [Revised: 03/06/2022] [Accepted: 03/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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Ott S, Leser L, Lanmüller P, Just IA, Leistner DM, Potapov E, O’Brien B, Klages J. Cardiogenic Shock Management and Research: Past, Present, and Future Outlook. US CARDIOLOGY REVIEW 2022; 16:e03. [PMID: 39600845 PMCID: PMC11588188 DOI: 10.15420/usc.2021.25] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2021] [Accepted: 10/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Although great strides have been made in the pathophysiological understanding, diagnosis and management of cardiogenic shock (CS), morbidity and mortality in patients presenting with the condition remain high. Acute MI is the commonest cause of CS; consequently, most existing literature concerns MI-associated CS. However, there are many more phenotypes of patients with acute heart failure. Medical treatment and mechanical circulatory support are well-established therapeutic options, but evidence for many current treatment regimens is limited. The issue is further complicated by the fact that implementing adequately powered, randomized controlled trials are challenging for many reasons. In this review, the authors discuss the history, landmark trials, current topics of medical therapy and mechanical circulatory support regimens, and future perspectives of CS management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sascha Ott
- Department of Cardiac Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
- German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site BerlinBerlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiac Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Charité-Universitätsmedizin BerlinBerlin, Germany
| | - Laura Leser
- Department of Cardiac Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
| | - Pia Lanmüller
- German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site BerlinBerlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
| | - Isabell A Just
- German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site BerlinBerlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
| | - David Manuel Leistner
- German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site BerlinBerlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiology, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Campus Benjamin FranklinBerlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of HealthBerlin, Germany
| | - Evgenij Potapov
- German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site BerlinBerlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
| | - Benjamin O’Brien
- Department of Cardiac Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
- German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site BerlinBerlin, Germany
- Department of Cardiac Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Charité-Universitätsmedizin BerlinBerlin, Germany
- William Harvey Research InstituteLondon, UK
| | - Jan Klages
- Department of Cardiac Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, German Heart Center BerlinBerlin, Germany
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Tsangaris A, Alexy T, Kalra R, Kosmopoulos M, Elliott A, Bartos JA, Yannopoulos D. Overview of Veno-Arterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (VA-ECMO) Support for the Management of Cardiogenic Shock. Front Cardiovasc Med 2021; 8:686558. [PMID: 34307500 PMCID: PMC8292640 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.686558] [Citation(s) in RCA: 77] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2021] [Accepted: 06/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Cardiogenic shock accounts for ~100,000 annual hospital admissions in the United States. Despite improvements in medical management strategies, in-hospital mortality remains unacceptably high. Multiple mechanical circulatory support devices have been developed with the aim to provide hemodynamic support and to improve outcomes in this population. Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is the most advanced temporary life support system that is unique in that it provides immediate and complete hemodynamic support as well as concomitant gas exchange. In this review, we discuss the fundamental concepts and hemodynamic aspects of VA-ECMO support in patients with cardiogenic shock of various etiologies. In addition, we review the common indications, contraindications and complications associated with VA-ECMO use.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adamantios Tsangaris
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Tamas Alexy
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Rajat Kalra
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Marinos Kosmopoulos
- Center for Resuscitation Medicine, University of Minnesota School of Medicine, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Andrea Elliott
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Jason A. Bartos
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States
- Center for Resuscitation Medicine, University of Minnesota School of Medicine, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Demetris Yannopoulos
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States
- Center for Resuscitation Medicine, University of Minnesota School of Medicine, Minneapolis, MN, United States
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Marbach JA, Chweich H, Miyashita S, Kapur NK. Temporary mechanical circulatory support devices: updates from recent studies. Curr Opin Cardiol 2021; 36:375-383. [PMID: 33990478 DOI: 10.1097/hco.0000000000000880] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Over the past several years, the role of short-term mechanical circulatory support (MCS) devices has become the dominant focus in efforts to improve outcomes in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). Alongside these efforts, temporary MCS devices have been increasingly used to support patients prior to cardiac surgery, during high-risk percutaneous coronary intervention, awaiting cardiac transplantation, and in the setting of refractory cardiac arrest. The present review aims to provide an update on the recent literature evaluating the evolving role of temporary MCS devices, and to provide insights into the current challenges and future directions of MCS research. RECENT FINDINGS Recent observational data have demonstrated potential roles for intra-aortic balloon pump preoperatively in high-risk patients awaiting coronary artery bypass grafting, and advanced heart failure patients awaiting transplantation. Impella continues to demonstrate promising results as part of an early MCS strategy in CS, as a temporary bridge to transplantation, and as a mechanism for left ventricular unloading in patients on venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Finally, the first randomized trial of ECMO facilitated resuscitation in the United States demonstrated improved survival in patients with refractory out of hospital cardiac arrest. SUMMARY Though randomized data remains limited, observational data continue to support the role of temporary MCS devices in a variety of clinical settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeffrey A Marbach
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine
- Department of Medicine
| | - Haval Chweich
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine
| | - Satoshi Miyashita
- Department of Medicine
- The Cardiovascular Center, Tufts Medical Center and Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts , USA
| | - Navin K Kapur
- Department of Medicine
- The Cardiovascular Center, Tufts Medical Center and Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts , USA
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Lee SN, Moon D, Jo MS, Yoo KD. Associations between Body Mass Index and Clinical Outcomes in Acute Myocardial Infarction Supported with Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation. ACTA CARDIOLOGICA SINICA 2020; 36:448-455. [PMID: 32952354 DOI: 10.6515/acs.202009_36(5).20200519b] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Background Previous studies have reported a "body mass index (BMI) paradox" with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), whereby overweight patients are associated with lower mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of BMI on survival of patients with AMI supported with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Methods Between May 2009 and July 2018, 60 patients with AMI who underwent ECMO were enrolled from a single center. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine a cutoff for BMI. Patients were divided into two groups: normal weight (18.5 ≤ BMI < 23 kg/m2, n = 27) and overweight (BMI ≥ 23 kg/m2, n = 33). The composite outcome was all-cause mortality at 30 days. Results The overweight group was significantly younger than the normal weight group, and there was a statistically significant difference between the two groups in electrocardiography before ECMO. Ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation occurred in 11 (33.3%) overweight patients, and asystole or pulseless electrical activity occurred in 10 (37%) normal weight patients. More of the normal weight group had successful percutaneous coronary interventions than the overweight group. The overweight group was significantly associated with lower mortality [hazard ratio (HR): 0.491; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.267-0.903] at 30 days, which persisted after multivariate adjustments (HR: 0.442; 95% CI = 0.210-0.928). To determine predictive factors for mortality, multivariate logistic analysis revealed that overweight [odds ratio (OR) 0.102; 95% CI (0.018-0.564); p = 0.009] and ECMO under cardiopulmonary resuscitation [OR 19.009; 95% CI (2.139-168.956); p = 0.008] were significantly associated with all-cause mortality at 30 days. Conclusions Overweight was associated with lower mortality in AMI patients supported with ECMO.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Min Seop Jo
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, St. Vincent's Hospital, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, South Korea
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