Mortality estimates in the elderly burn patients: the Northern Ireland experience

The status quo of early burn wound excision: Insights from the German burn registry

BACKGROUND

There is a common, well-known and established recommendation to excise burn wounds within 24-72 h in order to mitigate the systemic inflammatory and immunomodulatory response, shorten length of hospitalization through early grafting and optimize patient survival. Despite this apparent consensus, surprisingly few systematic studies have evaluated the actual adherence to this practice and its implications on patient outcomes. In this registry study, we sought to objectify the current status of early burn wound excision, its influencing factors and impact on patient outcomes for all German burn centers.

METHODS

The German burn registry ('Deutsches Verbrennungsregister') was queried for 3 consecutive years for all patients, who received at least one surgical intervention. Patients were stratified based on whether the first surgical procedure was performed early (EE, within 72 h) or late (LE, after 72 h) post-burn. Descriptive statistics and univariate regressions were performed to quantify fraction of EE vs. LE and to evaluate factors which might favor one over the other (i.e. age, inhalation injury, burn severity by total body surface area (TBSA), scald vs. other burns, obesity, time of admission). Key patient outcomes were analyzed for each group (i.e. mortality, length of hospitalization, number of surgeries) and multifactorial regression analyses were carried out to model the impact of EE on mortality. Statistical significance was accepted at p < 0.05.

RESULTS

After initial screening, 1494 complete records were included for final analysis and were stratified into EE and LE. Only 670 (44%) underwent EE within 72 h. Increasing TBSA burned (i.e. [TBSA > 30%]: 53.8% EE, [TBSA < 30%]: 43.5% EE, p < 0.01) and admission on a weekday between Sunday and Wednesday were associated with higher probability of EE (51.5% EE) versus Thursday to Sunday (37.3%, p < 0.001). Age, inhalation injury, cause of burn, and obesity had no effect on EE vs. LE. Patients with EE had significantly shorter median lengths of hospitalization (EE: 18 d, LE: 21 d, p < 0.01). The median number of operations was comparable for both groups. Gross mortality appeared higher in the EE group, but turned out to be comparable to LE after correction for age, TBSA and sex in multifactorial regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

Despite apparent consensus among burn physicians, early excision of burn wounds is performed in less than 50% of cases in German burn centers. The relationship of EE to TBSA burned is expected and clinically sound, while a dependence on admission weekday raises administrative and infrastructural questions, especially when patients who receive EE have significantly shorter hospital stays. More analyses from other burn repositories are needed to compare and benchmark the international status quo of early burn wound excision.

Mortality data 2004-2019: an audit of the Royal Adelaide Hospital Adult Burn Service

BACKGROUND

Burns are complex, multifaceted injuries that can pose significant challenges to the treating team. The Royal Adelaide Hospital (RAH) Burns Service has undergone a major evolution over the past two decades, with perceived improvement in outcomes. We present here a longitudinal audit of the RAH Burns Service Mortality Data between 2004 and 2019.

METHODS

An audit was conducted of all index admissions to the RAH Burns Unit from 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2019. Age at admission, total body surface area, burn depth, presence of inhalation injury and outcome were recorded. Baux and revised Baux Scores were calculated. Lethal Area 50% for different time points and age groups, Baux_50/100 and Revised Baux_50/100 values were then calculated using logistical regression.

RESULTS

During 2004-2019, there were 5653 index admissions to the RAH Burns Unit. The mean total body surface area of burn injuries admitted was 5.1% and the survival rate was 99.17%. The Lethal Area 50% for the study period was 74%, with an improvement from 70% (2004-2011) to 80% (2012-2019). The Baux₅₀ score for the time period was 120 and the Revised Baux₅₀ was 129.

CONCLUSION

The RAH results are comparable with other high-income country Burn Services and demonstrated significant improvement across the study period. The data also highlight areas for ongoing focus such as the elderly burns patient.

Infection in Elderly Burn Patients: What Do We Know?

Background: Infection is the greatest cause of mortality in burn patients. As our population ages, the need to care for elderly burn patients will increase, and with it our understanding of how infection affects older patients with burn injuries. This article presents a review of the available literature on the effect of aging on the physiologic response to burns, of the known effects of infection in the elder population, and of the contribution of underlying medical comorbidities to the outcomes for the elderly burn patient. The potential for more serious outcomes from multi-drug resistance in the elder population is also discussed. Methods: This article is a review of the available literature on infection in elderly burn patients. A literature search was performed for key words: elderly; geriatric; burn; infection; comorbidity; multi-drug resistance; central line; urinary tract infection; and burn sepsis. Relevant findings were included in each section. Results: Pre-existing conditions are common in the elderly and contribute to a higher rate of development of pneumonia, cellulitis, urinary tract infection, central line infections, and burn wound infections. Specific data pertaining to infections in the elderly burn population are scarce or confined to single-center reports. Conclusions: Because of the inherent susceptibility of the elder population to infection because of pre-existing medical conditions, immunosenescence, and potential exposure via frequent interaction with the medical system, vigilance must be maintained for preventing and treating infection in elderly burn patients. More research is needed to define the risks and extent of this increasingly important issue.

Epidemiological Investigation of Elderly Patients with Severe Burns at a Major Burn Center in Southwest China

Background

The treatment of elderly patients with severe burns is difficult and the mortality rate is high. The aim of this study was to investigate the epidemiological features of elderly patients with severe burns.

Material/Methods

Data from 109 elderly patients with severe burns between January 2009 and December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic data, clinical characteristics, treatments, and outcomes were statistically analyzed.

Results

Among the 109 elderly patients with severe burns, the male-to-female ratio was 1.73: 1.0. The median age of the elderly patients was 67 years, and the median total body surface area (TBSA) burned was 42%. Notably, 67.9% of burns occurred at home and most frequently occurred in summer (38.5%) and winter (28.4%); flame and flash burns predominated (83.4%). The incidence of inhalation injury was 35.8%, and pre-existing comorbidities were observed in approximately 51.4% of the patients. The median length of stay in the hospital per TBSA burned was 0.4 days. The mortality rate in the elderly patients was 24.8%, and the mortality rates in the ≥70% TBSA group, inhalation injury group, and patients with 3 or more pre-existing comorbidities were significantly higher than in the other groups. The risk of death increased with an increase in the number of pre-existing comorbidities (odds ratio: 2.222; 95% confidence interval: 1.174–4.205).

Conclusions

At a major burn center in Southwest China, the incidence and mortality of elderly patients with severe burns displayed no downward trend. There are etiological characteristics of these age groups that should be considered for prevention. Meanwhile, multidisciplinary treatment in a hospital and an increase in the social support for the elderly population might improve outcomes.

Impaired Immune Response in Elderly Burn Patients: New Insights Into the Immune-senescence Phenotype

OBJECTIVE

Comparing the inflammatory and immunological trajectories in burned adults versus burned elderly patients to gain novel insights and better understanding why elderly have poor outcomes.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Despite receiving the same treatment and clinical consideration as all other burn patients, elderly patients continue to have substantially poorer outcomes compared with adults. In light of an aging population, gaining a better understanding of their susceptibility to complications and creating new treatment strategies is imperative.

METHODS

We included 130 burn patients (94 adults: <65 years old and 36 elderly: ≥65 years old) and 10 healthy controls in this study. Immune activity and expression was assessed using bioplex at various time points. Clinical outcomes such as infection, sepsis, and mortality were prospectively collected.

RESULTS

Elderly burn patients had significantly lower burn size but significantly higher Baux scores. Morbidity and mortality was significantly increased in the elderly cohort. Immune biomarkers indicated that elderly are immune compromised and unable to respond with the expected inflammatory response during the early phase after injury. This trajectory changes to a hyperinflammatory pattern during the later phase after burn. These findings are even more pronounced when comparing sepsis versus nonsepsis patients as well as survivors versus nonsurvivors in the elderly.

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly burned patients mount a delayed immune and dampened inflammatory response early after burn injury that changes to an augmented response at later time points. Late-onset sepsis and nonsurvivors had an immune exhaustion phenotype, which may represent one of the main mediators responsible for the striking mortality in elderly.

Standardised mortality ratio based on the sum of age and percentage total body surface area burned is an adequate quality indicator in burn care: An exploratory review

Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR) based on generic mortality predicting models is an established quality indicator in critical care. Burn-specific mortality models are preferred for the comparison among patients with burns as their predictive value is better. The aim was to assess whether the sum of age (years) and percentage total body surface area burned (which constitutes the Baux score) is acceptable in comparison to other more complex models, and to find out if data collected from a separate burn centre are sufficient for SMR based quality assessment. The predictive value of nine burn-specific models was tested by comparing values from the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) and a non-inferiority analysis using 1% as the limit (delta). SMR was analysed by comparing data from seven reference sources, including the North American National Burn Repository (NBR), with the observed mortality (years 1993-2012, n=1613, 80 deaths). The AUC values ranged between 0.934 and 0.976. The AUC 0.970 (95% CI 0.96-0.98) for the Baux score was non-inferior to the other models. SMR was 0.52 (95% CI 0.28-0.88) for the most recent five-year period compared with NBR based data. The analysis suggests that SMR based on the Baux score is eligible as an indicator of quality for setting standards of mortality in burn care. More advanced modelling only marginally improves the predictive value. The SMR can detect mortality differences in data from a single centre.

Factors associated with length of hospital stay in minor and moderate burns at Popayan, Colombia. Analysis of a cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the independent contribution of prognostic factors to length of hospital stay of minor and moderate burn victims at the Hospital Universitario San José (HUSJ), Popayán, Colombia, 2000-2010.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of minor and moderate burn victims admitted between 2000 and 2010, at the burn unit (HUSJ). This is a further analysis of a same cohort previously published in Burns. The following variables were recorded and analyzed: age, gender, origin, depth and extent of burn, causal agent, length of hospital stay and mortality. The main outcome under study was length of stay. Survival analysis was done to explore the association of covariates and length of hospital stay and Cox regression model to adjust the effect of covariates in the outcome.

RESULTS

During the study period 2000-2010, 842 of 921 (91.5%) patients treated at the Burn Unit of HUSJ that had complete data were included. There were 520 (61.8%) males and 322 (38.2%) females with a male to female ratio of 1.6:1. Their median age was 9 years (IQR 3-28). The median of percent total body surface area burned (TBSA) was 12% (IQR 7-21) and the most common degree of burn was 2nd degree with 58% (488 patients). There were 12 deaths (censored data) and 830 patients were discharged alive. After multivariate adjustment, significant associations with length of hospital stay remained for age group, burn degree and extension of the burn. The strongest relationship found was for burn degree (2nd degree superficial vs. 3rd degree hazard ratio=2.66 CI 95% [2.13-3.33]).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients admitted with mild and moderate burns at HUSJ, the main predictors of length of stay were age, burn degree and extension of the burn.

Outcomes of burns in the elderly: revised estimates from the Birmingham Burn Centre

Outcomes after burn have continued to improve over the last 70 years in all age groups including the elderly. However, concerns have been raised that survival gains have not been to the same magnitude in elderly patients compared to younger age groups. The aims of this study were to analyze the recent outcomes of elderly burn injured patients admitted to the Birmingham Burn Centre, compare data with a historical cohort and published data from other burn centres worldwide. A retrospective review was conducted of all patients ≥65 years of age, admitted to our centre with cutaneous burns, between 2004 and 2012. Data was compared to a previously published historical cohort (1999-2003). 228 patients were included. The observed mortality for the study group was 14.9%. The median age of the study group was 79 years, the male to female ratio was 1:1 and median Total Body Surface Area (TBSA) burned was 5%. The incidence of inhalation injury was 13%. Median length of stay per TBSA burned for survivors was 2.4 days/% TBSA. Mortality has improved in all burn size groups, but differences were highly statistically significant in the medium burn size group (10-20% TBSA, p≤0.001). Burn outcomes in the elderly have improved over the last decade. This reduction has been impacted by a reduction in overall injury severity but is also likely due to general improvements in burn care, improved infrastructure, implementation of clinical guidelines and increased multi-disciplinary support, including Geriatric physicians.

Revised estimates of mortality from the Birmingham Burn Centre, 2001-2010: a continuing analysis over 65 years

OBJECTIVE

The Birmingham Burn Centre has continued to publish mortality data over the last 65 years. It is one of the longest running cross-sectional cohort studies in the world. We present the latest data from the study, with a comparison to previous results.

BACKGROUND

Results from the previous decade failed to show any improvement in mortality despite perceived advances in burn care. The aim of this update was to establish current mortality statistics and ascertain whether improvement had now been made.

METHODS

Data were collected for a 10-year period on all burn-injured patients admitted to the Birmingham Burn Centre (Birmingham Children's Hospital, Selly Oak Hospital, and Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham). Patients' age, percentage of burn, date of injury, and outcome were recorded and analyzed with both probit and logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 4577 patients were included in the analysis, with a mean total body surface area (TBSA) burn of 7.2% and a mean age of 22 years. Comparison of probit model results with previous results demonstrates improvement in predicted mortality and lethal area (LA50) of burns. Logistic regression produces similar results to the probit analysis. Trend analysis proved a statistically significant improvement in mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The last decade of burn care at Birmingham Burn Centre demonstrates an improvement in predicted mortality and LA50. This reflects our structured, multidisciplinary approach to burn-injured patients, early surgical excision and wound closure, and general advances in the intensive care of patients.

Assessment of mortality prediction models in a Ghanaian burn population

PURPOSE

Over 40 new or modified outcome prediction models have been developed for severe burns; with age, total burned surface area (TBSA) and inhalation area as major determinants of mortality. The objective of this study was to assess their applicability in a developing country.

PROCEDURES

Data were collected retrospectively of a consecutive series of 261 patients (2009-2011) admitted to a Burns Intensive Care. Five outcome prediction models based on admission criteria were evaluated: Bull grid, Abbreviated Burn Severity Index--ABSI, Ryan-model, Belgian Outcome in Burn Injury--BOBI and revised Baux. Discriminative power and goodness-of-fit were assessed by receiver operating characteristic analyses (area under the curve--AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests.

FINDINGS

Median age was 10.5 years (IQR: 2.5-27 years), median TBSA 21% (IQR: 11-34%); 55.2% were male, 28 patients died (10.7%). Only 2 patients were intubated (0.8%). The AUC were between 77 and 86%. The ABSI model showed the best calibration (28.7 expected deaths). Ryan, BOBI and rBaux significantly underestimated mortality, whereas Bull showed an overestimation.

CONCLUSION

This study on a young group of burn patients showed moderate to good discriminative power using all five prediction models. The expected number of deaths tended to be underestimated in the three most recent prediction models.

The Baux score is dead. Long live the Baux score: a 27-year retrospective cohort study of mortality at a regional burns service

BACKGROUND

To assess trends in mortality after burn injuries treated in a regional specialist burns service between 1982 and 2008.

METHODS

Patient and burn-specific information and mortality were collated from written admission ledgers and the hospital coding department for 11,109 patients. The data set was divided into age cohorts (0-14, 15-44, 45-64, and >65 years) and time cohorts (1982-1991, 1992-2000, and 2000-2008). Lethal area 50 (LA50) was calculated by logistic regression and probit analysis. Mortality was related to the Baux score (age + total % burned surface area) by logistic regression.

RESULTS

In the time period 2000 to 2008, the LA50 values with approximate 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were 100% (CI, 85.5-100%) in the 0 to 14 cohort (LA10, 78.3%; CI, 64.1-92.5%), 76.4% (CI, 69.1-83.8%) in the 15 to 44 cohort, 58.6% (CI, 50.8-66.5%) in the 45 to 64 cohort, and 30.8% (CI, 24.7-36.9%) in the >65 cohort. The point of futility (the Baux Score at which predicted mortality is 100%) was 160 and the Baux50 (the Baux score at which predicted mortality is 50%) was 109.6 (CI, 105.9-113.4) in the 2000 to 2008 cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality is markedly improved over earlier data from this study and other historical series and compares favorably with outcomes published from the US National Burn Repository. The Baux Score continues to provide an indication of the risk of mortality. Survival after major burn injury is increasingly common, and decisions by nonspecialist about initial triage, management, and futility of care should be made after consultation with a specialist burn service.

Severe burn injury in Europe: a systematic review of the incidence, etiology, morbidity, and mortality

INTRODUCTION

Burn injury is a serious pathology, potentially leading to severe morbidity and significant mortality, but it also has a considerable health-economic impact. The aim of this study was to describe the European hospitalized population with severe burn injury, including the incidence, etiology, risk factors, mortality, and causes of death.

METHODS

The systematic literature search (1985 to 2009) involved PubMed, the Web of Science, and the search engine Google. The reference lists and the Science Citation Index were used for hand searching (snowballing). Only studies dealing with epidemiologic issues (for example, incidence and outcome) as their major topic, on hospitalized populations with severe burn injury (in secondary and tertiary care) in Europe were included. Language restrictions were set on English, French, and Dutch.

RESULTS

The search led to 76 eligible studies, including more than 186,500 patients in total. The annual incidence of severe burns was 0.2 to 2.9/10,000 inhabitants with a decreasing trend in time. Almost 50% of patients were younger than 16 years, and ~60% were male patients. Flames, scalds, and contact burns were the most prevalent causes in the total population, but in children, scalds clearly dominated. Mortality was usually between 1.4% and 18% and is decreasing in time. Major risk factors for death were older age and a higher total percentage of burned surface area, as well as chronic diseases. (Multi) organ failure and sepsis were the most frequently reported causes of death. The main causes of early death (< 48 hours) were burn shock and inhalation injury.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the lack of a large-scale European registration of burn injury, more epidemiologic information is available about the hospitalized population with severe burn injury than is generally presumed. National and international registration systems nevertheless remain necessary to allow better targeting of prevention campaigns and further improvement of cost-effectiveness in total burn care.

Burn treatment in the elderly

The population of elderly patients is expected to rise continuously over the next decades due to global demographic changes. The elderly seem to be most vulnerable to burns and their management remains undoubtedly a challenge. A clear age margin for elderly patients is not yet defined, but most studies adhere to the inclusion of patients 65 years and above, but the general condition and social situation must be taken into account. The understanding of the physiological basis of aging and its related pathophysiological changes has only marginally influenced treatment and decision making in elderly burn patients. When looking at treatment regimens currently applied in elderly burn patients, the discussion of standards in intensive care as well as surgical strategies is ongoing. However, trends towards a moderate, non-aggressive resuscitation approach and careful inclusion of key parameters like physiological age, pre-burn functional status and premorbid conditions, seem to be useful guidelines for interdisciplinary treatment decisions. Once ordered for surgical treatment, the amount of body surface area operated in one session should be adapted to the general status of the patient. Even if older burn victims have a reported higher mortality rate than younger patients, improved therapeutic options have contributed to a reduced mortality rate even in the elderly over the last decades. As a result of improved outcome, more attention has to be given to a comprehensive rehabilitation program. This review will give an overview of the current literature and will draw attention to specific topics related to this important subpopulation of burn patients.