Serum anti‑KIAA0513 antibody as a common biomarker for mortal atherosclerotic and cancerous diseases

Numerous antibody biomarkers have been reported for cancer and atherosclerosis-related diseases. The major complications of atherosclerosis and diabetes mellitus (DM) are acute ischemic stroke (AIS), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Cancer development is accompanied by arterial disorders, such as angiogenesis and atherosclerosis, and DM is a risk factor for the development of certain types of cancer. Atherosclerosis-related diseases and cancers are therefore interrelated and could be detected using a common biomarker. In the present study, the initial screening using the protein array method identified KIAA0513 as an antigen recognized by serum IgG antibodies in patients with atherosclerosis. The amplified luminescent proximity homogeneous assay-linked immunosorbent assay revealed significantly higher serum antibody levels against recombinant KIAA0513 protein in patients with AIS, transient ischemic attack (TIA), DM, CVD, obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS), CKD and solid cancers, such as esophageal, gastric, colon, lung and breast cancers, compared with healthy donors. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed that the highest areas under the ROC curves of anti-KIAA0513 antibodies were obtained for esophageal cancer, nephrosclerosis-type CKD and DM. Spearman's correlation analysis revealed that serum anti-KIAA0513 antibody levels were associated with maximum intima-media thickness and plaque score, which are indices of atherosclerosis and stenosis. Serum anti-KIAA0513 antibody markers appear to be useful for diagnosing AIS, TIA, DM, CVD, OSAS, CKD and solid cancers, and may reflect common arterial alterations leading to atherosclerotic and cancerous diseases.

Mortality after partner's cancer diagnosis or death: A population-based prospective cohort study in Japan

BACKGROUND

The health statuses of closely connected individuals are interdependent. Little is known about mortality risk associated with partner's cancer diagnosis and cause-specific mortality risk associated with partner's death.

METHODS

Relative risks for all-cause and cause-specific mortality following a partner's cancer diagnosis or death compared to the period when the partner is cancer-free and alive were investigated in the population-based prospective cohort study that enrolled 140,420 people at the age between 40-69 in 1990-1994.

RESULTS

55,050 participants (27,665 men and 27,385 women) who were identified as married couples were followed-up for 1,073,746.1 (518,368.5 in men and 555,377.6 in women) person-years, during which 9,816 deaths (7,217 in men and 2,599 in women) were observed. After a partner's cancer diagnosis, the mortality rate ratio (MRR) of all-cause mortality was not increased among both men and women, while an increase of externally-caused MRR was observed. The suicide MRR significantly increased among men (MRR = 2.90 [95% CI, 1.70-4.93]) and it persisted for more than 5 years. After a partner's death, the MRRs of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease (RD), and externally-caused mortality significantly increased only among men. Stratified analysis by smoking status among men showed significantly increased MRRs of CVD and RD mortality among former/current smokers, but not among never-smokers.

CONCLUSION

Partner's cancer diagnosis did not increase all-cause mortality risk, but increased externally-caused mortality risk, especially suicide among men. The impact of partner's death on mortality risk differed by the mortality causes and sex, and smoking affected some of cause-specific mortality risk.

Body Mass Index, Height and Head and Neck Cancer Risk: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Although both a lower and a higher body mass index (BMI) are reportedly associated with head and neck cancer (HNC), reports from Asia are scarce. Moreover, evidence regarding the association between height and HNC is limited.

METHODS

We investigated associations between BMI, height, and the incidence of HNC among 102,668 participants (49,029 men and 53,639 women) aged 40-69 years in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study. We followed participants from 1990 to 2013. We conducted a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, which included adjustment for potential confounders such as smoking status. Baseline weight and height information were self-reported.

RESULTS

Over an average follow-up of 18.7 years, 311 HNC cases were newly diagnosed. Lower BMI was significantly associated with HNC, with hazard ratios [HR] of 2.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.63-4.64) for <18.5 kg/m2 and 1.63 (95% CI=1.15-2.30) for 18.5-20.9 kg/m2 compared to 23-24.9 kg/m2. Increased risk was suggested for higher BMI, with an HR of 1.30 (95%CI=0.84-2.00) for ≥27.5 kg/m2. This trend was also observed in quadratic models. Results were similar among never smokers. Meanwhile, only lower BMI showed a strong association with HNC risk among former and current smokers (HR: 3.09, 95%CI: 1.54-6.20 for <18.5 kg/m2 compared to 23 to 24.9 kg/m2). Height showed no association with HNC.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower BMI was significantly associated with HNC risk, while increased HNC risk was suggested in higher BMI among never smokers. Among former and current smokers, only lower BMI was associated with HNC risk.

Association between fish and shellfish consumption, n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, and gastric cancer risk: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

PURPOSE

Fish and shellfish consumption is suggested to be a cancer-protective factor. However, studies investigating this association for gastric cancer, especially considering Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) and atrophic gastritis (AG), are limited. We investigated gastric cancer risk associated with fish, shellfish, and n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 PUFAs) consumption among Japanese adults.

METHODS

90,504 subjects enrolled in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC Study) were followed until December 2013. Dietary intake data were collected using a food frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for gastric cancer risk associated with fish and shellfish consumption and marine n-3 PUFAs (sum of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA), docosapentaenoic acid (DPA), and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA)) using Cox proportional hazards models. Among those with avaliable data, we conducted a subgroup analysis taking H. pylori infection and AG status  into consideration.

RESULTS

There were 2,701 gastric cancer cases during an average of 15 years of follow-up. We observed an increased gastric cancer risk for salted fish consumption for men [HR for fifth quintile versus first quintile 1.43 (95% CI 1.18-1.75)] and for women [HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.00-1.77)]. We observed a weak risk reduction trend for women as the intake of marine n-3 PUFAs increased (p-trend:0.07). When we included H. pylori infection and atrophic gastritis status in the analysis, the associations diminished.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that salted fish increases gastric cancer risk for men and women, while marine n-3 PUFAs marginally decreases this risk among women in Japan.

Fusobacterium species are distinctly associated with patients with Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer

Accumulating evidence demonstrates clear correlation between the gut microbiota and sporadic colorectal cancer (CRC). Despite this, there is limited understanding of the association between the gut microbiota and CRC in Lynch Syndrome (LS), a hereditary type of CRC. Here, we analyzed fecal shotgun metagenomic and targeted metabolomic of 71 Japanese LS subjects. A previously published Japanese sporadic CRC cohort, which includes non-LS controls, was utilized as a non-LS cohort (n = 437). LS subjects exhibited reduced microbial diversity and low-Faecalibacterium enterotypes compared to non-LS. Patients with LS-CRC had higher levels of Fusobacterium nucleatum and fap2. Differential fecal metabolites and functional genes suggest heightened degradation of lysine and arginine in LS-CRC. A comparison between LS and non-LS subjects prior to adenoma formation revealed distinct fecal metabolites of LS subjects. These findings suggest that the gut microbiota plays a more responsive role in CRC tumorigenesis in patients with LS than those without LS.

Lifetime Risk of Incident Coronary Heart Disease, Stroke, and Cardiovascular Disease: The Japan Public Health Center-Based Prospective Study

AIM

The constellation of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors greatly impacts the lifetime risk (LTR) of incident CVD, but the LTR has not been thoroughly evaluated in the Japanese population.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective study involving a total of 25,896 individuals 40-69 years old without a history of CVD in 1995 (Cohort I) and 1993-1994 (Cohort II) in Japan. CVD risk factors (blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein [HDL] cholesterol levels, smoking status, and glucose concentrations) were used to stratify them by risk. The sex-specific LTR of incident coronary heart disease, stroke, atherosclerotic CVD, and total CVD were estimated for participants 45 years old in the 4 risk categories with the cumulative incidence rate, adjusting for the competing risk of death.

RESULTS

We found apparent differences in the LTR of total CVD according to the risk stratification. Individuals with ≥ 2 of the risk factors of blood pressure ≥ 140/90 mmHg or treated, non-HDL cholesterol level ≥ 170 mg/dL or treated, current smoker, and diabetes had substantially higher adjusted LTRs of CVD than those in other groups, with a LTR of 26.5% (95% confidence interval, 24.0%-29.0%) for men and 15.3% (13.1%-17.5%) for women at 45 years. The LTR of incident stroke was the highest among CVDs, and the presence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus strongly influenced the LTR of total CVD.

CONCLUSION

The impact of risk accumulation on LTR of CVD was greater in men, and 1 in 4 men with ≥ 2 major risk factors at 45 years of age developed CVD in their lifetime.

Height, body mass index, physical activity, and risk of colorectal cancer in relation to expression of insulin receptor: The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

To ascertain the involvement of insulin receptors (IRs) in colorectal carcinogenesis, we investigated the association of height, body mass index (BMI), and physical activity with colorectal cancer (CRC) and two subtypes of CRC according to the expression level of IR. We utilized data from a large-scale, population-based prospective cohort study of 18,158 middle-aged and elderly subjects in Akita and Okinawa, Japan. In the statistical analysis, we used the Cox proportional hazards model and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of CRC and its subtypes as defined by immunohistochemistry of IRβ, a transmembrane subunit of IR. In the IRβ-defined subtypes, height showed no apparent association with the risk of IRβ-positive CRC. In contrast, a multivariable HR of IRβ-positive CRC was 1.77 (95% CI = 1.04-3.03) with a BMI of ≥30.0 kg/m2 (i.e., obesity), compared to a BMI of <25.0 kg/m2. Further, an increase in physical activity was significantly associated with decreased risk of IRβ-positive CRC (multivariable HR per 5 METs-hour/day = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.88-0.99). Meanwhile, we found no significant association between any exposure and IRβ-negative CRC. Likewise, heterogeneity between the two subtypes of CRC was not statistically significant. These findings imply that obesity and physical activity exert promoting and suppressing effects on the development of CRC expressing IRs, respectively.

piRNA PROPER Suppresses DUSP1 Translation by Targeting N6-Methyladenosine-Mediated RNA Circularization to Promote Oncogenesis of Prostate Cancer

Genetic and epigenetic alterations occur in many physiological and pathological processes. The existing knowledge regarding the association of PIWI-interacting RNAs (piRNAs) and their genetic variants on risk and progression of prostate cancer (PCa) is limited. In this study, three genome-wide association study datasets are combined, including 85,707 PCa cases and 166,247 controls, to uncover genetic variants in piRNAs. Functional investigations involved manipulating piRNA expression in cellular and mouse models to study its oncogenetic role in PCa. A specific genetic variant, rs17201241 is identified, associated with increased expression of PROPER (piRNA overexpressed in prostate cancer) in tumors and are located within the gene, conferring an increased risk and malignant progression of PCa. Mechanistically, PROPER coupled with YTHDF2 to recognize N6-methyladenosine (m6A) and facilitated RNA-binding protein interactions between EIF2S3 at 5'-untranslated region (UTR) and YTHDF2/YBX3 at 3'-UTR to promote DUSP1 circularization. This m6A-dependent mRNA-looping pattern enhanced DUSP1 degradation and inhibited DUSP1 translation, ultimately reducing DUSP1 expression and promoting PCa metastasis via the p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) signaling pathway. Inhibition of PROPER expression using antagoPROPER effectively suppressed xenograft growth, suggesting its potential as a therapeutic target. Thus, targeting piRNA PROPER-mediated genetic and epigenetic fine control is a promising strategy for the concurrent prevention and treatment of PCa.

Long-term exposure to particulate matter and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in an analysis of multiple Asian cohorts

BACKGROUND

Exposure to ambient air pollution is associated with a significant number of deaths. Much of the evidence associating air pollution with adverse effects is from North American and Europe, partially due to incomplete data in other regions limiting location specific examinations. The aim of the current paper is to leverage satellite derived air quality data to examine the relationship between ambient particulate matter and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Asia.

METHODS

Six cohorts from the Asia Cohort Consortium provided residential information for participants, recruited between 1991 and 2008, across six countries (Bangladesh, India, Iran, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan). Ambient particulate material (PM2·5) levels for the year of enrolment (or 1998 if enrolled earlier) were assigned utilizing satellite and sensor-based maps. Cox proportional models were used to examine the association between ambient air pollution and all-cause and cause-specific mortality (all cancer, lung cancer, cardiovascular and lung disease). Models were additionally adjusted for urbanicity (representing urban and built characteristics) and stratified by smoking status in secondary analyses. Country-specific findings were pooled via random-effects meta-analysis.

FINDINGS

More than 300,000 participants across six cohorts were included, representing more than 4-million-person years. A positive relationship was observed between a 5 µg/m (Dockery et al., 1993) increase in PM2·5 and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1·06, 95 % CI: 0.99, 1·13). The additional adjustment for urbanicity resulted in increased associations between PM2.5 and mortality outcomes, including all-cause mortality (1·04, 95 % CI: 0·97, 1·11). Results were generally similar regardless of whether one was a current, never, or ex-smoker.

INTERPRETATION

Using satellite and remote sensing technology we showed that associations between PM2.5 and all-cause and cause-specific Hazard Ratios estimated are similar to those reported for U.S. and European cohorts.

FUNDING

This project was supported by the Health Effects Institute. Grant number #4963-RFA/18-5. Specific funding support for individual cohorts is described in the Acknowledgements.

Association between reproductive factors with lung cancer incidence and mortality: A pooled analysis of over 308,000 females in the Asia cohort consortium

Previous studies have investigated the association between reproductive factors and lung cancer risk; however, findings have been inconsistent. In order to assess this association among Asian women, a total of 308,949 female participants from 11 prospective cohorts and four Asian countries (Japan, Korea, China, and Singapore) were included. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 3,119 primary lung cancer cases and 2247 lung cancer deaths were identified with a mean follow-up of 16.4 years. Parous women had a lower risk of lung cancer incidence and mortality as compared with nulliparous women, with HRs of 0.82 (95% CI = 0.70-0.96) and 0.78 (95% CI = 0.65-0.94). The protective association of parity and lung cancer incidence was greater among ever-smokers (HR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.49-0.87) than in never-smokers (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.74-1.09) (P-interaction = 0.029). Compared with age at first delivery ≤20 years, older age at first delivery (21-25, ≥26 years) was associated with a lower risk of lung cancer incidence and mortality. Women who ever used hormone replacements had a higher likelihood of developing non-small cell lung cancer (HR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.02-1.68), compared to those who never used hormone replacements. Future studies are needed to assess the underlying mechanisms, the relationships within these female reproductive factors, and the potential changes in smoking habits over time.

Time-varying living arrangements and suicide death in the general population sample: 14-year causal survival analysis via pooled logistic regression

AIMS

While past research suggested that living arrangements are associated with suicide death, no study has examined the impact of sustained living arrangements and the change in living arrangements. Also, previous survival analysis studies only reported a single hazard ratio (HR), whereas the actual HR may change over time. We aimed to address these limitations using causal inference approaches.

METHODS

Multi-point data from a general Japanese population sample were used. Participants reported their living arrangements twice within a 5-year time interval. After that, suicide death, non-suicide death and all-cause mortality were evaluated over 14 years. We used inverse probability weighted pooled logistic regression and cumulative incidence curve, evaluating the association of time-varying living arrangements with suicide death. We also studied non-suicide death and all-cause mortality to contextualize the association. Missing data for covariates were handled using random forest imputation.

RESULTS

A total of 86,749 participants were analysed, with a mean age (standard deviation) of 51.7 (7.90) at baseline. Of these, 306 died by suicide during the 14-year follow-up. Persistently living alone was associated with an increased risk of suicide death (risk difference [RD]: 1.1%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.3-2.5%; risk ratio [RR]: 4.00, 95% CI: 1.83-7.41), non-suicide death (RD: 7.8%, 95% CI: 5.2-10.5%; RR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.38-1.74) and all-cause mortality (RD: 8.7%, 95% CI: 6.2-11.3%; RR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.42-1.79) at the end of the follow-up. The cumulative incidence curve showed that these associations were consistent throughout the follow-up. Across all types of mortality, the increased risk was smaller for those who started to live with someone and those who transitioned to living alone. The results remained robust in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals who persistently live alone have an increased risk of suicide death as well as non-suicide death and all-cause mortality, whereas this impact is weaker for those who change their living arrangements.

Association Between Oral Malodor and Dementia: An 11-Year Follow-Up Study in Japan

Background

As infrequent social interaction is a potential risk of dementia, oral malodor may increase the risk of dementia, including Alzheimer's disease.

Objective

This study investigated the association between malodor and dementia.

Methods

We used the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study data obtained at Yokote City. A total of 1,493 individuals aged 56 to 75 years underwent a dental examination and self-reported survey from May 2005 to January 2006. Follow-up for the onset of dementia was conducted using long-term care insurance data from 2006 to 2016. Hazard ratios of oral malodor on dementia were estimated by the Cox proportional hazards model. The inverse probability-weighted Cox model was used as a sensitivity analysis.

Results

The study comprised 1493 participants (53.6% women) with a mean age of 65.6 (SD = 5.8) years old; at the end of the follow-up, 6.4% (n = 96) developed dementia, and the percentage was 20.7 in severe malodor group. Throughout 15274.133 person-years of follow-up, the average incidence rate for the onset of dementia per 1000 person-years was 6.29. The highest incidence rate was seen in participants with severe malodor (22.4 per 1000 person-years). After adjusting for confounders, compared to those with no malodor, there was a 3.8 (95% confidence interval: 1.5 to 9.4) times greater hazard of developing dementia in participants with severe malodor. The inverse probability weighted Cox model confirmed the same trend with an adjusted marginal hazard ratio of 4.4 (1.2 to 16.4).

CONCLUSIONS

A significant association between oral malodor and the onset of dementia exists.

Risk and Population Attributable Fraction of Stroke Subtypes in Japan

BACKGROUND

Associations of major risk factors for stroke with total and each type of stroke, as well as subtypes of ischemic stroke, and their population attributable fractions had not been examined comprehensively.

METHODS

Participants of the Japan Public Health Center-based prospective (JPHC) Study Cohort II without histories of cardiovascular disease and cancer (n = 14,797) were followed from 1993 through 2012. Associations of current smoking, hypertension, diabetes, overweight (body mass index ≥25 kg/m2), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDLC) categories, low HDLC (<40 mg/dL), urine protein, and history of arrhythmia were examined in a mutually-adjusted Cox regression model that included age and sex. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were estimated using the hazard ratios and the prevalence of risk factors among cases.

RESULTS

Subjects with hypertension were 1.63 to 1.84 times more likely to develop any type of stroke. Diabetes, low HDLC, current smoking, overweight, urine protein, and arrhythmia were associated with risk of overall and ischemic stroke. Hypertension and urine protein were associated with risk of intracerebral hemorrhage, while current smoking, hypertension, and low non-HDLC were associated with subarachnoid hemorrhage. Hypertension alone accounted for more than a quarter of stroke incidence, followed by current smoking and diabetes. High non-HDLC, current smoking, low HDLC, and overweight contributed mostly to large-artery occlusive stroke. Arrhythmia explained 13.2% of embolic stroke. Combined PAFs of all the modifiable risk factors for total, ischemic, and large-artery occlusive strokes were 36.7%, 44.5%, and 61.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Although there are differences according to subtypes, hypertension could be regarded as the most crucial target for preventing strokes in Japan.

Perspective: Beyond the Mediterranean Diet-Exploring Latin American, Asian, and African Heritage Diets as Cultural Models of Healthy Eating

The Mediterranean diet is a well-studied cultural model of healthy eating, yet research on healthy models from other cultures and cuisines has been limited. This perspective article summarizes the components of traditional Latin American, Asian, and African heritage diets, their association with diet quality and markers of health, and implications for nutrition programs and policy. Though these diets differ in specific foods and flavors, we present a common thread that emphasizes healthful plant foods and that is consistent with high dietary quality and low rates of major causes of disability and deaths. In this perspective, we propose that nutrition interventions that incorporate these cultural models of healthy eating show promise, though further research is needed to determine health outcomes and best practices for implementation.

Importance of circulating leptin and adiponectin in the causal pathways between obesity and the development of colorectal cancer in Japanese men

BACKGROUND

The mechanistic associations between obesity and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) remain unclear. Here, using body mass index (BMI) as an obesity indicator, we decomposed the total effects of obesity on the risk of CRC into: (1) direct effects, which are possibly mediated by unmeasured or currently unknown factors; (2) indirect effects mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin; and (3) indirect effects that are not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin but by hyperinsulinemia and chronic inflammation (assessed via circulating connecting peptide and C-reactive protein, respectively).

METHODS

We adopted a causal mediation framework, using data from a large prospective cohort study of 44,271 Japanese men.

RESULTS

BMI was not associated with the risk of CRC due to direct and indirect effects that were not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin. By contrast, individuals with BMIs of 25.0-27.4 kg/m2 (risk ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.69) and ≥27.5 kg/m2 (risk ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.68) had a higher risk of CRC due to indirect effects of circulating leptin and adiponectin.

CONCLUSIONS

Our mediation analyses suggest that the association between BMI and CRC risk may be largely mediated by a pathway involving circulating leptin and adiponectin.

Fruit and Vegetable Intake and Risk of Disabling Dementia: Japan Public Health Center Disabling Dementia Study

BACKGROUND

Fruits and vegetables contain abundant amounts of antioxidant vitamins such as vitamin C, α-carotene, and β-carotene. Few prospective observational studies have investigated the effects of fruit and vegetable intake on the risk of dementia, and the results are inconsistent.

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to examine associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the risk of disabling dementia.

METHODS

We conducted a follow-up survey within the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study involving 42,643 individuals aged 50-79 y at baseline (2000-2003). Dietary fruit and vegetable intakes and related antioxidant vitamin intakes (i.e., α-carotene, β-carotene, and vitamin C) were determined using a food frequency questionnaire. The diagnosis of disabling dementia was made based on the daily living disability status related to dementia under the Japanese long-term care insurance program from 2006 to 2016. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for disabling dementia were estimated using area-stratified Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounding factors.

RESULTS

A total of 4994 cases of disabling dementia were recorded. We observed an inverse association between total fruit and vegetable intake and the risk of dementia among males and females: the multivariate hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the highest compared with lowest quartiles of intake were 0.87 (0.76, 0.99) (P- trend = 0.05) among males and 0.85 (0.76, 0.94) (P- trend = 0.006) among females. Among antioxidant vitamins, vitamin C intake was inversely associated with the risk of dementia among males and females: the multivariate hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the highest compared with lowest quartiles of intake were 0.71 (0.61, 0.84) (P- trend < 0.0001) among males, and 0.76 (0.67, 0.86) (P- trend < 0.0001) among females.

CONCLUSIONS

Fruit and vegetable intake and dietary intake of vitamin C may contribute to reducing the risk of disabling dementia among males and females.

GWAS meta-analysis of kidney function traits in Japanese populations

BACKGROUND

Genetic epidemiological evidence for the kidney function traits in East Asian population including Japanese remain still relatively unclarified. Especially, the number of GWASs for kidney traits reported still remains limited, and the sample size of each independent study is relatively small. Given the genetic variability between ancestries/ethnicities, implementation of GWAS with sufficiently large sample sizes in specific population of Japanese is considered meaningful.

METHODS

We conducted the GWAS meta-analyses of kidney traits by leveraging the GWAS summary data of the representative large genome cohort studies with about 200,000 Japanese participants (n = 202,406 for estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] and n = 200,845 for serum creatinine [SCr]).

RESULTS

In the present GWAS meta-analysis, we identified 110 loci with 169 variants significantly associated with eGFR (on chromosomes 1-13 and 15-22; p < 5×10-8), whereas we also identified 112 loci with 176 variants significantly associated with SCr (on chromosomes 1-22; p < 5×10-8), of which one locus (more than 1Mb distant from known loci) with one variant (CD36 rs146148222 on chromosome 7) for SCr was considered as the truly novel finding.

CONCLUSIONS

The present GWAS meta-analysis of largest genome cohort studies in Japanese provided some original genomic loci associated with kidney function in Japanese, which may contribute to the possible development of personalized prevention of kidney diseases based on genomic information in the near future.

Development and Validation of Prediction Models for the 5-year Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in a Japanese Population: Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective (JPHC) Diabetes Study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop models to predict the 5-year incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a Japanese population and validate them externally in an independent Japanese population.

METHODS

Data from 10,986 participants (aged 46-75 years) in the development cohort of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Diabetes Study and 11,345 participants (aged 46-75 years) in the validation cohort of the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study were used to develop and validate the risk scores in logistic regression models.

RESULTS

We considered non-invasive (sex, body mass index, family history of diabetes mellitus, and diastolic blood pressure) and invasive (glycated hemoglobin [HbA1c] and fasting plasma glucose [FPG]) predictors to predict the 5-year probability of incident diabetes. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.643 for the non-invasive risk model, 0.786 for the invasive risk model with HbA1c but not FPG, and 0.845 for the invasive risk model with HbA1c and FPG. The optimism for the performance of all models was small by internal validation. In the internal-external cross-validation, these models tended to show similar discriminative ability across different areas. The discriminative ability of each model was confirmed using external validation datasets. The invasive risk model with only HbA1c was well-calibrated in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

Our invasive risk models are expected to discriminate between high- and low-risk individuals with T2DM in a Japanese population.

Body mass index and lung cancer risk: Pooled analysis of 10 prospective cohort studies in Japan

Mounting evidence suggests that body mass index (BMI) is inversely associated with the risk of lung cancer. However, relatively few studies have explored this association in Asian people, who have a much lower prevalence of obesity than Caucasians. We pooled data from 10 prospective cohort studies involving 444,143 Japanese men and women to address the association between BMI and the risk of lung cancer. Study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated in each cohort using the Cox proportional hazards model. A meta-analysis was undertaken by combining the results from each cohort. Heterogeneity across studies was evaluated using Cochran's Q and I2statistics. During 5,730,013 person-years of follow-up, 6454 incident lung cancer cases (4727 men and 1727 women) were identified. Baseline BMI was inversely associated with lung cancer risk in men and women combined. While leanness (BMI <18.5) was associated with a higher risk of lung cancer (HR 1.35; 95% CI, 1.16-1.57), overweight and obesity were associated with a lower risk, with HRs of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.84) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.45-1.07), respectively. Every 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 21% lower risk of lung cancer (HR 0.79; 95% CI, 0.75-0.83; p < 0.0001). Our pooled analysis indicated that BMI is inversely associated with the risk of lung cancer in the Japanese population. This inverse association could be partly attributed to residual confounding by smoking, as it was more pronounced among male smokers.

Relationships of Total and Domain-Specific Moderate-to-Vigorous Physical Activity with All-Cause and Disease-Specific Mortality

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the relationships of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) with all-cause and disease-specific mortality. We also investigated how the association between MVPA at leisure time (LT-MVPA) and health outcomes differs at different MVPA at work (WT-MVPA) levels.

METHODS

The 81,601 community-dwelling Japanese persons age 50-79 yr who responded to a questionnaire in 2000-2003 were followed until 2018. Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine the association of total MVPA with risks of all-cause, cancer, heart disease, stroke, and respiratory disease mortality. Then, we compared the mortality risk according to the tertile of LT-MVPA, stratified by the tertile of WT-MVPA.

RESULTS

During the 15.1 yr of average follow-up, 16,951 deaths were identified. Even total MVPA below the recommended volume (i.e., 0.1-1.49 MET·h·d -1 ) was associated with 11% to 24% reductions in all-cause (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82-0.96) and heart disease mortality (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.61-0.94), compared with no MVPA at all. The further reduced risks were seen in MVPA up to 10 MET·h·d -1 . The inverse association between LT-MVPA and mortality risks was more evident at lower WT-MVPA, which was also inversely associated with the risks.

CONCLUSIONS

Health benefits were observed at low levels of MVPA and up to 10 MET·h·d -1 , although the fine threshold for excessive MVPA was not clear. LT-MVPA had distinct health benefits especially for persons with lower WT-MVPA.

Sleep duration, its change, and risk of dementia among Japanese: The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

OBJECTIVE

Previous findings on the association between sleep duration, changes in sleep duration, and long-term dementia risk were mixed. Thus, we aimed to investigate the association between midlife sleep duration, its change, and dementia.

METHODS

We recruited 41,731 Japanese (40-71 years) and documented their habitual sleep duration at baseline (1990-1994) and a 5-year follow-up survey. Changes in sleep duration were calculated as differences between baseline and 5-year measurements. We identified dementia using the Long-Term Care Insurance system (2007-2016). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of dementia were calculated using the area-stratified Cox model.

RESULTS

During 360,389 person-years, 4621 participants exhibited dementia. The multivariable HRs of dementia compared with 7 h of sleep were 1.13 (95% CI: 0.98-1.30) for 3-5 h, 0.93 (0.85-1.02) for 6 h, 1.06 (0.99-1.14) for 8 h, 1.13 (1.01-1.27) for 9 h, and 1.40 (1.21-1.63) for 10-12 h with a J-shaped fashion (p for linear < 0.001 and quadratic < 0.001). For its change, the HRs compared with no change were 1.02 (0.90-1.16) for decreased ≥2 h, 0.95 (0.88-1.03) for decreased 1 h, 1.00 (0.91-1.09) for increased 1 h, and 1.37 (1.20-1.58) for increased ≥2 h. The positive association for decreased sleep duration was observed in individuals with an initial sleep duration of ≤7 h, but not in those with ≥8 h (p for interaction = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Long and increased sleep duration was associated with a higher risk of dementia.

Long-term use of anti-cholesterol drugs and cancer risks in a Japanese population

Several studies have investigated the association between the use of anti-cholesterol drugs and cancer risks, of which results have been inconsistent. This study included 67,768 participants from the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study. The data on anti-cholesterol drug use was collected using three questionnaires of the survey conducted every five years. We divided the participants into three groups according to the duration of the anti-cholesterol drug use. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). During the 893,009 person-years of follow-up from the 10-year follow-up survey, 8,775 participants (5,387 men and 3,388 women) were newly diagnosed with cancers. The duration of anti-cholesterol drug use was significantly associated with a decreased risk of liver cancer (HR:0.26, 95% CI 0.11-0.64 in > 5 y group) and with an increased risk of pancreatic cancer (HR:1.59, 95% CI 1.03-2.47 in > 5 y group). Moreover, a different trend was observed between men and women in the association with the risk of lung cancer. This study suggested that long-term use of anti-cholesterol drugs may have associations with a decreased incidence of liver cancer and with an increased incidence of pancreatic cancers.

Body mass index trajectories and mortality risk in Japan using a population-based prospective cohort study: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Recent studies have found that long-term changes in weight during adulthood are associated with a high risk of mortality. The objective of this study was to characterize body mass index (BMI) trajectories during adulthood and to examine the association between BMI trajectories and risk of death in the Japanese population.

METHODS

The data were extracted from Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study-a population-based prospective cohort study in Japan with participants aged 40-69 years followed over 20 years. The participants were categorized into multiple BMI trajectory groups using the latent class growth model. The Cox proportional-hazards model was conducted using all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality as outcomes and the identified BMI trajectory groups as a predictor. In total, 65 520 participants were included in the analysis.

RESULTS

Six BMI trajectory groups were identified: underweight stable (Group 1), low-to-high normal (Group 2), high-to-low normal (Group 3), normal to overweight (Group 4), overweight to normal (Group 5) and normal to obese (Group 6). Our Cox models showed a higher hazard (risk) of all-cause mortality among participants in the BMI-declining groups [Group 3, adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.10, 95% CI: 1.05-1.16; Group 5, aHR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.08-1.26], underweight stable group (Group 1, aHR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.21-1.33) and normal to obese group (Group 6, aHR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.13-1.33) than Group 2 (low-to-high normal BMI trajectory).

CONCLUSIONS

Stable underweight and weight loss were associated with a high risk of mortality, both of which were uniquely observed in a Japanese population.

The effect of age on the relationship between body mass index and risks of incident stroke subtypes: The JPHC study

OBJECTIVE

The associations between body mass index (BMI) and stroke subtypes, particularly intracerebral hemorrhage, have not been consistent. Such inconsistencies may be due to differences in the age at which BMI was obtained. We examined the possible age modifications in the association between BMI and stroke risk.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We followed 88,754 participants, aged 40-69 years at baseline (1990-1994), of the Japan Public Health Center-based prospective (JPHC) study for stroke incidence. BMI was obtained using self-reported body weight and height, which were categorized using the following cut-off points: 18.5, 21, 23, 25, 27.5, and 30 kg/m2. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models that updated BMI and covariates using 5- and 10-year questionnaire responses were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95 % confidence intervals. The analyses were stratified by age group (40-59 and ≥60 years) and the age of the individuals was updated.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 19 years, we documented 4,690 strokes, including 2,781 ischemic strokes and 1,358 intracerebral hemorrhages. After adjusting for sex, age, smoking, alcohol consumption, leisure-time physical activity, history of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes mellitus, we observed a positive linear association between BMI and ischemic stroke (linear trend, p < 0.001) in both age groups (interaction p>0.05). In contrast, a curvilinear association between BMI and intracerebral hemorrhage was observed in both the middle (curvilinear trend, p=0.017) and the older group (curvilinear trend, p=0.098) (interaction p>0.05).

CONCLUSION

BMI and stroke associations did not vary significantly with age, although the association may differ according to subtype.

Genetic architecture of alcohol consumption identified by a genotype-stratified GWAS and impact on esophageal cancer risk in Japanese people

An East Asian-specific variant on aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2 rs671, G>A) is the major genetic determinant of alcohol consumption. We performed an rs671 genotype-stratified genome-wide association study meta-analysis of alcohol consumption in 175,672 Japanese individuals to explore gene-gene interactions with rs671 behind drinking behavior. The analysis identified three genome-wide significant loci (GCKR, KLB, and ADH1B) in wild-type homozygotes and six (GCKR, ADH1B, ALDH1B1, ALDH1A1, ALDH2, and GOT2) in heterozygotes, with five showing genome-wide significant interaction with rs671. Genetic correlation analyses revealed ancestry-specific genetic architecture in heterozygotes. Of the discovered loci, four (GCKR, ADH1B, ALDH1A1, and ALDH2) were suggested to interact with rs671 in the risk of esophageal cancer, a representative alcohol-related disease. Our results identify the genotype-specific genetic architecture of alcohol consumption and reveal its potential impact on alcohol-related disease risk.

Differential patterns of reproductive and lifestyle risk factors for breast cancer according to birth cohorts among women in China, Japan and Korea

BACKGROUND

The birth cohort effect has been suggested to influence the rate of breast cancer incidence and the trends of associated reproductive and lifestyle factors. We conducted a cohort study to determine whether a differential pattern of associations exists between certain factors and breast cancer risk based on birth cohorts.

METHODS

This was a cohort study using pooled data from 12 cohort studies. We analysed associations between reproductive (menarche age, menopause age, parity and age at first delivery) and lifestyle (smoking and alcohol consumption) factors and breast cancer risk. We obtained hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the Cox proportional hazard regression analysis on the 1920s, 1930s, 1940s and 1950s birth cohorts.

RESULTS

Parity was found to lower the risk of breast cancer in the older but not in the younger birth cohort, whereas lifestyle factors showed associations with breast cancer risk only among the participants born in the 1950s. In the younger birth cohort group, the effect size was lower for parous women compared to the other cohort groups (HR [95% CI] 0.86 [0.66-1.13] compared to 0.60 [0.49-0.73], 0.46 [0.38-0.56] and 0.62 [0.51-0.77]). Meanwhile, a higher effect size was found for smoking (1.45 [1.14-1.84] compared to 1.25 [0.99-1.58], 1.06 [0.85-1.32] and 0.86 [0.69-1.08]) and alcohol consumption (1.22 [1.01-1.48] compared to 1.10 [0.90-1.33], 1.15 [0.96-1.38], and 1.07 [0.91-1.26]).

CONCLUSION

We observed different associations of parity, smoking and alcohol consumption with breast cancer risk across various birth cohorts.

Cigarette Smoking, Smoking Cessation, and Bladder Cancer Risk: A Pooled Analysis of 10 Cohort Studies in Japan

BACKGROUND

Although cigarette smoking is an established risk factor for bladder cancer, assessment of smoking impact on bladder cancer in Asian populations has been hindered by few cohort studies conducted in Asian populations. Therefore, we investigated the risk of bladder cancer associated with smoking status, cumulative smoking intensity, and smoking cessation in Japan.

METHODS

We analyzed data for 157,295 men and 183,202 women in 10 population-based cohort studies in Japan. The risk associated with smoking behaviors was estimated using Cox regression models within each study, and pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the incidence of bladder cancer were calculated.

RESULTS

During 4,729,073 person-years of follow-up, 936 men and 325 women developed bladder cancer. In men, former smokers (HR 1.47; 95% CI, 1.18-1.82) and current smokers (HR 1.96; 95% CI, 1.62-2.38) had higher risk than never smokers. In women, current smokers had higher risk than never smokers (HR 2.35; 95% CI, 1.67-3.32). HRs in men linearly increased with increasing pack-years. Risk decreased with increasing years of smoking cessation in men, with a significant dose-response trend. Former smokers with a duration of more than 10 years after smoking cessation had no significantly increased risk compared with never smokers (HR 1.26; 95% CI, 0.97-1.63).

CONCLUSION

Data from a pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies in Japan clearly show an association between cigarette smoking and bladder cancer risk. The risk of smokers may approximate that of never smokers following cessation for many years.

Reproductive Factors in the Risk of Bladder Cancer and Upper Urinary Tract Cancer: The Japan Public Health Center-Based Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Reproductive factors are hypothesized to play a role in the incidence of bladder cancer and upper urinary tract cancer (UUTC, together, urothelial cancer). However, evidence regarding these associations is limited, particularly in Asian populations.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 55,882 females ages 40 to 69 years, and performed Cox proportional hazards regression analyses with three types of adjustment, namely age; reproductive factor of interest and covariates in addition to age (conventional model); and other reproductive factors in addition to the multivariable adjusted model (reproductive model).

RESULTS

During an average of 20.2 years of follow-up, 194 urothelial cancer cases (145 bladder cancer cases and 49 UUTC cases) were identified. Early age at natural menopause (<44 years, compared with 49-51 years) increased bladder cancer risk in the reproductive model (HR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.04-4.20). An association between urothelial cancer/bladder cancer and age at menopause, including both natural and surgical/induced, was significant in the reproductive model (HR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.09-2.77; and HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.15-3.28, respectively). Early age at natural menopause was suggested to increase urothelial cancer risk in the reproductive model (HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 0.93-3.42).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest a significant association between age at menopause and incidence of urothelial cancer/bladder cancer among Asian populations. This study aids understanding the role of reproductive factors in urothelial cancer/bladder cancer incidence.

IMPACT

In Japanese populations, age at menopause is suggested to be associated with urothelial cancer/bladder cancer incidence, especially regarding early natural menopause.

Body mass index, weight change in midlife, and dementia incidence: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

INTRODUCTION

Insufficient evidence exists on the sex-specific associations of body mass index (BMI) and weight change through midlife with dementia incidence, especially in Asian populations.

METHODS

For 37,414 Japanese residents aged 40 to 59 years, BMIs at baseline (year 1990 or 1993) and 10-year follow-ups were obtained. Weight changes between baseline and 10-year follow-ups were determined. Disabling dementia incidence from 2006 to 2016 was ascertained using long-term care insurance (LTCI) certifications. Hazard ratios (HRs) were computed.

RESULTS

Increased dementia risk was observed with obesity at baseline and with underweight at 10-year follow-ups. Weight loss after baseline was at greater risk than weight gain. No sex difference was observed.

DISCUSSION

In both sexes, obesity in midlife increased the risk of developing dementia with increasing impacts of weight loss after midlife. A healthy body weight throughout adulthood is beneficial for dementia prevention.

Highlights

Obesity in midlife is a risk factor for incident dementia.Weight loss is a bigger risk factor than weight gain in later midlife.Association of BMI and weight change in midlife with dementia does not vary by sex.

Validity and reproducibility of the intake of trans-fatty acids estimated using a FFQ and characteristics of trans-fatty acid intake of the Japanese population: the JPHC FFQ Validation Study

We aimed to validate a method for assessing trans-fatty acid (TFA) intake in the Japanese population using the FFQ developed in the 1990s from a prospective study that was based on the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Cohort Study. For FFQ validation, we included 565 participants (Cohort I: n 215, Cohort II: n 350) aged 40-69 years. We used a 28-d dietary record (DR) over 1 year and two FFQ administered before and after DR assessment. We calculated total TFA intake, TFA from industrial oils (i-TFA) and TFA from ruminants (r-TFA) considering a database of measurements obtained mainly from Japan. Spearman's rank correlation coefficients (CC) were computed for validity and reproducibility. Energy adjustments were applied using two methods considering the TFA measurement: density method for TFA % of total energy and residual method for TFA g/d. The total TFA intake (% of the total energy intake) was 0·08-0·76 % (median, 0·27-0·37 %) in DR of both cohorts and was 0·00-1·13 % (median, 0·30-0·40 %) in FFQ. The i-TFA accounted for approximately 50 % of the total TFA intake in DR and approximately 40 % in FFQ. For total TFA (% of the total energy intake), CC were 0·54-0·69, and weighted κ coefficients were 0·88-0·92 for both cohorts. The de-attenuated CC was 0·46-0·62 for i-TFA (g/d) and 0·57-0·68 for r-TFA (g/d). Our study showed that the validity and reproducibility of TFA intake estimation using the FFQ were reasonable, suggesting its suitability among the Japanese population with low-TFA intake.

Hobby Engagement and Risk of Disabling Dementia

BACKGROUND

The association between hobby engagement and risk of dementia reported from a short-term follow-up study for individuals aged ≥65 years may be susceptible to reverse causation. We examined the association between hobby engagement in age of 40-69 years and risk of dementia in a long-term follow-up study among Japanese, including individuals in mid-life, when the majority of individuals have normal cognitive function.

METHODS

A total of 22,377 individuals aged 40-69 years completed a self-administered questionnaire in 1993-1994. The participants answered whether they had hobbies according to the three following responses: having no hobbies, having a hobby, and having many hobbies. Follow-up for incident disabling dementia was conducted with long-term care insurance data from 2006 to 2016.

RESULTS

During a median of 11.0 years of follow-up, 3,095 participants developed disabling dementia. Adjusting for the demographic, behavioral, and psychosocial factors, the multivariable hazard ratios of incident disabling dementia compared with "having no hobbies" were 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-0.89) for "having a hobby" and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.67-0.91) for "having many hobbies". The inverse association was similarly observed in both middle (40-64 years) and older ages (65-69 years). For disabling dementia subtypes, hobby engagement was inversely associated with the risk of dementia without a history of stroke (probably non-vascular type dementia), but not with that of post-stroke dementia (probably vascular type dementia).

CONCLUSION

Hobby engagement in both mid-life and late life was associated with a lower risk of disabling dementia without a history of stroke.

Reproductive Factors and Endometrial Cancer Risk Among Women

Importance

Despite evidence of an association between reproductive factors and endometrial cancer risk, prospective studies have been conducted mainly in non-Asian countries.

Objective

To assess the association between reproductive factors, such as number of deliveries, age at menarche, or menopause, and endometrial cancer risk.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study used pooled individual data from 13 prospective cohort studies conducted between 1963 and 2014 in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Participants were Asian women. Data analysis was conducted from September 2019 to April 2023.

Exposures

Reproductive factors were assessed using a questionnaire in each cohort.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was time to incidence of endometrial cancer. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

Results

A total of 1005 endometrial cancer cases were detected among 332 625 women (mean [SD] age, 54.3 [10.4] years) during a mean (SD) of 16.5 (6.4) years of follow-up. Increasing number of deliveries was associated with a decreased endometrial cancer risk in a dose-response manner (≥5 deliveries vs nulliparous [reference]: HR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.26-0.53; P for trend < .001). Compared with menarche at younger than 13 years, menarche at 17 years or older had an HR of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.48-0.86; P for trend < .001). Late menopause (age ≥55 years) showed an HR of 2.84 (95% CI, 1.78-4.55; P for trend < .001) compared with the youngest age category for menopause (<45 years). Age at first delivery, hormone therapy, and breastfeeding were not associated with endometrial cancer risk.

Conclusions and Relevance

This large pooled study of individual participant data found that late menarche, early menopause, and a higher number of deliveries were significantly associated with a lower risk of endometrial cancer. These convincing results from Asian prospective studies add to the growing body of evidence for the association between reproductive factors and endometrial cancer.

Impact of Cardiovascular Disease on the Death Certificate Diagnosis of Heart Failure, Ischemic Heart Disease, and Cerebrovascular Disease - The Japan Public Health Center-Based Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

There is considerable interest in the trending discrepancy between ischemic heart disease (IHD) and heart failure (HF) in vital statistics. Clinically, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke are closely associated with HF, but their contribution to HF as the underlying cause of death (UCD) is unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 1990 and 1992-1993, we enrolled a total of 140,420 residents of Japanese nationality (aged 40-69 years) from 11 public health center areas. We prospectively examined the occurrence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), including AMI, sudden cardiac death within 1 h (SCD), and stroke, and analyzed the 14,375 participants without a history of CVD at baseline who died during the 20-year follow-up. A time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios and the population attributable fraction (PAF) of AMI, AMI+SCD, stroke, and CVD for deaths due to HF, IHD, and cerebrovascular disease as the UCD, adjusted for individuals' lifestyles and comorbid conditions. The PAF of AMI for HF deaths was 2.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.7-2.9%), which increased to 12.0% (95% CI 11.6-12.2%) for AMI+SCD. The PAF of CVD-attributed HF deaths was estimated to be 17.6% (95% CI 15.9-18.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

HF as the UCD was partly explained by CVD. The data imply that most HF deaths reported in vital statistics may be associated with underlying causes other than CVD.

Smoking and risk of colorectal cancer according to KRAS and BRAF mutation status in a Japanese prospective Study

Although smoking is a major modifiable risk factor for many types of cancer, evidence for colorectal cancer is equivocal in Asian populations. Recent Western studies have proposed that the association between smoking and colorectal cancer is restricted to specific tumor molecular subtypes. However, no studies have evaluated the association according to tumor molecular subtypes in Asian populations. In a Japanese prospective population-based cohort study of 18 773 participants, we collected tumor tissues from incident colorectal cancer cases and evaluated KRAS (Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog) and BRAF (v-raf murine sarcoma viral oncogene homolog B) mutation status using target sequencing. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations of smoking with the risk of overall colorectal cancer and its subtypes defined by KRAS and BRAF mutation status. Among 339 cases, KRAS and BRAF mutations were identified in 164 (48.4%) and 16 (4.7%) cases, respectively. The multivariable-adjusted HR for ever smoking compared with never smoking was 1.24 [95% CI: 0.93-1.66], 1.75 [1.14-2.68], 0.87 [0.59-1.29], 1.24 [0.93-1.67] and 1.22 [0.38-3.93] for overall, KRAS wild-type, KRAS-mutated, BRAF wild-type and BRAF-mutated colorectal cancer, respectively. The statistically significant heterogeneity was indicated between KRAS mutation status (Pheterogeneity = 0.01) but not between BRAF mutation status. This study is the first to demonstrate that smokers have an approximately 2-fold higher risk of KRAS wild-type colorectal cancer than never smokers in an Asian population. Our findings support that smoking is a risk factor for colorectal cancer, especially for its subtype without KRAS mutations, in Asian populations.

Association of breakfast styles such as Japanese, Western, and cereals with sleeping habits, eating habits, and lifestyle in preschool and elementary school children

Introduction

In Japan, breakfast styles are categorized into five groups; Japanese breakfast (JB; rice and miso soup), Western breakfast (WB; bread and milk), Japanese-Western breakfast (J-WB; alternative daily serving), cereal breakfast (CB), and breakfast skipping. In our recent studies, breakfast style was highly associated with the daily sleep-wake phase (chronotype), and healthy eating habits. In contrast with other breakfast style consumers, JB-consumers were positively associated with the morning chronotype and healthy eating habits such as a high consumption of a variety of protein sources, vegetables, and dietary fibers, and low consumption of sweetened juices. These previous studies included only adult participants; hence, in the current study, we investigated whether similar observations can be made in children.

Methods

Preschool (aged 3-5 years) and elementary school children (6-8 years) (N = 6,104, 49.87% boys, 50.13% girls, mean body mass index 15.39 ± 0.03 kg/m² for preschoolers and percentage of overweight -2.73 ± 0.22 for elementary school children) participated in this cross-sectional online survey on lifestyle, including eating and sleep habits, through their mother's responses.

Results

The results showed that the morning-evening type index values (chronotype indicator, smaller indicates morning type) were negatively correlated with JB intake (-0.05, p < 0.01) and positively correlated with WB (0.03, p < 0.05) and CB intake (0.06, p < 0.01), suggesting that the JB group exhibited the morning chronotype and the WB and CB groups exhibited the evening chronotype. The JB group consumed a variety of protein sources (mean ± SE; days/week) with more frequency (fish 2.95 ± 0.038 p < 0.001, soy 3.55 ± 0.043 p < 0.001, egg 3.82 ± 0.044 p < 0.001) compared with the WB group (fish 2.58 ± 0.033, soy 3.00 ± 0.038, egg 3.49 ± 0.039). On the other hand, the JB group consumed snacks (5.48 ± 0.042 p < 0.001) and sweetened juice (2.50 ± 0.050 p < 0.001) less frequently than the WB group (snacks; 5.80 ± 0.037 and sweetened juice; 2.74 ± 0.049).

Discussion

JB-eating children with a morning chronotype exhibited better sleep and eating habits than WB-eating children with an evening type pattern. The results suggest that JB eating habits may be associated with good eating and sleeping lifestyles, even among preschool and elementary school children.

Bowel movement frequency, stool consistency, and risk of disabling dementia: a population-based cohort study in Japan

OBJECTIVES

This population-based study aimed to evaluate the association between bowel habits from midlife and dementia.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a cohort study using certification records for national long-term care insurance in Japan.

METHODS

Participants aged 50 to 79 years who reported bowel habits from eight districts within the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC Study) were followed from 2006 to 2016 for incident dementia. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated for men and women separately using Cox proportional hazards models accounting for various lifestyle factors and medical histories.

RESULTS

Among 19,396 men and 22,859 women, 1889 men and 2685 women were diagnosed with dementia. In men, the multivariable-adjusted HRs compared with bowel movement frequency (BMF) of once/day were 1.00 (95% CI: 0.87-1.14) for twice/day or more, 1.38 (1.16-1.65) for 5-6 times/week, 1.46 (1.18-1.80) for 3-4 times/week, and 1.79 (1.34-2.39) for <3 times/week (P for trend <0.001). In women, the corresponding HRs were 1.14 (0.998-1.31), 1.03 (0.91-1.17), 1.16 (1.01-1.33), and 1.29 (1.08-1.55) (P for trend = 0.043). Harder stool was associated with higher risk (P for trend: 0.0030 for men and 0.024 for women), with adjusted HRs compared to normal stool of 1.30 (1.08-1.57) for hard stool and 2.18 (1.23-3.85) for very hard stool in men, and 1.15 (1.002-1.32) and 1.84 (1.29-2.63) in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower BMF and harder stool were each associated with higher risk of dementia.

Lack of significant associations between single nucleotide polymorphisms in LPAL2-LPA genetic region and all cancer incidence and mortality in Japanese population: The Japan public health center-based prospective study

BACKGROUND

High lipoprotein (a) level is an established cardiovascular risk, but its association with non-cardiovascular diseases, especially cancer, is controversial. Serum lipoprotein (a) levels vary widely by genetic backgrounds and are largely determined by the genetic variations of apolipoprotein (a) gene, LPA. In this study, we investigate the association between SNPs in LPA region and cancer incidence and mortality in Japanese.

METHODS

A genetic cohort study was conducted utilizing the data from 9923 participants in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC Study). Twenty-five SNPs in the LPAL2-LPA region were selected from the genome-wide genotyped data. Cox regression analysis adjusted for the covariates and competing risks of death from other causes, were used to estimate the relative risk (hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI)) of overall and site-specific cancer incidence and mortality, for each SNP.

RESULTS

No significant association was found between SNPs in the LPAL2-LPA region and cancer incidence or mortality (overall/site-specific cancer). In men, however, HRs for stomach cancer incidence of 18SNPs were estimated higher than 1.5 (e.g., 2.15 for rs13202636, model free, 95%CI: 1.28-3.62) and those for stomach cancer mortality of 2SNPs (rs9365171, rs1367211) were estimated 2.13 (recessive, 95%CI:1.04-4.37) and 1.61 (additive, 95%CI: 1.00-2.59). Additionally, the minor allele for SNP rs3798220 showed increased death risk from colorectal cancer (CRC) in men (HR: 3.29, 95% CI:1.59 - 6.81) and decreased CRC incidence risk in women (HR: 0.46, 95%CI: 0.22-0.94). Minor allele carrier of any of 4SNPs could have risk of prostate cancer incidence (e.g., rs9365171 dominant, HR: 1.71, 95%CI: 1.06-2.77).

CONCLUSIONS

None of the 25 SNPs in the LPAL2-LPA region was found to be significantly associated with cancer incidence or mortality. Considering the possible association between SNPs in LPAL2-LPA region and colorectal, prostate and stomach cancer incidence or mortality, further analysis using different cohorts is warranted.

Dietary diversity and risk of late-life disabling dementia in middle-aged and older adults

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A balanced diet integrating several foods and nutrients may promote the maintenance of brain function. Previous studies have substantiated the above hypothesis in the regional population in Japan. This study aimed to investigate the potential effect of dietary diversity on the risk of disabling dementia in a nationwide large-scale cohort of the Japanese population.

METHODS

A total of 38,797 participants (17,708 men and 21,089 women) aged 45-74 years were followed up for a median of 11.0 years. The daily frequencies of the consumption of each of the 133 food and beverage items listed on a food frequency questionnaire (excluding five alcoholic beverages) were measured. The dietary diversity score was calculated as the number of food items consumed per day. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the dietary diversity score quintile groups.

RESULTS

We documented 4302 participants with disabling dementia (11.1%) during the follow-up period. Among women, the dietary diversity score was inversely associated with disabling dementia (highest quintile HR [with the lowest quintile as the reference]: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.56-0.78; Q1-Q5 p for trend <0.001), but this was not true among men (highest quintile HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.87-1.29; Q1-Q5 p for trend = 0.415). These results did not change substantially when using disabling dementia with stroke as the outcome; the association remained significant among women but was absent among men.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that eating a variety of foods may prevent disabling dementia only among women. Thus, the habit of consuming a variety of food items has important public health implications for women.

Associations between dairy intake and mortality due to all-cause and cardiovascular disease: the Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study

BACKGROUND

Some studies have investigated the relation between dairy products and mortality, but with inconsistent results.

OBJECTIVE

We examined the association between the consumption of dairy products and the risk of all-cause, cancer-related, and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality.

METHODS

From the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective (JPHC) study, 43,117 males and 50,193 females with no history of cancer or CVD finished the food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) and were included in the study. Intake of dairy products was assessed using the FFQ and adjusted for total energy by using the residual method. We used multivariate Cox proportional hazard models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for mortality risk in males and females.

RESULTS

14,211 deaths in males and 9547 deaths in females from all causes were identified during an average follow-up of 19.3 years. For males, total dairy consumption was nonlinearly and significantly associated with lower risk of mortality from all causes [the third quartile, HR = 0.87 (0.83, 0.91), the fourth quartile, HR = 0.89 (0.85, 0.94), P for nonlinearity < 0.001] and CVD [the third quartile, HR = 0.77 (0.70, 0.85), the fourth quartile, HR = 0.78 (0.70, 0.86), P for nonlinearity < 0.001]. Milk and fermented milk intake were inversely associated with all-cause and CVD-related mortality in males. Cheese consumption was inversely associated with CVD-related mortality among males. There was no association between total dairy intake and mortality risk among females.

CONCLUSION

For Japanese people, consumption of dairy products was associated with a decreased risk of mortality from all-cause and cardiovascular diseases among males.

Soy Consumption and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes and Cardiovascular Diseases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Soy is rich in plant protein, isoflavones, and polyunsaturated fatty acids. To clarify the associations between soy intake and type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) events, we performed a meta-analysis and review. A total of 1963 studies met the inclusion criteria, and 29 articles with 16,521 T2D and 54,213 CVDs events were identified by the eligibility criteria. During a follow-up of 2.5–24 years, the risk of T2D, CVDs, coronary heart disease, and stroke in participants with the highest soy consumption decreased by 17% (total relative risk (TRR) = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.74–0.93), 13% (TRR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.81–0.94), 21% (TRR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.71–0.88), and 12% (TRR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.79–0.99), respectively, compared to the lowest sot consumption. A daily intake of 26.7 g of tofu reduced CVDs risk by 18% (TRR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.74–0.92) and 11.1 g of natto lowered the risk of CVDs by 17% (TRR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.78–0.89), especially stroke. This meta-analysis demonstrated that soy consumption was negatively associated with the risks of T2D and CVDs and a specific quantity of soy products was the most beneficial for the prevention of T2D and CVDs. This study has been registered on PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42022360504).

Acrylamide and Glycidamide Hemoglobin Adduct Levels and Breast Cancer Risk in Japanese Women: A Nested Case-Control Study in the JPHC

BACKGROUND

Acrylamide (AA) is classified as "probably carcinogenic to humans (class 2A)" by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. AA causes cancer owing to its mutagenic and genotoxic metabolite, glycidamide (GA), and its effects on sex hormones. Both AA and GA can interact with hemoglobin to hemoglobin adducts (HbAA and HbGA, respectively), which are considered appropriate biomarkers of internal exposure of AA. However, few epidemiologic studies reported an association of HbAA and HbGA with breast cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study within the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study cohort (125 cases and 250 controls). Cases and controls were categorized into tertiles (lowest, middle, and highest) using the distribution of HbAA or HbGA levels in the control group and estimated ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using conditional logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

No association was observed between HbAA (ORHighestvs.Lowest, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.69-2.59), HbGA (ORHighest vs. Lowest, 1.46; 95% CI, 0.79-2.69), their sum HbAA+HbGA (ORHighest vs. Lowest, 1.36; 95% CI, 0.72-2.58) and breast cancer; however, some evidence of positive association was observed between their ratio, HbGA/HbAA, and breast cancer (ORHighest vs. Lowest, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.11-4.31).

CONCLUSIONS

There was no association between biomarkers of AA and breast cancer.

IMPACT

It is unlikely that AA increases breast cancer risk; however, the association of AA with breast cancer may need to be evaluated, with a focus not only on the absolute amount of HbAA or HbGA but also on HbGA/HbAA and the activity of metabolic genes.

Exploratory Research on Determinants of Place of Death in a Large-scale Cohort Study: The JPHC Study

BACKGROUND

The place of death and related factor, such as diseases, symptoms, family burden, and cost, has been examined, but social background and lifestyle were not considered in most studies. Here, we assessed factors that are associated with the place of death using the largest cohort study in Japan.

METHODS

A total of 17,781 deaths from the cohort study were assessed. The study database was created from the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC Study), in which demographic data were collected from Japanese Vital Statistics. Adjusted odds ratios for home death were calculated using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis adjusted for various factors showed that unmarried status (odds ratio [OR] 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0-2.9), unemployed male (OR 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5), and high drinking level in male (OR 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.6) were associated with home death. Regarding the cause of death, cardiovascular disease (OR 3.3; 95% CI, 2.9-3.8), cerebrovascular disease (OR 1.9; 95% CI, 1.6-2.2), and external factors (OR 4.1; 95% CI, 3.5-4.8) were significantly associated with home death, compared with cancer. The risk of death at home was significantly higher among unmarried subjects stratified by cause of death (cardiovascular disease: OR 3.2; 95% CI, 2.2-4.7; cerebrovascular disease: OR :5.1; 95% CI, 2.9-9.1; respiratory disease: OR 3.4; 95% CI, 1.6-7.6; and external factors: OR 2.3; 95% CI, 1.4-3.7), but for cancer, the risk of death at home tended to be higher among married participants.

CONCLUSION

This study found that various factors are associated with home death using the largest cohort study in Japan. There is a high possibility of home deaths in people with fewer social connections and in those with diseases leading to sudden death.

Association of body mass index and weight change with pneumonia mortality in a Japanese population: Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Accumulating evidence suggests that pneumonia mortality is lower for individuals with high body mass index (BMI) compared to normal BMI, but it remains unclear whether weight change during adulthood influences subsequent mortality due to pneumonia in Asian populations, who have a relatively lean body mass. This study aimed to examine the association of BMI and weight change over 5 years with the subsequent risk of pneumonia mortality in a Japanese population.

METHODS

The present analysis included 79,564 Japan Public Health Center (JPHC)-based Prospective Study participants who completed a questionnaire between 1995 and 1998 were followed for death through 2016. BMI was categorized into four groups: underweight (<18.5 kg/m²), normal weight (BMI: 18.5-24.9 kg/m²), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m²), and obese (BMI: ≥30.0 kg/m²). Weight change was defined as the difference of body weight between questionnaire surveys with a 5-year interval. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios of baseline BMI and weight change for pneumonia mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 18.9 y, we identified 994 deaths from pneumonia. Compared with participants with normal weight, an elevated risk was observed among those who were underweight (hazard ratio = 2.29, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.83-2.87), whereas a decreased risk was found among those who were overweight (hazard ratio = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.53-0.75). Regarding weight change, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) of pneumonia mortality for a weight loss of 5 kg or more versus a weight change of less than 2.5 kg was 1.75 (1.46-2.10), whereas that for a weight gain of 5 kg or more was 1.59 (1.27-2.00).

CONCLUSION

Underweight and greater weight change was associated with an increase in the risk of pneumonia mortality in Japanese adults.

Vitamin D intake and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Japanese men and women: the Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study

While higher circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations have been reported to be associated with decreased risk of all-cause mortality, evidence on dietary vitamin D intake is limited and inconsistent. We investigated whether vitamin D intake is associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among Japanese adults. Participants were 42,992 men and 50,693 women who responded to the second survey of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (1995-1998) and who were followed up for mortality through 2018. Dietary intake was ascertained using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios of deaths from the second survey to December 2018 were estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. During follow-up, we identified 22,630 deaths. Overall, the third and fourth quintiles, but not the highest quintile, of vitamin D intake were each associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality. In subgroups characterized by low sunlight exposure, risk of all-cause mortality decreased linearly with increasing vitamin D intake. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause mortality for the highest versus lowest quintile of vitamin D intake were 0.87 (0.79-0.95) in women and 0.88 (0.79-0.97) in residents of higher latitude areas. Lower risk was also observed for all-cause mortality in participants with hypertension and for heart disease mortality in those with higher calcium intake. Higher vitamin D intake was associated with decreased risk of ischemic stroke and pneumonia mortality. Higher dietary vitamin D was associated with a lower risk of mortality among individuals with low sunlight exposure or hypertension. Individuals with potentially low vitamin D may benefit from increasing dietary vitamin D intake for the prevention of premature death.

Alcohol consumption from midlife and risk of disabling dementia in a large population-based cohort study in Japan

OBJECTIVES

The association between alcohol consumption and dementia in Japanese is poorly understood, and use of single-point alcohol assessment may cause measurement error. We explored this association in Japanese using repeated alcohol assessments.

METHODS

Participants in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC Study) since 1990 and who were alive in 2006 were followed from 2006 until 2016 for dementia ascertainment. Disabling dementia was identified through long-term care insurance records. Alcohol consumption was assessed at the 5-year questionnaire survey (1995-1999) and drinking patterns were assessed on repeated follow-up (2000-2003). We performed Cox proportional hazards models with age as the time-scale with adjustment for various lifestyle factors and medical history using light consumption (<75 g ethanol/week, hereinafter "g") as reference. Analysis considering death as a competing risk was also conducted.

RESULTS

Among 42,870 participants aged 54-84 years, 4802 cases of disabling dementia were newly diagnosed. Average years from alcohol assessment until dementia incidence was 14.9 years. Non-drinkers and regular drinkers with ≥450 g at 5 years had adjusted HRs (95% CI) of 1.29 (1.12-1.47) and 1.34 (1.12-1.60). Patterns of long-term abstinence, former drinking, and regular heavy weekly consumption of ≥450 g showed increased adjusted HRs of 1.61 (1.28-2.03), 2.54 (1.93-3.35), and 1.96 (1.49-2.59), respectively. Competing risk analysis yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese, non-drinking and regular weekly consumption of ≥450 g from midlife were associated with high risk of disabling dementia compared with light drinking.

Sugar intake and colorectal cancer risk: A prospective Japanese cohort study

The influence of sugar consumption on the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) remains controversial. Prospective cohort studies focusing on total and specific types of sugar intake among the Asian population who have different patterns of sugar intake sources than American and European populations are scarce. We intended to examine the association of sugar intake with CRC risk among middle-aged adults in a Japanese large-scale population-based cohort study. The participants (42,405 men and 48,600 women) who were 45-74 years old and answered the questionnaire in 1995-1999 in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study were followed up until December 2013. Total sugars, total fructose, and specific types of sugar intake were estimated using a validated 147-item food frequency questionnaire and divided into quintiles (Q1-Q5). We used Cox proportional hazard regression models adjusted for potential confounders to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). During the follow-up, 2118 CRC cases (1226 men and 892 women) were identified. We did not observe any clear association between all types of sugar intake and an increased risk of CRC. Analyses by tumor sites yielded a positive association of total sugar consumption with rectal cancer in women (1.75 [1.07-2.87] for Q1 vs. Q5; p _{linear trend}  = 0.03), but no statistically significant trend was detected among men. Sugar intake was not associated with CRC risk in middle-aged Japanese adults. However, for rectal cancer, the probability of an increased risk among women with a higher total sugar intake cannot be excluded.

Prevalence of family history of cancer in the NC-CCAPH consortium of Japan

The objective of this study was to identify the prevalence of family history of cancer using cohorts participating in the Japanese National Center Cohort Collaborative for Advancing Population Health (NC-CCAPH). We pooled data from seven eligible cohorts of the Collaborative with available data on family history of cancer. Prevalence of family history of cancer and corresponding 95% confidence intervals are presented for all cancers and selected site-specific cancers for the total population and stratified by sex, age, and birth cohort. Prevalence of family history of cancer increased with age ranging from 10.51% in the 15 to 39 year age category to 47.11% in 70-year-olds. Overall prevalence increased in birth cohorts from ≤ 1929 until 1960 and decreased for the next two decades. Gastric cancer (11.97%) was the most common site recorded for family members, followed by colorectal and lung (5.75%), prostate (4.37%), breast (3.43%) and liver (3.05%) cancer. Women consistently had a higher prevalence of family history of cancer (34.32%) versus men (28.75%). Almost one in three participants had a family history of cancer in this Japanese consortium study highlighting the importance of early and targeted cancer screening services.

Utility of atherosclerosis-associated serum antibodies against colony-stimulating factor 2 in predicting the onset of acute ischemic stroke and prognosis of colorectal cancer

Introduction

Autoantibodies against inflammatory cytokines may be used for the prevention of atherosclerosis. Preclinical studies consider colony-stimulating factor 2 (CSF2) as an essential cytokine with a causal relationship to atherosclerosis and cancer. We examined the serum anti-CSF2 antibody levels in patients with atherosclerosis or solid cancer.

Methods

We measured the serum anti-CSF2 antibody levels via amplified luminescent proximity homogeneous assay-linked immunosorbent assay based on the recognition of recombinant glutathione S-transferase-fused CSF2 protein or a CSF2-derived peptide as the antigen.

Results

The serum anti-CSF2 antibody (s-CSF2-Ab) levels were significantly higher in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), diabetes mellitus (DM), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared with healthy donors (HDs). In addition, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were associated with intima-media thickness and hypertension. The analyzes of samples obtained from a Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study suggested the utility of s-CSF2-Ab as a risk factor for AIS. Furthermore, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were higher in patients with esophageal, colorectal, gastric, and lung cancer than in HDs but not in those with mammary cancer. In addition, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were associated with unfavorable postoperative prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). In CRC, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were more closely associated with poor prognosis in patients with p53-Ab-negative CRC despite the lack of significant association of the anti-p53 antibody (p53-Ab) levels with the overall survival.

Conclusion

S-CSF2-Ab was useful for the diagnosis of atherosclerosis-related AIS, AMI, DM, and CKD and could discriminate poor prognosis, especially in p53-Ab-negative CRC.

Effectiveness of Screening Using Fecal Occult Blood Testing and Colonoscopy on the Risk of Colorectal Cancer: The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Few cohort studies have used multiple surveys of screening attendance to simultaneously evaluate the effectiveness of fecal occult blood test (FOBT) and colonoscopy.

METHODS

We analyzed data of 30,381 middle-aged Japanese adults from a population-based prospective cohort study. Information on FOBT and colonoscopy was obtained from three questionnaire surveys (every 5 years). We classified the subjects into three groups: the FOBT (15,649 subjects), screening colonoscopy (2,407 subjects), and unscreened (12,325 subjects) groups. We used the unscreened group as the reference group to compare the mortality and incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC).

RESULTS

During the 14-year follow-up, 64, 12, and 104 CRC deaths were identified in the FOBT, screening colonoscopy, and unscreened groups, respectively. The risk of CRC death reduced with increasing the number of FOBTs (P for trend = 0.02) and was reduced by 44% in the subjects screened twice or thrice using FOBT (hazard ratio [HR] 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33-0.94). Significant decreases were seen for the incidence of CRC but not seen for the incidence of non-advanced CRC in the FOBT group. Concerning the screening colonoscopy, subjects screened at the start of follow-up showed a 69% reduced risk of CRC death (HR 0.31; 95% CI, 0.10-0.9996). Significant decreases were also seen for the incidence of CRC and non-advanced CRC in the subjects screened at the start of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

FOBT, depending on the number of FOBTs, and colonoscopy, depending on recency, reduced the risk of death due to CRC and the incidence of CRC.

Development and validation of genome-wide polygenic risk scores for predicting breast cancer incidence in Japanese females: a population-based case-cohort study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop an ancestry-specific polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for the prediction of breast cancer events in Japanese females and validate it in a longitudinal cohort study.

METHODS

Using publicly available summary statistics of female breast cancer genome-wide association study (GWAS) of Japanese and European ancestries, we, respectively, developed 31 candidate genome-wide PRSs using pruning and thresholding (P + T) and LDpred methods with varying parameters. Among the candidate PRS models, the best model was selected using a case-cohort dataset (63 breast cancer cases and 2213 sub-cohorts of Japanese females during a median follow-up of 11.9 years) according to the maximal predictive ability by Harrell's C-statistics. The best-performing PRS for each derivation GWAS was evaluated in another independent case-cohort dataset (260 breast cancer cases and 7845 sub-cohorts of Japanese females during a median follow-up of 16.9 years).

RESULTS

For the best PRS model involving 46,861 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs; P + T method with P_T = 0.05 and R² = 0.2) derived from Japanese-ancestry GWAS, the Harrell's C-statistic was 0.598 ± 0.018 in the evaluation dataset. The age-adjusted hazard ratio for breast cancer in females with the highest PRS quintile compared with those in the lowest PRS quintile was 2.47 (95% confidence intervals, 1.64-3.70). The PRS constructed using Japanese-ancestry GWAS demonstrated better predictive performance for breast cancer in Japanese females than that using European-ancestry GWAS (Harrell's C-statistics 0.598 versus 0.586).

CONCLUSION

This study developed a breast cancer PRS for Japanese females and demonstrated the usefulness of the PRS for breast cancer risk stratification.