Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and risk of a first episode of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: a cohort study

Immune modulation: the key to combat SARS-CoV-2 induced myocardial injury

The outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which caused the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, has posed significant healthcare challenges. In addition to respiratory complications, it has led to severe damage in other organs, particularly the cardiovascular system. Of which, myocardial injury is increasingly recognized as a most significant complication, contributing to the high mortality. Recent research indicates the pivotal role of immune dysregulation in mediating myocardial injury in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2. In this review, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the immune mechanisms involved in SARS-CoV-2-induced myocardial damage, focusing on the roles of key immune cells and molecules that contribute to this pathological process. Aiming at mitigating the myocardial injury of COVID-19, we review immune-based treatments under evaluation in preclinical and clinical trials. Along with talking about the similarities and differences in myocardial injury resulting from SARS-CoV-2, the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV). This article provides a unique perspective on using past experiences to prevent myocardial injury in the face of ongoing virus mutations.

Routinely available inflammation biomarkers to predict stroke and mortality in atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to assess the predictive value of 7 routinely available inflammation biomarkers for stroke and all-cause mortality in 229 non-valvular AF patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

C-reactive protein, Albumin (ALB), d-dimer, fibrinogen, the number of platelets, lymphocytes, monocyte and neutrophils were measured. The Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the predictive value of the inflammation biomarkers for stroke and all-cause mortality, the c-statistic, Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI), and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) were calculated. Lymphocyte Monocyte Ratio (LMR) was the most informative biomarker for predicting stroke, and adding LMR to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not improve its predictive ability for stroke, but it did improve its reclassification ability. Similar results were observed when comparing LMR+ CHA2DS2-VASc score with the ABC stroke score. For all-cause mortality, a Systemic Inflammation Score (SIS) score was calculated using ALB, fibrinogen and LMR, and adding SIS to the CHA2DS2-VASc score showed a significant improvement in its predictive ability and reclassification ability. There were no significant differences in predictive and reclassification ability for all-cause mortality between SIS+CHA2DS2-VASc score and ABC death score.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding routinely available inflammatory biomarkers to the CHA2DS2-VASc score increased its ability to predict all-cause mortality, suggesting this cost-effective biomarker strategy may help to improve decision support in AF.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and short-term mortality risk in elderly acute medical patients admitted to a University Hospital Emergency Department

Early identification of patients with a poorer prognosis in the Emergency Department (ED) is crucial for prompt treatment and resource allocation. We investigated the relationship between the Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and 30-day mortality in elderly acute medical patients. Prospective single-center cohort study including consecutive patients admitted to the ED. Inclusion criteria were age > 65 years and medical condition as the cause of ED access. Exclusion criteria were patients admitted for traumatic injuries or non-traumatic surgical diseases. ROC analysis was used to set the best cut-off of the NLR for mortality. 953 patients were included and 142 (14.9%) died during follow-up. ROC analysis showed a good predictive value of the NLR with an AUC 0.70, 95%CI 0.67-0.73 (p < 0.001) and identified a NLR > 8 as the best cut-off. Patients with NLR > 8 had a more serious triage code (72.6% had a triage code ≤ 2) and an increased heart rate and body temperature. They more often presented with dyspnea, abdominal pain, falls and vomiting. They also were characterized by an increase in urea, creatinine, white blood cells, neutrophils, fibrinogen, D-dimer, glycemia, CRP, LDH and transaminases and by a decrease in eGFR, of lymphocytes and monocytes. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the NLR remained associated with mortality after adjustment for confounders (Odds ratio 2.563, 95%CI 1.595-4.118, p < 0.001). Patients with NLR > 8 showed a higher mortality rate. NLR is an easy and inexpensive tool that may be used for risk stratification in the ED. The results of this study need to be validated in larger external cohorts.

Left atrial appendage velocity, association with inflammatory indices in non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients

INTRODUCTION

Decreased left atrial appendage emptying velocity (LAAV) is a marker for thrombus formation. This study evaluates the association between LAAV and inflammatory indices in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) patients.

METHODS

The study population was 1428 patients with AF, 875 of whom enrolled. Based on the LAAV, patients were divided into three groups of 262 patients with a velocity of <25 cm/s, 360 patients with a velocity of 25 to 55 cm/s, and 253 patients with a velocity of >55 cm/s to assess and compare in terms of inflammatory indices, including the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune inflammation index, neutrophil - to - platelet ratio and white blood cell-to-platelet ratio (WPR).

RESULTS

There was no statistical difference in the level of inflammatory indices between the three groups, and none of them were related to LAAV (p > .05) except WPR with a weak negative correlation (p = 0.01, r = -0.10). Patients with lower LAAV were found to have a higher age (p = 0.001), decreased left ventricular ejection fraction (p = 0.001) and greater left atrial volume index (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study did not show any association between inflammatory indices and LAAV in non-valvular AF patients except for the WPR.

Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for clinical outcome in patients with atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The association between the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and the prognosis of Atrial Fibrillation (AF) has been extensively studied, yet clinical outcomes have varied. Consequently, this analysis was undertaken to explore the link between NLR and the prognostic markers of AF.

Methods

We conducted an exhaustive search across electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, to investigate the correlation between the NLR and indicators of adverse clinical outcomes associated with AF from the database establishment date through March 31, 2024. In this study, the recurrence rate of AF was the primary outcome measure, while the secondary outcome measures were mortality, stroke, and left atrial thrombus. Odds ratio (OR), relative risk (RR), hazard ratio (HR) and standard mean difference (SMD) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) were integrated for assessment, and the stability of prognostic outcomes and publication bias were verified by sensitivity analysis and Egger's test, respectively. Subgroup analyses were performed to pinpoint the sources of heterogeneity.

Results

This analysis included 20 studies, encompassing a total of 59,256 patients. Our statistical analysis of both categorical and continuous variables revealed that an elevated NLR was significantly associated with increased risks in AF patients for recurrence (categorical variable: OR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.21-1.60; continuous variable: SMD = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.24-0.74), mortality (categorical variable: OR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.59-2.20), stroke (categorical variable: OR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.13-2.17; continuous variable: SMD = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.63-0.91), and left atrial thrombus (categorical variable: OR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.27-2.75; continuous variable: SMD = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.30-0.89). Subgroup analyses found that high NLR was significantly linked to AF recurrence when the NLR was >3. High NLR was significantly linked to the risk of stroke in AF when the NLR was ≤3.

Conclusions

This study suggested that a high NLR is significantly linked to prognostic risk markers of AF, and NLR may be an effective biomarker for the prognosis of AF in clinical practice.

Systematic Review Registration

PROSPERO (CRD42024530970).

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as Predictors of Short- and Long-Term Outcomes in Ischemic Stroke Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Purpose

Inflammatory response plays essential roles in the pathophysiology of both ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to investigate whether composite inflammatory markers, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), can serve as early predictors of short- and long-term outcomes in ischemic stroke patients with AF.

Patients and Methods

Ischemic stroke patients with AF were enrolled in this cohort study. The primary outcome was 1-year functional dependence or death (modified Rankin scale (mRS) score 3-6). Secondary outcomes included hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and early neurological deterioration (END, increase in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) ≥4 within 7 days). Partial correlations were performed to assess the correlation between systemic inflammation markers and admission NIHSS scores. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were performed to investigate whether systemic inflammatory markers were independent predictors of adverse outcomes.

Results

A total of 408 patients were included. Partial correlation analysis revealed statistically significant but weak correlations between the NLR (r = 0.287; P < 0.001), PLR (r = 0.158; P = 0.001) and admission NIHSS score. Compared with patients without HT or END, patients who developed HT or END had higher NLR and PLR, and lower LMR. Patients in the functional dependence or death group had significantly higher NLR and PLR, and lower LMR than those in the functional independence group (all P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic analysis indicated that NLR, LMR and PLR were independent predictors of HT (OR = 1.069, 0.814 and 1.003, respectively), END (OR = 1.100, 0.768 and 1.006, respectively) and adverse 1-year functional outcome (OR = 1.139, 0.760 and 1.005, respectively).

Conclusion

NLR, LMR and PLR were independent predictors for in-hospital HT, END and long-term functional outcome in ischemic stroke patients with AF. Close monitoring of these inflammatory markers may help guide risk stratification and clinical treatment strategies.

Development and Validation of a New Nomogram Model for Predicting Acute Ischemic Stroke in Elderly Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Single-Center Cross-Sectional Study

Background and Aims

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients face a 3-5 times greater risk of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) compared to those without NVAF. This study aims to establish a novel clinical prediction model for AIS in elderly patients with NVAF by incorporating relevant biomarker indicators.

Methods

A total of 301 individuals diagnosed with NVAF were selected for this investigation at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University. Based on the presence of AIS, patients were categorized into two groups: the Stroke Cohort and the Non-Stroke Cohort. Predictor screening was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation (LASSO) regression algorithm. The binary logistic regression equation was applied to fit the model, followed by internal validation using the bootstrap resampling method (1000 times). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration degree curve plots, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were generated, respectively. Finally, a nomogram was constructed to present the prediction model.

Results

The final results of this study revealed that neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), red cell distribution width (RDW), lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)), systolic pressure, history of stroke, hyperlipidemia were independent risk factors for AIS in elderly patients with NVAF (P<0.05). And the high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was an independent protective factor (P<0.05). By incorporating these indicators, a nomogram prediction model for predicting AIS in elderly patients with NVAF was constructed. Comparative analysis between the nomogram predictive model and CHA2DS2-VASc score revealed that the AUC of the nomogram predictive model surpassed that of the CHA2DS2-VASc score (AUC: 0.881vs 0.850).

Conclusion

NLR, RDW, Lp(a), SP, history of stroke, hyperlipidemia, and HDL-C emerge as independent prognostic factors for acute ischemic stroke in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. The predictive utility of the nomogram model may potentially surpass that of the CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system.

The relationship between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and cerebral collateral circulation in patients with symptomatic severe intracranial artery stenosis or occlusion

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been considered a prognostic indicator for determining the systemic inflammatory response and atherosclerosis. We aimed to determine the relationship between NLR and the development of cerebral collateral circulation in patients with symptomatic severe stenosis or occlusion of intracranial arteries.

METHODS

All patients underwent digital subtraction angiography (DSA) within 14 days of admission and were divided into a group with good collateral circulation (77 patients) and a group with poor collateral circulation (86 patients) according to the DSA collateral compensation grading method. Apo B, total cholesterol, LDL, and Neutrophil count in the poor side branch group were significantly higher than in the good side branch group. Multifactorial analysis showed that high NLR levels were a valid predictor of poor collateral circulation in patients with symptomatic severe intracranial artery stenosis or occlusion. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the size of the collateral branch score was negatively correlated with NLR (r = -0.509, P < 0.001) and cholesterol content (r = -0.249, P = 0.002). NLR predicted poor collateral circulation with an AUC of 0.620 (sensitivity 66.7 %, specificity 61.3 %, 95 % CI = 0.517-0.723,P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate a correlation between NLR levels and the development of collateral circulation in the brain in patients with symptomatic severe stenosis or occlusion of the intracranial arteries.

Association of inflammation indices with left atrial thrombus in patients with valvular atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Inflammation has been implicated in the progressive exacerbation of valvular atrial fibrillation (VAF) and thrombogenesis. This study aimed to analyze the association of systemic inflammation as measured by six indices with left atrial thrombus (LAT) in patients with VAF.

METHODS

This comparative cross-sectional analytical study included 434 patients with VAF. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the predictive value of LAT using six inflammation indices: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), white blood cell-to-mean platelet volume ratio, neutrophil-to-mean platelet volume ratio, systemic immune inflammation index, and systemic inflammation response index. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted, and the area under these curves (AUC) were calculated to evaluate the discriminative ability of the indices.

RESULTS

Transesophageal echocardiography revealed LAT in 143 (32.9%) patients. All six indices reflected a positive correlation with C-reactive protein levels. Multivariate logistic analysis revealed that these indices were independent predictors of LAT, and MLR appeared to perform best (odds ratio 12.006 [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.404-42.347]; P < 0.001; AUC 0.639 [95% CI 0.583-0.694]; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Selected inflammatory indices were significantly and independently associated with LAT among patients with VAF.

Bidirectional effects of oral anticoagulants on gut microbiota in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

The imbalance of gut microbiota (GM) is associated with a higher risk of thrombosis in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Oral anticoagulants (OACs) have been found to significantly reduce the risk of thromboembolism and increase the risk of bleeding. However, the OAC-induced alterations in gut microbiota in patients with AF remain elusive.

Methods

In this study, the microbial composition in 42 AF patients who received long-term OAC treatment (AF-OAC group), 47 AF patients who did not (AF group), and 40 volunteers with the risk of AF (control group) were analyzed by 16S rRNA gene sequencing of fecal bacterial DNA. The metagenomic functional prediction of major bacterial taxa was performed using the Phylogenetic Investigation of Communities by Reconstruction of Unobserved States (PICRUSt) software package.

Results

The gut microbiota differed between the AF-OAC and AF groups. The abundance of Bifidobacterium and Lactobacillus decreased in the two disease groups at the genus level, but OACs treatment mitigated the decreasing tendency and increased beneficial bacterial genera, such as Megamonas. In addition, OACs reduced the abundance of pro-inflammatory taxa on the genus Ruminococcus but increased certain potential pathogenic taxa, such as genera Streptococcus, Escherichia-Shigella, and Klebsiella. The Subgroup Linear discriminant analysis effect size (LEfSe) analyses revealed that Bacteroidetes, Brucella, and Ochrobactrum were more abundant in the anticoagulated bleeding AF patients, Akkermansia and Faecalibacterium were more abundant in the non-anticoagulated-bleeding-AF patients. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was lower in the AF-OAC group compared with the AF group (P < 0.05). Ruminococcus was positively correlated with the NLR and negatively correlated with the CHA2DS2-VASc score (P < 0.05), and the OACs-enriched species (Megamonas and Actinobacteria) was positively correlated with the prothrombin time (PT) (P < 0.05). Ruminococcus and Roseburia were negatively associated with bleeding events (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

Our study suggested that OACs might benefit AF patients by reducing the inflammatory response and modulating the composition and abundance of gut microbiota. In particular, OACs increased the abundance of some gut microbiota involved in bleeding and gastrointestinal dysfunction indicating that the exogenous supplementation with Faecalibacterium and Akkermansia might be a prophylactic strategy for AF-OAC patients to lower the risk of bleeding after anticoagulation.

Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis

Objective

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important risk factor for stroke, but the currently used CHA2DS2-VASc score has significant limitations in predicting the risk of stroke. It is important to find new biomarkers to predict stroke risk in patients with AF or as a complement to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) may be of potential value. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the association between NLR and stroke risk.

Methods

We searched in electronic databases such as PubMed and EMBASE. The final included studies were analyzed by Stata 12.0 software. Subgroup analyses were used to explore sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed by Egger's test and Begg's test. Sensitivity analyses assessed the stability of outcomes.

Results

A total of 11 studies with a total of 35,221 patients were included. NLR levels are associated with stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (WMD = 0.72, 95%CI = 0.43-1.01). There was a correlation between the occurrence of stroke and NLR level in AF patients (WMD = 1.96, 95%CI = 1.38-2.53). The incidence of stroke was significantly higher in patients with atrial fibrillation with NLR ≥3 than in those with NLR <3 (RR = 1.4, 95%CI = 1.24-1.58).

Conclusion

This study shows that high NLR values are associated with a higher risk of stroke in AF patients. The incidence of stroke in AF patients with NLR ≥3 was 1.4 times higher than that with NLR <3 (p < 0.001). NLR may be considered as a complementary risk assessment for CHA2DS2-VASc score, especially for AF patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score <2. NLR may be a potential biomarker for predicting stroke risk in patients with AF.

Comprehensive comparison of stroke risk score performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis among 6 267 728 patients with atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Multiple risk scores to predict ischaemic stroke (IS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have been developed. This study aims to systematically review these scores, their validations and updates, assess their methodological quality, and calculate pooled estimates of the predictive performance.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies developing, validating, or updating risk scores for IS in AF patients. Methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). To assess discrimination, pooled c-statistics were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. We identified 19 scores, which were validated and updated once or more in 70 and 40 studies, respectively, including 329 validations and 76 updates-nearly all on the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2. Pooled c-statistics were calculated among 6 267 728 patients and 359 373 events of IS. For the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2, pooled c-statistics were 0.644 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.635-0.653] and 0.658 (0.644-0.672), respectively. Better discriminatory abilities were found in the newer risk scores, with the modified-CHADS2 demonstrating the best discrimination [c-statistic 0.715 (0.674-0.754)]. Updates were found for the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 only, showing improved discrimination. Calibration was reasonable but available for only 17 studies. The PROBAST indicated a risk of methodological bias in all studies.

CONCLUSION

Nineteen risk scores and 76 updates are available to predict IS in patients with AF. The guideline-endorsed CHA2DS2-VASc shows inferior discriminative abilities compared with newer scores. Additional external validations and data on calibration are required before considering the newer scores in clinical practice.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ID CRD4202161247 (PROSPERO).

Role of New Potential Biomarkers in the Risk of Thromboembolism in Atrial Fibrillation

Ischemic stroke risk in atrial fibrillation differs from patient to patient, depending on numerous variables. Many attempts have been made to translate this difference into simple numbers and to compare it to the hemorrhagic risk of anticoagulation. Different clinical scores have been studied to define a clear strategy. One score, the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, has been extensively and successfully applied worldwide. Nevertheless, it is not yet the “perfect instrument”. Many proposals have been made to integrate its clinical parameters with some biomarkers to improve its predictive power. This short review describes some of these biomarkers and their possible implications in potentiating the efficacy of clinical scores.

Association of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio with the Risk of Fatal Stroke Occurrence in Older Chinese

BACKGROUND

Associations of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and its longitudinal change with risk of fatal strokes are unclear in older populations.

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis, a total of 27,799 participants were included and followed up for a mean of 14.3 years (standard deviation = 3.2). 838 stroke deaths were recorded. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess associations of NLR with fatal strokes.

RESULTS

Compared to those in the first quartile and after adjustment for a series of factors, the participants in the highest neutrophil quartile had an increased risk of fatal all stroke (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.45, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18-1.79) and fatal ischaemic stroke (aHR = 1.58, 95% CI, 1.17-2.12). Restricted cubic splines showed an increased trend of relationship between the NLR and fatal all stroke. The participants with the highest NLR quartile had an increased risk of fatal all stroke (aHR = 1.52, 95% CI, 1.23-1.88) and fatal ischaemic stroke (aHR = 1.59, 95% CI, 1.13-2.26), respectively; Similar associations repeated after further C-reactive protein adjustment; a 21% and a 32% increased risk of fatal all stroke and fatal ischaemic stroke showed in a continuous variable model. Those in NLR change with 5% increase had a 70% increased risk of fatal all stroke (aHR = 1.70, 95%CI, 1.13-2.57), compared to those in stable (-5%∼5%).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher NLR was associated with an increased risk of fatal all stroke and fatal ischaemic stroke, and its longitudinal change increase of ≥ 5% was associated with an increased risk of fatal all stroke in a relatively healthy older population.

A Review of Biomarkers for Ischemic Stroke Evaluation in Patients With Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia worldwide and results in a significantly increased ischemic stroke (IS) risk. IS risk stratification tools are widely being applied to guide anticoagulation treatment decisions and duration in patients with non-valvular AF (NVAF). The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is largely validated and currently recommended by renowned guidelines. However, this score is heavily dependent on age, sex, and comorbidities, and exhibits only moderate predictive power. Finding effective and validated clinical biomarkers to assist in personalized IS risk evaluation has become one of the promising directions in the prevention and treatment of NVAF. A number of studies in recent years have explored differentially expressed biomarkers in NVAF patients with and without IS, and the potential role of various biomarkers for prediction or early diagnosis of IS in patients with NVAF. In this review, we describe the clinical application and utility of AF characteristics, cardiac imaging and electrocardiogram markers, arterial stiffness and atherosclerosis-related markers, circulating biomarkers, and novel genetic markers in IS diagnosis and management of patients with NVAF. We conclude that at present, there is no consensus understanding of a desirable biomarker for IS risk stratification in NVAF, and enrolling these biomarkers into extant models also remains challenging. Further prospective cohorts and trials are needed to integrate various clinical risk factors and biomarkers to optimize IS prediction in patients with NVAF. However, we believe that the growing insight into molecular mechanisms and in-depth understanding of existing and emerging biomarkers may further improve the IS risk identification and guide anticoagulation therapy in patients with NVAF.

Impact of Baseline Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio on Long-Term Prognosis in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

We performed a retrospective analysis involving 1269 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) to evaluate the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on long-term outcomes. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and combined end point events (CEEs). Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and net reclassification improvement (NRI) analysis were performed. During a median follow-up of 3.32 years, 285 deaths and 376 CEEs occurred. With the elevation of the NLR, the incidence of all-cause mortality (2.77, 4.14, 6.12, and 12.18/100 person-years) and CEEs (4.19, 7.40, 8.03, and 15.22/100 person-years) significantly increased. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that the highest NLR quartile was independently associated with the incidence of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.19-2.65) and CEEs (HR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.18-2.33). When the NLR was analyzed as a continuous variable, a 1-unit increment in log NLR was related to 134% increased risk of all-cause mortality and 119% increased risk of CEEs. Net reclassification improvement analysis revealed that NLR significantly improved risk stratification for all-cause death and CEEs by 15.0% and 9.6%, respectively. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio could be an independent predictor of long-term outcomes in patients with AF.

Associations of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio with intracranial artery stenosis and ischemic stroke

Background

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has emerged as an inflammatory marker. However, the associations of NLR with intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS) and ischemic stroke remain unclear. This study aimed to examine the associations of NLR with ICAS and ischemic stroke among a large and high-risk population.

Methods

Participants with records of clinical characteristics were prospectively recruited from the Neurology Department and Health & Physical Examination Center of Qingdao Municipal Hospital. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the associations of NLR with ICAS and ischemic stroke. Moreover, we also conducted parametric mediation analysis to estimate the effect of NLR on the risk of ischemic stroke mediated through ICAS.

Results

A total of 2989 participants were enrolled in this study. After adjusting for covariates, NLR (OR = 1.125, 95%CI 1.070–1.183) and ICAS (OR = 1.638, 95%CI 1.364–1.967) were significantly associated with ischemic stroke. Compared with the first quartile NLR, the second, third and fourth quartiles NLR were independent risk predictors for ischemic stroke (P for trend < 0.001); the third and fourth quartiles were independent predictors for ICAS (P for trend < 0.001). The mediation analysis showed that ICAS partially mediated the association between NLR and ischemic stroke, accounting for 14.4% of the total effect (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

NLR was significantly associated with ICAS and ischemic stroke. Besides, ICAS partially mediated the association between NLR and ischemic stroke.

Increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts the development of post-stroke infections in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Background

Infections could increase the risk of poor outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The peripheral neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an important indicator of inflammation. The purpose of our study was to investigate the association increased NLR with post stroke infections (PSI) in AIS.

Methods

In this study, we included 606 consecutive patients with AIS within 24 h. The NLR was calculated by dividing absolute neutrophil counts by absolute lymphocyte counts. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to identify the optimal cut point of NLR for PSI. The relationship between NLR and PSI was analyzed by multivariable analysis.

Results

We assessed 606 consecutive patients with AIS. ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cut point of NLR for PSI was NLR ≥ 5.79. Compared with no PSI, patients with PSI have higher NLR, older age, higher NIHSS, higher PCT, higher percentage of nasogastric tube feeding and indwelling urinary catheter (P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis showed that NLR ≥ 5.79 [adjusted odds ratio (aOR),4.52; 95% confidence interval (CI),3.02–6.76; P < 0.001], older age (aOR,1.03; 95% CI, 1.00–1.05; P = 0.009), higher admission NIHSS (aOR,1.13; 95%CI, 1.07–1.18; P < 0.001), indwelling urinary catheter (aOR1.83; 95%CI, 1.08–3.10; P = 0.026], and nasogastric tube feeding (aOR2.52; 95%CI, 1.38–4.59; P = 0.003) were associated with increased risk of PSI.

Conclusions

Higher NLR can predict PSI in AIS patients. The NLR may help to select high-risk patients to start intervention in time.

Immunomethylomics: A Novel Cancer Risk Prediction Tool

There is emerging evidence that the immune biology associated with lung and other solid tumors, as well as patient immune genetic traits, contributes to individual survival. At this time, dramatic advances in immunologic approaches to the study and management of human cancers are taking place, including lung and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. However, major obstacles for therapies are the profound immune alterations in blood and in the tumor microenvironment that arise in tandem with the cancer. Although there is a significant current effort underway across the cancer research community to probe the tumor environment to uncover the dynamics of the immune response, little similar work is being done to understand the dynamics of immune alterations in peripheral blood, despite evidence showing the prognostic relevance of the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio for these cancers. A prominent feature of cancer-associated inflammation is the generation of myeloid-derived suppressor cells, which arise centrally in bone marrow myelopoiesis and peripherally in response to tumor factors. Two classes of myeloid-derived suppressor cells are recognized: granulocytic and monocytic. To date, such immune factors have not been integrated into molecular classification or prognostication. Here, we advocate for a more complete characterization of patient immune profiles, using DNA from archival peripheral blood after application of methylation profiling (immunomethylomics). At the heart of this technology are cell libraries of differentially methylated regions that provide the "fingerprints" of immune cell subtypes. Going forward, opportunities exist to explore aberrant immune profiles in the context of cancer-associated inflammation, potentially adding significantly to prognostic and mechanistic information for solid tumors.

Clinical Significance of Baseline Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients With Ischemic Stroke or Hemorrhagic Stroke: An Updated Meta-Analysis

Background and purpose: Stroke is a leading cause of death and acquired disability in adults today. Inflammation plays an important role in the pathophysiology of stroke. The peripheral neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an important global inflammatory indicator becoming more mainstream in stroke care. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the relationship between the baseline NLR and acute ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, as well as define the clinical significance of NLR in subtypes of ischemic stroke. Methods: This meta-analysis was registered in PROSPERO with the number CRD42018105305. We went through relevant articles from PubMed Central (PMC) and EMBASE. Prospective and retrospective studies were included if related to baseline NLR levels prior to treatment in patients with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. Studies were identified up until April 2019. The cutoff value for NLR and the sources of odds ratios (ORs)/risk ratios (RRs) were measured. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was used to investigate the outcomes during clinical follow-up. Predefined criteria were used to evaluate the risk of bias in eligible studies. P-values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. STATA version 14.0 (STATA, College Station, TX) was used in all statistical analyses. Results: Thirty-seven studies with 43,979 individuals were included in the final analysis. Higher NLR levels were correlated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (ORs/RRs = 1.609; 95% CI = 1.283-2.019), unfavorable functional outcome at 3 months (ORs/RRs = 1.851; 95% CI = 1.325-2.584), and increased mortality in patients with ischemic stroke (ORs/RRs = 1.068; 95% CI = 1.027-1.111). While in terms of hemorrhagic stroke (including SAH and ICH), elevated NLR levels only had deleterious effects on mortality (ORs/RRs = 1.080; 95% CI = 1.018-1.146). Conclusions: Baseline NLR level is a promising predictor of the clinical outcomes in both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. In addition, elevated NLR is also associated with a high risk of ischemic stroke occurrence. However, future studies are needed to demonstrate the underlying mechanisms and further explain this association.

Mediation Effect of Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio on Cardiometabolic Risk Factors and Cardiovascular Events

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), an inflammatory biomarker, is associated with cardiovascular events (CVEs), but its causal pathway is unknown. We aimed to explore the extent to which NLR is directly associated with CVEs or mediated through diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension (HT) and creatinine (Cr). The study used data on 2,501 subjects from the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand cohort 2002-2012. Two causal pathways A: NLR→(DM→Cr→HT)→CVEs and B: NLR→(DM → HT→Cr)→CVEs were constructed. A generalized structural equation model and 1,000-replication bootstrapping were applied. The incidence rate of CVE was 8.8/1000/year. Prevalence rates of HT, DM, and chronic kidney disease were 45.1%, 23.6%, and 16.5%, respectively. The total effect of NLR on CVEs was explained partly (44%) by a direct effect and partly (56%) by an indirect effect through DM, HT and Cr. For pathway A, the direct OR of NLR on CVE was 1.25 (95% CI: 1.13, 1.39); the ORs for the indirect effects of NLR on CVEs mediated through DM, Cr, and poor-controlled HT were 1.06 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.11), 1.01 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.02), and 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.14) respectively. Results were similar for pathway B. Our findings demonstrate that roughly half of the relationship between NLR and CVEs may be mediated through DM, HT and Cr.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio: A prognostic tool in patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

In-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) portends a poor prognosis and survival to discharge rate. Prognostic markers such as interleukin-6, S-100 protein and high sensitivity C reactive protein have been studied as predictors of adverse outcomes after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC); however; these variables are not routine laboratory tests and incur additional cost making them difficult to incorporate and less attractive in assessing patient’s prognosis. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a marker of adverse prognosis for many cardiovascular conditions and certain types of cancers and sepsis. We hypothesize that an elevated NLR is associated with poor outcomes including mortality at discharge in patients with IHCA.

AIM

To determine the prognostic significance of NLR in patients suffering IHCA who achieve ROSC.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed on all patients who had IHCA with the advanced cardiac life support protocol administered in a large urban community United States hospital over a one-year period. Patients were divided into two groups based on their NLR value (NLR < 4.5 or NLR ≥ 4.5). This cutpoint was derived from receiving operator characteristic curve analysis (area under the curve = 0.66) and provided 73% positive predictive value, 82% sensitivity and 42% specificity for predicting in-hospital death after IHCA. The primary outcome was death or discharge at 30 d, whichever came first.

RESULTS

We reviewed 153 patients with a mean age of 66.1 ± 16.3 years; 48% were female. In-hospital mortality occurred in 65%. The median NLR in survivors was 4.9 (range 0.6-46.5) compared with 8.9 (0.28-96) in non-survivors (P = 0.001). A multivariable logistic regression model demonstrated that an NLR above 4.55 [odds ratio (OR) = 5.20, confidence interval (CI): 1.5-18.3, P = 0.01], older age (OR = 1.03, CI: 1.00-1.07, P = 0.05), and elevated serum lactate level (OR = 1.20, CI: 1.03-1.40, P = 0.02) were independent predictors of death.

CONCLUSION

An NLR ≥ 4.5 may be a useful marker of increased risk of death in patients with IHCA.

Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio and Cardiovascular Disease Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review aimed to measure the association between neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.

METHODS

Relevant studies were identified from Medline and Scopus databases. Observational studies with NLR as a study factor were eligible for review. The outcomes of interest were any type of CVD including acute coronary syndrome, coronary artery disease, stroke, or a composite of these cardiovascular events. Mean differences in NLR between CVD and non-CVD patients were pooled using unstandardized mean difference (USMD). Odds ratios of CVD between high and low NLR groups were pooled using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight studies (n=76,002) were included. High NLR was significantly associated with the risks of CAD, ACS, stroke, and composite cardiovascular events with pooled ORs of 1.62 (95% CI: 1.38-1.91), 1.64 (95% CI: 1.30, 2.05), 2.36 (95% CI: 1.44, 2.89), and 3.86 (95% CI: 1.73, 8.64), respectively. In addition, mean NLRs in CAD, ACS, and stroke patients were significantly higher than in control groups.

CONCLUSION

High NLR was associated with CAD, ACS, stroke, and composite cardiovascular events. Therefore, NLR may be a useful CVD biomarker.

Genome-Wide Expression Profiles for Ischemic Stroke: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide expression studies (GWES), using microarray platforms, have allowed a deeper understanding of the molecular factors involved in the pathophysiology of ischemic stroke (IS), one of the main global causes of mortality and disability.

METHODS

In the current work, we carried out a meta-analysis of available GWES for IS. Bioinformatics and computational biology analyses were applied to identify enriched functional categories and convergence with other genomic datasets for IS.

RESULTS

Three primary datasets were included and in the meta-analyses for GWES and IS, 41 differentially expressed (DE) genes were identified using a random effects model. Thirteen of these genes were downregulated and 28 were upregulated. An analysis of functional categories found a significant enrichment for the Gene Ontology Term "Inflammatory Response" and for binding sites for the PAX2 transcription factor.

CONCLUSIONS

The list of DE genes identified in this meta-analysis of GWES for IS is useful for future genetic and molecular studies, which would allow the identification of novel mechanisms involved in the pathophysiology of IS. Several of the DE genes found in this meta-analysis have known functional roles related to mechanisms involved in the pathophysiology of IS. It is recognized the role of the inflammatory response in the pathophysiology of IS.

Mediation analysis of systemic inflammation on the association between periodontitis and glycaemic status

AIM

This cross-sectional study investigated the associations between periodontitis, systemic inflammation and glycaemic status.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The participants were divided into three groups: normoglycaemia, impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and diabetes. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the associations between periodontitis severity and glycaemic status, adjusting for potential confounders. Mediation analysis of four systemic inflammatory biomarkers, C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), was performed.

RESULTS

This study comprised 2,036 participants, aged 39-66 years. Severe periodontitis was associated with IFG and diabetes with odds ratios of 1.6 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1-2.4, p = .023) and 2.4 (95% CI: 1.3-4.5, p = .006), respectively. The CRP, WBC and PLR were associated with both periodontitis severity and glycaemic status (p < .05). In contrast, the NLR was associated with periodontitis severity (p < .05) but not glycaemic status (p > .05). The CRP, WBC and PLR mediated 8%, 13% and 6%, respectively, of the association between severe periodontitis and diabetes. Similar proportions mediated were observed for the periodontitis-IFG association.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the role of systemic inflammation as mediators of the associations between periodontitis and IFG or diabetes.

Use of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for risk stratification and relationship with time in therapeutic range in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: A pilot study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is one of the most common abnormal heart rhythms. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has emerged as a potential marker for the level of inflammation in cardiac disorders.

HYPOTHESIS

NLR might be associated with thrombosis and bleeding risk scores and might predict cardioembolic risk in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients within the therapeutic international normalized ratio (INR).

METHODS

We enrolled 272 patients taking warfarin for NVAF and classified them into 2 groups: Group A consisted of patients (n = 132) whose time in therapeutic range (TTR) was ≥65%, and Group B comprised patients (n = 139) whose TTR was <65%.

RESULTS

NLR values were higher in group B than in group A (P < 0.0001). Patients classified as high risk according to CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score had significantly higher NLR levels (P = 0.002) than those classified as low and intermediate risk. Furthermore, NLR levels were significantly correlated with CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc and HAS-BLED scores (P < 0.001 and P < 0.0001, respectively). NLR predicted patients within therapeutic INR range (TTR ≥65%) with sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 71% in a receiver operator characteristic curve analysis, using a cutoff value of 2.17. Area under the curve for NLR was 0.81 (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first study showing correlation of NLR with both CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc and HAS-BLED risk scores. NLR might represent a useful marker to identify patients with high risks of stroke and bleeding and may have predictive value in identifying patients within the therapeutic INR range.

In Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation Patients, the Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio Is Related to Thrombogenesis and More Closely Associated with Left Atrial Appendage Contraction than with the Left Atrial Body Function

Objective The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammation marker that can be used to detect atrial inflammatory changes, which may contribute to a reduced left atrial (LA) function and thrombosis. Our study aimed to determine whether or not the association of NLR with the LA appendage (LAA) function in relation to thrombogenesis differs from the association with the LA body function in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) patients. Methods A total of 183 PAF patients were studied. The LA volume index, mitral flow velocity (A), and mitral annular motion velocity (A') were examined using transthoracic echocardiography. The LAA area, LAA wall motion velocity, and presence of spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) were examined using transesophageal echocardiography. Results The NLR of patients with cerebral embolism was significantly greater than in patients without the disorder. A cut-off point of 2.5 for the NLR had a sensitivity of 71% and a specificity of 74% in predicting cerebral embolism. The patients with an NLR ≥2.5 had a higher CHADS2 score and greater LA volume index or LAA area than those with an NLR <2.5. The NLR was an independent risk factor for SEC and was significantly correlated with the LAA wall motion velocity (r=-0.409) in 153 patients without SEC and with the LAA wall motion velocity and LAA area (r=-0.583, r=0.654, respectively) in 30 patients with SEC, but not with the LA volume index, A, or A' in either group. Conclusion In PAF patients, a high NLR indicates thrombogenesis with a high degree of certainty and is associated with reduced LAA contraction rather than with the LA body function.

Potential Biological Markers of Atrial Fibrillation: A Chance to Prevent Cryptogenic Stroke

Stroke affects millions of people all over the world, causing death and disability. The most frequent type of this disease is ischemic stroke, which can be caused by different factors. In approximately 25 percent of cases, no obvious cause can be found. Recent observations have shown that paroxysmal atrial fibrillation could be responsible for a significant number of cryptogenic stroke events. Short- or long-lasting ECG monitoring could help with the diagnosis of transient arrhythmias. Unfortunately, these techniques either are expensive or require good patient compliance. An alternative option is the identification of biological markers that are specific for atrial fibrillation and can be used to predict arrhythmia. In this review, we give a summary of the recent advances in the research of arrhythmia markers. Based on their structure and function, we differentiated four groups of biomarkers: markers of inflammation, markers of fibrosis, markers with hormonal activity, and other markers. In spite of intensive researches, the optimal biological marker is still not available, but there are some promising markers, like NT-proBNP/BNP.

Atrial Fibrillation is Strongly Associated With the Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

No study has investigated the relationship between hospital-admission neutrophil and lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and various stroke risk factors. We sought to determine which stroke risk factor could be the most appropriate predictor of NLR in acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We collected data on various stroke risk factors and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score in 1,053 acute ischemic stroke patients. The regression analysis was adjusted for confounding factors such as stroke risk factors.

RESULTS

There was a trend of increased NLR with a rise in alcohol consumption, the prevalence of hypertension, cardioembolism (CE) etiology, the NIHSS scores in men and the prevalence of atrial fibrillation, other heart diseases, CE and small vessel occlusion etiology and the NIHSS scores in women. Multiple linear regression analyses, adjusted for confounding factors, showed that the atrial fibrillation and NIHSS scores in men and atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus as well as NIHSS scores in women had a significant positive association with NLR. However, a negative association was showed for body mass index (BMI).

CONCLUSION

We confirmed that the atrial fibrillation can be a predictor of high NLR in acute stroke patients, and diabetes mellitus as well as low BMI could be a predictor of high NLR in female acute ischemic stroke patients.

Thrombosis, Neuroinflammation, and Poststroke Infection: The Multifaceted Role of Neutrophils in Stroke

Immune cells can significantly predict and affect the clinical outcome of stroke. In particular, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was shown to predict hemorrhagic transformation and the clinical outcome of stroke; however, the immunological mechanisms underlying these effects are poorly understood. Neutrophils are the first cells to invade injured tissue following focal brain ischemia. In these conditions, their proinflammatory properties enhance tissue damage and may promote ischemic incidences by inducing thrombus formation. Therefore, they constitute a potential target for therapeutic approaches and prevention of stroke. Indeed, in animal models of focal brain ischemia, neutrophils have been targeted with successful results. However, even in brain lesions, neutrophils also exert beneficial effects, because they are involved in triggering immunological removal of cell debris. Furthermore, intact neutrophil function is essential for maintaining immunological defense against bacterial infections. Several studies have demonstrated that stroke-derived neutrophils displayed impaired bacterial defense capacity. Because infections are known to impair the clinical course of stroke, therapeutic interventions that target neutrophils should preserve or even restore their function outside the central nervous system (CNS). This complex situation requires well-tailored therapeutic approaches that can effectively tackle immune cell invasion in the brain but avoid increasing poststroke infections.

Dynamic change of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and hemorrhagic transformation after thrombolysis in stroke

Background

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been shown to predict short- and long-term outcomes in ischemic stroke patients. We sought to explore the temporal profile of the plasma NLR in stroke patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) and its relationship with intracranial bleeding complications after thrombolysis.

Methods

A total of 189 ischemic stroke patients were prospectively enrolled. Blood samples for leukocyte, neutrophil, and lymphocyte counts were obtained at admission and at 3–6, 12–18, and 36–48 h after IVT. Head CT was performed on admission and repeated after 36–48 h, and a CT scan was done immediately in case of clinical worsening. Hemorrhagic events were categorized as symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) and parenchymal hematomas (PH) according to previously published criteria.

Results

An increasing trend in the NLR was observed after stroke, and the NLR was higher in patients who developed PH or sICH at 3–6, 12–18, and 36–48 h after IVT (P < 0.01) than in those without PH or sICH. The optimal cutoff value for the serum NLR as an indicator for auxiliary diagnosis of PH and sICH was 10.59 at 12–18 h. Furthermore, the NLR obtained at 12–18-h post-treatment was independently associated with PH (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.14) and sICH (adjusted OR 1.14). In addition, patients with a NLR ≥10.59 had an 8.50-fold greater risk for PH (95 % confidence interval [CI] 2.69–26.89) and a 7.93-fold greater risk for sICH (95 % CI 2.25–27.99) than patients with a NLR <10.59.

Conclusions

NLR is a dynamic variable, and its variation is associated with HT after thrombolysis in stroke patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12974-016-0680-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Usefulness of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc Scores in the Prediction of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc are validated scores used to predict stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. Many of the individual risk factors included in these scores are also risk factors for atrial fibrillation. We aimed to examine the performance of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation in subjects without preexisting diagnosis of atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

Using the computerized database of the largest health maintenance organization in Israel, we identified all adults aged 50 years or older without atrial fibrillation prior to January 1, 2012. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were calculated for each participant at study entry, and the cohort was followed for incident atrial fibrillation until December 31, 2014.

RESULTS

Of 1,062,073 subjects without preexisting diagnosis of atrial fibrillation; 23,223 developed atrial fibrillation during a follow-up of 3,053,754 person-years (incidence rate, 0.76 per 100 person-years). Incidence rate of atrial fibrillation increased in a graded manner with increasing CHA2DS2-VASc score: 0.17, 0.21, 0.49, 0.94, 1.65, 2.31, 2.75, 3.39, 4.09, and 6.71 per 100 person-years for CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 to 9 points, respectively (P < .001). The hazard ratio for atrial fibrillation for each 1-point increase in CHA2DS2-VASc score was 1.57 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56-1.58). Results were similar for CHADS2 score. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve to predict new-onset atrial fibrillation was 0.728 (95% CI, 0.725-0.711) and 0.744 (95% CI, 0.741-0.747) for CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores are directly associated with the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation, and have a relatively high performance for atrial fibrillation prediction.

The Predictive Role of Inflammatory Biomarkers in Atrial Fibrillation as Seen through Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio Mirror

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and is responsible for significant disease burden worldwide. Current evidence has suggested that systemic inflammatory response plays a crucial role in the initiation, maintenance, and progression of AF. So, recent efforts have been directed in search of measurable inflammatory biomarkers as additional tools in severity and prognosis assessment of AF. A simple, and easily obtainable, inflammatory marker is the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), which has shown good performance in preliminary studies as a potential prognostic biomarker in patients with AF. In this work, we performed a thorough review of clinical studies that evaluated the role of C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and NLR as predictors of outcomes in AF. We gave a particular emphasis on the NLR because it is a simpler, widely available, and inexpensive biomarker.

The role of CHADS2 and CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores in the prediction of stroke in individuals without atrial fibrillation: a population-based study

Essentials CHADS2 and CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores are used to predict stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF). These scores were calculated for a large cohort from the largest healthcare provider in Israel. The risk of stroke gradually increased with an increase in the scores in individuals without AF. Both scores have a relatively high performance for stroke prediction in individuals without AF. Click to hear Prof. Lowe's perspective on Arterial Thrombosis, Pathogenesis and Epidemiology

SUMMARY

Background CHADS2 and CHA2 DS2 -VASc are validated scores used to predict stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to examine the performance of these scores in predicting stroke in individuals without AF. Methods Using the computerized database of the largest HMO in Israel, we identified all not-anticoagulated adults, aged 50 years or older on 1 January 2012. The cohort was followed for the occurrence of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) until 31 December 2014. Results Of 1 053 871 individuals without AF at baseline, 34 215 developed stroke/TIA during a follow-up of 3 014 002 person-years (stroke/TIA incidence rate, 1.14 per 100 person-years). The incidence rate of stroke/TIA increased in a graded manner with increasing CHADS2 score: 0.36, 0.89, 1.89, 2.96, 4.31, 5.37 and 6.62 per 100 person-years for CHADS2 scores of 0 to 6 points, respectively (P < 0.001). Results were similar for the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score. A similar graded increasing trend in the stroke/TIA incidence rate was observed in a cohort of 46 657 patients with AF at baseline; however, stroke/TIA rates were higher in each score stratum compared with the rates of individuals without AF. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.718 (95% CI, 0.715-0.721) and 0.714 (0.711-0.717) for CHADS2 and CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores, respectively, in individuals without AF, and 0.606 (0.598-0.614) and 0.610 (0.602-0.618), respectively, in individuals with AF. Conclusions CHADS2 and CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores have a relatively high performance for prediction of stroke/TIA in individuals without AF, which is comparable to their performance in patients with AF.

Increased neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in persons suffering from hypertension with hyperhomocysteinemia

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is increased in various cardiovascular diseases. The objective of this study is to determine whether the NLR is increased in persons suffering from hypertension with hyperhomocysteinemia (HTH). We retrospectively analyzed the results of a large cohort of individuals undergoing health examinations with respect to NLR values, homocysteine (HCY) concentration, total cholesterol, triglyceride (TG) concentration, glucose concentration, creatinine (Cr) concentration, smoking status, drinking status and blood pressure. When participants were grouped according to the NLR quartiles, there were strong, graded increases in HCY (P<0.001) and the numbers of patients suffering from HTH were up to two-fold higher in the fourth vs. the first quartile. The NLR of the participants suffering from HTH group was significantly higher than the participants suffering from hypertension in the non-HTH group and the normotension group. In an unconditional multiple logistic regression analysis, NLR predicted HTH independently of age, sex, body mass index, smoking, drinking, TG and Cr. The present study demonstrated that the NLR value increased in the HTH group and positively correlated with HCY but not with blood pressure.