A highly virulent variant of HIV-1 circulating in the Netherlands

Mutant emergence timing and population immunisation status impact epidemiological dynamics

A key question in evolutionary epidemiology is to determine differences in the conditions that may allow some mutant strains to spread in a population where a resident strain is already circulating. Evolutionary invasion analyses assume that the immunity is long-lasting for previously infected individuals making it difficult to study traits such as immune escape. We relax this last assumption and allow the environment faced by the mutant to fluctuate outside of any epidemiological equilibrium. We introduce an original two-strains non-Markovian model that accounts for realistic immunity waning and cross-immunity, inspired by the case of SARS-CoV-2 variants. We show that mutants with increased contagiousness or with some immune escape abilities are more likely to invade the population. We also show that the timing of the introduction of mutant strain in the population is key because it is associated with the population's immunisation status. Our results underline the importance of immune waning and non-equilibrium dynamics on infectious disease evolution.

Rise and fall of the myth of the good pathogen in evolutionary biology and medicine

The history of the conception of evolution of virulence is well known. However, in this period following the COVID-19 pandemic, it may be useful to recap such a current topic. In public debate, it has often been heard that COVID-19 was destined to evolve into a less virulent form because it would be in the virus's interest to coexist with the human population. This concept can be defined as the "Myth of the Good Pathogen" and originated from Smith's "law of declining virulence." The successes achieved thanks to vaccinations and antibiotics led the medical community, between the 1940s and the 1970s, to argue that the battle against infectious diseases had been won. However, the AIDS pandemic brought back down to earth the scientific community in their speculations about plagues. Since the 1970s, biologists have advanced the "virulence transmission trade-offs theory," a new model according to which intermediate virulence maximizes pathogenicity as a result of a trade-off between virulence and transmission. The introduction of trade-off models represented a crucial change that replaced the binary logic according to which natural selection shaped adaptations, whereas maladaptation escaped selection. This change was fundamental for the introduction of a new perspective in medicine, namely, Evolutionary Medicine, which might be an essential tool not only for understanding the dynamics of epidemics but also for preventing and curing infectious diseases.

Addressing data management and analysis challenges in viral genomics: The Swiss HIV cohort study viral next generation sequencing database

Numerous HIV related outcomes can be determined on the viral genome, for example, resistance associated mutations, population transmission dynamics, viral heritability traits, or time since infection. Viral sequences of people with HIV (PWH) are therefore essential for therapeutic and research purposes. While in the first three decades of the HIV pandemic viral genomes were mainly sequenced using Sanger sequencing, the last decade has seen a shift towards next-generation sequencing (NGS) as the preferred method. NGS can achieve near full length genome sequence coverage and simultaneously, it accurately encapsulates the within-host diversity by characterizing HIV subpopulations. NGS opens new avenues for HIV research, but it also presents challenges concerning data management and analysis. We therefore set up the Swiss HIV Cohort Study Viral NGS Database (SHCND) to address key issues in the handling of NGS data including high loads of raw- and processed NGS data, data storage solutions, downstream application of sophisticated bioinformatic tools, high-performance computing resources, and reproducibility. The database is nested within the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) and the Zurich Primary HIV Infection Cohort Study (ZPHI), which together enrolled 21,876 PWH since 1988 and include a biobank dating back to the early nineties. Since its initiation in 2018, the SHCND accumulated NGS sequences (plasma and proviral origin) of 5,178 unique PWH. We here describe the design, set-up, and use of this NGS database. Overall, the SHCND has contributed to several research projects on HIV pathogenesis, treatment, drug resistance, and molecular epidemiology, and has thereby become a central part of HIV-genomics research in Switzerland.

Low CD4 count was characterized in recent HIV CRF01_AE infection and it rapidly increased to reach a peak in the first year since ART initiation

BACKGROUND

Currently, most people living with HIV (PLWH) in China have a strong awareness of diagnosis and treatment in the early stage of HIV infection. Subtype-specific virological and immunological features of recently infected PLWH have not yet been elucidated.

METHODS

Data including CD4 count and viral load (VL) of 1508 anti-retroviral therapy (ART) -naïve PLWH were obtained from the HIV Database and comparatively analyzed among PLWH with different HIV subtypes. The infection status of 402 newly diagnosed and ART-naïve PLWH from a cohort of men who have sex with men (MSM) in China was evaluated using diagnosis records and LAg-Avidity EIA. Based on partial pol genes, HIV genotypes in 120 recent, 68 long-term, and 54 chronic infections were identified. The CD4 count, CD8 count, and VL, as well as trajectories of dynamic CD4 counts during ART of local PLWH with different HIV subtypes, were compared using non-parametric tests.

RESULTS

For the HIV database, the CD4 count in PLWH with CRF01_AE was lower than that in PLWH with CRF07_BC or subtype B. For the recently infected local PLWH, CRF01_AE was the dominant HIV subtype (65.83%), followed by CRF07_BC (18.33%) and subtype B (15.83%). Recent CRF01_AE infections showed a lower baseline CD4 count than CRF07_BC infections. During ART for recently infected PLWH, the CD4 count in the CRF01_AE group rapidly increased to reach a peak at the end of the first year post-ART, while the CD4 count in the CRF07_BC group increased slowly to reach a plateau at the end of the third year. The CD4 count in the subtype B group increased significantly to reach a plateau within the first two years and then its trajectory overlapped with that of the CRF07_BC group at the end of the third year post-ART.

CONCLUSIONS

CRF01_AE rapidly reduced CD4 count during the recent HIV infection. The CD4 count of the recently infected individuals with CRF01_AE increased sharply and reached its highest level of recovery within the first year of ART initiation. This study revealed an important time point for estimating CD4 count recovery post-ART in individuals with different HIV subtypes.

Benefits of HIV-1 transmission cluster surveillance: a French retrospective observational study of the molecular and epidemiological co-evolution of recent circulating recombinant forms 94 and 132

INTRODUCTION

Molecular surveillance is an important tool for detecting chains of transmission and controlling the HIV epidemic. This can also improve our knowledge of molecular and epidemiological factors for the optimization of prevention. Our objective was to illustrate this by studying the molecular and epidemiological evolution of the cluster including the new circulating recombinant form (CRF) 94_cpx of HIV-1, detected in 2017 and targeted by preventive actions in 2018.

METHODS

In June 2022, 32 HIV-1 sequence databases from French laboratories were screened to identify all individuals who had acquired CRF94_cpx or a similar strain, whatever the date of diagnosis. Phylogenetic analyses were performed with the sequences identified, and biological parameters were collected at the time of diagnosis and after the start of treatment to analyse the evolution of the cluster. Full genomes were sequenced to characterize the new strains.

RESULTS

We analysed 98 HIV-1 isolates: 63 were CRF94, three were unclassifiable, and the other 32 formed a new cluster containing a new recombinant, CRF132_94B, derived from CRF94 and a subtype B strain. At least 95% of the individuals in both the CRF94 and CRF132 clusters were men who have sex with men (MSM), most of whom had acquired HIV less than 12 months before diagnosis. The number of CRF94 diagnoses declined drastically after 2018, but CRF132 strains spread widely between 2020 and 2022, into a different area of Ile-de-France region and within a younger population nevertheless aware of pre-exposure prophylaxis. Higher viraemia, lower CD4 cell counts and delayed treatment efficacy suggested that CRF94 was more virulent than CRF132, possibly due to the F subtype fragment of the vif gene.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings highlight the role of the MSM transmission cluster in spreading HIV and new variants. They show also the benefits of cluster surveillance for improving the targeting of preventive interventions, detecting the emergence of new strains and enriching our knowledge on virulence mechanisms. However, these investigations require support with sufficient resources dedicated to a regional or national programme to be responsive and effective.

Multiple third-generation recombinants formed by CRF55_01B and CRF07_BC in newly diagnosed HIV-1 infected patients in Shenzhen city, China

In the evolution landscape of HIV, the coexistence of multiple subtypes has led to new, complex recombinants, posing public health challenges. CRF55_01B, first identified among MSM in Shenzhen, China, has spread rapidly across China. In this study, 47 plasma samples from newly diagnosed HIV-1 CRF55_01B patients in Shenzhen, of which the genotype was only identified by the routine HIV drug resistance test, were collected. Multiple gene regions were acquired using Sanger and next-generation sequencing methods, followed by the phylogenetic reconstruction, recombination breakpoint scanning, Bayesian molecular clock, and the prediction of coreceptors. From 47 samples, we found seven new unique recombinants formed by CRF55_01B and CRF07_BC, which shared similar breakpoints in certain gene regions and primarily utilized CCR5 receptors. All of the most recent common ancestors of subregions for these recombinants were estimated to be later than CRF55_01B and CRF07_BC, potentially suggesting they are the third-generation recombinants formed by CRF55_01B and CRF07_BC as parents. The continuous emergence of new recombinants highlights the increasing complexity of circulating strains in Shenzhen, and also suggests that subtype analysis using partial pol gene may lead to an overestimation of the major subtype strains and an underestimation of new complex HIV recombinants. Consequently, to effectively address and mitigate the complex HIV epidemic, there is an urgent need for expanded monitoring and the optimization of testing methodologies.

Next-Generation Sequencing Methods for Near-Real-Time Molecular Epidemiology of HIV and HCV

The World Health Organisation has set targets of reducing the transmission of new hepatitis C (HCV) infections by 90%, and ending human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV) as a public health threat, by 2030. To achieve this, efficient and timely viral surveillance, and effective public health interventions, are required. Traditional epidemiological methods are largely dependent on the recognition of incident cases with symptomatic illness; acute HIV and HCV infections are commonly asymptomatic, which may lead to delays in the recognition of such new infections. Instead, for these viruses, molecular epidemiology may improve the detection of, and response to, clusters of viral transmission. Molecular epidemiology using historical datasets has highlighted key populations that may have benefitted from a timely intervention. Similar analyses performed on contemporary samples are needed to underpin the 2030 targets, but this requires the generation of a cohesive dataset of viral genome sequences in near-real-time. To generate such data, methodologies harnessing next-generation sequencing (NGS) should be utilised. Here we discuss the opportunity presented by NGS for public health surveillance of HIV and HCV, and discuss three methods that can generate sequences for such analysis. These include full-length genome amplification, utilised for analysis of HCV in the research space; tiling PCR, which was the method of choice for many diagnostic laboratories in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic; and bait-capture hybridisation, which has been utilised in local HIV outbreaks. These techniques could be applied for near-real-time HIV and HCV surveillance, informing public health strategies that will be key to achieving 2030 targets.

Global and regional genetic diversity of HIV-1 in 2010-21: systematic review and analysis of prevalence

BACKGROUND

The extensive global genetic diversity of HIV-1 poses a major challenge to HIV vaccine development. We aimed to determine recent estimates of and changes in the global and regional distributions of HIV-1 genetic variants.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review by searching PubMed, Embase, Global Health, and CINAHL for studies containing country-specific HIV-1 subtyping data, published between Jan 1, 2010 and Sep 16, 2022. The proportions of HIV-1 subtypes, circulating recombinant forms (CRFs), and unique recombinant forms (URFs) in each country were weighted by UNAIDS estimates of the numbers of people living with HIV (PLHIV) in each country to obtain regional and global prevalence estimates of HIV-1 subtypes, CRFs, and URFs with 95% CIs for the time periods 2010-15 and 2016-21. The protocol is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42017067164.

FINDINGS

We obtained 1044 datasets, containing HIV-1 subtyping data from 653 013 PLHIV from 122 countries in 2010-2021. In 2016-2021, subtype C accounted for 50·4% (95% CI 50·2-50·7; n=18 570 462 of 36 823 798) of global HIV infections, subtype A for 12·4% (12·2-12·6; n=4 571 250), subtype B for 11·3% (11·1-11·5; n=4 157 686), subtype G for 2·9% (2·9-3·0; n=1 083 568), subtype D for 2·6% (2·5-2·7; n=945 815), subtype F for 0·9% (0·8-0·9; n=316 724), CRFs for 15·1% (14·9-15·3; n=5 564 566), and URFs for 2·0% (1·9-2·1; n=733 374). Subtypes H, J, and K each accounted for 0·1% or less of infections. Compared with 2010-15, we observed significant (p<0·0001) increases in global proportions of subtype A (0·9%, 95% CI 0·7 to 1·1) and subtype C (3·4%, 3·0 to 3·7) and decreases in subtype D (-0·5%, -0·6 to -0·4), subtype G (-0·8%, -1·0 to -0·7), CRFs (-1·0%, -1·3 to -0·8), and URFs (-1·8%, -1·9 to -1·7), with no changes for subtypes B and F. The global proportion of infections attributed to recombinants decreased from 21·6% (95% CI 21·4 to 21·7; n=7 099 252 of 32 622 808) in 2010-15 to 19·3% (19·1 to 19·5; n=7 094 694 of 36 823 798) in 2016-21 (-2·3%, 95% CI -2·6 to -2·0; p<0·0001). Regional distributions of HIV-1 variants were complex and evolving, with global trends in the prevalence of HIV-1 variants supported by trends across the regions.

INTERPRETATION

Global and regional HIV-1 genetic diversity are complex and continue to evolve. Continued and improved surveillance of HIV-1 variants remains vital for HIV vaccine development and implementation.

FUNDING

None.

Mapping Transmission Dynamics and Drug Resistance Surveillance in the Cyprus HIV-1 Epidemic (2017-2021)

The human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) epidemic has been a major public health threat on a global scale since the early 1980s. Despite the introduction of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), the incidence of new HIV-1 infections continues to rise in some regions around the world. Thus, with the continuous transmission of HIV-1 and the lack of a cure, it is imperative for molecular epidemiological studies to be performed, to monitor the infection and ultimately be able to control the spread of this virus. This work provides a comprehensive molecular epidemiological analysis of the HIV-1 infection in Cyprus, through examining 305 HIV-1 sequences collected between 9 March 2017 and 14 October 2021. Employing advanced statistical and bioinformatic techniques, the research delved deeply into understanding the transmission dynamics of the HIV-1 epidemic in Cyprus, as well as the monitoring of HIV-1's genetic diversity and the surveillance of transmitted drug resistance. The characterization of Cyprus's HIV-1 epidemic revealed a diverse landscape, comprising 21 HIV-1 group M pure subtypes and circulating recombinant forms (CRFs), alongside numerous uncharacterized recombinant strains. Subtypes A1 and B emerged as the most prevalent strains, followed by CRF02_AG. The findings of this study also revealed high levels of transmitted drug resistance (TDR) patterns, raising concerns for the efficacy of cART. The demographic profiles of individuals involved in HIV-1 transmission underscored the disproportionate burden borne by young to middle-aged Cypriot males, particularly those in the MSM community, who reported contracting the virus in Cyprus. An assessment of the spatiotemporal evolutionary dynamics illustrated the global interconnectedness of HIV-1 transmission networks, implicating five continents in the dissemination of strains within Cyprus: Europe, Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania. Overall, this study advances the comprehension of the HIV-1 epidemic in Cyprus and highlights the importance of understanding HIV-1's transmission dynamics through continuous surveillance efforts. Furthermore, this work emphasizes the critical role of state-of-the-art bioinformatics analyses in addressing the challenges posed by HIV-1 transmission globally, laying the groundwork for public health interventions aimed at curbing its spread and improving patient outcomes.

The evolution of envelope function during coinfection with phylogenetically distinct human immunodeficiency virus

BACKGROUND

Coinfection with two phylogenetically distinct Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV-1) variants might provide an opportunity for rapid viral expansion and the emergence of fit variants that drive disease progression. However, autologous neutralising immune responses are known to drive Envelope (Env) diversity which can either enhance replicative capacity, have no effect, or reduce viral fitness. This study investigated whether in vivo outgrowth of coinfecting variants was linked to pseudovirus and infectious molecular clones' infectivity to determine whether diversification resulted in more fit virus with the potential to increase disease progression.

RESULTS

For most participants, emergent recombinants displaced the co-transmitted variants and comprised the major population at 52 weeks postinfection with significantly higher entry efficiency than other co-circulating viruses. Our findings suggest that recombination within gp41 might have enhanced Env fusogenicity which contributed to the increase in pseudovirus entry efficiency. Finally, there was a significant correlation between pseudovirus entry efficiency and CD4 + T cell count, suggesting that the enhanced replicative capacity of recombinant variants could result in more virulent viruses.

CONCLUSION

Coinfection provides variants with the opportunity to undergo rapid recombination that results in more infectious virus. This highlights the importance of monitoring the replicative fitness of emergent viruses.

Using viral diversity to identify HIV-1 variants under HLA-dependent selection in a systematic viral genome-wide screen

The pathogenesis of HIV-1 infection is governed by a highly dynamic, time-dependent interaction between the host and the viral genome. In this study, we developed a novel systematic approach to assess the host-virus interaction, using average pairwise viral diversity as a proxy for time since infection, and applied this method to nearly whole viral genome sequences (n = 4,464), human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genotyping data (n = 1,044), and viral RNA load (VL) measurements during the untreated chronic phase (n = 829) of Swiss HIV Cohort Study participants. Our systematic genome-wide screen revealed for 98 HLA/viral-variant pairs a signature of immune-driven selection in the form of an HLA-dependent effect of infection time on the presence of HIV amino acid variants. Of these pairs, 12 were found to have an effect on VL. Furthermore, 28/58 pairs were validated by time-to-event analyses and 48/92 by computational HLA-epitope predictions. Our diversity-based approach allows a powerful and systematic investigation of the interaction between the virus and cellular immunity, revealing a notable subset of such interaction effects. From an evolutionary perspective, these observations underscore the complexity of HLA-mediated selection pressures on the virus that shape viral evolution and pathogenesis.

Characterising HIV-1 transmission in Victoria, Australia: a molecular epidemiological study

Background

In Australia the incidence of HIV has declined steadily, yet sustained reduction of HIV transmission in this setting requires improved public health responses. As enhanced public health responses and prioritisation of resources may be guided by molecular epidemiological data, here we aimed to assess the applicability of these approaches in Victoria, Australia.

Methods

A comprehensive collection of HIV-1 pol sequences from individuals diagnosed with HIV in Victoria, Australia, between January 1st 2000 and December 31st 2020 were deidentified and used as the basis of our assessment. These sequences were subtyped and surveillance drug resistance mutations (SDRMs) identified, before definition of transmission groups was performed using HIV-TRACE (0.4.4). Phylodynamic methods were applied using BEAST (2.6.6), assessing effective reproductive numbers for large groups, and additional demographic data were integrated to provide a high resolution view of HIV transmission in Victoria on a decadal time scale.

Findings

Based on standard settings for HIV-TRACE, 70% (2438/3507) of analysed HIV-1 pol sequences were readily assigned to a transmission group. Individuals in transmission groups were more commonly males (aOR 1.50), those born in Australia (aOR 2.13), those with probable place of acquisition as Victoria (aOR 6.73), and/or those reporting injectable drug use (aOR 2.13). SDRMs were identified in 375 patients (10.7%), with sustained transmission of these limited to a subset of smaller groups. Informative patterns of epidemic growth, stabilisation, and decline were observed; many transmission groups showed effective reproductive numbers (R e ) values reaching greater than 4.0, representing considerable epidemic growth, while others maintained low R e values.

Interpretation

This study provides a high resolution view of HIV transmission in Victoria, Australia, and highlights the potential of molecular epidemiology to guide and enhance public health responses in this setting. This informs ongoing discussions with community groups on the acceptability and place of molecular epidemiological approaches in Australia.

Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council, Australian Research Council.

Public Discourse, User Reactions, and Conspiracy Theories on the X Platform About HIV Vaccines: Data Mining and Content Analysis

BACKGROUND

The initiation of clinical trials for messenger RNA (mRNA) HIV vaccines in early 2022 revived public discussion on HIV vaccines after 3 decades of unsuccessful research. These trials followed the success of mRNA technology in COVID-19 vaccines but unfolded amid intense vaccine debates during the COVID-19 pandemic. It is crucial to gain insights into public discourse and reactions about potential new vaccines, and social media platforms such as X (formerly known as Twitter) provide important channels.

OBJECTIVE

Drawing from infodemiology and infoveillance research, this study investigated the patterns of public discourse and message-level drivers of user reactions on X regarding HIV vaccines by analyzing posts using machine learning algorithms. We examined how users used different post types to contribute to topics and valence and how these topics and valence influenced like and repost counts. In addition, the study identified salient aspects of HIV vaccines related to COVID-19 and prominent anti-HIV vaccine conspiracy theories through manual coding.

METHODS

We collected 36,424 English-language original posts about HIV vaccines on the X platform from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2022. We used topic modeling and sentiment analysis to uncover latent topics and valence, which were subsequently analyzed across post types in cross-tabulation analyses and integrated into linear regression models to predict user reactions, specifically likes and reposts. Furthermore, we manually coded the 1000 most engaged posts about HIV and COVID-19 to uncover salient aspects of HIV vaccines related to COVID-19 and the 1000 most engaged negative posts to identify prominent anti-HIV vaccine conspiracy theories.

RESULTS

Topic modeling revealed 3 topics: HIV and COVID-19, mRNA HIV vaccine trials, and HIV vaccine and immunity. HIV and COVID-19 underscored the connections between HIV vaccines and COVID-19 vaccines, as evidenced by subtopics about their reciprocal impact on development and various comparisons. The overall valence of the posts was marginally positive. Compared to self-composed posts initiating new conversations, there was a higher proportion of HIV and COVID-19-related and negative posts among quote posts and replies, which contribute to existing conversations. The topic of mRNA HIV vaccine trials, most evident in self-composed posts, increased repost counts. Positive valence increased like and repost counts. Prominent anti-HIV vaccine conspiracy theories often falsely linked HIV vaccines to concurrent COVID-19 and other HIV-related events.

CONCLUSIONS

The results highlight COVID-19 as a significant context for public discourse and reactions regarding HIV vaccines from both positive and negative perspectives. The success of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines shed a positive light on HIV vaccines. However, COVID-19 also situated HIV vaccines in a negative context, as observed in some anti-HIV vaccine conspiracy theories misleadingly connecting HIV vaccines with COVID-19. These findings have implications for public health communication strategies concerning HIV vaccines.

Distinct genetic clusters in HIV-1 CRF01_AE-infected patients induced variable degrees of CD4+ T-cell loss

CRF01_AE strains have been shown to form multiple transmission clusters in China, and some clusters have disparate pathogenicity in Chinese men who have sex with men. This study focused on other CRF01_AE clusters prevalent in heterosexual populations. The CD4+ T-cell counts from both cross-section data in National HIV Molecular Epidemiology Survey and seropositive cohort data were used to evaluate the pathogenicity of the CRF01_AE clusters and other HIV-1 sub-types. Their mechanisms of pathogenicity were evaluated by co-receptor tropisms, predicted by genotyping and confirmed with virus isolate phenotyping, as well as inflammation parameters. Our research elucidated that individuals infected with CRF01_AE clusters 1 and 2 exhibited significantly lower baseline CD4+ T-cell counts and greater CD4+ T-cell loss in cohort follow-up, compared with other HIV-1 sub-types and CRF01_AE clusters. The increased pathogenesis of cluster 1 or 2 was associated with higher CXCR4 tropisms, higher inflammation/immune activation, and increased pyroptosis. The protein structure modeling analysis revealed that the envelope V3 loop of clusters 1 and 2 viruses is favorable for CXCR4 co-receptor usage. Imbedded with the most mutating reverse transcriptase, HIV-1 is one of the most variable viruses. CRF01_AE clusters 1 and 2 have been found to have evolved into more virulent strains in regions with predominant heterosexual infections. The virulent strains increased the pressure for early diagnosis and treatment in HIV patients. To save more lives, HIV-1 surveillance systems should be upgraded from serology and genotyping to phenotyping, which could support precision interventions for those infected by virulent viruses.

IMPORTANCE

Retroviruses swiftly adapt, employing error-prone enzymes for genetic and phenotypic evolution, optimizing survival strategies, and enhancing virulence levels. HIV-1 CRF01_AE has persistently undergone adaptive selection, and cluster 1 and 2 infections display lower counts and fast loss of CD4+ T cells than other HIV-1 sub-types and CRF01_AE clusters. Its mechanisms are associated with increased CXCR4 tropism due to an envelope structure change favoring a tropism shift from CCR5 to CXCR4, thereby shaping viral phenotype features and impacting pathogenicity. This underscores the significance of consistently monitoring HIV-1 genetic evolution and phenotypic transfer to see whether selection bias across risk groups alters the delicate balance of transmissible versus toxic trade-offs, since virulent strains such as CRF01_AE clusters 1 and 2 could seriously compromise the efficacy of antiviral treatment. Only through such early warning and diagnostic services can precise antiviral treatments be administered to those infected with more virulent HIV-1 strains.

Genetic signatures in the highly virulent subtype B HIV-1 conferring immune escape to V1/V2 and V3 broadly neutralizing antibodies

HIV-1 is considered to become less susceptible to existing neutralizing antibodies over time. Our study on the virulent B (VB) HIV-1 identified genetic signatures responsible for immune escape from broadly neutralizing antibodies (bNAbs) targeting V1/V2 and V3 glycan epitopes. We found that the absence of N295 and N332 glycans in the high mannose patch, which are crucial for neutralization by V3 glycan bNAbs and are typically conserved in subtype B HIV-1, is a notable feature in more than half of the VB variants. Neutralization assays confirmed that the loss of these two glycans in VB HIV-1 leads to escape from V3 glycan bNAbs. Additionally, all VB variants we investigated have an insertion in V2, contributing to immune escape from V1/V2 bNAbs PG9 and PG16. These findings suggest potential co-evolution of HIV-1 virulence and antigenicity, underscoring the need to monitor both the pathogenicity and neutralization susceptibility of newly emerged HIV-1 strains.

HIV-1 Gag, Pol, and Env diversified with limited adaptation since the 1980s

Knowledge of HIV-1 global sequence diversity is critical for developing an effective prophylactic against HIV-1 infection. We developed the Hervé platform to analyze and visualize trends in HIV-1 diversification. Using Hervé, we analyzed 4,830 Env, 4,407 Gag, and 3,002 Pol publicly available independent sequences corresponding to subtypes A1, A6, B, C, D, F1, and G and circulating recombinant forms (CRFs) 01_AE, 02_AG, and 07_BC; sequences were sampled between 1980 and 2020 from 82 countries. HIV-1 diversified with a median of 1.82 amino acid substitutions per year in Env, 0.297 in Gag, and 0.779 in Pol. Yet, Env subtype B diversification plateaued post-2000. Pairwise diversity within subtypes and CRFs increased by 41.82% (range = 24.85%-54.41%) in Env, 56.93% (15.38%-89.16%) in Gag, and 46.12% (11.70%-70.57%) in Pol. Consensus sequences based on sequences sampled in each decade remained relatively stable over time. Similarly, at antibody epitope sites, only 0-8 residues that were minority variants became consensus over time in any subtype/CRF and only one known drug resistance mutation site differed from the reference (subtype G). The apparent contradiction between the fast diversification of HIV-1 and its limited adaptation illustrates that HIV-1 evolution is not directional and its consensus is at the intersection of millions of within-host selective processes occurring in a star-like manner. While a consensus sequence is a better representation of HIV-1 diversity than any individual sequence, consensus sequences have progressively become more distant from the circulating sequences they represent.

IMPORTANCE

Global surveillance of HIV-1 sequences is critical for designing relevant prophylactic and therapeutic interventions to infection. We designed an open-source platform, Hervé, for analyzing and visualizing the diversification dynamics of HIV-1 protein sequences. We characterized the evolution of over 12,000 HIV-1 Env, Gag, and Pol protein sequences from 1980-2020 and found that, despite a steady increase in intra-subtype and circulating recombinant form diversity, the most frequent residue at each site, i.e., the consensus, has varied only moderately.

High prevalence of pre-treatment and acquired HIV-1 drug resistance mutations among non-citizens living with HIV in Botswana

Background

Approximately 30,000 non-citizens are living with HIV in Botswana, all of whom as of 2020 are eligible to receive free antiretroviral treatment (ART) within the country. We assessed the prevalence of HIV-1 mutational profiles [pre-treatment drug resistance (PDR) and acquired drug resistance (ADR)] among treatment-experienced (TE) and treatment-naïve (TN) non-citizens living with HIV in Botswana.

Methods

A total of 152 non-citizens living with HIV were enrolled from a migrant HIV clinic at Independence Surgery, a private practice in Botswana from 2019-2021. Viral RNA isolated from plasma samples were genotyped for HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) using Sanger sequencing. Major known HIV drug resistance mutations (DRMs) in the pol region were determined using the Stanford HIV Drug Resistance Database. The proportions of HIV DRMs amongst TE and TN non-citizens were estimated with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) and compared between the two groups.

Results

A total of 60/152 (39.5%) participants had a detectable viral load (VL) >40 copies/mL and these were included in the subsequent analyses. The median age at enrollment was 43 years (Q1, Q3: 38-48). Among individuals with VL > 40 copies/mL, 60% (36/60) were treatment-experienced with 53% (19/36) of them on Atripla. Genotyping had a 62% (37/60) success rate - 24 were TE, and 13 were TN. A total of 29 participants (78.4, 95% CI: 0.12-0.35) had major HIV DRMs, including at least one non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) associated DRM. In TE individuals, ADR to any antiretroviral drug was 83.3% (20/24), while for PDR was 69.2% (9/13). The most frequent DRMs were nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) M184V (62.1%, 18/29), NNRTIs V106M (41.4%, 12/29), and K103N (34.4%, 10/29). No integrase strand transfer inhibitor-associated DRMs were reported.

Conclusion

We report high rates of PDR and ADR in ART-experienced and ART-naïve non-citizens, respectively, in Botswana. Given the uncertainty of time of HIV acquisition and treatment adherence levels in this population, routine HIV-1C VL monitoring coupled with HIVDR genotyping is crucial for long-term ART success.

Regional variation in NAFLD prevalence and risk factors among people living with HIV in Europe: a meta-analysis

Background and Aim

Europe faces an elevated risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among people living with HIV (PLWH), contributing to the region's highest global burden of NAFLD. However, the prevalence of NAFLD across various European countries and regions remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the prevalence and risk factors associated with NAFLD among PLWH across European countries.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted across four databases: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. Data on the prevalence of NAFLD, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and fibrosis, as well as the associated risk factors, were collected among PLWH in Europe.

Results

Thirty-six studies from 13 European nations were included. The prevalence of NAFLD, NASH, and fibrosis were 42% (95%CI 37-48), 35% (95%CI 21-50) and 13% (95%CI 10-15), respectively. Male gender, BMI, waist circumference, Diabetes, hypertension, metabolic syndrome, dyslipidemia, triglycerides, HDL, LDL, ALT, AST, and years on antiretroviral therapy (ART) were found to be risk factors for NAFLD. High BMI and triglycerides were associated with NASH. Patients with high BMI and triglycerides are at increased risk of significant liver fibrosis.

Conclusion

The high prevalence of NAFLD, NASH, and fibrosis among PLWH in Europe highlights the need for early screening, intervention, and increased research focus on adolescents living with HIV. Furthermore, the significant variations observed between countries and regions underscore the influence of related risk factors.

Prevention of HIV in the MSM Population: A Cultural-Historical Comparison of Sweden and the Netherlands

The aim of this article is to compare the cultural-historical events and decisions regarding how to deal with the higher risks of HIV in MSM, and more specifically, gay populations in Sweden and the Netherlands. A narrative literature was used, based on 46 scientific articles and 20 additional semi-scientific resources. The themes of the arrival of HIV and AIDS, blood donations, offender/victim, the balance of risks with respect to the statistical probabilities and the human factor, and finally, prevention were discussed. It is concluded that certain context-specific historical events (the Dutch Bloody Sunday and the Swedish gay sauna ban) and culturally determined processes (trust in others in the Netherlands, and disapproval of casual sex in Sweden) have led to some important differences in how HIV and AIDS and the higher risks for gay men and MSM have been dealt with. In the Netherlands, there is a stronger protective attitude when it comes to the freedom and autonomy of MSM both when it comes to decisions about sexual behavior and to sharing any positive HIV status. In Sweden, on the other hand, there is a stronger tendency to enforce informing others of their HIV status. In both countries, despite efforts to prevent this, HIV has increased stigma for gay men and other MSM.

Factors Associated with Virological Failure in First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy in Patients Diagnosed with HIV-1 between 2010 and 2018 in Israel

Despite the progress in contemporary antiretroviral therapy (ART) and the continuous changes in treatment guidelines, virological failure (VF) is still an ongoing concern. The goal of this study was to assess factors related to VF after first-line ART. A longitudinal cohort retrospective study of individuals on first-line ART diagnosed with HIV-1 in 2010-2018 and followed-up for a median of two years was conducted. Demographics, baseline and longitudinal CD4 counts, treatment regimens, adherence and VF were recorded. The Cox proportional hazards regression and mixed models were used. A cohort of 1130 patients were included. Overall, 80% were males and 62% were Israeli-born individuals. Compared to individuals diagnosed in 2010-2014, when treatment was initiated according to CD4 levels, those diagnosed in 2015-2018 were older and had lower baseline CD4 counts. VF was recorded in 66 (5.8%) patients. Diagnosis with CD4 <200 cells/mmᶟ with AIDS-defining conditions (HR = 2.75, 95%CI:1.52-4.97, p < 0.001) and non-integrase strand transfer inhibitor regimens (non-INSTI, HR = 1.80, 95%CI:1.01-3.24, p = 0.047) increased VF risk. No impact of baseline resistance was observed. We concluded that the early detection of HIV-1 infection and usage of INSTI-based regimens are recommended to reduce VF.

Identification of a HIV-1 circulating BF1 recombinant form (CRF75_BF1) of Brazilian origin that also circulates in Southwestern Europe

Introduction

The high recombinogenic potential of HIV-1 has resulted in the generation of countless unique recombinant forms (URFs) and around 120 reported circulating recombinant forms (CRFs). Here we identify through analyses of near full-length genomes (NFLG) a new HIV-1 CRF derived from subtypes B and F1.

Methods

HIV-1 protease-reverse transcriptase (Pr-RT) sequences were obtained by RT-PCR amplification from plasma RNA. Near full-length genome sequences were obtained after amplification by RT-PCR in 5 overlapping fragments. Phylogenetic sequence analyses were performed via maximum likelihood. Mosaic structures were analyzed by bootscanning and phylogenetic analyses of genome segments. Temporal and geographical estimations of clade emergence were performed with a Bayesian coalescent method.

Results

Through phylogenetic analyses of HIV-1 Pr-RT sequences obtained by us from samples collected in Spain and downloaded from databases, we identified a BF1 recombinant cluster segregating from previously reported CRFs comprising 52 viruses, most from Brazil (n = 26), Spain (n = 11), and Italy (n = 9). The analyses of NFLG genomes of 4 viruses of the cluster, 2 from Spain and 2 from Italy, allowed to identify a new CRF, designated CRF75_BF1, which exhibits a complex mosaic structure with 20 breakpoints. All 4 patients harboring CRF75_BF1 viruses studied by us had CD4+ T-cell lymphocyte counts below 220/mm3 less than one year after diagnosis, a proportion significantly higher (p = 0.0074) than the 29% found in other patients studied in Spain by us during the same period. The origin of the clade comprising CRF75_BF1 and related viruses was estimated around 1984 in Brazil, with subsequent introduction of CRF75_BF1 in Italy around 1992, and migration from Italy to Spain around 1999.

Conclusion

A new HIV-1 CRF, designated CRF75_BF1, has been identified. CRF75_BF1 is the 6th CRF of South American origin initially identified in Western Europe, reflecting the increasing relationship of South American and European HIV-1 epidemics. The finding of low CD4+ T-cell lymphocyte counts early after diagnosis in patients harboring CRF75_BF1 viruses warrants further investigation on the virulence of this variant.

Development of a multiassay algorithm (MAA) to identify recent HIV infection in newly diagnosed individuals in Indonesia

Ongoing HIV transmission is a public health priority in Indonesia. We developed a new multiassay algorithm (MAA) to identify recent HIV infection. The MAA is a sequential decision tree based on multiple biomarkers, starting with CD4+ T cells >200/μL, followed by plasma viral load (pVL) > 1,000 copies/ml, avidity index (AI) < 0 · 7, and pol ambiguity <0 · 47%. Plasma from 140 HIV-infected adults from 19 hospitals across Indonesia (January 2018 - June 2020) was studied, consisting of a training set (N = 60) of longstanding infection (>12-month) and a test set (N = 80) of newly diagnosed (≤1-month) antiretroviral (ARV) drug naive individuals. Ten of eighty (12 · 5%) newly diagnosed individuals were classified as recent infections. Drug resistance mutations (DRMs) against reverse transcriptase inhibitors were identified in two individuals: one infected with HIV subtype C (K219Q, V179T) and the other with CRF01_AE (V179D). Ongoing HIV transmission, including infections with DRMs, is substantial in Indonesia.

Evolution of HIV virulence in response to disease-modifying vaccines: A modeling study

Pathogens face a tradeoff with respect to virulence; while more virulent strains often have higher per-contact transmission rates, they are also more likely to kill their hosts earlier. Because virulence is a heritable trait, there is concern that a disease-modifying vaccine, which reduces the disease severity of an infected vaccinee without changing the underlying pathogen genotype, may result in the evolution of higher pathogen virulence. We explored the potential for such virulence evolution with a disease-modifying HIV-1 vaccine in an agent-based stochastic epidemic model of HIV in United States men who have sex with men (MSM). In the model, vaccinated agents received no protection against infection, but experienced lower viral loads and slower disease progression. We compared the genotypic set point viral load (SPVL), a measure of HIV virulence, in populations given vaccines that varied in the degree of SPVL reduction they induce. Sensitivity analyses were conducted under varying vaccine coverage scenarios. With continual vaccination rollout under ideal circumstances of 90 % coverage over thirty years, the genotypic SPVL of vaccinated individuals evolved to become greater than the genotypic SPVL of unvaccinated individuals. This virulence evolution in turn diminished the public health benefit of the vaccine, and in some scenarios resulted in an accelerated epidemic. These findings demonstrate the complexity of viral evolution and have important implications for the design and development of HIV vaccines.

Genomic Detection of the Emerging, Highly Pathogenic HIV-1 Subtype D in Bahia, Northeast Brazil

(1) Background: The HIV subtype D is generally associated with a faster decline in CD4+ T cell counts, a higher viral load, and a faster progression to AIDS. However, it is still poorly characterized in Brazil. In this study, we used genomics and epidemiological data to investigate the transmission dynamics of HIV subtype D in the state of Bahia, Northeast Brazil. (2) Methods: To achieve this goal, we obtained four novel HIV-1 subtype D partial pol genome sequences using the Sanger method. To understand the emergence of this novel subtype in the state of Bahia, we used phylodynamic analysis on a dataset comprising 3704 pol genome sequences downloaded from the Los Alamos database. (3) Results: Our analysis revealed three branching patterns, indicating multiple introductions of the HIV-1 subtype D in Brazil from the late 1980s to the late 2000s and a single introduction event in the state of Bahia. Our data further suggest that these introductions most likely originated from European, Eastern African, Western African, and Southern African countries. (4) Conclusion: Understanding the distribution of HIV-1 viral strains and their temporal dynamics is crucial for monitoring the real-time evolution of circulating subtypes and recombinant forms, as well as for designing novel diagnostic and vaccination strategies. We advocate for a shift to active surveillance, to ensure adequate preparedness for future epidemics mediated by emerging viral strains.

Global associations of key populations with HIV-1 recombinants: a systematic review, global survey, and individual participant data meta-analysis

Introduction

Global HIV infections due to HIV-1 recombinants are increasing and impede prevention and treatment efforts. Key populations suffer most new HIV infections, but their role in the spread of HIV-1 recombinants is unknown. We conducted a global analysis of the associations between key populations and HIV-1 recombinants.

Methods

We searched PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Global Health for HIV-1 subtyping studies published from 1/1/1990 to 31/12/2015. Unpublished data was collected through a global survey. We included studies with HIV-1 subtyping data of key populations collected during 1990-2015. Key populations assessed were heterosexual people (HET), men who have sex with men (MSM), people who inject drugs (PWID), vertical transmissions (VERT), commercial sex workers (CSW), and transfusion-associated infections (BLOOD). Logistic regression was used to determine associations of key populations with HIV-1 recombinants. Subgroup analyses were performed for circulating recombinant forms (CRFs), unique recombinant forms (URFs), regions, and time periods.

Results

Eight hundred and eighty five datasets including 77,284 participants from 83 countries were included. Globally, PWID were associated with the greatest odds of recombinants and CRFs (OR 2.6 [95% CI 2.46-2.74] and 2.99 [2.83-3.16]), compared to HET. CSW were associated with increased odds of recombinants and URFs (1.59 [1.44-1.75] and 3.61 [3.15-4.13]). VERT and BLOOD were associated with decreased odds of recombinants (0.58 [0.54-0.63] and 0.43 [0.33-0.56]). MSM were associated with increased odds of recombinants in 2010-2015 (1.43 [1.35-1.51]). Subgroup analyses supported our main findings.

Discussion

As PWID, CSW, and MSM are associated with HIV-1 recombinants, increased preventative measures and HIV-1 molecular surveillance are crucial within these key populations.

Systematic review registration

PROSPERO [CRD42017067164].

Evolutionary implications of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination for the future design of vaccination strategies

Once the first SARS-CoV-2 vaccine became available, mass vaccination was the main pillar of the public health response to the COVID-19 pandemic. It was very effective in reducing hospitalizations and deaths. Here, we discuss the possibility that mass vaccination might accelerate SARS-CoV-2 evolution in antibody-binding regions compared to natural infection at the population level. Using the evidence of strong genetic variation in antibody-binding regions and taking advantage of the similarity between the envelope proteins of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, we assume that immune selection pressure acting on these regions of the two viruses is similar. We discuss the consequences of this assumption for SARS-CoV-2 evolution in light of mathematical models developed previously for influenza. We further outline the implications of this phenomenon, if our assumptions are confirmed, for the future design of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination strategies.

Do pathogens always evolve to be less virulent? The virulence–transmission trade-off in light of the COVID-19 pandemic

The direction the evolution of virulence takes in connection with any pathogen is a long-standing question. Formerly, it was theorized that pathogens should always evolve to be less virulent. As observations were not in line with this theoretical outcome, new theories emerged, chief among them the transmission–virulence trade-off hypotheses, which predicts an intermediate level of virulence as the endpoint of evolution. At the moment, we are very much interested in the future evolution of COVID-19’s virulence. Here, we show that the disease does not fulfill all the assumptions of the hypothesis. In the case of COVID-19, a higher viral load does not mean a higher risk of death; immunity is not long-lasting; other hosts can act as reservoirs for the virus; and death as a consequence of viral infection does not shorten the infectious period. Consequently, we cannot predict the short- or long-term evolution of the virulence of COVID-19.

Roadmap for Achieving Universal Antiretroviral Treatment

Modern antiretroviral therapy safely, potently, and durably suppresses human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) that, if left untreated, predictably causes acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), which has been responsible for tens of millions of deaths globally since it was described in 1981. In one of the most extraordinary medical success stories in modern times, a combination of pioneering basic science, innovative drug development, and ambitious public health programming resulted in access to lifesaving, safe drugs, taken as an oral tablet daily, for most of the world. However, substantial challenges remain in the fields of prevention, timely access to diagnosis, and treatment, especially in pediatric and adolescent patients. As HIV-positive adults age, treating their comorbidities will require understanding the course of different chronic diseases complicated by HIV-related and antiretroviral toxicities and finding potential treatments. Finally, new long-acting antiretrovirals on the horizon promise exciting new options in both the prevention and treatment fields.

Detection of Polish cases of highly virulent subtype B of HIV-1 originating in the Netherlands

Infection with the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) subtype B is most commonly acquired in Poland through men who have sex with men (MSM) comparable to the HIV epidemic in the Netherlands. Following a paper by Chris Wymant et al. on February 4, 2022 in Science on a highly virulent variant of HIV-1 subtype-B (VB-variant) in the Netherlands raised concerns about the possibility of the variant dissemination to other European countries. We aim to report the spread of HIV-1 VB-variant, recently identified in the Netherlands, into other European regions. Subtype B pol gene fragments of protease (P), reverse transcriptase (RT), and integrase (IN) from our laboratory supplemented with publicly available sequences were inferred with VB samples from the Netherlands. For positively clustering samples, clinical observations were compiled. Between May 2009 and August 2014, three cases of VB sequences of Polish origin and one additional from Belgium were identified. Patients presented with elevated viral loads and fast CD4 decline as original characteristics. The mean number of base substitutions per site within the clade versus interclade variability showed a high intragroup sequence similarity, reflecting an ongoing MSM transmission cluster for Polish sequences. The sampling period coincides with the ongoing Dutch VB-variant spread reported between 2003 and 2014. This study informs on phylogenetic descriptions, and clinical symptoms from the rare and emerging VBs placed in Poland. VB is not expanding since 2014 and the Inviduals infected with the VB virus can be treated successfully. Studies on the propagation of novel and potentially virulent virus variants in the undersampled regions add to the understanding of the pan-European HIV-1 transmission dynamics.

Recombinant Simian Varicella Virus-Simian Immunodeficiency Virus Vaccine Induces T and B Cell Functions and Provides Partial Protection against Repeated Mucosal SIV Challenges in Rhesus Macaques

HIV vaccine mediated efficacy, using an expanded live attenuated recombinant varicella virus-vectored SIV rSVV-SIVgag/env vaccine prime with adjuvanted SIV-Env and SIV-Gag protein boosts, was evaluated in a female rhesus macaques (RM) model against repeated intravaginal SIV challenges. Vaccination induced anti-SIV IgG responses and neutralizing antibodies were found in all vaccinated RMs. Three of the eight vaccinated RM remained uninfected (vaccinated and protected, VP) after 13 repeated challenges with the pathogenic SIVmac251-CX-1. The remaining five vaccinated and infected (VI) macaques had significantly reduced plasma viral loads compared with the infected controls (IC). A significant increase in systemic central memory CD4+ T cells and mucosal CD8+ effector memory T-cell responses was detected in vaccinated RMs compared to controls. Variability in lymph node SIV-Gag and Env specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell cytokine responses were detected in the VI RMs while all three VP RMs had more durable cytokine responses following vaccination and prior to challenge. VI RMs demonstrated predominately SIV-specific monofunctional cytokine responses while the VP RMs generated polyfunctional cytokine responses. This study demonstrates that varicella virus-vectored SIV vaccination with protein boosts induces a 37.5% efficacy rate against pathogenic SIV challenge by generating mucosal memory, virus specific neutralizing antibodies, binding antibodies, and polyfunctional T-cell responses.

Spatial-temporal heterogeneity and determinants of HIV prevalence in the Mano River Union countries

BACKGROUND

Utilizing population-based survey data in epidemiological research with a spatial perspective can integrate valuable context into the dynamics of HIV prevalence in West Africa. However, the situation in the Mano River Union (MRU) countries is largely unknown. This research aims to perform an ecological study to determine the HIV prevalence patterns in MRU.

METHODS

We analyzed Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) and AIDS Indicator Survey (AIS) data on HIV prevalence in MRU from 2005 to 2020. We examined the country-specific, regional-specific and sex-specific ratios of respondents to profile the spatial-temporal heterogeneity of HIV prevalence and determine HIV hot spots. We employed Geodetector to measure the spatial stratified heterogeneity (SSH) of HIV prevalence for adult women and men. We assessed the comprehensive correct knowledge (CCK) about HIV/AIDS and HIV testing uptake by employing the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression to predict which combinations of CCKs can scale up the ratio of HIV testing uptake with sex-specific needs.

RESULTS

In our analysis, we leveraged data for 158,408 respondents from 11 surveys in the MRU. From 2005-2015, Cote d'Ivoire was the hot spot for HIV prevalence with a Gi_Bin score of 3, Z-Score 8.0-10.1 and P < 0.001. From 2016 to 2020, Guinea and Sierra Leone were hot spots for HIV prevalence with a Gi_Bin score of 2, Z-Score of 3.17 and P < 0.01. The SSH confirmed the significant differences in HIV prevalence at the national level strata, with a higher level for Cote d'Ivoire compared to other countries in both sexes with q-values of 0.61 and 0.40, respectively. Our LASSO model predicted different combinations of CCKs with sex-specific needs to improve HIV testing uptake.

CONCLUSIONS

The spatial distribution of HIV prevalence in the MRU is skewed and the CCK about HIV/AIDS and HIV testing uptake are far below the threshold target set by UNAIDS for ending the epidemic in the sub-region. Geodetector detected statistically significant SSH within and between countries in the MRU. Our LASSO model predicted that different emphases should be implemented when popularizing the CCK about HIV/AIDS for adult women and men.

A New HIV-1 K28E32-Reverse Transcriptase Variant Associated with the Rapid Expansion of CRF07_BC among Men Who Have Sex with Men

HIV-1 CRF07_BC originated among injection drug users (IDUs) in China. After diffusing into men who have sex with men (MSM), CRF07_BC has shown a rapid expansion in this group; however, the mechanism remains unclear. Here, we identified a new K₂₈E₃₂ variant of CRF07_BC that was characterized by five specific mutations (E28K, K32E, E248V, K249Q, and T338S) in reverse transcriptase. This variant was mainly prevalent among MSM, and was overrepresented in transmission clusters, suggesting that it could have driven the rapid expansion of CRF07_BC in MSM, though founder effects cannot be ruled out. It was descended from an evolutionary intermediate accumulating four specific mutations and formed an independent phylogenetic node with an estimated origin time in 2003. The K₂₈E₃₂ variant was demonstrated to have significantly higher in vitro HIV-1 replication ability than the wild type. Mutations E28K and K32E play a critical role in the improvement of in vitro HIV-1 replication ability, reflected by improved reverse transcription activity. The results could allow public health officials to use this marker (especially E28K and K32E mutations in the reverse transcriptase (RT) coding region) to target prevention measures prioritizing MSM population and persons infected with this variant for test and treat initiatives. IMPORTANCE HIV-1 has very high mutation rate that is correlated with the survival and adaption of the virus. The variants with higher transmissibility may be more selective advantage than the strains with higher virulence. Several HIV-1 variants were previously demonstrated to be correlated with higher viral load and lower CD4 T cell count. Here, we first identified a new variant (the K₂₈E₃₂ variant) of HIV-1 CRF07_BC, described its origin and evolutionary dynamics, and demonstrated its higher in vitro HIV-1 replication ability than the wild type. We demonstrated that five RT mutations (especially E28K and K32E) significantly improve in vitro HIV-1 replication ability. The appearance of the new K₂₈E₃₂ variant was associated with the rapidly increasing prevalence of CRF07_BC among MSM.

Molecular adaptations during viral epidemics

In 1977, the world witnessed both the eradication of smallpox and the beginning of the modern age of genomics. Over the following half-century, 7 epidemic viruses of international concern galvanized virologists across the globe and led to increasingly extensive virus genome sequencing. These sequencing efforts exerted over periods of rapid adaptation of viruses to new hosts, in particular, humans provide insight into the molecular mechanisms underpinning virus evolution. Investment in virus genome sequencing was dramatically increased by the unprecedented support for phylogenomic analyses during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this review, we attempt to piece together comprehensive molecular histories of the adaptation of variola virus, HIV-1 M, SARS, H1N1-SIV, MERS, Ebola, Zika, and SARS-CoV-2 to the human host. Disruption of genes involved in virus-host interaction in animal hosts, recombination including genome segment reassortment, and adaptive mutations leading to amino acid replacements in virus proteins involved in host receptor binding and membrane fusion are identified as the key factors in the evolution of epidemic viruses.

Scorpion-Shaped Zinc Porphyrins as Tetrafunctional TAR RNA Predators and HIV-1 Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors

HIV-1 reverse transcriptase (RT) inhibitors are fundamental to the discovery and development of anti-HIV drugs. Their main target is RT, and only a tiny number of them can bind to viral RNA. In this paper, five new Zn(II) porphyrin compounds were developed with different characters. ZnTPP4 has both the appearance and the functions of a scorpion with a rigid tail and stinger to selectively hunt HIV-1 TAR RNA based on the molecular recognition of hydrogen bonds, a fierce chelicera to bite RNA by metal coordination, mighty pedipalps to grasp the bound RNA by supramolecular inclusion, and a broad body maintaining the configuration of each functional area so that they can cooperate with each other and providing accommodation space for the bound RNA. This tetrafunctional Zn(II) porphyrin is relatively nontoxic to normal cells and can produce sensitive responses for RNA. Moreover, this work offers practical construction methodologies for medication of AIDS and other diseases closely related to RT like EBOV and SARS-CoV-2.

The C-Terminal Domain of HIV-1 Integrase: A Swiss Army Knife for the Virus?

Retroviral integrase is a multimeric enzyme that catalyzes the integration of reverse-transcribed viral DNA into the cellular genome. Beyond integration, the Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) integrase is also involved in many other steps of the viral life cycle, such as reverse transcription, nuclear import, virion morphogenesis and proviral transcription. All these additional functions seem to depend on the action of the integrase C-terminal domain (CTD) that works as a molecular hub, interacting with many different viral and cellular partners. In this review, we discuss structural issues concerning the CTD, with particular attention paid to its interaction with nucleic acids. We also provide a detailed map of post-translational modifications and interaction with molecular partners.

A Protein-Based, Long-Acting HIV-1 Fusion Inhibitor with an Improved Pharmacokinetic Profile

Recently, a series of highly effective peptide- or protein-based HIV fusion inhibitors have been identified. However, due to their short half-life, their clinical application is limited. Therefore, the development of long-acting HIV fusion inhibitors is urgently needed. Here, we designed and constructed a protein-based, long-acting HIV fusion inhibitor, termed FLT (FN3-L35-T1144), consisting of a monobody, FN3, which contains an albumin-binding domain (ABD), a 35-mer linker (L35), and a peptide-based HIV fusion inhibitor, T1144. We found that FLT bound, via its FN3 component, with human serum albumin (HSA) in a reversible manner, thus maintaining the high efficiency of T1144 against infection by both HIV-1 IIIB (X4) and Bal (R5) strains with IC₅₀ of 11.6 nM and 15.3 nM, respectively, and remarkably prolonging the half-life of T1144 (~27 h in SD rats). This approach affords protein-based HIV fusion inhibitors with much longer half-life compared to enfuvirtide, a peptide-based HIV fusion inhibitor approved for use in clinics. Therefore, FLT is a promising candidate as a new protein-based anti-HIV drug with an improved pharmacokinetic profile.

When viruses become more virulent

[Figure: see text].