Six months versus two years of oral anticoagulation after a first episode of unprovoked deep-vein thrombosis. The PADIS-DVT randomized clinical trial

Duration of anticoagulation of venous thromboembolism

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common, serious condition that requires anticoagulation for at least three months to prevent recurrence and long-term complications. After this initial period, the decision to continue or stop anticoagulation depends on the balance between the risk of recurrent VTE and the risk of bleeding. Established guidelines suggest short-term anticoagulation for VTE caused by transient factors and indefinite anticoagulation for recurrent or cancer-associated VTE. However, for a first unprovoked VTE, decision-making remains challenging. Current predictive scores for recurrence and bleeding are not sufficiently reliable, and the safety and efficacy of reduced-dose anticoagulation remain unclear. In the future, precision and patient-centred medicine may improve treatment decisions in this area.

Trajectories of Oral Anticoagulation Adherence and Associated Clinical Outcomes During Long-Term Anticoagulation Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Venous Thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Little is known about anticoagulation medication nonadherence patterns impacting effectiveness and safety outcomes in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE

We identified adherence trajectories of extended therapy with direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and warfarin after 6 months initial anticoagulant therapy among Medicare beneficiaries with venous thromboembolism (VTE). We further assessed the associated recurrent VTE and major bleeding risks.

METHODS

Using group-based trajectory models, this retrospective cohort study identified distinct beneficiary subgroups with similar adherence patterns of extended-phase anticoagulant treatment (DOACs or warfarin) for patients with VTE who completed 6 months of initial anticoagulant treatment. We examined associations between adherence trajectories and risks of recurrent VTE and major bleeding using inverse probability treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Compared with no extended treatment, consistently high DOAC adherence was associated with decreased recurrent VTE risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.21-0.51) without increased major bleeding risk, and consistently high warfarin adherence was associated with decreased recurrent VTE risk (HR = 0.62, 95% CI = 0.40-0.95) and increased major bleeding risk (HR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.12-2.41). Gradually declining adherence to DOACs (HR = 1.80, 95% CI = 1.07-3.03) or warfarin (HR = 2.34, 95% CI = 1.57-3.47) was associated with increased bleeding risk with no change in recurrent VTE risk.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE

This real-world evidence suggests persistently adhering to extended DOAC therapy is associated with lower recurrent VTE risk without increasing major bleeding among Medicare beneficiaries with VTE. Persistently adhering to extended warfarin therapy was associated with lower recurrent VTE risk but higher major bleeding risk.

Subgroup analyses in venous thromboembolism trials reporting pharmacological interventions: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that conduct subgroup analyses have the potential to provide information on treatment decisions in specific groups of patients from heterogeneous populations. Although we understand several factors can modify the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and the benefit/risk ratio of anticoagulation treatments, further evidence is warranted to show the heterogeneity of treatment effects in different subgroups of patients.

AIMS

The primary purpose was to evaluate the appropriateness and interpretation of subgroup analysis performed on VTE RCTs reporting pharmacological interventions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic review of RCTs published between January 2017 and January 2022 was conducted. Claims of subgroup effects were evaluated with predefined criteria. High-quality claims of subgroup effect were further analyzed and discussed.

RESULTS

Overall, 28 RCTs with a generally low bias risk were included. The purposes of the treatments included pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis (17), therapeutic dose anticoagulation (9), and catheter-directed pharmacologic thrombolysis (2). The evaluated subgroup analyses generally presented: a high number of subgroup analyses reported, a lack of prespecification, and a lack of usage of statistical tests for interaction. The authors reported 13 claims of subgroup effect; only two were considered potentially reliable to represent heterogeneity in the direction or magnitude of treatment effect.

CONCLUSIONS

Subgroup analyses of VTE RCTs reporting pharmacologic interventions are generally methodologically poor. Most claims of subgroup effect did not meet critical criteria and lacked credibility. Clinicians in this field may proceed with scepticism when assessing claims of subgroup effects due to methodological concerns and misleading interpretations.

Antithrombotic therapy for secondary prevention of unprovoked venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Extended antithrombotic treatment is recommended for secondary prevention of unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE), however, there is no consensus on which antithrombotic strategy is preferable.

AIM

To compare the efficacy and safety of different antithrombotic strategies for secondary prevention unprovoked VTE.

METHODS

Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Embase, and MEDLINE were systematically searched from inception to 22 July 2020 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared the efficacy and/or safety of extended antithrombotic strategies including aspirin, warfarin and direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for secondary prevention of unprovoked VTE. The primary outcome was risk of major bleeding and the secondary outcomes were risks of recurrent VTE and all-cause death. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using pairwise and network meta-analysis with random effect. Possible ranking of extended antithrombotic strategies was plotted using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve and mean ranks.

RESULTS

Seventeen RCTs met the inclusion criteria, and meta-analysis results showed that warfarin was associated with significantly higher risk of major bleeding than placebo/observation (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.32-5.55) or apixaban (OR 10.65, 95% CI 1.06-107.13). Apixaban and low-apixaban were the top two strategies according to the ranking of major bleeding. Warfarin (OR 0.25, 95%CI 0.13-0.49), rivaroxaban (OR 0.18, 95%CI 0.03-0.90), apixaban (OR 0.18, 95%CI 0.04-0.85) and low-apixaban (OR 0.18, 95%CI 0.04-0.82) were related to significantly lower risk than placebo/observation; edoxaban was non-inferior to warfarin on the risk of recurrent VTE. Furthermore, apixaban was linked with significantly lower risk of all-cause death than placebo/observation (OR 0.29, 95% CI 0.09-0.88).

CONCLUSION

Apixaban showed superiority to other antithrombotic strategies on major bleeding and all-cause death for secondary prevention of unprovoked VTE. Further studies are warranted owing to the limited number of studies and positive cases.Key messagesAll antithrombotic strategies including warfarin, DOACs and aspirin were superior to placebo/observation on recurrent VTE for secondary prevention of unprovoked VTE.Apixaban demonstrated lower risk of major bleeding than warfarin, and lower risk of all-cause death than placebo/observation.Further research about the efficacy and safety of antithrombotic treatments for secondary prevention of unprovoked VTE is warranted.

Clinical and Safety Outcomes Associated with Extended Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism: A Network Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Many anticoagulant strategies are available for the extended treatment of venous thromboembolism, yet little guidance exists regarding which drug is most effective and safe.

AIM

A network meta-analysis was performed to resolve this uncertainty.

METHODS

We searched the medical literature through June 2022 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the efficacy and safety of anticoagulants for adults with VTE compared with other anticoagulants or a placebo.

RESULTS

We identified 13 eligible RCTs in 12 articles. All pooled hazard ratios (HR) and 95% credible intervals (CrI) mentioned below, except that for aspirin, were calculated by comparison with standard-intensity warfarin. Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) were not inferior to standard-intensity warfarin in preventing recurrence, and edoxaban was ranked first among the NOACs (HR, 0.99; 95% CrI, 0.70-1.39). All the NOACs, except rivaroxaban, were superior to standard-intensity warfarin in preventing bleeding events. Apixaban was ranked first and was considered to be safer than other NOACs for control of both major bleeding (HR = 0.07, 95% CrI: 0.01-0.37) and clinically relevant non-major bleeding (CRNMB, HR = 0.30, 95% CrI: 0.13-0.67). Edoxaban was ranked second among the NOACs for control of major bleeding (HR = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.21-0.88), and dabigatran was ranked second among the NOACs for control of CRNMB (HR = 0.54, 95% CrI: 0.4-0.73).

CONCLUSIONS

There existed no statistically significant differences in recurrence between NOACs and standard-intensity warfarin, and NOACs were associated with a lower risk of bleeding events. Edoxaban effectively prevented VTE recurrence and major bleeding, and apixaban was the best anticoagulant for controlling bleeding events.

Long-Term Management of Pulmonary Embolism: A Review of Consequences, Treatment, and Rehabilitation

The concept of pulmonary embolism is evolving. Recent and emerging evidence on the treatment of specific patient populations, its secondary prevention, long-term complications, and the unmet need for rehabilitation has the potential to change clinical practice for the benefit of the patients. This review discusses the recent evidence from clinical trials, observational studies, and guidelines focusing on anticoagulation treatment, rehabilitation, emotional stress, quality of life, and the associated outcomes for patients with pulmonary embolism. Guidelines suggest that the type and duration of treatment with anticoagulation should be based on prevalent risk factors. Recent studies demonstrate that an anticoagulant treatment that is longer than two years may be effective and safe for some patients. The evidence for extended treatment in cancer patients is limited. Careful consideration is particularly necessary for pulmonary embolisms in pregnancy, cancer, and at the end of life. The rehabilitation and prevention of unnecessary deconditioning, emotional distress, and a reduced quality of life is an important, but currently they are unmet priorities for many patients with a pulmonary embolism. Future research could demonstrate optimal anticoagulant therapy durations, follow-ups, and rehabilitation, and effective patient-centered decision making at the end of life. A patient preferences and shared decision making should be incorporated in their routine care when weighing the benefits and risks with primary treatment and secondary prevention.

Duration of Anticoagulation Therapy in Patients with Genetic Inherited Thrombophilia

Background: Genetic factors play an important role in deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The duration of anticoagulation therapy in patients with verified genetic inheritance and previous events of DVT is still questionable. Case reports: We present three cases of siblings (two brothers and one sister) with verified Venous thromboembolism (VTE) and genetic inheritance. The first case is a 33 y.o. male who was admitted with bilateral massive pulmonary thromboembolism and DVT of the right femoral vein. He had an episode of DVT 4 years ago. Fibrinolytic therapy was introduced immediately. Afterwards, unfractionated heparin was introduced, and then switched to enoxaparin and acenocoumarol. Because of inappropriate INR, it was switched then to rivaroxaban. The imaging methods showed significant improvement, and the patient was discharged from the hospital with rivaroxaban at 2x15 mg/day for another 2 weeks and was instructed to continue 20 mg/day until his next control. In the meantime, the second case, a 36 y.o. male, brother to the first patient, came with vein thrombosis of vena saphena magna of the left leg. Treatment with Acenocoumarol was started and continued for 2 years until complete resolution of the thrombi, and then it was changed to Aspirin. The third case is the sister of the first 2 cases, a 38 y.o female with symptoms and findings almost similar to those in the second case. She was treated with Acenocoumarol for 6 months. Doppler ultrasound showed complete resolution of the thrombosis and anticoagulation therapy was stopped. Genetic investigations for mutation showed presence of homozygous gene mutation for Prothrombin (PTB G20210A) in the first patient, his brother (the second case) was compound heterozygote for PTB and for MTHFR C677T, and his sister (third case) was heterozygous only for the PTB mutation. According to the clinical (recurrent unprovoked DVT with thromboembolic complications) and genetic testing (homozygous gene mutation for PTB) in the first patient, we decided to continue the secondary thromboprophylaxis with rivaroxaban 10 mg/day indefinitely. Conclusion: Testing for genetically inherited thrombophilia should be included in the risk assessment for recurrence, and performed in all patients under 50 y.o. who have a first, non-provoked episode of thrombosis, in order to determine the duration of anticoagulation therapy.

Risk Factors for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and Major Adverse Limb Events after Venous Thromboembolism: A Large Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

 There is an increased risk of arterial events including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and major adverse limb events (MALE) after venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, their risk factors remain little explored.

METHODS

 We aimed to determine the risk factors for MACE (acute coronary syndrome/stroke/cardiovascular death) and MALE (limb ischemia/critical limb ischemia/non-traumatic amputation/any limb revascularization) after VTE. Competing risk models (Fine-Gray) were used in a multicenter prospective cohort of 4,940 patients (mean age: 64.6 years and median follow-up: 64 months).

RESULTS

 MACE occurred in 17.3% of participants (2.35% per patient-years) and MALE in 1.7% (0.27% per patient-years). In multivariable analysis, the identified risk factors for MACE were the age of 50 to 65 years (vs. <50 years, hazard ratio [HR]: 2.00, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38-2.91), age >65 years (vs. <50 years, HR 4.85, 95% CI: 3.35-7.02), pulmonary embolism + deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (vs. isolated-DVT, HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.02-1.55), unprovoked-VTE (vs. transient risk factor associated-VTE, HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.04-1.59), current tobacco use (vs. never, HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.07-1.98), hypertension (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.30-1.98), past history of symptomatic atherosclerosis (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.17-1.98), heart failure (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.21-2.42), atrial fibrillation (HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.15-2.08), and vena cava filter insertion (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.03-2.08). The identified risk factors for MALE were the age of 50-65 years (vs. <50 years, HR: 3.49, 95% CI: 1.26-9.65) and atrial fibrillation (HR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.15-4.89).

CONCLUSIONS

 Risk factors for MACE and MALE after VTE included some traditional cardiovascular risk factors, patient's comorbidities, and some characteristics of VTE.

Risk stratification for predicting recurrent venous thromboembolism after discontinuation of anticoagulation: a post-hoc analysis of a French prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to validate and to refine current recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk classification.

METHODS

We performed a post-hoc analysis of a multicentre cohort, including 1,881 patients with a first symptomatic VTE prospectively followed after anticoagulation discontinuation. The primary objective was to validate the International Society of Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH) risk classification in predicting recurrence risk. Secondary objective was to evaluate a refined ISTH classification based on recurrence risk estimate for each individual risk factors.

RESULTS

During a 4.8-year median follow-up after anticoagulation discontinuation, symptomatic recurrent VTE occurred in 230 patients (12.2%). Based on ISTH classification, patients with unprovoked VTE or VTE with minor or major persistent risk factor had a 2-fold increased recurrence risk as compared to those with VTE and major transient risk factor. Recurrence risk was not increased in patients with minor transient factor (Hazard Ratio[HR] 1.31;95%CI0.84-2.06). Individual risk factors analysis identified hormone-related VTE (pregnancy: HR 0.26; 95%CI0.08-0.82; estrogens: HR 0.25; 95%CI0.14-0.47) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (HR 5.84; 95%CI1.82-18.70). After reclassification of these factors as major transient for the former and major persistent for the latter, refined ISTH classification allowed to accurately discriminate between patients at low-risk (i.e., with major transient risk factor) and those at high-risk of recurrence (i.e., without major transient risk factors).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients who stopped anticoagulation after a first VTE, a refined ISTH classification based on recurrence risk intensity of individual factors allowed to discriminate between patients at low-recurrence risk, including hormonal exposure in women, and patients at high-recurrence risk.

Coagulation status in patients with pulmonary embolism receiving long-term anticoagulant therapy

Aim. To study the blood coagulation status by various laboratory methods in patients after pulmonary embolism (PE) receiving long-term anticoagulant therapy.

Material and methods. The blood of 23 patients with pulmonary embolism, who received long-term anticoagulant therapy, was studied. The study of coagulation profile, D-dimer, thrombodynamics, thromboelastography and thrombin generation test were carried out.

Results. The thrombin generation test shows a significant increase in the time of its formation, while the maximum amount of thrombin formed is half that of the reference values. There is a slightly increased median fibrin clot growth rate in the thrombodynamics test — 30,4 gm/min with a normal coagulation rate of 20-29 gm/min. The result of thromboelastography also reflects the blood hypocoagulation, in terms of R, Angle a and CI.

Conclusion. Integral methods for assessing the thrombotic readiness in combination with a routine coagulation panel demonstrate a complete picture of blood coagulation potential in patients after pulmonary embolism requiring long-term anticoagulant therapy.

Current Trends in the Duration of Anticoagulant Therapy for Venous Thromboembolism: A Systematic Review

Anticoagulation therapy is the first line and drug of choice for both the treatment and prophylaxis of venous thromboembolism (deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism). Anticoagulation drugs, ranging from different preparations of heparin, warfarin, and newer direct oral drugs such as rivaroxaban and dabigatran, work mainly by inhibiting important factors and enzymes in the coagulation cascade by preventing fibrin formation, platelet aggregation, and clot assembly. With recurrent thrombosis and embolisms being a feared complication for many physicians treating such cases, anticoagulation is often extended beyond the initial three- to six-month acute phase after an incident of venous thromboembolism. For some groups of patients, anticoagulation needs to be offered indefinitely to decrease the risk of a recurrent thrombosis. However, this concomitantly increases obvious and dangerous adverse effects such as increased risk of hemorrhage, as the ability to clot is hindered. This tradeoff between recurrent venous thromboembolism and bleeding is what underscores the controversy of the clinical question: for how long should anticoagulation be administered for venous thromboembolism? This review analyzes the use of anticoagulants in different types of venous thromboembolism and remarks on current consensus and trends on the length of anticoagulation treatment. We are doing so while acknowledging that venous thromboembolism management is an active area of research that is rapidly evolving. A literature search was performed looking at recent studies on anticoagulant administration for the treatment of venous thromboembolism with a focus on varying durations and patient populations. Factors that affect clinical decisions of duration are also elucidated. The most clinically relevant anticoagulants were discussed and their effects on the risk of recurrent thrombosis and embolism, and the risk of bleeding in relation to other drugs were analyzed. Ultimately, this article discussed patterns of anticoagulant treatments duration and which patient groups are likely to benefit the most from certain durations, shedding light on the ambiguity in how physicians should approach administering anticoagulation therapy over time for a broad range of presentations of venous thromboembolism.

Long-term risk of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation for unprovoked venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incidence of major bleeding up to 5 years after discontinuing anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL (from inception to January 2021) to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE who had completed ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on major bleeding events and person-years were obtained from authors of included studies to calculate study-level incidence rates. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results across studies.

RESULTS

Of 1123 records identified by the search, 20 studies (17 RCTs) and 8740 patients were included in the analysis. During 13 011 person-years of follow-up after discontinuing anticoagulation, the pooled incidence of major bleeding (n=41) and fatal bleeding (n=7) per 100 person-years was 0.35 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20-0.54) and 0.09 (95% CI, 0.05-0.15). The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding was of 1.0% (95% CI, 0.4%-2.4%). The case-fatality rate of major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation was 19.9% (95% CI, 10.6%-31.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a first unprovoked VTE have a non-trivial risk of major bleeding once anticoagulants are discontinued. Estimates from this study can help clinicians counsel patients about the incremental risk of major bleeding with extended anticoagulation to guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Vitamin K Antagonists for Venous Thromboembolism in China

Background: The drug therapy of venous thromboembolism (VTE) presents a significant economic burden to the health-care system in low- and middle-income countries. To understand which anticoagulation therapy is most cost-effective for clinical decision-making , the cost-effectiveness of apixaban (API) versus rivaroxaban (RIV), dabigatran (DAB), and low molecular weight heparin (LMWH), followed by vitamin K antagonist (VKA), in the treatment of VTE in China was assessed. Methods: To access the quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), a long-term cost-effectiveness analysis was constructed using a Markov model with 5 health states. The Markov model was developed using patient data collected from the Xijing Hospital from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2021. The time horizon was set at 30 years, and a 6-month cycle length was used in the model. Costs and ICERs were reported in 2020 U.S. dollars. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were used to test the uncertainties. A Chinese health-care system perspective was used. Results: In the base case, the data of 231 VTE patients were calculated in the base case analysis retrospectively. The RIV group resulted in a mean VTE attributable to 95% effective treatment. API, DAB, and VKA have a negative ICER (-187017.543, -284,674.922, and -9,283.339, respectively) and were absolutely dominated. The Markov model results confirmed this observation. The ICER of the API and RIV was negative (-216176.977), which belongs to the absolute inferiority scheme, and the ICER value of the DAB and VKA versus RIV was positive (110,577.872 and 836,846.343). Since the ICER of DAB and VKA exceeds the threshold, RIV therapy was likely to be the best choice for the treatment of VTE within the acceptable threshold range. The results of the sensitivity analysis revealed that the model output varied mostly with the cost in the DAB on-treatment therapy. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis of 1,000 patients for 30 years, RIV has 100% probability of being cost-effective compared with other regimens when the WTP is $10973 per QALY. When WTP exceeded $148,000, DAB was more cost-effective than RIV. Conclusions: Compared with LMWH + VKA and API, the results proved that RIV may be the most cost-effective treatment for VTE patients in China. Our findings could be helpful for physicians in clinical decision-making to select the appropriate treatment option for VTE.

Long-term risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism among patients receiving extended oral anticoagulant therapy for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) during extended anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incidence of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years in patients with a first unprovoked VTE.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane CENTRAL were searched to identify randomized trials and prospective cohort studies reporting recurrent VTE among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive anticoagulation for a minimum of six additional months after completing ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on number of recurrent VTE and person-years, obtained from authors of included studies, were used to calculate study-level incidence rate, and random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies and 15 603 patients were included in the analysis. During 11 631 person-years of follow-up, the incidence of recurrent VTE and fatal pulmonary embolism per 100 person-years was 1.41 (95% CI, 1.03-1.84) and 0.09 (0.04-0.16), with 5-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (3.0%-13.2%) and 1.2% (0.4%-4.6%), respectively. The incidence of recurrent VTE was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.77-1.44) with direct oral anticoagulants and 1.55 (1.01-2.20) with vitamin K antagonists. The case-fatality rate of recurrent VTE was 4.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-8.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risk of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation is low but not negligible. Thus, clinicians and patients should be aware of this risk and take appropriate and timely action in case of suspicion of recurrent VTE. Estimates from this study can be used to advise patients on what to expect while receiving extended anticoagulation, and estimate the net clinical benefit of extended treatment to guide long-term management of unprovoked VTE.

Long-Term Risk for Major Bleeding During Extended Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The long-term risk for major bleeding in patients receiving extended (beyond the initial 3 to 6 months) anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain.

PURPOSE

To determine the incidence of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years among patients with a first unprovoked VTE, overall, and in clinically important subgroups.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to 23 July 2021.

STUDY SELECTION

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive oral anticoagulation for a minimum of 6 additional months after completing at least 3 months of initial anticoagulant treatment.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Unpublished data required for analyses were obtained from authors of included studies.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Among the 14 RCTs and 13 cohort studies included in the analysis, 9982 patients received a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 7220 received a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). The incidence of major bleeding per 100 person-years was 1.74 events (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.20 events) with VKAs and 1.12 events (CI, 0.72 to 1.62 events) with DOACs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding with VKAs was 6.3% (CI, 3.6% to 10.0%). Among patients receiving either a VKA or a DOAC, the incidence of major bleeding was statistically significantly higher among those who were older than 65 years or had creatinine clearance less than 50 mL/min, a history of bleeding, concomitant use of antiplatelet therapy, or a hemoglobin level less than 100 g/L. The case-fatality rate of major bleeding was 8.3% (CI, 5.1% to 12.2%) with VKAs and 9.7% (CI, 3.2% to 19.2%) with DOACs.

LIMITATION

Data were insufficient to estimate incidence of major bleeding beyond 1 year of extended anticoagulation with DOACs.

CONCLUSION

In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risks and consequences of anticoagulant-related major bleeding are considerable. This information will help inform patient prognosis and guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Canadian Institutes of Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42019128597).

Venous thromboembolism

Venous thromboembolism, comprising both deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is a chronic illness that affects nearly 10 million people every year worldwide. Strong provoking risk factors for venous thromboembolism include major surgery and active cancer, but most events are unprovoked. Diagnosis requires a sequential work-up that combines assessment of clinical pretest probability for venous thromboembolism using a clinical score (eg, Wells score), D-dimer testing, and imaging. Venous thromboembolism can be considered excluded in patients with both a non-high clinical pretest probability and normal D-dimer concentrations. When required, ultrasonography should be done for a suspected deep vein thrombosis and CT or ventilation-perfusion scintigraphy for a suspected pulmonary embolism. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are the first-line treatment for almost all patients with venous thromboembolism (including those with cancer). After completing 3-6 months of initial treatment, anticoagulation can be discontinued in patients with venous thromboembolism provoked by a major transient risk factor. Patients whose long-term risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism outweighs the long-term risk of major bleeding, such as those with active cancer or men with unprovoked venous thromboembolism, should receive indefinite anticoagulant treatment. Pharmacological venous thromboembolism prophylaxis is generally warranted in patients undergoing major orthopaedic or cancer surgery. Ongoing research is focused on improving diagnostic strategies for suspected deep vein thrombosis, comparing different DOACs, developing safer anticoagulants, and further individualising approaches for the prevention and management of venous thromboembolism.

Long-term recurrence risk after a first venous thromboembolism in men and women under 50 years old: A French prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Data on long-term venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence risk according to gender are conflicting.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate long-term VTE recurrence risk after a first VTE in men and women under 50 years old.

METHODS

Since May 2000, 875 consecutive patients (315 men, 560 women) with a first symptomatic VTE under 50 years old were enrolled in a French prospective multicentre cohort study and were followed up as long as possible. The primary outcome was symptomatic recurrent VTE during follow-up.

RESULTS

At baseline, men were older and had more comorbidities than women. First VTE was mainly unprovoked in men (80.6%) and hormone-related in women (84.3%). During a median follow-up of 7.0 years (inter-quartile range, 5.0-11.0), recurrent VTE occurred in 97 men (30.8%) and in 72 women (12.9%) (annual incidence rates of recurrent VTE of 4.8% versus 1.8%-person-years, P<0.001). However, there was no difference according to gender in subgroups of patients with a first unprovoked VTE (5.8% versus 3.8%-person-years, P = 0.09). In women, duration of hormonal treatment before first VTE did not influence recurrence risk. In multivariable analysis, unprovoked VTE and family history of VTE were independently associated with recurrence (hazard ratio of 2.50 (95% confidence interval, 1.61 to 3.85) and 1.52 (1.11 to 2.09) respectively).

LIMITATIONS

Number of women with unprovoked VTE was low.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with a first VTE under 50 years old, a first unprovoked episode and a family history of VTE, but not gender, were associated with a high risk of long-term recurrence.

Long-term treatment of venous thromboembolism

The most important decision in the long-term treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is how long to anticoagulate. VTE provoked by a reversible risk factor, or a first unprovoked isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (DVT), generally should be treated for 3 months. VTE provoked by a persistent or progressive risk factor (eg, cancer), or a second unprovoked proximal DVT or PE, is generally treated indefinitely. First unprovoked proximal DVT or PE may be treated for 3 to 6 months or indefinitely. Male sex, presentation as PE (particularly if concomitant proximal DVT), a positive d-dimer test after stopping anticoagulation, an antiphospholipid antibody, low risk of bleeding, and patient preference favor indefinite anticoagulation. The type of indefinite anticoagulation is of secondary importance. Low-dose oral Xa inhibitors are convenient and are thought to have a lower risk of bleeding; they are less suitable if there is a higher risk for recurrence. For cancer-associated VTE, we now prefer full-dose oral Xa inhibitors over low-molecular-weight heparin, with gastrointestinal lesions being a relative contraindication. Graduated compression stockings are not routinely indicated after DVT, but are encouraged if there is persistent leg swelling or if a trial of stockings improves symptoms. Medications have a limited role in the treatment of postthrombotic syndrome. After PE, patients should have clinical surveillance for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), with ventilation-perfusion scanning and echocardiography being the initial diagnostic tests if CTEPH is a concern. Patients with CTEPH and other symptomatic patients with extensive residual perfusion defects should be evaluated for endarterectomy, balloon pulmonary angioplasty, or vasodilator therapies.

Short-term versus extended anticoagulant treatment for unprovoked venous thromboembolism: A survey on guideline adherence and physicians' considerations

BACKGROUND

In patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE), anticoagulant treatment duration should be decided by weighing bleeding risk versus risk of recurrent VTE, considering patient's preference. Because both risks differ between individuals, this recommendation presumably leads to wide variation in clinical management.

OBJECTIVES

To identify physician's considerations when deciding between short-term and extended anticoagulation and to assess how current guidelines are put to practice.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An online, 33-item survey was developed, containing questions on clinical management, considerations regarding treatment duration, risk scores, information tools and shared decision-making. It was distributed to internists, pulmonologists and residents treating patients with VTE in the Netherlands.

RESULTS

69 internists and 73 pulmonologists including 24 residents participated in the survey. Extended treatment was preferred by 73% (104/142) of participants. Most important reasons for extended treatment were, in descending order: patient's preference, active malignancy, low estimated bleeding risk, history of VTE and hemodynamic instability during previous VTE. Most important reasons for short-term treatment were frequent falls, history of major bleeding, previous bleeding during anticoagulation, patient's preference and thrombocytopenia. Although existing risk scores are infrequently used, physicians express their need for scores combining risks of recurrence and bleeding to aid individualized decision-making.

CONCLUSION

Our results confirm a wide variety of considerations regarding treatment duration in patients with unprovoked VTE. Although most participants followed guidelines' recommendations to prescribe indefinite treatment in absence of contraindications, rationale is not always supported by evidence. A clinical decision tool to estimate and weigh risks of recurrence and bleeding is warranted.

Long term risk of symptomatic recurrent venous thromboembolism after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism event: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To determine the rate of a first recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) event after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment in patients with a first episode of unprovoked VTE, and the cumulative incidence for recurrent VTE up to 10 years.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (from inception to 15 March 2019).

STUDY SELECTION

Randomised controlled trials and prospective cohort studies reporting symptomatic recurrent VTE after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment in patients with a first unprovoked VTE event who had completed at least three months of treatment.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Two investigators independently screened studies, extracted data, and appraised risk of bias. Data clarifications were sought from authors of eligible studies. Recurrent VTE events and person years of follow-up after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment were used to calculate rates for individual studies, and data were pooled using random effects meta-analysis. Sex and site of initial VTE were investigated as potential sources of between study heterogeneity.

RESULTS

18 studies involving 7515 patients were included in the analysis. The pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person years after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment was 10.3 events (95% confidence interval 8.6 to 12.1) in the first year, 6.3 (5.1 to 7.7) in the second year, 3.8 events/year (95% confidence interval 3.2 to 4.5) in years 3-5, and 3.1 events/year (1.7 to 4.9) in years 6-10. The cumulative incidence for recurrent VTE was 16% (95% confidence interval 13% to 19%) at 2 years, 25% (21% to 29%) at 5 years, and 36% (28% to 45%) at 10 years. The pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person years in the first year was 11.9 events (9.6 to 14.4) for men and 8.9 events (6.8 to 11.3) for women, with a cumulative incidence for recurrent VTE of 41% (28% to 56%) and 29% (20% to 38%), respectively, at 10 years. Compared to patients with isolated pulmonary embolism, the rate of recurrent VTE was higher in patients with proximal deep vein thrombosis (rate ratio 1.4, 95% confidence interval 1.1 to 1.7) and in patients with pulmonary embolism plus deep vein thrombosis (1.5, 1.1 to 1.9). In patients with distal deep vein thrombosis, the pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person years was 1.9 events (95% confidence interval 0.5 to 4.3) in the first year after anticoagulation had stopped. The case fatality rate for recurrent VTE was 4% (95% confidence interval 2% to 6%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with a first episode of unprovoked VTE who completed at least three months of anticoagulant treatment, the risk of recurrent VTE was 10% in the first year after treatment, 16% at two years, 25% at five years, and 36% at 10 years, with 4% of recurrent VTE events resulting in death. These estimates should inform clinical practice guidelines, enhance confidence in counselling patients of their prognosis, and help guide decision making about long term management of unprovoked VTE.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42017056309.