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Matthews A. On death and dying in emergency department. Emerg Med Australas 2024; 36:318-321. [PMID: 38418398 DOI: 10.1111/1742-6723.14387] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 03/01/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Alexander Matthews
- Emergency Department, Port Moresby General Hospital, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
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Limena A, Reschini M, Invernici D, Parazzini F, Li Piani L, Viganò P, Somigliana E, Basili L. Return rate following a live birth obtained with ART: frequency and determinants. Arch Gynecol Obstet 2024; 309:1621-1627. [PMID: 38310582 PMCID: PMC10894172 DOI: 10.1007/s00404-024-07382-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 01/07/2024] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE To understand how often couples return to ART centres for a second child. METHODS Retrospective monocentric cohort study including women who had a first live birth with IVF. The primary objective was to assess the rate of those returning for a second child within five years of the previous pregnancy. The secondary aim was to disentangle the determinants of this rate. RESULTS A total of 374 patients were included, of whom 188 returned (50%, 95% CI 45-55%). Among those who did not return (n = 186), four (2%) referred to another ART Center and 24 were unreachable. Of the 158 contacted subjects that did not refer for ART, 53 (34%, 95% CI 27-41%) conceived naturally, 57 (36%, 95% CI 29-44%) abandoned their intent of parenthood, and 48 (30%, 95% CI 24-38%) unsuccessfully attempted natural conception. These 48 women (13%) who expressed interest in a second child but did not undergo ART were compared to those seeking a second pregnancy through ART. Baseline characteristics were similar except for an older age (Median 36, IQR: 34-38 vs 34, IQR: 32-36, p = 0.001). Additionally, in terms of IVF cycle characteristics, women who did not return were more likely to achieve their first pregnancy with a fresh transfer rather than a frozen transfer (75% vs 59%, p = 0.05). They also had a higher number of retrieved oocytes (Median 10, IQR: 7-13 vs 9, IQR: 5-12) and less frequently cryopreserved embryos (27% vs 52%, p = 0.003). CONCLUSION The proportion of couples who have conceived with ART and who are interested in having a second child is high. Our results underline the importance of paying more attention to the number of intended children, as this information could influence clinical management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessia Limena
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy.
- Infertility Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Via M. Fanti, 6, 20122, Milan, Italy.
| | - Marco Reschini
- Infertility Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Via M. Fanti, 6, 20122, Milan, Italy
| | - Dalila Invernici
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Fabio Parazzini
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Letizia Li Piani
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Paola Viganò
- Infertility Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Via M. Fanti, 6, 20122, Milan, Italy
| | - Edgardo Somigliana
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy
- Infertility Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Via M. Fanti, 6, 20122, Milan, Italy
| | - Ludovica Basili
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy
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Mao C, Sun X, Long D, Zhang M, Xu X, Gao X, Lin Y, Wang X. Epidemiological study of pediatric rheumatic heart disease: An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Int J Cardiol 2024; 400:131705. [PMID: 38171386 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2023.131705] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2023] [Revised: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 12/29/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is the most common acquired heart disease among children in developing countries. However, there is a lack of systematic studies on the epidemiology of pediatric RHD. This study aimed to report the burden of pediatric RHD at global, regional, and national levels between 1990 and 2019, which may provide some reference for policymakers. METHODS The numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for childhood RHD from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed based on data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). In addition, Joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess temporal trends in the burden of childhood RHD. RESULTS Globally, the number of incidence and prevalence cases of RHD in children increased by 41.89% and 40.88%, respectively, from 1990 to 2019. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) increased with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 0.75% and 0.66%, respectively. In contrast, the age-standardized DALY rate and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased significantly since 1990 by an AAPC of -3.47% and - 2.65%, respectively. Girls had a significantly higher burden of RHD than boys during the study period. At the age level, the RHD burden was significantly highest in the age group of 10-14 years. Moreover, the ASRs of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs were negatively associated with sociodemographic index (SDI). Nationally, Fiji had the most significant increase in incidence and prevalence, and Philippines had the most remarkable rise in DALYs and mortality rates. CONCLUSION From 1990 to 2019, although the incidence and prevalence of childhood RHD increased globally, DALYs and mortality rates markedly reduced. Countries with lower levels of sociodemographic development shoulder a higher burden of childhood RHD. Children aged 10-14 years are critical populations for whom targeted measures are needed to reduce the RHD burden, while attention to girls cannot be neglected.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chenhan Mao
- Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; Jiangsu Province Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xuemei Sun
- Changzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Dan Long
- The First Hospital of Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Meng Zhang
- Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaojin Xu
- Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; Jiangsu Province Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xin Gao
- Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; Jiangsu Province Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yan Lin
- Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; Jiangsu Province Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Xindong Wang
- Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; Jiangsu Province Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
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Birukov A, Guasch-Ferré M, Ley SH, Tobias DK, Wang F, Wittenbecher C, Yang J, Manson JE, Chavarro JE, Hu FB, Zhang C. Lifetime Duration of Breastfeeding and Cardiovascular Risk in Women With Type 2 Diabetes or a History of Gestational Diabetes: Findings From Two Large Prospective Cohorts. Diabetes Care 2024; 47:720-728. [PMID: 38377484 DOI: 10.2337/dc23-1494] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2023] [Accepted: 01/23/2024] [Indexed: 02/22/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Breastfeeding duration is inversely associated with risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes in parous women. However, the association among women at high risk, including women with type 2 diabetes or gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is unclear. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We included 15,146 parous women with type 2 diabetes from the Nurses' Health Study I and II (NHS, NHS II) and 4,537 women with a history of GDM from NHS II. Participants reported history of breastfeeding via follow-up questionnaires. Incident CVD by 2017 comprised stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD) (myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization). Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs were estimated using Cox models. RESULTS We documented 1,159 incident CVD cases among women with type 2 diabetes in both cohorts during 188,874 person-years of follow-up and 132 incident CVD cases among women with a GDM history during 100,218 person-years of follow-up. Longer lifetime duration of breastfeeding was significantly associated with lower CVD risk among women with type 2 diabetes, with pooled aHR of 0.68 (95% CI 0.54-0.85) for >18 months versus 0 months and 0.94 (0.91-0.98) per 6-month increment in breastfeeding. Similar associations were observed with CHD (pooled aHR 0.93 [0.88-0.97]) but not with stroke (0.96 [0.91-1.02]) per 6-month increment in breastfeeding. Among women with GDM history, >18 months versus 0 months of breastfeeding was associated with an aHR of 0.49 (0.28-0.86) for total CVD. CONCLUSIONS Longer duration of breastfeeding was associated with lower risk of CVD in women with type 2 diabetes or GDM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anna Birukov
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Department of Molecular Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbrücke, Nuthetal, Germany
| | - Marta Guasch-Ferré
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Department of Public Health and Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Sylvia H Ley
- Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA
| | - Deirdre K Tobias
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Division of Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Fenglei Wang
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
| | - Clemens Wittenbecher
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Division of Food and Nutrition Science, Department of Life Sciences, SciLifeLab, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Jiaxi Yang
- Global Centre for Asian Women's Health, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Bia-Echo Asia Centre for Reproductive Longevity & Equality, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - JoAnn E Manson
- Division of Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA
| | - Jorge E Chavarro
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA
| | - Frank B Hu
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA
| | - Cuilin Zhang
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA
- Global Centre for Asian Women's Health, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Bia-Echo Asia Centre for Reproductive Longevity & Equality, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
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Luo Z, He X, Lv H, Wang Q, Jia W, Zhao Y, Li X, Yu J, Hao H, Bao Y, Chen N, Li X. Changing profiles of the burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributable to smoking in the belt and road initiative countries: A secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019. Heliyon 2024; 10:e27935. [PMID: 38515688 PMCID: PMC10955296 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2023] [Revised: 03/07/2024] [Accepted: 03/08/2024] [Indexed: 03/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives This study was aimed at analyzing the burden and trend of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributed to smoking (SADD) in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries during 1990-2019. Methods Data from The 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study was used to extract information on the burden of SADD in terms of the numbers and age-standardized rate of mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASDALR) in the BRI countries for 1990-2019. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the temporal trends of ASDALR from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade by Joinpoint regression analysis. Results The DALYs of SADD were the highest in China, India, and the Russian Federation in 1990 and in Lebanon, Montenegro and Bosnia, and Herzegovina in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the ASDALR in China had increased from 55.50/105 to 66.18/105, but decreased from 2010 to 2019, while that of India had declined from 32.84/105 to 29.35/105, but increased from 2010 to 2019. The ASDALR showed the fastest increase in the Russian Federation, with AAPC of 1.97% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.77%, 2.16%), and the fastest decline in Sri Lanka, with AAPC of -2.69% (95% CI: 2.79%, -2.59%). ASMR and ASDALR from SADD showed a substantial decline during 1990-2019 both globally and in the different socio-demographic index (SDI) regions (all P < 0.05, except for the high-middle-SDI region). Compared to the rates in males, the AAPC in ASDALR of females was significantly greater in 20 countries(all P < 0.05). In the age group of 20-54 years, the DALYs rate showed a decreasing trend only in 13 members in the low-SDI region (all P < 0.05). Conclusion Under the premise of eliminating the differences, mobilizing resources in the country itself, the BRI organization, and globally will help reduce the global SADD burden and achieve healthy and sustainable development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zheng Luo
- Department of Neurology, Shanghai University of Medicine & Health Sciences Affiliated Zhoupu Hospital, Shanghai, 200316, China
| | - Xin He
- Department of Neurology, Kaifeng 155 Hospital, Henan, 475003, China
| | - Huihui Lv
- Department of Neurology, Yueyang Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200437, China
| | - Qizhe Wang
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Wenchang Jia
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Yajun Zhao
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Xinyi Li
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Jiali Yu
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Hongyu Hao
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Yun Bao
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Nuo Chen
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Xiaopan Li
- Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
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Zhang J, Na X, Li Z, Ji JS, Li G, Yang H, Yang Y, Tan Y, Zhang J, Xi M, Su D, Zeng H, Wu L, Zhao A. Sarcopenic obesity is part of obesity paradox in dementia development: evidence from a population-based cohort study. BMC Med 2024; 22:133. [PMID: 38520024 PMCID: PMC10960494 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-024-03357-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/14/2024] [Indexed: 03/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sarcopenic obesity, a clinical and functional condition characterized by the coexistence of obesity and sarcopenia, has not been investigated in relation to dementia risk and its onset. METHODS We included 208,867 participants from UK biobank, who aged 60 to 69 years at baseline. Dementia diagnoses were identified using hospital records and death register data. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the associations of obesity, sarcopenia, and sarcopenic obesity with dementia risk, stratified by sex. Stratified analyses were performed across dementia-related polygenic risk score (PRS). Restricted mean survival time models were established to estimate the difference and 95%CIs of dementia onset across different status. Additionally, linear regression models were employed to estimate associations of different status with brain imaging parameters. The mediation effects of chronic diseases were also examined. RESULTS Obese women with high PRS had a decreased risk (HR = 0.855 [0.761-0.961]), but obese men with low PRS had an increased risk (HR = 1.223 [1.045-1.431]). Additionally, sarcopenia was associated with elevated dementia risk (HRwomen = 1.323 [1.064-1.644]; HRmen = 2.144 [1.753-2.621]) in those with low PRS. Among those with high PRS, however, the association was only significant in early-life (HRwomen = 1.679 [1.355-2.081]; HRmen = 2.069 [1.656-2.585]). Of note, sarcopenic obesity was associated with higher dementia risk (HRwomen = 1.424 [1.227-1.653]; HRmen = 1.989 [1.702-2.323]), and results remained similar stratified by PRS. Considering dementia onset, obesity was associated with dementia by 1.114 years delayed in women, however, 0.170 years advanced in men. Sarcopenia (women: 0.080 years; men: 0.192 years) and sarcopenic obesity (women: 0.109 years; men: 0.511 years) respectively advanced dementia onset. Obesity, sarcopenia, and sarcopenic obesity were respectively related to alterations in different brain regions. Association between sarcopenic obesity and dementia was mediated by chronic diseases. CONCLUSIONS Sarcopenic obesity and sarcopenia were respectively associated with increased dementia risk and advanced dementia onset to vary degree. The role of obesity in dementia may differ by sex and genetic background.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junhan Zhang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaona Na
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Zhihui Li
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - John S Ji
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Guowei Li
- Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Methodology, Guangdong Second Provincial General Hospital, Guangzhou, China
| | - Haibing Yang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yucheng Yang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yuefeng Tan
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Jian Zhang
- School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Menglu Xi
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Donghan Su
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Huatang Zeng
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Shenzhen Health Development Research and Data Management Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Liqun Wu
- Shenzhen Health Development Research and Data Management Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Ai Zhao
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
- Institute for Healthy China, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
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Al-Ajlouni YA, Al Ta'ani O, Shamaileh G, Nagi Y, Tanashat M, Al-Bitar F, Duncan DT, Makarem N. The burden of Cardiovascular diseases in Jordan: a longitudinal analysis from the global burden of disease study, 1990-2019. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:879. [PMID: 38515115 PMCID: PMC10958901 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18316-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 03/09/2024] [Indexed: 03/23/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. While countries in the Arab world continue to lack public health data and be severely understudied in health research, previous research has shown that compared to 1990, CVDs had a higher burden of disease in the Arab World in 2010. Jordan, a middle-income Arab country, is profiled with unique attributes such as a dual-sector healthcare system, political stability, and its role as a haven for refugees and migrants. These distinctive factors emphasize Jordan's suitability as a case study. This investigation aims to quantify CVD burden in Jordan and identify risk factors, contributing to a broader understanding of health challenges in the Arab region and beyond. METHODS The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) dataset was used to estimate prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) as age-standardized rates from 1990 to 2019. We calculated percentage change for nine specific CVDs and reported trends by gender and age groups. Additionally, data on twelve a priori selected behavioral, clinical, and environmental risk factors attributing to overall age-standardized CVDs DALY were reported per 100,00 population. RESULTS In 2019, the age-standardized CVD prevalence, death, and DALYs rates in Jordan were 7980 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 7629, 8360), 248 (95% UI 211, 288), and 4647 (95% UI 4028, 5388), respectively. Despite an increase in the absolute number of mortality and prevalence, between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized prevalence, death, and DALYs rates all decreased by 5.5%, 45.1%, and 46.7%, respectively. In 2019, the leading risk factors contributing to overall age-standardized CVDs DALY per 100,000 population were high systolic blood pressure, high BMI, dietary risks, and high LDL cholesterol. CONCLUSION Despite decreasing burden rate of CVDs in Jordan between 1990 and 2019, CVDs remain the leading cause of mortality in Jordan, with an increase in the total number of prevalence and mortality. Overall, this contributes to increased healthcare costs. Further research is required to quantify the burden of CVDs and understand it better. Intervention measures and policies tailored to specific CVDs should be designed to reduce the burden of CVDs in Jordan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yazan A Al-Ajlouni
- New York Medical College School of Medicine, 10595, Valhalla, NY, USA.
- Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, 10032, New York, NY, USA.
| | | | - Ghaith Shamaileh
- Tulane University School of Medicine, 70112, New Orleans, LA, USA
| | - Yazan Nagi
- New York Medical College School of Medicine, 10595, Valhalla, NY, USA
| | | | - Farah Al-Bitar
- Western Michigan University Homer Stryker M.D. School of Medicine, Kalamazoo, MI, USA
| | - Dustin T Duncan
- Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, 10032, New York, NY, USA
| | - Nour Makarem
- Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, 10032, New York, NY, USA
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Ramadan M, Ghamdi H, Aboalola D, Alorainan N, Alsalmi R, Afash A, Hariri A, Alboloshi A, Samkari A, Alsiary R. Disease burden and projection of total and early-onset colorectal cancer in Gulf cooperation council countries from 1990 to 2019. Neoplasia 2024; 51:100988. [PMID: 38513469 DOI: 10.1016/j.neo.2024.100988] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2023] [Accepted: 03/11/2024] [Indexed: 03/23/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) incidence and prevalence trends in the rise in high income countries, such as the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. The study aimed to offer an up-to-date assessment of the overall burden of CRC, and EO-CRC in GCC countries and project its incidence and mortality in 2030. METHOD The prevalence, incidence, mortality, years of life lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CRC were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. The incidence and mortality of CRC, and EO-CRC up to 2030 were predicted. RESULTS All GCC countries showed a higher annual average percentage changes (AAPC) AAPC incidence rate for EO-CRC compared to CRC. In Saudi Arabia the number of CRC cases has increased from 1990 1484.57; (95 % UI 1987.98,1083.86) 11.4-fold-increase to 16991.83; (95 % UI 21754.79,12892.12) in 2019. In 2030, the total incidence cases of CRC for the six Gulf countries are expected to reach 13,339 thousand, primarily driven by Saudi Arabia with 7,910.19 cases. In 2030, the CRC mortality rate is projected to be 7,647 cases, with nearly 57 % of CRC mortality cases anticipated in Saudi Arabia. CONCLUSION This study sheds light on the alarming rise in CRC and EO-CRC across Gulf countries from 1990 to 2019, emphasizing Saudi Arabia's significant burden. It projects a concerning increase in CRC incidence and mortality by 2030, primarily in Saudi Arabia, and highlights the need for immediate public health interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Majed Ramadan
- Population Health Research Section, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (KAIMRC), King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Ministry of National Guard - Health Affairs, P.O.BOX 9515, Jeddah 21423, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
| | - Hanin Ghamdi
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (KAIMRC), King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Ministry of National Guard - Health Affairs, P.O.BOX 9515, Jeddah 21423, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
| | - Doaa Aboalola
- Department of Cellular Therapy and Cancer Research, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (KAIMRC), King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Ministry of National Guard - Health Affairs, P.O.BOX 9515, Jeddah 21423, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
| | - Noha Alorainan
- Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, King Abdulaziz University (KAU), P.O Box: 80200, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
| | - Ragad Alsalmi
- Department of Medicine, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, P.O.BOX 123 St Stephen's Green, Dublin 2, D02 YN77, Republic of Ireland
| | - Ahmed Afash
- Ibn Sina National College For medical Studies (ISNC), P.O.BOX 53347, Jeddah 21583, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
| | - Albaraa Hariri
- Ibn Sina National college for medical Studies (ISNC), P.O.BOX 23814, JEDDAH 9397, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
| | - Atheer Alboloshi
- Medicine Faculty, King Abdulaziz University (KAU), Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, P.O.B.O.X 80200
| | - Alaa Samkari
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Jeddah, SAU; Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ministry of National
| | - Rawiah Alsiary
- Department of Cellular Therapy and Cancer Research, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (KAIMRC), King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Ministry of National Guard - Health Affairs, P.O.BOX 9515, Jeddah 21423, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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Liu J, Liu Y, Ma W, Liu J, Tong Y, Wang C, Zheng J. Age-period-cohort analysis of ischemic stroke deaths attributable to physical inactivity in different income regions. Sci Rep 2024; 14:6547. [PMID: 38503900 PMCID: PMC10951293 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-57309-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2024] [Accepted: 03/17/2024] [Indexed: 03/21/2024] Open
Abstract
This study assessed the global and regional burden of IS (ischemic stroke) deaths due to LPA (low physical activity) from 1990 to 2019, analyzed regional, sex, and age differences in ASMR (age-standardized mortality rate), and provided a comprehensive understanding of the impact of age, period, and cohort on low physical activity related ischemic stroke ASMR. We conducted an APC (age-period-cohort) analysis of the global and four World Bank income level regions' IS mortality data attributed to LPA from 1990 to 2019, using the GBD2019 database, and the results showed that the global net drift of the Ischemic stroke age-standardized mortality attributable to low physical activity was - 1.085%[95% CI: - 1.168, - 1.003].The ASMR drop is most pronounced in the high-income zone, with a net drift of - 2.473% [95% CI: - 2.759, - 2.187] across the four income groups. The influence of age on mortality is increasing in the worldwide old population, while the period and cohort effects are decreasing. We also performed a Joinpoint regression analysis, which revealed that the specific time of considerable drop in ASMR of IS in the global LPA population was 2002-2007, with an APC of -2.628%. The specific period of considerable drop in ASMR in high-income regions with the highest variation was 1999-2007, with an APC = - 4.726%. The global burden of public health deaths caused by LPA is diminishing, with the most notable progress observed in high-income regions. However, in low and lower-middle income areas, the situation continues to deteriorate. Within the global elderly population, the effects of age on mortality is increasing, while the effects of period and cohort are diminishing. These trends vary across income levels, highlighting the necessity for enhanced international collaboration to formulate context-specific public health strategies aimed at enhancing cardiovascular health on a global, regional, and national scale.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junjiao Liu
- College of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Yueyang Liu
- Second Clinical Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China
| | - Wenjun Ma
- College of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Jie Liu
- College of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Yan Tong
- College of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Cui Wang
- College of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Jianzhong Zheng
- College of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China.
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Zhang C, Xie B, Wang X, Pan M, Wang J, Ding H, Li T, Lin H, Gu Z. Burden of heart failure in Asia, 1990-2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Public Health 2024; 230:66-72. [PMID: 38507918 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2024.02.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2023] [Revised: 02/08/2024] [Accepted: 02/20/2024] [Indexed: 03/22/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Heart failure (HF) is on the rise as a global health problem, but information on its burden in Asia is limited. This study aimed to assess the burden, trends, and underlying causes of HF in the Asian region. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS Data on HF in Asia from 1990 to 2019, including prevalence, years lived with disability (YLD), and underlying causes, were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. The cases, the age-standardized prevalence, and the YLD were compared between the age groups, the sexes, the sociodemographic index, and the locations. The proportion of age-standardized prevalence rates of HF attributable to 16 underlying causes was also analyzed. RESULTS In 2019, the age-standardized prevalence rate of HF per 100,000 persons in Asia was 722.45 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 591.97-891.64), with an estimated 31.89 million cases (95% UI: 25.94-39.25). From 1990 to 2019, the prevalence of age-standardized HF in Asia decreased by 4.51%, reflecting the global trend (-7.06%). Age-standardized YLD rates of HF exhibited patterns similar to prevalence rates. Among Asian countries, China had the highest age-standardized prevalence rate, followed by Kuwait and Jordan. Hypertensive heart disease was the leading cause of HF, followed by ischemic heart disease and rheumatic heart disease. CONCLUSIONS Although the burden of HF in Asia showed a gradual decline between 1990 and 2019, it remains a significant health challenge that requires increased attention. Regional disparities in HF burden are evident, emphasizing the need for urgent prevention and control measures at the regional and national levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chi Zhang
- Department of Pharmacy, Punan Branch of Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200125, China; Department of Pharmacy, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China; School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
| | - Bo Xie
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China
| | - Xin Wang
- Department of Pharmacy, Punan Branch of Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200125, China; Department of Pharmacy, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China
| | - Mangmang Pan
- Department of Pharmacy, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China
| | - Jia Wang
- Department of Pharmacy, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China
| | - Huamin Ding
- Department of Pharmacy, Punan Branch of Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200125, China
| | - Tiejun Li
- Department of Pharmacy, Punan Branch of Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200125, China
| | - Houwen Lin
- Department of Pharmacy, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China; School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
| | - Zhichun Gu
- Department of Pharmacy, Punan Branch of Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200125, China; Department of Pharmacy, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200127, China.
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11
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Ge R, You S, Zheng D, Zhang Z, Cao Y, Chang J. Global, regional, and national temporal trends of diet-related ischemic stroke mortality and disability from 1990 to 2019. Int J Stroke 2024:17474930241237932. [PMID: 38415357 DOI: 10.1177/17474930241237932] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/29/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Stroke is the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability in the general population worldwide. However, the changing trend of ischemic stroke burden attributable to various dietary risk factors has not been fully revealed and may contribute to a better understanding of stroke epidemiology. AIMS Our article aimed to evaluate the temporal trend of diet-related ischemic stroke burden to inform future research and policy-making. METHODS This analysis was based on the data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 (spanning years 1990 to 2019), and we used the joinpoint regression to model temporal trends in diet-related ischemic stroke burden across countries and regions of the world during the study period. Six specific dietary factors known to influence stroke risk, including sodium, red meat, fiber, vegetables, whole grains, and fruits, were evaluated in the GBD study to determine their individual and joint impact on ischemic stroke. The changing trend was primarily measured by the average annual percent change (AAPC). Age-standardized rates (ASRs) of mortality and years lived with disability (YLD) per 100,000 population were used to evaluate disease burden. Finally, the socioeconomic background, which was quantified as sociodemographic index (SDI), and its association with diet-related ischemic stroke burden were also explored with the Pearson correlation coefficient. RESULTS During the study period, the ischemic stroke ASR of mortality attributable to overall dietary risk decreased by an average of 1.6% per year, while the ASR of YLD decreased by an average of 0.2% per year. High sodium diet was still a key driver of diet-related ischemic stroke, accounting for 8.4% and 11.0% of deaths and disabilities, respectively, in 2019. In addition, we found a negative association between temporal evolution of stroke burden and socioeconomic background (r = -0.6603 for mortality and r = -0.4224 for disability, P < 0.001), which suggested that the developing countries with weak social and economic foundation faced greater challenges from the ongoing burden of diet-related strokes compared with developed countries. CONCLUSIONS Our study found declining trends and revealed the current status of diet-related ischemic stroke mortality and disability. Interdisciplinary countermeasures involving the development of effective food policies, evidence-based guidelines, and public education are needed in the future to combat this global epidemic. DATA ACCESS STATEMENT The data used for analysis were open-access and can be obtained from https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rongguang Ge
- Department of Neurology and Clinical Research Center of Neurological Disease, Soochow Medical College, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Shoujiang You
- Department of Neurology and Clinical Research Center of Neurological Disease, Soochow Medical College, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
- The George Institute for Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Danni Zheng
- The George Institute for Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Zengli Zhang
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Soochow Medical College, Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Yongjun Cao
- Department of Neurology and Clinical Research Center of Neurological Disease, Soochow Medical College, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Jie Chang
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Soochow Medical College, Soochow University, Suzhou, China
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Hu S, Li Y, Zhang X, Alkhatatbeh T, Wang W. Increasing Burden of Osteoarthritis in China: Trends and Projections from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Med Sci Monit 2024; 30:e942626. [PMID: 38525551 PMCID: PMC10946220 DOI: 10.12659/msm.942626] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Accepted: 12/21/2023] [Indexed: 03/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to evaluate the epidemiology of osteoarthritis in China in a comprehensive and reliable way, to project its future epidemiological patterns, and to mitigate its health hazards. MATERIAL AND METHODS Data were extracted and analyzed from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. Trends in osteoarthritis epidemiology were explored using joinpoint regression analysis. Additionally, we analyzed dynamic trends using the sociodemographic index (SDI) of China. To assess and predict the epidemiology of osteoarthritis from 2020 to 2039, we used both the Bayesian age-period-cohort model and Nordpred model. RESULTS The number of prevalent cases, incident cases, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for osteoarthritis in China increased from 51.8, 4.6, and 1.8 million, respectively, in 1990, to 132.8, 10.7, and 4.7 million, respectively, in 2019, and the average annual percentage changes were 3.286, 2.938, and 3.324, respectively. The prevalence and YLDs peaked in the population aged over 90 years old, while the incidence peaked in the population aged around 50 years old. A significant positive correlation was found between osteoarthritis burden and SDI. Osteoarthritis burden is expected to continue to increase. In the population studied here, it was higher in women than in men, but this may invert by 2039. CONCLUSIONS The prevalence, incidence, and YLDs of osteoarthritis had significantly increased and may continue to increase during the next 2 decades. Prevention and treatment strategies should target women, middle-aged individuals, and the elderly.
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Bian Q, Zhang Y, Xue C, Lu W, Li W, Pan F, Li Y. Global and regional estimates of tuberculosis burden attributed to high fasting plasma glucose from 1990 to 2019: emphasis on earlier glycemic control. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:782. [PMID: 38481192 PMCID: PMC10935816 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18260-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2023] [Accepted: 03/03/2024] [Indexed: 03/17/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous studies have shown subjects suffering from diabetes or persistent hyperglycemia were more likely to develop tuberculosis (TB). However, the global burden of TB attributed to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) remains unclear. This study aimed to characterize the global, regional, and national TB burden attributed to HFPG from 1990 to 2019. METHODS With Global Burden of Disease study 2019, the numbers and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates (ASDR) of TB attributed to HFPG at global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2019 were extracted. The locally weighted regression model was applied to estimate the TB burden for different socio-demographic index (SDI) regions. RESULTS Globally, the ASMR and ASDR attributed to HFPG were 2.70 (95% UI, 1.64-3.94) and 79.70 (95% UI, 50.26-112.51) per 100,000 population in 1990, respectively. These rates decreased to 1.46 (95% UI, 0.91-2.08) and 45.53 (95% UI, 29.06-62.29) in 2019. The TB burden attributed to HFPG remained high in low SDI and Central Sub-Saharan Africa regions, while it declined with most significantly in high SDI and East Asia regions. Additionally, the ASMR and ASDR of TB attributed to HFPG were significantly higher in the male and the elderly population. CONCLUSIONS The global TB burden attributable to HFPG decreased from 1990 to 2019, but remained high in low SDI regions among high-risk populations. Thus, urgent efforts are required to enhance the awareness of early glycemic control and TB treatment to alleviate the severe situation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qin Bian
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Yanjun Zhang
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Chen Xue
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Wenjing Lu
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Wei Li
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Fanqi Pan
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Yi Li
- Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, China.
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Saraswati CM, Judge MA, Weeda LJZ, Bassat Q, Prata N, Le Souëf PN, Bradshaw CJA. Net benefit of smaller human populations to environmental integrity and individual health and wellbeing. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1339933. [PMID: 38504675 PMCID: PMC10949988 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1339933] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2023] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 03/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction The global human population is still growing such that our collective enterprise is driving environmental catastrophe. Despite a decline in average population growth rate, we are still experiencing the highest annual increase of global human population size in the history of our species-averaging an additional 84 million people per year since 1990. No review to date has accumulated the available evidence describing the associations between increasing population and environmental decline, nor solutions for mitigating the problems arising. Methods We summarize the available evidence of the relationships between human population size and growth and environmental integrity, human prosperity and wellbeing, and climate change. We used PubMed, Google Scholar, and Web of Science to identify all relevant peer-reviewed and gray-literature sources examining the consequences of human population size and growth on the biosphere. We reviewed papers describing and quantifying the risks associated with population growth, especially relating to climate change. Results These risks are global in scale, such as greenhouse-gas emissions, climate disruption, pollution, loss of biodiversity, and spread of disease-all potentially catastrophic for human standards of living, health, and general wellbeing. The trends increasing the risks of global population growth are country development, demographics, maternal education, access to family planning, and child and maternal health. Conclusion Support for nations still going through a demographic transition is required to ensure progress occurs within planetary boundaries and promotes equity and human rights. Ensuring the wellbeing for all under this aim itself will lower population growth and further promote environmental sustainability.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Melinda A. Judge
- Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, WA, Australia
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA, Australia
| | - Lewis J. Z. Weeda
- School of Medicine, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA, Australia
| | - Quique Bassat
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic - Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça (CISM), Maputo, Mozambique
- Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA), Barcelona, Spain
- Paediatrics Department, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Universitat de Barcelona, Esplugues, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red (CIBER) de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Ndola Prata
- Bixby Center for Population Health and Sustainability, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
| | - Peter N. Le Souëf
- School of Medicine, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, WA, Australia
| | - Corey J. A. Bradshaw
- Global Ecology | Partuyarta Ngadluku Wardli Kuu, College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia
- Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, Wollongong, NSW, Australia
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Gong B, Yang W, Xing Y, Lai Y, Shan Z. Global, regional, and national burden of type 1 diabetes in adolescents and young adults. Pediatr Res 2024:10.1038/s41390-024-03107-5. [PMID: 38443523 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-024-03107-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2023] [Revised: 01/31/2024] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 03/07/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Type 1 diabetes (T1D) incidence in adolescents varies widely, but has increased globally in recent years. This study reports T1D burden among adolescents and young adults aged 10-24-year-old age group at global, regional, and national levels. METHODS Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we described the burden of T1D in the 10-24-year-old age group. We further analyzed these trends by age, sex, and the Social Development Index. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess temporal trends. RESULTS T1D incidence among adolescents and young adults increased from 7·78 per 100,000 population (95% UI, 5·27-10·60) in 1990 to 11·07 per 100,000 population (95% UI, 7·42-15·34) in 2019. T1D mortality increased from 5701·19 (95% UI, 4642·70-6444·08) in 1990 to 6,123·04 (95% UI, 5321·82-6887·08) in 2019, representing a 7·40% increase in mortality. The European region had the highest T1D incidence in 2019. Middle-SDI countries exhibited the largest increase in T1D incidence between 1990 and 2019. CONCLUSION T1D is a growing health concern globally, and T1D burden more heavily affects countries with low SDI. Specific measures and effective collaboration among countries with different SDIs are required to improve diabetes care in adolescents. IMPACT We assessed trends in T1D incidence and burden among youth in the 10-24-year-old age group by evaluating data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Our results demonstrated that global T1D incidence in this age group increased over the past 30 years, with the European region having the highest T1D incidence. Specific measures and effective collaboration among countries with different SDIs are required to improve diabetes care in adolescents.
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Affiliation(s)
- Boshen Gong
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Institute of Endocrinology, NHC key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Thyroid Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110001, P. R. China
| | - Wanyu Yang
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Institute of Endocrinology, NHC key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Thyroid Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110001, P. R. China
| | - Yumin Xing
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Institute of Endocrinology, NHC key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Thyroid Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110001, P. R. China
| | - Yaxin Lai
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Institute of Endocrinology, NHC key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Thyroid Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110001, P. R. China.
| | - Zhongyan Shan
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Institute of Endocrinology, NHC key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Thyroid Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110001, P. R. China.
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Han T, Chen W, Qiu X, Wang W. Epidemiology of gout - Global burden of disease research from 1990 to 2019 and future trend predictions. Ther Adv Endocrinol Metab 2024; 15:20420188241227295. [PMID: 38439915 PMCID: PMC10910883 DOI: 10.1177/20420188241227295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2023] [Accepted: 12/14/2023] [Indexed: 03/06/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Understanding the global burden of gout in the past and future can provide important references for optimizing prevention and control strategies in healthcare systems. Objectives This study aimed to report variations in the global disease burden and risk factors of gout in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Design We conducted a retrospective analysis of gout based on the latest Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database. Methods We collected data on the prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of gout from 1990 to 2019. The data were then stratified by age, sex, and economic development level. Decomposition analysis, frontier analysis, and prediction models were used to analyze the changes and influencing factors influencing each indicator. Results Globally, there were 53,871,846.4 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 43,383,204.6-66,342,327.3] prevalent cases, 92,228,86.8 (95% UI: 7419,132.1-11,521,165) incident cases, and 1673,973.4 (95% UI: 1,068,061.1-2,393,469.2) cases of DALYs of gout in 2019, more than double those in 1990. Moreover, the pace of increase in the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) accelerated during 1990-2019, with estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) of 0.94 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85-1.03], 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69-0.84), and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.84-1.02), respectively, especially among men. The disease burden of gout has increased in all the other 20 GBD regions in the past 30 years, except Western Sub-Saharan Africa. The highest risk of high body mass index (BMI) and kidney dysfunction was in high-income countries such as North America and East Asia. The global prevalence rate, incidence rate, and DALYs rate of gout in 2030 will reach 599.86, 102.96 per 100,000 population, and 20.26 per 100,000 population, respectively, roughly the same as in 2019. Conclusion With the development of society, the disease burden of gout will become increasingly severe. It is very important to study the accurate epidemiological data on gout for clinical diagnosis and treatment and health policy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tingfen Han
- Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Taizhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Wenli Chen
- Department of Ophthalmology, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University Affiliated Wenzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Xiasang Qiu
- Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Taizhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Weijie Wang
- Department of Rheumatology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310005, China
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Evans DS, Young D, Tanaka T, Basisty N, Bandinelli S, Ferrucci L, Campisi J, Schilling B. Proteomic Analysis of the Senescence-Associated Secretory Phenotype: GDF-15, IGFBP-2, and Cystatin-C Are Associated With Multiple Aging Traits. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2024; 79:glad265. [PMID: 37982669 PMCID: PMC10876076 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glad265] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2023] [Indexed: 11/21/2023] Open
Abstract
Cellular senescence, a hallmark of aging, results in a senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP) with an increased production of proinflammatory cytokines, growth factors, and proteases. Evidence from nonhuman models demonstrates that SASP contributes to tissue dysfunction and pathological effects of aging. However, there are relatively few human studies on the relationship between SASP and aging-related health outcomes. Proteins from the SASP Atlas were measured in plasma using aptamer-based proteomics (SomaLogic). Regression models were used to identify SASP protein associations with aging-related traits representing multiple aspects of physiology in 1 201 participants from 2 human cohort studies (BLSA/GESTALT and InCHIANTI). Traits examined were fasting glucose, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, alkaline phosphatase, blood urea nitrogen, albumin, red blood cell distribution width, waist circumference, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, gait speed, and grip strength. Study results were combined with a fixed-effect inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis. In the meta-analysis, 28 of 77 SASP proteins were significantly associated with age. Of the 28 age-associated SASP proteins, 18 were significantly associated with 1 or more clinical traits, and 7 SASP proteins were significantly associated with 3 or more traits. Growth/differentiation factor 15, Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 2, and Cystatin-C showed significant associations with inflammatory markers and measures of physical function (grip strength or gait speed). These results support the relevance of SASP proteins to human aging, identify specific traits that are potentially affected by SASP, and prioritize specific SASP proteins for their utility as biomarkers of human aging.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel S Evans
- California Pacific Medical Center Research Institute, San Francisco, California, USA
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Danielle Young
- California Pacific Medical Center Research Institute, San Francisco, California, USA
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Toshiko Tanaka
- Longitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, NIA, NIH, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Nathan Basisty
- Longitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, NIA, NIH, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Luigi Ferrucci
- Longitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, NIA, NIH, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Judith Campisi
- Buck Institute for Research on Aging, Novato, California, USA
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Bragg F, Lacey B. Social and spatial inequalities in premature mortality across Europe. Lancet Public Health 2024; 9:e148-e149. [PMID: 38429012 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00025-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2024] [Accepted: 02/08/2024] [Indexed: 03/03/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Fiona Bragg
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK; Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK; Health Data Research UK, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK.
| | - Ben Lacey
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK; UK Biobank, Stockport, UK
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Hong X, Wang W, Huang L, Yuan J, Ding X, Wang H, Ji Q, Zhao F, Wang B. Associations between multiple metal exposure and fertility in women: A nested case-control study. Ecotoxicol Environ Saf 2024; 272:116030. [PMID: 38310826 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.116030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2023] [Revised: 01/23/2024] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
Metal pollution can cause a decline in female fertility, however, previous studies have focused more on the effect of a single metal on fertility. In this study, we evaluated the effect of metal mixtures on female fertility based on nested case-control samples. The plasma levels of 22 metal elements from 180 women were determined by an inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (ICP-MS). Minimum absolute contraction and selection operator (LASSO) penalty regression selected metals with the greatest influence on clinical outcome. Logistic regression was used to analyze the correlation between single metals and fertility while a Bayesian kernel function regression (BKMR) model was used to analyze the effect of mixed metals. Eight metals (Calcium (Ca), Chromium (Cr), Cobalt (Co), Copper (Cu), Zinc (Zn), Rubidium (Rb), Strontium (Sr) and Zirconium (Zr)) were selected by LASSO regression for subsequent analysis. After adjusting for covariates, the logistic model showed that Cu (Odds Ratio(OR):0.33, 95% CI: 0.13 - 0.84) and Co (OR:0.38, 95% CI: 0.15 -0.94) caused a significant reduction in fertility, and identified the protective effect of Zn (OR: 2.96, 95% CI:1.21 -7.50) on fertility. Trend tests showed that increased Cr, Cu, and Rb levels were associated with reduced fertility. The BKMR model showed that Cr, Co, Cu, and Rb had a nonlinear relationship with fertility decline when controlling for the concentrations of other metals and suggested that Cu and Cr might exert an influence on fertility. Analysis showed a negative correlation between Cu, Cr, Co, Rb, and fertility, and a positive correlation between Zn and fertility. Furthermore, we found evidence for the interaction between Cu and Cr. Our findings require further validation and may identify new mechanisms in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiang Hong
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine and Engineering of Ministry of Education, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wei Wang
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine and Engineering of Ministry of Education, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Lingling Huang
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine and Engineering of Ministry of Education, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Jinhua Yuan
- Nanjing Municipal Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China
| | - Xiaoling Ding
- Maternal and Child Health Center of Gulou District, Nanjing, China
| | - Hao Wang
- Nanjing Municipal Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China
| | - Qian Ji
- Nanjing Municipal Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China
| | - Fanqi Zhao
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine and Engineering of Ministry of Education, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Bei Wang
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine and Engineering of Ministry of Education, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
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20
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Qu C, Liao S, Zhang J, Cao H, Zhang H, Zhang N, Yan L, Cui G, Luo P, Zhang Q, Cheng Q. Burden of cardiovascular disease among elderly: based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes 2024; 10:143-153. [PMID: 37296238 PMCID: PMC10904724 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcad033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2023] [Revised: 05/29/2023] [Accepted: 06/08/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The burden of elderly cardiovascular disease (CVD) has received increasing attention with population ageing worldwide. AIMS We reported on the global CVD burden in elderly individuals over 70, 1990-2019. METHODS AND RESULTS Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, elderly CVD burden data were analysed. Temporal burden trends were analysed with the joinpoint model. The slope index and concentration index were used to evaluate health inequality. From 1990 to 2019, the global elderly CVD incidence, prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life year rates generally decreased. However, the current burden remains high. The rapid growth in burden in parts of sub-Saharan Africa and Asia is a cause for concern. Countries with a higher socio-demographic index (SDI) have generally seen a greater decrease in burden, while countries with a lower SDI have generally experienced increases or smaller declines in burden. Health inequality analysis confirmed that the burden was gradually concentrating towards countries with a low SDI. Among the different CVDs, ischaemic heart disease causes the greatest burden in elderly individuals. Most CVD burdens increase with age, but stroke and peripheral vascular disease show markedly different distributional characteristics. In addition, the burden of hypertensive heart disease shows an unusual shift towards high-SDI countries. High systolic blood pressure was consistently the leading risk factor for CVD among elderly individuals. CONCLUSION The burden of CVD in older people remains severe and generally tends to shift to lower-SDI countries. Policymakers need to take targeted measures to reduce its harm.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chunrun Qu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
- XiangYa School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Sheng Liao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
- XiangYa School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Jingdan Zhang
- XiangYa School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Hui Cao
- Department of Psychiatry, Brain Hospital of Hunan Province (The Second People's Hospital of Hunan Province), Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Hao Zhang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
- Department of Neurosurgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Nan Zhang
- College of Life Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Luzhe Yan
- XiangYa School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Gaoyuan Cui
- XiangYa School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Peng Luo
- Department of Oncology, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qingwei Zhang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Quan Cheng
- Department of Neurosurgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
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21
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Balaj M, Henson CA, Aronsson A, Aravkin A, Beck K, Degail C, Donadello L, Eikemo K, Friedman J, Giouleka A, Gradeci I, Hay SI, Jensen MR, Mclaughlin SA, Mullany EC, O'connell EM, Sripada K, Stonkute D, Sorensen RJ, Solhaug S, Vonen HD, Westby C, Zheng P, Mohammad T, Eikemo TA, Gakidou E. Effects of education on adult mortality: a global systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Public Health 2024; 9:e155-e165. [PMID: 38278172 PMCID: PMC10901745 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(23)00306-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2023] [Revised: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 12/07/2023] [Indexed: 01/28/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The positive effect of education on reducing all-cause adult mortality is known; however, the relative magnitude of this effect has not been systematically quantified. The aim of our study was to estimate the reduction in all-cause adult mortality associated with each year of schooling at a global level. METHODS In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we assessed the effect of education on all-cause adult mortality. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, Global Health (CAB), EconLit, and Sociology Source Ultimate databases from Jan 1, 1980, to May 31, 2023. Reviewers (LD, TM, HDV, CW, IG, AG, CD, DS, KB, KE, and AA) assessed each record for individual-level data on educational attainment and mortality. Data were extracted by a single reviewer into a standard template from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study. We excluded studies that relied on case-crossover or ecological study designs to reduce the risk of bias from unlinked data and studies that did not report key measures of interest (all-cause adult mortality). Mixed-effects meta-regression models were implemented to address heterogeneity in referent and exposure measures among studies and to adjust for study-level covariates. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020183923). FINDINGS 17 094 unique records were identified, 603 of which were eligible for analysis and included data from 70 locations in 59 countries, producing a final dataset of 10 355 observations. Education showed a dose-response relationship with all-cause adult mortality, with an average reduction in mortality risk of 1·9% (95% uncertainty interval 1·8-2·0) per additional year of education. The effect was greater in younger age groups than in older age groups, with an average reduction in mortality risk of 2·9% (2·8-3·0) associated with each additional year of education for adults aged 18-49 years, compared with a 0·8% (0·6-1·0) reduction for adults older than 70 years. We found no differential effect of education on all-cause mortality by sex or Socio-demographic Index level. We identified publication bias (p<0·0001) and identified and reported estimates of between-study heterogeneity. INTERPRETATION To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to quantify the importance of years of schooling in reducing adult mortality, the benefits of which extend into older age and are substantial across sexes and economic contexts. This work provides compelling evidence of the importance of education in improving life expectancy and supports calls for increased investment in education as a crucial pathway for reducing global inequities in mortality. FUNDING Research Council of Norway and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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22
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Wu AM, Cross M, Elliott JM, Culbreth GT, Haile LM, Steinmetz JD, Hagins H, Kopec JA, Brooks PM, Woolf AD, Kopansky-Giles DR, Walton DM, Treleaven JM, Dreinhoefer KE, Betteridge N, Abbasifard M, Abbasi-Kangevari Z, Addo IY, Adesina MA, Adnani QES, Aithala JP, Alhalaiqa FAN, Alimohamadi Y, Amiri S, Amu H, Antony B, Arabloo J, Aravkin AY, Asghari-Jafarabadi M, Atomsa GH, Azadnajafabad S, Azzam AY, Baghdadi S, Balogun SA, Balta AB, Banach M, Banakar M, Barrow A, Bashiri A, Bekele A, Bensenor IM, Bhardwaj P, Bhat AN, Bilchut AH, Briggs AM, Buchbinder R, Cao C, Chaurasia A, Chirinos-Caceres JL, Christensen SWM, Coberly K, Cousin E, Dadras O, Dai X, de Luca K, Dehghan A, Dong HJ, Ekholuenetale M, Elhadi M, Eshetu HB, Eskandarieh S, Etaee F, Fagbamigbe AF, Fares J, Fatehizadeh A, Feizkhah A, Ferreira ML, Ferreira N, Fischer F, Franklin RC, Ganesan B, Gebremichael MA, Gerema U, Gholami A, Ghozy S, Gill TK, Golechha M, Goleij P, Golinelli D, Graham SM, Haj-Mirzaian A, Harlianto NI, Hartvigsen J, Hasanian M, Hassen MB, Hay SI, Hebert JJ, Heidari G, Hoveidaei AH, Hsiao AK, Ibitoye SE, Iwu CCD, Jacob L, Janodia MD, Jin Y, Jonas JB, Joshua CE, Kandel H, Khader YS, Khajuria H, Khan EA, Khan MAB, Khatatbeh MM, Khateri S, Khayat Kashani HR, Khonji MS, Khubchandani J, Kim YJ, Kisa A, Kolahi AA, Koohestani HR, Krishan K, Kuddus M, Kuttikkattu A, Lasrado S, Lee YH, Legesse SM, Lim SS, Liu X, Lo J, Malih N, Manandhar SP, Mathews E, Mesregah MK, Mestrovic T, Miller TR, Mirghaderi SP, Misganaw A, Mohammadi E, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Momtazmanesh S, Moni MA, Mostafavi E, Murray CJL, Nair TS, Nejadghaderi SA, Nzoputam OJ, Oh IH, Okonji OC, Owolabi MO, Pacheco-Barrios K, Pahlevan Fallahy MT, Park S, Patel J, Pawar S, Pedersini P, Peres MFP, Petcu IR, Pourahmadi M, Qattea I, Ram P, Rashidi MM, Rawaf S, Rezaei N, Rezaei N, Saeed U, Saheb Sharif-Askari F, Salahi S, Sawhney M, Schumacher AE, Shafie M, Shahabi S, Shahbandi A, Shamekh A, Sharma S, Shiri R, Shobeiri P, Sinaei E, Singh A, Singh JA, Singh P, Skryabina AA, Smith AE, Tabish M, Tan KK, Tegegne MD, Tharwat S, Vahabi SM, Valadan Tahbaz S, Vasankari TJ, Venketasubramanian N, Vollset SE, Wang YP, Wiangkham T, Yonemoto N, Zangiabadian M, Zare I, Zemedikun DT, Zheng P, Ong KL, Vos T, March LM. Global, regional, and national burden of neck pain, 1990-2020, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Rheumatol 2024; 6:e142-e155. [PMID: 38383088 PMCID: PMC10897950 DOI: 10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00321-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2023] [Revised: 11/16/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Neck pain is a highly prevalent condition that leads to considerable pain, disability, and economic cost. We present the most current estimates of neck pain prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) by age, sex, and location, with forecasted prevalence to 2050. METHODS Systematic reviews identified population-representative surveys used to estimate the prevalence of and YLDs from neck pain in 204 countries and territories, spanning from 1990 to 2020, with additional data from opportunistic review. Medical claims data from Taiwan (province of China) were also included. Input data were pooled using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. Prevalence was forecast to 2050 using a mixed-effects model using Socio-demographic Index as a predictor and multiplying by projected population estimates. We present 95% UIs for every metric based on the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of 100 draws of the posterior distribution. FINDINGS Globally, in 2020, neck pain affected 203 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 163-253) people. The global age-standardised prevalence rate of neck pain was estimated to be 2450 (1960-3040) per 100 000 population and global age-standardised YLD rate was estimated to be 244 (165-346) per 100 000. The age-standardised prevalence rate remained stable between 1990 and 2020 (percentage change 0·2% [-1·3 to 1·7]). Globally, females had a higher age-standardised prevalence rate (2890 [2330-3620] per 100 000) than males (2000 [1600-2480] per 100 000), with the prevalence peaking between 45 years and 74 years in male and female sexes. By 2050, the estimated global number of neck pain cases is projected to be 269 million (219-322), with an increase of 32·5% (23·9-42·3) from 2020 to 2050. Decomposition analysis of the projections showed population growth was the primary contributing factor, followed by population ageing. INTERPRETATION Although age-standardised rates of neck pain have remained stable over the past three decades, by 2050 the projected case numbers are expected to rise. With the highest prevalence in older adults (higher in females than males), a larger effect expected in low-income and middle-income countries, and a rapidly ageing global population, neck pain continues to pose a challenge in terms of disability burden worldwide. For future planning, it is essential we improve our mechanistic understanding of the different causes and risk factors for neck pain and prioritise the consistent collection of global neck pain data and increase the number of countries with data on neck pain. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and Global Alliance for Musculoskeletal Health.
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23
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Feng Q, Li W, Callander EJ, Wang R, Mol BW. Applying a simplified economic evaluation approach to evaluate infertility treatments in clinical practice. Hum Reprod 2024; 39:448-453. [PMID: 38148026 PMCID: PMC10905501 DOI: 10.1093/humrep/dead265] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2023] [Revised: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023] Open
Abstract
IVF is the backbone of infertility treatment, but due to its costs, it is not affordable for everyone. The cost of IVF is further escalated by interventions added to the routine treatment, which are claimed to boost pregnancy rates, so-called add-ons. Consequently, it is critical to offset the increased costs of an intervention against a potentially higher benefit. Here, we propose using a simplified framework considering the cost of a standard IVF procedure to create one live-born baby as a benchmark for the cost-effectiveness of other fertility treatments, add-ons inclusive. This framework is a simplified approach to a formal economic evaluation, enabling a rapid assessment of cost effectiveness in clinical settings. For a 30-year-old woman, assuming a 44.6% cumulative live birth rate and a cost of $12 000 per complete cycle, the cost to create one live-born baby would be ∼$27 000 (i.e. willingness to pay). Under this concept, the decision whether to accept or reject a new treatment depends from an economic perspective on the incremental cost per additional live birth from the new treatment/add-on, with the $27 000 per live-born baby as a reference threshold. This threshold can vary with women's age, and other factors such as the economic perspective and risk of side effects can play a role. If a new add-on or treatment costs >$27 000 per live birth, it might be more rational to invest in a new IVF cycle rather than spending on the add-on. With the increasing number of novel technologies in IVF and the lack of a rapid approach to evaluate their cost-effectiveness, this simplified framework will help with a more objective assessment of the cost-effectiveness of infertility treatments, including add-ons.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qian Feng
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Wentao Li
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Emily J Callander
- Discipline for Health Services Management, School of Public Health, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Rui Wang
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Ben W Mol
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
- Aberdeen Centre for Women's Health Research, School of Medicine, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
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24
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Ouyang G, Pan G, Li Q, Li S, Liu T, Yi X, Liu Z. Global burden of acute hepatitis E between 1990 and 2019 and projections until 2030. Liver Int 2024. [PMID: 38426633 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2023] [Revised: 01/17/2024] [Accepted: 02/16/2024] [Indexed: 03/02/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Acute hepatitis E (AHE) is still a public health issue worldwide. Here, we report the global burden of AHE in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 by age, sex and socio-demographic index (SDI), and predict the future trends to 2030. METHODS Data on AHE were collected from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) and joinpoint analysis were used to determine the burden trend. RESULTS In 2019, there were 19.47 million (95% UI, 16.04 to 23.37 million) incident cases of AHE globally, with a 19% increase since 1990. Age-standardized rate (ASR) of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), prevalent and incident cases declined from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, the ASR of incidence, prevalence and DALYs due to HEV infection were highest in the same regions of South Asia for both sexes. Southern Sub-Saharan Africa presented the highest increases in the ASR for incidence of HEV infection in both males (AAPC = .25) and females (AAPC = .24) from 1990 to 2019. Incident cases are higher in males than females before 55-59 years old. The SDI values were negatively correlated with the age-standardized DALYs. Between 2019 and 2030, the ASR for incidence and prevalence of HEV for both sexes showed an increasing trend. CONCLUSIONS Although the overall ASR of AHE decreased, the burden of AHE remains an underappreciated problem for society. The findings may provide useful information for policymakers to develop appropriate strategies aimed at reducing the burden of AHE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guoqing Ouyang
- Department of General Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
- Liuzhou Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Diseases Precision Diagnosis Research Center of Engineering Technology, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
- Division of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China
| | - Guangdong Pan
- Department of General Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
- Liuzhou Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Diseases Precision Diagnosis Research Center of Engineering Technology, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
| | - Qiuyun Li
- Department of General Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
- Liuzhou Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Diseases Precision Diagnosis Research Center of Engineering Technology, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
| | - Shuang Li
- Department of General Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
- Liuzhou Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Diseases Precision Diagnosis Research Center of Engineering Technology, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
| | - Tao Liu
- Department General Surgery, Luzhai People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
| | - Xiaolei Yi
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Changsha Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Zhipeng Liu
- Department of General Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China
- Division of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China
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25
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Wafa HA, Marshall I, Wolfe CD, Xie W, Johnson CO, Veltkamp R, Wang Y. Burden of intracerebral haemorrhage in Europe: forecasting incidence and mortality between 2019 and 2050. Lancet Reg Health Eur 2024; 38:100842. [PMID: 38362494 PMCID: PMC10867656 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.100842] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2023] [Revised: 01/05/2024] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024]
Abstract
Background Anticipating the burden of intracerebral haemorrhage is crucial for proactive management and building resilience against future health challenges. Prior forecasts are based on population demography and to a lesser extent epidemiological trends. This study aims to utilise selected modifiable risk factors and socio-demographic indicators to forecast the incidence and mortality of intracerebral haemorrhage in Europe between 2019 and 2050. Methods Three intracerebral haemorrhage risk factors identified in the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors study (GBD 2019)-high systolic blood pressure, high fasting plasma glucose, and high body mass index-were utilised to predict the risk-attributable fractions between 2019 and 2050. Disease burden not attributable to these risk factors was then forecasted using time series models (autoregressive integrated moving average [ARIMA]), incorporating the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) as an external predictor. The optimal parameters of ARIMA models were selected for each age-sex-country group based on the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). Different health scenarios were constructed by extending the past 85th and 15th percentiles of annualised rates of change in risk factors and SDI across all location-years, stratified by age and sex groups. A decomposition analysis was performed to assess the relative contributions of population size, age composition, and intracerebral haemorrhage risk on the projected changes. Findings Compared with observed figures in 2019, our analysis predicts an increase in the burden of intracerebral haemorrhage in Europe in 2050, with a marginal rise of 0.6% (95% uncertainty interval [UI], -7.4% to 9.6%) in incident cases and an 8.9% (-2.8% to 23.6%) increase in mortality, reaching 141.2 (120.6-166.5) thousand and 144.2 (122.9-172.2) thousand respectively. These projections may fluctuate depending on trajectories of the risk factors and SDI; worsened trends could result in increases of 16.7% (8.7%-25.3%) in incidence and 31.2% (17.7%-48%) in mortality, while better trajectories may lead to a 10% (16.4%-2.3%) decrease in intracerebral haemorrhage cases with stabilised mortality. Individuals aged ≥80 years are expected to contribute significantly to the burden, comprising 62.7% of the cases in 2050, up from 40% in 2019, and 72.5% of deaths, up from 50.5%. Country-wide variations were noted in the projected changes, with decreases in the standardised rates across all nations but varying crude rates. The largest relative reductions in counts for both incidence and mortality are expected in Latvia, Bulgaria, and Hungary-ranging from -38.2% to -32.4% and -37.3% to -30.2% respectively. In contrast, the greatest increases for both measures were forecasted in Ireland (45.7% and 74.4%), Luxembourg (45% and 70.7%), and Cyprus (44.5% and 74.2%). The modelled increase in the burden of intracerebral haemorrhage could largely be attributed to population ageing. Interpretation This study provides a comprehensive forecast of intracerebral haemorrhage in Europe until 2050, presenting different trajectories. The potential increase in the number of people experiencing and dying from intracerebral haemorrhage could have profound implications for both caregiving responsibilities and associated costs. However, forecasts were divergent between different scenarios and among EU countries, signalling the pivotal role of public health initiatives in steering the trajectories. Funding The European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement No. 754517. The National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) under its Programme Grants for Applied Research (NIHR202339).
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Affiliation(s)
- Hatem A. Wafa
- School of Life Course and Population Health Sciences, King’s College London, London, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLAHRC) South London, London, UK
| | - Iain Marshall
- School of Life Course and Population Health Sciences, King’s College London, London, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLAHRC) South London, London, UK
| | - Charles D.A. Wolfe
- School of Life Course and Population Health Sciences, King’s College London, London, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLAHRC) South London, London, UK
| | - Wanqing Xie
- Department of Intelligent Medical Engineering, School of Biomedical Engineering, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
- Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Centre, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02215, USA
| | - Catherine O. Johnson
- Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, Seattle, USA
| | - Roland Veltkamp
- Department of Neurology, Alfried Krupp Krankenhaus Essen, Alfried-Krupp-Straße 21, Essen 45131, Germany
- Department of Brain Sciences, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Yanzhong Wang
- School of Life Course and Population Health Sciences, King’s College London, London, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLAHRC) South London, London, UK
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Ren F, Shi Z, Shen X, Xiao G, Zhang C, Cheng Y. The global, regional, and national burden of stomach cancer attributed to smoking in 204 countries, 1990-2019: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Tob Induc Dis 2024; 22:TID-22-48. [PMID: 38434517 PMCID: PMC10907929 DOI: 10.18332/tid/183803] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2023] [Revised: 02/05/2024] [Accepted: 02/07/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Understanding the current burden of stomach cancer linked to smoking and the variations in trends across different locations, is crucial for developing effective prevention strategies. In this study, we present findings on the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate attributed to smoking in 204 countries and territories spanning 21 regions from 1990 to 2019. METHODS The data for this study were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, which assessed 369 diseases and injuries, as well as 87 risk factors in 204 countries and 21 regions. To assess the trend in ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was utilized. RESULTS Between 1990 and 2019, smoking was found to be associated with a decrease in ASDR (EAPC = -2.20) and age-standardized DALYs (EAPC = -2.42) rates for gastric cancer. As the sociodemographic index (SDI) increased, the decline in rates also increased gradually. However, the decline was smallest in regions with low SDI (EAPCASDR = -1.34; EAPCage-standardized DALYs rate = -1.38). In 21 regions, both ASDR and DALYs rates experienced a decline. The smallest decline in ASDR was observed in Western Sub-Saharan Africa, with an EAPC of -0.80, while the smallest decline in DALYs rate was found in Oceania, with an EAPC of -0.81. Among the 204 countries analyzed, the Dominican Republic showed the highest increase in ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate (EAPCASDR = 1.19; EAPCage-standardized DALYs rate = 1.21), followed by Afghanistan (EAPCASDR = 1.09; EAPCage-standardized DALYs rate = 1.09) and Sao Tome and Principe (EAPCASDR = 1.05; EAPCage-standardized DALYs rate = 1.03). In the year 2019, the highest ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate was observed in East Asia, with the highest rates occurring in Mongolia. CONCLUSIONS The burden of stomach cancer worldwide, adjusted for age, and related to smoking, has shown a decline from 1990 to 2019. However, regional disparities have been identified, with some areas experiencing an increase in this burden. These regions with a higher burden emphasize the necessity for the implementation of strong tobacco control measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fupeng Ren
- Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Zhilong Shi
- Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Xiu Shen
- Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Gangfeng Xiao
- Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Chaoying Zhang
- Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Yiquan Cheng
- Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, Ningbo, China
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Zhang C, Zhang L. The relationship between toxic air pollution, health expenditure, and economic growth in the European Union: fresh evidence from the PMG-ARDL model. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int 2024; 31:21107-21123. [PMID: 38386160 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-024-32342-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2023] [Accepted: 02/01/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
Air pollution is a danger to economies throughout the European Union. Industry, population expansion, a building boom owing to housing and infrastructure development, increasing vehicle traffic, crowded streets, a lack of availability of clean fuel, and ineffective control programs are the primary causes. Toxic air is a double-edged sword for a country's health since it affects just a tiny fraction of Europe's population. The financial burden and healthcare expenses for people rise when health expenditures rise. The present research looks at how dangerous air levels, healthcare costs, and the expansion of the European Union's economy are all connected. The findings are based on data collected over 29 years and account for the abovementioned variables. The results of the unit root test have the significant probability values of all variables: health expenditures (HE), gross domestic product (GDP), nitrous oxides (NOX), and carbon dioxides (CO2) emissions at both level and first difference. We used the Johansen, Kao, and Pedroni cointegration tests to test the null hypothesis of no cointegration to see that sample variables had a long-term association. The PMG-ARDL test was used to get these findings. The results confirmed the significant probability values of dependent variables in long- and short-run results that GDP has a positive and significant effect on health expenditure, while NOX and CO2 emissions have a negative and significant impact on (HE), in the European Union. To verify the results, we applied the robustness test, fully modified OLS (FMOLD), and dynamic OLS (DOLS); the robustness test results validated the PMG-ARDL test results. Environmental pollution (CO2, NOX) has a significant and negative impact on healthcare expenditures and a significant effect on GDP (HE) in the EU region. The findings of this research have implications for a wide range of parties, including those who would examine the link between factors in a study meant to improve air quality, distribute health resources, or develop strategies for economic development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Changzheng Zhang
- Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 211100, China
| | - Liqun Zhang
- Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 211100, China.
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Wu G, Wu Q, Xu J, Gao G, Chen T, Chen G. Mortality burden and future projections of major risk factors for esophageal cancer in China from 1990 to 2019. Gen Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2024; 72:192-201. [PMID: 37973657 DOI: 10.1007/s11748-023-01987-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2023] [Accepted: 10/25/2023] [Indexed: 11/19/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study, based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data, aimed to report the long-term trend in mortality rates caused by risk factors for esophageal cancer (EC) in China from 1990 to 2019 and predict the burden of EC mortality caused by these risk factors over the next 15 years. METHODS We examined six risk factors that influenced EC mortality rates in China and their respective rankings. Furthermore, we analyzed the number of deaths and crude mortality rates (CMR) caused by these risk factors for both sexes and different age groups. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and the number of deaths across all age groups were also analyzed. Finally, we utilized the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model to predict the trends in ASMR burden caused by these risk factors in the future. RESULTS From 1990 to 2019, the percentage changes in ASMR for EC caused by the six risk factors in China were as follows: smoking (- 33.4%), alcohol consumption (- 23.0%), low fruit intake (- 73.6%), low vegetable intake (- 96.0%), high Body Mass Index (BMI) (25.1%), and tobacco chewing (- 32.8%). In 2019, the top three risk factors contributing to EC ASMR in China were smoking, alcohol consumption, and high BMI. Overall, the ASMR for EC in China fluctuated and declined from 1990 to 2019. The most common risk factors for males were smoking and alcohol consumption, while low fruit intake and high BMI were the most common risk factors for females. The impact of these risk factors on EC mortality increased with age, except for the elderly population. BAPC analysis indicated that the influence of these risk factors on ASMR was expected to remain relatively stable in the next 15 years, suggesting a continued significant burden of EC. CONCLUSION The projected burden of EC mortality in China was expected to continue increasing steadily over the next 15 years, highlighting the pressing need for disease control measures. To alleviate this burden, targeted prevention and control policies addressing risk factors for EC such as smoking, alcohol consumption, and high BMI are necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guibin Wu
- Department of Medical Oncology, Anxi County Hospital, No. 249-259, Hebin South Road, Fengcheng Town, Anxi County, 362400, Fujian Province, China.
| | - Qingxiang Wu
- Blood Purification Centre, Anxi County Hospital, Anxi County, 362400, Fujian Province, China
| | - Juan Xu
- Department of Medical Oncology, Anxi County Hospital, No. 249-259, Hebin South Road, Fengcheng Town, Anxi County, 362400, Fujian Province, China
| | - Genhua Gao
- Department of Medical Oncology, Anxi County Hospital, No. 249-259, Hebin South Road, Fengcheng Town, Anxi County, 362400, Fujian Province, China
| | - Tingting Chen
- Department of Medical Oncology, Anxi County Hospital, No. 249-259, Hebin South Road, Fengcheng Town, Anxi County, 362400, Fujian Province, China
| | - Guowei Chen
- Department of Medical Oncology, Anxi County Hospital, No. 249-259, Hebin South Road, Fengcheng Town, Anxi County, 362400, Fujian Province, China
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Ghulam E, Ramadan M. Age-period-cohort analysis of colorectal cancer mortality in Saudi Arabia from 1990 to 2019. Public Health 2024; 228:43-50. [PMID: 38266347 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2023.11.033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2023] [Revised: 11/07/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 01/26/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The current study aimed to describe and estimate the independent effects of age, period, and cohort on colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality in Saudi Arabia from 1990 to 2019. STUDY DESIGN This was an epidemiological study. METHODS Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. Age-period-cohort modelling was used to compute the net drift, local drift, cross-sectional age curve, longitudinal age curve, and rate ratios (RRs) of period and cohort of CRC mortality in Saudi Arabia. RESULTS In 2019, there were 1629 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 1263 to 2045) CRC cancer deaths in Saudi Arabia, and the age-standardised mortality rate of CRC was 9.7 (95% UI: 7.8 to 11.6) per 100,000 population. For men, between 1990 and 2019, the total number of CRC deaths increased dramatically from 199 (95% UI: 130 to 286) in 2019 to 942 (95% UI: 725 to 1228). For the period effects, the relative risk (RR) of mortality rate for both sexes followed similar monotonic increase patterns throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS Results from this study highlight a concerning increase in CRC mortality rates in Saudi Arabia from 1990 to 2019, particularly among individuals aged 30-50 years. While mortality rates for men were higher at the start of the study period, more favourable trends for men were seen in the later years of the study period, indicating evolving gender disparities. Establishing evidence-based national screening guidelines and adopting multi-level diagnostics, risk assessment, and population-wide screening, especially for younger populations, is crucial.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Ghulam
- Basic Science Department, College of Science and Health Professions, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
| | - M Ramadan
- Population Health Research Section, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center (KAIMRC), King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Ministry of National Guard - Health Affairs, Saudi Arabia.
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Wang Z, Gu Y, Wang R, He Y, Ge H, Yang Z, Jin Z, Jin H, Lv S, Zhan H. The global magnitude and temporal trend of rheumatoid arthritis burden attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2019. Rheumatology (Oxford) 2024; 63:689-697. [PMID: 37279721 DOI: 10.1093/rheumatology/kead269] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2023] [Revised: 05/11/2023] [Accepted: 05/23/2023] [Indexed: 06/08/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The relationship between smoking and RA has been confirmed. Most nations have ratified the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. However, there are considerable regional differences in how effectively tobacco control measures were implemented. This study was carried out to estimate the spatiotemporal trends of smoking-related RA burdens. METHODS Data were available from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and were analysed by age, sex, year and region. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to the analysis of temporal trends in the RA burden resulting from smoking over 30 years. RESULTS From 1990 to 2019, the number of global RA cases increased each year. The age-standardized prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates also increased. However, there was a wave in the changing trend of the age-standardized death rate, with the lowest point in 2012 and the highest point in 1990. Smoking, in particular, was responsible for 11.9% of total RA deaths and 12.8% of total DALYs in 1990 but only 8.5% of total RA deaths and 9.6% of total DALYs in 2019. A greater burden from smoking exposure was borne by men, older adults and people living in high-middle and high sociodemographic index (SDI) countries and regions. Moreover, the UK demonstrated the highest reduction in age-standardized death and DALY rates over the three decades. CONCLUSION There were reductions in the age-standardized burdens of RA caused by smoking worldwide. Nevertheless, this continues to be an issue in some areas, and efforts to reduce smoking should be made to lessen this growing burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhengming Wang
- Shi's Center of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Institute of Traumatology & Orthopedics, Shanghai Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yong Gu
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Rui Wang
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yanlin He
- Key Laboratory of Carbohydrate Chemistry & Biotechnology, Ministry of Education, School of Biotechnology, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China
| | - Haiya Ge
- Shi's Center of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Institute of Traumatology & Orthopedics, Shanghai Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zongrui Yang
- Shi's Center of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Institute of Traumatology & Orthopedics, Shanghai Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhaokai Jin
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Hengkai Jin
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Shuaijie Lv
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Hongsheng Zhan
- Shi's Center of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
- Institute of Traumatology & Orthopedics, Shanghai Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
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Weng Q, Chen Q, Jiang T, Zhang Y, Zhang W, Doherty M, Xie J, Liu K, Li J, Yang T, Wei J, Lei G, Zeng C. Global burden of early-onset osteoarthritis, 1990-2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Ann Rheum Dis 2024:ard-2023-225324. [PMID: 38429104 DOI: 10.1136/ard-2023-225324] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2023] [Accepted: 02/21/2024] [Indexed: 03/03/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Early-onset osteoarthritis (OA) is an emerging health issue amidst the escalating prevalence of overweight and obesity. However, there are scant data on its disease, economic burden and attributable burden due to high body mass index (BMI). METHODS Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019, we examined the numbers of incident cases, prevalent cases, years lived with disability (YLDs) and corresponding age-standardised rates for early-onset OA (diagnosis before age 55) from 1990 to 2019. The case definition was symptomatic and radiographically confirmed OA in any joint. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of the age-standardised rates were calculated to quantify changes. We estimated the economic burden of early-onset OA and attributable burden to high BMI. RESULTS From 1990 to 2019, the global incident cases, prevalent cases and YLDs of early-onset OA were doubled. 52.31% of incident OA cases in 2019 were under 55 years. The age-standardised rates of incidence, prevalence and YLDs increased globally and for countries in all Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles (all AAPCs>0, p<0.05), with the fastest increases in low-middle SDI countries. 98.04% of countries exhibited increasing trends in all age-standardised rates. Early-onset OA accounts for US$46.17 billion in healthcare expenditure and US$60.70 billion in productivity loss cost in 2019. The attributable proportion of high BMI for early-onset OA increased globally from 9.41% (1990) to 15.29% (2019). CONCLUSIONS Early-onset OA is a developing global health problem, causing substantial economic costs in most countries. Targeted implementation of cost-effective policies and preventive intervention is required to address the growing health challenge.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qianlin Weng
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qiu Chen
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Ting Jiang
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Key Laboratory of Aging-related Bone and Joint Diseases Prevention and Treatment, Ministry of Education, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Joint Degeneration and Injury, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Department of Ultrasonography, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Yuqing Zhang
- Division of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- The Mongan Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Weiya Zhang
- Academic Rheumatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- Pain Centre Versus Arthritis UK, Nottingham, UK
| | - Michael Doherty
- Academic Rheumatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- Pain Centre Versus Arthritis UK, Nottingham, UK
| | - Junqing Xie
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ke Liu
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Jiatian Li
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Tuo Yang
- Health Management Center, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Jie Wei
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Key Laboratory of Aging-related Bone and Joint Diseases Prevention and Treatment, Ministry of Education, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Joint Degeneration and Injury, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Guanghua Lei
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Key Laboratory of Aging-related Bone and Joint Diseases Prevention and Treatment, Ministry of Education, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Joint Degeneration and Injury, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Chao Zeng
- Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Key Laboratory of Aging-related Bone and Joint Diseases Prevention and Treatment, Ministry of Education, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Joint Degeneration and Injury, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
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Dobre MA, Ahlawat S, Schelling JR. Chronic kidney disease associated cardiomyopathy: recent advances and future perspectives. Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens 2024; 33:203-211. [PMID: 38193308 PMCID: PMC10872957 DOI: 10.1097/mnh.0000000000000952] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/10/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Cardiomyopathy in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a complex condition with multiple triggers and poor prognosis. This review provides an overview of recent advances in CKD-associated cardiomyopathy, with a focus on pathophysiology, newly discovered biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets. RECENT FINDINGS CKD is associated with a specific pattern of myocardial hypertrophy and fibrosis, resulting in diastolic and systolic dysfunction, and often triggered by nonatherosclerotic processes. Novel biomarkers, including amino-terminal type III procollagen peptide (PIIINP), carboxy-terminal type I procollagen peptide (PICP), FGF23, marinobufagenin, and several miRNAs, show promise for early detection and risk stratification. Treatment options for CKD-associated cardiomyopathy are limited. Sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors have been shown to reduce left ventricle hypertrophy and improve ejection fraction in individuals with diabetes and mild CKD, and are currently under investigation for more advanced stages of CKD. In hemodialysis patients calcimimetic etelcalcetide resulted in a significant reduction in left ventricular mass. SUMMARY CKD-associated cardiomyopathy is a common and severe complication in CKD. The identification of novel biomarkers may lead to future therapeutic targets. Randomized clinical trials in individuals with more advanced CKD would be well posed to expand treatment options for this debilitating condition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mirela A Dobre
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center
- School of Medicine
| | - Shruti Ahlawat
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center
| | - Jeffrey R Schelling
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center
- School of Medicine
- Department of Physiology & Biophysics, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
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Weng B, Jin J, Huang L, Tong X, Jiao W, Wang Y, Fang C, Wang M, Li Y. Risk factors associated with functional decline in older hospital survivors with acute lower respiratory tract infections: a prospective cohort study. BMC Geriatr 2024; 24:208. [PMID: 38424506 PMCID: PMC10902937 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-024-04838-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2023] [Accepted: 02/21/2024] [Indexed: 03/02/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the dynamics of basic activity of daily living (BADL) in older patients with acute lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) during acute phase and to investigate risk factors associated with decreased physical function at discharge. METHODS We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients aged 65 years and older who were hospitalized for acute LRTIs between April 15, 2020 and January 15, 2023. All patients received geriatric assessment at admission, including emotion, cognition, frailty, physical function status and so on. The BADL was also evaluated by the Barthel Index (BI) at two weeks before admission by recall (baseline status), at admission and at discharge. Based on the BI grades at baseline and at discharge, patients were classified into two groups: ADL decline and no ADL decline. Multivariable adjusted logistic regression models were used to evaluate the risk factors of decreased physical function. RESULTS A total of 364 older survivors with LRTIs were included in the analysis. The median age was 74 years (IQR 61.0-82.0), 231 (62.6%) were male, the median length of stay was 10 days. In the geriatric assessment, 139 patients (38.2%) were classified as frailty, 137 patients (37.6%) experienced insomnia, 60 patients (16.5%) exhibited cognitive impairments, and 37 patients (10.2%) were defined as malnutrition. Additionally, 30 patients (8.2%) dealt with emotional disorders. On average, patients were taking 3 medications, and Charlson Comorbidity Index score was 4. 72 patients (19.8%) had function decline at discharge. In the multivariable analysis, frailty status had an odds ratio of 4.25 (95% CI 1.31-19.26) for decreased physical function and cognitive impairment had an odds ratio of 2.58 (95% CI 1.27-5.19). CONCLUSIONS About 20% older patients with LRTIs experienced functional decline at discharge. Compared to age, severity of diseases and length of stay, frailty and cognitive impairment performed better at predicting the function decline. The apply of geriatric assessment may contribute to enhance the quality of management and treatment for patients with the older with LRTIs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bingxuan Weng
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Jin Jin
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Lixue Huang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Xunliang Tong
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Wenshu Jiao
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Yuanqi Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Chuangsen Fang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Mengyuan Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Yanming Li
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, China.
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Zheng B, Li Y, Xiong G. Establishment and analysis of artificial neural network diagnosis model for coagulation-related molecular subgroups in coronary artery disease. Front Genet 2024; 15:1351774. [PMID: 38495669 PMCID: PMC10941628 DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2024.1351774] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2023] [Accepted: 02/20/2024] [Indexed: 03/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the most common type of cardiovascular disease and cause significant morbidity and mortality. Abnormal coagulation cascade is one of the high-risk factors in CAD patients, but the molecular mechanism of coagulation in CAD is still limited. Methods: We clustered and categorized 352 CAD paitents based on the expression patterns of coagulation-related genes (CRGs), and then we explored the molecular and immunological variations across the subgroups to reveal the underlying biological characteristics of CAD patients. The feature genes between CRG-subgroups were further identified using a random forest model (RF) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and an artificial neural network prediction model was constructed. Results: CAD patients could be divided into the C1 and C2 CRG-subgroups, with the C1 subgroup highly enriched in immune-related signaling pathways. The differential expressed genes between the two CRG-subgroups (DE-CRGs) were primarily enriched in signaling pathways connected to signal transduction and energy metabolism. Subsequently, 10 feature DE-CRGs were identified by RF and LASSO. We constructed a novel artificial neural network model using these 10 genes and evaluated and validated its diagnostic performance on a public dataset. Conclusion: Diverse molecular subgroups of CAD patients may each have a unique gene expression pattern. We may identify subgroups using a few feature genes, providing a theoretical basis for the precise treatment of CAD patients with different molecular subgroups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Biwei Zheng
- Department of Cardiology, Dongguan Hospital of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine Affiliated to Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, China
| | - Yujing Li
- Shenzhen Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, The Fourth Clinical Medical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Shenzhen, China
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine Shenzhen Hospital (Longgang), Shenzhen, China
| | - Guoliang Xiong
- Shenzhen Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, The Fourth Clinical Medical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Shenzhen, China
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Yang X, Sun J, Zhang W. Global trends in burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to physical inactivity across 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2024; 15:1343002. [PMID: 38469145 PMCID: PMC10925666 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2024.1343002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 02/08/2024] [Indexed: 03/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Background To promote a comprehensive understanding of global trends and burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to physical inactivity. Methods We utilized data regarding mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), as well as age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and DALYs rates (ASDR) derived from the global burden of disease study 2019 to evaluate the impact of physical inactivity on the prevalence of type 2 diabetes in 204 countries and territories over the period from 1990 to 2019. This method facilitated the analysis of the diabetes burden across different ages, genders, and regions. To determine the long-term progression of type 2 diabetes prevalence, we computed the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in burden rates. Results Globally, the number of deaths and DALYs from type 2 diabetes due to physical inactivity more than doubled between 1990 and 2019. Concurrently, there was an increase in the ASMR and ASDR, with EAPC of 0.26 (95% CI: 0.13-0.39) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78-0.89), respectively. As of 2019, the global ASMR and ASDR for physical inactivity stood at 1.6 (95% UI: 0.8-2.7) per 100 000 and 55.9 (95% UI: 27.2-97.6) per 100 000, respectively. Notable disparities were observed in the type 2 diabetes burden associated with physical inactivity worldwide, with higher sociodemographic index (SDI) countries experiencing lower ASDR and ASMR compared to lower SDI countries. Initially, females exhibited higher ASMR and ASDR than males, but this gender disparity in ASMR and ASDR has lessened in recent years. The mortality and DALYs rates associated with physical inactivity exhibit an inverted V-shaped pattern across various age groups, predominantly affecting the elderly population. Conclusion Between 1990 and 2019, there was a marked rise in the worldwide burden of type 2 diabetes associated with physical inactivity, underscoring the role of physical inactivity as a key changeable risk factor in the global landscape of this disease. This necessitates additional research to explore the variables contributing to the varying levels of disease burden across different countries and between sexes. Furthermore, it calls for the formulation of public health policies aimed at guiding prevention tactics, promoting early detection, and enhancing the management of type 2 diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Wenjuan Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China
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Li Y, Wu J, Tang H, Jia X, Wang J, Meng C, Wang W, Liu S, Yuan H, Cai J, Wang J, Lu Y. Long-term PM 2.5 exposure and early-onset diabetes: Does BMI link this risk? Sci Total Environ 2024; 913:169791. [PMID: 38176550 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169791] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2023] [Revised: 12/18/2023] [Accepted: 12/28/2023] [Indexed: 01/06/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Limited studies investigated the association between high-level fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution and early-onset diabetes, leaving the possible metabolic mechanisms unclear. We assessed the association of cumulative PM2.5 exposure with diabetes, including early-onset, in high-pollution areas of China and explored whether metabolic factors mediated this association. METHODS 124,204 participants (≥18 years) from 121 counties in Hunan province, China, were enrolled between 2005 and 2020, with follow-up until 2021. The ground-level air pollution concentrations at each participant's residence were calculated using a high-quality dataset in China. The independent association of PM2.5 with incident diabetes and early-onset diabetes was assessed by Cox proportional hazards models. Restricted cubic splines were utilized to establish the exposure-response relationships. The role of metabolism-related mediators was estimated by mediation analysis. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 8.47 (IQR, 6.65-9.82) years, there were 3650 patients with new-onset diabetes. Each 1 μg/m3 increase in the level of cumulative PM2.5 exposure was positively related to an increased incidence of diabetes (HR 1.177, 95 % CI 1.172-1.181) among individuals in the PM2.5 > 50 μg/m3 group after adjusting for multiple variables. The relationship of the PM2.5 dose-response curve for diabetes was non-linear. Significant associations between PM2.5 exposure and early-onset diabetes risk were observed, with this risk showing an increase with the earlier age of early diabetes onset. Males, young individuals (≤45 years), and those with a lower body mass index (BMI <24 kg/m2) appeared to be more susceptible to diabetes. Moreover, change in BMI significantly mediated 31.06 % of the PM2.5-diabetes relationship. CONCLUSIONS Long-term cumulative PM2.5 exposure increased the risk of early-onset diabetes, which is partially mediated by BMI. Sustained air pollution control measures, priority protection of vulnerable individuals, and effective management of BMI should be taken to reduce the burden of diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yalan Li
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Jingjing Wu
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Haibo Tang
- Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China; Department of Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Xinru Jia
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Jie Wang
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Changjiang Meng
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Wei Wang
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Shiqi Liu
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Hong Yuan
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Jingjing Cai
- Department of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Jiangang Wang
- Health Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
| | - Yao Lu
- Clinical Research Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China; Faculty of Life Sciences & Medicine, King's College London, 150 Stamford Street, London SE1 9NH, UK.
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Ma Y, He Y, Tang D, Cai G, Fan D, Cao Y, Pan F. Association between diurnal temperature range and sperm quality: Evidence from a prospective cohort in Central China. Sci Total Environ 2024; 913:169761. [PMID: 38171276 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169761] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2023] [Revised: 12/23/2023] [Accepted: 12/27/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
Inter-day temperature variability has been reported to be associated with sperm quality in a city-level exposure assessment study. However, studies exploring the impact of temperature variability within a single day on sperm quality at individual level are still lacking. The present study aims to bridge this research gap by analyzing the linear and non-linear associations between diurnal temperature range (DTR) exposure and sperm quality, utilizing data from the Anhui Prospective Assisted Reproduction Cohort. The study included 15,112 males (totaling 28,267 tests) and assessed individual exposure to various environmental factors (residential greenness, ambient particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, relative humidity, ambient temperature, and DTR) during the 0-90 day period before semen analysis. A combination of a linear mixed model, natural cubic splines, and subgroup analysis was employed. Significant "U"-shaped non-linear associations were observed between DTR exposure and total motility, sperm concentration, sperm count, total motile sperm count, and progressive motile sperm count. Lower DTR levels negatively impacted these parameters, whereas higher DTR levels showed a positive effect. Notably, these associations were more pronounced at ambient temperatures below 16.5 °C, while absent in warmer conditions. Sperm quality demonstrates increased sensitivity to DTR exposure in cooler environments. Therefore, implementing effective individual temperature management strategies is crucial for mitigating decreased sperm quality associated with DTR exposure, highlighting the potential benefits of government policies aimed at achieving carbon neutrality to enhance overall sperm quality in the general population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yubo Ma
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China; The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, 81 Meishan Road, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Ye He
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Reproductive Medicine Center, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Dongdong Tang
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Reproductive Medicine Center, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Guoqi Cai
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China; The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, 81 Meishan Road, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Dazhi Fan
- Foshan Institute of Fetal Medicine, Southern Medical University Affiliated Maternal and Child Health Hospital of Foshan, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Yunxia Cao
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Reproductive Medicine Center, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
| | - Faming Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China; The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, 81 Meishan Road, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China.
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Avan A, Nucera A, Stranges S, Rocca WA, Logroscino G, Leonardi M, Raggi A, Hachinski V. Risk and sex-specific trends of dementia and stroke in Italy Compared to European and high-income countries and the world: global implications. J Neurol 2024:10.1007/s00415-024-12216-4. [PMID: 38388926 DOI: 10.1007/s00415-024-12216-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 12/20/2023] [Accepted: 01/20/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Understanding the increasing trends in Italy may inform new prevention strategies and better treatments. We investigated trends and risk factors of dementia, stroke, and ischemic heart disease (IHD) in Italy with the second-oldest population globally, compared to European and high-income countries and the world. METHODS We analyzed the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 estimates on incidence and burden (i.e., disability and death combined) of the three conditions in both sexes. We also analyzed the burden attributable to 12 modifiable risk factors and their changes during 1990-2019. RESULTS In 2019, Italy had 186,108 new dementias (123,885 women) and 94,074 new strokes (53,572 women). Women had 98% higher crude dementia and 24% higher crude stroke burdens than men. The average age-standardized new dementia rate was 114.7 per 100,000 women and 88.4 per 100,000 men, both higher than Western Europe, the European Union, high-income countries, and the world. During 1990-2019, this rate increased in both sexes (4%), despite a decline in stroke (- 45%) and IHD (- 17%) in Italy. Dementia burden attributable to tobacco decreased in both sexes (- 12.7%) during 1990-2019, while high blood glucose and high body mass index combined burden increased (25.4%). Stroke and IHD had similar trends. CONCLUSIONS While decreases in new strokes and IHDs are encouraging, new approaches to their joint prevention are required to reverse the rising dementia trends, especially among women. Life course approaches to promoting holistic brain health should be implemented at the community, national, and international levels before the growing trends become overwhelming.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abolfazl Avan
- Robarts Research Institute, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada
- Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada
| | - Antonia Nucera
- Neurovascular Treatment Unit, Spaziani Hospital, Frosinone, Italy
| | - Saverio Stranges
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada
- Department of Family Medicine and Medicine, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada
- Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University, Naples, Italy
- The Africa Institute, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada
| | - Walter A Rocca
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
- Department of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
- Women's Health Research Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Giancarlo Logroscino
- Department of Translational Biomedicine and Neurosciences (DiBraiN), University of Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy
- Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Aging Brain at Pia Fondazione "Card. G. Panico", University of Bari, Tricase (Lecce), Italy
| | - Matilde Leonardi
- Department of Neurology, Public Health, and Disability, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Neurologico Carlo Besta, Milan, Italy
| | - Alberto Raggi
- Department of Neurology, Public Health, and Disability, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Neurologico Carlo Besta, Milan, Italy
| | - Vladimir Hachinski
- Robarts Research Institute, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.
- Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.
- Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Robarts Research Institute, University of Western Ontario, 1151 Richmond St. N., London, ON, N6A 5B7, Canada.
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Haghighatdoost F, Mehrabani-Zeinabad K, Hajihashemi P, Mohammadifard N, Adibi P. Burden of colorectal cancer and its risk factors in the North Africa and Middle East (NAME) region, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:557. [PMID: 38388875 PMCID: PMC10882825 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18027-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Accepted: 02/07/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The geographical differences in incidence rates of colorectal cancer (CRC) and its burden due to modifiable risk factors warrant investigating the CRC burden and its risk factors in different regions. In the current study, we aimed to estimate the burden of CRC and the share of its risk factors in the North Africa and Middle East (NAME), from 1990 to 2019. STUDY DESIGN Systematic review. METHODS The rates of incidence, prevalence, death, years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) of CRC were estimated through the framework of the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD), Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019 by age, sex, between 1990 and 2019. The CRC-related DALYs attributable to each lifestyle and metabolic risk factor was also estimated through a comparative risk assessment approach. RESULTS In NAME region, the trends of incidence, prevalence, death, YLL, YLD, and DALYs of CRC were increasing, with higher rates in males than females over this period. High and high-middle socio-demographic index (SDI) countries had greater CRC DALYs rate compared with middle- and low-SDI countries in 2019, except for Palestine [434.66 (95% UI: 368.82, 503.88)]. In NAME region, like the global, dietary risk (33.18%), low whole grain intake (19.79%), and low intake of milk (15.77%) were the major contributing risk factors to DALYs due to CRC in 2019. CONCLUSIONS Due to increasing trend of CRC burden and the considerable role of lifestyle and metabolic factors in its burden in NAME region, implementing fundamental strategies to minimize CRC burden and its risk factors is imperative.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fahimeh Haghighatdoost
- Isfahan Cardiovascular Research Center, Cardiovascular Research Institute, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Kamran Mehrabani-Zeinabad
- Isfahan Gastroenterology and Hepatology Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Parisa Hajihashemi
- Isfahan Gastroenterology and Hepatology Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
| | - Noushin Mohammadifard
- Isfahan Cardiovascular Research Center, Cardiovascular Research Institute, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Peyman Adibi
- Isfahan Gastroenterology and Hepatology Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
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Choi M, Sempungu JK, Lee EH, Lee YH. Living longer but in poor health: healthcare system responses to ageing populations in industrialised countries based on the Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:576. [PMID: 38388412 PMCID: PMC10885395 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18049-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2023] [Accepted: 02/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to examine changes in life expectancy (LE), health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE), unhealthy years of life, and disease burden of older people in industrialised countries and associations with health systems. METHODS We used estimates of LE and HALE, unhealthy years of life, years of life loss (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD) for individuals aged 70 years and over in 33 industrialised countries from 1990 to 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. A linear regression analysis was conducted to examine the association of health outcomes with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index. RESULTS LE and HALE increased with improved HAQ index from 1990 to 2019. However, the number of unhealthy years of life increased. An increased HAQ index was associated with decreases in YLL. However, changes in YLD were relatively small and were not correlated with HAQ index. CONCLUSIONS The healthcare system needs to more address the increased morbidity burden among older people. It should be designed to handle to healthcare needs of the ageing population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Minjae Choi
- Institute for Future Public Health, Graduate School of Public Health, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, 73, Goryeodae-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Joshua Kirabo Sempungu
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, 73, Goryeodae-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Program in Public Health, Graduate School, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Eun Hae Lee
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, 73, Goryeodae-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea
- Program in Public Health, Graduate School, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yo Han Lee
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, 73, Goryeodae-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Gu Y, Wang Z, Shi H, He Y, Yang Y, Li Y, Chen S, Wang Z, Mei Y, Xiao L. Global, Regional, and National Change Patterns in the Incidence of Low Back Pain From 1990 to 2019 and Its Predicted Level in the Next Decade. Int J Public Health 2024; 69:1606299. [PMID: 38450278 PMCID: PMC10915756 DOI: 10.3389/ijph.2024.1606299] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 03/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives: To analyze and describe the spatiotemporal trends of Low back pain (LBP) burdens from 1990 to 2019 and anticipate the following decade's incidence. Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 Study, we described net drifts, local drifts, age effects, and period cohort effects in incidence and forecasted incidence rates and cases by sex from 2020 to 2029 using the Nordpred R package. Results: LBP remained the leading cause of the musculoskeletal disease burden globally and across all socio-demographic index (SDI) regions. China is the top country. For recent periods, high-SDI countries faced unfavorable or worsening risks. The relative risk of incidence showed improving trends over time and in successively younger birth cohorts amongst low-middle-, middle- and high-middle-SDI countries. Additionally, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) of LBP in both sexes globally showed a decreasing trend, but the incident cases would increase from 223 to 253 million overall in the next decade. Conclusion: As the population ages, incident cases will rise but ASIR will fall. To minimise LBP, public awareness and disease prevention and control are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yong Gu
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Zhengming Wang
- Shi’s Center of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Haiwei Shi
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Yanlin He
- Key Laboratory of Carbohydrate Chemistry and Biotechnology, Ministry of Education, School of Biotechnology, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, China
| | - Yunshang Yang
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Yajun Li
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Shuangshuang Chen
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Zhirong Wang
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Yubo Mei
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
| | - Long Xiao
- Translational Medical Innovation Center, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
- Department of Orthopedics, Zhangjiagang TCM Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Zhangjiagang, China
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Lan QW, Chen HK, Huang ZM, Bao TY, Liang CJ, Yi RT, Huang YY, He YX, Huang XQ, Gu B, Guo XG, Zhang QW. Global, regional, and national time trends in incidence for tuberculosis, 1990-2019: An age-period-cohort analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Heart Lung 2024; 65:19-30. [PMID: 38377628 DOI: 10.1016/j.hrtlng.2024.01.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2023] [Revised: 01/08/2024] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 02/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Tuberculosis (TB) represents a significant global health concern, being the leading cause of mortality from a single infectious agent worldwide. The investigation of TB incidence and epidemiological trends is critical for evaluating the effectiveness of control strategies and identifying ongoing challenges. OBJECTIVES This study presents the trend in TB incidence across 204 countries and regions over a 30-year period. METHODS The study utilises data sourced from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. The age cohort model and gender subgroup analysis were employed to estimate the net drift (overall annual percentage change), local drift (age annual percentage change), longitudinal age curve (expected age ratio), and cycle and cohort effect (relative risk of cycle and birth cohort) of TB incidence from 1990 to 2019. This approach facilitates the examination and differentiation of age, period, and cohort effects in TB incidence trends, potentially identifying disparities in TB prevention across different countries. RESULTS Over the past three decades, a general downward trend in TB incidence has been observed in most countries. However, in 15 of the 204 countries, the overall incidence rate is still on the rise (net drift ≥0.0 %) or stagnant decline (≥-0.5 %). From 1990 to 2019, the net drift of tuberculosis mortality ranged from -2.2 % [95 % confidence interval (CI): -2.33, -2.05] in high Socio-demographic Index (SDI) countries to -1.7 % [95 % CI: -1.81, -1.62] in low SDI countries. In some below-average SDI countries,men in the birth cohort are at a disadvantage and at risk of deterioration, necessitating comprehensive TB prevention and treatment. CONCLUSIONS While the global incidence of TB has declined, adverse period and cohort effects have been identified in numerous countries, raising questions about the adequacy of TB healthcare provision across all age groups. Furthermore, this study reveals gender disparities in TB incidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qi-Wen Lan
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China; Department of Medical Imageology, The Second Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Hao-Kai Chen
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China; Department of Clinical Medicine, The Third Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Ze-Min Huang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China; Department of Clinical Medicine, The Third Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Ting-Yu Bao
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China; Department of Clinical Medicine, The Third Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Chuang-Jia Liang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China; Department of Clinical Medicine, The Third Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Rui-Ting Yi
- Department of Clinical Medicine, The Third Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Yuan-Yi Huang
- Department of Clinical Medicine, The First Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Ying-Xin He
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University, KingMed School of Laboratory Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University,Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Xu-Qi Huang
- Department of Clinical Medicine, The Sixth Clinical School of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Bing Gu
- Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, PR China.
| | - Xu-Guang Guo
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China; Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Major Obstetric Diseases; Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrics and Gynecology; The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, 510150, China; Guangzhou Key Laboratory for Clinical Rapid Diagnosis and Early Warning of Infectious Dis-eases, King Med School of Laboratory Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, 510000, China.
| | - Qing-Wei Zhang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, PR China.
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Yu Z, Bai X, Zhou R, Ruan G, Guo M, Han W, Jiang S, Yang H. Differences in the incidence and mortality of digestive cancer between Global Cancer Observatory 2020 and Global Burden of Disease 2019. Int J Cancer 2024; 154:615-625. [PMID: 37750191 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34740] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2023] [Revised: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 09/11/2023] [Indexed: 09/27/2023]
Abstract
The burden of digestive cancers is increasing worldwide. The Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) 2020 and the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 are two primary cancer databases, which have a significant impact on policy formulation and resource allocation. We aim to compare the incidence and mortality of digestive cancers between them. Digestive cancer (esophageal, stomach, colorectal, liver, gallbladder and pancreatic cancer) incidence was obtained from the Cancer Today and GBD 2019 result tool. The top five countries with the most or minor difference between GLOBOCAN 2020 and GBD 2019 in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of digestive cancers were identified. A systematic search on the incidence of specific digestive cancer in selected countries from PubMed and Embase was conducted, and 20 of 281 publications were included. The most significant differences in digestive cancers incidence were commonly found in Asian countries (70%), particularly Indonesia, Vietnam and Myanmar, located in Southeast Asia. The ASIRs for most digestive cancers, except liver cancer, in GLOBOCAN 2020 were higher than those in GBD 2019. Gallbladder cancer had the highest average ratio, followed by liver cancer. The most commonly used standard population was Segi's standard population, followed by the World Health Organization standard population. The data sources nor the processing methods of GLOBOCAN 2020 and GBD 2019 were not similar. Low- and middle-income countries without population-based cancer registries were more likely to have selection bias in data collection and amplify regional variations of etiological factors. Better judgments on the quality of cancer data can be made.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziqing Yu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoyin Bai
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Runing Zhou
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Gechong Ruan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Mingyue Guo
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Han
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Shiyu Jiang
- Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Hong Yang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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Jiang W, Li X, Wang R, Du Y, Zhou W. Cross-country health inequalities of four common nutritional deficiencies among children, 1990 to 2019: data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:486. [PMID: 38360585 PMCID: PMC10870451 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-17942-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2023] [Accepted: 01/31/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Nutritional deficiencies remain serious medical and public health issues worldwide, especially in children. This study aims to analyze cross-country inequality in four common nutritional deficiencies (protein-energy malnutrition, dietary iron deficiency, vitamin A deficiency and iodine deficiency) among children from 1990 to 2019 based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 data. METHODS Prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) data as measures of four nutritional deficiency burdens in people aged 0 to 14 years were extracted from the GBD Results Tool. We analyzed temporal trends in prevalence by calculating the average annual percent change (AAPC) and quantified cross-country inequalities in disease burden using the slope index. RESULTS Globally, the age-standardized prevalence rates of dietary iron deficiency, vitamin A deficiency and iodine deficiency decreased, with AAPCs of -0.14 (-0.15 to -0.12), -2.77 (-2.96 to -2.58), and -2.17 (-2.3 to -2.03) from 1999 to 2019, respectively. Significant reductions in socio-demographic index (SDI)-related inequality occurred in protein-energy malnutrition and vitamin A deficiency, while the health inequality for dietary iron deficiency and iodine deficiency remained basically unchanged. The age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates of the four nutritional deficiencies decreased as the SDI and healthcare access and quality index increased. CONCLUSIONS The global burden of nutritional deficiency has decreased since 1990, but cross-country health inequalities still exist. More efficient public health measures are needed to reduce disease burdens, particularly in low-SDI countries/territories.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenkai Jiang
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province, China
| | - Xiao Li
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province, China
| | - Ruiying Wang
- The First Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, 730030, Lanzhou, China
| | - Yan Du
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province, China
| | - Wence Zhou
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province, China.
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Zhao H, He L, Liu C, Shan X, Gui C, Zhang L, Yu Y, Xiao Y, Xue J, Zhang K, Luo B. Self-harm and interpersonal violence due to high temperature from the global burden of disease study 2019: A 30-year assessment. Environ Res 2024; 243:117826. [PMID: 38081341 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117826] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2023] [Revised: 08/27/2023] [Accepted: 11/29/2023] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The impact of global warming on health due to climate change is increasingly studied, but the global burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence attributable to high temperature is still limited. This study aimed to systematically assess the burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence attributable to high temperature globally or by region and climate zone from 1990 to 2019. METHODS We obtained the global, regional, and national deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDR) of self-harm and interpersonal violence due to high temperature from 1990 to 2019 through the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. The burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence due to high temperature was estimated by age, sex, climate zone, the socio-demographic index (SDI), and the healthcare access and quality index (HAQ). Average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in ASMR and ASDR were calculated for 1990-2019 using the Joinpoint model. RESULTS From 1990 to 2019, the global deaths and DALYs related to self-harm and interpersonal violence due to high temperature increased from 20,002 (95% UI, 9243 to 41,928) and 1,107,216 (95% UI, 512,062 to 2,319,477) to 26,459 (95% UI, 13,574 to 47,265) and 1,382,487 (95% UI, 722,060 to 2,474,441), respectively. However, the ASMR and ASDR showed varying degrees of decreasing trends, with decreases of 13.36% and 12.66%, respectively. The ASMR was high and declining in low and low-middle SDI regions, particularly in tropical and subtropical regions. In addition, SDI and HAQ index were negatively correlated with ASMR in 204 countries and regions. CONCLUSIONS The global burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence attributed to high temperature has decreased over the past 30 years, but the number of deaths and DALYs continues to rise. Climate change continues to make heat stress a significant risk factor for self-harm and interpersonal violence worldwide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Zhao
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Li He
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Ce Liu
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaobing Shan
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Chunyan Gui
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Ling Zhang
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Yunhui Yu
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Ya Xiao
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Jia Xue
- Factor Inwentash School of Social Work, University of Toronto, Toronto, M5S 1V4, Canada
| | - Kai Zhang
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University at Albany, State University of New York, Rensselaer, NY, 12144, USA.
| | - Bin Luo
- Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, People's Republic of China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai, 200030, People's Republic of China; Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, 200030, People's Republic of China.
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Rees CA, Ideh RC, Kisenge R, Kamara J, Coleman-Nekar YJG, Samma A, Godfrey E, Manji HK, Sudfeld CR, Westbrook AL, Niescierenko M, Morris CR, Whitney CG, Breiman RF, Duggan CP, Manji KP. Identifying neonates at risk for post-discharge mortality in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and Monrovia, Liberia: Derivation and internal validation of a novel risk assessment tool. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e079389. [PMID: 38365298 PMCID: PMC10875550 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-079389] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 02/18/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The immediate period after hospital discharge carries a large burden of childhood mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to derive and internally validate a risk assessment tool to identify neonates discharged from the neonatal ward at risk for 60-day post-discharge mortality. METHODS We conducted a prospective observational cohort study of neonates discharged from Muhimbili National Hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and John F Kennedy Medical Centre in Monrovia, Liberia. Research staff called caregivers to ascertain vital status up to 60 days after discharge. We conducted multivariable logistic regression analyses with best subset selection to identify socioeconomic, demographic, clinical, and anthropometric factors associated with post-discharge mortality. We used adjusted log coefficients to assign points to each variable and internally validated our tool with bootstrap validation with 500 repetitions. RESULTS There were 2344 neonates discharged and 2310 (98.5%) had post-discharge outcomes available. The median (IQR) age at discharge was 8 (4, 15) days; 1238 (53.6%) were male. In total, 71 (3.1%) died during follow-up (26.8% within 7 days of discharge). Leaving against medical advice (adjusted OR [aOR] 5.62, 95% CI 2.40 to 12.10) and diagnosis of meconium aspiration (aOR 6.98, 95% CI 1.69 to 21.70) conferred the greatest risk for post-discharge mortality. The risk assessment tool included nine variables (total possible score=63) and had an optimism corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.80). A score of ≥6 was most optimal (sensitivity 68.3% [95% CI 64.8% to 71.5%], specificity 72.1% [95% CI 71.5% to 72.7%]). CONCLUSIONS A small number of factors predicted all-cause, 60-day mortality after discharge from neonatal wards in Tanzania and Liberia. After external validation, this risk assessment tool may facilitate clinical decision making for eligibility for discharge and the direction of resources to follow-up high risk neonates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chris A Rees
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Readon C Ideh
- Department of Pediatrics, John F Kennedy Medical Center, Monrovia, Liberia
| | - Rodrick Kisenge
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Julia Kamara
- Department of Pediatrics, John F Kennedy Medical Center, Monrovia, Liberia
| | | | - Abraham Samma
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Evance Godfrey
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Hussein K Manji
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
- Accident and Emergency Department, The Aga Khan Health Services, Dar es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Christopher R Sudfeld
- Departments of Nutrition and Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Boston, USA
| | - Adrianna L Westbrook
- Pediatric Biostatistics Core, Department of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Michelle Niescierenko
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Pediatrics and Emergency Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Claudia R Morris
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Cynthia G Whitney
- Emory Global Health Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Robert F Breiman
- Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Infectious Diseases and Oncology Research Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Christopher P Duggan
- Departments of Nutrition and Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Boston, USA
- Center for Nutrition, Children's Hospital Boston, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Karim P Manji
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
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Zheng Y, Canudas-Romo V. Global health inequality: analyses of life disparity and healthy life disparity. Eur J Public Health 2024:ckae010. [PMID: 38366168 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Alongside average health measures, namely, life expectancy (LE) and healthy life expectancy (HLE), we sought to investigate the inequality in lifespan and healthy lifespan at the worldwide level with an alternative indicator. METHODS Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019, we evaluated the global distribution of life disparity (LD) and healthy life disparity (HLD) for 204 countries and territories in 2019 by sex and socio-demographic index (SDI), and also explored the relationships between average and variation health indicators. RESULTS Substantial gaps in all observed health indicators were found across SDI quintiles. For instance, in 2019, for low SDI, female LE and HLE were 67.3 years (95% confidence interval 66.8, 67.6) and 57.4 years (56.6, 57.9), and their LD and HLD were 16.7 years (16.5, 17.0) and 14.4 years (14.1, 14.7). For high SDI, female LE and HLE were greater [83.7 years (83.6, 83.7) and 70.2 years (69.3, 70.7)], but their LD and HLD were smaller [10.4 years (10.3, 10.4) and 7.9 years (7.7, 8.0)]. Besides, all estimates varied across populations within each SDI quintile. There were also gaps in LD and HLD between males and females, as those found in LE and HLE. CONCLUSION In addition to the disadvantaged LE and HLE, greater LD and HLD were also found in low SDI countries and territories. This reveals the serious challenge in achieving global health equality. Targeted policies are thus necessary for improving health performance among these populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Zheng
- Department of Sociology and Anthropology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
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He R, Jiang W, Wang C, Li X, Zhou W. Global burden of pancreatic cancer attributable to metabolic risks from 1990 to 2019, with projections of mortality to 2030. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:456. [PMID: 38350909 PMCID: PMC10865635 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-17875-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 02/15/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Metabolic risks play a key role in the progression of pancreatic cancer. This study aimed to present global, regional and national data on mortality and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) for pancreatic cancer attributable to metabolic risk and to forecast mortality to 2030 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD). METHODS Data on mortality and DALYs due to pancreatic cancer attributable to metabolic risks were obtained from GBD 2019. Metabolic risks include high fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and high body mass index (BMI). Total numbers and age-standardized rates per 100,000 people for mortality and DALYs were reported by age, sex, region and country/territory from 1990 to 2019. The "Bayes age-period-cohort" method was used for projections of mortality to 2030. RESULTS Globally, there was a 3.5-fold increase in the number of pancreatic cancer deaths attributable to metabolic risk, from 22,091 in 1990 to 77,215 in 2019. High-income North America and Central Europe had the highest age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of pancreatic cancer attributable to high FPG and high BMI in 2019, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the global ASMR of pancreatic cancer attributable to high FPG and high BMI increased. Countries with high healthcare access quality had much higher age-standardized DALY rates. In the next 10 years, the ASMR of pancreatic cancer attributable to high FPG and high BMI will continue to increase. CONCLUSION Pancreatic cancer mortality and DALYs attributable to metabolic factors remain high, particularly in high-income regions or countries. Studies on the metabolic mechanism of pancreatic cancer and effective treatment strategies are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ru He
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, China
| | - Wenkai Jiang
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, China
| | - Chenyu Wang
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, China
| | - Xiao Li
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, China
| | - Wence Zhou
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Lanzhou University, No. 222 Tianshui Road (South), Cheng-Guan District, 730030, Lanzhou City, China.
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Cheng XF, Min SH, Guo RQ, Zhang JD, Zhang YL, Li B. Disease burden of COPD attributable to PM 2.5 in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019: a comparative study based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e078887. [PMID: 38355185 PMCID: PMC10868288 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-078887] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Accepted: 01/26/2024] [Indexed: 02/16/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We hope to reveal the changing trends of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) burden attributable to particulate matter pollution (PM2.5) and its age, period and cohort effects in China, Japan and Korea. DESIGN We analysed the trend of COPD disease burden attributable to PM2.5 from 1990 to 2019 based on the latest Global Burden of Disease Database (GBD 2019) using JoinPoint model and analysed the effect of age, period and cohort on COPD burden attributable to PM2.5 in China, Japan and Korea from 1990 to 2019 using age-period-cohort model (model). SETTING GBD data from 1990 to 2019. PARTICIPANTS Data were publicly available and individuals were not involved. MAIN OUTCOMES Outcomes included the age standardised mortality rate (ASMR), the age-standardised disability-adjusted life year (DALY), average annual per cent change (AAPC), net drift, local drift, longitudinal age curves, period (cohort) rate ratios, age (period, cohort) bias coefficient. RESULTS From 1990 to 2019, the ASMR of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China (AAPC=-5.862), Japan (AAPC=-1.715) and Korea (AAPC=-1.831) showed a downward trend. The age-standardised DALY of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China (AAPC=-5.821), Japan (AAPC=-1.39) and Korea (AAPC=-1.239) showed a downward trend. Mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 increased slowly with age in Korea and Japan. Mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China decreased after rising (95% CI: 404.66 to 466.01). Mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 decreased over time in China and Korea, while it increased in Japan from 2015 to 2019. In China and Japan, mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 was approximately lower the later the birth, while in Korea it decreased after an increase (95% CI: 2.13 to 2.40) in the 1900-1910. CONCLUSIONS Most COPD burden attributable to PM2.5 is on the decline; COPD mortality attributable to PM2.5 both increased with age and decreased with time and cohort. Countries with high burden should develop targeted measures to control PM2.5.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Shu-Hui Min
- Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Rui-Qi Guo
- Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | | | - Yi-Li Zhang
- Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Bei Li
- Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
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Wang FX, Kong XH, Guo Z, Li LX, Zhang S. Global, regional, and national burden of diet high in processed meat from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019. Front Nutr 2024; 11:1354287. [PMID: 38414489 PMCID: PMC10896824 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2024.1354287] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2023] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective The objective of this study is to explore the prevalence and attributable burden of diet high in processed meat (DHIPM) in global, regional, and national level due to the burden caused by unhealthy dietary pattern worldwide. Design Cross-sectional study. Materials and design All the data involved in this research were obtained from Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was used to estimate the prevalence, which was measured by summary exposure value (SEV) and attributable burden of DHIPM. The Spearman rank order correlation method was performed to measure the correlation between sociodemographic index (SDI) and the prevalence as well as attributable burden. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to demonstrate the temporal trends. Results Globally, there were 304.28 thousand deaths and 8556.88 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by DHIPM in 2019 and increased by 34.63 and 68.69%, respectively. The prevalence had decreased slightly from 1990 to 2019, however increased in most regions and countries, especially in middle SDI regions, despite the implicitly high prevalence in high SDI regions. Countries with higher SDI values were facing higher prevalence and attributable burden of DHIPM while developing countries were observed with severer temporal trends. Compared with women, men had suffered from lower exposure level however graver attributable burden of DHIPM in the past three decades. Conclusion The progress of continuous urbanization allowed increasingly severe prevalence and attributable burden of DHIPM, thus the challenge to alleviate this trend was acute. Effective measures such as education on beneficial dietary pattern and supplement on healthy food were urgently required, especially in developing regions and countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feng-Xia Wang
- Department of Urology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Xiang-Hua Kong
- Department of Urology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Zhe Guo
- Department of Urology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Lu-Xia Li
- Department of Urology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Shu Zhang
- Department of Urology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
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