Current burden of end-stage kidney disease and its future trend in China

Capacity for the management of kidney failure in the International Society of Nephrology North and East Asia region: report from the 2023 ISN Global Kidney Health Atlas (ISN-GKHA)

Globally, there remain significant disparities in the capacity and quality of kidney care, as evidenced by the third edition of the International Society of Nephrology Global Kidney Health Atlas (ISN-GKHA). In the ISN North and East Asia region, the chronic kidney disease (CKD) burden varied widely; Taiwan had the heaviest burden of treated kidney failure (3679 per million population [pmp]) followed by Japan and South Korea. Except in Hong Kong, hemodialysis (HD) was the main dialysis modality for all other countries in the region and was much higher than the global median prevalence. Kidney transplantation services were generally available in the region, but the prevalence was much lower than that of dialysis. Most countries had public funding for kidney replacement therapy (KRT). The median prevalence of nephrologists was 28.7 pmp, higher than that of any other ISN region, with variation across countries. Home HD was available in only 17% of the countries, whereas conservative kidney management was available in 50%. All countries had official registries for dialysis and transplantation; however, only China and Japan had CKD registries. Advocacy groups for CKD, kidney failure, and KRT were uncommon throughout the region. Overall, all countries in the region had capacity for KRT, albeit with some shortages in their kidney care workforce. These data are useful for stakeholders to address gaps in kidney care and to reduce workforce shortages through increased use of multidisciplinary teams and telemedicine, policy changes to promote prevention and treatment of kidney failure, and increased advocacy for kidney disease in the region.

Rate and reasons for peritoneal dialysis dropout following haemodialysis to peritoneal dialysis switch: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patient experiences and survival outcomes can be influenced by the circumstances related to dialysis initiation and subsequent modality choices. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to explore the rate and reasons for peritoneal dialysis (PD) dropout following haemodialysis (HD) to PD switch.

METHOD

This systematic review conducted searches in four databases, including Medline, PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (study ID: CRD42023405718). Outcomes included factors leading to the switch from HD to PD, the rate and reasons for PD dropout and mortality difference in two groups (PD first group versus HD to PD group). The Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) checklist and the GRADE tool were used to assess quality.

RESULTS

4971 papers were detected, and 13 studies were included. On meta-analysis, there was no statistically significant difference in PD dropout in the PD first group (OR: 0.81; 95%CI: 0.61, 1.09; I2 = 83%; P = 0.16), however, there was a statistically significant reduction in the rate of mortality (OR: 0.48; 95%CI: 0.25, 0.92; I2 = 73%; P = 0.03) compared to the HD to PD group. The primary reasons for HD to PD switch, included vascular access failure, patient preference, social issues, and cardiovascular disease. Causes for PD dropout differed between the two groups, but inadequate dialysis and peritonitis were the main reasons for PD dropout in both groups.

CONCLUSION

Compared to the PD first group, a previous HD history may not impact PD dropout rates for patients, but it could impact mortality in the HD to PD group. The reasons for PD dropout differed between the two groups, with no statistical differences. Psychosocial reasons for PD dropout are valuable to further research. Additionally, establishing a consensus on the definition of PD dropout is crucial for future studies.

Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics, and Safety of Evocalcet (KHK7580), a Novel Calcimimetic Agent: An Open-Label, Single- and Multiple-Dose, Phase I Trial in Healthy Chinese Subjects

Purpose

This study explored the pharmacokinetics (PK), pharmacodynamics (PD), and safety of evocalcet (KHK7580), a new calcimimetic agent, in healthy Chinese subjects following single and multiple doses.

Methods

This was a single-center, open-label phase I trial conducted in China. The study started from the single-dose cohorts (1, 3, 6, 12 mg evocalcet, step-by-step administration) and proceeded to the multiple-dose cohort (6 mg evocalcet once daily for eight days). Blood and urine samples were collected at the designated time points for pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic analysis. Safety was evaluated by treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs), clinical laboratory tests, vital signs, electrocardiograms (ECGs), and ophthalmological examination.

Results

Among 42 enrolled subjects, eight in each single-dose cohort and 10 in multiple-dose cohort, 40 subjects completed the study. In single-dose cohorts, tmax was 1.00-2.00 h and declined biphasically. The mean t1/2 was 15.99-20.84 h. Evocalcet exposure in AUC0-inf, AUC0-t, and Cmax showed a dose-proportional increase. In the multiple-dose cohort, tmax was 2.00 h and declined biphasically after multiple administrations. The accumulation was negligible. Ctrough levels were similar across days and steady from 24 hours after the first administration. The mean t1/2 was 15.59 h. PD analysis showed that evocalcet decreased intact parathyroid hormone and corrected calcium levels in a dose-dependent manner. Seventeen (40.5%) subjects reported TEAEs. No serious or severe TEAE occurred.

Conclusion

In healthy Chinese subjects, evocalcet demonstrated dose-dependent PK and PD properties and was well-tolerated.

PGC1-α in diabetic kidney disease: unraveling renoprotection and molecular mechanisms

Mitochondrial dysfunction represents a pivotal aspect of the pathogenesis and progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Central to the orchestration of mitochondrial biogenesis is the peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ coactivator 1-α (PGC1-α), a master regulator with a profound impact on mitochondrial function. In the context of DKD, PGC1-α exhibits significant downregulation within intrinsic renal cells, precipitating a cascade of deleterious events. This includes a reduction in mitochondrial biogenesis, heightened levels of mitochondrial oxidative stress, perturbed mitochondrial dynamics, and dysregulated mitophagy. Concurrently, structural and functional abnormalities within the mitochondrial network ensue. In stark contrast, the sustained expression of PGC1-α emerges as a beacon of hope in maintaining mitochondrial homeostasis within intrinsic renal cells, ultimately demonstrating an impressive renoprotective potential in animal models afflicted with DKD. This comprehensive review aims to delve into the recent advancements in our understanding of the renoprotective properties wielded by PGC1-α. Specifically, it elucidates the potential molecular mechanisms underlying PGC1-α's protective effects within renal tubular epithelial cells, podocytes, glomerular endothelial cells, and mesangial cells in the context of DKD. By shedding light on these intricate mechanisms, we aspire to provide valuable insights that may pave the way for innovative therapeutic interventions in the management of DKD.

Efficacy and Safety of Sucroferric Oxyhydroxide Compared with Sevelamer Carbonate in Chinese Dialysis Patients with Hyperphosphataemia: A Randomised, Open-Label, Multicentre, 12-Week Phase III Study

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of sucroferric oxyhydroxide (SFOH) versus sevelamer carbonate in controlling serum phosphorus (sP) in adult Chinese dialysis patients with hyperphosphataemia (sP >1.78 mmol/L).

METHODS

Open-label, randomised (1:1), active-controlled, parallel group, multicentre, phase III study of SFOH and sevelamer at starting doses corresponding to 1,500 mg iron/day and 2.4 g/day, respectively, with 8-week dose titration and 4-week maintenance (NCT03644264). Primary endpoint was non-inferiority analysis of change in sP from baseline to week 12. Secondary endpoints included sP over time and safety.

RESULTS

415 patients were screened; 286 were enrolled and randomised (142 and 144 to SFOH and sevelamer, respectively). Mean (SD) baseline sP: 2.38 (0.57) and 2.38 (0.52) mmol/L, respectively. Mean (SD) change in sP from baseline to week 12: - 0.71 (0.60) versus -0.63 (0.52) mmol/L, respectively; difference (sevelamer minus SFOH) in least squares means (95% CI): 0.08 mmol/L (-0.02, 0.18) with the lower limit of 95% CI above the non-inferiority margin of -0.34 mmol/L. The SFOH group achieved target sP (1.13-1.78 mmol/L) earlier than the sevelamer group (56.5% vs. 32.8% at week 4) and with a lower pill burden (mean 3.7 vs. 9.1 tablets/day over 4 weeks of maintenance, respectively). Safety and tolerability of SFOH was consistent with previous studies, and no new safety signals were observed.

CONCLUSION

SFOH effectively reduced sP from baseline and was non-inferior to sevelamer after 12 weeks of treatment but had a lower pill burden in Chinese dialysis patients with hyperphosphataemia; SFOH benefit-risk profile is favourable in Chinese patients.

Pharmacological investigation of indole alkaloids from Alstonia scholaris against chronic glomerulonephritis

BACKGROUND

As one of the most commonly used folk medicines in "Dai" ethno-medicine system, Alstonia scholaris (l.) R. Br. has also been used for treat "water related diseases", such as chronic kidney disease. However, few study was reported for it on the intervention of chronic glomerulonephritis (CGN).

PURPOSE

To investigate the effect and potential mechanism of indole alkaloids from A. scholaris leaves in ICR mice with adriamycin nephropathy, as well as providing experimental evidence for the further application.

METHODS

ICR Mice were selected for injections of adriamycin (ADR) to induce the CGN model and administered total alkaloids (TA) and four main alkaloids continuously for 42 and 28 days, respectively. The pharmacological effects were indicated by serum, urine, and renal pathological observations. The targets and pathways of indole alkaloids on CGN intervention were predicted using the network pharmacology approach, and the immortalized mice glomerular podocyte (MPC5) cells model stimulated by ADR was subsequently selected to further verify this by western blotting and RT-qPCR methods.

RESULTS

TA and four major compounds dramatically reduced the levels of urinary protein, serum urea nitrogen (BUN), and creatinine (CRE) in ADR - induced CGN mice, while increasing serum albumin (ALB) and total protein (TP) levels as well as ameliorating kidney damage. Moreover, four alkaloids effected on 33 major target proteins and 153 pathways in the CGN, among which, PI3K-Akt as the main pathway, an important pathway for kidney protection by network pharmacology prediction, and then the four target proteins - HRAS, CDK2, HSP90AA1, and KDR were screened. As a result, Val-and Epi can exert a protective effect on ADR-stimulated MPC5 cells injury at a concentration of 50 μM. Furthermore, the proteins and RNA expression of HRAS, HSP90AA1, and KDR were down-regulated, and CDK2 was up-regulated after the intervention of Val-and Epi, which were supported by Western blotting and RT-qPCR. Additionally, Val-and Epi inhibited ROS production in the MPC5 cells model.

CONCLUSION

This study is the first to confirm the potential therapeutic effect of alkaloids from A. scholaris on CGN. TA with major bioactive components (vallesamine and 19‑epi-scholaricine) could exert protective effects against the ADR-induced CGN by regulating four key proteins: HRAS, CDK2, HSP90AA1, and KDR of the PI3K-Akt pathway.

Economic evaluation of bailing capsules for patients with diabetic nephropathy in China

Background: Diabetic nephropathy is a major microvascular complication and the main cause of end-stage renal disease in diabetic patients. The therapeutic effects of Bailing capsules for diabetic nephropathy have already been demonstrated; however, the cost-effectiveness of Bailing capsules remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Bailing capsules combined with Western medicine compared with Western medicine alone in diabetic nephropathy from a Chinese healthcare system perspective. Methods: A Markov model was established to simulate the disease process of patients over a 20-year period. Clinical efficacy data were obtained from a meta-analysis, and transition probability was estimated based on microsimulation. Direct costs and utility values were collected from the Chinese Drug Bidding Database (https://www.shuju.menet.com.cn) and published literature. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was measured, and one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to observe model stability. Results: A total of 34 randomized controlled trials involving 3,444 patients with diabetic nephropathy were selected for the meta-analysis. Compared to Western medicine alone, the addition of Bailing capsules resulted in an increase of 0.39 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and additional costs of Chinese Yuan (CNY) 24,721, yielding an ICER of CNY 63,001 per QALY gained. The ICER was lower than the threshold of willingness-to-pay of CNY 80,976 (The GDP per Capita in China). The reliability and stability of the results were confirmed by the sensitivity analysis. Conclusion: We found that Bailing capsules may be a cost-effective treatment choice for patients with diabetic nephropathy in the Chinese population.

Prognostic Factors Related to In-hospital Death in Children with Biliary Atresia: Analysis of a Nationwide Inpatient Database

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with biliary atresia (BA) are prone to hepatic decompensation, which might eventually lead to death. This study aimed to identify the possible risk factors affecting in-hospital death in BA patients in China.

METHODS

We collected data from the Hospital Quality Monitoring System, a national inpatient database. All patients aged up to 2 years old with a diagnosis of BA were included. The subjects were divided to three groups, including Kasai portoenterostomy (KP), liver transplantation (LT), and no surgery. Logistic regression with Firth's method was performed to identify potential influencing variables associated with in-hospital death.

RESULTS

During the year 2013 to 2017, there were 14,038 pediatric admissions with a diagnosis of BA. The proportion of in-hospital death in pediatric BA admissions was 1.08%. Compared with patients under six months, there was a higher risk of in-hospital death for children aged six months to 1 year and 1-2 years old. Clinical signs, including cirrhosis, variceal bleeding, and hepatic encephalopathy, were significantly associated with the risk of in-hospital death. In no surgery group, compared to those in Beijing and Shanghai, BA patients admitted in other districts had a lower risk of in-hospital death (OR=0.39, 95% CI: 0.21, 0.70). However, in the LT group, patients admitted in other districts had a higher risk of in-hospital death (OR=9.13, 95% CI: 3.99, 20.87).

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital survival remains unsatisfactory for pediatric BA patients with severe complications. Furthermore, more resources and training for BA treatment, especially LT, are essential for districts with poor medical care in the future.

Correlation of serum omentin-1 level with clinical features and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events in patients undergoing continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis

Omentin-1 shows a critical protective role of cardiovascular events in chronic kidney disease. This study aimed to further assess serum omentin-1 level and its relationship with clinical features and accumulating major adverse cardiac/cerebral events (MACCE) risk in end-stage renal disease patients undergoing continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD-ESRD). Totally, 290 CAPD-ESRD patients and 50 healthy controls (HCs) were recruited, and their serum omentin-1 levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. All CAPD-ESRD patients were followed up for 36 months to assess accumulating MACCE rate. Omentin-1 level in CAPD-ESRD patients was lower than that in HCs [median (interquartile range): 229.350 (153.575-355.550) vs. 449.800 (354.125-527.450) pg/mL] (p < 0.001). Moreover, omentin-1 level was inversely related to C-reactive protein (CRP) (p = 0.028), total cholesterol (p = 0.023), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p = 0.005), while there was no correlation in omentin-1 level with other clinical features in CAPD-ESRD patients. The accumulating MACCE rate was 4.5%, 13.1%, and 15.5% in the first, second, and third years respectively, and it was lower in CAPD-ESRD patients with high level of omentin-1 than those with low level of omentin-1 (p = 0.004). Furthermore, omentin-1 (hazard ratio (HR)=0.422, p = 0.013) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR = 0.396, p = 0.010) were independently associated with reduced accumulating MACCE rate; while age (HR = 3.034, p = 0.006), peritoneal dialysis duration (HR = 2.741, p = 0.006), CRP (HR = 2.289, p = 0.026), serum uric acid (HR = 2.538, p = 0.008) were independently related to higher accumulating MACCE rate in CAPD-ESRD patients. In conclusion, serum high omentin-1 level is associated with decreased inflammation, lipid levels, and accumulating MACCE risk in CAPD-ESRD patients.

Increased hemoglobin concentration and related factors in maintenance hemodialysis patients in Anhui, China

To investigate the hemoglobin (Hb) concentration and related factors among maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients in Anhui province in 2020, so as to compare with the results in 2014. The cases of 3025 MHD patients were investigated in 27 hemodialysis centers of Anhui province from January 2020 to December 2020. The data of age, sex, primary disease, dialysis age, dialysis mode, drug use and laboratory tests were collected and analyzed. Compared with the survey in 2014, the average Hb level of MHD patients in Anhui province was increased (107.41 ± 20.40 g/L vs 100.2 ± 28.1 g/L), the anemia prevalence was decreased (65.9% vs 82.4%), and the percentage of patients with standard Hb level was increased significantly (47.1% vs 32.9%). Compared with low-Hb patients (Hb < 110 g/L), patients with Hb ≥ 110 g/L had lower age, higher proportion of males, longer dialysis age, higher levels of serum Alb, creatinine, total cholesterol, triglyceride, low density lipoprotein, calcium, phosphorus, magnesium, and lower high-density lipoprotein (P < .05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis results showed that male, longer duration of dialysis therapy, treatment with iron, higher triglyceride and albumin were protective factors of anemia, but older age was independent risk factors. The anemia treatment in MHD patients in Anhui province was significantly improved. Male, long dialysis age, use of iron, high serum albumin and triglyceride levels may be protective factors for Hb reaching standard level, and old age may be an independent risk factor.

Utilization of HCV Viremic Kidneys with Genotyping/Subtyping-Free Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir Treatment Strategy: Experience from China

Background. Owing to the advent of pangenotypic direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment, utilization of HCV-infected deceased donor kidneys with simplified genotyping/subtyping-free sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) treatment strategy is now becoming a promising strategy for expanding the organ donor pool. Methods. This retrospective, comparative, single-center study included HCV viremic donor kidneys that were transplanted to 9 HCV-positive (HCV Ab-positive) recipients (D+/R+ group) and 14 HCV-negative recipients (D+/R- group) from May 2018 to January 2021. Both groups received prophylaxis with SOF/VEL treatment within 1-week posttransplant devoid of HCV genotyping/subtyping. The primary outcomes were sustained virologic response 12 weeks after completion of therapy (SVR12) and graft survival at 1-year posttransplant. Results. Baseline characteristics were similar between the HCV D+/R- and D+/R+ groups. The mean age of all recipients was $39.09\pm 9.65$ (SD) years, and 73.9% were male. A total of 92.9% (13 out of 14) recipients had pretreatment HCV viremia in the D+/R- group. The pretreatment HCV viral load in the D+/R+ group (5.98, log 10 IU/mL; IQR, 5.28-6.53) was significantly higher than that in the D+/R- group (3.61, log 10 IU/mL; IQR, 2.57-4.57). After SOF/VEL treatment, SVR12 was achieved in all recipients, with a 100% 1-year patient and graft survival rates. The D+/R+ group had a higher incidence of abnormal liver function (44.4% vs. 7.1%). No significant difference was observed between the two groups in terms of DGF, acute rejection, ALT, serum creatinine, and eGFR within 1-year posttransplant. No severe adverse events associated with either HCV viremia or SOF/VEL were observed. Conclusions. Using a simplified genotyping/subtyping-free SOF/VEL treatment strategy, kidneys from hepatitis C viremic donors for both infected and uninfected recipients presented with safe, excellent, and comparable 1-year outcomes, which can safely expand the donor pool. HCV-positive donor kidneys should be utilized regularly, regardless of the recipient’s HCV status.

Zhen-Wu-Tang Induced Mitophagy to Protect Mitochondrial Function in Chronic Glomerulonephritis via PI3K/AKT/mTOR and AMPK Pathways

Chronic glomerulonephritis (CGN) is one of the major causes of end-stage kidney disease. Zhen-wu-tang (ZWT), as a famous Chinese herbal prescription, is widely used in China for CGN therapy in clinic. However, the mechanism of ZWT in CGN has not been fully understood. The present study explored the therapeutic effect and the underlying mechanism of ZWT on mitochondrial function in cationic bovine serum albumin (C-BSA)-induced CGN model rats and tumor necrosis factor (TNF-α)-damaged mouse podocytes. The renal functions were measured by serum creatinine (Scr) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN). Renal pathological changes and ultrastructure of kidney tissues were evaluated by periodic acid-Schiff (PAS) staining and transmission electron microscopy. The levels of antioxidases, including mitochondrial catalase (CAT), superoxide dismutase 2 (SOD2), and peroxiredoxin 3 (PRDX3), in CGN rats were examined by real-time PCR. The mitochondrial functions of podocytes were measured by ATP concentration, mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP), and mitochondrial ROS (mtROS). For mitophagy level detection, the expressions of mitophagy-related proteins, including LC3, p62, heat shock protein 60 (HSP60), and translocase of outer mitochondrial membrane 20 (TOMM20), were measured by Western blot, as the colocation of LC3 and mitochondrial marker COX IV were evaluated by immunofluorescence. Our results manifested that ZWT ameliorated CGN model rats by a remarkable decrease in Scr and BUN, inhibition of mesangial matrix proliferation, protection against foot processes fusion, and basement membrane thickening. More importantly, ZWT protected against mitochondrial dysfunction by increasing the expressions of CAT, SOD2, and PRDX3 in CGN model rats, increased ATP content and MMP in podocytes, and decreased excessive mtROS. Furthermore, ZWT induced mitophagy in CGN through increasing the expression of LC3, and decreasing p62, HSP60, TOMM20, and ZWT also enhanced the colocation of LC3 to the mitochondria. We found that ZWT inhibited the PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway, which could be disturbed by PI3K inhibitor LY294002 and agonist insulin-like growth factor 1. Moreover, ZWT reversed the inhibition of the AMPK pathway in CGN. Overall, ZWT ameliorated renal mitochondrial dysfunction probably by inducing mitophagy via the PI3K/AKT/mTOR and AMPK pathways.

The Burden of Diabetes-Related Chronic Kidney Disease in China From 1990 to 2019

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the trends in disease burden of diabetes-related chronic kidney disease (CKD) by year, age, gender and types of diabetes in China from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Data on prevalence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for diabetes-related CKD were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. Analyses were performed by year, age, gender and types of diabetes.

RESULTS

In China, the numbers of deaths and DALYs of diabetes-related CKD continuously increased but the age-standardized rates (per 100,000 population) decreased over 30 years, in which the numbers of deaths and DALYs attributable to type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM)-related CKD barely changed and the age-standardized rates decreased over the years; and the number of deaths and DALYs attributable to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM)-related CKD continuously increased, but the age-standardized rates also decreased. In 2019, 76.03 (58.24-95.61) thousand deaths and 2.13 (1.65-2.67) million DALYs were attributable to diabetes-related CKD, of which, T2DM accounted for 83.32% and 77.0% respectively, and T1DM accounted for the rest. Increasing gender disparity was seen, with males being more heavily impacted. The burden of diabetes-related CKD varied among different age groups, with the numbers of deaths and DALYs attributable to T1DM-related CKD peaking between 45 and 54 years of age and T2DM-related CKD peaking between 75 and 79 years of age; and the crude rates of deaths and DALYs attributable to T1DM-related CKD peaking between 70 and 79 years of age and 40 to 54 years of age, respectively, and T2DM-related CKD peaking over 90 years of age. Among neighboring and G20 countries, the burden of diabetes-related CKD in China was relatively controlled reflected by the ranking of adjusted death and DALYs rates.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of diabetes-related CKD in China worsens and shows gender disparities and different age distribution. Greater efforts are needed to improve the health outcomes of these patients, especially among males.

The history of peritoneal dialysis in China: past, present and future trends

Peritoneal dialysis (PD) was introduced in China more than 60 years ago and has grown continuously since then. Now China leads the first of the world in number of patients on PD. In this manuscript a brief review of the history of peritoneal dialysis in China is presented; this includes a description of pioneers and their important contributions, discussion of peritoneal dialysate, the technique of the use of Tenckhoff catheter, the use of continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) and dialysis registration. Current ongoing PD research activities among Chinese PD academicians are also discussed. Finally, we present four areas of future focus: 1) the promotion of PD in rural areas where PD use is still very limited due to the lack of PD awareness and education; 2) PD quality management and continuous quality improvement (CQI) program particularly focusing on PD adequacy and patient rehabilitation; 3) development and enforcement of national standards on PD management; 4) multi-center studies to compare the benefits of PD and hemodialysis (HD) that should include survival, rehabilitation and cost-effectiveness.

Treatment for Severe Lupus Nephritis: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in China

Background: Lupus nephritis (LN) is the most common secondary glomerular diseases that will cause end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and renal-related death. The cost-effectiveness of various treatments for LN recommended by official guidelines has not been investigated in China. Our study is to evaluate clinical prognosis and cost-effectiveness of the current treatments for severe LN. Methods: A Markov model was simulated for 1,000 LN patients of 30 years old, over a 3-years and 30-years lifetime horizon respectively. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of six therapeutic strategies from a societal perspective, with cyclophosphamide (CYC) or mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) induction therapy followed by CYC, MMF or azathioprine (AZA) maintenance therapy. Main outcomes included quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and clinical prognosis. One and three times gross domestic product (GDP) per capita were used as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds. We also carried out sensitivity analysis under a lifetime horizon. Results: Compared with the baseline strategy of CYC induction and maintenance, for a 3-years horizon the most cost-effective strategy was CYC induction and AZA maintenance with $448 per QALY gained, followed by MMF induction and AZA maintenance which however was not cost-effective under the one times GDP per capita WTP threshold. For a lifetime horizon, CYC induction and AZA maintenance remained the most cost-effective strategy but MMF induction and maintenance became cost-effective under the one times GDP per capita WTP threshold and achieved a higher complete remission rate (57.2 versus 48.9%) and lower risks of ESRD (3.3 versus 5.8%) and all-cause mortality (36.0 versus 40.8%). The risk of developing ESRD during maintenance was the most influential parameter affecting ICER. Conclusions: The strategy of CYC induction followed by AZA maintenance was the most cost-effective strategy in China for short-term treatment, while the strategy of MMF in both induction and maintenance became cost-effective and yielded more desirable clinical outcomes for lifetime treatment. The uncertainty analysis supported the need for monitoring the progression to ESRD.

Morphological Lesion Types Are Associated with Primary and Secondary Patency Rates after High-Pressure Balloon Angioplasty for Dysfunctional Arteriovenous Fistulas

BACKGROUND

Neointimal hyperplasia (NIH) is believed to be the main reason for arteriovenous fistula (AVF) dysfunction, but other mechanisms are also recognized to be involved in the pathophysiological process. This study investigated whether different morphological types of AVF lesions are associated with the patency rate after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 120 patients who underwent PTA for autogenous AVF dysfunction. All the cases were evaluated under Doppler ultrasound (DU) before intervention and divided into 3 types: Type I (NIH type), Type II (non-NIH type), and Type III (mixed type). Prognostic and clinical data were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

There was no statistical difference in baseline variables among groups, except for lumen diameter. The primary patency rates in Type I, Type II, and Type III groups were 78.4, 93.2, and 83.2% at 6 months and 59.5, 84.7, and 75.5% at 1 year, respectively. The secondary patency rates in Type I, Type II, and Type III groups were 94.4, 97.1, and 100% at 6 months and 90.5, 97.1, and 94.7% at 1 year, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the primary and secondary patency rates of Type I group were lower than those of Type II group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that postoperative primary patency was correlated with end-to-end anastomosis (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.997, p = 0.008, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.328-6.764) and Type I lesion (HR = 5.395, p = 0.004, 95% CI: 1.730-16.824).

CONCLUSIONS

NIH-dominant lesions of AVF evaluated by DU preoperatively were a risk factor for poor primary and secondary patency rate after PTA in hemodialysis patients.

Paricalcitol versus Calcitriol + Cinacalcet for the Treatment of Secondary Hyperparathyroidism in Chronic Kidney Disease in China: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Background: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is a global chronic disease with increasing prevalence in recent years, particularly CKD accompanied by Secondary Hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) leads to reduced quality of life, increased mortality, a considerable economic burden for patients and society. The aim of this study was to investigate the cost-effectiveness analysis of paricalcitol vs. calcitriol + cinacalcet for CKD patients with SHPT in China in 2020.

Methods: A Markov model was conducted employing data derived from published literature, clinical trials, official sources, and tertiary public hospital data in China, based on a 10-year horizon from the perspective of the healthcare system. Calcitriol + Cinacalcet was used as the reference group. CKD stage 5 (CKD-5) dialysis patients suffering from SHPT were included in the study. Effectiveness was measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The discount rate (5%) was applied to costs and effectiveness. Sensitivity analysis was performed to confirm the robustness of the findings.

Results: The base case analysis demonstrated that Patients treated with paricalcitol could gain an increase in utility (0.183 QALYs) and require fewer expenditures (6925.612 yuan). One-way sensitivity analysis was performed to showed that impact factors were the price of cinacalcet, the hospitalization costs of patients with paricalcitol and calcitriol, the costs and utilities of hemodialysis and the costs of calcitriol, the costs of paricalcitol regardless of period. Probabilistic simulation analysis displayed when willingness-to-pay was ¥217113, the probability that Paricalcitol was dominant is 96.20%.

Conclusion: The results showed that paricalcitol administrated to treat patients diagnosed with Secondary hyperparathyroidism in Chronic Kidney Disease, compared to calcitriol and cinacalcet, might be dominant in China.

Predicting Prolonged Length of Hospital Stay for Peritoneal Dialysis-Treated Patients Using Stacked Generalization: Model Development and Validation Study

Background

The increasing number of patients treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD) and their consistently high rate of hospital admissions have placed a large burden on the health care system. Early clinical interventions and optimal management of patients at a high risk of prolonged length of stay (pLOS) may help improve the medical efficiency and prognosis of PD-treated patients. If timely clinical interventions are not provided, patients at a high risk of pLOS may face a poor prognosis and high medical expenses, which will also be a burden on hospitals. Therefore, physicians need an effective pLOS prediction model for PD-treated patients.

Objective

This study aimed to develop an optimal data-driven model for predicting the pLOS risk of PD-treated patients using basic admission data.

Methods

Patient data collected using the Hospital Quality Monitoring System (HQMS) in China were used to develop pLOS prediction models. A stacking model was constructed with support vector machine, random forest (RF), and K-nearest neighbor algorithms as its base models and traditional logistic regression (LR) as its meta-model. The meta-model used the outputs of all 3 base models as input and generated the output of the stacking model. Another LR-based pLOS prediction model was built as the benchmark model. The prediction performance of the stacking model was compared with that of its base models and the benchmark model. Five-fold cross-validation was employed to develop and validate the models. Performance measures included the Brier score, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), estimated calibration index (ECI), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and geometric mean (Gm). In addition, a calibration plot was employed to visually demonstrate the calibration power of each model.

Results

The final cohort extracted from the HQMS database consisted of 23,992 eligible PD-treated patients, among whom 30.3% had a pLOS (ie, longer than the average LOS, which was 16 days in our study). Among the models, the stacking model achieved the best calibration (ECI 8.691), balanced accuracy (Gm 0.690), accuracy (0.695), and specificity (0.701). Meanwhile, the stacking and RF models had the best overall performance (Brier score 0.174 for both) and discrimination (AUROC 0.757 for the stacking model and 0.756 for the RF model). Compared with the benchmark LR model, the stacking model was superior in all performance measures except sensitivity, but there was no significant difference in sensitivity between the 2 models. The 2-sided t tests revealed significant performance differences between the stacking and LR models in overall performance, discrimination, calibration, balanced accuracy, and accuracy.

Conclusions

This study is the first to develop data-driven pLOS prediction models for PD-treated patients using basic admission data from a national database. The results indicate the feasibility of utilizing a stacking-based pLOS prediction model for PD-treated patients. The pLOS prediction tools developed in this study have the potential to assist clinicians in identifying patients at a high risk of pLOS and to allocate resources optimally for PD-treated patients.

International Society of Nephrology Global Kidney Health Atlas: structures, organization and services for the management of kidney failure in North and East Asia

Kidney failure (KF) is a public health problem in all regions of the world. We aim to provide comprehensive information regarding the disease burden of KF and capacity for providing optimal care in the International Society of Nephrology North and East Asia region based on data from the International Society of Nephrology Global Kidney Health Atlas project. Seven of eight jurisdictions participated, and wide variation was found in terms of KF burden and care capacity. Prevalence of long-term dialysis ranged from 88.4 per million population in mainland China to 3251 per million population in Taiwan. Hemodialysis was the predominant modality of dialysis in all jurisdictions, except for Hong Kong, where peritoneal dialysis (PD) was much more prevalent than hemodialysis. All jurisdictions provided public funding for kidney replacement therapy (dialysis and transplantation). Although the frequency and duration of hemodialysis followed a standard pattern in all investigated jurisdictions, the density of nephrologists and kidney replacement therapy centers varied according to income level. Conservative care, whether medically advised or chosen by patients, was available in most jurisdictions. All jurisdictions had official registries for KF and recognized KF as a health priority. These comprehensive data provide information about the burden of KF and capacity to provide optimal care in North and East Asia, which varied greatly across jurisdictions in the region.

Baseline data report of the China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS)

The number of patients on hemodialysis (HD) is rapidly increasing in China. As an Asian country with a large number of HD patients, understanding the status of Chinese HD patients has a special significance. We reported here the baseline data for China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Pattern Study Phase 5 (DOPPS5). The DOPPS is an international prospective, observational cohort study. Patients were restricted to the initial sample of patients who participated in China DOPPS5. We summarized the baseline demographic and clinical data of patients. Results were weighted by facility sampling fraction. 1186 patients were initial patients in China DOPPS5. The mean age was 58.7 ± 3.5 years, with 54.6% males. The median dialysis vintage was 3.4 (1.5, 6.3) years. The main assigned primary end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) causes was chronic glomerulonephritis (45.9%), followed by diabetes (19.9%). 17.6% patients had hepatitis B infection, and 10.0% patients had hepatitis C infection. 25.9% patients had a single-pooled Kt/V < 1.2. 86.6% patients had albumin > 3.5 g/dl. 18.8% patients had hemoglobin < 9 g/dl. 66.5% patients had serum calcium in target range (8.4–10.2 mg/dl), 41.5% patients had serum phosphate in target range (3.5–5.5 mg/dl) and 51.2% patients maintained PTH in 150–600 pg/dl. 88.2% patients used fistula as their vascular access. Meanwhile, there were differences in the demographic, clinical, laboratory, and treatment characteristics among the three cities participated in China DOPPS. We observed a relatively higher albumin level and a higher rate of fistula usage in our patients. But it remains a major challenge to us on the management of CKD-MBD and anemia. This study did not include patients in small cities and remote areas, where the situation of HD patients might be worse than reported.

Relationship Between the TyG Index and Diabetic Kidney Disease in Patients with Type-2 Diabetes Mellitus

BACKGROUND

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) lacks a simple and relatively accurate predictor. The Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) Index is a proxy of insulin resistance, but the association between the TyG Index and DKD is less certain. We investigated if the TyG Index can predict DKD onset effectively.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses were undertaken. In total, 1432 type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients were included in the cross-sectional analysis. The TyG Index (calculated by ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]) was split into three tertiles. Associations of the TyG Index with microalbuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m² were calculated. Longitudinally, 424 patients without DKD at baseline were followed up for 21 (range, 12-24) months. The main outcome was DKD prevalence as defined with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m² or continuously increased urinary microalbuminuria: creatinine ratio (>30 mg/mL) over 3 months. Cox regression was used to analyze the association between the TyG Index at baseline and DKD. Receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis was used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of the TyG Index in predicting DKD.

RESULTS

In cross-sectional analysis, patients with a higher TyG Index had a higher risk of microalbuminuria (OR = 2.342, 95% CI = 1.744-3.144, p < 0.001), and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m² (1.696, 95% CI =1.096-2.625, p = 0.018). Longitudinally, 94 of 424 participants developed DKD. After confounder adjustment, patients in the high tertile of the TyG Index at baseline had a greater risk to developing DKD than those in the low tertile (HR = 1.727, 95% CI = 1.042-2.863, p = 0.034). The area under the ROC curve was 0.69 (0.63-0.76).

CONCLUSION

The TyG Index is a potential predictor for DKD in T2DM patients.

CLINICAL TRIAL

Clinical Trials identification number = NCT03692884.

Development of a scoring tool for predicting prolonged length of hospital stay in peritoneal dialysis patients through data mining

Background

The hospital admission rate is high in patients treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD), and the length of stay (LOS) in the hospital is a key indicator of medical resource allocation. This study aimed to develop a scoring tool for predicting prolonged LOS (pLOS) in PD patients by combining machine learning and traditional logistic regression (LR).

Methods

This study was based on patient data collected using the Hospital Quality Monitoring System (HQMS) in China. Three machine learning methods, classification and regression tree (CART), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), were used to develop models to predict pLOS, which is longer than the average LOS, in PD patients. The model with the best prediction performance was used to identify predictive factors contributing to the outcome. A multivariate LR model based on the identified predictors was then built to derive the score assigned to each predictor. Finally, a scoring tool was developed, and it was tested by stratifying PD patients into different pLOS risk groups.

Results

A total of 22,859 PD patients were included in our study, with 25.2% having pLOS. Among the three machine learning models, the RF model achieved the best prediction performance and thus was used to identify the 10 most predictive variables for building the scoring system. The multivariate LR model based on the identified predictors showed good discrimination power with an AUROC of 0.721 in the test dataset, and its coefficients were used as a basis for scoring tool development. On the basis of the developed scoring tool, PD patients were divided into three groups: low risk (≤5), median risk [5–10], and high risk (>10). The observed pLOS proportions in the low-risk, median-risk, and high-risk groups in the test dataset were 11.4%, 29.5%, and 54.7%, respectively.

Conclusions

This study developed a scoring tool to predict pLOS in PD patients. The scoring tool can effectively discriminate patients with different pLOS risks and be easily implemented in clinical practice. The pLOS scoring tool has a great potential to help physicians allocate medical resources optimally and achieve improved clinical outcomes.

The management of vascular access in hemodialysis patients during the coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic: A multicenter cross-sectional study

Background:

Coronavirus disease 2019 is an epidemic disease throughout the world. The management of vascular access during the epidemic is currently unknown.

Methods:

In this multicenter cross-sectional study, we collected vascular access data from hemodialysis patients treated at 44 hospitals in Hubei from 22 January to 10 March 2020. We estimated the management of vascular access during the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak.

Results:

Of the 9231 hemodialysis patients included, 5387 patients (58.4%) were men and 2959 patients (32.1%) were older than 65 years. Arteriovenous fistula was the predominant type of vascular access, accounting for 76.5%; 496 patients (5.4%) developed vascular access complications; catheter flow reduction was the most common vascular access complication, and stenosis was the predominant complication among those with arteriovenous access. Overall, 280 vascular access sites were placed in patients newly diagnosed with uremia, of whom 260 (92.8%) underwent catheter insertion; 149 rescue procedures were carried out to treat the vascular access complications, which consisted of 132 catheters, 7 percutaneous transluminal angioplasties, 6 arteriovenous fistula repairs, and 4 arteriovenous fistulas. Occlusion of the arteriovenous access had the highest rescue rate (92.7%), while many other vascular access complications remained untreated; 69 and 142 patients were diagnosed with confirmed and suspected coronavirus disease 2019, respectively. A total of 146 patients died, of whom 29 patients (19.9%) died due to vascular access complications.

Conclusion:

Catheter flow reduction and stenosis of arteriovenous access were the major vascular access complications. Most of the vascular access sites established were catheters, and many of the vascular access complications remained untreated.

Aggressive Quarantine Measures Reduce the High Morbidity of COVID-19 in Patients on Maintenance Hemodialysis and Medical Staff of Hemodialysis Facilities in Wuhan, China

INTRODUCTION

Maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients are highly vulnerable to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Medical staff of dialysis facilities without sufficient biosecurity protection are susceptible once exposed to asymptomatic coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. This study evaluated the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 in all MHD patients and medical staff of dialysis facilities in Wuhan, China.

METHODS

We collected COVID-19 morbidity and mortality data from MHD patients and medical staff from 52 hemodialysis centers in Wuhan. Then, we analyzed the symptoms and signs of patients and staff in our hospital (Tongji Hospital in Wuhan), and chest CT, SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid detection and laboratory tests were performed. After aggressive quarantine of the COVID-19 patients, we followed up on the prognosis of them.

RESULTS

We analyzed the hemodialysis data from Wuhan and found that 10% of MHD patients and 6.0% of medical staff were suspected of COVID-19. Further detection of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid showed that 1.7% of MHD patients and 2.9% of medical staff were confirmed as having COVID-19. In our facility, 18.9% (46/244) of patients and 9.5% (6/63) of medical staff were suspected of COVID-19. Among them, 2.9% (7/244) of MHD patients and 4.8% (3/63) of medical staff tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 were confirmed as having COVID-19. Interestingly, 87.0% of MHD patients suspected of COVID-19 did not have obvious symptoms, but the CT screening showed features of viral pneumonia. There were no significant differences in symptoms, CT findings, comorbidity and laboratory findings of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic-acid-positive and -negative patients. We followed up these patients and found that 57 patients with COVID-19 died (COVID-19 mortality 8.9%). Two patients from our dialysis center with COVID-19 (mortality 4.3%) died. No new infections occurred in our dialysis center after aggressive quarantine was initiated.

CONCLUSIONS

The SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in MHD patients and medical staff in dialysis facilities were both high in Wuhan. Frequent chest CT and SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid detection were needed to screen COVID-19 patients in dialysis facilities. Through the lessons of this experience on the aggressive diagnosis and quarantine measures of COVID-19 patients, we hope medical staff avoid more infections in serious epidemic areas.

Global case studies for chronic kidney disease/end-stage kidney disease care

The prevalence of chronic kidney disease and its risk factors is increasing worldwide, and the rapid rise in global need for end-stage kidney disease care is a major challenge for health systems, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Countries are responding to the challenge of end-stage kidney disease in different ways, with variable provision of the components of a kidney care strategy, including effective prevention, detection, conservative care, kidney transplantation, and an appropriate mix of dialysis modalities. This collection of case studies is from 15 countries from around the world and offers valuable learning examples from a variety of contexts. The variability in approaches may be explained by country differences in burden of disease, available human or financial resources, income status, and cost structures. In addition, cultural considerations, political context, and competing interests from other stakeholders must be considered. Although the approaches taken have often varied substantially, a common theme is the potential benefits of multistakeholder engagement aimed at improving the availability and scope of integrated kidney care.

Financial implications of dialysis modalities in the developing world: A Chinese perspective

BACKGROUND

End-stage renal disease has been imposing a heavy economic burden on public health; however, few studies have been performed on the cost-effectiveness of dialysis modalities. We aim to estimate the cost-effectiveness of different dialysis modalities in China.

METHODS

Cost-effectiveness analyses were performed using Markov models based on published data of hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) modalities in China. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to identify key variables influencing the results.

RESULTS

Over a 10-year time horizon, the base-case cost-effectiveness analysis indicated that PD-first absolutely dominated the HD-first option by gaining 0.13 more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costing RMB ¥81,081 less. When using reported mortality of HD and PD from the United States, the PD-first option still dominated HD-first with higher QALYs and lower costs. Sensitivity analyses revealed that the results were more sensitive to the direct cost of HD, utility of HD, utility of PD, direct cost of PD, PD mortality, and HD mortality, while less sensitive to the indirect costs and transition probabilities. The HD utility needed to be at least 0.148 higher than PD utility for HD to be cost-effective. PD was about 72% likely to be considered cost-effective compared with HD, regardless of the willingness-to-pay for QALYs.

CONCLUSION

PD appears to be more cost-effective than HD in China, and the major influential factors on the cost-effectiveness are the direct costs of HD, utility of HD, utility of PD, direct costs of PD, PD mortality, and HD mortality.

The history of hemodialysis in China

The technique of hemodialysis was introduced into China more than 50 years ago; and both research and use of clinical hemodialysis began in mid-1960s to late-1960s. A brief review of the history of hemodialysis in China is presented here, including a brief description of pioneers and their contributions, local development and use of dialyzers, hemodialysis machines, and vascular access, and dialysis management and logistics.

CKD in China: Evolving Spectrum and Public Health Implications

Diabetes is the leading cause of kidney failure worldwide, whereas glomerulonephritis has been predominant in developing countries such as China. The prevalence of obesity and diabetes has increased dramatically in developing countries, substantially affecting the patterns of chronic kidney disease (CKD) observed in these regions. Using data from the Hospital Quality Monitoring System to evaluate changes in the spectrum of non-dialysis-dependent CKD in China, we have observed an increase in the percentage of patients with CKD due to diabetes, which has exceeded that of CKD due to glomerulonephritis since 2011, as well as an increase in hypertensive nephropathy and, in some regions, obstructive kidney disease (mostly associated with kidney stones). The growth of noncommunicable diseases under profound societal and environmental changes has shifted the spectrum of CKD in China toward patterns similar to those of developed countries, which will have enormous impacts on the Chinese health care system. There is much to be done regarding public health interventions, including the establishment of a national CKD surveillance system, improvement in the management of diabetes and hypertension, and enhancement of the affordability and accessibility of kidney replacement therapy. Reducing the burden of CKD will require joint efforts from government, the medical community (including practitioners other than nephrologists), and the public.

Spectrum of chronic kidney disease in China: A national study based on hospitalized patients from 2010 to 2015

AIM

To investigate the spectrum of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in China.

METHODS

We used a large national in-patient database covering 878 class three hospitals and involving 64.7 million adult patients in China from 2010 to 2015. The class 3 hospital in China is ranked as the top tier of medical system in China with at least 500 beds and the accreditation from health authorities. The specific causes of CKD were extracted from the International Classification of Diseases-10 codes of discharge diagnoses.

RESULTS

A total of 4.5% of hospitalized patients (1.8 million) were identified as CKD, with an increased percentage from 2010 (3.7%) to 2015 (4.7%). Increasing trends of diabetic kidney disease and hypertensive nephropathy were observed from 2010 to 2015 (19.5% vs 24.3% and 11.5% vs 15.9%, respectively), especially for urban residents from north China. The proportion of obstructive nephropathy also increased gradually (10.3% in 2010 vs 15.6% in 2015) and constituted another important cause of CKD for patients, especially for those from south China and rural residents.

CONCLUSION

The spectrum of CKD is changing in China, with variations over time and geographic regions, which has implication regarding developing the prevention strategy of CKD.

Reduced Kidney Function, Albuminuria, and Risks for All-cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in China: A Population-based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have indicated that reduced kidney function and albuminuria are associated with increased risk of mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes, however, the evidence from the Asian population is limited. We investigated the association between the indicators of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and all-cause mortality, as well as cardiovascular mortality among a general population in China.

METHODS

We conducted an observational study among 47,204 Chinese adults, from a cross-sectional survey, whose survival status is identified through December 31, 2013. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) were used as indicators of CKD. We determined the rates of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

The incidence rates for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality increased with the advanced stages of reduced eGFR or elevated ACR. Elevated ACR levels were found to be significantly associated with increased risk of both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, as shown in the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HR) associated with all-cause mortality were 1.26 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.53) for those with ACR 30-299 mg/g and 2.07 (95% CI: 1.40-3.04) with ACR ≥ 300 mg/g, compared to those with ACR <30 mg/g. The corresponding HRs for the above ACR levels associated with cardiovascular mortality were 1.08 (95% CI: 0.77-1.50) and 2.32 (95% CI: 1.31-4.12), respectively. We did not identify reduced eGFR as a risk predictor in the multivariable adjusted model for the adverse outcomes in the population, however, an interaction between eGFR and age were detected. Stratified analyses revealed that the associations of reduced eGFR (<60 mL/min/1.73 m2) with all-cause mortality were prominent among participants aged less than 65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Albuminuria was associated with an elevated risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among the Chinese population, however, the association of reduced kidney function with all-cause mortality was not clear.