Effects of Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists and Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors on Intima-Media Thickness: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Beyond glycemic control, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) have been proposed to reduce the risk of cardiovascular events. The aim of the present systematic review and meta-analysis is to demonstrate the effects of GLP-1 RA and SGLT2is on intima-media thickness (IMT).

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS, and Google Scholar databases were searched from inception to September 9, 2023. All interventional and observational studies that provided data on the effects of GLP-1 RAs or SGLT2is on IMT were included. Critical appraisal was performed using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklists. IMT changes (preintervention and postintervention) were pooled and meta-analyzed using a random-effects model. Subgroup analyses were based on type of medication (GLP-1 RA: liraglutide and exenatide; SGLT2i: empagliflozin, ipragliflozin, tofogliflozin, and dapagliflozin), randomized clinical trials (RCTs), and diabetic patients.

Results

The literature search yielded 708 related articles after duplicates were removed. Eighteen studies examined the effects of GLP-1 RA, and eleven examined the effects of SGLT2i. GLP-1 RA and SGLT2i significantly decreased IMT (MD = -0.123, 95% CI (-0.170, -0.076), P < 0.0001, I2 = 98% and MD = -0.048, 95% CI (-0.092, -0.004), P = 0.031, I2 = 95%, respectively). Metaregression showed that IMT change correlated with baseline IMT, whereas it did not correlate with gender, duration of diabetes, and duration of treatment.

Conclusions

Treatment with GLP-1 RA and SGLT2i can lower IMT in diabetic patients, and GLP-1 RA may be more effective than SGLT2i.

Primary repair with no flaps for lower lip defects (30-80 %) after cancer excision

Reconstruction of the lip is a necessary procedure when lip tumors are excised. Although many good techniques have been described, they often have disadvantages such as necrosis and extensive suture lines. In our approach, we aim to minimize the suture line and avoid tissue necrosis for medium-sized lip defects (30-80 %). This is a surgical technique report from a single center. After tumor resection, we made a bilateral 15 mm horizontal skin and mucosa incision from the angles of the lip to the lateral sides. The mucosa and skin were dissected from the underlying muscle, and the muscle was cut approximately 15 mm on each side. The lip defect was then closed and sutured in four layers. Finally, the released mucosa was sutured to the corner of the incised skin. We followed the patients for 36 months and found that their speech intelligibility, sensation, mobility, and aesthetic satisfaction were preserved. The scars were also less pronounced compared to flaps, and there were no signs of edema or drooling. In conclusion, our technique offers many advantages for moderate defects of lower lip tumors. By avoiding the use of flaps, we eliminate the complications associated with flap surgery while achieving aesthetically satisfactory results. However, further evaluation by other surgeons is necessary to fully examine the technique's benefits.

Machine learning-based classifiers to predict metastasis in colorectal cancer patients

Background

The increasing prevalence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Iran over the past three decades has made it a key public health burden. This study aimed to predict metastasis in CRC patients using machine learning (ML) approaches in terms of demographic and clinical factors.

Methods

This study focuses on 1,127 CRC patients who underwent appropriate treatments at Taleghani Hospital, a tertiary care facility. The patients were divided into training and test datasets in an 80:20 ratio. Various ML methods, including Naive Bayes (NB), random rorest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), neural network (NN), decision tree (DT), and logistic regression (LR), were used for predicting metastasis in CRC patients. Model performance was evaluated using 5-fold cross-validation, reporting sensitivity, specificity, the area under the curve (AUC), and other indexes.

Results

Among the 1,127 patients, 183 (16%) had experienced metastasis. In the predictionof metastasis, both the NN and RF algorithms had the highest AUC, while SVM ranked third in both the original and balanced datasets. The NN and RF algorithms achieved the highest AUC (100%), sensitivity (100% and 100%, respectively), and accuracy (99.2% and 99.3%, respectively) on the balanced dataset, followed by the SVM with an AUC of 98.8%, a sensitivity of 97.5%, and an accuracy of 97%. Moreover, lower false negative rate (FNR), false positive rate (FPR), and higher negative predictive value (NPV) can be confirmed by these two methods. The results also showed that all methods exhibited good performance in the test datasets, and the balanced dataset improved the performance of most ML methods. The most important variables for predicting metastasis were the tumor stage, the number of involved lymph nodes, and the treatment type. In a separate analysis of patients with tumor stages I-III, it was identified that tumor grade, tumor size, and tumor stage are the most important features.

Conclusion

This study indicated that NN and RF were the best among ML-based approaches for predicting metastasis in CRC patients. Both the tumor stage and the number of involved lymph nodes were considered the most important features.

Evaluation of tumor-educated platelet long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) as potential diagnostic biomarkers for colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Cancer-derived circulating components are increasingly considered as candidate sources for non-invasive diagnostic biomarkers. This study aimed to investigate the expression of tumor-educated platelet (TEP) long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients and determine whether it could be served as a potential tool for CRC diagnosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Relative quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) was used to detect the expression levels of three cancer-related platelet-derived lncRNAs CCAT1, HOTTIP, and XIST in 75 CRC patients and 42 healthy controls. Quantitative data were analyzed by SPSS (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) for comparison of cancer and non-cancer individuals. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was further performed to assess the diagnostic values of lncRNAs within the CRC patients.

RESULTS

The expression levels of lncRNAs colon cancer associated transcript 1 (CCAT1) (P = 0.006) and HOXA transcript at the distal tip (HOTTIP) (P = 0.049), but not X-inactive specific transcript (XIST) (P = 0.12), were significantly upregulated in CRC patients compared to healthy individuals. However, there were no significant correlations between platelet lncRNAs and clinicopathological characteristics, including sex, age, tumor location, differentiation, and size (all at P > 0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the lncRNA CCAT1 was 0.61 (sensitivity, 71%; specificity, 50%).

CONCLUSION

TEP lncRNA CCAT1 is detectable in the circulation of CRC patients and could be considered as a potential diagnostic biomarker.

Relationship between long non-coding RNAs and Hippo signaling pathway in gastrointestinal cancers; molecular mechanisms and clinical significance

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play a significant biological role in the regulation of various cellular processes such as cell proliferation, differentiation, apoptosis and migration. In various malignancies, lncRNAs interplay with some main cancer-associated signaling pathways, including the Hippo signaling pathway to regulate the various cellular processes. It has been revealed that the cross-talking between lncRNAs and Hippo signaling pathway involves in gastrointestinal (GI) cancers development and progression. Considering the clinical significance of these lncRNAs, they have also been introduced as potential biomarkers in diagnostic, prognostic and therapeutic strategies in GI cancers. Herein, we review the mechanisms of lncRNA-mediated regulation of Hippo signaling pathway and focus on the corresponding molecular mechanisms and clinical significance of these non-coding RNAs in GI cancers.

Role of the VEGF in virus-associated cancers

The role of numerous risk factors, including consumption of alcohol, smoking, having diet high in fat and sugar and many other items, on caner progression cannot be denied. Viral diseases are one these factors, and they can initiate some signalling pathways causing cancer. For example, they can be effective on providing oxygen and nutrients by inducing VEGF expression. In this review article, we summarised the mechanisms of angiogenesis and VEGF expression in cancerous tissues which are infected with oncoviruses (Epstein-Barr virus, Human papillomavirus infection, Human T-lymphotropic virus, Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus, Hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus).

Injection of resistin into the paraventricular nucleus produces a cardiovascular response that may be mediated by glutamatergic transmission in the rostral ventrolateral medulla

Objectives

High levels of resistin are associated with metabolic diseases and their complications, including hypertension. The paraventricular nucleus (PVN) is also involved in metabolic disorders and cardiovascular diseases, such as hypertension. Therefore, this study aimed to study cardiovascular (CV) responses evoked by the injection of resistin into the lateral ventricle (LV) and PVN and determine the mechanism of these responses in the rostral ventrolateral medulla (RVLM).

Materials and Methods

Arterial pressure (AP) and heart rate (HR) were evaluated in urethane-anesthetized male rats (1.4 g/kg intraperitoneally) before and after all injections. This study was carried out in two stages. Resistin was injected into LV at the first stage, and AP and HR were evaluated. After that, the paraventricular, supraoptic, and dorsomedial nuclei of the hypothalamus were chosen to evaluate the gene expression of c-Fos. Afterward, resistin was injected into PVN, and cardiovascular responses were monitored. Then to detect possible neural mechanisms of resistin action, agonists or antagonists of glutamatergic, GABAergic, cholinergic, and aminergic transmissions were injected into RVLM.

Results

Resistin injection into LV or PVN could increase AP and HR compared to the control group and before injection. Resistin injection into LV also increases the activity of RVLM, paraventricular, supraoptic, and dorsomedial areas. Moreover, the CV reflex created by the administration of resistin in PVN is probably mediated by glutamatergic transmission within RVLM.

Conclusion

It can be concluded that hypothalamic nuclei, including paraventricular, are important central areas for resistin actions, and glutamatergic transmission in RVLM may be one of the therapeutic targets for high AP in obese people or with metabolic syndrome.

Ginger (Zingiber Officinale Roscoe) ameliorates ethanol-induced cognitive impairment by modulating NMDA and GABA-A receptors in rat hippocampus

Brain damage caused by ethanol abuse may lead to permanent damage, including severe dementia. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of ginger powder on ethanol-induced cognitive disorders by examining oxidative damage and inflammation status, and the gene expression of N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) and γ-Aminobutyric acid (GABA)-A receptors in the hippocampus of male rats. 24 adult male Sprague-Dawley rats were allocated randomly to four groups as follows control, ethanol (4g/kg/day, by gavage), ginger (1g/kg/day, by gavage), and ginger-ethanol. At the end of the study, memory and learning were evaluated by the shuttle box test. Moreover, to explore mechanisms involved in ethanol-induced cognitive impairment and the protective effect of ginger, the expression of Nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB), nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2), NMDA receptor, and GABA-A receptor was measured along with inflammatory and oxidative biomarkers in the hippocampus tissue. The results showed that ethanol could induce cognitive impairment in the ethanol group, while pretreatment with ginger could reverse it. The gene expression of the NF-κB/ Tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α/Interleukin (IL)-1β pathway and NMDA and GABA-A receptors significantly increased in the ethanol group compared to the control group. While pretreatment with ginger could significantly improve ethanol-induced cognitive impairment through these pathways in the ginger-ethanol group compared to the ethanol group (P < 0.05). It can be concluded that ginger powder could ameliorate ethanol-induced cognitive impairment by modulating the expression of NMDA and GABA-A receptors and inhibiting oxidative damage and the NF-κB/TNF-α/IL-1β pathway in the rat hippocampus.

Role of autoantibodies targeting interferon type 1 in COVID-19 severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Impairment of the type I interferon (IFN-I) signaling pathway is associated with increased severity of COVID-19 disease. Here we have undertaken a systematic review and meta = analysis on the association between the severity of COVID-19 and IFN-1 autoantibodies (AAbs; aIFN-1, aIFN-α, aIFN-ω, and aIFN-β).

Methods

Four databases, including Medline [PubMed], Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus, were systematically searched to find papers on the role of aIFN-1 and its subtype AAbs in the severity of COVID-19 infection. Data on the prevalence of aIFN-1, aIFN-α, aIFN-ω, and aIFN-β were pooled using random- or fixed-effects models. Subgroup analysis was performed based on disease severity. Odds ratios (OR) for COVID-19 disease outcome, including length of hospital stay, ICU admission and death, were calculated in relation to positive or negative plasma IFN-1 AAbs.

Results

A total of 33 studies with 13023 patients were included. The overall prevalence of circulating aIFN-1, aIFN-α, and aIFN-ω AAbs was 17.8 % [13.8, 22.8], 7.2 % [4.7, 10.9], and 4.4 % [2.1, 8.6], respectively, and the overall prevalence of neutralizing aIFN-1, aIFN-α, aIFN-ω, and aIFN-β AAbs was 7.1 % [4.9, 10.1], 7.5 % [5.9, 9.5], 8.0 % [5.7, 11.1] and 1.2 % [0.4, 3.5], respectively. Circulating aIFN-α (OR = 4.537 [2.247, 9.158]), neutralizing aIFN-α (O = 17.482 [8.899, 34.342]), and neutralizing aIFN-ω (OR = 12.529 [7.397, 21.222]) were significantly more frequent in critical/severe patients than in moderate/mild patients (p < 0.001 for all). Anti-IFN-1 was more common in male subjects (OR = 2.248 [1.366, 3.699], p = 0.001) and two COVID-19 outcomes including ICU admission (OR = 2.485 [1.409, 4.385], p = 0.002) and death (OR = 2.593 [1.199, 5.604], p = 0.015) occurred more frequently in patients with positive anti-IFN-1.Conclusion: aIFN-1 and its subtypes AAbs are associated with severe and critical COVID-19 disease and may be a predictive marker for a poor prognosis, particularly in men.

Incidence and Outcomes Associated with Menopausal Status in COVID-19 Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

 Menopause causes several changes in the body that may affect the response to COVID -19. We aimed to investigate the possible association between menopausal status and incidence and outcomes in COVID-19 patients.

METHODS

 Combinations of keywordsCOVID-19, menopause, and estrogen were used to search the PubMed, Embase, Web-of-Science, and Scopus databases for articles reporting the incidence and outcomes of COVID-19 (discharge, length-of-admission, intensive care, or mortality) in premenopausal women, available through December 29, 2022. Data from studies comparing the incidence of COVID-19 infection with the age-matched male population were pooled and meta-analyzed using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

 Overall, 1,564 studies were retrieved, of which 12 were finally included in the systematic review to compare disease outcomes, and 6 were meta-analyzed for the incidence of COVID-19 in premenopausal and postmenopausal women. All studies reported better COVID-19-associated outcomes in premenopausal women compared with postmenopausal women. After adjusting for confounding factors, three studies found better outcomes in postmenopausal women, and two found no association between menopausal status and COVID-19 outcomes. Our meta-analysis found a higher incidence of COVID-19 infection among premenopausal women than postmenopausal women, when compared with age-matched men (odds ratio = 1.270; 95% confidence interval: 1.086-1.486; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

 The incidence of COVID-19 was significantly higher in premenopausal women than in postmenopausal women when compared with age-matched men. Although premenopausal women may have more favorable COVID-19-associated outcomes, the presumed preventive effect of estrogens on the incidence and related outcomes of COVID-19 in premenopausal women cannot be proven at present. Further longitudinal studies comparing pre- and post-menopausal women are required to provide further insight into this matter.

Thyme extract could overcome diabetes-induced reproductive dysfunction by inhibiting oxidative damage and increasing the expression of insulin receptor substrate and pyruvate kinase in the rat sperm

OBJECTIVES

Oxidative stress and disruption of energy metabolism in the reproductive system, especially sperm, play a significant role in diabetes-related infertility. Zataria multiflora Boissis (ZMB), a medicinal plant containing various bioactive compounds, may have efficacy in treating metabolic diseases and reproductive disorders. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the effects of different doses of ZMB extract on diabetes-induced reproductive dysfunction by assessing oxidative damage and the gene expression of insulin receptor substrate (IRS) and pyruvate kinase (PK) in male rats' sperm.

METHODS

Sixty adult male Wistar rats were randomly divided into six groups; control (C), diabetes (D), and diabetic animals treated with glibenclamide (G, 50 mg/kg) and thyme extract (T100, T200, and T400). Diabetes was induced by intraperitoneal injection of Streptozotocin (STZ) (50 mg/kg). Insulin, glucose, oxidative and pro-inflammatory markers in the serum, and gene expressions of IRS, and PK were measured in the stored sperms in the epididymis. Changes in the process of spermatogenesis were assessed through the histological evaluation of the testis. Gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS) was used to analyze the quantity and quality of thyme extract.

KEY FINDINGS

The study results indicated that body weight, food intake, and sperm parameters significantly improved in a dose-dependent manner in the T200 group compared to the other groups. Additionally, in the same group, pro-inflammatory biomarkers, DNA fragmentation, and MDA levels decreased, while the levels of catalase (CAT), superoxide dismutase (SOD), and glutathione peroxidase (GPx) enzymes in the stored epididymal sperm significantly improved compared to the other groups. The expression of IRS and PK, along with the mean counts of spermatogenesis cell lines (especially Sertoli cells), significantly increased in the T200 group.

SUMMARY

In conclusion, thymol appears to alleviate diabetes-induced reproductive dysfunction by inhibiting oxidative damage, improving the metabolic state, and upregulating the expression of IRS and PK genes in the sperm of male rats.

Impact of socio-economic conditions and perinatal factors on risk of becoming a child looked after: a whole population cohort study using routinely collected data in Wales

OBJECTIVES

Between 1997 and 2021, the number of children looked after (CLA) in Wales, UK, increased steadily, with stark inequalities. We aimed to assess how deprivation and maternal and child perinatal characteristics influence the risk of becoming CLA in Wales.

STUDY DESIGN

We constructed a prospective longitudinal cohort of children born in Wales between April 2006 and March 2021 (n = 395,610) using linked administrative records.

METHODS

Survival models examined the risk of CLA from birth by small-area deprivation and maternal and child perinatal characteristics. Population attributable fractions quantify the potential impact of action on modifiable risk factors.

RESULTS

Children from the most deprived fifth of the population were 3.4 times more likely to enter care than those in the least deprived (demographic adjusted hazard ratios [aHRs] 3.40, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.08, 3.74). Maternal mental health problems in pregnancy (fully aHR, 2.03, 95% CI 1.88, 2.19) and behavioural factors, such as smoking (aHR 2.46, 95% CI 2.34-2.60), alcohol problems (aHR 2.35, 95% CI 1.70-3.23) and substance use in pregnancy (aHR 5.72, 95% CI 5.03-6.51), as well as child congenital anomalies (aHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.16-1.84), low birth weight (aHR 1.28, 95% CI 1.17, 1.39) and preterm birth (aHR 1.16, 95% CI 1.06, 1.26), were associated with higher risk of CLA status. The risk of CLA in the population may be reduced by 35% (95% CI 0.33, 0.38) if children in the two most deprived fifths of the population experienced the conditions of those in the least deprived.

CONCLUSIONS

Deprivation and perinatal maternal health are important modifiable risk factors for children becoming CLA. Our analysis provides insight into the mechanisms of intergenerational transfer of disadvantage in a vulnerable section of the child population and identifies targets for public health action.

COVID-19, G protein-coupled receptor, and renin-angiotensin system autoantibodies: Systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

There are an increasing number of reports of autoantibodies (AAbs) against host proteins such as G-protein coupled receptors (GPCRs) and the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) in COVID-19 disease. Here we have undertaken a systematic review and meta-analysis of all reports of AAbs against GPCRs and RAS in COVID-19 patients including those with long-COVID or post-COVID symptoms.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus databases were searched to find papers on the role of GPCR and RAS AAbs in the presence and severity of COVID-19 or post- COVID symptoms available through March 21, 2023. Data on the prevalence of AngII or ACE, comparing AngII or ACE between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19, or comparing AngII or ACE between COVID-19 patients with different disease stages were pooled and a meta-analysed using random- or fixed-effects models were undertaken.

RESULTS

The search yielded a total of 1042 articles, of which 68 studies were included in this systematic review and nine in the meta-analysis. Among 18 studies that investigated GPCRs and COVID-19 severity, 18 distinct AAbs were detected. In addition, nine AAbs were found in case reports that assessed post- COVID, and 19 AAbs were found in other studies that assessed post- COVID or long- COVID symptoms. Meta-analysis revealed a significantly higher number of seropositive ACE2 AAbs in COVID-19 patients (odds ratio = 7.766 [2.056, 29.208], p = 0.002) and particularly in severe disease (odds ratio = 11.49 [1.04, 126.86], p = 0.046), whereas AngII-AAbs seropositivity was no different between COVID-19 and control subjects (odds ratio = 2.890 [0.546-15.283], p = 0.21).

CONCLUSIONS

GPCR and RAS AAbs may play an important role in COVID-19 severity, the development of disease progression, long-term symptoms COVID and post- COVID symptoms.

How durable are the effects of cognitive-behavioural therapy‎ in controlling fibromyalgia symptoms? A prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Cognitive-behavioural therapy (CBT) is widely used for the treatment of fibromyalgia. However, there is no consensus on the durability of its effects on these patients. In this study, we evaluated how durable are the effects of CBT in controlling fibromyalgia symptoms.

METHODS

Forty-eight fibromyalgia patients treated with traditional face-to-face CBT were included. CBT was performed in 20 consecutive group sessions. To evaluate the durability of treatment, the effects of CBT on fibromyalgia symptoms were checked at five time-points: before the CBT, immediately after the CBT, 3 months after the CBT, 6 months after the CBT, and 12 months after the CBT. Outcome measures were the Fibromyalgia impact questionnaire (FIQ) and widespread pain index (WPI).

RESULTS

The mean FIQ score of the patients was 68.3 ± 18.8 before the CBT and 50.5 ± 14.1 1 week after the CBT (p < 0.001). The mean post-CBT FIQ score did not significantly change three and 6 months after the CBT (p = 0.11 and p = 0.09, respectively) while the positive effects of CBT significantly diminished after 12 months (p < 0.001). The mean WPI was 10.4 ± 3.6 before the CBT and 8.6 ± 3.1 1 week after the end of CBT (p < 0.001). The mean WPI of three and 6 months was not statistically different from that immediately after the CBT (p = 0.18 and p = 0.15, respectively), while after 12 months, it significantly worsened (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CBT's beneficial effects for fibromyalgia patients are durable for 6 months. Complementary CBT sessions could be implemented to boost the CBT effect after this period.

Intra-articular remifentanil on postoperative pain in knee arthroscopic surgery; a double blind randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

We aimed to assess the efficacy of intra-articular remifentanil in relieving postoperative pain after knee arthroscopy.

METHODS

We conducted a double-blind randomized clinical trial study on 60 patients. Patients were divided into two equal groups. The control group received 25 ml of intra-articular normal saline, and the intervention group received 200 μg of remifentanil dissolved in 25 ml of saline. We evaluated at rest postoperative pain at 1, 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 h after the surgery using the Visual Analog Scale (VAS). Patients with VAS scores of 4 or more received meperidine (pethidine). The first time meperidine was requested and the total amount of meperidine consumed was recorded.

RESULTS

Out of 60 patients, 49 were male (81.6%), and the mean age of participants was 32.71 (7.02) years. An hour after the surgery, the control group showed a mean VAS score of 8.66 (1.26), and decreased to 2.53 (1.67) at the end of 24 h. The intervention group started with a mean VAS score of 2.23 (1.81) and ended at 0.10 (0.305). All patients in the control group and 11 (36.7%) patients in the intervention group asked for analgesics during follow-up. The mean total meperidine dose in the control and intervention groups was 108.33 (23.97) mg and 13.33 (19.40) mg, respectively (P < 0.001; 95% confidence interval of the difference 83.72 to 106.27).

CONCLUSIONS

Intra-articular remifentanil may decrease postoperative pain and analgesic requirements in patients undergoing knee arthroscopy.

Towards optimal use of antithrombotic therapy of people with cancer at the end of life: A research protocol for the development and implementation of the SERENITY shared decision support tool

BACKGROUND

Even though antithrombotic therapy has probably little or even negative effects on the well-being of people with cancer during their last year of life, deprescribing antithrombotic therapy at the end of life is rare in practice. It is often continued until death, possibly resulting in excess bleeding, an increased disease burden and higher healthcare costs.

METHODS

The SERENITY consortium comprises researchers and clinicians from eight European countries with specialties in different clinical fields, epidemiology and psychology. SERENITY will use a comprehensive approach combining a realist review, flash mob research, epidemiological studies, and qualitative interviews. The results of these studies will be used in a Delphi process to reach a consensus on the optimal design of the shared decision support tool. Next, the shared decision support tool will be tested in a randomised controlled trial. A targeted implementation and dissemination plan will be developed to enable the use of the SERENITY tool across Europe, as well as its incorporation in clinical guidelines and policies. The entire project is funded by Horizon Europe.

RESULTS

SERENITY will develop an information-driven shared decision support tool that will facilitate treatment decisions regarding the appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy in people with cancer at the end of life.

CONCLUSIONS

We aim to develop an intervention that guides the appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy, prevents bleeding complications, and saves healthcare costs. Hopefully, usage of the tool leads to enhanced empowerment and improved quality of life and treatment satisfaction of people with advanced cancer and their care givers.

Simple mucopexy and hemorrhoidal arterial ligation with and without Doppler guide: a randomized clinical trial for short-term outcome

PURPOSE

Hemorrhoids are the most common benign anorectal diseases. Mucopexy strengthens the anal canal mucosa, which can be performed alone or in combination with Doppler-guided hemorrhoidal artery ligation (DG-HAL). In this study, we compared the postoperative complications between simple mucopexy plus HAL with and without a Doppler guide.

METHODS

This study was performed as a single-blinded randomized clinical trial. Patients referred to a tertiary colorectal referral clinic with grades 3 and 4 hemorrhoids who were candidates for surgical intervention entered the study. Thirty-six patients were randomly divided into 2 groups. Group A including 18 patients underwent mucopexy and DG-HAL and the other 18 patients (group B) underwent standard mucopexy and HAL without a Doppler guide. Postoperative pain score and the duration of oral analgesic consumption were recorded. Additionally, postoperative symptoms and complications were recorded and compared between the 2 methods.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference between the 2 groups in terms of pain score and the duration of postoperative analgesic consumption as well as the incidence of postoperative complications. Besides, the primary grade of hemorrhoids was not significantly associated with recurrence, but there was a significant association between body mass index and Wexner score (WS) with recurrence. The mean WS of patients showed a significant decrease in both groups postoperatively. However, the rate of WS reduction was not remarkably different between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSION

Simple mucopexy with blind HAL (without Doppler guide) might be considered for the treatment of grades 3 and 4 hemorrhoids effectively.

COVID-19 vaccination uptake in people with epilepsy in wales

PURPOSE

People with epilepsy (PWE) are at increased risk of severe COVID-19. Assessing COVID-19 vaccine uptake is therefore important. We compared COVID-19 vaccination uptake for PWE in Wales with a matched control cohort.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, population, cohort study using linked, anonymised, Welsh electronic health records within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank (Welsh population=3.1 million).We identified PWE in Wales between 1st March 2020 and 31st December 2021 and created a control cohort using exact 5:1 matching (sex, age and socioeconomic status). We recorded 1st, 2nd and booster COVID-19 vaccinations.

RESULTS

There were 25,404 adults with epilepsy (127,020 controls). 23,454 (92.3%) had a first vaccination, 22,826 (89.9%) a second, and 17,797 (70.1%) a booster. Comparative figures for controls were: 112,334 (87.8%), 109,057 (85.2%) and 79,980 (62.4%).PWE had higher vaccination rates in all age, sex and socioeconomic subgroups apart from booster uptake in older subgroups. Vaccination rates were higher in older subgroups, women and less deprived areas for both cohorts. People with intellectual disability and epilepsy had higher vaccination rates when compared with controls with intellectual disability.

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 vaccination uptake for PWE in Wales was higher than that for a matched control group.

Did the UK's public health shielding policy protect the clinically extremely vulnerable during the COVID-19 pandemic in Wales? Results of EVITE Immunity, a linked data retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

The UK shielding policy intended to protect people at the highest risk of harm from COVID-19 infection. We aimed to describe intervention effects in Wales at 1 year.

METHODS

Retrospective comparison of linked demographic and clinical data for cohorts comprising people identified for shielding from 23 March to 21 May 2020; and the rest of the population. Health records were extracted with event dates between 23 March 2020 and 22 March 2021 for the comparator cohort and from the date of inclusion until 1 year later for the shielded cohort.

RESULTS

The shielded cohort included 117,415 people, with 3,086,385 in the comparator cohort. The largest clinical categories in the shielded cohort were severe respiratory condition (35.5%), immunosuppressive therapy (25.9%) and cancer (18.6%). People in the shielded cohort were more likely to be female, aged ≥50 years, living in relatively deprived areas, care home residents and frail. The proportion of people tested for COVID-19 was higher in the shielded cohort (odds ratio [OR] 1.616; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.597-1.637), with lower positivity rate incident rate ratios 0.716 (95% CI 0.697-0.736). The known infection rate was higher in the shielded cohort (5.9% vs 5.7%). People in the shielded cohort were more likely to die (OR 3.683; 95% CI: 3.583-3.786), have a critical care admission (OR 3.339; 95% CI: 3.111-3.583), hospital emergency admission (OR 2.883; 95% CI: 2.837-2.930), emergency department attendance (OR 1.893; 95% CI: 1.867-1.919) and common mental disorder (OR 1.762; 95% CI: 1.735-1.789).

CONCLUSION

Deaths and healthcare utilisation were higher amongst shielded people than the general population, as would be expected in the sicker population. Differences in testing rates, deprivation and pre-existing health are potential confounders; however, lack of clear impact on infection rates raises questions about the success of shielding and indicates that further research is required to fully evaluate this national policy intervention.

Impact of Statin or Fibrate Therapy on Homocysteine Concentrations: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Statins and fibrates are two lipid-lowering drugs used in patients with dyslipidemia. This systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to determine the magnitude of the effect of statin and fibrate therapy on serum homocysteine levels.

METHODS

A search was undertaken of the PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and Google Scholar electronic databases up to 15 July 2022. Primary endpoints focused on plasma homocysteine levels. Data were quantitatively analyzed using fixed or random-effect models, as appropriate. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on the drugs and hydrophilic-lipophilic balance of statins.

RESULTS

After screening 1134 papers, 52 studies with a total of 20651 participants were included in the meta-analysis. The analysis showed a significant decrease in plasma homocysteine levels after statin therapy (WMD: -1.388 μmol/L, 95% CI: [-2.184, -0.592], p = 0.001; I2 = 95%). However, fibrate therapy significantly increased plasma homocysteine levels (WMD: 3.459 μmol/L, 95% CI: [2.849, 4.069], p < 0.001; I2 = 98%). The effect of atorvastatin and simvastatin depended on the dose and duration of treatment (atorvastatin [coefficient: 0.075 [0.0132, 0.137]; p = 0.017, coefficient: 0.103 [0.004, 0.202]; p = 0.040, respectively] and simvastatin [coefficient: -0.047 [-0.063, -0.031]; p < 0.001, coefficient: 0.046 [0.016, 0.078]; p = 0.004]), whereas the effect of fenofibrate persisted over time (coefficient: 0.007 [-0.011, 0.026]; p = 0.442) and was not altered by a change in dosage (coefficient: -0.004 [-0.031, 0.024]; p = 0.798). In addition, the greater homocysteine-lowering effect of statins was associated with higher baseline plasma homocysteine concentrations (coefficient: -0.224 [-0.340, -0.109]; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Fibrates significantly increased homocysteine levels, whereas statins significantly decreased them.

Transcriptional Regulation of the Colorectal Cancer Stem Cell Markers, Nanog and Oct4, Induced by a Thermodynamic-Based Therapy Approach

Background

Cancer stem cells (CSC), as responsible issues to cancer development and progression, play a crucial role in tumorigenesis, recurrence, metastasis, and chemoresistance. Both hyperthermia and photodynamic therapy (PDT) may be effective for cancer treatment, particularly when combined with other therapeutic approaches. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of hyperthermia combined with PDT on colorectal CSC and the gene expression of the CSC markers, presenting a more effective approach for cancer therapy.

Methods

The study was conducted in the Pasteur institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran in 2018. We evaluated the anticancer role of hyperthermia, Gold nanoparticles coated with curcumin (Cur-GNPs) in PDT and combination of the two approaches on cell viability and the expression of CSC markers, Nanog and Oct4 in colorectal cancer cell line HT-29. The cytotoxicity effect of Cur-GNPs against the cells was assessed in vitro. The cell viability was assessed using MTT assay, and the expression analysis of the CSC genes was evaluated using a q-real-time PCR.

Results

Cell viability was decreased by PDT (P=0.015) and the combination therapy (P=0.006) but not by hyperthermia alone (P=0.4), compared to control. Also, the expression of CSC markers, Nanog and Oct4 was shown to significantly down-regulate in all hyperthermia, PDT and combination groups.

Conclusion

Hyperthermia combined with PDT was indicated to be more efficient in eliminating tumors than hyperthermia or PDT alone.

Predicting metastasis in gastric cancer patients: machine learning-based approaches

Gastric cancer (GC), with a 5-year survival rate of less than 40%, is known as the fourth principal reason of cancer-related mortality over the world. This study aims to develop predictive models using different machine learning (ML) classifiers based on both demographic and clinical variables to predict metastasis status of patients with GC. The data applied in this study including 733 of GC patients, divided into a train and test groups at a ratio of 8:2, diagnosed at Taleghani tertiary hospital. In order to predict metastasis in GC, ML-based algorithms, including Naive Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Neural Network (NN), Decision Tree (RT) and Logistic Regression (LR), with 5-fold cross validation were performed. To assess the model performance, F1 score, precision, sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and precision-recall AUC (PR-AUC) were obtained. 262 (36%) experienced metastasis among 733 patients with GC. Although all models have optimal performance, the indices of SVM model seems to be more appropiate (training set: AUC: 0.94, Sensitivity: 0.94; testing set: AUC: 0.85, Sensitivity: 0.92). Then, NN has the higher AUC among ML approaches (training set: AUC: 0.98; testing set: AUC: 0.86). The RF of ML-based models, which determine size of tumor and age as two essential variables, is considered as the third efficient model, because of higher specificity and AUC (84% and 87%). Based on the demographic and clinical characteristics, ML approaches can predict the metastasis status in GC patients. According to AUC, sensitivity and specificity in both SVM and NN can be regarded as better algorithms among 6 applied ML-based methods.

The Effect of Statin Therapy on Serum Uric Acid Levels: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Elevated concentrations of serum uric acid (SUA) are associated with several conditions, including cardiovascular disease. The present study aimed to estimate the impact of statin therapy on SUA levels through a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical trials.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched on January 14, 2022, to identify eligible clinical trials. The intervention group received statins as monotherapy or in combination with other drugs, and the control group received non-statins or placebo. Studies reporting SUA levels before and after treatment were selected for further analysis. Finally, the data were pooled, and the mean changes in SUA, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and triglycerides were reported.

RESULTS

Out of 1269 identified studies, 23 were included in the review. A total of 3928 participants received statin therapy, and 1294 were included in control groups. We found a significant reduction in SUA levels following statin therapy (mean difference (MD) = -26.67 μmol/L with 95% confidence interval (CI) [-44.75, -8.60] (P = 0.004)). Atorvastatin (MD = -37.93 μmol/L [-67.71, -8.15]; P < 0.0001), pravastatin (MD = -12.64 μmol/L [-18.64, -6.65]; P < 0.0001), and simvastatin (MD = -5.95 μmol/L [-6.14, -5.80]; P < 0.0001), but not rosuvastatin, were significantly associated with a reduction in SUA levels. An analysis comparing different types of statins showed that pravastatin 20-40 mg/day could significantly reduce SUA when compared to simvastatin 10-20 mg/day (-21.86 μmol/L [-36.33,-7.39]; P = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Statins were significantly associated with a decrease in SUA levels, particularly atorvastatin, which was found to be most effective in lowering SUA. Atorvastatin may be the most appropriate cholesterol-lowering agent for patients with or at risk of hyperuricemia.

Exercise-induced expression of SARS-CoV-2 entry receptors: impact of mask modality, sex, and exercise intensity

BACKGROUND

Wearing a facemask affects physiological responses to exercise. We explored how exercising with a facemask affects the expression of SARS-CoV-2 entry receptor (angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 [ACE2]) and some associated genes (angiotensin type-1 receptors [AT<inf>1</inf>R]; Mas receptor [MasR]; hypoxia-inducible factor 1α [HIF-1α]; endothelial nitric oxide synthase [eNOS]) among healthy males and females.

METHODS

One hundred forty-four apparently healthy individuals (72 females; age: 30±6) were allocated to three mask groups of 48 (N95, Surgical, No Mask) with two exercise subgroups for each mask for both sexes. Participants in each experimental group performed either a submaximal (walking with no grade) or maximal (a modified Bruce Protocol) treadmill exercise test. Blood samples were collected before and after each exercise test and used to analyze the mRNA expression of the genes studied.

RESULTS

The post-exercise expression of genes examined were comparable between Surgical, N95, and No Mask (P>0.05). ACE2 was significantly greater in Surgical and N95 against No Mask at baseline and following moderate-intensity exercise (P<0.05). Whilst similar expressions were noted for MasR and eNOS (P>0.05), AT<inf>1</inf>R was greater in N95 than Surgical following high-intensity exercise (P<0.05). HIF-1α following either exercise intensity was significantly lower in N95 than Surgical (P<0.05). AT<inf>1</inf>R and HIF-1α were similar between Surgical and N95 against No Mask (P>0.05). ACE2 and AT<inf>1</inf>R were significantly higher in either mask modality than No Mask in males at baseline and postexercise (P<0.05). HIF-1α, MasR, and eNOS expressions were comparable between all mask groups in either sex (P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that wearing a facemask does not differentiate the gene expression of SARS-CoV-2 entry receptor following exercise among both sexes.

The effect of progressive endurance training and extract of black winter truffle on proteins levels and expression of hippocampus α-synuclein and HSF1 in the healthy and diabetic rats

Aim

The research aimed to investigate the effect of endurance running and T. Brumale extract on α-Syn and HSF1 in the brain and serum of healthy and diabetic rats.

Methods

A total of 40 Wistar rats were randomly divided into eight groups: Control (C), Exercise (E), Control-Tuber (T), Exercise-Tuber (ET), Control-Diabetes (D), Exercise-Diabetes (ED), Control-Diabetes-Tuber (CDT), and Exercise-Diabetes-Tuber (EDT). The endurance running was carried out five times per week for five weeks. The hippocampus and the serum α-Syn and HSF1 were measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay method.

Results

The brain α-Syn levels were higher in diabetic groups than in the healthy groups, but insignificantly (P ≤ 0.05). The brain α-Syn level significantly increased in the EDT group compared to the T group (P ≤ 0.05). The serum level of α-Syn in the ED group was significantly higher than in the E and D groups (P ≤ 0.05). The brain HSF1 level was significantly higher in the ED group compared to the D group (P ≤ 0.05). The gene expression of hsf1 was significantly reduced in the E group compared to the other groups and the EDT group compared to ED and CDT groups (P ≤ 0.05). Furthermore, the serum HSF1 level significantly increased in the ED group compared to the D group (P ≤ 0.05).

Conclusion

The results of this study suggest that progressive endurance running may improve neuroprotective conditions in diabetic patients by increasing HSF1 in the brain.

Epigenetic regulation of gastrointestinal cancers mediated by long non-coding RNAs

Long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs), as well-known modulator of the epigenetic processes, have been shown to contribute to normal cellular physiological and pathological conditions such as cancer. Through the interaction with epigenetic regulators, an aberrant regulation of gene expression can be resulted due to their dysregulation, which in turn, can be involved in tumorigenesis. In the present study, we reviewed the lncRNAs' function and mechanisms that contributed to aberrant epigenetic regulation, which is directly related to gastrointestinal cancer (GI) development and progression. Findings indicated that epigenetic alterations may involve in tumorigenesis and are valuable biomarkers in case of diagnosing, assessing of risk factors, and predicting of GI cancers. This review summarized the accumulated evidence for biological and clinical application to use lncRNAs in GI cancers, including colorectal, gastric, oral, liver, pancreatic and oesophageal cancer.

The ketogenic diet could improve the efficacy of curcumin and Oldenlandia diffusa extract in the treatment of gastric cancer by increasing miR340 expression and apoptosis mediated by autophagy, oxidative stress, and angiogenesis

The pathogenesis of gastric cancer is a multistage process that involves glucose metabolism, inflammation, oxidative damage, angiogenesis, autophagy, and apoptosis. Moreover, microRNA-340 (miR340) also plays a vital role in tumorigenesis and the biology of gastric cancer as an epigenetic factor. It seems that the use of ketogenic diets (KDs) and plant extracts that have antitumor, anti-inflammatory, and antioxidant properties can be good treatment options to cure gastric cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the role of miR-340 on pathways involved in the pathogenesis of gastric cancer and the improving effects of the KD, Oldenlandia diffusa extract (ODE), and curcumin in the animal model of gastric cancer. One hundred and ten male Wistar rats were divided into control and treatment groups. The expression of miR-340 along with genes involved in inflammation, oxidative damage, angiogenesis, and apoptosis were assessed. The results showed that the KD and different doses of curcumin and ODE in a dose-dependent behavior could induce apoptosis and the expression of the Akt/mTORC1 pathway and inhibit inflammation, oxidative damage, and angiogenesis in the gastric tissue of rats with cancer. In addition, there was no significant difference between cancer groups receiving ODE and curcumin. These results also showed that consumption of KD could significantly increase the efficacy of ODE and curcumin which may be due to increasing miR-340 expression. The results of this study suggested well that the KD along with conventional therapies in traditional medicine can be a useful solution for the prevention and treatment of gastric cancer. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Gastric cancer is the third leading cause of cancer death, and genetic and epigenetic factors, including miR-340, are involved in its pathogenesis. However, the use of ketogenic diets (KDs) and plant products such as curcumin and Oldenlandia diffusa extract (ODE) can play an effective role in inhibiting tumorigenesis in some cancers. Our results showed that the KD and different doses of curcumin and ODE could induce apoptosis and the expression of the Akt/mTORC1 pathway and inhibit inflammation, oxidative damage, and angiogenesis in the gastric tissue. Moreover, the KD could significantly increase the efficacy of ODE and curcumin which may be due to an increase in miR-340 expression. These findings provide novel perceptions about the mechanisms of the KD, curcumin, and ODE to cure gastric cancer. It suggested that the KD as adjunctive therapy along with conventional therapies in traditional medicine could be considered a useful solution to prevent and treat gastric cancer.

Ginger Could Improve Gestational Diabetes by Targeting Genes Involved in Nutrient Metabolism, Oxidative Stress, Inflammation, and the WNT/β-Catenin/GSK3β Signaling Pathway

This study aimed to evaluate the effect in female rats of 6 weeks of ginger consumption on gestational diabetes by assessing glucose and lipid metabolism, oxidative damage, inflammation, and the WNT/β-catenin/glycogen synthase kinase-3 beta (GSK3β) signaling pathway. In this study, 40 adult female rats were divided into 4 equal groups as follows: pregnant rats, pregnant rats with diabetes, pregnant rats consuming ginger, and pregnant rats with diabetes consuming ginger. Induction of diabetes on day 0 of pregnancy was induced by streptozotocin (STZ) injection. Insulin, glucose, and lipid profiles as metabolic factors were measured along with the hepatic expression of glucose transporter type 4 (GLUT4), mechanistic target of rapamycin complex 1 (mTORc1), sterol regulatory element-binding protein-1c (SREBP-1c), peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor α (PPAR-α), β-catenin, GSK3β, PPAR-g, nuclear factor-κB (NF-kB), and nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2). The levels of tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin 1β (IL-1β), and oxidative parameters were measured in the liver. The level of metabolic factors was significantly impaired in diabetic pregnant rats compared to the control group. However, ginger improved these parameters in the diabetic pregnant—ginger group compared to the diabetic pregnant group. The hepatic expression of genes involved in metabolism, oxidative stress, inflammation, and the wingless and int-1 (WNT) signaling pathway was significantly impaired in diabetic pregnant rats, while ginger improved them in the hepatic tissue of diabetic pregnant rats. It can be concluded that ginger could improve gestational diabetes by genes involved in metabolism, the WNT signaling pathway, oxidative stress, and inflammation. These results suggest that ginger can be an adjunct drug during pregnancy as a metabolic modulator.

Regulation of long non-coding RNAs XIST and ROR induced by homeodomain protein TGIF2LX in colorectal cancer

Background

Homeodomain protein transforming growth factor beta-induced factor 2 like, X-linked (TGIF2 LX) has been demonstrated to act as a transcription factor and regulate cancer cell proliferation. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) are well known as molecular regulators of colorectal cancer (CRC). Our aim was to evaluate the clinical and biological significance of TGIF2 LX and its effect on lncRNAs regulator of reprogramming (ROR) and X-inactive specific transcript (XIST) expression in CRC cells.

Materials and Methods

Thirty-six CRC tissues and 22 adjacent normal colorectal tissues were subjected to RNA extraction and analysis of TGIF2 LX gene expression by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). The human SW1116 cell line was transfected with cDNA for the TGIF2 LX gene. Microscopic analysis, reverse transcriptase PCR, and western blotting were used for confirming at transcriptional and translational levels. Methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium and colony formation assays were applied for evaluating the in vitro cell viability and colony-forming ability, respectively. LncRNA expression analysis was carried out using qRT-PCR.

Results

The results showed that the expression levels of TGIF2 LX were significantly downregulated in CRC tissues compared to adjacent normal tissues (P = 0.032). Furthermore, the overexpression of TGIF2 LX could reduce the CRC cell line proliferation. The gene expression analysis revealed a significantly reduced level of lncRNA ROR and lncRNA XIST in TGIF2 LX-transfected SW1116 cells compared to nontransfected cells.

Conclusion

Our findings provided evidence of molecular mechanisms by which TGIF2 LX may interact with lncRNAs ROR and XSIST to regulate CRC development by acting as a tumor suppressor. Thus, this protein may potentially be a promising option for CRC gene-based therapeutic strategies.

Green tea could improve elderly hypertension by modulating arterial stiffness, the activity of the renin/angiotensin/aldosterone axis, and the sodium-potassium pumps in old male rats

Hypertension is a major health problem common in the elderly people. Green tea is a popular beverage recommended in folk medicine for lowering blood pressure. However, the molecular mechanisms involved in the antihypertensive effects of green tea are not fully understood. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the antihypertensive effects of green tea on high-salt diet-induced hypertension in old male rats. Forty old male rats were divided into five groups: control, hypertensive, and hypertensive-green tea (2, 4, and 6 g/kg). Heart rate (HR) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) were measured. Cardiac and renal histology were also performed. Lipid profile, NO, angiotensin II (Ang II), and aldosterone were determined, and the expression of eNOS, ATIR and ATIIR, aldosterone receptor, and Atp1a1 were measured. Green tea could significantly decrease HR and SBP, lipid profiles, renin-angiotensin II-aldosterone system activity, and Ang II signaling in kidney tissue of hypertensive rats (p < .01). It also increased Atp1a1, Nrf2, and eNOS expression along with antioxidant enzymes activity and NO concentration (p < .05) and decreased NF-ĸB and iNOS expression and IL-1β levels in the heart, kidneys, and aorta of rats with hypertension. It can be concluded that green tea can improve salt-induced blood pressure by modulating the function of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, enhancing the synthesis of nitric oxide in the endothelium, increasing antioxidant activity and suppressing inflammation in the heart and kidney, improving the expression of the sodium-potassium pump, and reduction in serum lipids and glucose in aged male rats. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: The results of this study showed that green tea could improve hypertension in elderly rats by modulating (1) the expression of the sodium-potassium pump in the heart, kidney, and aortic tissues, (2) the activity of the renin-angiotensin II-aldosterone system in kidney, (3) enhancing antioxidant and anti-inflammatory activities in the heart, aorta, and kidneys, (4) enhancing the synthesis of nitric oxide in the endothelium, and (5) lowering lipid profile. The results of these studies show that the consumption of green tea and its products can be a good candidate for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases such as hypertension in the elderly. In addition, attention to its bioactive compounds can be considered by researchers as an independent therapeutic strategy or adjunctive therapy for the treatment of hypertension.

Role of multiple- and single-pregnancy complications with incident cardiovascular diseases: a nationwide data linkage study in Wales

Background

Prior evidence has suggested that pregnancy complications are associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease in women. However, associations between coexisting multiple pregnancy complications and incident cardiovascular disease remains unclear.

Purpose

To examine the risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, atrial fibrillation or heart failure among women after their first pregnancy with a history of multiple pregnancy complications and women with a history of single-pregnancy complications, compared to women without pregnancy complications.

Methods

This retrospective cohort included women aged 16–45 years who had their first pregnancy between 2000 and 2018 in Wales using the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. Data were extracted from various sources such as Office for National Statistics (ONS) birth and death extracts, hospital admission, outpatient, emergency department and General Practice data sources, and pregnancy related data such as maternal indicators and national community child health. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to evaluate the association between multiple or specific single pregnancy complications and incidence of cardiovascular disease.

Results

A total of 298,515 women were included in the study, of which 64,794 (21.7%) women experienced a single pregnancy complication, and 10,038 (3.38%) women experienced more than one complication during their first pregnancy. During the a median of 9.7 years of follow-up, 2,484 women developed incident cardiovascular disease. IHD had the highest incidence rate among women with multiple pregnancy complications at 9.06 (7.36–11.15) per 10,000 person-years, compared to 4.24 (3.77–4.78) among women with a single pregnancy complication and 2.40 (2.20–2.61) among women without any pregnancy complications. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, compared to no previous pregnancy complications, a history of multiple pregnancy complications was associated with a higher risk of heart failure [hazard ratio (HR) 3.18 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.34–4.32)], IHD [HR 2.88 (95% CI 2.27–3.67)], stroke [HR 2.03 (95% CI 1.55–2.65)] and atrial fibrillation [HR 1.80 (95% CI 1.20–2.72)]. There was also a consistent trend for a higher risk of all outcomes in women with a history of single-pregnancy complications compared to women without complications during the first pregnancy (Figure 1).

Conclusion

This population-scale study used anonymised individual-level linked data from multiple routinely collected data sources. In almost 300,000 women with a previous pregnancy, multiple pregnancy complications were associated with a higher risk of incident cardiovascular disease, including heart failure, ischaemic heart disease, stroke and atrial fibrillation. Women who experience multiple pregnancy complications may benefit from targeted intervention strategies to reduce their risk of incident cardiovascular disease.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): Saudi Arabia governmental PhD studentship

Associations between pregnancy complications and incident cardiovascular disease: a nationwide data linkage study in Wales

Background

Previous studies have associated pregnancy complications with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. However, previous studies have not sufficiently evaluated the impact of broad range of pregnancy complications or common cardiovascular conditions individually. Furthermore, most previous studies have relied on data from hospital admission records only, which may not have adequately accounted for conditions that may not result in an inpatient hospital admission, such as atrial fibrillation.

Purpose

To examine the risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, atrial fibrillation or heart failure among women after their first pregnancy with a history of pregnancy complications compared to women without pregnancy complications in a large nationwide study using linked routinely collected data.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank and included women aged 16–45 years who had their first pregnancy between 2000 and 2018 in Wales. Data were extracted from various sources such as Office for National Statistics (ONS) birth and death extracts, hospital admission, outpatient, emergency department and General Practice data sources, and pregnancy related data such as maternal indicators and national community child health. Survival analyses were conducted using Cox proportional hazard regression models adjusted for hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidaemia, congenital and valvular heart diseases, multifetal pregnancy ethnicity, maternal age, calendar year of first birth and index of multiple deprivation.

Results

A total of 298,515 women were included in the study, of which 74,832 (25.1%) had a history of any pregnancy complication during their first pregnancy. During a median of 9.7 years follow-up time, 2,484 women developed at least one cardiovascular condition. Among women with a history of pregnancy complication in their first pregnancy, IHD had the highest incidence rate at 4.94 (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.44–5.49) per 10,000 person-years, and atrial fibrillation was the lowest at 1.92 (95% CI 1.62–2.28). The history of any pregnancy complication during the first pregnancy was associated with a higher risk of all cardiovascular conditions examined, including heart failure [hazard ratio (HR) 1.93 95% CI 1.61–2.31)], IHD [HR 1.82 (95% CI 1.58–2.10)], stroke [HR 1.39 (95% CI 1.20–1.61)] and atrial fibrillation [HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.08–1.65) (Figure 1).

Conclusion

This population-scale study used anonymised individual-level linked data from multiple routinely collected data sources. A history of pregnancy complications during first pregnancy was associated with a higher risk of incident cardiovascular conditions, including heart failure, ischaemic heart disease, stroke and atrial fibrillation. Applying primary preventive measures and risk assessments for cardiovascular disease after the first pregnancy may mitigate the higher risk among these women.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Other.

Factors associated with prescription of oral anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation in older people living in care homes in Wales: a routine data linkage study 2003–2018

Background

Prescription of oral anticoagulants (OAC) is paramount for stroke prevention in people with atrial fibrillation (AF), but treatment decisions in older care home residents are complicated by frailty, multi-morbidity and heightened stroke and bleeding risk. There is a paucity of data on factors influencing the decision to prescribe OAC in this high-risk population who are under-represented in research studies.

Purpose

To explore the factors associated with OAC prescription for care home residents aged ≥65 years with AF.

Methods

Nationwide retrospective cohort study of people aged ≥65 years entering a care home in Wales between 1 January 2003 and 31 December 2018, using anonymised individual-level electronic health record and administrative data sources available within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank. Unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models were used to explore the association between resident characteristics and OAC prescription or non-prescription.

Results

Between 2003 and 2018, 14,493 people with AF aged ≥65 years became new residents in care homes in Wales and 7,057 (48.7%) were prescribed OAC (32.7% in 2003 compared to 72.7% in 2018), Figure 1. Increasing age and prescription of antiplatelet therapy were associated with lower odds of OAC prescription (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.96 per one year age increase [95% confidence interval, 0.95 to 0.96] and aOR 0.91 [0.84 to 0.98], respectively). Conversely, prior venous thromboembolism (aOR 4.06 [3.17 to 5.20]), advancing frailty (mild: aOR 4.61 [3.95 to 5.38]; moderate: aOR 6.69 [5.74 to 7.80]; severe: aOR 8.42 [7.16 to 9.90]) and year of care home entry in the post-non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) era from 2011 onwards (aOR 1.91 [1.76 to 2.06]) were associated with higher odds of OAC prescription, Figure 2.

Conclusions

The proportion of care home residents prescribed OAC therapy has increased over time with the introduction of NOACs in 2011, but OAC prescription rates are still sub-optimal. Although there is an expected rise in OAC prescribing for increasingly frail people, further work is needed to investigate the interaction with deprivation and other socio-economic and demographic factors to assess potential inequalities in prescribing across these groups. Targeted educational tools for clinicians are needed to address barriers to OAC prescription for AF, such as older age and separate indications for antiplatelet therapy.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Prevalence and outcomes of atrial fibrillation in older people living in care homes in Wales: a routine data linkage study 2003–2018

Background

Older care home residents are a high-risk group of people with atrial fibrillation (AF) who are under-represented in clinical trials. Improved understanding of AF epidemiology and management in this population is paramount for health and social care organisations to strategically plan services.

Purpose

To determine the trends in AF prevalence and compare adverse health outcomes in older care home residents aged ≥65 years with AF compared to those without AF.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study of people entering a care home between 2003–2018 using nationwide, population-scale anonymised health and administrative data, provisioned from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (1 January 2000–31st December 2018). Direct standardisation was used to calculate AF prevalence by year of care entry (2010–2018). Cox regression analyses were used to estimate the risk of adverse health outcomes.

Results

Between 2003 and 2018, 86,602 people aged ≥65 years became new residents in care homes in Wales. Residents with AF (n=14,493) had a significantly higher risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 95% confidence interval [CI]) of cardiovascular (aHR 1.27 [1.17 to 1.37], p&lt;0.001) and all-cause mortality (aHR 1.14 [1.11 to 1.17], p&lt;0.001), Figure 1. The risk (sub-distribution hazard ratio [sHR], 95% CI) of ischaemic stroke (adjusted sHR 1.55 [1.36 to 1.76], p&lt;0.001) and cardiovascular hospitalisation (adjusted sHR 1.28 [1.22 to 1.34], p&lt;0.001) was also higher in residents with AF, even when mortality was considered a competing event, Figure 1. There was no significant change in age- and sex-standardised prevalence of AF between 2010 and 2018, 16.79% (95% CI 15.85 to 17.94) and 17.02% (95% CI 16.05 to 17.98), respectively (absolute change 2010–2018: 0.06% [95% CI: −1.38 to 1.50], p=0.93), Figure 2.

Conclusions

This study demonstrates unique data on the epidemiology of AF and associated outcomes in older care home residents. Whilst the prevalence of AF remained stable between 2010–2018, residents with AF had significantly higher risk of adverse health events. Treatment of AF in accordance with guidelines is critical in this population to optimise management and reduce adverse health outcomes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Comparison of the effect of vitamin C and selenium nanoparticles on gentamicin-induced renal impairment in male rats: A biochemical, molecular and histological study

Renal failure caused by gentamicin is mainly mediated through oxidative damage, inflammation, and apoptosis. Hence, vitamin C and selenium, which have antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, and anti-apoptotic properties, and their nanoparticle forms, which have recently received attention, may reduce gentamicin-induced side effects. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the therapeutic effects of vitamin C and selenium, and their nanoparticles on gentamicin-induced renal damage in male rats. 128 adult male Wistar rats were randomly divided into equal sixteen controlled and treated groups. Serum levels of uric acid, blood urea nitrogen, urea, and creatinine were measured. Renal levels of oxidative parameters such as MDA, SOD, and CAT and inflammatory parameters including IL-1β, and TNF-α were measured. Renal expression of Nrf2, NF-κB, Bcl-2, caspase-3, BAX and mTORc1 was also evaluated. The results showed that gentamicin causes oxidative damage, inflammation, apoptosis and disruption of autophagy in kidney tissue in a dose-dependent manner. However, treatment with vitamin C, selenium and their nanoparticles could significantly improve these effects. Also, the results showed that the inflammatory and oxidative parameters and the expression of genes involved in them and apoptosis in the gentamicin groups treated with vitamin C nanoparticles and selenium nanoparticles reduced significantly compared to those treated with vitamin C and selenium. It can be concluded that vitamin C, selenium and their nanoparticles can improve gentamicin-induced kidney damage by inhibiting oxidative damage, inflammation and apoptosis-induced by autophagy, and can be a good option for kidney damage caused by gentamicin or as an adjunctive treatment to reduce its side effects.

Determination of some heavy metals levels in the meat of animal species (sheep, beef, turkey, and ostrich) and carcinogenic health risk assessment in Kurdistan province in the west of Iran

Heavy metals accumulation in food products as a result of industrialization is one of the main potential threats to public health. This study was aimed to evaluate the concentrations of heavy metals in the meat of some prevalent farm animal species including sheep, beef, turkeys, and ostriches in Sanandaj (one of the strategic cities in Kurdistan province, Iran). In this study, the contents of some heavy metals (selenium, lead, cadmium, arsenic, cobalt, zinc, nickel, copper, and chromium) were assessed in 170 meat samples collected from meat distribution centers in Sanandaj, Kurdistan province. The ICP-MS method was used to assess the levels of these elements in the meat of beef, sheep, turkey, and ostrich as the main consumed meats in this region. Statistical analysis was performed by ANOVA and one-sample t-test, and the correlation coefficient of the concentrations of metals was also calculated. The results showed that there were no significant differences in the average contents of selenium, nickel, cobalt, and chromium among various meats (P > 0.05). However, the amounts of lead, cadmium, arsenic, zinc, copper, chromium, and nickel were meaningfully different to maximum permissible limits (MPL) (P < 0.05). In addition, a significant negative correlation was found between arsenic and selenium in meats. Except for cobalt, the concentrations of other metals were higher than MPL in the evaluated meats. Despite the target hazard quotient (THQ) for cadmium in sheep and beef meats being higher than their MPL (> 1), its target risk of cancer (TR) was acceptable. It can be concluded that monitoring and elimination of heavy metals pollution are essential because of their high accumulation in the meat of main farm animal species in Sanandaj, Kurdistan province.

Does wearing a mask while exercising amid COVID-19 pandemic affect hemodynamic and hematologic function among healthy individuals? Implications of mask modality, sex, and exercise intensity

OBJECTIVES

We investigated how wearing a mask - and its modality (surgical vs. N95) - affect hemodynamic and hematologic function in males and females across two exercise intensities (submaximal (SUB) and maximal (MAX)).

METHODS

144 individuals participated in the present study and were randomly allocated to three mask groups of 48 (N95, SURGICAL, and NO MASK) with two exercise subgroups for each mask group (MAX, n = 24; SUB, n = 24) for both sexes. Participants in each experimental group (N95SUB, N95MAX; SURSUB, SURMAX; SUB, MAX) were assessed for their hemodynamic and hematologic function at baseline and during recovery after exercise.

RESULTS

No significant differences were noted for either hemodynamic or hematologic function at post-exercise as compared to baseline with regard to mask modality (P > 0.05). Heart rate (HR) for maximal intensity were significantly greater at 1 min post-exercise in N95 as compared to SURGICAL (P < 0.05). No differences were noted for hemodynamic and hematologic function with N95 and SURGICAL compared to NOMASK for either intensity (P > 0.05). Females showed significantly greater HR values at 1 min post-exercise in N95 as compared to NO MASK, but no significant differences were noted for hematological function between sexes (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Our findings show that wearing a face mask (N95/surgical) while exercising has no detrimental effects on hemodynamic/hematologic function in both males and females, and suggest that wearing a mask, particularly a surgical mask, while exercising during the ongoing pandemic is safe and poses no risk to individual's health. Future studies examining physiological responses to chronic exercise with masks are warranted.

146 Epilepsy, deprivation and mortality in Wales 2005–2017

Background

Public Health England have recently reported that deaths associated with epilepsy are increasing and are associated with increased deprivation. We investigated comparable Welsh mortality trends and associations between epilepsy mortality and deprivation.

Method

We used routinely-collected health data within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. We recorded deaths associated with epilepsy (DAE), epilepsy recorded on death certificates, and deaths in people with epilepsy (DPWE), people with diagnoses of epilepsy and epilepsy prescriptions before death. We compared death rates in different deprivation deciles adjusting for epilepsy prevalence.

Results

During 2005–2017 (41million patient-years) there were 2116 DAE and 7821 DPWE. DAE and DPWE increased from 4.3/100,000/yr and 17.2/100,000/yr in 2005–2007 to 5.7/100,000/yr and 20.9/100,000/yr in 2015–2017. The age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) in 2006–2008 for DAE and DPWE were 5.3/100,000/yr and 20/100,000/yr respectively, in 2015–2017 they were 5.8/100,000/yr and 20/100,000/yr. DAE were not significantly associated with deprivation when adjusted for epilepsy prevalence.

Conclusion

When adjusting for age, deaths associated wtih epilepsy and deaths in people with epilepsy did not increase significantly in Wales between 2005–2007 and 2015–2017. The association between dep- rivation and deaths associated with epilepsy appears to be explained by higher epilepsy prevalence in areas of higher deprivation.

w.o.pickrell@swansea.ac.uk

Healthcare contacts with self-harm during COVID-19: An e-cohort whole-population-based study using individual-level linked routine electronic health records in Wales, UK, 2016-March 2021

INTRODUCTION

Reduced rates of help seeking by those who self-harmed during the COVID-19 pandemic have been reported.

OBJECTIVES

To understand changes in healthcare service contacts for self-harm during the COVID-19 pandemic across primary, emergency and secondary care.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used routine electronic healthcare data for Wales, United Kingdom, from 2016 to March 14, 2021. Population-based data from primary care, emergency departments and hospital admissions were linked at individual-level. All Welsh residents aged ≥10 years over the study period were included in the study. Primary, emergency and secondary care contacts with self-harm at any time between 2016 and March 14, 2021 were identified. Outcomes were counts, incidence, prevalence and proportion of self-harm contacts relative to all contacts in each and all settings, as well as the proportion of people contacting one or more settings with self-harm. Weekly trends were modelled using generalised estimated equations, with differences between 2020 (to March 2021) and comparison years 2016-2018 (to March 2017-2019) quantified using difference in differences, from which mean rate of odds ratios (μROR) across years was reported.

RESULTS

The study included 3,552,210 individuals over the study period. Self-harm contacts reduced across services in March and December 2020 compared to previous years. Primary care contacts with self-harm reduced disproportionately compared to non-self-harm contacts (μROR = 0.7, p<0.05), while their proportion increased in emergency departments during April 2020 (μROR = 1.3, p<0.05 in 2/3 comparison years) and hospital admissions during April-May 2020 (μROR = 1.2, p<0.05 in 2/3 comparison years). Despite this, those who self-harmed in April 2020 were more likely to be seen in primary care than other settings compared to previous years (μROR = 1.2, p<0.05). A lower proportion of those with self-harm contacts in emergency departments were subsequently admitted to hospital in December 2020 compared to previous years (μROR = 0.5, p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that those who self-harmed during the COVID-19 pandemic may have been less likely to seek help, and those who did so faced more stringent criteria for admission. Communications encouraging those who self-harm to seek help during pandemics may be beneficial. However, this needs to be supported by maintained provision of mental health services.

Comparative effectiveness of pharmacological interventions on mortality and the average length of hospital stay of patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

INTRODUCTION

Up to now, numerous randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have examined various drugs as possible treatments for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), but the results were diverse and occasionally even inconsistent with each other. To this point,we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the comparative effectiveness of pharmacological agents in published RCTs.

AREAS COVERED

A literature search was performed using PubMed, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases. RCTs evaluating mortality and the average length of hospital stay to standard of care (SOC)/placebo/control were included. RCTs mainly were classified into five categories of drugs, including anti-inflammatory, antiviral, antiparasitic, antibody and antibiotics. Meta-analysis was done on 5 drugs classes and sub-group meta-analysis was done on single drugs and moderate or severe stage of disease.

EXPERT OPINION

Mortality and the average length of hospital stay of COVID-19 patients were significantly reduced with anti-inflammatory drugs (odds ratio [OR]: 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69 to 0.85, P<0.00001, and mean difference [MD]: -1.41, CI:-1.75 to -1.07, P<0.00001, respectively) compared to SOC/control/placebo. Furthermore, antiparasitic was associated with reduced length of hospital stay (MD: -0.65, CI: -1.26 to -0.03, P<0.05) in comparison to SOC/placebo/control. However, no effectiveness was found in other pharmacological interventions.

Comparative Study of Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor in Exudative and Transudative Pleural Effusion

Background

Increased vascular permeability is one of the main mechanisms in the production of pleural effusion (PE) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) has a significant role in its pathogenesis. This study aimed to compare pleural levels of VEGF in transudative and exudative PEs besides the other pleural markers.

Materials and Methods

In this prospective cross-sectional study, 80 patients with PE were divided into 4 groups as transudative (N=15), parapneumonic (N=15), tuberculosis (N=25), and malignant (N=25) PE. Biochemical tests measured the pleural protein, LDH, cholesterol, glucose, polymorphonuclear cell (PMN), and lymphocyte. ELISA measured the pleural VEGF level.

Results

Out of 80 patients, 51 were male, and the total mean age was 55.34±18.53. There were significant differences in pleural VEGF between exudative and transudative effusion (P<0.001) and between malignant and benign effusion (P=0.014). The highest mean difference in pleural VEGF levels was seen in the comparison of transudative and malignant groups (Mean difference=-136.56; P<0.002). The VEGF level in 3 groups was not significantly different; transudative vs tuberculous, parapneumonic vs tuberculous, and parapneumonic vs malignant. Furthermore, VEGF higher than 73.09 pg/ml had a 64% sensitivity and 82% specificity for the diagnosis of malignancy. Among pleural markers (VEGF, protein, LDH, and glucose), VEGF had the highest area under curve (AUC=0.734). Moreover, pleural protein, LDH, and glucose levels significantly correlated with pleural VEGF; however, pleural cholesterol, PMN, and lymphocyte were not correlated.

Conclusion

VEGF is assumed as an important factor in the pathogenesis of exudative PE, especially malignant effusion. It can distinguish between lymphocytic exudative PEs.

Novel insight into pancreatic adenocarcinoma pathogenesis using liquid association analysis

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a lethal malignancy associated with a poor prognosis. High-throughput disease-related-gene expression data provide valuable information on gene interaction, which consequently lead to deeper insight about pathogenesis. The co-expression analysis is a common approach that is used to investigate gene interaction. However, such an approach solely is inadequate to reveal the complexity of the gene interaction. The three-way interaction model is known as a novel approach applied to decode the complex relationship between genes.

METHODS

In the current study, the liquid association method was used to capture the statistically significant triplets involved in the PDAC pathogenesis. Subsequently, gene set enrichment and gene regulatory network analyses were performed to trace the biological relevance of the statistically significant triplets.

RESULTS

The results of the current study suggest that "response to estradiol" and "Regulation of T-cell proliferation" are two critical biological processes that may be associated with the PDAC pathogenesis. Additionally, we introduced six switch genes, namely Lamc2, Klk1, Nqo1, Aox1, Tspan1, and Cxcl12, which might be involved in PDAC triggering.

CONCLUSION

In the current study, for the first time, the critical genes and pathways involved in the PDAC pathogenesis were investigated using the three-way interaction approach. As a result, two critical biological processes, as well as six potential biomarkers, were suggested that might be involved in the PDAC triggering. Surprisingly, strong evidence for the biological relevance of our results can be found in the literature.

Investigating the association between COVID-19 vaccination and care home outbreak frequency and duration

OBJECTIVES

At the end of 2020, many countries commenced a vaccination programme against SARS-CoV-2. Public health authorities aim to prevent and interrupt outbreaks of infectious disease in social care settings. We aimed to investigate the association between the introduction of the vaccination programme and the frequency and duration of COVID-19 outbreaks in Northern Ireland (NI).

STUDY DESIGN

We undertook an ecological study using routinely available national data.

METHODS

We used Poisson regression to measure the relationship between the number of RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 outbreaks in care homes, and as a measure of community COVID-19 prevalence, the Office for National Statistics COVID-19 Infection Survey estimated the number of people testing positive for COVID-19 in NI. We estimated the change in this relationship and estimated the expected number of care home outbreaks in the absence of the vaccination programme. A Cox proportional hazards model estimated the hazard ratio of a confirmed COVID-19 care home outbreak closure.

RESULTS

Care home outbreaks reduced by two-thirds compared to expected following the introduction of the vaccination programme, from a projected 1625 COVID-19 outbreaks (95% prediction interval 1553-1694) between 7 December 2020 and 28 October 2021 to an observed 501. We estimated an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.53 of the outbreak closure assuming a 21-day lag for immunity.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings describe the association of the vaccination with a reduction in outbreak frequency and duration across NI care homes. This indicates probable reduced harm and disruption from COVID-19 in social care settings following vaccination. Future research using individual level data from care home residents will be needed to investigate the effectiveness of the vaccines and the duration of their effects.