Application of machine learning algorithms to predict 30-day hospital readmission following cement augmentation for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures

Objective

Osteoporosis is a common skeletal disease that greatly increases the risk of pathologic fractures and accounts for approximately 700,000 vertebral compression fractures (VCFs) annually in the United States. Cement augmentation procedures such as balloon kyphoplasty (KP) and percutaneous vertebroplasty (VP) have demonstrated efficacy in the treatment of VCFs, however, some studies report rates of readmission as high as 10.8% following such procedures. The purpose of this study was to employ Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to predict 30-day hospital readmission following cement augmentation procedures for the treatment of VCFs using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database.

Methods

ACS-NSQIP was queried to identify patients undergoing either KP or VP from 2011 to 2014. Three ML algorithms were constructed and tasked with predicting post-operative readmissions within this cohort of patients. Results: Postoperative pneumonia, ASA Class 2 designation, age, partially-dependent functional status, and a history of smoking were independently identified as highly predictive of readmission by all ML algorithms. Among these variables postoperative pneumonia (p < 0.01), ASA Class 2 designation (p < 0.01), age (p = 0.002), and partially-dependent functional status (p < 0.01) were found to be statistically significant. Predictions were generated with an average AUC value of 0.757 and an average accuracy of 80.5%.

Conclusions

Postoperative pneumonia, ASA Class 2 designation, partially-dependent functional status, and age are perioperative variables associated with 30-day readmission following cement augmentation procedures. The use of ML allows for quantification of the relative contributions of these variables toward producing readmission.

Association between long-term ozone exposure and readmission for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation

The relationship between long-term ozone (O₃) exposure and readmission for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) remains elusive. In this study, we collected individual-level information on AECOPD hospitalizations from a standardized electronic database in Guangzhou from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2015. We calculated the annual mean O₃ concentration prior to the dates of the index hospitalization for AECOPD using patients' residential addresses. Employing Cox proportional hazards models, we assessed the association between long-term O₃ concentration and the risk of AECOPD readmission across several time frames (30 days, 90 days, 180 days, and 365 days). We estimated the disease and economic burden of AECOPD readmissions attributable to O₃ using a counterfactual approach. Of the 4574 patients included in the study, 1398 (30.6%) were readmitted during the study period, with 262 (5.7%) readmitted within 30 days. The annual mean O₃ concentration was 90.3 μg/m3 (standard deviation [SD] = 8.2 μg/m3). A 10-μg/m3 increase in long-term O₃ concentration resulted in a hazard ratio (HR) for AECOPD readmission within 30 days of 1.28 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09 to 1.49), with similar results for readmission within 90, 180, and 365 days. Older patients (aged 75 years or above) and males were more susceptible (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.10-1.61 and HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09-1.53, respectively). The population attributable fraction for 30-day readmission due to O₃ exposure was 29.0% (95% CI, 28.4%-30.0%), and the attributable mean cost per participant was 362.3 USD (354.5-370.2). Long-term exposure to elevated O₃ concentrations is associated with an increased risk of AECOPD readmission, contributing to a significant disease and economic burden.

Preventing Readmissions for Hepatic Encephalopathy

Hepatic encephalopathy is a strong predictor of hospital readmissions in patients with advanced liver disease. The frequent recurrence of hepatic encephalopathy and subsequent readmissions may lead to nonreversible organ dysfunction, resulting in a significant decrease of patient quality of life and increase of health care burden costs for patients and facilities. Many of these readmissions for hepatic encephalopathy are preventable. Multidisciplinary patient-centered care throughout the continuum is essential in the management of hepatic encephalopathy. Understanding the patient's daily functions and limitations in the outpatient setting is key to correctly identifying the cause of hospital admission.

To Resect or Not to Resect: A Nationwide Comparison of Management of Sigmoid Volvulus

INTRODUCTION

Despite the high recurrence rate of sigmoid volvulus, there is reluctance to perform a prophylactic colectomy in frail patients due to the operation's perceived risks. We used a nationally representative database to compare risk of recurrence in patients undergoing a prophylactic colectomy versus endoscopic detorsion alone.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Readmission Database (2016-2019) including patients aged ≥18 y who had an emergent admission for sigmoid volvulus and underwent endoscopic detorsion on the day of admission. We performed a 1:1 propensity matching adjusting for patient demographics, frailty score comprising of 109 components, and hospital characteristics. Our primary outcome was readmission due to colonic volvulus and secondary outcomes included mortality, complications, length of stay (LOS), and costs during index admission and readmission. We performed a subgroup analysis in patients with Hospital Frailty Score >5.

RESULTS

We included 2113 patients of which 1046 patients (49.5%) underwent a colectomy during the initial admission. In the matched population of 830 pairs, readmission due to colonic volvulus was significantly lower in patients undergoing endoscopy followed by colectomy than endoscopy alone. Patients undergoing a colectomy had higher gastric and renal complications, longer LOS, and higher costs but no difference in mortality. In the subgroup analysis of frail patients, readmission was significantly lower in patients with prophylactic colectomy with no significant difference in mortality in 439 matched patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Prophylactic colectomy was associated with lower readmission, a higher rate of complications, increased LOS, and higher costs compared to sigmoid decompression alone.

Socio-demographic and comorbid risk factors for poor prognosis in patients hospitalized with community-acquired bacterial pneumonia in southeastern US

BACKGROUND

How socio-demographic characteristics and comorbidities affect bacterial community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) prognosis during/after hospitalization is important in disease management.

OBJECTIVES

To identify predictors of medical intensive care unit (MICU) admission, length of hospital stay (LOS), in-hospital mortality, and bacterial CAP readmission in patients hospitalized with bacterial CAP.

METHODS

ICD-9/10 codes were used to query electronic medical records to identify a cohort of patients hospitalized for bacterial CAP at a tertiary hospital in Southeastern US between 01/01/2013-12/31/2019. Adjusted accelerated failure time and modified Poisson regression models were used to examine predictors of MICU admission, LOS, in-hospital mortality, and 1-year readmission.

RESULTS

There were 1956 adults hospitalized with bacterial CAP. Median (interquartile range) LOS was 11 days (6-23), and there were 26 % (513) MICU admission, 14 % (266) in-hospital mortality, and 6 % (117) 1-year readmission with recurrent CAP. MICU admission was associated with heart failure (RR 1.38; 95 % CI 1.17-1.62) and obesity (RR 1.26; 95 % CI 1.04-1.52). Longer LOS was associated with heart failure (adjusted time ratio[TR] 1.27;95 %CI 1.12-1.43), stroke (TR 1.90;95 %CI 1.54,2.35), type 2 diabetes (TR 1.20;95 %CI 1.07-1.36), obesity (TR 1.50;95 %CI 1.31-1.72), Black race (TR 1.17;95 %CI 1.04-1.31), and males (TR 1.24;95 %CI 1.10-1.39). In-hospital mortality was associated with stroke (RR 1.45;95 %CI 1.03-2.04) and age ≥65 years (RR 1.34;95 %CI 1.06-1.68). 1-year readmission was associated with COPD (RR 1.55;95 %CI 1.05-2.27) and underweight BMI (RR 1.74;95 %CI 1.04-2.90).

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidities and socio-demographic characteristics have varying impacts on bacterial CAP in-hospital prognosis and readmission. More studies are warranted to confirm these findings to develop comprehensive care plans and inform public health interventions.

Clinical outcomes of clostridioides difficile infection in the very elderly

BACKGROUND

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) causes considerable morbidity, mortality, and economic cost. Advanced age, prolonged stay in healthcare facility, and exposure to antibiotics are leading risk factors for CDI. Data on CDI clinical outcomes in the very elderly patients are limited.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalized between 2016 and 2018 with CDI. We evaluated demographic clinical and laboratory parameters. Major clinical outcomes were evaluated including duration of hospital stay, admission to intensive care unit (ICU), in-hospital mortality, 30 days post-discharge mortality, and readmission/mortality composite outcome. We compared patients aged up to 80 years (elderly) to those of 80 years old or more (very elderly).

RESULTS

Of 196 patients included in the study, 112 (57%) were very elderly with a mean age of 86 versus 67 years in the elderly group. The duration of hospital stays, and intensive care unit admission frequency were significantly reduced in the very elderly (13 vs. 22 days p = 0.003 and 1.8% vs. 10.7% p = 0.01, respectively). No significant difference was found in the frequencies of in-hospital and in 30 days post-discharge mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In our cohort, the duration of hospital stay seemed to be shorter in the very elderly with no increase of in-hospital and post-discharge mortality. Although admitted less frequently to ICU, the in-hospital survival of the very elderly was not adversely affected compared to the elderly, suggesting that very advanced age per se should not be a major factor to consider in determining the prognosis of a patient with CDI.

Association of lactate/albumin ratio with 3-month readmission risk in heart failure patients: a retrospective study

AIMS

The predictive value of the lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) in mortality is established in various conditions, yet its relevance to 3-month readmission risk in Chinese adults with heart failure (HF) remains unclear.

METHOD AND RESULTS

Analysing data from 957 patients with HF at Zigong Fourth People's Hospital, Sichuan, China (December 2016 to June 2019), we assessed baseline characteristics, vital signs, comorbidities, and prescriptions. LAR demonstrated a linear correlation with 3-month readmission risk (HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.19-2.16). Tertile 3 (≥-0.48) exhibited higher risk than tertile 1 (<-0.83) and tertile 2 [-0.83, -0.48), with HRs and 95% CI of 1.49 (1.06-2.10), 1.43 (1.01-2.02), 1.48 (1.03-2.12), respectively. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses affirmed consistent influence of LAR on 3-month readmission risk for HF.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher LAR significantly correlates with increased 3-month readmission risk in Chinese adult patients with HF, suggesting LAR is a valuable predictor for early readmission.

Predictors of follow-up care for critically-ill patients with seizures and epileptiform abnormalities on EEG monitoring

OBJECTIVE

Post-hospitalization follow-up visits are crucial for preventing long-term complications. Patients with electrographic epileptiform abnormalities (EA) including seizures and periodic and rhythmic patterns are especially in need of follow-up for long-term seizure risk stratification and medication management. We sought to identify predictors of follow-up.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of all patients (age ≥ 18 years) admitted to intensive care units that underwent continuous EEG (cEEG) monitoring at a single center between 01/2016-12/2019. Patients with EAs were included. Clinical and demographic variables were recorded. Follow-up status was determined using visit records 6-month post discharge, and visits were stratified as outpatient follow-up, neurology follow-up, and inpatient readmission. Lasso feature selection analysis was performed.

RESULTS

723 patients (53 % female, mean (std) age of 62.3 (16.4) years) were identified from cEEG records with 575 (79 %) surviving to discharge. Of those discharged, 450 (78 %) had outpatient follow-up, 316 (55 %) had a neurology follow-up, and 288 (50 %) were readmitted during the 6-month period. Discharge on antiseizure medications (ASM), younger age, admission to neurosurgery, and proximity to the hospital were predictors of neurology follow-up visits. Discharge on ASMs, along with longer length of stay, younger age, emergency admissions, and higher illness severity were predictors of readmission.

SIGNIFICANCE

ASMs at discharge, demographics (age, address), hospital care teams, and illness severity determine probability of follow-up. Parameters identified in this study may help healthcare systems develop interventions to improve care transitions for critically-ill patients with seizures and other EA.

Incidence and Predictors of Readmissions to Non-Index Hospitals After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in the Contemporary Era in New South Wales, Australia

BACKGROUND

In Australia, transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is only performed in a limited number of specialised metropolitan centres, many of which are private hospitals, making it likely that TAVI patients who require readmission will present to another (non-index) hospital. It is important to understand the impact of non-index readmission on patient outcomes and healthcare resource utilisation.

METHOD

We analysed linked hospital and death records for residents of New South Wales, Australia, aged ≥18 years, who had an emergency readmission within 90 days following a TAVI procedure in 2013-2022. Mixed-effect, multi-level logistic regression models were used to evaluate predictors of non-index readmission, and associations between non-index readmission and readmission length of stay, 90-day mortality, and 1-year mortality.

RESULTS

Of 4,198 patients (mean age, 82.7 years; 40.6% female) discharged alive following TAVI, 933 (22.2%) were readmitted within 90 days of discharge. Over three-quarters (76.0%) of those readmitted returned to a non-index hospital, with no significant difference in readmission principal diagnosis between index hospital and non-index hospital readmissions. Among readmitted patients, independent predictors of non-index readmission included: residence in regional or remote areas, lower socio-economic status, having a pre-procedure transfer, and a private index hospital. Readmission length of stay (median, 4 days), 90-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56-1.96) and 1-year mortality (adjusted OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.64-1.58) were similar between index and non-index readmissions.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-index readmission following TAVI was highly prevalent but not associated with increased mortality or healthcare utilisation. Our results are reassuring for TAVI patients in regional and remote areas with limited access to return to index TAVI hospitals.

Temporal trends in outcomes following inpatient transcatheter aortic valve replacement

INTRODUCTION

Despite the growing adoption of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), there remains a lack of clinical data evaluating procedural safety and discharge practices.

AIMS

This study aims to investigate if there have been improvements in postoperative clinical outcomes following TAVR.

METHODS

In this large-scale, retrospective cohort study, patients who underwent TAVR as an inpatient were identified from 2016 to 2020 using the National Readmissions Database. The primary outcome was temporal trends in the rates of discharge to home. Secondary endpoints assessed annual discharge survival rates, 30-day readmissions, length of stay, and periprocedural cardiac arrest rates.

RESULTS

Over the 5-year study period, a total of 31,621 inpatient TAVR procedures were identified. Of these, 79.2 % of patients were successfully discharged home with home disposition increasing year-over-year from 74.5 % in 2016 to 85.9 % in 2020 (Odds ratio: 2.01; 95 % CI 1.62-2.48, p < 0.001). The mean annual discharge survival rate was 97.7 % which did not change significantly over the 5-year study period (p = 0.551). From 2016 to 2020, 30-day readmissions decreased from 14.0 % to 10.3 %, respectively (p = 0.028). Perioperative cardiac arrest occurred in 1.8 % (n = 579) of cases with rates remaining unchanged during the study (p = 0.674).

CONCLUSION

Most TAVR patients are successfully discharged alive and home, with decreasing 30-day readmissions observed over recent years. This data suggests potential improvements in preoperative planning, procedural safety, and postoperative care. Despite perioperative cardiac arrest being associated with high mortality, it remains a relatively rare complication of TAVR.

In-hospital complications and readmission patterns in 13,937 patients with developmental dysplasia of the hip undergoing total hip arthroplasty: Evidence from the Chinese national database

PURPOSE

Clarifying the prognosis and readmission patterns of patients with developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) following total hip arthroplasty (THA) would provide important references for clinical management for this population. Using the Chinese national inpatient database (i.e., Hospital Quality Monitoring System [HQMS]), we aimed to compare in-hospital complications and readmission patterns following THA in patients with DDH and primary osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

Patients undergoing THA for DDH and OA between 2013 and 2019 were identified using the HQMS. Demographics and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups. After propensity score matching, in-hospital complications and readmission patterns were compared using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

According to the analysis of 13,937 propensity-score matched pairs, there were no significant differences in the incidence of in-hospital death (0.01 % vs 0.04 %, P = 0.142), transfusion (8.09 % vs 7.89 %, P = 0.536), wound infection (0.31 % vs 0.25 %, P = 0.364), deep venous thrombosis (0.45 % vs 0.43 %, P = 0.786), pulmonary embolism (0.03 % vs 0.05 %, P = 0.372) or all-cause readmission (2.87 % vs 3.12 %, P = 0.219) between two groups. However, DDH patients had higher surgical readmission rates than OA patients (1.43 % vs 1.14 %, P = 0.033). When analyzing causes of surgical readmission, DDH patients had increased risk of dislocation (0.37 % vs 0.21 %, P = 0.011) and aseptic loosening (0.17 % vs 0.07 %, P = 0.024) than OA patients.

CONCLUSION

DDH patients had an increased risk of surgical readmission following THA, mainly driven by dislocation and aseptic loosening, which should be recognized and appropriately prevented.

Readmission after enhanced recovery video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery wedge resection

BACKGROUND

Despite the implementation of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) programs, surgical stress continues to influence postoperative rehabilitation, including the period after discharge. However, there is a lack of data available beyond the point of discharge following video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) wedge resection. Therefore, the objective of this study is to investigate incidence and risk factors for readmissions after ERAS VATS wedge resection.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on data from prospectively collected consecutive VATS wedge resections from June 2019 to June 2022. We evaluated main reasons related to wedge resection leading to 90-day readmission, early (occurring within 0-30 days postoperatively) and late readmission (occurring within 31-90 days postoperatively). To identify predictors for these readmissions, we utilized a logistic regression model for both univariable and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 850 patients (non-small cell lung cancer 21.5%, metastasis 44.7%, benign 31.9%, and other lung cancers 1.9%) were included for the final analysis. Median length of stay was 1 day (IQR 1-2). During the postoperative 90 days, 86 patients (10.1%) were readmitted mostly due to pneumonia and pneumothorax. Among the cohort, 66 patients (7.8%) had early readmissions primarily due to pneumothorax and pneumonia, while 27 patients (3.2%) experienced late readmissions mainly due to pneumonia, with 7 (0.8%) patients experiencing both early and late readmissions. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that male gender, pulmonary complications, and neurological complications were associated with readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

Readmission after VATS wedge resection remains significant despite an optimal ERAS program, with pneumonia and pneumothorax as the dominant reasons. Early readmission was primarily associated with pneumothorax and pneumonia, while late readmission correlated mainly with pneumonia.

Low complication rate following reverse total shoulder arthroplasty at 90-days follow-up - A systematic review

IMPORTANCE

As reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA) has become an increasingly common procedure, rates of post-operative complications leading to potential hospital readmission are of greater importance. No previous systematic reviews have focused exclusively on post-operative complications and mortality rates at 90 days post RTSA.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to review complication, readmission, and mortality rates within 90 days post RTSA.

EVIDENCE REVIEW

Two independent reviewers performed a literature search using the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines using PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Only studies reporting on outcomes of RTSA at 90-days follow-up specifically were considered for inclusion.

FINDINGS

Our search included 79,037 shoulders (62.1 ​% female) from a total of 15 studies with an average age of 72.4 ​± ​5.8 years. The overall 90-day re-admission rates were reported in nine studies as 6.1 ​% (4205/69,127) following RTSA. Additionally, a total of five studies reported the overall 90-day mortality rate as 1.1 ​% (19/1733). The overall pooled rate of medical complications was 3.9 ​% (2998/77,826) as reported in 13 studies, at 90-days post-RTSA, with the occurrence of anaemia being the most commonly reported outcomes as 2.9 ​% (1013/34,385) in six studies. The overall rate of surgical complications was 1.1 ​% reported in 13 studies (1327/77,826), with the pooled rate of surgical revisions of 1.5 ​% (607/40,563) at 90-days follow-up. A total of 8, 5, and 3 studies reported rates of dislocation, requirement for closed reduction and glenoid loosening as 0.9 ​% (344/37,995), 0.6 ​% (7/1180), and 0.3 ​% (30/9115) respectively at 90-days following RTSA.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study established that the overall rates of mortality and medical and surgical complications are low in the short-term following RTSA, with only 6 ​% of patients requiring re-admission in the first 90 days.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV - Systematic Review of all levels of evidence.

A 15-year review of characteristics and outcomes of patients leaving against medical advice

PURPOSE

Discharging against medical advice can have significant, detrimental effects on burn patient outcomes as well as higher hospital readmission rates and healthcare expenditures. The goal of this study is to identify characteristics of patients who left against medical advice and suggest solutions to mitigate these factors. Data were collected at our American Burn Association verified Burn Unit over a 15-year period.

RESULTS

Between 2007 and 2022, 37 patients were identified as having left against medical advice from the burn unit. The average patient age was 37 years old with 64.9% being male, and 70.2% were identified as having a substance abuse history. The majority (51.4%) had Medicaid or State health insurance, 29.7% had no insurance, and 18.9% had private insurance. The mechanism of injury was most commonly frostbite (43.2%). The majority sustained < 1% total body surface area injuries. Most (83.7%) had social work and/or case management involved during their admission, and all (100%) had their involvement if the length of admission was greater than one day. Over half (59.5%) returned to the ED within 2 weeks with complications.

CONCLUSIONS

This study found that patients discharging against medical advice from the burn unit suffered from smaller injuries, often due to cold related injuries. These patients had comorbid substance abuse or psychiatric histories, and the majority had Medicaid or state health insurance. Recruiting interdisciplinary care members, including social work, psychiatry, and addiction medicine, early may help these patients by encouraging completion of their hospital care and setting up crucial follow-up care.

Impact of mental disorders on unplanned readmissions for congestive heart failure patients: a population-level study

AIMS

Reducing preventable hospitalization for congestive heart failure (CHF) patients is a challenge for health systems worldwide. CHF patients who also have a recent or ongoing mental disorder may have worse health outcomes compared with CHF patients with no mental disorders. This study examined the impact of mental disorders on 28 day unplanned readmissions of CHF patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective cohort study used population-level linked public and private hospitalization and death data of adults aged ≥18 years who had a CHF admission in New South Wales, Australia, between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2020. Individuals' mental disorder diagnosis and Charlson comorbidity and hospital frailty index scores were derived from admission records. Competing risk and cause-specific risk analyses were conducted to examine the impact of having a mental disorder diagnosis on all-cause hospital readmission. Of the 65 861 adults with index CHF admission discharged alive (mean age: 78.6 ± 12.1; 48% female), 19.2% (12 675) had at least one unplanned readmission within 28 days following discharge. Adults with CHF with a mental disorder diagnosis within 12 months had a higher risk of 28 day all-cause unplanned readmission [hazard ratio (HR): 1.21, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15-1.27, P-value < 0.001], particularly those with anxiety disorder (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.35-1.65, P-value < 0.001). CHF patients aged ≥85 years (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11-1.28), having ≥3 other comorbidities (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.25-1.46), and having an intermediate (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.28-1.40) or high (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.27-1.47) frailty score on admission had a higher risk of unplanned readmission. CHF patients with a mental disorder who have ≥3 other comorbidities and an intermediate frailty score had the highest probability of unplanned readmission (29.84%, 95% CI: 24.68-35.73%) after considering other patient-level factors and competing events.

CONCLUSIONS

CHF patients who had a mental disorder diagnosis in the past 12 months are more likely to be readmitted compared with those without a mental disorder diagnosis. CHF patients with frailty and a mental disorder have the highest probability of readmission. Addressing mental health care services in CHF patient's discharge plan could potentially assist reduce unplanned readmissions.

A predictive algorithm for perioperative complications and readmission after ankle arthrodesis

PURPOSE

Ankle arthrodesis is a mainstay of surgical management for ankle arthritis. Accurately risk-stratifying patients who undergo ankle arthrodesis would be of great utility. There is a paucity of accurate prediction models that can be used to pre-operatively risk-stratify patients for ankle arthrodesis. We aim to develop a predictive model for major perioperative complication or readmission after ankle arthrodesis.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who underwent ankle arthrodesis at any non-federal California hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome is readmission within 30 days or major perioperative complication. We build logistic regression and ML models spanning different classes of modeling approaches, assessing discrimination and calibration. We also rank the contribution of the included variables to model performance for prediction of adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 1084 patients met inclusion criteria for this study. There were 131 patients with major complication or readmission (12.1%). The XGBoost algorithm demonstrates the highest discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.707 and is well-calibrated. The features most important for prediction of adverse outcomes for the XGBoost model include: diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, teaching hospital status, morbid obesity, history of musculoskeletal infection, history of hip fracture, renal failure, implant complication, history of major fracture.

CONCLUSION

We report a well-calibrated algorithm for prediction of major perioperative complications and 30-day readmission after ankle arthrodesis. This tool may help accurately risk-stratify patients and decrease likelihood of major complications.

Comparing outcomes in revision total hip arthroplasty in inpatient versus outpatient setting: a matched cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

As the population ages, revision total hip arthroplasty (rTHA) is becoming more common. However, there is a paucity of literature regarding perioperative outcomes following inpatient versus outpatient rTHA. Our study aims to compare perioperative complications and readmission rates associated with rTHA in a large national cohort.

METHODS

A retrospective, propensity-matched cohort study was conducted using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database from 2006 to 2020. Patients undergoing rTHA in the inpatient setting were propensity matched to patients receiving rTHA in the outpatient setting. Following 1:1 matching, multivariate analyses were performed to compare perioperative complications and readmission.

RESULTS

A total of 207,102 patients were identified, including 181,164 outpatient primary THA, 25,466 inpatient rTHA, and 492 outpatient rTHA patients. Following propensity matching, outpatient primary THA versus outpatient rTHA had 210 patients and inpatient rTHA versus outpatient rTHA had 214 patients. Patients in the outpatient rTHA had a significantly higher operative time (132.4 ± 73.2 versus 90.9 ± 32.7, p < 0.001) and length of stay (1.6 ± 1.6 vs. 0.9 ± 1.0, p < 0.001) compared to outpatient primary THA. When comparing inpatient versus outpatient rTHA, the outpatient cohort had lower operative time (131.1 ± 70.9 vs. 145.4 ± 71.5, p = 0.038), total length of stay (1.7 ± 1.8 vs. 3.6 ± 4.1, p < 0.001), and bleeding complications (6% vs. 18%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

There were no difference in the odds of complications between outpatient primary and revision THA. Additionally, rTHA performed in an outpatient setting did not show any increase in immediate compared to inpatient settings. These findings suggest that rTHA can be safely performed on certain patients.

Prescription opioid use increases resource utilization following ventral hernia repair

BACKGROUND

Previous studies showed that preoperative opioid use is associated with increased postoperative opioid use and surgical site infection (SSI) in patients undergoing ventral hernia repair (VHR). Orthopedic surgery literature cites increased resource utilization with opioid use. This study aimed to determine the effect of preoperative opioid use on resource utilization after open VHR.

METHODS

A retrospective institutional review board-approved study of VHRs from a single tertiary care practice between 2013 and 2020 was performed. Medical records, the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, and Kentucky All Schedule Prescription Electronic Reporting data were reviewed for patient demographics, comorbidities, dispensed opiate prescriptions, hernia characteristics, and outcomes. Univariate logistic regression analyses assessed the effect of each patient's demographic and clinical characteristics. Multivariate logistic regression models analyzed significant factors from the univariate analyses. The primary outcome was resource utilization measured as readmission, emergency department visit, or >2 postoperative clinic visits within 45 days after VHR.

RESULTS

Overall, 381 patients who underwent VHR were identified; of which 101 patients had preoperative dispensed opioids. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that patient gender at birth, any new-onset SSI, and any preoperative opioid use were associated with increased postoperative resource utilization (odds ratio, 1.76; P = .026).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative opioid use was determined as a risk factor that increased resource utilization after open VHR. An understanding of the drivers of the increased use of resources is essential in developing strategies to improve healthcare value. Future research will focus on strategies to reduce the utilization of resources among patients who use opioids.

Readmission after thoracic endovascular aortic repair following blunt thoracic aortic injury

PURPOSE

Thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) is increasingly utilized to treat blunt thoracic aortic injury (BTAI), but post-discharge outcomes remain underexplored. We examined 90-day readmission in patients treated with TEVAR following BTAI.

METHODS

Adult patients discharged alive after TEVAR for BTAI in the Nationwide Readmissions Database between 2016 and 2019 were included. Outcomes examined were 90-day non-elective readmission, primary readmission reasons, and 90-day mortality. As a complementary analysis, 90-day outcomes following TEVAR for BTAI were compared with those following TEVAR for acute type B aortic dissection (TBAD).

RESULTS

We identified 2085 patients who underwent TEVAR for BTAI. The median age was 43 years (IQR, 29-58), 65% of all patients had an ISS ≥ 25, and 13% were readmitted within 90 days. The main primary causes for readmission were sepsis (8.8%), wound complications (6.7%), and neurological complications (6.5%). Two patients developed graft thrombosis as primary readmission reasons. Compared with acute TBAD patients, BTAI patients had a significantly lower rate of readmission within 90 days (BTAI vs. TBAD; 13% vs. 29%; p < .001).

CONCLUSION

We found a significant proportion of readmission in patients treated with TEVAR for BTAI. However, the 90-day readmission rate after TEVAR for BTAI was significantly lower compared with acute TBAD, and the common cause for readmission was not related to residual aortic disease or vascular devices. This represents an important distinction from other patient populations treated with TEVAR for acute vascular conditions. Elucidating differences between trauma-related TEVAR readmissions and non-traumatic indications better informs both the clinician and patients of expected post-discharge course. Level of evidence/study type: IV, Therapeutic/care management.

Trends and predictors of unplanned hospitalization among oral and oropharyngeal cancer patients; an 8-year population-based study

PURPOSE

The incidence of oral cancers, particularly HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer, is steadily increasing worldwide, presenting a significant healthcare challenge. This study investigates trends and predictors of unplanned hospitalizations for oral cavity cancer (OCC) and oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients in the province of Alberta, Canada.

METHODS

This retrospective, population-based, cohort study used administrative data collected from all hospitals in the province. Using the Alberta Cancer Registry (ACR), a cohort of adult patients diagnosed with a single primary OCC or OPC between January 2010 and December 2017 was identified. Linking this cohort with the Discharge Abstract Database (DAD), trends in hospitalizations, primary diagnoses, and predictors of unplanned hospitalization (UH) and 30-day unplanned readmission were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 1,721 patients included, 1,244 experienced 2,228 hospitalizations, with 48 % being categorized as UH. The UHs were significantly associated with a higher mortality rate, 18.5 % as compared to 4.6 % for planned, and influenced by sex, age groups, comorbidities, cancer types, stages, and treatment modalities. The rate of UH per patient decreased from 0.69 to 0.54 visits during the study period (P = 0.02). Common diagnoses for UH were palliative care and post-surgical convalescence, while surgery-related complications such as infection and hemorrhage were frequent in 30-day unplanned readmissions. Predictors of UH included cancer stage, material deprivation, and treatment, while cancer type and comorbidity predicted readmissions.

CONCLUSION

The rate of UHs showed a noteworthy decline in this study, which could be a result of enhanced care coordination. Furthermore, identified primary diagnosis and predictors associated with UHs and readmissions, provide valuable insights for enhancing the quality of care for cancer patients.

Improvement of scoring system used before discharge to predict 30-day all-cause unplanned readmission in geriatric population: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Data taken from tertiary referral hospitals in Indonesia suggested readmission rate in older population ranging between 18.1 and 36.3%. Thus, it is crucial to identify high risk patients who were readmitted. Our previous study found several important predictors, despite unsatisfactory discrimination value.

METHODS

We aimed to investigate whether comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) -based modification to the published seven-point scoring system may increase the discrimination value. We conducted a prospective cohort study in July-September 2022 and recruited patients aged 60 years and older admitted to the non-surgical ward and intensive coronary care unit. The ROC curve was made based on the four variables included in the prior study. We conducted bivariate and multivariate analyses, and derived a new scoring system with its discrimination value.

RESULTS

Of 235 subjects, the incidence of readmission was 32.3% (95% CI 26-38%). We established a new scoring system consisting of 4 components. The scoring system had maximum score of 21 and incorporated malignancy (6 points), delirium (4 points), length of stay ≥ 10 days (4 points), and being at risk of malnutrition or malnourished (7 points), with a good calibration test. The C-statistic value was 0.835 (95% CI 0.781-0.880). The optimal cut-off point was ≥ 8 with a sensitivity of 90.8% and a specificity of 54.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Malignancy, delirium, length of stay ≥ 10 days, and being at risk of malnutrition or malnourished are predictors for 30-day all-cause unplanned readmission. The sensitive scoring system is a strong model to identify whether an individual is at higher risk for readmission. The new CGA-based scoring system had higher discrimination value than that of the previous seven-point scoring system.

[COVID-19 readmissions during the first three epidemic periods in Orihuela, Spain: incidence, risk factors and letality]

OBJECTIVE

Readmission for COVID-19 is associated with high mortality, saturation of health services, and high costs. This study aimed to assess the incidence and risk factors of readmissions in COVID-19 patients in a regional hospital of Spain from February 2020 to March 2021.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study describing the characteristics of adult patients readmitted within thirty days of discharge after being infected with SARS-CoV-2 was carried out. Readmission associated risk factors were analysed using a binary logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Of the 967 patients who survived their first COVID-19 admission, 70 (7.2%) were readmitted within thirty days. Of these, 34.3% presented pneumonia progression, 15.7% functional deterioration, and 12.9% other infections. The mortality rate during readmission was 28.6%. There were no statistically significant differences in the cumulative incidence of readmissions between the epidemic periods (p=0.241). Factors independently associated with readmission were: diabetes mellitus (aOR 1.96, 95%CI 1.07-3.57, p=0.030); acute kidney failure (aOR 2.69, 95%CI 1.43-5.07, p=0.002); not being a candidate for intensive care (aOR 7.68, 95% CI 4.28-13.80, p<0.001); and not being prescribed corticosteroids at discharge (aOR 2.15, 95% CI 1.04-4.44; p=0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial proportion of patients admitted due to COVID-19 are readmitted, and they carry a high letality. Diabetes mellitus, acute kidney failure, not being a candidate for ICU admission, and not being prescribed corticosteroids on discharge are independently associated with an increased risk of readmission.

Repair of umbilical hernias concomitant to other procedures is safe: a propensity score-matched database study

BACKGROUND

Repair of an umbilical hernia is most often considered the less important condition when concomitant with other abdominal surgery. Despite this, the evidence for a concomitant umbilical hernia repair is sparse. The aim of this nationwide cohort study is to compare the short- and long-term outcomes of primary umbilical hernia repair and umbilical hernia repair concomitant with other abdominal surgery.

METHOD

Data from the Danish Hernia Database and the National Patients Registry from January 2007 to December 2018 was merged, resulting in identification of patients receiving umbilical hernia concomitant to another abdominal surgery (laparoscopic inguinal hernia repair, laparoscopic cholecystectomy, and laparoscopic appendectomy). This group was propensity score matched with patients undergoing umbilical hernia repair as a primary procedure. Outcome data included 90-day readmission, 90-day reoperation, and operation for recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 3365 primary umbilical hernia repairs and 2418 umbilical hernia repairs concomitant to other abdominal surgery were included. Readmission (10.5%, 255/2418) and reoperation (3.8%, 93/2418) rates within 90 days were decreased for umbilical hernia repairs concomitant to other abdominal surgery, compared with primary umbilical hernia repairs (22.7%, 765/3365) and (10.5%, 255/3365), P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively. The rate of operation for recurrence was significantly increased for primary repairs (4.2%, 141/3365), compared with repairs concomitant to other abdominal surgery (3.2%, 77/2418), P = 0.014.

CONCLUSION

Outcome in umbilical hernia repair performed concomitant to laparoscopic inguinal hernia repair, elective or emergency laparoscopic cholecystectomy, or laparoscopic appendectomy is comparable to umbilical hernia repair without concomitant surgery.

[Hospital admissions and outcomes for systolic and diastolic heart failure in Spain between 2016 and 2019: A population-based study]

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

In Spain there is a lack of population data that specifically compare hospitalization for systolic and diastolic heart failure (HF). We assessed clinical characteristics, in-hospital mortality and 30-day cardiovascular readmission rates differentiating by HF type.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study of patients discharged with the principal diagnosis of HF from The National Health System' acute hospital during 2016-2019, distinguishing between systolic and diastolic HF. The source of the data was the Minimum Basic Data Set. The risk-standardized in-hospital mortality ratio and risk-standardized 30-day cardiovascular readmission ratio were calculated using multilevel risk adjustment models.

RESULTS

The 190,200 episodes of HF were selected. Of these, 163,727 (86.1%) were classified as diastolic HF and were characterized by older age, higher proportion of women, diabetes mellitus, dementia and renal failure than those with systolic HF. In the multilevel risk adjustment models, diastolic HF was a protective factor for both in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.75-0.83; P<.001) and 30-day cardiovascular readmission versus systolic HF (OR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88-0.97; P=.002).

CONCLUSIONS

In Spain, between 2016 and 2019, hospitalization episodes for HF were mostly due to diastolic HF. According to the multilevel risk adjustment models, diastolic HF compared to systolic HF was a protective factor for both in-hospital mortality and 30-day cardiovascular readmission.

Modeling the Therapeutic Process of Patients with Cocaine Use Disorders: A Guide for Predicting Readmission

INTRODUCTION

Patients with cocaine use disorders have very high readmission rates. Our aim was to model the relationships between attributes of patients with cocaine use disorder at the beginning of treatment, therapeutic process indicators of time in treatment or proportion of appointments attended, and treatment outcomes, including outcomes at discharge and non-readmissions posttreatment as indicators of therapeutic success.

METHOD

A retrospective observational design was used with 10,298 cocaine use disorder patients. Electronic health records were used for statistical analysis of the data. Randomized subsample 1 (n = 5,150) was used for exploratory analysis and subsample 2 (n = 5,148) for modeling relationships between the variables.

RESULTS

Patients attributes at intake (e.g., legal services as the source of referral) were of limited significance in explaining time in treatment, proportion of appointments attended, and treatment outcomes. Time in treatment and proportion of appointments attended emerged as significant factors in explaining outcomes at discharge. However, readmissions were primarily explained by time in treatment and outcomes at discharge, although referrals to addiction centers by health services also appeared to be relevant for explaining readmission.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

Our study has shown that maintaining a sufficient appointment attendance rate and remaining in treatment for a longer duration are critical therapeutic process indicators for explaining outcomes at the point of discharge and therapeutic success, as indicated by a reduced likelihood of readmissions. Patients who remained in treatment for an extended period were found to have a reduced risk of future readmissions. In addition, our study highlights the importance of maintaining a satisfactory appointment attendance rate to attain successful short- and medium-term therapeutic discharge outcomes. These guidelines could help to increase the efficiency of patient treatment and alleviate the suffering of both patients and their families.

The impact of frailty on short-term prognosis in discharged adult stroke patients: A multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Frailty is commonly observed in stroke patients and it is associated with adverse outcomes. However, there remains a gap in longitudinal studies investigating the causal relationship between baseline frailty and short-term prognosis in discharged adult stroke patients.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the causal impact of frailty on non-elective readmission and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and investigate its associations with cognitive impairment and post-stroke disability.

DESIGN

A multicenter prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Two tertiary hospitals in Central and Northwest China.

PARTICIPANTS

667 adult stroke patients in stroke units were included from January 2022 to June 2022.

METHODS

Baseline frailty was assessed by the Frailty Scale. Custom-designed questions were utilized to assess non-elective readmission and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events as primary outcomes. Cognitive impairment, assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination Scale (MMSE), and post-stroke disability, measured with the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS), were considered secondary outcomes at a 3-month follow-up. The impact of baseline frailty on non-elective readmission and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events was examined using bivariate and multiple Cox regression analyses. Furthermore, associations between baseline frailty and cognitive impairment, or post-stroke disability, were investigated through generalized linear models.

RESULTS

A total of 5 participants died, 12 had major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and 57 had non-selective readmission among 667 adult stroke patients. Frailty was an independent risk factor for non-selective readmission (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.71, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.59, 4.62) and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (HR: 3.77, 95 % CI: 1.07, 13.22) for stroke patients. Baseline frailty was correlated with cognitive impairment (regression coefficient [β]: -2.68, 95 % CI: -3.78, -1.58) adjusting for socio-demographic and clinical factors and follow-up interval. However, the relationship between frailty and cognitive impairment did not reach statistical significance when further adjusting for baseline MMSE (β: -0.39, 95 % CI: -1.43, 0.64). Moreover, baseline frailty was associated with post-stroke disability (β: 0.36, 95 % CI: 0.08, 0.65) adjusting for socio-demographic and clinical variables, follow-up interval, and baseline mRS.

CONCLUSIONS

The finding highlights the importance of assessing baseline frailty in discharged adult stroke patients, as it is significantly associated with non-elective readmission, major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and post-stroke disability at 3 months. These results highlight the crucial role of screening and evaluating frailty status in improving short-term prognosis for adult stroke patients. Interventions should be developed to address baseline frailty and mitigate the short-term prognosis of stroke.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Baseline frailty predicts non-elective readmission, major adverse cardiac and cerebral events, and post-stroke disability in adult stroke patients. @haiyanhexyyy.

Timing of Pediatric Incarcerated Inguinal Hernia Repair: A Review of Nationwide Readmissions Data

INTRODUCTION

In pediatric patients, incarcerated inguinal hernias are often repaired on presentation. We hypothesize that in appropriate patients, repair may be safely deferred.

METHODS

The Nationwide Readmissions Database was used to identify pediatric patients (aged < 18 y) with incarcerated inguinal hernia from 2010 to 2014. Patients were stratified by management approach (Early Repair versus Deferral). Overall frequencies of these operative strategies were calculated. Propensity score matching was then performed to control for patient age, comorbidities, perinatal conditions, and congenital anomalies. Outcomes including complications, surgical procedures, and readmissions were compared. Outpatient surgeries were not assessed.

RESULTS

Among 6148 total patients with incarcerated inguinal hernia, the most common strategy was to perform Early Repair (88% versus 12% Deferral). Following propensity score matching, the cohort included 1288 patients (86% male, average age 1.7 ± 4.1 years). Deferral was associated with equivalent rates of readmission within one year (13% versus 15%, P = 0.143), but higher readmissions within the first 30 days (7% versus 3%, P = 0.002) than Early Repair. Deferral patients had lower rates of orchiectomy (2% versus 5%, P = 0.001), wound infections (< 2% versus 2%, P = 0.020), and other infections (7% versus 15%, P < 0.001). The frequency of other complications including bowel resection, oophorectomy, testicular atrophy, sepsis, and pneumonia were equivalent between groups. Three percent of Deferrals had a diagnosis of incarceration on readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

Deferral of incarcerated inguinal hernia repair at index admission is associated with higher rates of hospital readmissions within the first 30 days but equivalent readmission within the entire calendar year. These patients are at risk of repeat incarceration but have significantly lower rates of orchiectomy than their counterparts who undergo inguinal hernia repair at the index admission. We propose that prospective studies be performed to identify good candidates for Elective Deferral following manual reduction and overnight observation. Such studies must capture outpatient surgical outcomes.

Maximizing Readmission Reduction in Colon Cancer Patients

INTRODUCTION

Multiple studies have identified risk factors for readmission in colon cancer patients. We need to determine which risk factors, when modified, produce the greatest decrease in readmission for patients so that limited resources can be used most effectively by implementing targeted evidence-based performance improvements. We determined the potential impact of various modifiable risk factors on reducing 30-d readmission in colon cancer patients.

METHODS

We used a cohort design with the 2012-2020 American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data to track colon cancer patients for 30 d following surgery. Colon cancer patients who received colectomies and were discharged alive were included. Readmission (to the same or another hospital) for any reason within 30 d of the resection was the outcome measure. Modifiable risk factors were the use of minimally invasive surgery (MIS) versus open colectomy, mechanical bowel preparation, preoperative antibiotic use, functional status, smoking, complications (deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, stroke, infections, anastomotic leakage, prolonged postoperative ileus, extensive blood loss, and sepsis), serum albumin, and hematocrit.

RESULTS

111,691 patients with colon cancer were included in the analysis. About half of the patients were male, most were aged 75 or older, and were discharged home. Overall, 11,138 patients (10.0%) were readmitted within 30 d of surgery. In adjusted analysis, the reduction in readmission would be largest by preventing both prolonged ileus and by switching open colectomies to MIS (28.0% relative reduction) followed by preventing anastomotic leaks (6.2% relative reduction). Improving other modifiable risk factors would have a more limited impact.

CONCLUSIONS

The focus of readmission reduction should be on preventing prolonged ileus, increasing the use of MIS, and preventing anastomotic leaks.

Early repeat hospitalization for fluid overload in individuals with cardiovascular disease and risks: a retrospective cohort study

AIMS

Fluid overload is a common manifestation of cardiovascular and kidney disease and a leading cause of hospitalizations. To identify patients at risk of recurrent severe fluid overload, we evaluated the incidence and risk factors associated with early repeat hospitalization for fluid overload among individuals with cardiovascular disease and risks.

METHODS

Single-center retrospective cohort study of 3423 consecutive adults with an index hospitalization for fluid overload between January 2015 and December 2017 and had cardiovascular risks (older age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidemia, kidney disease, known cardiovascular disease), but excluded if lost to follow-up or eGFR < 15 ml/min/1.73 m2. The outcome was early repeat hospitalization for fluid overload within 30 days of discharge.

RESULTS

The mean age was 73.9 ± 11.6 years and eGFR was 54.1 ± 24.6 ml/min/1.73 m2 at index hospitalization. Early repeat hospitalization for fluid overload occurred in 291 patients (8.5%). After adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, clinical parameters during index hospitalization and medications at discharge, cardiovascular disease (adjusted odds ratio, OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.27-2.17), prior hospitalization for fluid overload within 3 months (OR 2.52, 95% CI 1.17-5.44), prior hospitalization for any cause in within 6 months (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.02-1.73) and intravenous furosemide use (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.10-2.28) were associated with early repeat hospitalization for fluid overload. Higher systolic BP on admission (OR 0.992, 95% 0.986-0.998) and diuretic at discharge (OR 0.50, 95% CI 0.26-0.98) reduced early hospitalization for fluid overload.

CONCLUSION

Patients at-risk of early repeat hospitalization for fluid overload may be identified using these risk factors for targeted interventions.

Effects of the family customised online FOCUS programme on patients with heart failure and their informal caregivers: a multicentre, single-blind, randomised clinical trial

Background

Living with heart failure can severely affect the physical and mental health of patients with heart failure and their caregivers. Available dyadic self-care interventions for heart failure are scarce, especially in China. We aimed to develop and test the family FOCUS programme.

Methods

This single-blind, randomised, controlled study was conducted at four hospitals in Tianjin, China. Patients with heart failure (aged at least 18 years) and their caregiver (dyads) were randomly assigned to either the intervention (n = 71) or control (n = 71) group in a 1:1 ratio. The primary outcomes of this study were patient self-care, with three specific dimensions (self-care maintenance, symptom perception, and self-care management), and caregiver contribution to self-care, mirroring these three dimensions. The outcomes were assessed at baseline (T0) and 4 (T1), 12 (T2), and 24 (T3) weeks post-discharge, respectively. This work is registered on ChiCTR, ChiCTR2100053168.

Findings

Between May 20, 2022, and September 30, 2022, 142 dyads with heart failure were enrolled. The intervention group exhibited dropout rates of 6%, 8.5%, and 18.3% at 4, 12, and 24 weeks after discharge, while the control group showed 9.9%, 12.3%, and 25.4%. Compared with the control group, patients in the intervention group reported improved self-care maintenance (β: 8.5, 95% CI: 0.7, 16.4) and management (β: 7.2, 95% CI: 0.1, 14.3) at T1, as well as improved symptom perception at both T1 (β: 9.7, 95% CI: 1.5, 17.9) and T2 (β: 9.6, 95% CI: 0.6, 18.6). Furthermore, caregiver contributions to self-care maintenance, self-care management, and symptom perception (excluding T3) exhibited significant improvements at all timepoints.

Interpretation

Although the significant improvements in patients' self-care were not long-lasting, this study suggested that the family FOCUS programme consistently enhanced caregivers' contributions to self-care. Future work could explore the effect of the family FOCUS programme on families with multiple chronic conditions.

Funding

The National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Association between red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio and post-discharge readmission rate in patients with heart failure: A retrospective cohort study

Background

To date, no studies have investigated the association between red blood cell distribution width (RDW)-to-platelet ratio (RPR) and readmission rates among patients with heart failure (HF). As such, the present study aimed to examine the relationship between RPR and readmission rates in patients with HF.

Methods

Data for this study were obtained from the Fourth People's Hospital (Zigong, Sichuan Province, China). Patients were diagnosed with HF in accordance with European Society of Cardiology criteria. The primary outcome was the 28-day readmission rate. Various logistic regression models were constructed to explore the association between RPR and the 28-day readmission rate.

Results

The study comprised 1978 patients with HF, with a 28-day readmission rate of 6.98%. RPR emerged as an independent risk factor for 28-day readmission, evidenced by consistent results across the various regression-adjusted models. The covariate-adjusted propensity score model demonstrated that every 0.1 increase in RPR was associated with an 8.2% increase in 28-day readmission rate (odds ratio [OR] 1.082 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.012-1.158]; P = 0.0212). Similarly, each 0.1 change in RPR was associated with a 9.8% (OR 1.098 [95% CI 1.014-1.188]) and 7.3% (OR 1.073 [95% CI 0.991-1.161]) increase in 3- and 6-month readmission rates, respectively. However, RPR was not statistically associated with the 6-month readmission rate. Curve fit plots illustrated a nonlinear positive correlation between RPR and 28-day, and 3- and 6-month readmissions. Moreover, the effects of RPR on 28-day, and 3- and 6-month readmission rates remained robust across subgroup variables in stratified analysis. Finally, the effect sizes of pooled multiply imputed data were consistent with the original data, suggesting robust results.

Conclusion

RPR was an independent risk factor for 28-day readmission among patients with HF and also demonstrated modest predictive value for readmissions at 3 and 6 months, despite being non-significant for the 6-month readmission rate. Early identification of patients with HF with elevated RPR would facilitate management and may confer favorable effects on prognosis.

Gender differences and risk of readmission in hospitalizations with a diagnosis of psychotic spectrum disorders

BACKGROUND

Gender differences in psychosis are a topic that has been studied considering different aspects. Although some available evidence would point to a possible better prognosis in women, this claim is far from conclusively established.

METHODS

We propose an analysis of gender differences in the risk of readmission to an acute hospitalization unit, an indicator related to prognosis.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

We found that although the risk of readmission at 1 year is lower in women, this seems to be explained by other confounding factors.

Development and validation of a prospective study to predict the risk of readmission within 365 days of respiratory failure: based on a random survival forest algorithm combined with COX regression modeling

BACKGROUND

There is a need to develop and validate a widely applicable nomogram for predicting readmission of respiratory failure patients within 365 days.

METHODS

We recruited patients with respiratory failure at the First People's Hospital of Yancheng and the People's Hospital of Jiangsu. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to select significant features for multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis. The Random Survival Forest algorithm was employed to construct a model for the variables that obtained a coefficient of 0 following LASSO regression, and subsequently determine the prediction score. Independent risk factors and the score were used to develop a multivariate COX regression for creating the line graph. We used the Harrell concordance index to quantify the predictive accuracy and the receiver operating characteristic curve to evaluate model performance. Additionally, we used decision curve analysiso assess clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

The LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression were used to screen hemoglobin, diabetes and pneumonia as risk variables combined with Score to develop a column chart model. The C index is 0.927 in the development queue, 0.924 in the internal validation queue, and 0.922 in the external validation queue. At the same time, the predictive model also showed excellent calibration and higher clinical value.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram predicting readmission of patients with respiratory failure within 365 days based on three independent risk factors and a jointly developed random survival forest algorithm has been developed and validated. This improves the accuracy of predicting patient readmission and provides practical information for individualized treatment decisions.

The outcomes of treatment for homebound adults with complex medical conditions in a hospital-at-home unit in the southern district of Israel

BACKGROUND

A model of hospital-at-home services called the Home Care Unit ("the unit") has been implemented in the southern region of the Clalit Healthcare Services in Israel. The aim of the present study was to characterize this service model.

METHODS

A retrospective cross-over study. included homebound patients 65 years of age and above who were treated for at least one month in the framework of the unit, between 2013 and 2020. We compared the hospitalization rate, the number of hospital days, the number of emergency room visits, and the cost of hospitalization for the six-month period prior to admission to the unit, the period of treatment in the unit, and the six-month period following discharge from the unit.

RESULTS

The study included 623 patients with a mean age of 83.7 ± 9.2 years with a mean Mini-mental State Examination (MMSE) score of 12.0 ± 10.2, a mean Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) of 3.7 ± 2.2 and a Barthel Index score of 23.9 ± 25.1. The main indications for admission to the unit were various geriatric syndromes (56.7%), acute functional decline (21.2%), and heart failure (12%). 22.8% died during the treatment period and 63.4% were discharged to ongoing treatment by their family doctor after their condition stabilized. Compared to the six months prior to admission to the unit there was a significant decrease (per patient per month) in the treatment period in the number of days of hospitalization (2.84 ± 4.35 vs. 1.7 ± 3.8 days, p < 0.001) and in the cost of hospitalization (1606 ± 2170 vs. 1066 ± 2082 USD, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of homebound adults with a high disease burden in the setting of a hospital-at-home unit can significantly reduce the number of hospital days and the cost of hospitalization. This model of service for homebound patients with multiple medical problems maintained a high level of care while reducing costs. The results support the widespread adoption of this service in the community to enable the healthcare system to respond to the growing population of elderly patients with medical complexity.

Incidence and predictors of readmission following tonsillectomy in pediatric population

BACKGROUND

Tonsillectomy is one of the most common surgical procedures performed in the pediatric population. This study aims to estimate the incidence rate of readmission post tonsillectomy in pediatrics and identify the causes and predictors contributing to the readmission post-surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study included 1280 pediatric patients (18 years or younger) who underwent tonsillectomy at a tertiary hospital in 2019 and 2020. The study sample was divided into two groups based on readmission and were compared using the appropriate statistical tests. Significant variables (p-value≤0.05) were included in the logistic regression model to determine the predictors of readmission following tonsillectomy in these patients.

RESULTS

The readmission rate following tonsillectomy was 6.3 % (95 % confidence interval 5.1-7.9). The causes of readmission included poor oral intake followed by bleeding and vomiting, 55.6 %,49.4 %, and 13.6 %, respectively. In the multivariable logistic regression model, the only significant predictor of post-tonsillectomy readmission was the use of a single postoperative analgesia (OR: 57.27, P = 0.000).

CONCLUSION

The readmission rate following tonsillectomy in this study was relatively high. The most common causes contributing to readmission post tonsillectomy were poor oral intake and hemorrhage. The study also revealed a significant association between the utilization of single postoperative analgesia and an increased likelihood of readmission.

Early systemic anticoagulation reduces hospital readmission in acute necrotizing pancreatitis patients: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Early systemic anticoagulation (SAC) is a common practice in acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP), and its impact on in-hospital clinical outcomes had been assessed. However, whether it affects long-term outcomes is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of SAC on 90-day readmission and other long-term outcomes in ANP patients.

METHODS

During January 2013 and December 2018, ANP patients admitted within 7 days from the onset of abdominal pain were screened. The primary outcome was 90-day readmission after discharge. Cox proportional-hazards regression model and mediation analysis were used to define the relationship between early SAC and 90-day readmission.

RESULTS

A total of 241 ANP patients were enrolled, of whom 143 received early SAC during their hospitalization and 98 did not. Patients who received early SAC experienced a lower incidence of splanchnic venous thrombosis (SVT) [risk ratio (RR) = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.26-0.60, P < 0.01] and lower 90-day readmission with an RR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.41-0.91, P = 0.02) than those who did not. For the quality of life, patients who received early SAC had a significantly higher score in the subscale of vitality (P = 0.03) while the other subscales were all comparable between the two groups. Multivariable Cox regression model showed that early SAC was an independent protective factor for 90-day readmission after adjusting for potential confounders with a hazard ratio of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.34-0.96, P = 0.04). Mediation analysis showed that SVT mediated 37.0% of the early SAC-90-day readmission causality.

CONCLUSIONS

The application of early SAC may reduce the risk of 90-day readmission in the survivors of ANP patients, and reduced SVT incidence might be the primary contributor.

Similar complication and readmission rates following simultaneous versus staged bilateral total hip arthroplasty

PURPOSE

To compare short-term complications and readmission rates, in patients treated with simultaneous versus staged bilateral total hip arthroplasty (THA) within a year from the index procedure.

METHODS

We reviewed the charts of patients that underwent simultaneous and staged-within a year-bilateral THA, between 2016 and 2020. Preoperative baseline characteristics were evaluated, while differences in terms of 30-day major and 30-day minor complications and readmission rates were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

One-hundred-sixty patients (mean age, 64.3 years; SD, ± 11.7) were identified. Seventy-nine patients were treated with simultaneous (Group A) and eighty-one patients with staged (Group B) THA. There were no differences in baseline characteristic between the two groups (p  > 0.050). Group A was more likely to receive general anesthesia (43% vs. 9.9%, p < 0.001) and had longer total operative time (182.8 vs. 128.0 min, p  < 0.001). Group A had an overall shorter total length of hospital stay (5.8 vs. 8.6 days, p  < 0.001). No differences in transfusion rates (p  = 0.229) and no differences in major and minor complications (p > 0.05) were identified. Postoperative visits at the emergency department or readmissions were similar between the two groups (p > 0.050).

CONCLUSION

This study shows that similar complication and readmission rates are expected after simultaneous and staged THA. Simultaneous bilateral THA is a safe and effective procedure, that should be considered for patients that present with radiologic and clinical bilateral hip disease.

Short-term outcomes after open versus robot-assisted repair of ventral hernias: a nationwide database study

PURPOSE

The robotic platform is widely implemented; however, evidence evaluating outcomes of robotic ventral hernia repair is still lacking. The aim of the study was to evaluate the short-term outcomes after open and robot-assisted repair of primary ventral and incisional hernias.

METHODS

Nationwide register-based cohort study with data from the Danish Ventral Hernia Database and the National Danish Patients Registry was from January 1, 2017 to August 22, 2022. Robot-assisted ventral hernia repairs were propensity score matched 1:3 with open repairs according to the confounding variables defect size, Charlson comorbidity index score, and age. Logistic regression analyses were performed for factors associated with length of stay > 2 days, readmission, and reoperation within 90 days.

RESULTS

A total of 528 and 1521 patients underwent robot-assisted and open repair, respectively. The mean length of hospital stay in days was 0.5 versus 2.1 for robot-assisted and open approach, respectively (P < 0.001) and open approach was correlated with risk of length of stay > 2 days (OR 23.25, CI 13.80-39.17, P < 0.001). The incidence of readmission within 90 days of discharge was significantly lower after robot-assisted repair compared to open approach (6.2% vs. 12.1%, P < 0.001). Open approach was independently associated with increased risk of readmission (OR 21.43, CI 13.28-39.17, P = 0.005, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Robot-assisted ventral hernia repair is safe and feasible and associated with shorter length of stay and decreased risk of readmission compared with open ventral hernia repair.

Short and long-term readmission after major emergency abdominal surgery: a prospective Danish study

PURPOSE

Major emergency abdominal surgery is associated with severe in-hospital complications and loss of performance. After discharge, a substantial fraction of patients are readmitted emergently; however, limited knowledge exists of the long-term consequences. The aim of this study was to examine the risks and causes of short-term (30-day) and long-term (180-day) readmission among patients undergoing major emergency abdominal surgery.

METHODS

This study included 504 patients who underwent major emergency abdominal surgery at the Zealand University Hospital between March 1, 2017, and February 28, 2019. The population was followed from 0 to 180 days after discharge, and detailed readmission information was registered. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the independent risk factors for readmission within 30 and 180 days.

RESULTS

From 0 to 30 days after discharge, 161 (31.9%) patients were readmitted emergently, accumulating to 241 (47.8%) patients within 180 days after discharge. The main reasons for short-term readmission were related to the gastrointestinal tract and surgical wounds, whereas long-term readmissions were due to infections, cardiovascular complications, and abdominal pain. Stomal placement was an independent risk factor for short-term readmission, whereas an ASA score of 3 was a risk factor for both short-term and long-term readmission.

CONCLUSION

Close to 50% of all patients who underwent major emergency abdominal surgery had one or more emergency readmission within 180 days of discharge, and these data points towards the risk factors involved.

Prediction Models for Readmission Using Home Healthcare Notes and OMOP-CDM

This study developed readmission prediction models using Home Healthcare (HHC) documents via natural language processing (NLP). An electronic health record of Ajou University Hospital was used to develop prediction models (A reference model using only structured data, and an NLP-enriched model with structured and unstructured data). Among 573 patients, 63 were readmitted to the hospital. Five topics were extracted from HHC documents and improved the model performance (AUROC 0.740).

Medications for opioid use disorder associated with reduced readmissions for patients with severe injection-related infections: A matched cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Hospitalizations due to severe injection-related infections (SIRIs) and patient-directed discharge (PDD) in people who inject drugs (PWID) are increasing, but research on readmission outcomes at PDD is limited. In this retrospective, matched cohort study we evaluated predictors of 30-day readmission by discharge status among PWID.

METHODS

Among patients diagnosed with SIRIs at a tertiary hospital, Fisher's exact tests assessed differences in readmission rates by discharge status. Medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD) at discharge was defined as either having a buprenorphine dose dispensed within 24 h of discharge and buprenorphine being included in the discharge summary as a prescription, or a methadone dose dispensed inpatient within 24 h of discharge. Logistic regression analyses evaluated predictors of readmission outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 148 PWID with SIRI diagnosis, 30-day readmission rate following PDD was higher than standard discharge (25.7 % vs. 9.5 %, p = 0.016) and MOUD decreased odds of 30-day readmission (OR = 0.32, 95 % CI: 0.12,0.83, p = 0.012). >7 missed days of antibiotic treatment increased odds of 30-day readmission (OR 4.65, 95 % CI: 1.14, 31.72, p = 0.030) within PDD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

PDD carries higher 30-day readmission rate compared to standard discharge. Strategies to reduce PDD rates and increase MOUD initiation may improve readmission outcomes.

Oral anticoagulation in heart failure complicated by atrial fibrillation: A nationwide routine data study

BACKGROUND

This nationwide routine data analysis evaluates if oral anticoagulant (OAC) use in patients with heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) leads to a lower mortality and reduced readmission rate. Superiority of new oral anticoagulants (NOACs), compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA), was analyzed for these endpoints.

METHODS

Anonymous data of patients with a health insurance at the Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse and a claims record for hospitalization with the main diagnosis of HF and secondary diagnosis of AF (2017-2019) were included. A hospital stay in the previous year was an exclusion criterion. Mortality and readmission for all-cause and stroke/intracranial bleeding (ICB) were analyzed 91-365 days after the index hospitalization. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the impact of medication on outcome.

RESULTS

180,316 cases were included [81 years (IQR 76-86), 55.6% female, CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 (96.81%)]. In 80.6%, OACs were prescribed (VKA: 21.7%; direct factor Xa inhibitors (FXaI): 60.0%; direct thrombin inhibitors (DTI): 3.4%; with multiple prescriptions per patient included). Mortality rate was 19.1%, readmission rate was 29.9% and stroke/ICB occurred in 1.9%. Risk of death was lower with any OAC (HR 0.77, 95% CI [0.75-0.79]) but without significant differences in OAC type (VKA: HR 0.73, [0.71-0.76]; FXaI: HR 0.77, [0.75-0.78]; DTI: HR 0.71, [0.66-0.77]). The total readmission rate (HR 0.97, [0.94 to 0.99]) and readmission for stroke/ICB (HR 0.71, [0.65-0.77]) was lower with OAC.

CONCLUSIONS

Nationwide data confirm a reduction in mortality and readmission rate in HF-AF patients taking OACs, without NOAC superiority.

Racial differences in length of stay and readmission for asthma in the all of us research program

BACKGROUND

This study addresses the limited research on racial disparities in asthma hospitalization outcomes, specifically length of stay (LOS) and readmission, across the U.S.

METHODS

We analyzed in-patient and emergency department visits from the All of Us Research Program, identifying various risk factors (demographic, comorbid, temporal, and place-based) associated with asthma LOS and 30-day readmission using Bayesian mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

Of 17,233 patients (48.0% White, 30.7% Black, 19.7% Hispanic/Latino, 1.3% Asian, and 0.3% Middle Eastern and North African) with 82,188 asthma visits, Black participants had 20% shorter LOS and 12% higher odds of readmission, compared to White participants in multivariate analyses. Public-insured patients had 14% longer LOS and 39% higher readmission odds than commercially insured patients. Weekend admissions resulted in a 12% shorter LOS but 10% higher readmission odds. Asthmatics with chronic diseases had a longer LOS (range: 6-39%) and higher readmission odds (range: 9-32%) except for those with allergic rhinitis, who had a 23% shorter LOS.

CONCLUSIONS

A comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing asthma hospitalization, in conjunction with diverse datasets and clinical-community partnerships, can help physicians and policymakers to systematically address racial disparities, healthcare utilization and equitable outcomes in asthma care.

Trends, complications, and readmission of allogeneic red blood cell transfusion in primary total hip arthroplasty in china: a national retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Decrease in allogenic red blood cell (RBC) transfusion rates following total hip arthroplasty (THA) has been reported in the United States, but whether other countries share the same trend remains unclear. Additionally, the relation of allogenic RBC transfusion to the risk of complications in THA remains controversial. Using the Chinese national inpatient database, the current study aimed to examine trends, complications, charges, and readmission patterns of allogeneic RBC transfusion in THA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients undergoing primary THA between 2013 and 2019 were included, and then stratified into the transfusion and the non-transfusion group based on the database transfusion records. A generalized estimating equation model was used to investigate trends in transfusion rates. After propensity-score matching, a logistic regression model was used to compare the complications, rates and causes of 30-day readmission between two groups.

RESULTS

A total of 10,270 patients with transfusion and 123,476 patients without transfusion were included. Transfusion rates decreased from 19.11% in 2013 to 9.94% in 2019 (P for trend < 0.001). After matching, no significant differences in the risk of of in-hospital death (odds ratio [OR], 4.00; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.85-18.83), wound infection (OR 0.72; 95%CI 0.45-1.17), myocardial infarction (OR 1.17; 95%CI 0.62-2.19), deep vein thrombosis (OR 1.25; 95%CI 0.88-1.78), pulmonary embolism (OR 2.25; 95%CI 0.98-5.17), readmission rates (OR 1.07; 95%CI 0.88-1.30) and readmission causes were observed between two groups. However, the transfusion group had higher hospitalization charges than the non-transfusion group (72,239.89 vs 65,649.57 Chinese yuan [CNY], P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study found that allogeneic RBC transfusion in THA was not associated with the increased risk of complications and any-cause readmission. However, the currently restrictive transfusion policy should be continued because excessive blood transfusion may increase the socioeconomic burden.

A comprehensive analysis of age and 30-day complications following total shoulder arthroplasty: nonagenarians, octogenarians, and septuagenarians

Background

Increased age is a well-known risk factor for development of osteoarthritis. Total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) is a common treatment option for patients with severe glenohumeral osteoarthritis. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between the septuagenarian, octogenarian, and nonagenarian populations and postoperative outcomes following TSA.

Methods

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for all patients who underwent TSA between 2015 and 2020. Patients were divided into cohorts based on age: sexagenarians (60-69), septuagenarians (70-79), octogenarians (80-89), and nonagenarians (90+). Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify associations between age and postoperative complications.

Results

On bivariate analysis, compared to sexagenarians, septuagenarians were significantly associated with higher rates of myocardial infarction (P = .038), blood transfusion (P < .001), organ/space surgical site infection (P = .048), readmission (P = .005), and nonhome discharge (P < .001. Compared to septuagenarians, octogenarians were significantly associated with higher rates of urinary tract infection (P < .001), blood transfusion (P < .001), readmission (P = .002), non-home discharge (P < .001), and mortality (P = .027). Compared to octogenarians, nonagenarians were significantly associated with higher rates of sepsis (P = .013), pneumonia (P = .003), reintubation (P = .009), myocardial infarction (P < .001), blood transfusion (P < .001), readmission (P = .026), nonhome discharge (P < .001), and mortality (P < .001).

Conclusion

From age 60, each decade of age was identified to be an increasingly significant predictor for blood transfusion, readmission, and nonhome discharge following TSA. From age 70, each decade of age was additionally identified to be an increasingly significant predictor for mortality.

Six-Item Modified Frailty Index independently predicts complications following total shoulder arthroplasty

Background

In the realm of orthopedic surgery, frailty has been associated with higher rates of complications following total hip and total knee arthroplasties. Among various measures of frailty, the Six-Item Modified Frailty Index (MF-6) has recently gained popularity as a predictor for postoperative complications. The purpose of this study was to investigate MF-6 as a predictor for early postoperative complications in the elderly patient population following total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA).

Methods

The authors queried the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database for all patients who underwent TSA between 2015 and 2020. Patient demographics and comorbidities were compared between cohorts using bivariate logistic regression analysis. Multivariate logistic regression, adjusted for all significantly associated patient demographics and comorbidities, was used to identify associations between the MF-6 score and postoperative complications.

Results

Of total, 9228 patients were included in this study: 8764 (95.0%) had MF-6 <3, and 464 (5.0%) patients had MF-6 ≥3. Multivariate analysis found MF-6 ≥3 to be independently associated with higher rates of urinary tract infection (odds ratio [OR]: 2.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.49-5.23; P = .001), blood transfusion (OR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.01-2.32; P = .045), readmission (OR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.06-2.35; P = .024), and non-home discharge (OR: 2.60, 95% CI: 2.08-3.25; P < .001).

Conclusion

A high MF-6 score (≥3) in patients aged 65 and older is independently associated with higher rates of urinary tract infection, blood transfusion, readmission, and non-home discharge following TSA. The MF-6 score can be easily calculated preoperatively and may allow for better preoperative risk stratification.

Long-Term Pattern and Associated Costs of Re-hospitalisations in Patients After Index Atrial Fibrillation Admission in Western Australia, 2011-2017

AIMS

This study aimed to determine total and cardiovascular-specific re-hospitalisation patterns and associated costs within 2 years of index atrial fibrillation (AF) admission in Western Australia (WA).

METHOD

Patients aged 25-94 years, surviving an index (first-in-period) AF hospitalisation (principal diagnosis) from 2011 to 2015 were identified from WA-linked administrative data and followed for 2 years. Person-level hospitalisation costs ($ Australian dollar) were computed using the Australian Refined Diagnosis Related Groups and presented as median with first and third quartile costs.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 17,080 patients, 59.0% men, mean age 69.6±13.3 (standard deviation) years, and 59.0% had a CHA2DS2-VA (one point for congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, vascular disease or age 65-74 years; two points for prior stroke/transient ischaemic attack or age ≥75 years) score of 2 or more. Within 2 years, 13,776 patients (80.6%) were readmitted with median of 2 (1-4) readmissions. Among total all-cause readmissions (n=54,240), 40.1% were emergent and 36.6% were cardiovascular-related, led by AF (19.5%), coronary events (5.8%), and heart failure (4.2%). The median index AF admission cost was $3,264 ($2,899-$7,649) while cardiovascular readmission costs were higher, particularly stroke ($10,732 [$4,179-23,390]), AF ablation ($7,884 [$5,283-$8,878]), and heart failure ($6,759 [$6,081-$13,146]). Average readmission costs over 2 years per person increased by $4,746 (95% confidence interval [CI] $4,459-$5,033) per unit increase in baseline CHA2DS2-VA score. The average 2-year hospitalisation costs per patient, including index admission, was $27,820 (95% CI $27,308-$28,333) and total WA costs were $475.2 million between 2011 and 2017.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients after index AF hospitalisation have a high risk of cardiovascular and other readmissions with considerable healthcare cost implications. Readmission costs increased progressively with baseline CHA2DS2-VA score. Better integrated management of AF and coexistent comorbidities is likely key to reducing readmissions and associated costs.

Risk of death and readmission among individuals with heart failure and HIV: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The association between human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status and readmissions and death outcomes in patients with established heart failure (HF) remains unclear. We conducted a systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science up to March 1st, 2023, for cohort studies of adult patients (≥18 years) diagnosed with HF and recorded HIV status at baseline. Our analysis included 7 studies with 10,328 HF patients living with HIV and 48,757 HF patients without HIV. Compared to HF patients without HIV, those with HIV had a higher risk of all-cause deaths (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.15-1.25). HIV infection was also associated with increased risks of HF-associated readmission (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.03-1.75) and all-cause readmission (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.10-1.46). Our study highlights the independent association between HIV and poor HF outcomes, emphasizing the need for improved management in individuals living with HIV.

Clinical outcomes and predictors for 30-day readmissions of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in the United States

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

We aimed to assess 30-day readmissions of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in the United States.

METHODS

The National Readmission Database was utilized from 2016 to 2020 to identify 30-day readmissions of ERCP. Hospitalization characteristics and outcomes were compared between index hospitalizations and readmissions. Predictors of 30-day readmission and mortality were also identified.

RESULTS

Between 2016 and 2020, 885 416 index hospitalizations underwent ERCP. Of these, 88 380 (10.15%) were readmitted within 30 days. Compared to index hospitalizations, 30-day readmissions had higher mean age (63.76 vs 60.8 years, P < 0.001) and proportion of patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score ≥3 (48.26% vs 29.91%, P < 0.001). Sepsis was the most common readmission diagnosis. Increasing age, male gender, higher CCI scores, admissions at large metropolitan teaching hospitals, cholecystectomy on index hospitalization, biliary stenting, increasing length of stay (LOS) at index admission, post-ERCP pancreatitis, post-ERCP hemorrhage, and gastrointestinal tract perforation were independent predictors of 30-day readmissions. Furthermore, 30-day readmissions had higher odds of inpatient mortality (4.42% vs 1.66%, aOR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.79-2.01, P < 0.001) compared to index hospitalizations. However, we noted a shorter LOS (5.78 vs 6.22 days, mean difference 1.2, 95% CI: 1.12-1.28, P < 0.001) and lower total hospital charge ($71 076 vs $93 418, mean difference $31 452, 95% CI: 29 835-33 069, P < 0.001) for 30-day readmissions compared to index hospitalizations. Increasing age, higher CCI scores, increasing LOS, biliary stenting, and post-ERCP hemorrhage were independent predictors of inpatient mortality for 30-day readmissions.

CONCLUSION

After index ERCP, the 30-day remission rate was 10.15%. Compared to index hospitalizations, 30-day readmissions had higher odds of inpatient mortality.

Operative duration as independent predictor of increased postoperative healthcare utilization

PURPOSE

Few studies have examined the risk factors for postoperative healthcare resource utilization (HRU) among minimally invasive partial nephrectomy (MIPN), minimally invasive prostatectomy (MIP), and cystectomy (Cx). The aim of this study is to assess if operative duration (OD) is a predictor of HRU in this population.

METHODS

The ACS-NSQIP database was filtered for MIPN, MIP, and Cx. Patient characteristics and intraoperative variables were examined. HRU was defined as prolonged length of stay (LOS), unplanned readmission within 30 days, and discharge to continued care facility. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of HRU.

RESULTS

18,904 MIPN, 50,807 MIP, and 12,451 Cx were included. For MIPN, HRU was seen in 13.9% of cases < 1.75 h, increasing to 36.2% in OD > 4.5 h (p < 0.001). For MIP, HRU was seen in 10.6% of OD < 2 h, increasing to 32.2% for OD > 4.9 h (p < 0.001). For Cx, 57% of those with OD > 8.5 h required HRU compared to 42.1% for OD < 3.3 h (p < 0.001). On multivariate analyses, OD was an independent predictor for increased HRU for all procedures regardless of patient characteristics or comorbidities. For MIPN, OD > 4.5 h had 3.5-fold increased use of HRU (p < 0.001). For MIP, OD > 5 h had 3.7-fold increased use of HRU (p < 0.001). For Cx, OD > 8.5 h demonstrated a twofold increased use of HRU (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

OD during MIPN, MIP, and Cx is an independent predictor of increased HRU irrespective of patient comorbidities. Patients with OD > 4.5 h for MIPN, > 5 h for MIP, and > 8.5 h for Cx have 3.5-fold, 3.7-fold, and twofold increased risk of HRU, respectively.