Impact of electronic AKI alert/care bundle on AKI inpatient outcomes: a retrospective single-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

Outcomes among acute kidney injury (AKI) patients are poor in United Kingdom (UK) hospitals, and electronic alerts and care bundles may improve them. We implemented such a system at West Suffolk Hospital (WSH) called the 'AKI order set'. We aimed to assess its impact on all-cause mortality, length of stay (LOS) and renal function among AKI patients, and its utilization.

METHODS

Retrospective, single-center cohort study of patients ≥ 18 years old with AKI at WSH, a 430-bed general hospital serving a rural UK population of approximately 280,000. 7243 unique AKI events representing 5728 patients with full data were identified automatically from our electronic health record (EHR) between 02 September 2018 and 1 July 2021 (median age 78 years, 51% male). All-cause mortality, LOS and improvement in AKI stage, demographic and comorbidity data, medications and AKI order set use were automatically collected from the EHR.

RESULTS

The AKI order set was used in 9.8% of AKI events and was associated with 28% lower odds of all-cause mortality (multivariable odds ratio [OR] 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57-0.91). Median LOS was longer when the AKI order set was utilized than when not (11.8 versus 8.8 days, p < .001), but was independently associated with improvement in the AKI stage (28.9% versus 8.7%, p < .001; univariable OR 4.25, 95% CI 3.53-5.10, multivariable OR 4.27, 95% CI 3.54-5.14).

CONCLUSIONS

AKI order set use led to improvements in all-cause mortality and renal function, but longer LOS, among AKI patients at WSH.

Association between estimated pulse wave velocity and in-hospital mortality of patients with acute kidney injury: a retrospective cohort analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

BACKGROUND

Estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) has been found to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality and kidney injury, which can be estimated noninvasively. This study aimed to investigate the association between ePWV and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI).

METHODS

This study included 5960 patients with AKI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The low and high ePWV groups were compared using a Kaplan-Meier survival curve to evaluate the differences in survival status. Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the association between ePWV and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with AKI. To further examine the dose-response relationship, we used a restricted cubic spline (RCS) model. Stratification analyses were conducted to investigate the effect of ePWV on hospital mortality across various subgroups.

RESULTS

Survival analysis indicated that patients with high ePWV had a lower survival rate than those with low ePWV. Following adjustment, high ePWV demonstrated a statistically significant association with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality among AKI patients (HR = 1.53, 95% CI = 1.36-1.71, p < 0.001). Analysis using the RCS model confirmed a linear increase in the risk of hospital mortality as the ePWV values increased (P for nonlinearity = 0.602).

CONCLUSIONS

A high ePWV was significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality among patients with AKI. Furthermore, ePWV was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with AKI.

The combination of kidney function variables with cell cycle arrest biomarkers identifies distinct subphenotypes of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury: a post-hoc analysis (the PHENAKI study)

BACKGROUND

The severity and course of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) are correlated with the mortality rate. Early detection of SA-AKI subphenotypes might facilitate the rapid provision of individualized care.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this post-hoc analysis of a multicenter prospective study, we combined conventional kidney function variables with serial measurements of urine (tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 [TIMP-2])* (insulin-like growth factor-binding protein [IGFBP7]) at 0, 6, 12, and 24 h) and then using an unsupervised hierarchical clustering of principal components (HCPC) approach to identify different phenotypes of SA-AKI. We then compared the subphenotypes with regard to a composite outcome of in-hospital death or the initiation of renal replacement therapy (RRT).

RESULTS

We included 184 patients presenting SA-AKI within 6 h of the initiation of catecholamines. Three distinct subphenotypes were identified: subphenotype A (99 patients) was characterized by a normal urine output (UO), a low SCr and a low [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] level; subphenotype B (74 patients) was characterized by existing chronic kidney disease (CKD), a higher SCr, a low UO, and an intermediate [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] level; and subphenotype C was characterized by very low UO, a very high [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] level, and an intermediate SCr level. With subphenotype A as the reference, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95%CI] for the composite outcome was 3.77 [1.92-7.42] (p < 0.001) for subphenotype B and 4.80 [1.67-13.82] (p = 0.004) for subphenotype C.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining conventional kidney function variables with urine measurements of [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] might help to identify distinct SA-AKI subphenotypes with different short-term courses and survival rates.

Machine learning-based prediction of in-hospital mortality for critically ill patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop and validate a prediction model in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) based on machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

Patients who met the criteria for inclusion were identified in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database and divided according to the validation (n = 2440) and development (n = 9756, 80%) queues. Ensemble stepwise feature selection method was used to screen for effective features. The prediction models of short-term mortality were developed by seven machine learning algorithms. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to verify the performance of the algorithm in the development queue. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) was used to evaluate the differentiation accuracy and performance of the prediction model in the validation queue. The best-performing model was interpreted by Shapley additive explanations (SHAP).

RESULTS

A total of 12,196 patients were enrolled in this study. Eleven variables were finally chosen to develop the prediction model. The AUC of the random forest (RF) model was the highest value both in the Ten-fold cross-validation and evaluation (AUC: 0.798, 95% CI: 0.774-0.821). According to the SHAP plots, old age, low Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, high AKI stage, reduced urine output, high Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II), high respiratory rate, low temperature, low absolute lymphocyte count, high creatinine level, dysnatremia, and low body mass index (BMI) increased the risk of poor prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The RF model developed in this study is a good predictor of in-hospital mortality for patients with SA-AKI in the intensive care unit (ICU), which may have potential applications in mortality prediction.

Machine learning algorithm for predict the in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with congestive heart failure combined with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predict in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) combined with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

After employing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression for feature selection, six distinct methodologies were employed in the construction of the model. The selection of the optimal model was based on the area under the curve (AUC). Furthermore, the interpretation of the chosen model was facilitated through the utilization of SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values and the Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) algorithm.

RESULTS

This study collected data and enrolled 5041 patients on CHF combined with CKD from 2008 to 2019, utilizing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Unit. After selection, 22 of the 47 variables collected post-intensive care unit admission were identified as mortality-associated and subsequently utilized in the development of ML models. Among the six models generated, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model demonstrated the highest AUC at 0.837. Notably, the SHAP values highlighted the sequential organ failure assessment score, age, simplified acute physiology score II, and urine output as the four most influential variables in the XGBoost model. In addition, the LIME algorithm explains the individualized predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, our study accomplished the successful development and validation of ML models for predicting in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with CHF combined with CKD. Notably, the XGBoost model emerged as the most efficacious among all the ML models employed.

Value of modified qSOFA, glucose and lactate in predicting prognosis in children with sepsis in the PICU

The purpose was to investigate how well age-adjusted modified quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores paired with blood glucose and lactate levels predict the outcomes of septicemic children in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). One hundred children who were diagnosed with sepsis and septic shock in the PICU of Henan Children's Hospital were eligible, and other 20 patients in the same hospital at different times were selected as a validation set. Respiratory rate (RR), heart rate (HR), capillary refill time (CRT), and Alert, Voice, Pain, Unresponsive (AVPU) scale were included in the age-adjusted modified qSOFA scoring criteria for scoring. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. The predictive values were evaluated by the ROC curve. In the sepsis group, 50 patients were male, and 50 patients were female. The 28-day all-cause mortality rate was 52%. Fifty-one patients with age-adjusted modified qSOFA scores >1. The serum lactate level was 2.4 mmol/L, and the blood glucose level was 9.3 mmol/L. The AUCs for the age-adjusted modified qSOFA score, serum lactate and blood glucose levels for the prediction of 28-day all-cause mortality in children with sepsis were 0.719, 0.719 and 0.737, respectively. The cut-off values were one point, 3.8 mmol/L and 10 mmol/L, respectively. The AUC of the age-adjusted modified qSOFA score for the validation set of was 0.925. When the three indices were combined, the AUC was 0.817, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed χ2 = 2.428 and p = .965. When children with sepsis are admitted to the ICU, we recommend performing rapid scoring and rapid bedside lactate and glucose testing to determine the early prognosis.

Implementing an ICU registry in Ethiopia-Implications for critical care quality improvement

PURPOSE

Intensive care units (ICUs) in low- and middle-income countries have high mortality rates, and clinical data are needed to guide quality improvement (QI) efforts. This study utilizes data from a validated ICU registry specially developed for resource-limited settings to identify evidence-based QI priorities for ICUs in Ethiopia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis of data from two tertiary referral hospital ICUs in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia from July 2021-June 2022 was conducted to describe casemix, complications and outcomes and identify features associated with ICU mortality.

RESULTS

Among 496 patients, ICU mortality was 35.3%. The most common reasons for ICU admission were respiratory failure (24.0%), major head injury (17.5%) and sepsis/septic shock (13.3%). Complications occurred in 41.0% of patients. ICU mortality was higher among patients with respiratory failure (46.2%), sepsis (66.7%) and vasopressor requirements (70.5%), those admitted from the hospital ward (64.7%), and those experiencing major complications in the ICU (62.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, ICU mortality was high, and complications were common and associated with increased mortality. ICU registries are invaluable tools to understand local casemix and clinical outcomes, especially in resource-limited settings. These findings provide a foundation for QI efforts and a baseline to evaluate their impact.

Part III: Temporal patterns, relative potencies, and hospital mortality

INTRODUCTION

The relationship between critical care mortality and combined impact of malglycemia remains undefined.

METHODS

We assessed the risk-adjusted relationship (n = 4790) between hospital mortality with malglycemia, defined as hypergycemia (hours Glycemic Ratio ≥ 1.1, where GR is quotient of mean ICU blood glucose (BG) and estimated average BG), absolute hypoglycemia (hours BG < 70 mg/dL) and relative hypoglycemia (excursions GR < 0.7 in those with HbA1c ≥ 8%).

RESULTS

Each malglycemia was independently associated with mortality - hyperglycemia (OR 1.0020/h, 95%CI 1.0009-1.0031, p = 0.0004), absolute hypoglycemia (OR 1.0616/h, 95%CI 1.0190-1.1061, p = 0.0043), and relative hypoglycemia (OR 1.2813/excursion, 95%CI 1.0704-1.5338, p = 0.0069). Absolute (7.4%) and relative hypoglycemia (6.7%) exposure dominated the first 24 h, decreasing thereafter. While hyperglycemia had lower risk association with mortality, it was persistently present across the length-of-stay (68-76% incidence daily), making it the dominant form of malglycemia. Relative contributions in the first five days from hyperglycemia, absolute hypoglycemia and relative hypoglycemia were 60%, 21% and 19% respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Absolute and relative hypoglycemia occurred largely in the first 24 h. Relative to all hypoglycemia, the associated mortality from the seemingly less potent but consistently more prevalent hyperglycemia steadily accumulated with increasing length-of-stay. This has important implications for interpretation of study results.

Variation in Hospital Mortality After Complex Cancer Surgery: Patient, Volume, Hospital or Social Determinants?

INTRODUCTION

We sought to define the individual contributions of patient characteristics (PCs), hospital characteristics (HCs), case volume (CV), and social determinants of health (SDoH) on in-hospital mortality (IHM) after complex cancer surgery.

METHODS

The California Department of Health Care Access and Information database identified patients who underwent esophagectomy (ES), pneumonectomy (PN), pancreatectomy (PD), or proctectomy (PR) for a malignant diagnosis between 2010 and 2020. Multi-level multivariable regression was performed to assess the proportion of variance explained by PCs, HCs, CV and SDoH on IHM.

RESULTS

A total of 52,838 patients underwent cancer surgery (ES: n = 2,700, 5.1%; PN: n = 30,822, 58.3%; PD: n = 7530, 14.3%; PR: n = 11,786, 22.3%) across 294 hospitals. The IHM for the overall cohort was 1.7% and varied from 4.4% for ES to 0.8% for PR. On multivariable regression, PCs contributed the most to the variance in IHM (overall: 32.0%; ES: 21.6%; PN: 28.0%; PD: 20.3%; PR: 39.9%). Among the overall cohort, CV contributed 2.4%, HCs contributed 1.3%, and SDoH contributed 1.2% to the variation in IHM. CV was the second highest contributor to IHM among ES (5.3%), PN (5.3%), and PD (5.9%); however, HCs were a more important contributor among patients who underwent PR (8.0%). The unexplained variance in IHM was highest among ES (72.4%), followed by the PD (67.5%) and PN (64.6%) patient groups.

CONCLUSIONS

PCs are the greatest underlying contributor to variations in IHM following cancer surgery. These data highlight the need to focus on optimizing patients and exploring unexplained sources of IHM to improve quality of surgical care.

Performance Improvement Program Review of Institutional Massive Transfusion Protocol Adherence: An Opportunity for Improvement

BACKGROUND

Given the acuity of patients who receive MTPs and the resources they require, MTPs are a compelling target for performance improvement. This study evaluated adherence with our MTP's plasma:red blood cell ratio (FFPR) of 1:2 and platelet:red blood cell ratio (PLTR) of 1:12, to test the hypothesis that ratio adherence is associated with lower inpatient mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The registry of an urban level I trauma center was queried for adult patients who received at least 6 units of packed red blood cells within 4 hours of presentation. Patients were excluded for interfacility transfer, cardiac arrest during the prehospital phase or within one hour of arrival, or for head AIS ≥5. Univariate analysis and multiple logistic regressions were performed to identify variables associated with early transfusion protocol noncompliance and the effect on inpatient mortality.

RESULTS

Three hundred and eighty-three patients were included, with mean ISS of 25.9 ± 13.3 and inpatient mortality of 28.5%. Increasing age, ISS, INR, and total units of blood product transfused were associated with increased odds of mortality, while an increase in revised trauma score was associated with a decreased odds ratio of mortality. Achieving our goal ratios were protective against mortality, with OR of .451 (P = .013) and .402 (P=.003), respectively.

DISCUSSION

Large proportions of critically injured patients were transfused fewer units of plasma and platelets than our MTP dictated; failure to achieve intended ratios at 4 hours was strongly associated with inpatient mortality. MTP processes and outcomes should be critically assessed on a regular basis as part of a mature performance improvement program to ensure protocol adherence and optimal patient outcome.

A Need for a Novel Survival Risk Scoring System for Intensive Care Admissions Due to Sepsis in Pediatric Hematology/Oncology Patients

Background: Children with hemato-oncological diseases or following stem cell transplantation (SCT) are at high risk for life-threatening infections; sepsis in this population constitutes a substantial proportion of pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admissions. The current pediatric prognostic scoring tools to evaluate illness severity and mortality risk are designed for the general pediatric population and may not be adequate for this vulnerable subpopulation. Methods: Retrospective analysis was performed on all PICU admissions for sepsis in children with hemato-oncological diseases or post-SCT, in a single tertiary pediatric hospital between 2008 and 2021 (n = 233). We collected and analyzed demographic, clinical, and laboratory data and outcomes for all patients, and evaluated the accuracy of two major prognostic scoring tools, the Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction-2 (PELOD-2) and the Pediatric Risk of Mortality III (PRISM III). Furthermore, we created a new risk-assessment model that contains additional parameters uniquely relevant to this population. Results: The survival rate for the cohort was 83%. The predictive accuracies of PELOD-2 and PRISM III, as determined by the area under the curve (AUC), were 83% and 78%, respectively. Nine new parameters were identified as clinically significant: age, SCT, viral infection, fungal infection, central venous line removal, vasoactive inotropic score, bilirubin level, C-reactive protein level, and prolonged neutropenia. Unique scoring systems were established by the integration of these new parameters into the algorithm; the new systems significantly improved their predictive accuracy to 91% (p = 0.01) and 89% (p < 0.001), respectively. Conclusions: The predictive accuracies (AUC) of the PELOD-2 and PRISM III scores are limited in children with hemato-oncological diseases admitted to PICU with sepsis. These results highlight the need to develop a risk-assessment tool adjusted to this special population. Such new scoring should represent their unique characteristics including their degree of immunosuppression and be validated in a large multi-center prospective study.

Socio-demographic and comorbid risk factors for poor prognosis in patients hospitalized with community-acquired bacterial pneumonia in southeastern US

BACKGROUND

How socio-demographic characteristics and comorbidities affect bacterial community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) prognosis during/after hospitalization is important in disease management.

OBJECTIVES

To identify predictors of medical intensive care unit (MICU) admission, length of hospital stay (LOS), in-hospital mortality, and bacterial CAP readmission in patients hospitalized with bacterial CAP.

METHODS

ICD-9/10 codes were used to query electronic medical records to identify a cohort of patients hospitalized for bacterial CAP at a tertiary hospital in Southeastern US between 01/01/2013-12/31/2019. Adjusted accelerated failure time and modified Poisson regression models were used to examine predictors of MICU admission, LOS, in-hospital mortality, and 1-year readmission.

RESULTS

There were 1956 adults hospitalized with bacterial CAP. Median (interquartile range) LOS was 11 days (6-23), and there were 26 % (513) MICU admission, 14 % (266) in-hospital mortality, and 6 % (117) 1-year readmission with recurrent CAP. MICU admission was associated with heart failure (RR 1.38; 95 % CI 1.17-1.62) and obesity (RR 1.26; 95 % CI 1.04-1.52). Longer LOS was associated with heart failure (adjusted time ratio[TR] 1.27;95 %CI 1.12-1.43), stroke (TR 1.90;95 %CI 1.54,2.35), type 2 diabetes (TR 1.20;95 %CI 1.07-1.36), obesity (TR 1.50;95 %CI 1.31-1.72), Black race (TR 1.17;95 %CI 1.04-1.31), and males (TR 1.24;95 %CI 1.10-1.39). In-hospital mortality was associated with stroke (RR 1.45;95 %CI 1.03-2.04) and age ≥65 years (RR 1.34;95 %CI 1.06-1.68). 1-year readmission was associated with COPD (RR 1.55;95 %CI 1.05-2.27) and underweight BMI (RR 1.74;95 %CI 1.04-2.90).

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidities and socio-demographic characteristics have varying impacts on bacterial CAP in-hospital prognosis and readmission. More studies are warranted to confirm these findings to develop comprehensive care plans and inform public health interventions.

Development of an enhanced scoring system to predict ICU readmission or in-hospital death within 24 hours using routine patient data from two NHS Foundation Trusts

RATIONALE

Intensive care units (ICUs) admit the most severely ill patients. Once these patients are discharged from the ICU to a step-down ward, they continue to have their vital signs monitored by nursing staff, with Early Warning Score (EWS) systems being used to identify those at risk of deterioration.

OBJECTIVES

We report the development and validation of an enhanced continuous scoring system for predicting adverse events, which combines vital signs measured routinely on acute care wards (as used by most EWS systems) with a risk score of a future adverse event calculated on discharge from the ICU.

DESIGN

A modified Delphi process identified candidate variables commonly available in electronic records as the basis for a 'static' score of the patient's condition immediately after discharge from the ICU. L1-regularised logistic regression was used to estimate the in-hospital risk of future adverse event. We then constructed a model of physiological normality using vital sign data from the day of hospital discharge. This is combined with the static score and used continuously to quantify and update the patient's risk of deterioration throughout their hospital stay.

SETTING

Data from two National Health Service Foundation Trusts (UK) were used to develop and (externally) validate the model.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 12 394 vital sign measurements were acquired from 273 patients after ICU discharge for the development set, and 4831 from 136 patients in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Outcome validation of our model yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.724 for predicting ICU readmission or in-hospital death within 24 hours. It showed an improved performance with respect to other competitive risk scoring systems, including the National EWS (0.653).

CONCLUSIONS

We showed that a scoring system incorporating data from a patient's stay in the ICU has better performance than commonly used EWS systems based on vital signs alone.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN32008295.

The relationship between red cell distribution width, serum calcium ratio, and in-hospital mortality among patients with acute respiratory failure: A retrospective cohort study of the MIMIC-IV database

To investigate the impact of RDW/CA (the ratio of red cell distribution width to calcium) on in-hospital mortality in patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). This retrospective cohort study analyzed the data of 6981 ARF patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database 2.0. Critically ill participants between 2008 and 2019 at the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston. The primary outcome of interest was in-hospital mortality. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine whether the RDW/CA ratio independently correlated with in-hospital mortality. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curves of the RDW/CA. Subgroup analyses were performed to measure the mortality across various subgroups. After adjusting for potential covariates, we found that a higher RDW/CA was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.01-1.35, P = .0365) in ARF patients. A nonlinear relationship was observed between RDW/CA and in-hospital mortality, with an inflection point of 1.97. When RDW/CA ≥ 1.97 was positively correlated with in-hospital mortality in patients with ARF (HR = 1.554, 95% CI: 1.183-2.042, P = .0015). The Kaplan-Meier curve indicated the higher survival rates for RDW/CA < 1.97 and the lower for RDW/CA ≥ 1.97 after adjustment for age, gender, body mass index, and ethnicity. RDW/CA is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with ARF. Furthermore, a nonlinear relationship was observed between RDW/CA and in-hospital mortality in patients with ARF.

Predictors of Severity of Influenza-Related Hospitalizations: Results From the Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network (GIHSN)

BACKGROUND

The Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network (GIHSN) has since 2012 provided patient-level data on severe influenza-like-illnesses from >100 participating clinical sites worldwide based on a core protocol and consistent case definitions.

METHODS

We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the risk of intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital death among hospitalized patients with influenza and explored the role of patient-level covariates and country income level.

RESULTS

The data set included 73 121 patients hospitalized with respiratory illness in 22 countries, including 15 660 with laboratory-confirmed influenza. After adjusting for patient-level covariates we found a 7-fold increase in the risk of influenza-related intensive care unit admission in lower middle-income countries (LMICs), compared with high-income countries (P = .01). The risk of mechanical ventilation and in-hospital death also increased by 4-fold in LMICs, though these differences were not statistically significant. We also find that influenza mortality increased significantly with older age and number of comorbid conditions. Across all severity outcomes studied and after controlling for patient characteristics, infection with influenza A/H1N1pdm09 was more severe than with A/H3N2.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides new information on influenza severity in underresourced populations, particularly those in LMICs.

Preoperative anaemia in distal pancreatectomy: a propensity-score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Preoperative anaemia is a prevalent morbidity predictor that adversely affects short- and long-term outcomes of patients undergoing surgery. This analysis aimed to investigate preoperative anaemia and its detrimental effects on patients after distal pancreatectomy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The present study was a propensity-score match analysis of 286 consecutive patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy. Patients were screened for preoperative anaemia and classified according to WHO recommendations. The primary outcome measure was overall morbidity. The secondary endpoints were in-hospital mortality and rehospitalization.

RESULTS

The preoperative anaemia rate before matching was 34.3% (98 patients), and after matching a total of 127 patients (non-anaemic 42 vs. anaemic 85) were included. Anaemic patients had significantly more postoperative major complications (54.1% vs. 23.8%; p < 0.01), a higher comprehensive complication index (26.2 vs. 4.3; p < 0.01), and higher in-hospital mortality rate (14.1% vs. 2.4%; p = 0.04). Multivariate regression analysis confirmed these findings and identified preoperative anaemia as a strong independent risk factor for postoperative major morbidity (OR 4.047; 95% CI: 1.587-10.320; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The current propensity-score matched analysis strongly considered preoperative anaemia as a risk factor for major complications following distal pancreatectomy. Therefore, an intense preoperative anaemia workup should be increasingly prioritised.

Characteristics and factors associated with mortality in tracheostomized patients with COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study in a hospital in Tacna, Peru

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to describe the main demographic, clinical, laboratory and therapeutic characteristics and to identify whether they are associated with mortality in tracheostomized patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS.

Retrospective cohort study in adult patients diagnosed with COVID-19, admitted to ICU (Intensive Care Unit) and requiring tracheostomy. Demographic, clinical, laboratory and treatment data were obtained from the medical records of patients admitted to Hospital III Daniel Alcides Carrión in Tacna. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for survival analysis and hazard ratios (HR) with their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated.

RESULTS.

We evaluated 73 patients, 72.6% were men, the most common comorbidities were obesity (68.5%), type 2 diabetes mellitus (35.6%), and arterial hypertension (34.2%). Thirty-seven percent of the participants died during their stay at the ICU. The median time from intubation to tracheostomy and the duration of tracheostomy was 17 (RIC: 15-21) and 21 (RIC: 3-39) days, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that the factors associated with mortality were procalcitonin > 0.50 ng/dL at the time of tracheostomy (HRa: 2.40 95%CI: 1.03-5.59) and a PaO2/FiO2 ratio less than or equal to 150 mmHg (HRa: 4.44 95%CI: 1.56-12.60).

CONCLUSIONS.

The factors associated with mortality at the time of tracheostomy were procalcitonin > 0.50 ng/dL and a PaO2/FiO2 ratio less than or equal to 150 mmHg.

Hospital segregation, critical care strain, and inpatient mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in New York City

BACKGROUND

Hospital segregation by race, ethnicity, and health insurance coverage is prevalent, with some hospitals providing a disproportionate share of undercompensated care. We assessed whether New York City (NYC) hospitals serving a higher proportion of Medicaid and uninsured patients pre-pandemic experienced greater critical care strain during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, and whether this greater strain was associated with higher rates of in-hospital mortality.

METHODS

In a retrospective analysis of all-payer NYC hospital discharge data, we examined changes in admissions, stratified by use of intensive care unit (ICU), from the baseline period in early 2020 to the first COVID-19 wave across hospital quartiles (265,329 admissions), and crude and risk-adjusted inpatient mortality rates, also stratified by ICU use, in the first COVID wave across hospital quartiles (23,032 inpatient deaths), based on the proportion of Medicaid or uninsured admissions from 2017-2019 (quartile 1 lowest to 4 highest). Logistic regressions were used to assess the cross-sectional association between ICU strain, defined as ICU volume in excess of the baseline average, and patient-level mortality.

RESULTS

ICU admissions in the first COVID-19 wave were 84%, 97%, 108%, and 123% of the baseline levels by hospital quartile 1-4, respectively. The risk-adjusted mortality rates for ICU admissions were 36.4 (CI = 34.7,38.2), 43.6 (CI = 41.5,45.8), 45.9 (CI = 43.8,48.1), and 45.7 (CI = 43.6,48.0) per 100 admissions, and those for non-ICU admissions were 8.6 (CI = 8.3,9.0), 10.9 (CI = 10.6,11.3), 12.6 (CI = 12.1,13.0), and 12.1 (CI = 11.6,12.7) per 100 admissions by hospital quartile 1-4, respectively. Compared with the reference group of 100% or less of the baseline weekly average, ICU admissions on a day for which the ICU volume was 101-150%, 151-200%, and > 200% of the baseline weekly average had odds ratios of 1.17 (95% CI = 1.10, 1.26), 2.63 (95% CI = 2.31, 3.00), and 3.26 (95% CI = 2.82, 3.78) for inpatient mortality, and non-ICU admissions on a day for which the ICU volume was 101-150%, 151-200%, and > 200% of the baseline weekly average had odds ratios of 1.28 (95% CI = 1.22, 1.34), 2.60 (95% CI = 2.40, 2.82), and 3.44 (95% CI = 3.11, 3.63) for inpatient mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings are consistent with hospital segregation as a potential driver of COVID-related mortality inequities and highlight the need to desegregate health care to address structural racism, advance health equity, and improve pandemic resiliency.

Serum Nostrin-A risk factor of death, kidney replacement therapy and acute kidney disease in acute kidney injury

BACKGROUND

The prediction of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI)-related outcomes remains challenging. Persistent kidney excretory dysfunction for longer than 7 days has been defined as Acute Kidney Disease (AKD). In this study, we prospectively quantified serum Nostrin, an essential regulator of endothelial NO metabolism, in hospitalized patients with AKI.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

In-hospital subjects with AKI of various etiology were identified through the in-hospital AKI alert system of the Brandenburg University Hospital. Serum Nostrin, and serum NGAL and KIM-1 were measured within a maximum of 48 hours from the timepoint of initial diagnosis of AKI. The following endpoints were defined: in-hospital death, need of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), recovery of kidney function (ROKF) until discharge.

RESULTS

AKI patients had significantly higher serum Nostrin levels compared to Controls. The level of serum Nostrin increased significantly with the severity of AKI. Within the group of AKI patients (n = 150) the in-hospital mortality was 16.7%, KRT was performed in 39.3%, no ROKF occurred in 28%. Patients who required KRT had significantly higher levels of serum Nostrin compared to patients who did not require KRT. Significantly higher levels of serum Nostrin were also detected in AKI patients without ROKF compared to patients with ROKF. In addition, low serum Nostrin levels at the timepoint of AKI diagnosis were predictive of in-hospital survival. For comparison, the serum concentrations of NGAL and KIM-1 were determined in parallel to the Nostrin concentrations and the results confirm the prognostic properties of serum Nostrin in AKI.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study suggests serum Nostrin as novel biomarker of AKI-associated mortality, KRT and Acute Kidney Disease.

Impact of center volume on in-hospital mortality in adult patients with out‑of‑hospital cardiac arrest resuscitated using extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation: a secondary analysis of the SAVE-J II study

Recently, patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) refractory to conventional resuscitation have started undergoing extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR). However, the mortality rate of these patients remains high. This study aimed to clarify whether a center ECPR volume was associated with the survival rates of adult patients with OHCA resuscitated using ECPR. This was a secondary analysis of a retrospective multicenter registry study, the SAVE-J II study, involving 36 participating institutions in Japan. Centers were divided into three groups according to the tertiles of the annual average number of patients undergoing ECPR: high-volume (≥ 21 sessions per year), medium-volume (11-20 sessions per year), or low-volume (< 11 sessions per year). The primary outcome was survival rate at the time of discharge. Patient characteristics and outcomes were compared among the three groups. Moreover, a multivariable-adjusted logistic regression model was applied to study the impact of center ECPR volume. A total of 1740 patients were included in this study. The center ECPR volume was strongly associated with survival rate at the time of discharge; furthermore, survival rate was best in high-volume compared with medium- and low-volume centers (33.4%, 24.1%, and 26.8%, respectively; P = 0.001). After adjusting for patient characteristics, undergoing ECPR at high-volume centers was associated with an increased likelihood of survival compared to middle- (adjusted odds ratio 0.657; P = 0.003) and low-volume centers (adjusted odds ratio 0.983; P = 0.006). The annual number of ECPR sessions was associated with favorable survival rates and lower complication rates of the ECPR procedure.Clinical trial registration: https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000041577 (unique identifier: UMIN000036490).

Differences in Receipt of Neurologist Evaluation During Hospitalization for Ischemic Stroke by Race, Sex, Age, and Region: The REGARDS Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Improving access to health care providers with clinical expertise in stroke care may influence the use of recommended strategies for reducing disparities in quality of care. Few studies have examined differences in the receipt of evaluation by neurologists during the hospital stay. We examined the proportion of individuals hospitalized for acute ischemic stroke who received evaluation by a neurologist during the hospital stay and characterized differences in receipt of neurologist evaluation by race (Black vs White), sex, age, and study region (Stroke Belt residence vs other) among those experiencing a stroke who were participating in a national cohort study.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted using medical record data abstracted from 1,042 participants enrolled in the national Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke cohort study (2003-2007) who experienced an adjudicated ischemic stroke between 2003 and 2016. Participants with a history of stroke before baseline, in-hospital death, hospice discharge following their stroke, or incomplete records were excluded resulting in 839 cases. Differences were assessed using modified Poisson regression adjusting for participant-level and hospital-level factors.

RESULTS

Of the 839 incident strokes, 722 (86%) received evaluation by a neurologist during the hospital stay. There were no significant differences by age, race, or sex, yet Stroke Belt residents and those receiving care in rural hospitals were significantly less likely to receive neurologist evaluation compared with non-Stroke Belt residents (relative risk [RR] 0.95; 95% CI 0.90-1.01) and participants receiving care in urban hospitals (RR 0.74; 95% CI 0.63-0.86). Participants with a greater level of poststroke functional impairment (modified Rankin scale) and those with a greater number of risk factors were more likely to receive neurologist evaluation compared with those with lower levels of poststroke functional impairment (RR 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.06) and fewer risk factors (RR 1.02; 95% CI 1.00-1.04).

DISCUSSION

While differences in access to neurologists during the hospital stay were partially explained by patient need in our study, there were also significant differences in access by region and urban-rural hospital status. Ensuring access to neurologists during the hospital stay in such settings may require policy-level and/or system-level changes.

Prior pneumococcal vaccination improves in-hospital mortality among elderly population hospitalized due to community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal vaccination is a preventive method to reduce pneumonia related mortality. However, real-world data on efficacy of the pneumococcal vaccine in reducing mortality is lacking, especially in elderly patients. This study was conducted to assess the effects of prior pneumococcal vaccination in elderly pneumonia patients.

METHODS

The data was procured from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment and Quality Assessment database. Hospitalized patients who met the criteria of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) were included and they were grouped according to vaccination state. Patients were aged ≥ 65 years and treated with beta-lactam, quinolone, or macrolide. Patients were excluded when treatment outcomes were unknown.

RESULTS

A total of 4515 patients were evaluated, and 1609 (35.6%) of them were vaccinated prior to hospitalization. Mean age was 77.0 [71.0;82.0], 54.2% of them were male, and mean Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) was 3.0. The patients in the vaccinated group were younger than those in the unvaccinated group (76.0 vs. 78.0 years; P < 0.001), and showed higher in-hospital improvement (97.6 vs. 95.0%; P < 0.001) and lower 30-day mortality (2.6 vs. 5.3%; P < 0.001). After adjusting confounding factors such as age, gender, CURB score and CCI score, the vaccinated group demonstrated a significant reduction in 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.41-0.81; P < 0.01) and in-hospital mortality (HR 0.53, 95% CI0.37-0.78; P < 0.001) compared to the unvaccinated group in multivariate analysis. Vaccinated group showed better 30-day survival than those in non-vaccinated group (log-rank test < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Among elderly hospitalized CAP patients, prior pneumococcal vaccination was associated with improved in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality.

Cutoff of the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow coma scale for predicting in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Early identification of patients at risk of potential death and timely transfer to appropriate healthcare facilities are critical for reducing the number of preventable trauma deaths. This study aimed to establish a cutoff value to predict in-hospital mortality using the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG).

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study used data from 23 emergency departments in South Korea between January 2011 and December 2020. The outcome variable was the in-hospital mortality. The relationship between rSIG and in-hospital mortality was plotted using the shape-restricted regression spline method. To set a cutoff for rSIG, we found the point on the curve where mortality started to increase and the point where the slope of the mortality curve changed the most. We also calculated the cutoff value for rSIG using Youden's index.

RESULTS

A total of 318,506 adult patients with trauma were included. The shape-restricted regression spline curve showed that in-hospital mortality began to increase when the rSIG value was less than 18.86, and the slope of the graph increased the most at 12.57. The cutoff of 16.5, calculated using Youden's index, was closest to the target under-triage and over-triage rates, as suggested by the American College of Surgeons, when applied to patients with an rSIG of 20 or less. In addition, in patients with traumatic brain injury, when the rSIG value was over 25, in-hospital mortality tended to increase as the rSIG value increased.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose an rSIG cutoff value of 16.5 as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma. However, in patients with traumatic brain injury, a high rSIG is also associated with in-hospital mortality. Appropriate cutoffs should be established for this group in the future.

A new nomogram to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with acute decompensated chronic heart failure and diabetes after 48 Hours of Intensive Care Unit

BACKGROUND

The study set out to develop an accurate and clinically valuable prognostic nomogram to assess the risk of in-hospital death in patients with acute decompensated chronic heart failure (ADCHF) and diabetes.

METHODS

We extracted clinical data of patients diagnosed with ADCHF and diabetes from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database. Risk variables were selected utilizing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis, and were included in multivariate logistic regression and presented in nomogram. bootstrap was used for internal validation. The discriminative power and predictive accuracy of the nomogram were estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Among 867 patients with ADCHF and diabetes, In-hospital death occurred in 81 (9.3%) patients. Age, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, red blood cell distribution width, shock, β-blockers, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, assisted ventilation, and blood urea nitrogen were brought into the nomogram model. The calibration curves suggested that the nomogram was well calibrated. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.873 (95% CI: 0.834-0.911), which was higher that of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II [0.761 (95% CI: 0.711-0.810)] and sequential organ failure assessment score [0.699 (95% CI: 0.642-0.756)], and Guidelines-Heart Failure score [0.782 (95% CI: 0.731-0.835)], indicating that the nomogram had better ability to predict in-hospital mortality. In addition, the internally validated C-index was 0.857 (95% CI: 0.825-0.891), which again verified the validity of this model.

CONCLUSIONS

This study constructed a simple and accurate nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with ADCHF and diabetes, especially in those who admitted to the intensive care unit for more than 48 hours, which contributed clinicians to assess the risk and individualize the treatment of patients, thereby reducing in-hospital mortality.

Outcome of right ventricular microaxial pump support in patients undergoing cardiac surgery

Right ventricular failure (RVF) after cardiac surgery is associated with an in-hospital mortality rate of up to 75%. Microaxial flow pumps are one of the mechanical circulatory supports (MCS) options available for the treatment of RVF, however the specifics of timing and indication for MCS, as well as predictors for survival, remain unclear due to a dearth of published data. We evaluated the clinical outcome of patients treated with Impella-RP for predictors of mortality and the hemodynamic effects of the pump. This is a single-center retrospective observational study involving adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass between January 2019 and December 2020 in cardiac surgery and required therapeutic management of RVF with an Impella-RP. Overall, 18 patients were included and analyzed for factors that could be associated with mortality, or that could be predictors of patient outcomes for this population. Treatment of RVF with Impella-RP improved the patient hemodynamics significantly and had a survival rate of 61% within 30 days. Patients with isolated CABG or better liver function before implantation had a better survival rate, which may indicate that underlying disease and timing of implantation are significant for successful treatment of RVF.

Improving predictions: Enhancing in-hospital mortality forecast for ICU patients with sepsis-induced coagulopathy using a stacking ensemble model

The incidence of sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) is high, leading to increased mortality rates and prolonged hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) stays. Early identification of SIC patients at risk of in-hospital mortality can improve patient prognosis. The objective of this study is to develop and validate machine learning (ML) models to dynamically predict in-hospital mortality risk in SIC patients. A ML model is established based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database to predict in-hospital mortality in SIC patients. Utilizing univariate feature selection for feature screening. The optimal model was determined by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The optimal model was interpreted using Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values. Among the 3112 SIC patients included in MIMIC-IV, a total of 757 (25%) patients experienced mortality during their ICU stay. Univariate feature selection helps us to pick out the 20 most critical variables from the original feature. Among the 10 developed machine learning models, the stacking ensemble model exhibited the highest AUC (0.795, 95% CI: 0.763-0.827). Anion gap and age emerged as the most significant features for predicting the mortality risk in SIC. In this study, an ML model was constructed that exhibited excellent performance in predicting in-hospital mortality risk in SIC patients. Specifically, the stacking ensemble model demonstrated superior predictive ability.

A study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients with AKI in a setting of multiracial developing country

BACKGROUND

The commonest indication for hospitalization in COVID-19 patients is hypoxemia or severe respiratory symptoms. However, COVID-19 disease may result in extrapulmonary complications including kidney-related pathology. The reported incidence of renal involvement related to COVID infection varies based on geographical location.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the incidence rate of AKI in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and identify risk factors and prognostic predictors.

METHOD

In this retrospective study, we recruited hospitalized COVID-19 patients from January 2021 until June 2021 at the University Malaya Medical Center. The inclusion criteria were hospitalized for ≥ 48 h with confirmed COVID-19 infection and at least 18 years old. Patient demographic and clinical data were collected from electronic medical records. The staging of AKI was based on criteria as per KDIGO guidelines.

RESULTS

One thousand five hundred twenty-nine COVID patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria with a male-to-female ratio of 759 (49.6%) to 770 (50.3%). The median age was 55 (IQR: 36-66). 500 patients (32.7%) had diabetes, 621 (40.6%) had hypertension, and 5.6% (n = 85) had pre-existing chronic kidney disease (CKD). The incidence rate of AKI was 21.1% (n = 323). The percentage of COVID patients in different AKI stages of 1,2 and 3 were 16.3%, 2.1%, and 2.7%, respectively. Fifteen hospitalized patients (0.98%) required renal replacement therapy. 58.8% (n = 190) of AKI group had complete recovery of kidney function. Demographic factors included age (p < 0.001), diabetes (p < 0.001), hypertension (p < 0.012), CKD (p < 0.001), and vaccination status (p = 0.042) were associated with an increased risk of developing AKI. We found that the AKI cohort had statistically significant lower platelet counts and higher ferritin levels than the non-AKI cohort. AKI is a risk predictor of prolonged hospitalization (p < 0.001) and higher mortality rates (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

AKI is a common clinical complication among hospitalized COVID-19 patients. The etiology of AKI is multifactorial and may have an adverse impact on patient morbidity and mortality.

Positive association between sodium-to-chloride ratio and in-hospital mortality of acute heart failure

Previous studies have suggested that levels of sodium and chloride in the blood may be indicative of the prognosis of different medical conditions. Nevertheless, the assessment of the prognostic significance of the sodium-to-chloride (Na/Cl) ratio in relation to in-hospital mortality among individuals suffering from acute heart failure (AHF) remains unexplored. In this study, the participants were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database and divided into three groups based on the Na/Cl ratio level upon admission. The primary results were the mortality rate within the hospital. Cox regression, Kaplan-Meier curves, receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and subgroup analyses were utilized to investigate the correlation between the admission Na/Cl ratio and outcomes in critically ill patients with AHF. A total of 7844 patients who met the selection criteria were included in this study. After adjusting for confounders, the multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that the baseline Na/Cl ratio significantly elevated the risk of in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with AHF (HR = 1.34, 95% CI 1.21-1.49). Furthermore, when the Na/Cl ratio was converted into a categorical factor and the initial tertile was taken as a point of comparison, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the second and third tertiles were 1.27 (1.05-1.54) and 1.53 (1.27-1.84), respectively. Additionally, a P value indicating a significant trend of < 0.001 was observed. ROC curve analysis showed that Na/Cl ratio had a more sensitive prognostic value in predicting in-hospital mortality of AHF than the sodium or chloride level alone (0.564 vs. 0.505, 0.544). Subgroup examinations indicated that the association between the Na/Cl ratio upon admission and the mortality rate of critically ill patients with AHF remained consistent in the subgroups of hyponatremia and hypochlorhydria (P for interaction > 0.05). The linear relationship between the Na/Cl ratio and in-hospital mortality in AHF patients indicates a positive association.

Influence of diabetes and other risk factors on in-hospital mortality following kidney transplantation: an analysis of the Spanish National Hospital Discharge Database from 2016 to 2020

INTRODUCTION

To assess time trends in incidence, clinical characteristics, complications, and hospital outcomes among patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D), with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and patients without diabetes who underwent kidney transplant (KT); to identify variables associated with in-hospital mortality (IHM); and to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used a nationwide discharge database to select KT recipients admitted to Spanish hospitals from 2016 to 2020. We stratified patients according to diabetes status. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify the variables associated with IHM.

RESULTS

A total of 14 594 KTs were performed in Spain (T2D, 22.28%; T1D, 3.72%). The number of KTs rose between 2016 and 2019 and and decreased from 2019 to 2020 in all groups. In patients with T2D, the frequency of KT complications increased from 21.08% in 2016 to 34.17% in 2020 (p<0.001). Patients with T2D had significantly more comorbidity than patients with T1D and patients without diabetes (p<0.001). Patients with T1D experienced KT rejection significantly more frequently (8.09%) than patients with T2D (5.57%).COVID-19 was recorded in 26 out of the 2444 KTs performed in 2020, being found in 6 of the 39 patients deceased that year (15.38%) and in 0.83% of the survivors.The variables associated with IHM were comorbidity and complications of KT. The presence of T1D was associated with IHM (OR 2.6; 95% CI 1.36 to 5.16) when patients without diabetes were the reference category. However, T2D was not associated with a higher IHM (OR 0.86; 95% CI 0.61 to 1.2).

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic led to a decrease in the number of transplants. Patients with T1D have more rejection of the transplanted organ than patients with T2D. Fewer women with T2D undergo KT. The presence of T1D is a risk factor for IHM.

Sedation versus general anesthesia on all-cause mortality in patients undergoing percutaneous procedures: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The comparison between sedation and general anesthesia (GA) in terms of all-cause mortality remains a subject of ongoing debate. The primary objective of our study was to investigate the impact of GA and sedation on all-cause mortality in order to provide clarity on this controversial topic.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted, incorporating cohort studies and RCTs about postoperative all-cause mortality. Comprehensive searches were performed in the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases, with the search period extending until February 28, 2023. Two independent reviewers extracted the relevant information, including the number of deaths, survivals, and risk effect values at various time points following surgery, and these data were subsequently pooled and analyzed using a random effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 58 studies were included in the analysis, with a majority focusing on endovascular surgery. The findings of our analysis indicated that, overall, and in most subgroup analyses, sedation exhibited superiority over GA in terms of in-hospital and 30-day mortality. However, no significant difference was observed in subgroup analyses specific to cerebrovascular surgery. About 90-day mortality, the majority of studies centered around cerebrovascular surgery. Although the overall pooled results showed a difference between sedation and GA, no distinction was observed between the pooled ORs and the subgroup analyses based on RCTs and matched cohort studies. For one-year all-cause mortality, all included studies focused on cardiac and macrovascular surgery. No difference was found between the HRs and the results derived from RCTs and matched cohort studies.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggested a potential superiority of sedation over GA, particularly in the context of cardiac and macrovascular surgery, mitigating the risk of in-hospital and 30-day death. However, for the longer postoperative periods, this difference remains uncertain.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42023399151; registered 24 February 2023.

Short- and Long-term survival prediction in patients with acute type A aortic dissection undergoing open surgery

BACKGROUND

Acute Type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a life-threatening cardiovascular disease associated with high mortality rates, where surgical intervention remains the primary life-saving treatment. However, the mortality rate for ATAAD operations continues to be alarmingly high. To address this critical issue, our study aimed to assess the correlation between preoperative laboratory examination, clinical imaging data, and postoperative mortality in ATAAD patients. Additionally, we sought to establish a reliable prediction model for evaluating the risk of postoperative death.

METHODS

In this study, a total of 384 patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) who were admitted to the emergency department for surgical treatment were included. Based on preoperative laboratory examination and clinical imaging data of ATAAD patients, logistic analysis was used to obtain independent risk factors for postoperative in-hospital death. The survival prediction model was based on cox regression analysis and displayed as a nomogram.

RESULTS

Logistic analysis identified several independent risk factors for postoperative in-hospital death, including Marfan syndrome, previous cardiac surgery history, previous renal dialysis history, direct bilirubin, serum phosphorus, D-dimer, white blood cell, multiple aortic ruptures and age. A survival prediction model based on cox regression analysis was established and presented as a nomogram. The model exhibited good discrimination and significantly improved the prediction of death risk in ATAAD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we developed a novel survival prediction model for acute type A aortic dissection based on preoperative clinical features. The model demonstrated good discriminatory power and improved accuracy in predicting the risk of death in ATAAD patients undergoing open surgery.

Mortality and Severe Complications Among Newly Graduated Surgeons in the United States

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate severe complications and mortality over years of independent practice among general surgeons.

BACKGROUND

Despite concerns that newly graduated general surgeons may be unprepared for independent practice, it is unclear whether patient outcomes differ between early and later career surgeons.

METHODS

We used Medicare claims for patients discharged between July 1, 2007 and December 31, 2019 to evaluate 30-day severe complications and mortality for 26 operations defined as core procedures by the American Board of Surgery. Generalized additive mixed models were used to assess the association between surgeon years in practice and 30-day outcomes while adjusting for differences in patient, hospital, and surgeon characteristics.

RESULTS

The cohort included 1,329,358 operations performed by 14,399 surgeons. In generalized mixed models, the relative risk (RR) of mortality was higher among surgeons in their first year of practice compared with surgeons in their 15th year of practice [5.5% (95% CI: 4.1%-7.3%) vs 4.7% (95% CI: 3.5%-6.3%), RR: 1.17 (95% CI: 1.11-1.22)]. Similarly, the RR of severe complications was higher among surgeons in their first year of practice compared with surgeons in their 15th year of practice [7.5% (95% CI: 6.6%-8.5%) versus 6.9% (95% CI: 6.1%-7.9%), RR: 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03-1.14)]. When stratified by individual operation, 21 operations had a significantly higher RR of mortality and all 26 operations had a significantly higher RR of severe complications in the first compared with the 15th year of practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Among general surgeons performing common operations, rates of mortality and severe complications were higher among newly graduated surgeons compared with later career surgeons.

In-hospital complications and readmission patterns in 13,937 patients with developmental dysplasia of the hip undergoing total hip arthroplasty: Evidence from the Chinese national database

PURPOSE

Clarifying the prognosis and readmission patterns of patients with developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) following total hip arthroplasty (THA) would provide important references for clinical management for this population. Using the Chinese national inpatient database (i.e., Hospital Quality Monitoring System [HQMS]), we aimed to compare in-hospital complications and readmission patterns following THA in patients with DDH and primary osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

Patients undergoing THA for DDH and OA between 2013 and 2019 were identified using the HQMS. Demographics and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups. After propensity score matching, in-hospital complications and readmission patterns were compared using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

According to the analysis of 13,937 propensity-score matched pairs, there were no significant differences in the incidence of in-hospital death (0.01 % vs 0.04 %, P = 0.142), transfusion (8.09 % vs 7.89 %, P = 0.536), wound infection (0.31 % vs 0.25 %, P = 0.364), deep venous thrombosis (0.45 % vs 0.43 %, P = 0.786), pulmonary embolism (0.03 % vs 0.05 %, P = 0.372) or all-cause readmission (2.87 % vs 3.12 %, P = 0.219) between two groups. However, DDH patients had higher surgical readmission rates than OA patients (1.43 % vs 1.14 %, P = 0.033). When analyzing causes of surgical readmission, DDH patients had increased risk of dislocation (0.37 % vs 0.21 %, P = 0.011) and aseptic loosening (0.17 % vs 0.07 %, P = 0.024) than OA patients.

CONCLUSION

DDH patients had an increased risk of surgical readmission following THA, mainly driven by dislocation and aseptic loosening, which should be recognized and appropriately prevented.

The effect of a post-anaesthesia high-care unit (PAHCU) admission on mobilization, length of stay and in-hospital mortality post-surgery in low energy neck of femur fracture patients

PURPOSE/AIM

With an ageing population and an increase in fragility fractures of the hip (FFH), the role of an anaesthetist is evolving to include more peri-operative care. A post-anaesthesia high-care unit (PAHCU) should enhance care in post-operative patients. To our knowledge, there are no studies that have investigated the effect of a PAHCU admission on post-operative outcomes after FFH. This study aimed to compare post-operative outcomes of FFH patients admitted to PAHCU versus a standard post-operative orthopaedic ward (POOW).

METHODOLOGY

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on adult patients with FFH who underwent surgery between January 2019 and December 2020 at our institution. Data were sourced from electronic medical records. SPSS version 28 was used to analyse data.

RESULTS

A total of 231 patients were included. The PAHCU group (n = 35) displayed a higher burden of chronic illness and higher peri-operative risk scores as compared to the POOW group (n = 196). Median time to mobilize (TTM) in PAHCU was 84 h vs. 45 h in POOW group (p = 0.013). Median length of stay (LOS) in PAHCU was 133 h vs. 94 h in POOW (p = 0.001). The in-hospital mortality was 2.9% (n = 1) for PAHCU and 3.6% (n = 7) for POOW (p = 1). The 30-day mortality was 11.8% (n = 4) for PAHCU and 10.1% (n = 19) in POOW.

CONCLUSION

PAHCU admission resulted in delayed time to surgery and TTM, together with prolonged LOS, compared to those managed in POOW. However, these mortality rates remained comparable in both groups. This study contributes valuable insights into post-operative care of FFH patients in a resource-poor setting.

Multimodal Prediction of 3- and 12-Month Outcomes in ICU Patients with Acute Disorders of Consciousness

BACKGROUND

In intensive care unit (ICU) patients with coma and other disorders of consciousness (DoC), outcome prediction is key to decision-making regarding prognostication, neurorehabilitation, and management of family expectations. Current prediction algorithms are largely based on chronic DoC, whereas multimodal data from acute DoC are scarce. Therefore, the Consciousness in Neurocritical Care Cohort Study Using Electroencephalography and Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (i.e. CONNECT-ME; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02644265) investigates ICU patients with acute DoC due to traumatic and nontraumatic brain injuries, using electroencephalography (EEG) (resting-state and passive paradigms), functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) (resting-state) and systematic clinical examinations.

METHODS

We previously presented results for a subset of patients (n = 87) concerning prediction of consciousness levels in the ICU. Now we report 3- and 12-month outcomes in an extended cohort (n = 123). Favorable outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score ≤ 3, a cerebral performance category score ≤ 2, and a Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended score ≥ 4. EEG features included visual grading, automated spectral categorization, and support vector machine consciousness classifier. fMRI features included functional connectivity measures from six resting-state networks. Random forest and support vector machine were applied to EEG and fMRI features to predict outcomes. Here, random forest results are presented as areas under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curves or accuracy. Cox proportional regression with in-hospital death as a competing risk was used to assess independent clinical predictors of time to favorable outcome.

RESULTS

Between April 2016 and July 2021, we enrolled 123 patients (mean age 51 years, 42% women). Of 82 (66%) ICU survivors, 3- and 12-month outcomes were available for 79 (96%) and 77 (94%), respectively. EEG features predicted both 3-month (AUC 0.79 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77-0.82]) and 12-month (AUC 0.74 [95% CI 0.71-0.77]) outcomes. fMRI features appeared to predict 3-month outcome (accuracy 0.69-0.78) both alone and when combined with some EEG features (accuracies 0.73-0.84) but not 12-month outcome (larger sample sizes needed). Independent clinical predictors of time to favorable outcome were younger age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.04 [95% CI 1.02-1.06]), traumatic brain injury (HR 1.94 [95% CI 1.04-3.61]), command-following abilities at admission (HR 2.70 [95% CI 1.40-5.23]), initial brain imaging without severe pathological findings (HR 2.42 [95% CI 1.12-5.22]), improving consciousness in the ICU (HR 5.76 [95% CI 2.41-15.51]), and favorable visual-graded EEG (HR 2.47 [95% CI 1.46-4.19]).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that EEG and fMRI features and readily available clinical data predict short-term outcome of patients with acute DoC and that EEG also predicts 12-month outcome after ICU discharge.

Definitions of major bleeding for predicting mortality in critically ill adult patients who survived 24 hours while supported with peripheral veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiogenic shock: a comparative historical cohort study

PURPOSE

The severity of bleeding events is heterogeneously defined during peripheral veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (pVA-ECMO). We studied three bleeding definitions in pVA-ECMO: the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO)-serious bleeding, the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC), and the universal definition of postoperative bleeding (UPDB) classifications.

METHODS

We included consecutive adult patients supported by pVA-ECMO for refractory cardiogenic shock admitted to Lille academic hospitals between January 2013 and December 2019. We assessed the association of bleeding definitions with the primary endpoint of 28-day all-cause mortality with the use of multivariate models accounting for time-dependent and competing variables. We compared models' performances using the Harrell's C-Index and the Akaike information criteria.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight-day mortality occurred in 128/308 (42%) 308 patients. The ELSO-serious bleeding (hazard ratio [HR], 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09 to 2.56) and BARC ≥ type 2 (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.01 to 2.37) were associated with 28-day mortality (Harrell's C-index, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.63 to 0.74 for both). Predictors of ELSO-serious bleeding were postcardiotomy, body mass index, baseline platelets count, fibrinogen, and hemoglobin levels.

CONCLUSION

Extracorporeal Life Support Organization-serious bleeding and BARC ≥ type 2 are relevant definitions of major bleeding regarding their association with mortality in critically ill patients who survived the first 24 hr while supported with pVA-ECMO for cardiogenic shock.

STUDY REGISTRATION

CERAR (IRB 00010254-2022-050, Paris, France); first submitted on 18 April 2022.

Pulmonary Artery Catheter Usage and Impact on Mortality in Patients With Cardiogenic Shock: Results From a Canadian Single-Centre Registry

BACKGROUND

Hemodynamic assessment for cardiogenic shock (CS) phenotyping in patients has led to renewed interest in the use of pulmonary artery catheters (PACs).

METHODS

We included patients admitted with CS from January 2014 to December 2020 and compared clinical outcomes among patients who received PACs and those who did not. The primary outcome was the rate of in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included use of advanced heart failure therapies and coronary intensive care unit (CICU) and hospital lengths of stay.

RESULTS

A total of 1043 patients were analysed and 47% received PACs. Patients selected for PAC-guided management were younger and had lower left ventricular function. They also had higher use of vasopressor and inotropes, and 15.2% of them were already supported with temporary mechanical circulatory support (MCS). In-hospital mortality was lower in patients who received PACs (29.3% vs 36.2%; P = 0.02), mainly driven by a reduction in mortality among those in Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI) stages D and E CS. Patients who received PACs were more likely to receive temporary MCS with Impella, durable ventricular assist devices (VADs), or orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT) (P < 0.001 for all analyses). CICU and hospital lengths of stay were longer in patients who used PACs.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with CS, the use of PACs was associated with lower in-hospital mortality, especially among those in SCAI stages D and E. Patients who received PACs were also more frequently rescued with temporary MCS or received advanced heart failure therapies, such as durable VADs or OHT.

Investigating the seasonal variation of heart failure hospitalizations and in-hospital mortality risks in Japan using a nationwide database

BACKGROUND

Studies have reported seasonal variations in heart failure (HF) hospitalizations and mortality that are observed to peak in the winter, although many of these studies are from Europe or the USA. However, some studies on non-US patients have reported contrasting results. We aimed to determine whether seasonal variation exists in hospitalizations due to HF, investigate the risk of death during hospitalization, and examine possible contributors to such variability in Japan.

METHODS

This study was an exploratory analysis of our previous report, which included 269,636 hospitalizations due to HF between 2008 and 2018. The monthly hospitalization rate for HF was evaluated using a linear regression model with April as the reference month. The risk factors for in-hospital and monthly mortality were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The hospitalizations due to HF were significantly higher in the winter than in the summer. The peak admission rate occurred in January, and the lowest rate occurred in July. Based on April, changes in the number of hospitalizations per month were estimated using linear multiple regression analysis (adjusted R2 = 0.911). The risk of death during hospitalization was lowest in April and gradually increased from August to October (hazard ratio, 1.18-1.21).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a significant seasonal variation in HF hospitalizations in Japan. Peak admission rates occurred in January. However, the risk of death during hospitalization was higher in August, September, and October than that in January.

Comparison of Sepsis-1, 2 and 3 for Predicting Mortality in Septic Patients of a Middle-Income Country: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The diagnosis of sepsis is based on expert consensus and does not yet have a "gold standard." With the aim of improving and standardizing diagnostic methods, there have already been three major consensuses on the subject. However, there are still few studies in middle-income countries comparing the methods. This study describes the characteristics of patients diagnosed with sepsis and evaluates and compares the performance of Sepsis-1, 2, and 3 criteria in predicting 28 days, and in-hospital mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in the intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital. All admissions between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019, were reviewed. Patients diagnosed with sepsis were included.

RESULTS

During the study period, 653 patients diagnosed with sepsis (by any of the studied criteria) were included in the study. The 28 days mortality rate was 45.8%, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 59.7%. We observed that 72.1% of patients met the minimum criteria for diagnosing sepsis according to the three protocols, and this group also had the highest mortality rate. Age and comorbidities such as cancer and liver cirrhosis were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. The most common microorganisms were Escherichia coli, Klebsiella spp., and Staphylococcus spp.

CONCLUSIONS

The study found that most patients met the diagnostic criteria for sepsis using the three methods. Sepsis-2 showed greater sensitivity to predict mortality, while Sequential Organ Failure Assessment showed low accuracy, but was the only significant one. Furthermore, quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) had the highest specificity for mortality. Overall, these findings suggest that, although all three methods contribute to the diagnosis and prognosis of sepsis, Sepsis-2 is particularly sensitive in predicting mortality. Sepsis-3 shows some accuracy but requires improvement, and qSOFA exhibits the highest specificity. More research is needed to improve predictive capabilities and patient outcomes.

Electrocardiogram alterations in non-traumatic brain injury: a systematic review

The presence of abnormal electrocardiograms in individuals without known organic heart disease is one of the most common manifestations of cardiac dysfunction occurring during acute non traumatic brain injury. The primary goal of the present review is to provide an overview of the available data and literature regarding the presence of new-onset electrocardiographic (ECG) alterations in acute non traumatic brain injury. The secondary aim is to identify the incidence of ECG alterations and consider the prognostic significance of new-onset ECG changes in this setting. To do so, English language articles from January 2000 to January 2022 were included from PubMed using the following keywords: "electrocardiogram and subarachnoid hemorrhage", "electrocardiogram and intracranial hemorrhage", "Q-T interval and subarachnoid hemorrhage ", "Q-T interval and intracranial bleeding ", "Q-T interval and intracranial hemorrhage", and "brain and heart- interaction in stroke". Of 3162 papers, 27 original trials looking at electrocardiogram alterations in acute brain injury were included following the PRISMA guideline. ECG abnormalities associated with acute brain injury could potentially predict poor patient outcomes. They could even herald the future development of neurogenic pulmonary edema (NPE), delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), and even in-hospital death. In particular, patients with SAH are at increased risk of having severe ventricular dysrhythmias. These may contribute to a high mortality rate and to poor functional outcome at 3 months. The current data on ECG QT dispersion and mortality appear less clearly associated. While some patients demonstrated poor outcomes, others showed no relationship with poor outcomes or increased in-hospital mortality. Observing ECG alterations carefully after cerebral damage is important in the critical care of these patients as it can expose preexisting myocardial disease and change prognosis.

Baseline Characteristics of a Patient Cohort and Predictors of In-hospital MORtality in CORonary Care Units (MORCOR-TURK) Trial in Türkiye

OBJECTIVE

The MORtality in CORonary Care Units in Türkiye (MORCOR-TURK) trial is a national registry evaluating predictors and rates of in-hospital mortality in coronary care unit (CCU) patients in Türkiye. This report describes the baseline demographic characteristics of patients recruited for the MORCOR-TURK trial.

METHODS

The study is a multicenter, cross-sectional, prospective national registry that included 50 centers capable of 24-hour CCU service, selected from all seven geographic regions of Türkiye. All consecutive patients admitted to CCUs with cardiovascular emergencies between September 1-30, 2022, were prospectively enrolled. Baseline demographic characteristics, admission diagnoses, laboratory data, and cardiovascular risk factors were recorded.

RESULTS

A total of 3,157 patients with a mean age of 65 years (range: 56-73) and 2,087 (66.1%) males were included in the analysis. Patients with arterial hypertension [1,864 patients (59%)], diabetes mellitus (DM) [1,184 (37.5%)], hyperlipidemia [1,120 (35.5%)], and smoking [1,093 (34.6%)] were noted. Non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) was the leading cause of admission [1,187 patients (37.6%)], followed by ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in 742 patients (23.5%). Other frequent diagnoses included decompensated heart failure (HF) [339 patients (10.7%)] and arrhythmia [272 patients (8.6%)], respectively. Atrial fibrillation (AF) was the most common pathological rhythm [442 patients (14%)], and chest pain was the most common primary complaint [2,173 patients (68.8%)].

CONCLUSION

The most common admission diagnosis was acute coronary syndrome (ACS), particularly NSTEMI. Hypertension and DM were found to be the two leading risk factors, and AF was the most commonly seen pathological rhythm in all hospitalized patients. These findings may be useful in understanding the characteristics of patients admitted to CCUs and thus in taking precautions to decrease CCU admissions.

Severity of Respiratory Syncytial Virus vs COVID-19 and Influenza Among Hospitalized US Adults

Importance

On June 21, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines for adults aged 60 years and older using shared clinical decision-making. Understanding the severity of RSV disease in adults can help guide this clinical decision-making.

Objective

To describe disease severity among adults hospitalized with RSV and compare it with the severity of COVID-19 and influenza disease by vaccination status.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, adults aged 18 years and older admitted to the hospital with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 US states from February 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023. Clinical data during each patient's hospitalization were collected using standardized forms. Data were analyzed from August to October 2023.

Exposures

RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Using multivariable logistic regression, severity of RSV disease was compared with COVID-19 and influenza severity, by COVID-19 and influenza vaccination status, for a range of clinical outcomes, including the composite of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and in-hospital death.

Results

Of 7998 adults (median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 4047 [50.6%] female) included, 484 (6.1%) were hospitalized with RSV, 6422 (80.3%) were hospitalized with COVID-19, and 1092 (13.7%) were hospitalized with influenza. Among patients with RSV, 58 (12.0%) experienced IMV or death, compared with 201 of 1422 unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 (14.1%) and 458 of 5000 vaccinated patients with COVID-19 (9.2%), as well as 72 of 699 unvaccinated patients with influenza (10.3%) and 20 of 393 vaccinated patients with influenza (5.1%). In adjusted analyses, the odds of IMV or in-hospital death were not significantly different among patients hospitalized with RSV and unvaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.59-1.13; P = .22) or influenza (aOR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.82-1.76; P = .35); however, the odds of IMV or death were significantly higher among patients hospitalized with RSV compared with vaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.86; P = .03) or influenza disease (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.62-4.86; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

Among adults hospitalized in this US cohort during the 16 months before the first RSV vaccine recommendations, RSV disease was less common but similar in severity compared with COVID-19 or influenza disease among unvaccinated patients and more severe than COVID-19 or influenza disease among vaccinated patients for the most serious outcomes of IMV or death.

Cannabis use disorders and outcome of admission to intensive care: A retrospective multi-centre cohort study

PURPOSE

To identify factors associated with cannabinoid use among patients admitted to ICU and its impact on survival.

METHODS

A cohort of adult patients admitted to four public Australian ICUs was assembled. Individuals with mental and behavioural disorders related to cannabinoids were identified using ICD10-AM codes.

RESULTS

Of a cohort of 34,680 admissions among 28,689 adults, 292 (0.8%) had an associated diagnosis related to cannabinoids, of which 66% were classified as harmful use, 26% as dependence syndrome/withdrawal state, 4% as psychosis/delirium, and 4% as acute intoxication. Patients with cannabinoid-use disorders were more likely to be male (73%), tended to be younger (36 vs 62 years), with fewer comorbidities and lesser severity of disease. ICU LOS was longer for those with cannabinoid-use disorders (2 vs 1 days; p < 0.0001). Patients with cannabinoid-use disorders had lower 90-day case-fatality (6% vs. 10%; p = 0.034), however no significant effect on mortality was present after adjustment for severity of illness, age, and chronic comorbidities (p = 1.0).

CONCLUSION

Cannabinoid-use disorders were present in 0.8% of ICU admissions in our region and were associated with increased ICU length of stay. Further studies are needed to examine cannabinoids as contributors to and modifiers of critical illness.

Predictive performance of the sequential organ failure assessment score for in-hospital mortality in patients with end-stage kidney disease in intensive care units: A multicenter registry in Japan

INTRODUCTION

There is limited evidence regarding whether the performance of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score differs between patients with and without end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in intensive care units (ICUs).

METHODS

We used a multicenter registry (Japanese Intensive care Patient Database) to enroll adult ICU patients between April 2018 and March 2021. We recalibrated the SOFA score using a logistic regression model and evaluated its predictive ability in both ESKD and non-ESKD groups. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

128 134 patients were enrolled. The AUROC of the SOFA score was lower in the ESKD group than in the non-ESKD group [0.789 (95% CI, 0.774-0.804) vs. 0.846 (95% CI, 0.841-0.850)]. The calibration plot revealed good performance in both groups. However, it overestimated in-hospital mortality in ESKD groups.

CONCLUSION

The SOFA score demonstrated good predictive ability in patients with and without ESKD, but it overestimated the in-hospital mortality in ESKD patients.

Sex-related differences in patients presenting with heart failure-related cardiogenic shock

BACKGROUND

Heart failure-related cardiogenic shock (HF-CS) accounts for a significant proportion of all CS cases. Nevertheless, there is a lack of evidence on sex-related differences in HF-CS, especially regarding use of treatment and mortality risk in women vs. men. This study aimed to investigate potential differences in clinical presentation, use of treatments, and mortality between women and men with HF-CS.

METHODS

In this international observational study, patients with HF-CS (without acute myocardial infarction) from 16 tertiary-care centers in five countries were enrolled between 2010 and 2021. Logistic and Cox regression models were used to assess differences in clinical presentation, use of treatments, and 30-day mortality in women vs. men with HF-CS.

RESULTS

N = 1030 patients with HF-CS were analyzed, of whom 290 (28.2%) were women. Compared to men, women were more likely to be older, less likely to have a known history of heart failure or cardiovascular risk factors, and lower rates of highly depressed left ventricular ejection fraction and renal dysfunction. Nevertheless, CS severity as well as use of treatments were comparable, and female sex was not independently associated with 30-day mortality (53.0% vs. 50.8%; adjusted HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.75-1.19).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large HF-CS registry, sex disparities in risk factors and clinical presentation were observed. Despite these differences, the use of treatments was comparable, and both sexes exhibited similarly high mortality rates. Further research is necessary to evaluate if sex-tailored treatment, accounting for the differences in cardiovascular risk factors and clinical presentation, might improve outcomes in HF-CS.

Immediate Angiography and Decreased In-Hospital Mortality of Adult Trauma Patients: A Nationwide Study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to elucidate whether immediate angiography within 30 min is associated with lower in-hospital mortality compared with non-immediate angiography.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using a nationwide trauma databank (2019-2020). Adult trauma patients who underwent emergency angiography within 12 h after hospital arrival were included. Patients who underwent surgery before angiography were excluded. Immediate angiography was defined as one performed within 30 min after arrival (door-to-angio time ≤ 30 min). In-hospital mortality and non-operative management (NOM) failure were compared between patients with immediate and non-immediate angiography. Inverse probability weighting with propensity scores was conducted to adjust patient demographics, injury mechanism and severity, vital signs on hospital arrival, and resuscitative procedures. A restricted cubic spline curve was drawn to reveal survival benefits by door-to-angio time.

RESULTS

Among 1,455 patients eligible for this study, 92 underwent immediate angiography. Angiography ≤ 30 min was associated with decreased in-hospital mortality (5.0% vs 11.1%; adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.42 [95% CI, 0.31-0.56]; p < 0.001), as well as lower frequency of NOM failure: thoracotomy and laparotomy after angiography (0.8% vs. 1.8%; OR, 0.44 [0.22-0.89] and 2.6% vs. 6.5%; OR, 0.38 [0.26-0.56], respectively). The spline curve showed a linear association between increasing mortality and prolonged door-to-angio time in the initial 100 min after arrival.

CONCLUSION

In trauma patients, immediate angiography ≤ 30 min was associated with lower in-hospital mortality and fewer NOM failures.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 3b, non randomized controlled cohort/follow up study.

A Mortality Prediction Score for Patients With Veno-Venous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (VV-ECMO): The PREDICT VV-ECMO Score

Mortality prediction for patients with the severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) supported with veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) is challenging. Clinical variables at baseline and on day 3 after initiation of ECMO support of all patients treated from October 2010 through April 2020 were analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify score variables. Internal and external (Monza, Italy) validation was used to evaluate the predictive value of the model. Overall, 272 patients could be included for data analysis and creation of the PREDICT VV-ECMO score. The score comprises five parameters (age, lung fibrosis, immunosuppression, cumulative fluid balance, and ECMO sweep gas flow on day 3). Higher score values are associated with a higher probability of hospital death. The score showed favorable results in derivation and external validation cohorts (area under the receiver operating curve, AUC derivation cohort 0.76 [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.71-0.82] and AUC validation cohort 0.74 [95% CI, 0.67-0.82]). Four risk classes were defined: I ≤ 30, II 31-60, III 61-90, and IV ≥ 91 with a predicted mortality of 28.2%, 56.2%, 84.8%, and 96.1%, respectively. The PREDICT VV-ECMO score suggests favorable performance in predicting hospital mortality under ongoing ECMO support providing a sound basis for further evaluation in larger cohorts.

Type II odontoid fractures in the elderly presenting to the emergency department: an assessment of factors affecting in-hospital mortality and discharge to skilled nursing facilities

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Type II odontoid fractures (OF) are among the most common cervical spine injuries in the geriatric population. However, there is a paucity of literature regarding their epidemiology. Additionally, the optimal management of these injuries remains controversial, and no study has evaluated the short-term outcomes of geriatric patients presenting to emergency departments (ED).

PURPOSE

This study aims to document the epidemiology of geriatric patients presenting to EDs with type II OFs and determine whether surgical management was associated with early adverse outcomes such as in-hospital mortality and discharge to skilled nursing facilities (SNF).

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study.

PATIENT SAMPLE

Data was used from the 2016-2020 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample. Patient encounters corresponding to type II OFs were identified. Patients younger than 65 at the time of presentation to the ED and those with concomitant spinal pathology were excluded.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The association between the surgical management of geriatric type II OFs and outcomes such as in-hospital mortality and discharge to SNFs.

METHODS

Patient, fracture, and surgical management characteristics were recorded. A propensity score matched cohort was constructed to reduce differences in age, comorbidities, and injury severity between patients undergoing operative and nonoperative management. Additionally, to develop a positive control for the analysis of geriatric patients with type II OFs and no other concomitant spinal pathology, a cohort of patients that had been excluded due to the presence of a concomitant spinal cord injury (SCI) was also constructed. Multivariate regressions were then performed on both the matched and unmatched cohorts to ascertain the associations between surgical treatment and in-hospital mortality, inpatient length of stay, encounter charges, and discharge to SNFs.

RESULTS

A total of 11,325 encounters were included. The mean total charge per encounter was $60,221. 634 (5.6%) patients passed away during their encounters. In total, 1,005 (8.9%) patients were managed surgically. Surgical management of type II OFs was associated with a 316% increase in visit charge (95% CI: 291%-341%, p<.001), increased inpatient length of stay (IRR: 2.87, 95% CI: 2.62-3.12, p<.001), and increased likelihood of discharge to SNFs (OR=2.62, 95% CI: 2.26-3.05, p<.001), but decreased in-hospital mortality (OR=0.32, CI: 0.21-0.45, p<.001). The propensity score matched cohort consisted of 2,010 patients, matching each of the 1,005 that underwent surgery to 1,005 that did not. These cohorts were well balanced across age (78.24 vs 77.91 years), Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (3.68 vs 3.71), and Injury Severity Score (30.15 vs 28.93). This matching did not meaningfully alter the associations determined between surgical management and in-hospital mortality (OR=0.34, CI=0.21-0.55, p<.001) or SNF discharge (OR=2.59, CI=2.13-3.16, p<.001). Lastly, the positive control cohort of patients with concurrent SCI had higher rates of SNF discharge (50.0% vs 42.6%, p<.001), surgical management (32.3% vs 9.7%, p<.001), and in-hospital mortality (28.9% vs 5.6%, p<.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study lends insight into the epidemiology of geriatric type II OFs and quantifies risk factors influencing adverse outcomes. Patient informed consent should include a discussion of the protective association between definitive surgical management and in-hospital mortality against potential operative morbidity, increased lengths of hospital stay, and increased likelihood of discharge to SNFs. This information may impact patient treatment selection and decision making.

[Infective endocarditis : In-hospital mortality predictive factors]

INTRODUCTION

Infective endocarditis (IE) remains a serious disease with significant morbidity and mortality despite therapeutic advancements. The aim of our study was to determine the predictive factors of in-hospital mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A prospective comparative study over a period of 54 months was conducted, including all patients admitted for definite infective endocarditis, diagnosed according to the modified Duke criteria published in 2015 by the European Society of Cardiology.

RESULTS

Thirty-four patients were included. Drug addiction was the main risk factor for infective endocarditis (56%). Tricuspid valve involvement was predominant (50%). Staphylococcus aureus was the most commonly isolated pathogen (65%). In-hospital mortality rate was 47%. In multivariate analysis, predictive factors for mortality were acute heart failure (OR=7.4; p=0.026; 95% CI [1.2-44]) and cerebral embolic localization (OR=11.1; p=0.024; 95% CI [13-90]).

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiac and cerebral complications influence the prognosis of IE. Thus, close collaboration among multidisciplinary teams is necessary for improved diagnostic and therapeutic management.