Is Precision Surgery Applicable to Colorectal Liver Metastases? A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Studies that Investigate the Association of Surgical Technique with Outcomes in the Context of Distinct Tumor Biology

BACKGROUND

Although some data suggest that patients with mutRAS colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) may benefit from anatomic hepatectomy, this topic remains controversial. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine whether RAS mutation status was associated with prognosis relative to surgical technique [anatomic resection (AR) vs. nonanatomic resection (NAR)] among patients with CRLM.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies were performed to investigate the association of AR versus NAR with overall and liver-specific disease-free survival (DFS and liver-specific DFS, respectively) in the context of RAS mutation status.

RESULTS

Overall, 2018 patients (831 mutRAS vs. 1187 wtRAS) were included from five eligible studies. AR was associated with a 40% improvement in liver-specific DFS [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.44-0.81, p = 0.01] and a 28% improvement in overall DFS (HR = 0.72, 95% CI 0.54-0.95, p = 0.02) among patients with mutRAS tumors; in contrast, AR was not associated with any improvement in liver-specific DFS or overall DFS among wtRAS patients. These differences may have been mediated by the 40% decreased incidence in R1 resection among patients with mutRAS tumors who underwent AR versus NAR [relative risk (RR): 0.6, 95% CI 0.40-0.91, p = 0.02]. In contrast, the probability of an R1 resection was not decreased among wtRAS patients who underwent AR versus NAR (RR: 0.93, 95% CI 0.69-1.25, p = 0.62).

CONCLUSIONS

The data suggest that precision surgery may be relevant to CRLM. Specifically, rather than a parenchymal sparing dogma for all patients, AR may have a role in individuals with mutRAS tumors.

The Influence of Hepatic Steatosis and Fibrosis on Postoperative Outcomes After Major Liver Resection of Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) is associated with high operative risks. Impaired liver regeneration in patients with pre-existing liver disease may contribute to posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and postoperative mortality. This study aimed to determine the incidence of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis and their association with PHLF and 90-day postoperative mortality in pCCA patients.

METHODS

Patients who underwent a major liver resection for pCCA were included in the study between 2000 and 2021 from three tertiary referral hospitals. Histopathologic assessment of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis was performed. The primary outcomes were PHLF and 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 401 included patients, steatosis was absent in 334 patients (83.3%), mild in 58 patients (14.5%) and moderate to severe in 9 patients (2.2%). There was no fibrosis in 92 patients (23.1%), periportal fibrosis in 150 patients (37.6%), septal fibrosis in 123 patients (30.8%), and biliary cirrhosis in 34 patients (8.5%). Steatosis (≥ 5%) was not associated with PHLF (odds ratio [OR] 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.69-2.68) or 90-day mortality (OR 1.22; 95% CI 0.62-2.39). Neither was fibrosis (i.e., periportal, septal, or biliary cirrhosis) associated with PHLF (OR 0.76; 95% CI 0.41-1.41) or 90-day mortality (OR 0.60; 95% CI 0.33-1.06). The independent risk factors for PHLF were preoperative cholangitis (OR 2.38; 95% CI 1. 36-4.17) and future liver remnant smaller than 40% (OR 2.40; 95% CI 1.31-4.38). The independent risk factors for 90-day mortality were age of 65 years or older (OR 2.40; 95% CI 1.36-4.23) and preoperative cholangitis (OR 2.25; 95% CI 1.30-3.87).

CONCLUSION

In this study, no association could be demonstrated between hepatic steatosis or fibrosis and postoperative outcomes after resection of pCCA.

Demystifying BRAF Mutation Status in Colorectal Liver Metastases : A Multi-institutional, Collaborative Approach to 6 Open Clinical Questions

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical implications of BRAF -mutated (mut BRAF ) colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs).

BACKGROUND

The clinical implications of mut BRAF status in CRLMs are largely unknown.

METHODS

Patients undergoing resection for mut BRAF CRLM were identified from prospectively maintained registries of the collaborating institutions. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared among patients with V600E versus non-V600E mutations, KRAS/BRAF comutation versus mut BRAF alone, microsatellite stability status (Microsatellite Stable (MSS) vs instable (MSI-high)), upfront resectable versus converted tumors, extrahepatic versus liver-limited disease, and intrahepatic recurrence treated with repeat hepatectomy versus nonoperative management.

RESULTS

A total of 240 patients harboring BRAF -mutated tumors were included. BRAF V600E mutation was associated with shorter OS (30.6 vs 144 mo, P =0.004), but not RFS compared with non-V600E mutations. KRAS/BRAF comutation did not affect outcomes. MSS tumors were associated with shorter RFS (9.1 vs 26 mo, P <0.001) but not OS (33.5 vs 41 mo, P =0.3) compared with MSI-high tumors, whereas patients with resected converted disease had slightly worse RFS (8 vs 11 mo, P =0.01) and similar OS (30 vs 40 mo, P =0.4) compared with those with upfront resectable disease. Patients with extrahepatic disease had worse OS compared with those with liver-limited disease (8.8 vs 40 mo, P <0.001). Repeat hepatectomy after intrahepatic recurrence was associated with improved OS compared with nonoperative management (41 vs 18.7 mo, P =0.004). All results continued to hold true in the multivariable OS analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Although surgery may be futile in patients with BRAF -mutated CRLM and concurrent extrahepatic disease, resection of converted disease resulted in encouraging survival in the absence of extrahepatic spread. Importantly, second hepatectomy in select patients with recurrence was associated with improved outcomes. Finally, MSI-high status identifies a better prognostic group, with regard to RFS while patients with non-V600E mutations have excellent prognosis.

Impact of sarcopenia on clinical outcomes for patients with resected hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective comparison of Eastern and Western cohorts

BACKGROUND

Patient fitness is important for guiding treatment. Muscle mass, as a reflection thereof, can be objectively measured. However, the role of East-West differences remains unclear. Therefore, we compared the impact of muscle mass on clinical outcomes after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a Dutch [the Netherlands (NL)] and Japanese [Japan (JP)] setting and evaluated the predictive performance of different cutoff values for sarcopenia.

METHOD

In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, patients with HCC undergoing liver resection were included. The skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) was determined on computed tomography scans obtained within 3 months before surgery. The primary outcome measure was overall survival (OS). Secondary outcome measures were: 90-day mortality, severe complications, length of stay, and recurrence-free survival. The predictive performance of several sarcopenia cutoff values was studied using the concordance index (C-index) and area under the curve. Interaction terms were used to study the geographic effect modification of muscle mass.

RESULTS

Demographics differed between NL and JP. Gender, age, and body mass index were associated with SMI. Significant effect modification between NL and JP was found for BMI. The predictive performance of sarcopenia for both short-term and long-term outcomes was higher in JP compared to NL (maximum C-index: 0.58 vs. 0.55, respectively). However, differences between cutoff values were small. For the association between sarcopenia and OS, a strong association was found in JP [hazard ratio (HR) 2.00, 95% CI [1.230-3.08], P =0.002], where this was not found in NL (0.76 [0.42-1.36], P =0.351). The interaction term confirmed that this difference was significant (HR 0.37, 95% CI [0.19-0.73], P =0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

The impact of sarcopenia on survival differs between the East and West. Clinical trials and treatment guidelines using sarcopenia for risk stratification should be validated in race-dependent populations prior to clinical adoption.

Performance of the 7 th and 8 th Editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging System in Patients with Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm-Associated PDAC : A Multi-institutional Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To validate the 7 th and 8 th editions of the AJCC staging system for patients with invasive carcinomas arising in association with IPMN (IPMN-associated PDAC).

BACKGROUND DATA

Although several studies have validated AJCC systems in patients with conventional PDAC, their applicability to IPMN-associated PDAC has not been assessed.

METHODS

Two hundred seventy-five patients who underwent resection for IPMN-associated PDAC between 1996 and 2015 at 3 tertiary centers and had data on the size of the invasive component and lymph node status were identified. Concordance probability estimates (CPE) were calculated and recursive partitioning analysis was employed to identify optimal prognostic cutoffs for T and N.

RESULTS

The CPE for the 7 th and 8 th editions of the AJCC schema were relatively good (0.64 for both) and similar for colloid and tubular subtypes (0.64 for both). The 8 th edition introduced T1a sub-staging and a new distinction between N1 and N2. The utility of the former was confirmed, although the latter did not improve prognostic discrimination. The successful validation of the 8th edition of the AJCC criteria in patients with tubular and colloid subtypes allowed us to compare these patients in early vs late T and N stages which showed that with advanced disease, the prognostic superiority of colloid tumors over their tubular counterparts diminishes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the use of the AJCC 8 th edition in the IPMN-associated PDAC population, but suggest that certain cutoffs may need to be revisited. In advanced AJCC stages, patients with colloid vs tubular subtypes have comparable prognosis.

Multivariable prediction model for both 90-day mortality and long-term survival for individual patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma: does the predicted survival justify the surgical risk?

BACKGROUND

The risk of death after surgery for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma is high; nearly one in every five patients dies within 90 days after surgery. When the oncological benefit is limited, a high-risk resection may not be justified. This retrospective cohort study aimed to create two preoperative prognostic models to predict 90-day mortality and overall survival (OS) after major liver resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

METHODS

Separate models were built with factors known before surgery using multivariable regression analysis for 90-day mortality and OS. Patients were categorized in three groups: favourable profile for surgical resection (90-day mortality rate below 10 per cent and predicted OS more than 3 years), unfavourable profile (90-day mortality rate above 25 per cent and/or predicted OS below 1.5 years), and an intermediate group.

RESULTS

A total of 1673 patients were included. Independent risk factors for both 90-day mortality and OS included ASA grade III-IV, large tumour diameter, and right-sided hepatectomy. Additional risk factors for 90-day mortality were advanced age and preoperative cholangitis; those for long-term OS were high BMI, preoperative jaundice, Bismuth IV, and hepatic artery involvement. In total, 294 patients (17.6 per cent) had a favourable risk profile for surgery (90-day mortality rate 5.8 per cent and median OS 42 months), 271 patients (16.2 per cent) an unfavourable risk profile (90-day mortality rate 26.8 per cent and median OS 16 months), and 1108 patients (66.2 per cent) an intermediate risk profile (90-day mortality rate 12.5 per cent and median OS 27 months).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative risk models for 90-day mortality and OS can help identify patients with resectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma who are unlikely to benefit from surgical resection. Tailored shared decision-making is particularly essential for the large intermediate group.

A preoperative prediction model for anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer resection based on 13.175 patients

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to develop a robust preoperative prediction model for anastomotic leakage (AL) after surgical resection for rectal cancer, based on established risk factors and with the power of a large prospective nation-wide population-based study cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A development cohort was formed by using the DCRA (Dutch ColoRectal Audit), a mandatory population-based repository of all patients who undergo colorectal cancer resection in the Netherlands. Patients aged 18 years or older were included who underwent surgical resection for rectal cancer with primary anastomosis (with or without deviating ileostomy) between 2011 and 2019. Anastomotic leakage was defined as clinically relevant leakage requiring reintervention. Multivariable logistic regression was used to build a prediction model and cross-validation was used to validate the model.

RESULTS

A total of 13.175 patients were included for analysis. AL was diagnosed in 1319 patients (10%). A deviating stoma was constructed in 6853 patients (52%). The following variables were identified as significant risk factors and included in the prediction model: gender, age, BMI, ASA classification, neo-adjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy, cT stage, distance of the tumor from anal verge, and deviating ileostomy. The model had a concordance-index of 0.664, which remained 0.658 after cross-validation. In addition, a nomogram was developed.

CONCLUSION

The present study generated a discriminative prediction model based on preoperatively available variables. The proposed score can be used for patient counselling and risk-stratification before undergoing rectal resection for cancer.

Comparison of Hepatic Arterial Infusion Pump Chemotherapy vs Resection for Patients With Multifocal Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Importance

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is often multifocal (ie, satellites or intrahepatic metastases) at presentation.

Objective

To compare the overall survival (OS) of patients with multifocal iCCA after hepatic arterial infusion pump (HAIP) floxuridine chemotherapy vs resection.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, patients with histologically confirmed, multifocal iCCA were eligible. The HAIP group consisted of consecutive patients from a single center who underwent HAIP floxuridine chemotherapy for unresectable multifocal iCCA between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2018. The resection group consisted of consecutive patients from 12 centers who underwent a curative-intent resection for multifocal iCCA between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2017. Resectable metastatic disease to regional lymph nodes and previous systemic therapy were permitted. Patients with distant metastatic disease (ie, stage IV), those who underwent resection before starting HAIP floxuridine chemotherapy, and those who received a liver transplant were excluded. Data were analyzed on September 1, 2021.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Overall survival in the 2 treatment groups was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

Results

A total of 319 patients with multifocal iCCA were included: 141 in the HAIP group (median [IQR] age, 62 [53-70] years; 79 [56.0%] women) and 178 in the resection group (median [IQR] age, 60 [50-69] years; 91 [51.1%] men). The HAIP group was characterized by a higher percentage of bilobar disease (88.0% [n = 124] vs 34.3% [n = 61]), larger tumors (median, 8.4 cm vs 7.0 cm), and a higher proportion of patients with 4 or more lesions (66.7% [94] vs 24.2% [43]). Postoperative mortality after 30 days was 0.8% (95% CI, 0.0%-2.1%) in the HAIP group vs 6.2% (95% CI, 2.3%-9.7%) in the resection group (P = .01). The median OS for HAIP was 20.3 months vs 18.9 months for resection (P = .32). Five-year OS in patients with 2 or 3 lesions was 23.7% (95% CI, 12.3%-45.7%) in the HAIP group vs 25.7% (95% CI, 17.9%-37.0%) in the resection group. Five-year OS in patients with 4 or more lesions was 5.0% (95% CI, 1.7%-14.3%) in the HAIP group vs 6.8% (95% CI, 1.8%-25.3%) in the resection group. After adjustment for tumor diameter, number of tumors, and lymph node metastases, the hazard ratio of HAIP vs resection was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.55-1.03; P = .07).

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study found that patients with multifocal iCCA had similar OS after HAIP floxuridine chemotherapy vs resection. Resection of multifocal intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma needs to be considered carefully given the complication rate of major liver resection; HAIP floxuridine chemotherapy may be an effective alternative option.

Cholangiocarcinoma landscape in Europe: Diagnostic, prognostic and therapeutic insights from the ENSCCA Registry

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a rare and heterogeneous biliary cancer, whose incidence and related mortality is increasing. This study investigates the clinical course of CCA and subtypes (intrahepatic [iCCA], perihilar [pCCA], and distal [dCCA]) in a pan-European cohort.

METHODS

The ENSCCA Registry is a multicenter observational study. Patients were included if they had a histologically proven diagnosis of CCA between 2010-2019. Demographic, histomorphological, biochemical, and clinical studies were performed.

RESULTS

Overall, 2,234 patients were enrolled (male/female=1.29). iCCA (n = 1,243) was associated with overweight/obesity and chronic liver diseases involving cirrhosis and/or viral hepatitis; pCCA (n = 592) with primary sclerosing cholangitis; and dCCA (n = 399) with choledocholithiasis. At diagnosis, 42.2% of patients had local disease, 29.4% locally advanced disease (LAD), and 28.4% metastatic disease (MD). Serum CEA and CA19-9 showed low diagnostic sensitivity, but their concomitant elevation was associated with increased risk of presenting with LAD (odds ratio 2.16; 95% CI 1.43-3.27) or MD (odds ratio 5.88; 95% CI 3.69-9.25). Patients undergoing resection (50.3%) had the best outcomes, particularly with negative-resection margin (R0) (median overall survival [mOS] = 45.1 months); however, margin involvement (R1) (hazard ratio 1.92; 95% CI 1.53-2.41; mOS = 24.7 months) and lymph node invasion (hazard ratio 2.13; 95% CI 1.55-2.94; mOS = 23.3 months) compromised prognosis. Among patients with unresectable disease (49.6%), the mOS was 10.6 months for those receiving active palliative therapies, mostly chemotherapy (26.2%), and 4.0 months for those receiving best supportive care (20.6%). iCCAs were associated with worse outcomes than p/dCCAs. ECOG performance status, MD and CA19-9 were independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

CCA is frequently diagnosed at an advanced stage, a proportion of patients fail to receive cancer-specific therapies, and prognosis remains dismal. Identification of preventable risk factors and implementation of surveillance in high-risk populations are required to decrease cancer-related mortality.

LAY SUMMARY

This is, to date, the largest international (pan-European: 26 hospitals and 11 countries) observational study, in which the course of cholangiocarcinoma has been investigated, comparing the 3 subtypes based on the latest International Classification of Diseases 11^th Edition (ICD-11) (i.e., intrahepatic [2C12], perihilar [2C18], or distal [2C15] affected bile ducts), which come into effect in 2022. General and tumor-type specific features at diagnosis, risk factors, biomarker accuracy, as well as patient management and outcomes, are presented and compared, outlining the current clinical state of cholangiocarcinoma in Europe.

Toward an Optimized Staging System for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Clinically Interpretable, Artificial Intelligence-Based Model

PURPOSE

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) eighth edition schema for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treats T and N stage as independent factors and uses positive lymph nodes (PLNs) to define N stage, despite data favoring lymph node ratio (LNR). We used artificial intelligence-based techniques to compare PLN with LNR and investigate interactions between tumor size and nodal status.

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma resection between 2000 and 2017 at six institutions were identified. LNR and PLN were compared through shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis, with the best predictor used to define nodal status. We trained optimal classification trees (OCTs) to predict 1-year and 3-year risk of death, incorporating only tumor size and nodal status as variables. The OCTs were compared with the AJCC schema and similarly trained XGBoost models. Variable interactions were explored via SHAP.

RESULTS

Two thousand eight hundred seventy-four patients comprised the derivation and 1,231 the validation cohort. SHAP identified LNR as a superior predictor. The OCTs outperformed the AJCC schema in the derivation and validation cohorts (1-year area under the curve: 0.681 v 0.603; 0.638 v 0.586, 3-year area under the curve: 0.682 v 0.639; 0.675 v 0.647, respectively) and performed comparably with the XGBoost models. We identified interactions between LNR and tumor size, suggesting that a negative prognostic factor partially overrides the effect of a concurrent favorable factor.

CONCLUSION

Our findings highlight the superiority of LNR and the importance of interactions between tumor size and nodal status. These results and the potential of the OCT methodology to combine them into a powerful, visually interpretable model can help inform future staging systems.

Mutant KRAS as a prognostic biomarker after hepatectomy for rectal cancer metastases: Does the primary disease site matter?

BACKGROUND

The prognostic implication of mutant KRAS (mKRAS) among patients with primary disease in the rectum remains unknown.

METHODS

From 2000 to 2018, patients undergoing hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases at 10 collaborating international institutions with documented KRAS status were surveyed.

RESULTS

A total of 834 (65.8%) patients with primary colon cancer and 434 (34.2%) patients with primary rectal cancer were included. In patients with primary colon cancer, mKRAS served as a reliable prognostic biomarker of poor overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95% CI 1.28-1.95) in the multivariable analysis. Although a trend towards significance was noted, mKRAS was not found to be an independent predictor of OS in patients with primary rectal tumors (HR 1.34, 95% CI 0.98-1.80). For colon cancer, the specific codon impacted in mKRAS appears to reflect underlying disease biology and oncologic outcomes, with codon 13 being associated with particularly poor OS in patients with left-sided tumors (codon 12, HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.22-1.99; codon 13, HR 2.10 95% CI 1.43-3.08;). Stratifying the rectal patient population by codon mutation did not confer prognostic significance following hepatectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

While the left-sided colonic disease is frequently grouped with rectal disease, our analysis suggests that there exist fundamental biologic differences that drive disparate outcomes. Although there was a trend toward significance of KRAS mutations for patients with primary rectal cancers, it failed to achieve statistical significance.

Surgical morbidity in the first year after resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Surgery for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) is associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. The impact of surgery for pCCA may affect patients after discharge. The aim of this study was to investigate all morbidity and mortality during the first year after surgery for pCCA.

METHODS

All consecutive liver resections for suspected pCCA between 2000 and 2019 at two tertiary referral centers were included. All morbidity and mortality until one year after surgery was collected retrospectively, including readmissions and reinterventions. All recurrences within the first year were scored to calculate disease-free survival.

RESULTS

In 250 patients, the major morbidity rate was 61% (152/250), in-hospital mortality was 15% (37/250) and 90-day mortality was 16% (40/250). In the 213 discharged patients, 98 patients (46%) suffered 260 surgical complications. These complications required 185 readmissions in 92 patients (43%) and 400 reinterventions in 110 patients (52%), including 330 radiological (83%), 61 endoscopic (15%) and 9 surgical reinterventions (2%). One-year overall survival was 77% and one-year disease-free survival was 70%. Out of the 20 patients who died within the first year after discharge, 15 died of recurrent disease and 3 due to surgery related complications and 2 of unknown causes.

CONCLUSION

Readmissions, reinterventions and complications are frequent throughout the first year after surgery for pCCA in tertiary referral hospitals. These adverse events warrants treatment of these complex patients in high expertise centers offering intensive perioperative care and close follow-up of patients after discharge.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of validated prognostic models for resected hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Many prognostic models for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) have been developed to inform patients and doctors about individual prognosis. Previous reviews of these models were qualitative and did not assess performance at external validation. We assessed the performance of prognostic models for HCC and set a benchmark for biomarker studies.

METHODS

All externally validated models predicting survival for patients with resected HCC were systematically reviewed. After selection, we extracted descriptive statistics and aggregated c-indices using meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight validated prognostic models were included. Models used on average 7 (IQR:4-9) prognostic factors. Tumor size, tumor number, and vascular invasion were almost always included. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was commonly incorporated since 2007. Recently, the more subjective items ascites and encephalopathy have been dropped. Eight established models performed poor to moderate at external validation, with a pooled C-index below 0.7; including the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) system, the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition, the Cancer of the Liver Italian (CLIP) Program, and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score. Out of 24 prognostic models predicting OS, only 6 (25%) had good performance at external validation with pooled C-indices above 0.7; the Li-post (0.77), Li-OS (0.74), Yang-pre (0.74), Yang-post (0.76), Shanghai-score (0.70), and Wang-nomogram (0.71). Models improved over time, but overall performance and study quality remained low.

CONCLUSIONS

Six validated prognostic models demonstrated good performance for predicting survival after resection of HCC. These models can guide patients and doctors and are a benchmark for future models incorporating novel biomarkers.

Genetic Determinants of Outcome in Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Genetic alterations in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) are increasingly well characterized, but their impact on outcome and prognosis remains unknown.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This bi-institutional study of patients with confirmed iCCA (n = 412) used targeted next-generation sequencing of primary tumors to define associations among genetic alterations, clinicopathological variables, and outcome. The most common oncogenic alterations were isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1; 20%), AT-rich interactive domain-containing protein 1A (20%), tumor protein P53 (TP53; 17%), cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A (CDKN2A; 15%), breast cancer 1-associated protein 1 (15%), FGFR2 (15%), polybromo 1 (12%), and KRAS (10%). IDH1/2 mutations (mut) were mutually exclusive with FGFR2 fusions, but neither was associated with outcome. For all patients, TP53 (P < 0.0001), KRAS (P = 0.0001), and CDKN2A (P < 0.0001) alterations predicted worse overall survival (OS). These high-risk alterations were enriched in advanced disease but adversely impacted survival across all stages, even when controlling for known correlates of outcome (multifocal disease, lymph node involvement, bile duct type, periductal infiltration). In resected patients (n = 209), TP53mut (HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.08-3.06; P = 0.03) and CDKN2A deletions (del; HR, 3.40; 95% CI, 1.95-5.94; P < 0.001) independently predicted shorter OS, as did high-risk clinical variables (multifocal liver disease [P < 0.001]; regional lymph node metastases [P < 0.001]), whereas KRASmut (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 0.97-2.93; P = 0.06) trended toward statistical significance. The presence of both or neither high-risk clinical or genetic factors represented outcome extremes (median OS, 18.3 vs. 74.2 months; P < 0.001), with high-risk genetic alterations alone (median OS, 38.6 months; 95% CI, 28.8-73.5) or high-risk clinical variables alone (median OS, 37.0 months; 95% CI, 27.6-not available) associated with intermediate outcome. TP53mut, KRASmut, and CDKN2Adel similarly predicted worse outcome in patients with unresectable iCCA. CDKN2Adel tumors with high-risk clinical features were notable for limited survival and no benefit of resection over chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

TP53, KRAS, and CDKN2A alterations were independent prognostic factors in iCCA when controlling for clinical and pathologic variables, disease stage, and treatment. Because genetic profiling can be integrated into pretreatment therapeutic decision-making, combining clinical variables with targeted tumor sequencing may identify patient subgroups with poor outcome irrespective of treatment strategy.

The Prognostic Impact of Primary Tumor Site Differs According to the KRAS Mutational Status: A Study By the International Genetic Consortium for Colorectal Liver Metastasis

OBJECTIVE

To examine the prognostic impact of tumor laterality in colon cancer liver metastases (CLM) after stratifying by Kirsten rat sarcoma 2 viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) mutational status.

BACKGROUND

Although some studies have demonstrated that patients with CLM from a right sided (RS) primary cancer fare worse, others have found equivocal outcomes of patients with CLM with RS versus left-sided (LS) primary tumors. Importantly, recent evidence from unresectable metastatic CRC suggests that tumor laterality impacts prognosis only in those with wild-type tumors.

METHODS

Patients with rectal or transverse colon tumors and those with unknown KRAS mutational status were excluded from analysis. The prognostic impact of RS versus LS primary CRC was determined after stratifying by KRAS mutational status.

RESULTS

277 patients had a RS (38.6%) and 441 (61.4%) had a LS tumor. Approximately one-third of tumors (28.1%) harbored KRAS mutations. In the entire cohort, RS was associated with worse 5-year overall survival (OS) compared with LS (39.4% vs 50.8%, P = 0.03) and remained significantly associated with worse OS in the multivariable analysis (hazard ratio 1.45, P = 0.04). In wild-type patients, a worse 5-year OS associated with a RS tumor was evident in univariable analysis (43.7% vs 55.5%, P = 0.02) and persisted in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio 1.49, P = 0.01). In contrast, among patients with KRAS mutated tumors, tumor laterality had no impact on 5-year OS, even in the univariable analysis (32.8% vs 34.0%, P = 0.38).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated, for the first time, that the prognostic impact of primary tumor side differs according to KRAS mutational status. RS tumors were associated with worse survival only in patients with wild-type tumors.

Acute kidney injury after in-hospital cardiac arrest in a predominant internal medicine and cardiology patient population: incidence, risk factors, and impact on survival

Introduction

Prognosis of survivors from cardiac arrest is generally poor. Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common finding in these patients. In general, AKI is well characterized as a marker of adverse outcome. In-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) represents a special subset of cardiac arrest scenarios with differential predisposing factors and courses after the event, compared to out-of-hospital resuscitations. Data about AKI in survivors after in-hospital cardiac arrest are scarce.

Methods

In this study, we retrospectively analyzed patients after IHCA for incidence and risk factors of AKI and its prognostic impact on mortality. For inclusion in the analysis, patients had to survive at least 48 h after IHCA.

Results

A total of 238 IHCA events with successful resuscitation and survival beyond 48 h after the initial event were recorded. Of those, 89.9% were patients of internal medicine, and 10.1% of patients from surgery, neurology or other departments. In 120/238 patients (50.4%), AKI was diagnosed. In 28 patients (23.3%), transient or permanent renal replacement therapy had to be initiated. Male gender, preexisting chronic kidney disease and a non-shockable first ECG rhythm during resuscitation were significantly associated with a higher incidence of AKI in IHCA-survivors. In-hospital mortality in survivors from IHCA without AKI was 29.7%, and 60.8% in patients after IHCA who developed AKI (p < 0.01 between groups).

By multivariate analysis, AKI after IHCA persisted as an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (HR 3.7 (95% CI 2.14–6.33, p ≤ 0.01)).

Conclusion

In this cohort of survivors from IHCA, AKI is a frequent finding, with adverse impact on outcome. Therefore, therapeutic strategies to prevent AKI in post-IHCA patients are warranted.

Prediction of Early Recurrence After Surgery for Liver Tumor (ERASL): An International Validation of the ERASL Risk Models

Background

This study aimed to assess the performance of the pre- and postoperative early recurrence after surgery for liver tumor (ERASL) models at external validation. Prediction of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after resection is important for individualized surgical management. Recently, the preoperative (ERASL-pre) and postoperative (ERASL-post) risk models were proposed based on patients from Hong Kong. These models showed good performance although they have not been validated to date by an independent research group.

Methods

This international cohort study included 279 patients from the Netherlands and 392 patients from Japan. The patients underwent first-time resection and showed a diagnosis of HCC on pathology. Performance was assessed according to discrimination (concordance [C] statistic) and calibration (correspondence between observed and predicted risk) with recalibration in a Weibull model.

Results

The discriminatory power of both models was lower in the Netherlands than in Japan (C statistic, 0.57 [95% confidence interval {CI} 0.52–0.62] vs 0.69 [95% CI 0.65–0.73] for the ERASL-pre model and 0.62 [95% CI 0.57–0.67] vs 0.70 [95% CI 0.66–0.74] for the ERASL-post model), whereas their prognostic profiles were similar. The predictions of the ERASL models were systematically too optimistic for both cohorts. Recalibrated ERASL models improved local applicability for both cohorts.

Conclusions

The discrimination of ERASL models was poorer for the Western patients than for the Japanese patients, who showed good performance. Recalibration of the models was performed, which improved the accuracy of predictions. However, in general, a model that explains the East–West difference or one tailored to Western patients still needs to be developed.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1245/s10434-021-10235-3.

Cardiac biomarkers in chronic kidney disease are independently associated with myocardial edema and diffuse fibrosis by cardiovascular magnetic resonance

BACKGROUND

High sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and NT-pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) are often elevated in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and associated with both cardiovascular remodeling and outcome. Relationship between these biomarkers and quantitative imaging measures of myocardial fibrosis and edema by T1 and T2 mapping remains unknown.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with established CKD and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 59 ml/min/1.73 m2 (n = 276) were compared to age/sex matched patients with eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (n = 242) and healthy controls (n = 38). Comprehensive cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) with native T1 and T2 mapping, myocardial ischemia and scar imaging was performed with venous sampling immediately prior to CMR.

RESULTS

Patients with CKD showed significant cardiac remodeling in comparison with both healthy individuals and non-CKD patients, including a stepwise increase of native T1 and T2 (p < 0.001 between all CKD stages). Native T1 and T2 were the sole imaging markers independently associated with worsening CKD in patients [B = 0.125 (95% CI 0.022-0.235) and B = 0.272 (95% CI 0.164-0.374) with p = 0.019 and < 0.001 respectively]. At univariable analysis, both hs-cTnT and NT-pro BNP significantly correlated with native T1 and T2 in groups with eGFR 30-59 ml/min/1.73 m2 and eGFR < 29 ml/min/1.73 m2 groups, with associations being stronger at lower eGFR (NT-pro BNP (log transformed, lg10): native T1 r = 0.43 and r = 0.57, native T2 r = 0.39 and r = 0.48 respectively; log-transformed hs-cTnT(lg10): native T1 r = 0.23 and r = 0.43, native T2 r = 0.38 and r = 0.58 respectively, p < 0.001 for all, p < 0.05 for interaction). On multivariable analyses, we found independent associations of native T1 with NT-pro BNP [(B = 0.308 (95% CI 0.129-0.407), p < 0.001 and B = 0.334 (95% CI 0.154-0.660), p = 0.002 for eGFR 30-59 ml/min/1.73 m2 and eGFR < 29 ml/min/1.73 m2, respectively] and of T2 with hs-cTnT [B = 0.417 (95% CI 0.219-0.650), p < 0.001 for eGFR < 29 ml/min/1.73 m2].

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate independent associations between cardiac biomarkers with imaging markers of interstitial expansion, which are CKD-group specific. Our findings indicate the role of diffuse non-ischemic tissue processes, including excess of myocardial fluid in addition to diffuse fibrosis in CKD-related adverse remodeling.