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WHAT IS THE CURRENT KNOWLEDGE ON THE TOPIC?

One‐in‐four randomized controlled trials in ophthalmology are single‐armed, which poses challenges for interpreting their efficacy relative to standard of care. Recent conceptual advances in the methods of causal inference and in the emulation of target trials suggests that the standard‐of‐care arms representing the counterfactual intervention can be approximated with observational data.

WHAT QUESTION DID THIS STUDY ADDRESS?

How real‐world cohorts representing the counterfactual intervention can aid the interpretation of single‐armed ophthalmological trials.

WHAT DOES THIS STUDY ADD TO OUR KNOWLEDGE?

Our study highlights how real‐world cohorts representing the counterfactual intervention could aid the interpretation of single‐armed ophthalmological trials when undertaken in accord with the target trial framework.

HOW MIGHT THIS CHANGE CLINICAL PHARMACOLOGY OR TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE?

External counterfactual arms could reduce the time and cost to reach potential regulatory approval.

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Number Citation Analysis
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Mehta P, Petersen CA, Wen JC, Banitt MR, Chen PP, Bojikian KD, Egan C, Lee SI, Balazinska M, Lee AY, Rokem A. Automated Detection of Glaucoma With Interpretable Machine Learning Using Clinical Data and Multimodal Retinal Images. Am J Ophthalmol 2021;231:154-169. [PMID: 33945818 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajo.2021.04.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2020] [Revised: 04/18/2021] [Accepted: 04/19/2021] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
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Maloca PM, Seeger C, Booler H, Valmaggia P, Kawamoto K, Kaba Q, Inglin N, Balaskas K, Egan C, Tufail A, Scholl HPN, Hasler PW, Denk N. Uncovering of intraspecies macular heterogeneity in cynomolgus monkeys using hybrid machine learning optical coherence tomography image segmentation. Sci Rep 2021;11:20647. [PMID: 34667265 PMCID: PMC8526684 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-99704-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2021] [Accepted: 09/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]  Open
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Olvera-Barrios A, Seltene M, Heeren TFC, Chambers R, Bolter L, Tufail A, Owen CG, Rudnicka AR, Egan C, Anderson J. Effect of ethnicity and other sociodemographic factors on attendance at diabetic eye screening: a 12-month retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open 2021;11:e046264. [PMID: 34535475 PMCID: PMC8451288 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-046264] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]  Open
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Schwartz R, Warwick A, Olvera-Barrios A, Pikoula M, Lee AY, Denaxas S, Taylor P, Egan C, Chakravarthy U, Lip PL, Tufail A. Evolving Treatment Patterns and Outcomes of Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration Over a Decade. Ophthalmol Retina 2021;5:e11-e22. [PMID: 33866023 PMCID: PMC9165682 DOI: 10.1016/j.oret.2021.04.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2021] [Revised: 03/29/2021] [Accepted: 04/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
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Müller PL, Treis T, Alsaedi A, Webster AR, Khaw P, Michaelides M, Wickham L, Siriwardena D, Foster P, Moosajee M, Pavesio C, Tufail A, Egan C. Foveal structure and visual function in nanophthalmos and posterior microphthalmos. Br J Ophthalmol 2021;106:1164-1170. [PMID: 34301612 DOI: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2020-318717] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2021] [Accepted: 02/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
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Gale R, Pikoula M, Lee AY, Denaxas S, Egan C, Tufail A, Taylor P. Real world evidence on 5661 patients treated for macular oedema secondary to branch retinal vein occlusion with intravitreal anti-vascular endothelial growth factor, intravitreal dexamethasone or macular laser. Br J Ophthalmol 2021;105:549-554. [PMID: 32532760 PMCID: PMC8005793 DOI: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2020-315836] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2020] [Revised: 04/27/2020] [Accepted: 05/14/2020] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
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Thomas DS, Lee AY, Müller PL, Schwartz R, Olvera-Barrios A, Warwick AN, Patel PJ, Heeren TFC, Egan C, Taylor P, Tufail A. Contextualizing single-arm trials with real-world data: An emulated target trial comparing therapies for neovascular age-related macular degeneration. Clin Transl Sci 2021;14:1166-1175. [PMID: 33421321 PMCID: PMC8212729 DOI: 10.1111/cts.12974] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Revised: 12/04/2020] [Accepted: 12/21/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]  Open
Study Highlights
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Maloca PM, Müller PL, Lee AY, Tufail A, Balaskas K, Niklaus S, Kaiser P, Suter S, Zarranz-Ventura J, Egan C, Scholl HPN, Schnitzer TK, Singer T, Hasler PW, Denk N. Unraveling the deep learning gearbox in optical coherence tomography image segmentation towards explainable artificial intelligence. Commun Biol 2021;4:170. [PMID: 33547415 PMCID: PMC7864998 DOI: 10.1038/s42003-021-01697-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2020] [Accepted: 01/13/2021] [Indexed: 01/30/2023]  Open
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Schimansky S, Wu XN, Egan C, Mohamed Q. Intravitreal ranibizumab for the management of serous maculopathy secondary to optic disc coloboma-associated choroidal neovascularisation. BMJ Case Rep 2021;14:e235452. [PMID: 33472799 PMCID: PMC10577755 DOI: 10.1136/bcr-2020-235452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]  Open
35
Faes L, Fu DJ, Huemer J, Kern C, Wagner SK, Fasolo S, Hamilton R, Egan C, Balaskas K, Keane PA, Bachmann LM, Sim DA. A virtual-clinic pathway for patients referred from a national diabetes eye screening programme reduces service demands whilst maintaining quality of care. Eye (Lond) 2020;35:2260-2269. [PMID: 33128024 PMCID: PMC7596837 DOI: 10.1038/s41433-020-01240-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2020] [Revised: 09/27/2020] [Accepted: 10/16/2020] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]  Open
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Litts KM, Okada M, Heeren TFC, Kalitzeos A, Rocco V, Mastey RR, Singh N, Kane T, Kasilian M, Fruttiger M, Michaelides M, Carroll J, Egan C. Longitudinal Assessment of Remnant Foveal Cone Structure in a Case Series of Early Macular Telangiectasia Type 2. Transl Vis Sci Technol 2020;9:27. [PMID: 32818114 PMCID: PMC7396184 DOI: 10.1167/tvst.9.4.27] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2019] [Accepted: 01/13/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]  Open
37
Maloca PM, Faludi B, Zelechowski M, Jud C, Vollmar T, Hug S, Müller PL, de Carvalho ER, Zarranz-Ventura J, Reich M, Lange C, Egan C, Tufail A, Hasler PW, Scholl HPN, Cattin PC. Validation of virtual reality orbitometry bridges digital and physical worlds. Sci Rep 2020;10:11815. [PMID: 32678297 PMCID: PMC7366721 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-68867-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2020] [Accepted: 06/22/2020] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]  Open
38
Heydon P, Egan C, Bolter L, Chambers R, Anderson J, Aldington S, Stratton IM, Scanlon PH, Webster L, Mann S, du Chemin A, Owen CG, Tufail A, Rudnicka AR. Prospective evaluation of an artificial intelligence-enabled algorithm for automated diabetic retinopathy screening of 30 000 patients. Br J Ophthalmol 2020;105:723-728. [PMID: 32606081 PMCID: PMC8077216 DOI: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2020-316594] [Citation(s) in RCA: 67] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2020] [Revised: 05/13/2020] [Accepted: 05/28/2020] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
39
Cedro L, Hasler PW, Meier C, Povazay B, Burri C, Mooser M, Kaiser P, Rothenbuehler SP, Müller PL, Zarranz-Ventura J, Egan C, Tufail A, Scholl HPN, Maloca PM. Feasibility and Safety of a Coaxial Dual-Wavelength Optical Coherence Tomography Apparatus. Ophthalmic Res 2020;64:55-61. [PMID: 32428922 DOI: 10.1159/000508751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2020] [Accepted: 05/05/2020] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
40
Olvera-Barrios A, Heeren TF, Balaskas K, Chambers R, Bolter L, Egan C, Tufail A, Anderson J. Diagnostic accuracy of diabetic retinopathy grading by an artificial intelligence-enabled algorithm compared with a human standard for wide-field true-colour confocal scanning and standard digital retinal images. Br J Ophthalmol 2020;105:265-270. [PMID: 32376611 DOI: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2019-315394] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2019] [Revised: 02/15/2020] [Accepted: 04/04/2020] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
41
Müller PL, Treis T, Pfau M, Esposti SD, Alsaedi A, Maloca P, Balaskas K, Webster A, Egan C, Tufail A. Progression of Retinopathy Secondary to Maternally Inherited Diabetes and Deafness - Evaluation of Predicting Parameters. Am J Ophthalmol 2020;213:134-144. [PMID: 31987901 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajo.2020.01.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2019] [Revised: 12/20/2019] [Accepted: 01/10/2020] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
42
Hernández C, Porta M, Bandello F, Grauslund J, Harding SP, Aldington SJ, Egan C, Frydkjaer-Olsen U, García-Arumí J, Gibson J, Lang GE, Lattanzio R, Massin P, Midena E, Ponsati B, Ribeiro L, Scanlon P, Cunha-Vaz J, Simó R. The Usefulness of Serum Biomarkers in the Early Stages of Diabetic Retinopathy: Results of the EUROCONDOR Clinical Trial. J Clin Med 2020;9:jcm9041233. [PMID: 32344735 PMCID: PMC7231127 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9041233] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2020] [Revised: 04/16/2020] [Accepted: 04/20/2020] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]  Open
43
Olvera-Barrios A, Heeren TF, Balaskas K, Chambers R, Bolter L, Tufail A, Egan C, Anderson J. Comparison of true-colour wide-field confocal scanner imaging with standard fundus photography for diabetic retinopathy screening. Br J Ophthalmol 2020;104:1579-1584. [PMID: 32139499 DOI: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2019-315269] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2019] [Revised: 12/16/2019] [Accepted: 01/24/2020] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
44
Tzaridis S, Herrmann P, Charbel Issa P, Degli Esposti S, Wagner SK, Fruttiger M, Egan C, Rubin G, Holz FG, Heeren TFC. Binocular Inhibition of Reading in Macular Telangiectasia Type 2. Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci 2020;60:3835-3841. [PMID: 31529080 DOI: 10.1167/iovs.18-26414] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]  Open
45
Pauleikhoff D, Bonelli R, Dubis AM, Gunnemann F, Rothaus K, Charbel Issa P, Heeren TFC, Peto T, Clemons TE, Chew EY, Bird AC, Sallo FB, Bakri S, Bernstein PS, Blodi B, Brucker A, Bucher F, Chung M, Comer G, Constable I, Cooney M, Do D, Duncan J, Egan C, Elman MJ, Fawzi A, Friedlander M, Gaudric A, Gillies MC, Goldberg R, Googe JM, Guymer R, Higgins P, Holz F, Houghton O, Hoyng CB, Hubschman J, Jhaveri C, Khanani A, Lally D, Lee C, Lee M, Miller JW, Miller D, Moisseiev J, Murphy R, Narayanan R, Randhawa S, Raphaelian PV, Rich R, Rosen R, Rosenfeld P, Ruys J, Sahel J, Schwartz S, Singerman L, Sneed S, Soubrane G, Vingerling JR, Warrow D, Weinberg D, Wolf S, Wykoff C, Yan J, Yannuzzi LA, Zhuk SA. Progression characteristics of ellipsoid zone loss in macular telangiectasia type 2. Acta Ophthalmol 2019;97:e998-e1005. [PMID: 30968592 DOI: 10.1111/aos.14110] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2018] [Accepted: 03/14/2019] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
46
Gantner ML, Eade K, Wallace M, Handzlik MK, Fallon R, Trombley J, Bonelli R, Giles S, Harkins-Perry S, Heeren TFC, Sauer L, Ideguchi Y, Baldini M, Scheppke L, Dorrell MI, Kitano M, Hart BJ, Cai C, Nagasaki T, Badur MG, Okada M, Woods SM, Egan C, Gillies M, Guymer R, Eichler F, Bahlo M, Fruttiger M, Allikmets R, Bernstein PS, Metallo CM, Friedlander M. Serine and Lipid Metabolism in Macular Disease and Peripheral Neuropathy. N Engl J Med 2019;381:1422-1433. [PMID: 31509666 PMCID: PMC7685488 DOI: 10.1056/nejmoa1815111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 127] [Impact Index Per Article: 25.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
47
Maloca PM, Lee AY, de Carvalho ER, Okada M, Fasler K, Leung I, Hörmann B, Kaiser P, Suter S, Hasler PW, Zarranz-Ventura J, Egan C, Heeren TFC, Balaskas K, Tufail A, Scholl HPN. Validation of automated artificial intelligence segmentation of optical coherence tomography images. PLoS One 2019;14:e0220063. [PMID: 31419240 PMCID: PMC6697318 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0220063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2019] [Accepted: 07/08/2019] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]  Open
48
Quellec G, Kowal J, Hasler PW, Scholl HPN, Zweifel S, Konstantinos B, Carvalho JER, Heeren T, Egan C, Tufail A, Maloca PM. Feasibility of support vector machine learning in age-related macular degeneration using small sample yielding sparse optical coherence tomography data. Acta Ophthalmol 2019;97:e719-e728. [PMID: 30839157 DOI: 10.1111/aos.14055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2018] [Accepted: 01/19/2019] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
49
Müller I, Ramis-Zaldívar J, Schmidt J, Egan C, Gonzalez-Farre B, Salmeron-Villalobos J, Mattern S, Szablewski V, Dojcinov S, Chott A, Copie-Bergman C, Bonzheim I, Campo E, Fend F, Jaffe E, Salaverria I, Quintanilla de Fend L. GENOME WIDE-ANALYSIS OF T(14;18)-NEGATIVE FOLLICULAR LYMPHOMA. Hematol Oncol 2019. [DOI: 10.1002/hon.102_2629] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
50
Heeren TFC, Tzaridis S, Bonelli R, Pfau M, Fruttiger M, Okada M, Egan C, Charbel Issa P, Holz FG. Dark-Adapted Two-Color Fundus-Controlled Perimetry in Macular Telangiectasia Type 2. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2019;60:1760-1767. [DOI: 10.1167/iovs.18-25360] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
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