Pulmonary embolism severity index accurately predicts long-term mortality rate in patients hospitalized for acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

The Pulmonary Embolism (PE) Severity Index (PESI) is a clinical prognostic rule that accurately classifies PE patients into five risk classes with increasing mortality. PESI score has been validated in studies with a relatively short-term follow-up and its accuracy in predicting long-term prognosis has never been established.

METHODS

Consecutive patients admitted to the tertiary care hospital of Varese (Italy) with an objectively diagnosed PE between January 2005 and December 2009 were retrospectively included. Information on clinical presentation, diagnostic work-up, risk factors, treatment and mortality during a 1-year follow-up was collected.

RESULTS

Five hundred and thirty-eight patients were enrolled in this study. The mean age was 70.6 years (± SD 15.2), 44.4% of patients were male, and 27.9% had known cancer. One-year follow-up was available for 96.1% of patients. The overall mortality rate was 23.2% at 3 months, 30.2% at 6 months and 37.1% at 12 months. The discriminatory power of the PESI score to predict long-term mortality, expressed as the area under the ROC curve, was 0.77 (95%CI, 0.72-0.81) at 3 months, 0.77 (95%CI, 0.73-0.81) at 6 months and 0.79 (95%CI, 0.75-0.82) at 12 months. The PESI score confirmed its accurate prediction in patients without cancer. Simplified PESI had a similar overall accuracy to the original PESI at 3 and 6 months, but this was significantly lower at 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that PESI score may also be an accurate tool to define the 6-month and 1-year mortality rates in PE patients.

Left ventricular remodeling in patients with metabolic syndrome: influence of gender

AIM

The study was aimed to evaluate the influence of gender on left ventricular (LV) remodeling in metabolic syndrome (MetS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 200 subjects without diabetes or overt cardiovascular diseases, never treated with anti-hypertensive drugs or statins: 60 men and 40 women with MetS matched by age, gender and 24 h systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP) with 60 men and 40 women without MetS. The patients underwent blood tests, 24 h our BP monitoring, LV echocardiographic examination. LV mass indexed by eight(2.7) was significantly greater in men and women with MetS than without MetS. Compared with women without MetS, women with MetS had significantly higher posterior wall thickness and relative wall thickness, greater prevalence of LV concentric remodeling/hypertrophy and lower indices of LV diastolic function, whereas all these parameters were not significantly different between men with and without MetS. MetS was an independent predictor of relative wall thickness and LV mass index in women, but not in men.

CONCLUSION

The impact of MetS on LV remodeling is significantly influenced by gender: the effects of MetS are more pronounced in women, with development of LV concentric hypertrophy/remodeling and preclinical diastolic dysfunction.

Diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) has simplified the diagnostic approach to patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). However, PE diagnosis is still probabilistic and CTPA should be used with caution in some patient groups, such as patients with severe renal insufficiency and pregnant women. Among alternative imaging tests, lung ultrasound is the most promising technique. We aimed to systematically assess the diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for PE diagnosis.

METHODS

Studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for the diagnosis of PE were systematically searched for in the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases (up to June 2012). The QUADAS-2 tool was used for the quality assessment of the primary studies. A bivariate random-effects regression approach was used for summary estimates of both sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTS

Ten studies, for a total of 887 patients, were included. A composite reference test was used in six studies, with single-row detector CTPA as the principal imaging test in four studies. Overall, seven studies used a proper reference test. Lung ultrasound bivariate weighted mean sensitivity was 87.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 79.5, 92.0%), whereas bivariate weighted mean specificity was 81.8% (95% CI 71.0, 89.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that lung ultrasound may be a useful diagnostic tool in the management of patients with suspected PE. However, several methodological drawbacks of the primary studies limit any definite conclusion. Further well-designed accuracy studies are necessary before planning diagnostic management studies, in particular in those with a contraindication for CTPA.

Optimal treatment duration of venous thrombosis

Randomized controlled trials have shown that patients with venous thromboembolism benefit from a minimum of three months of anticoagulant therapy. After this period, it was suggested that patients with an expected annual recurrence rate of < 5% could safely discontinue treatment. Using a population-based approach for stratification, these patients are those with major transient risk factors, and represent the minority. For all other patients, including those with previous episodes of venous thromboembolism, cancer, or unprovoked events, this treatment duration may not be sufficiently protective. Because extending anticoagulation for additional three to nine months does not result in further, long-term reduction of recurrences, indefinite treatment duration should be considered. However, case-fatality rate for major bleeding in patients taking warfarin for more than three months is higher than case-fatality rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism. Thus, an individual patient approach to improve and increase the identification of those who can safely discontinue treatment at three months becomes necessary. Clinical prediction rules or management strategies based on D-dimer levels or residual vein thrombosis have been proposed and need further refinement and validation. Specific bleeding scores are lacking. Meanwhile, the oral direct inhibitors have been proposed as potential alternatives to the vitamin K antagonists, and aspirin may provide some benefit in selected patients who discontinue anticoagulation. Deep vein thrombosis in unusual sites is associated with less, but potentially more severe recurrences, in particular in patients with splanchnic vein thrombosis who also face an increased risk of bleeding complications while on treatment.

Anticoagulant therapy for venous thromboembolism during pregnancy: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is one of the most relevant causes of maternal death in industrialized countries. Low molecular weight heparin (LMWH), continued throughout the entire pregnancy and puerperium, is currently the preferred treatment for patients with acute VTE occurring during pregnancy. However, information on the efficacy and safety of anticoagulant drugs in this setting is extremely limited. We carried out a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature to provide an estimate of the risk of bleeding complications and VTE recurrence in patients with acute VTE during pregnancy treated with antithrombotic therapy. The weight mean incidence (WMI) of bleeding and thromboembolic events and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Eighteen studies, giving a total of 981 pregnant patients with acute VTE, were included. LMWH was prescribed to 822 patients; the remainder were treated with unfractionated heparin. Anticoagulant therapy was associated with WMIs of major bleeding of 1.41% (95% CI 0.60-2.41%; I) antenatally and 1.90% (95% CI 0.80-3.60%) during the first 24 h after delivery. The estimated WMI of recurrent VTE during pregnancy was 1.97% (95% CI 0.88-3.49%; I(2) 39.5%). Anticoagulant therapy appears to be safe and effective for the treatment of pregnancy-related VTE, but the optimal dosing regimens remain uncertain.

Safety and efficacy of low-dose fondaparinux (1.5 mg) for the prevention of venous thromboembolism in acutely ill medical patients with renal impairment: the FONDAIR study

BACKGROUND

Renal impairment is common, affecting around 40% of acutely ill medical patients, and is associated with an increased risk of both venous thromboembolism (VTE) and bleeding. The clinical benefit of effective thromboprophylactic strategies may be outweighed in these patients by an excessive rate of hemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the safety and efficacy of lower prophylactic doses of fondaparinux in acutely ill medical patients with renal impairment.

PATIENTS/METHODS

We carried out a multicenter, investigator-initiated, prospective cohort study. Patients at risk of VTE with a creatinine clearance between 20 and 50 mL min(-1) were treated with fondaparinux 1.5 mg qd for a minimum of 6 to a maximum of 15 days. The primary outcome was the incidence of major bleeding; secondary outcomes were clinically relevant non-major bleeding (CRNMB) and symptomatic VTE.

RESULTS

We enrolled 206 patients with a mean age of 82 years, mean creatinine clearance of 33 mL min(-1) , and a mean Charlson co-morbidity index of 8.2. One patient had major bleeding (0.49%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.03-3.10), eight had CRNMB (3.88%, 95% CI 1.81-7.78) and three developed symptomatic VTE (1.46%, 0.38-4.55). Twenty-three patients (11.17%, 7.36-16.48) died. No independent predictors of bleeding were found at univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of moderate to severe renal impairment to patients with traditional risk factors for VTE identified a population of very elderly acutely ill medical patients potentially at high risk of both VTE and bleeding complications. The recently approved lower prophylactic dose of fondaparinux appears to be a safe and relatively effective strategy in these patients.

Low-dose aspirin for in vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature

BACKGROUND

It was hypothesized that low-dose aspirin could improve implantation rates in subsequent pregnancies in women undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). Previous studies have shown inconclusive results or focused on surrogate endpoints. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature investigating the effect of low-dose aspirin on hard outcomes, including live birth rate, pregnancy rate and miscarriage.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched up to November 2011. Randomized controlled trials comparing low-dose aspirin with placebo/no treatment in IVF/ICSI women were included. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95%confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies with 6403 patients were included. The use of aspirin did not improve live birth pregnancy rate compared with placebo or no treatment (1.08; 95% CI, 0.90, 1.29). Pregnancy rates were significantly increased in patients randomized to low-dose aspirin (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.01, 1.39), but miscarriage rates were not (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.82, 1.68). Results of sensitivity analyses including high-quality studies did not show statistically significant differences in all considered endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study do not show a substantial efficacy of aspirin inwomen undergoing IVF/ICSI and do not support the use of low-dose aspirin to improve the success of IVF/ICSI in terms of pregnancy outcomes. Further high-quality studies evaluating the possible efficacy of aspirin in selected groups of patients are warranted.

Long-term outcomes of patients with cerebral vein thrombosis: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Little information is available on the long-term clinical outcome of cerebral vein thrombosis (CVT).

OBJECTIVES AND METHODS

In an international, retrospective cohort study, we assessed the long-term rates of mortality, residual disability and recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in a cohort of patients with a first CVT episode.

RESULTS

Seven hundred and six patients (73.7% females) with CVT were included. Patients were followed for a total of 3171 patient-years. Median follow-up was 40 months (range 6, 297 months). At the end of follow-up, 20 patients had died (2.8%). The outcome was generally good: 89.1% of patients had a complete recovery (modified Rankin Score [mRS] 0-1) and 3.8% had a partial recovery and were independent (mRS 2). Eighty-four per cent of patients were treated with oral anticoagulants and the mean treatment duration was 12 months. CVT recurred in 31 patients (4.4%), and 46 patients (6.5%) had a VTE in a different site, for an overall incidence of recurrence of 23.6 events per 1000 patient-years (95% confidence Interval [CI] 17.8, 28.7) and of 35.1 events/1000 patient-years (95% CI, 27.7, 44.4) after anticoagulant therapy withdrawal. A previous VTE was the only significant predictor of recurrence at multivariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 2.70; 95% CI 1.25, 5.83).

CONCLUSIONS

The long-term risk of mortality and recurrent VTE appears to be low in patients who survived the acute phase of CVT. A previous VTE history independently predicts recurrent events.

Prognostic clinical prediction rules to identify a low-risk pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Prognostic assessment is important for the management of patients with a pulmonary embolism (PE). A number of clinical prediction rules (CPRs) have been proposed for stratifying PE mortality risk. The aim of this systematic review was to assess the performance of prognostic CPRs in identifying a low-risk PE.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were systematically searched until August 2011. Derivation and validation studies that assessed the performance of prognostic CPRs in predicting adverse events-risk in PE patients were included. Weighted mean proportion and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of adverse events were then calculated and pooled using a fixed and a random-effects model. Statistical heterogeneity was evaluated through the use of I(2) statistics.

RESULTS

Of 1125 references in the original search, 33 relevant articles were included. Nine CPRs were assessed in 37 cohorts, for a total of 35,518 patients. Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index and prognostic Geneva CPR were investigated in 22 and 6 cohorts, respectively. Eleven (29.7%) cohorts were of high quality. The median follow-up was 30 days. In low-risk PE patients, pooled short-term mortality (within 14 days or less) was 0.7% (95% CI 0.3-1.1%, random-effects model; I(2) = 49.6%), 30-day mortality was 1.7% (95% CI 1.1-2.3%, random-effects model; I(2) = 82.4%) and 90-day mortality was 2.2% (95% CI 1.2-3.4%, random-effects model; I(2) = 59.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Prognostic CPRs efficiently identify PE patients at a low risk of mortality. Before implementing prognostic CPRs in the routine care of PE patients, well-designed management studies are warranted.

D-dimer testing in the diagnosis of cerebral vein thrombosis: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature

BACKGROUND

Quantitative measurement of circulating D-dimer, a product of fibrin degradation, has been shown to be a very useful diagnostic tool in the management of patients with suspected deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism. Whether D-dimer can play a similar role in the diagnostic approach to patients with suspected cerebral vein thrombosis (CVT) remains controversial.

METHODS

Studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of the D-dimer test in the diagnosis of CVT were systematically searched for in the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases (up to July 2011). Weighted mean sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with a bivariate random-effects regression approach.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies, for a total of 1134 patients, were included. D-dimer accuracy was good, with a resulting weighted mean sensitivity of 93.9% (95% CI 87.5-97.1) and weighted mean specificity of 89.7% (95% CI 86.5-92.2), calculated with a bivariate approach. Potential risk factors for false-negative D-dimer results included isolated headache, longer duration of symptoms, and limited sinus involvement.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that D-dimer may be a useful diagnostic tool in the management of patients with suspected CVT. Future prospective studies are warranted to confirm our preliminary findings.