The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, relationship between diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and cardiovascular events in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,466 patients, and 4,429 patients with available data of DBP were examined. We divided the patients into three groups; G1 (DBP<70 mmHg, n=1,946), G2 (70≤DBP<80, n=1,321) and G3 (80≤DBP, n=1,162), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older and had higher prevalence of heart failure (HF), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD). Prescription of beta blockers was higher in G1 group, but that of renin-angiotensin system-inhibitors and calcium channel blocker was comparable. During the median follow-up of 1,589 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding and HF hospitalization during follow up) were higher in G1 group and G3 group than G2 group (Figure 1). When we divided the patients based on the systolic blood pressure (SBP) at baseline (≥130 mmHg or <130 mmHg), the incidence of rates of cardiovascular events were comparable among groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), higher SBP (≥130 mmHg), DM, pre-existing HF, CKD, low left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%) and DBP (G1, G2, G3) revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 group vs. G2 group; hazard ratio (HR): 1.40, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.19–1.64, G3 group vs. G2 group; HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01–1.49). When we examined the impact of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with very low DBP (<60 mmHg) (HR: 1.50,95% CI:1.24–1.80) and very high DBP (≥90 mmHg) (HR: 1.51,95% CI:1.15–1.98) had higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (Figure 2). However, when we examined the impact of SBP according to 20 mmHg increment, SBP at baseline was not associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 3).

Conclusion

In Japanese patients with AF, DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Clinical implications of assessment of apixaban levels in elderly atrial fibrillation patients: J-ELD AF Registry sub-cohort analysis

Background

Randomized clinical trials demonstrated the efficacy and safety of apixaban in preventing stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, data on distribution of apixaban levels and their relationships with clinical outcomes are limited.

Purpose

To evaluate the distribution of blood apixaban concentration and its relationship with clinical outcomes.

Method

The J-ELD AF Registry is a large-scale, multicenter prospective observational study of Japanese non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years taking on-label dose (standard dose of 5 mg bid or reduced dose of 2.5 mg bid) of apixaban. Among the entire cohort (3,015 patients from 110 institutions), plasma apixaban levels at trough was measured by anti-Xa assay (Api-AXA) in 943 patients. The 943 patients were divided into 2 groups by the apixaban dose (standard dose [n=431] and reduced dose [n=512]) and each group was further divided into 2 groups with low and high Api-AXA levels compared with the median value.

Results

In patients with standard dose, the incidence rates (/100 person-years) of stroke or systemic embolism (1.48 and 1.99), bleeding requiring hospitalization (0.98 and 1.49), and total deaths (0.49 and 0.99) were comparable between low and high Api-AXA groups, respectively. In patients with reduced dose, although the incidence rates (/100 person-years) of stroke or systemic embolism (0.84 and 1.68) were comparable, bleeding requiring hospitalization (0.42 and 4.64), and total deaths (2.52 and 6.65) were significantly higher in high Api-AXA group than in low Api-AXA group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that in patients with reduced dose, high Api-AXA level was independently associated with bleeding requiring hospitalization (HR 12.12, 95% CI: 1.56–94.22, P=0.017) and insignificantly with total deaths (HR 2.15, 95% CI: 0.83–5.55, P=0.116).

Conclusions

High trough apixaban level in patients with standard dose was not associated with adverse events, while that in patients with reduced dose was associated with bleeding requiring hospitalization and total deaths. Measurement of apixaban levels may be informative in elderly patients indicated for reduced dose possibly with the intent of risk stratification and decision making.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): Bristol-Myers Squibb K.K.

Impact of chronic kidney disease on mid-term prognosis of stable angina patients with high-dose or low-dose pitavastatin treatment: REAL-CAD sub-study

Background

We previously demonstrated that high-dose (4 mg/day) compared with low-dose (1 mg/day) pitavastatin therapy significantly reduced cardiovascular events in Japanese patients with stable coronary artery disease in the Randomized Evaluation of Aggressive or Moderate Lipid Lowering Therapy with Pitavastatin in Coronary Artery Disease (REAL-CAD) study. However, little is known about whether the advantage of high-dose statins over low-dose statins is consistent among non-, mild, and moderate to severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to clarify the effect of high-dose statins on cardiovascular events in Japanese patients with or without CKD.

Methods

The REAL-CAD study is a prospective, multicenter, randomized, open-label, blinded endpoint, physician-initiated superiority trial. In this sub-analysis of REAL-CAD study, patients were categorized into three groups according to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Patients on hemodialysis were excluded in this study. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal ischemic stroke, or unstable angina requiring emergency hospitalization. A secondary composite endpoint was defined as a composite of the primary endpoint event or clinically-indicated coronary revascularization excluding target-lesion revascularization.

Results

The total population of the REAL-CAD study was 12,413 patients. After exclusion of patients lacking eGFR data, the numbers of patients categorized into non-CKD (eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73m2), mild CKD (eGFR; 45–60), and moderate to severe CKD (eGFR <45) were 7,778 (64%), 3,176 (26%), and 1,164 (10%), respectively. The median follow-up period was 3.9 years. The baseline characteristics and medications were well balanced between the two groups in each CKD group. While high-dose compared to low-dose pitavastatin significantly reduced the primary endpoint in non-CKD patients, the effect was not observed in mild CKD and moderate to severe CKD patients (Figure 1). High-dose compared with low-dose pitavastatin did not significantly reduce the secondary composite endpoint in both mild and moderate to severe CKD patients as well. High-dose pitavastatin significantly reduced the risks of MI and any coronary revascularization in non-CKD patients, however, the effects were diminished in mild CKD and moderate to severe CKD patients. There was no significant difference between high-dose and low-dose pitavastatin treatment in the risk of all-cause death, cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, or unstable angina requiring emergency hospitalization in patients with or without CKD.

Conclusion

Although high-dose pitavastatin therapy significantly reduced cardiovascular events in non-CKD patients with stable angina compared to low-dose pitavastatin, such beneficial effects had diminished in Japanese patients with mild or moderate to severe CKD patients.

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier Curves for Endpoints

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Clinical Research of Lifestyle-Related Disease of the Public Health Research Foundation

Adverse outcomes after worsening renal function in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly coexist with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are recommended for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and worsening renal function (WRF) as well as CKD is an important issue in using NOAC. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of patients after WRF.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in our city. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,441 patients. Of them, 1,890 patients who have baseline and at least 1 follow-up creatinine clearance (CrCl) measurements, estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault formula, were analyzed in the present study. WRF was defined as a decrease of ≥20% from baseline CrCl measurement at any time point during follow-up. We evaluated demographics and outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Results

During the median follow-up period of 2,194 days, mean CrCl decrease of 2.2 ml/min/year was observed and WRF occurred in 981 patients (51.9%). Patients with WRF were significantly more often female (with vs. without WRF; 40.3% vs. 35.4%; p=0.03), older (73.4 vs. 71.1 years of age; p<0.01), more often paroxysmal type (49.9% vs. 47.1%; p<0.01), and more likely to have prior stroke (17.9% vs. 12.7%; p<0.01), heart failure (30.8% vs. 24.8%; p<0.01), diabetes (31.7% vs. 27.1%; p=0.03), and coronary artery disease (19.9% vs. 12.1%; p<0.01) than those without WRF. Co-existing of CKD and mean CrCl at baseline were comparable (37.4% vs. 36.9%; p=0.82, 65.3 vs. 63.5 ml/min; p=0.66, respectively). Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in WRF patients (3.55 vs. 3.03; p<0.01). On landmark analysis, all-cause mortality occurred in 135 patients (8.6 /100 person-years) after WRF and 82 patients (1.7 /100 person-years) without WRF, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 6.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.33–9.50; p<0.01), adjusted by sex, age, body weight, serum creatinine, type of AF, oral anticoagulant prescription and comorbidities. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 45 patients after WRF (3.0 /100 person-years) and 78 (1.7 /100 person-years) patients without WRF (adjusted HR 1.60 [95% CI, 1.04–2.49; p=0.03]) (Figure).

Conclusions

AF patients after WRF had higher incidence of various adverse events.

Incidence of Adverse Outcomes

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): The Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development. Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical impact of regression from sustained to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown.

Purpose

We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes.

Methods

Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p<0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p<0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p<0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p<0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01).

Conclusion

Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Impact of creatinine clearance on clinical outcomes in elderly atrial fibrillation patients receiving apixaban: J-ELD AF Registry sub-analysis

Background

Randomized clinical trials demonstrated the efficacy and safety of apixaban in preventing stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, data on patients with low creatinine clearance (CCr), especially CCr 15–29 mL/min, are limited.

Methods

The J-ELD AF Registry is a large-scale, multicenter prospective observational study of Japanese non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years taking on-label dose (standard dose of 5 mg bid or reduced dose of 2.5 mg bid) of apixaban. The enrollment period was from September 2015 to August 2016, and the observation period for each patient was 1 year. The entire cohort (3,015 patients from 110 institutions) was divided into three CCr subgroups: CCr ≥50 mL/min (n=1,165, 38.6%), CCr 30–49 mL/min (n=1,395, 46.3%), and CCr 15–29 mL/min (n=455, 15.1%).

Results

Most patients (74.3%) in the CCr ≥50 group received the standard apixaban dose, and most (97.4%) in the CCr 15–29 group received the reduced apixaban dose. The average age was 79.2 years for the CCr ≥50 group, 82.5 years for the CCr 30–49 group, and 85.6 years for the CCr 15–29 group. The lower CCr value group included more female patients, had lower body weight, and less cases of paroxysmal AF, as well as more cases of heart failure, peripheral artery disease, and myocardial infarction as comorbidities. The CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were 4.2±1.2 and 2.4±0.8 for the CCr ≥50 group, 4.5±1.2 and 2.4±0.8 for the CCr 30–49 group, and 4.9±1.2 and 2.4±0.7 for the CCr 15–29 group, respectively. Kaplan Meier curves for cumulative incidence of events are shown in Figure. The event incidence rates (/100 person-years) were 1.76, 1.39, and 1.67 for stroke or systemic embolism (log rank p=0.762), 1.39, 1.93, and 3.13 for bleeding requiring hospitalization (log rank p=0.159), 1.75, 2.76, and 7.87 for total deaths (log rank p<0.001), and 0.46, 0.84, and 2.62 for cardiovascular deaths (log rank p<0.001), in the CCr ≥50 group, CCr 30–49 group, and CCr 15–29 group, respectively. After adjusting for confounders by Cox regression analysis, CCr 15–29 was an independent risk for total death [hazard ratio (HR) 3.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.68–6.17, with reference to the CCr ≥50 group] and cardiovascular death [HR 3.18, 95% CI 1.06–9.56], but not for stroke or systemic embolism [HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.40–2.24], or bleeding requiring hospitalization [HR 2.00, 95% CI 0.93–4.28].

Conclusions

The incidence of events in each CCr value group was comparable for stroke or systemic embolism and bleeding requiring hospitalization, and significantly higher for total deaths and cardiovascular deaths only in the CCr 15–29 group, in Japanese non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years.

Cumulative incidence rates of events

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Bristol-Myers Squibb

Plasma natriuretic peptide level is an independent determinant of major clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients without heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke/systemic embolism and heart failure (HF). Plasma natriuretic peptide (NP) level is an important prognostic marker in HF patients. However, little is known regarding the prognostic significance of plasma NP level in AF patients without HF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between plasma NP level and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization during follow-up period in AF patients without HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. From the registry, we excluded 1,220 patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction <40%). Among 3,246 AF patients without HF, we investigated 1,189 patients with the data of plasma BNP (n=401) or N-terminal pro-BNP (n=788) level at the enrollment. We divided the patients according to the quartile of each plasma BNP or NT-pro BNP level and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups stratified by plasma NP level.

Results

Of 1,189 patients, the mean age was 72.1±10.2 years, 454 (38%) were female and 684 (58%) were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 1.6±1.1 and 2.9±1.5, respectively. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 671 (56%) at baseline. The median (interquartile range) BNP and N-terminal pro-BNP level were 84 (38, 176) and 500 (155, 984) pg/ml, respectively. Patients with high plasma NP level were older, and demonstrated lower prevalence of paroxysmal AF, higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulants prescription (all P<0.01). A total of 165 all-cause death, 114 stroke/systemic embolism and 103 HF hospitalization occurred during the median follow-up period of 5.0 years. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that higher plasma NP level was significantly associated with the incidences of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF (Figure 1A). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that plasma NP level could stratify the risk of clinical outcomes even after adjustment by type of AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score, chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulant prescription (Figure 1B).

Conclusion

Plasma NP level is a significant prognostic marker for all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF, suggesting the importance of measuring plasma NP level in AF patients even without HF.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Impact of anemia on the relationship between vascular endothelial growth factor C and mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

The lymphatic system has been suggested to play an important role in cholesterol metabolism and cardiovascular (CV) disease. Recently, we demonstrated that serum levels of vascular endothelial growth factor C (VEGF-C), a central player of lymphangiogenesis, are inversely and independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the impact of anemia on the relationship between VEGF-C and mortality in those patients is unclear.

Methods

Serum VEGF-C levels were measured in 2,418 patients with suspected or known CAD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict CV events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. Anemia was defined as a hemoglobin level of less than 13 g/dL in men and <12 g/dL in women. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the presence (anemic, n=882) or absence (non-anemic, n=1,536) of anemia. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were CV death, and major adverse CV events (MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 164 anemic and 90 non-anemic patients died from any cause, 64 anemic and 24 non-anemic patients died from CV disease, and 96 anemic and 69 non-anemic patients developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-C levels were significantly and inversely associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59–0.84), CV death (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.44–0.79), and MACE (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.60–0.95) in anemic, while VEGF-C levels were not significantly associated with all-cause death (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.69–1.11), CV death (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.85–1.93), or MACE (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.87–1.42) in non-anemic patients. Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-C levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (P<0.001 for continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], P=0.006 for integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]) and CV death (P<0.001 for NRI, P=0.005 for IDI), but not that of MACE (P=0.021 for NRI, P=0.059 for IDI) in anemic, whereas the addition of VEGF-C levels did not improved the prediction of all-cause death (P=0.234 for NRI, P=0.415 for IDI), CV death (P=0.190 for NRI, P=0.392 for IDI) or MACE (P=0.897 for NRI, P=0.128 for IDI) in non-anemic patients.

Conclusions

The VEGF-C level was inversely and independently associated with all-cause and CV mortality in anemic, but not in non-anemic patients with suspected or known CAD. The inverse relationship between VEGF-C and mortality may depend on the presence of anemia.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

Impact of chronic kidney disease on the relationship between vascular endothelial growth factor C and mortality in patients with suspected coronary artery disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

The lymphatic system has been suggested to play an important role in cholesterol metabolism and cardiovascular (CV) disease. Recently, we demonstrated that serum levels of vascular endothelial growth factor C (VEGF-C), a central player of lymphangiogenesis, are inversely and independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the impact of chronic kidney disease (CKD) on the relationship between VEGF-C and mortality in patients with suspected CAD is unclear.

Methods

Serum VEGF-C levels were measured in 1,717 patients with suspected but no history of CAD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict CV events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the presence (CKD, n=674) or absence (non-CKD, n=1,043) of CKD. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were CV death, and major adverse CV events (MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 95 CKD and 66 non-CKD patients died from any cause, 37 CKD and 13 non-CKD died from CV disease, and 61 CKD and 43 non-CKD developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-C levels were significantly and inversely associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57–0.90) and CV death (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.48–0.97), but not with MACE (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.60–1.03) in CKD, while VEGF-C levels were significantly and inversely associated with all-cause death (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.52–0.91), but not with CV death (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.50–1.66) or MACE (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.81–1.44) in non-CKD. Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-C levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (P=0.047 for continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], P=0.048 for integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]), but not that of CV death (P=0.016 for NRI, P=0.245 for IDI) or MACE (P=0.166 for NRI, P=0.311 for IDI) in CKD, whereas the addition of VEGF-C levels did not improve the prediction of all-cause death (P=0.053 for NRI, P=0.012 for IDI), CV death (P=0.864 for NRI, P=0.602 for IDI) or MACE (P=0.999 for NRI, P=0.154 for IDI) in non-CKD.

Conclusions

The VEGF-C level inversely and independently predicted all-cause mortality in CKD, but not in non-CKD patients with suspected CAD. The inverse relationship between VEGF-C and all-cause mortality in patients with suspected CAD seems to be remarkable in the presence of CKD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

Impact of anemia on the relationships of growth differentiation factor 15 with mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease: the ANOX study

Background

Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a stress-responsive cytokine that plays an important role in the regulation of the inflammatory response, growth and cell differentiation. An elevated GDF-15 was found in various conditions including anemia and stable coronary artery disease (CAD), and it was reported to predict mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in general population and in patients with established CAD. However, the impact of anemia on the relationships of GDF-15 with mortality and CV events in patients with suspected or known CAD is unclear.

Methods

Serum GDF-15 levels were measured in 2,418 patients with suspected or known CAD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict CV events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. Anemia was defined as a hemoglobin level of less than 13 g/dL in men and <12 g/dL in women. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the presence (anemic, n=882) or absence (non-anemic, n=1,536) of anemia. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were CV death, and major adverse CV events (MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 164 anemic and 90 non-anemic patients died from any cause, 64 anemic and 24 non-anemic patients died from CV disease, and 96 anemic and 69 non-anemic patients developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.51–2.04), CV death (HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.30–2.13), and MACE (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.18–1.81) in anemic, while GDF-15 levels were also significantly associated with all-cause death (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.27–1.69), CV death (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.18–1.99), and MACE (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.004–1.50) in non-anemic patients. Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of GDF-15 levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (P<0.001 for continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], P<0.001 for integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]), CV death (P=0.026 for NRI, P=0.023 for IDI), and MACE (P=0.025 for NRI, P=0.042 for IDI) in anemic, whereas it did not improved the prediction of all-cause death (P=0.072 for NRI, P=0.079 for IDI), CV death (P=0.289 for NRI, P=0.179 for IDI) or MACE (P=0.397 for NRI, P=0.230 for IDI) in non-anemic patients.

Conclusions

The GDF-15 level significantly improved the prediction of all-cause death, CV death, and MACE in anemic, but not in non-anemic patients with suspected or known CAD. The relationships of GDF-15 with mortality and CV events seem to be remarkable in the presence of anemia.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

Impact of smoking status on the relationships of growth differentiation factor 15 with mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease: the ANOX study

Background

Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a stress-responsive cytokine that plays an important role in the regulation of the inflammatory response, growth and cell differentiation. An elevated GDF-15 was found in various conditions including cigarette smoking and stable coronary artery disease (CAD), and it was reported to predict mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in general population and in patients with established CAD. However, the impact of smoking status on the relationships of GDF-15 with mortality and CV events in patients with suspected or known CAD is unclear.

Methods

Serum GDF-15 levels were measured in 2,418 patients with suspected or known CAD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict CV events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the smoking status: current (n=428), past (n=1,035), and never smokers (n=955). The outcomes were total death, CV death, and major adverse CV events (MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 48 current, 120 past, and 86 never smokers died from any cause, 17 current, 47 past, and 24 never smokers died from CV disease, and 35 current, 80 past, and 50 never smokers developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with total death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.65), but not with CV death (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.69–1.62) or MACE (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.64–1.34) in current smokers; GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with total death (HR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.46–2.05) and CV death (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.09–1.85), but not with MACE (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.96–1.48) in past smokers; GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with total death (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.32–1.95), CV death (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.22–2.46), and MACE (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.27–2.07) in never smokers. Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of GDF-15 levels further improved the prediction of total death (P<0.001 for continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], P=0.001 for integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]) and MACE (P<0.001 for NRI, P=0.045 for IDI), but not that of CV death, in never smokers, while it did not significantly improved the prediction of total death, CV death, or MACE either in current or in past smokers.

Conclusions

The GDF-15 level was independently associated with total death and MACE in never, but not in current or past smokers with suspected or known CAD. The relationships of GDF-15 with mortality and CV events seem to be attenuated by the presence of current and past smoking.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

P3771Validation of risk scoring system predicting for progression of atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risks of thromboembolism and death. Progression from paroxysmal to sustained types (persistent or permanent) of AF is sometimes seen in clinical practice. We recently reported that progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events in Japanese AF patients. However, risk stratification schemes of predicting the progression of AF has not been fully established.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, which is a typical urban district of Japan with a population of 283,000. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients. We investigated the risk factors of AF progression and validated the performance of various risk scoring systems predicting for progression of AF, such as APPLE, BASE-AF2, HATCH, and MB-LATER score, using data from 995 paroxysmal AF patients (mean age; 72.6±11.4 years, female; 42.2%, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score; 3.26±1.67) whose echocardiogram data were obtained at baseline.

Results

Of 995 AF patients, during the median follow-up of 1,477 days, progression from paroxysmal to sustained AF occurred in 160 patients (16.1%; 4.0 per 100 person-years). On a multivariate model, we indicated that history of AF ≥2 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–2.61), left atrial diameter ≥40 mm (OR 1.45; 95% CI 1.02–2.08), daily drinker (OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.24–2.81), and cardiomyopathy (OR 2.58; 95% CI 1.17–5.69) were significantly associated with higher incidence of AF progression. Our model had better predictive potential for AF progression (area under curve [AUC] 0.612; 95% CI 0.566–0.658) than the APPLE (AUC 0.553; 95% CI 0.508–0.598; p=0.06), BASE-AF2 (AUC 0.571; 95% CI 0.526–0.617; p=0.04), CHADS2 (AUC 0.508; 95% CI 0.462–0.554; p<0.01), CHA2DS2-VASc (AUC 0.501; 95% CI 0.453–0.548; p<0.01), HATCH (AUC 0.502; 95% CI 0.456–0.548; p<0.01), and MB-LATER (AUC 0.528; 95% CI 0.483–0.572; p<0.01) score.

Conclusion

We identified 4 risk factors which may be useful to predict for progression of AF in Japanese patients. External validation of our model in other cohorts is needed.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Boehringer, Bayer, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers, Astellas, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis, MSD, Sanofi and Takeda. Japan Agency for Medical Research

P5431The relationship between pulse rate and the risk of cardiac events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Relationship between pulse rate (PR) and cardiac events in patients with sustained (persistent and permanent) atrial fibrillation (AF) in routine clinical practice remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients, and we obtained PR at baseline in 2,209 patients of 2,248 sustained AF patients. We divided these patients into four groups based on their PR; G1 (PR≥100 bpm, n=249), G2 (80 bpm≤PR<100 bpm, n=821), G3 (60 bpm≤PR<80 bpm, n=986), and G4 (PR<60 bpm, n=153), and examined the relationship between PR and cardiac events (composite of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure (HF)).

Results

Proportion of female and symptomatic AF were more in G1 group, and diastolic blood pressure was higher in G1 group, despite that systolic blood pressure was similar between the four groups. Prevalence of anemia was higher in G1 group, and that of chronic kidney disease was higher in G4 group. Prevalence of HF and left ventricular dysfunction tended to be higher in G1 group but not statistically significant. Beta-blockers and non-dihydropyridine calcium blockers were more often prescribed in G1 group. During the median follow-up of 1,449 days, cardiac events occurred in 399 patients (358 hospitalization for HF and 41 cardiovascular death). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of cardiac events were comparable between the four groups (p=0.3). The incidence of all cause death (p=0.06) and stroke or systemic embolism (p=0.4) was also similar between the four groups. The incidence of cardiac events did not differ between the four groups when we divided the patients based on the presence of HF at baseline, and the incidence of cardiac events was also comparable between the four groups after adjusting potential confounders. However, when we examined the impact of PR according to 10 bpm increment, patients with very low PR (<50 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 2.22 [1.04–4.15]) and very high PR (≥110 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 1.67 [1.00–2.64]) had higher incidence of cardiac events than patients with PR of 70–79 bpm (Figure). Furthermore, we acquired the annual follow-up data of PR. Mean PR during the follow-up periods was not different between patients with cardiac events and those without (with vs without, 79.5±15.3 bpm vs 79.7±12.7 bpm; p=0.8), whereas maximum PR was less in patients with cardiac events (85.2±17.5 bpm vs 89.3±16.2 bpm; p<0.0001). Patients with maximum PR<60 bpm showed higher incidence of cardiac events, and the incidence of cardiac events was the lowest in patients with maximum PR of 80 to 99 bpm (maximum PR<60 bpm: 31.3%, 60–79 bpm: 24.5%, 80–99 bpm: 14.5%, 100 bpm: 16.1%; P<ehz746.03881).

Conclusion

PR did not appear to have strong impact on cardiac events in patients with sustained AF. However, low PR might be a risk for developing cardiac events.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED (15656344, 16768811), Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb

P3755Left atrial enlargement as an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients: pooled analysis of five major Japanese atrial fibrillation registries

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of ischemic stroke. It remains unknown whether left atrial diameter determined by routine trans-thoracic echocardiography is a risk factor for ischemic stroke in non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of left atrial enlargement (LAE) on the incidence of ischemic stroke in a large-scale cohort of Japanese NVAF patients.

Methods

We combined the data of 5 major AF registries in Japan, J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku AF Registry. After excluding patients without echocardiographic data, 7,672 NVAF patients were analyzed in the present study (mean age, 69.3±12.3 years; mean CHADS2 score, 1.6±1.3). We compared clinical characteristics and the incidence of ischemic stroke between NVAF patients with LAE (left atrial diameter >45 mm; LAE group) and those without (non-LAE group).

Results

The mean left atrial diameter was 43.1±8.6 mm, and the LAE group accounted for 40.0% (n=3,066) of the entire cohort. Compared with non-LAE group (60.0%, n=4,606), the LAE group was older (LAE vs. non-LAE; 70.3±12.0 vs. 68.0±12.5, p<0.01), more often non-paroxysmal type (73.7% vs. 32.1%, p<0.01), had higher CHADS2 (1.86±1.34 vs. 1.46±1.29, p<0.01) and CHA2DS2-VASc (3.02±1.83 vs. 2.53±1.78, p<0.01) scores, and more frequently received oral anticoagulant (72.9% vs. 55.0%, p<0.01).

During the median follow-up period of 774.5 days (interquartile range: 567–1466 days), ischemic stroke occurred in 241 patients (131 vs. 110 patients; 1.52 vs. 0.82 per 100 person-years). In Kaplan Meier analysis, LAE was associated with a higher incidence of ischemic stroke (unadjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42–2.36; log rank p<0.01) (Figure). LAE was independently associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted HR: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.25–2.11; p<0.01) after adjustment by the components of CHADS2 score and the use of oral anticoagulant, on multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis.

Conclusion

In this large-scale cohort of Japanese patients with AF, LAE was an independent predictor of ischemic stroke, suggesting that this simple echocardiographic parameter could refine thromboembolic risk stratification of NVAF patients.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED

P1645Vascular endothelial growth factor-D and mortality in suspected or known coronary heart disease patients with a history of heart failure: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Vascular endothelial growth factor-D (VEGF-D) is a secreted glycoprotein that can act as lymphangiogenic and angiogenic growth factors through binding to its specific receptors, VEGFR-3 (Flt-4) and VEGFR-2 (KDR/Flk-1). VEGF-D signaling via VEGFR-3 plays an important role in lipoprotein metabolisms which may contribute to coronary heart disease (CHD). Recent studies suggest that VEGF-D appears to be a biomarker of pulmonary congestion and heart failure in both dyspnea patients and the general population. However, the prognostic value of VEGF-D in suspected or known CHD patients with a history of heart failure is unknown.

Methods

Serum VEGF-D levels were measured in 253 suspected or known CHD patients with a history of heart failure undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 54 patients died from any cause, 24 died from cardiovascular disease, and 35 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-D levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18–1.75), cardiovascular death (HR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.32–2.25), and MACE (HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.14–1.89). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-D levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.471; 95% CI, 0.176–0.766; P=0.002; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.036; 95% CI, 0.008–0.064; P=0.011) and cardiovascular death (NRI, 0.722; 95% CI, 0.326–1.118; P<0.001; IDI, 0.063; 95% CI, 0.005–0.122; P=0.033), but not that of MACE (NRI, 0.453; 95% CI, 0.100–0.805; P=0.012; IDI, 0.028; 95% CI, −0.007–0.063; P=0.116).

Conclusions

In suspected or known CHD patients with a history of heart failure undergoing elective coronary angiography, elevated VEGF-D levels may predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality independent of established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

P3639Vascular endothelial growth factor-C and mortality in patients with suspected but no history of coronary heart disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

The lymphatic system has been suggested to play an important role in cholesterol metabolism and cardiovascular disease. Recently, we demonstrated that serum levels of vascular endothelial growth factor-C (VEGF-C), a central player of lymphangiogenesis, are inversely and independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary heart disease (CHD). However, the prognostic value of VEGF-C in patients with suspected but no history of CHD is still unclear.

Methods

Serum VEGF-C levels were measured in 1,717 patients with suspected but no history of CHD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 161 patients died from any cause, 50 died from cardiovascular disease, and 104 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-C levels were significantly and inversely associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58–0.83) and cardiovascular death (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.52–0.998), but not with MACE (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.74–1.13). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-C levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.282; 95% CI, 0.121–0.443; P<0.001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.009; 95% CI, 0.003–0.016; P=0.005), but not that of cardiovascular death (NRI, 0.178; 95% CI, r=−0.103–0.458; P=0.214; IDI, 0.004; 95% CI, r=−0.002–0.009; P=0.194) or MACE (NRI, 0.037; 95% CI, r=−0.162–0.235; P=0.717; IDI, 0.000; 95% CI, r=−0.0004–0.0005; P=0.872).

Conclusions

In patients with suspected but no history of CHD undergoing elective coronary angiography, a low VEGF-C value may predict all-cause mortality independent of established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization

5195Growth differentiation factor-15 and mortality in suspected or known coronary heart disease patients with diabetes: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Diabetes is a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD), but further risk stratification in patients with diabetes is necessary to improve the prediction and prevention of cardiovascular events and deaths. Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a stress-responsive cytokine, which plays an important role in the regulation of the inflammatory response, growth and cell differentiation. Elevated GDF-15 was found in various diseases including diabetes and stable CHD, and was reported to predict mortality and cardiovascular events in general or established CHD population. However, the prognostic value of GDF-15 in suspected or known CHD patients with diabetes is unknown.

Methods

Serum GDF-15 levels were measured in 1,087 suspected or known CHD patients with diabetes undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 147 patients died from any cause, 47 died from cardiovascular disease, and 94 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48–1.86), cardiovascular death (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.34–1.99), and MACE (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.20–1.65). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of GDF-15 levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.344; 95% CI, 0.172–0.517; P<0.001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.049; 95% CI, 0.026–0.072; P<0.001), but not that of cardiovascular death (NRI, −0.013; 95% CI, −0.300–0.274; P=0.931; IDI, 0.023; 95% CI, 0.003–0.043; P=0.026) or MACE (NRI, 0.059; 95% CI, −0.151–0.268; P=0.583; IDI, 0.005; 95% CI, −0.004–0.015; P=0.244).

Conclusions

In suspected or known CHD patients with diabetes undergoing elective coronary angiography, elevated GDF-15 levels may predict all-cause mortality independent of established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

P5529Vascular endothelial growth factor-D and mortality in suspected or known coronary heart disease patients with diabetes: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Diabetes is a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD), but further risk stratification in patients with diabetes is necessary to improve the prediction and prevention of cardiovascular events and deaths. Vascular endothelial growth factor-D (VEGF-D) is a secreted glycoprotein that can act as lymphangiogenic and angiogenic growth factors through binding to its specific receptors, VEGFR-3 (Flt-4) and VEGFR-2 (KDR/Flk-1). VEGF-D signaling via VEGFR-3 plays an important role in lipoprotein metabolisms which may contribute to CHD. VEGF-D signaling has been used as a therapeutic target of human diseases such as lymphangioleiomyomatosis and refractory angina. Furthermore, in clinical settings, the VEGF-D level is already established as a diagnostic biomarker for lymphangioleiomyomatosis. However, the prognostic value of VEGF-D in suspected or known CHD patients with diabetes is unknown.

Methods

Serum VEGF-D levels were measured in 1,087 suspected or known CHD patients with diabetes undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 147 patients died from any cause, 47 died from cardiovascular disease, and 94 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-D levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21–1.47), cardiovascular death (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.18–1.62), and MACE (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.07–1.40). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-D levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.258; 95% CI, 0.088–0.429; P=0.003; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.013; 95% CI, 0.002–0.024; P=0.022), but not that of cardiovascular death (NRI, 0.046; 95% CI, −0.245–0.336; P=0.759; IDI, 0.013; 95% CI, −0.005–0.031; P=0.146) or MACE (NRI, 0.064; 95% CI, −0.146–0.274; P=0.552; IDI, 0.001; 95% CI, −0.002–0.004; P=0.557).

Conclusions

In suspected or known CHD patients with diabetes undergoing elective coronary angiography, elevated VEGF-D levels may predict all-cause mortality independent of established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization

P5526Vascular endothelial growth factor-D and mortality in suspected or known coronary heart disease patients with chronic kidney disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for the development and progression of coronary heart disease (CHD). Vascular endothelial growth factor-D (VEGF-D) is a secreted glycoprotein that can act as lymphangiogenic and angiogenic growth factors through binding to its specific receptors, VEGFR-3 (Flt-4) and VEGFR-2 (KDR/Flk-1). VEGF-D signaling via VEGFR-3 plays an important role in lipoprotein metabolisms which may contribute to CHD. VEGF-D signaling has been used as a therapeutic target of human diseases such as lymphangioleiomyomatosis and refractory angina. Furthermore, in clinical settings, the VEGF-D level is already established as a diagnostic biomarker for lymphangioleiomyomatosis. However, the prognostic value of VEGF-D in suspected or known CHD patients with CKD is unknown.

Methods

Serum VEGF-D levels were measured in 999 suspected or known CHD patients with CKD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 154 patients died from any cause, 61 died from cardiovascular disease, and 96 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-D levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27–1.56), cardiovascular death (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.28–1.71), and MACE (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.18–1.53). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-D levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.272; 95% CI, 0.100–0.445; P=0.002; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.015; 95% CI, 0.003–0.027; P=0.013), but not that of cardiovascular death (NRI, 0.230; 95% CI, −0.029 to 0.488; P=0.082; IDI, 0.012; 95% CI, −0.007 to 0.031; P=0.207) or MACE (NRI, 0.102; 95% CI, −0.106 to 0.310; P=0.337; IDI, 0.005; 95% CI, −0.005 to 0.015; P=0.337).

Conclusions

In suspected or known CHD patients with CKD undergoing elective coronary angiography, elevated VEGF-D levels may predict all-cause mortality independent of established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization

P3765Low vascular endothelial growth factor-C was a predictor for cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation and suspected or known coronary artery disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Lymphatic system has been considered to play an important role in cardiovascular disease. We recently reported that vascular endothelial growth factor-C (VEGF-C), a central player in lymphangiogenesis, predicted all-cause mortality in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD). However, relationship between VEGF-C and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Methods

The ANOX study is a multicenter, prospective cohort study of 2,418 patients with suspected CAD, to determine the predictive value of possible novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among patients undergoing elective angiography. Blood samples were collected from the arterial catheter sheath at the beginning of coronary angiography. Serum levels of VEGF-C, as well as N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin-I (cTnI), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), were measured. The outcome was a MACE defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

Of a total of 2,418 patients, 261 patients had AF at baseline. AF group were older, and had more chronic kidney disease, history of heart failure, and history of stroke, but less diabetes, dyslipidemia, and CAD. The median level of NT-proBNP, cTnI, and hsCRP were higher in AF group [AF vs non-AF: NT-proBNP, 1048 pg/ml vs 162 pg/ml (p<0.0001); cTnI, 0.0003 ng/ml, vs 0.0 ng/ml (p<0.0001); hsCRP, 1.43 ug/ml vs 0.88 ug/ml (p=0.0005)], whereas median level of VEGF-C was lower in AF group [3107 pg/ml vs 3590 pg/ml (p<0.0001)]. AF was associated with lower VEGF-C and higher hsCRP after adjustment for potential confounders. During the 3-year follow-up, 29 (11.1%) patients in AF group and 136 (6.3%) patients in non-AF group developed MACE (p=0.007). Incidence of stroke was higher in AF group (17 (6.5%) vs 52 (2.4%); p<0.0009), despite that the incidence of cardiovascular death and myocardial infarction were similar between the groups. We divided the entire cohort into two groups based on the lowest quartile of VEGF-C or highest quartile of other biomarkers, lowest quartile of VEGF-C (log rank p=0.0004), as well as highest quartile of cTnI (log rank p=0.0009), were significantly associated with MACE in AF group. After adjustment for established risk factors and these biomarkers, both lowest quartile of VEGF-C (HR, 2.73; 95% CI, 1.27–6.06) and highest quartile of cTnI (HR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.08–6.09) were significantly associated with MACE in AF group.

Conclusions

AF was associated with lower level of VEGF-C, and low VEGF-C as well as high cTnI might serve as an independent predictor of MACE in patients with AF and suspected or known CAD.

P3780Clinical characteristics and outcomes in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that valvular atrial fibrillation (VAF), defined as atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with prosthetic valve or rheumatic mitral stenosis, increased the risks of thromboembolism. However, clinical characteristics and outcomes of VAF and non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with other valvular heart disease (VHD) has not been fully described.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients. In the entire cohort (4,454 patients), follow-up data including echocardiography data were available for 3,566 patients. We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 131 VAF patients (3.7%), 583 NVAF with VHD (NVAF-VHD: 16.3%) and 2,852 without VHD (Non-VHD: 80.0%).

Result

Compared with Non-VHD, patients in VAF and NVAF-VHD were older (VAF vs. NVAF-VHD vs. Non-VHD: 74.3 vs. 76.9 vs. 72.9 years, respectively; p≤0.0001), more often female (56.5% vs. 51.1% vs. 36.9%, p≤0.0001), less in body weight (54.3 vs. 54.7 vs. 60.6 kg, p≤0.0001), more persistent/permanent type (64.1% vs. 65.4% vs. 45.8%, p≤0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (61.8% vs. 53.2% vs. 23.3%, p≤0.0001), had higher CHADS2 score (2.18 vs. 2.49 vs. 1.96, p≤0.0001) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.71 vs. 4.02 vs. 3.26, p≤0.0001), and received oral anticoagulant prescription more frequently (78.6% vs. 63.0% vs. 55.6%, p0.0001). NVAF-VHD was more likely to have previous stroke/systemic embolism (SE) than VHD or Non-VHD (14.5% vs. 23.5% vs. 19.6%, p=0.03). VAF or NVAF-VHD had larger left atrium than Non-VHD (50.5 vs. 47.2 vs. 42.4 mm, p<0.0001). Heart rate, diabetes mellitus and previous bleeding were comparable between the groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,471 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between three groups, however, NVAF-VHD showed modestly higher rate than Non-VHD (1.67 vs. 1.96 vs. 1.28 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.054) (Figure). The incidence rates of all-cause death (4.62 vs. 5.74 vs. 3.21, p≤0.0001), cardiac death (1.07 vs. 1.01 vs. 0.44, p=0.0003), and those of hospitalization for heart failure (3.29 vs. 4.41 vs. 1.80, p≤0.0001) were higher in NVAF-VHD and VAF, than Non-VHD. After adjustment by relevant factors including the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score and oral anticoagulant use, NVAF-VHD, but not VAF, was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure. Neither VAF nor NVAF-VHD was predictors for all-cause death, cardiac death or stroke/SE.

Figure 1. Incidence of stroke/SE

Conclusion

As compared with Non-VHD, the risk of stroke/SE in VAF and NVAF-VHD was not particularly high; although NVAF-VHD had modestly higher rate than Non-VHD. VAF and NVAF-VHD were associated with higher incidence rates of all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for heart failure. NVAF-VHD was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure in multivariate analysis.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare and Daiichi Sankyo

P5592Thrombolysis with tissue plasminogen activator for patients with acute pulmonary embolisms in the real world: from the COMMAND VTE Registry

Background/Introduction

There is still uncertainty about the optimal usage of thrombolysis for acute pulmonary embolisms (PEs), leading to widely varying usage of thrombolysis in the real world. However, these have not been fully evaluated yet.

Purpose

We sought to evaluate the management strategies and clinical outcomes of thrombolysis for acute PEs in the real world.

Methods

The COMMAND VTE Registry is a multicenter registry enrolling 3,027 consecutive patients with acute symptomatic venous thromboembolisms in Japan between January 2010 and August 2014. The present study population consisted of 1,549 patients with PEs who received tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) thrombolysis (N=180, 12%), or those who did not (N=1,369). The effectiveness outcome was all-cause death. The safety outcome was major bleeding. We used a multivariable logistic regression analysis to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), to adjust clinically relevant confounders (age, sex, history of major bleeding, active cancer, and anemia). Additionally, we conducted stratified analysis by clinical severity, and we also evaluated clinical outcomes according to dosages of t-PA.

Results

Patients with t-PA thrombolysis were younger, and more frequently had higher body weight, but less frequently had active cancer, history of major bleeding, and anemia. More than half of patients with t-PA thrombolysis were patients with mild PEs, and the proportions of t-PA thrombolysis varied widely across the participating centers. More than half of patients received low-dose of t-PA (<20,000 IU/kg). As for the effectiveness, 9 (5.0%) patients in the t-PA thrombolysis group and 95 (6.9%) patients in the non t-PA thrombolysis group died at 30 days (Crude OR, 0.71; 95% CI 0.35–1.42, P=0.33). As for the safety, 7 (3.9%) patients in the t-PA thrombolysis group and 22 (1.6%) patients in the non t-PA thrombolysis group experienced major bleeding events at 10 days (Crude OR, 2.48; 95% CI 1.04–5.88, P=0.04). T-PA thrombolysis group had a significantly higher risk for 10-day major bleeding (Adjusted OR, 4.01; 95% CI 1.57–10.2, P=0.004), but not a lower risk for 30-day mortality (Adjusted OR, 1.10; 95% CI 0.53–2.28, P=0.79), although the risk for 30-day mortality was significantly lower in those with severe PEs (Adjusted OR, 0.36; 95% CI 0.15–0.88, P=0.02). After adjusting confounders, the 10-day major bleeding risk of the low-dose of t-PA group relative to the standard-dose of t-PA group tended to be lower (Adjusted OR, 0.07; 95% CI 0.004–1.05, P=0.05).

Conclusions

In the present real-world registry, relatively large number of patients received t-PA thrombolysis with wide variation across the participating centers. T-PA thrombolysis was significantly associated with a higher risk for major bleeding, but not a lower risk for mortality, although there appeared to be a benefit of t-PA thrombolysis in decreasing the risk for mortality in patients with severe PEs.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Research Institute for Production Development, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation

P5663Impact of proteinuria on cardiovascular outcomes in Japanese diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that proteinuria is independently associated with clinical outcomes in diabetic patients, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction. However, data regarding the impact of proteinuria on clinical outcomes in diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,454 patients, and 634 diabetic patients with available data of proteinuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were examined. We compared the clinical background and outcomes between patients with proteinuria (n=251) and those without (n=383). Then, we divided the patients into 4 subgroups according to the presence of proteinuria and renal dysfunction, and compared the clinical outcomes between groups; group 1 (without proteinuria, eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2; n=203), group 2 (with proteinuria, eGFR ≥60; n=96), group 3 (without proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=180), group 4 (with proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=155).

Results

Age was comparable between patients with or without proteinuria. Patients with proteinuria had higher prevalences of previous heart failure (HF), stroke/systemic embolism, hypertension and renal dysfunction. The prevalences of previous myocardial infarction, and major bleeding were similar between two groups. During the median follow-up of 1,505 days, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization (4.1/100 person-years vs. 2.5/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (1.8/100 person-years vs. 0.4/100 person-years; p<0.01) were higher in patients with proteinuria. When we divided patients into 4 subgroups, the incidences of HF hospitalization (group 1: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 2: 3.4/100 person-years vs. group 3: 3.8/100 person-years vs. group 4: 4.9/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (group 1: 0.3/100 person-years vs. group 2: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 3: 0.5/100 person-years vs. group 4: 2.2/100 person-years; p<0.01) tended to be higher in not only group 3 and group 4 but also group 2 than group 1 (Figure). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), hypertension, pre-existing HF, renal dysfunction (eGFR <60),low left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%) and proteinuria revealed that proteinuria was an independent determinant of both of HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–2.34) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.76, 95% CI: 1.59–8.88).

Figure 1

Conclusion

In Japanese diabetic patients with AF, proteinuria was associated with higher incidences of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction.

P3635Vascular endothelial growth factor-D and mortality in patients with suspected but no history of coronary heart disease: a subanalysis of the ANOX study

Background

Vascular endothelial growth factor-D (VEGF-D) is a secreted glycoprotein that can act as lymphangiogenic and angiogenic growth factors through binding to its specific receptors, VEGFR-3 (Flt-4) and VEGFR-2 (KDR/Flk-1). VEGF-D signaling via VEGFR-3 plays an important role in lipoprotein metabolisms which may contribute to coronary heart disease (CHD). VEGF-D signaling has been used as a therapeutic target of human diseases such as lymphangioleiomyomatosis and refractory angina. In clinical settings, the VEGF-D level is already established as a diagnostic biomarker for lymphangioleiomyomatosis. However, the prognostic value of VEGF-D in patients with suspected but no history of CHD is unknown.

Methods

Serum VEGF-D levels were measured in 1,717 patients with suspected but no history of CHD undergoing elective coronary angiography, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke.

Results

During the follow-up, 161 patients died from any cause, 50 died from cardiovascular disease, and 104 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, VEGF-D levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17–1.42), cardiovascular death (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.20–1.56), and MACE (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08–1.37). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of VEGF-D levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.165; 95% CI, 0.004–0.325; P=0.044; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.012; 95% CI, 0.002–0.023; P=0.013), but not that of cardiovascular death (NRI, 0.078; 95% CI, r=−0.203–0.359; P=0.586; IDI, 0.014; 95% CI, r=−0.009–0.037; P=0.235) or MACE (NRI, r=−0.011; 95% CI, r=−0.207–0.184; P=0.337; IDI, 0.003; 95% CI, r=−0.003–0.009; P=0.354).

Conclusions

In patients with suspected but no history of CHD undergoing elective coronary angiography, elevated VEGF-D levels may predict all-cause mortality independent of established risk factors and cardiovascular biomarkers.

Acknowledgement/Funding

The ANOX study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization.

P3758Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with thrombocytopenia: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is reported as a risk factor of major bleeding events and incidence of all-cause death after percutaneous coronary intervention. However, the influence of thrombocytopenia on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and the major bleeding event in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. Follow-up data with baseline platelet counts were available in 4,179 patients from March 2011 to November 2018. We divided the entire cohort into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: No thrombocytopenia (≥150,000/μL, n=3,323), Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=707), and Moderate/severe thrombocytopenia (≤99,999/μL, n=149).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 73 years, 40% were women, and the mean body weight and body mass index was 59 kg and 23.1 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 192,000/μL (interquartile range 156,000 to 232,000/μL), respectively.

Compared to No thrombocytopenia, patients with thrombocytopenia were older (No vs. Mild vs. Moderate/severe; 73.3 years vs. 76.5 years vs. 75.8 years, p<0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (27.0% vs. 32.8% vs. 41.6%, p<0.0001), more likely to have chronic renal disease (35.7% vs. 42.6% vs. 57.7%, p<0.0001), and had higher CHADS2 score (2.05 vs. 2.17 vs. 2.34, p=0.0039) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.40 vs. 3.52 vs. 3.71, p=0.0416). Patients with thrombocytopenia had lower hemoglobin (13.0 vs. 12.8 vs. 11.6, p<0.0001) than No thrombocytopenia. However, prevalence of previous major bleeding events was comparable between three groups (4.66% vs. 4.67% vs. 5.37%, p=0.92)

On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Mild group (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.77) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.28–3.80) than No group (Figure 1). The incidence of hospitalization for heart failure was higher in Mild group (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.31–1.99) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.76–3.81) than No group (Figure 2). The incidence of major bleeding event was higher in Mild group (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.11–1.91) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.41–3.91) than No group (Figure 3).

Conclusion

Thrombocytopenia in AF patients was associated with higher incidence of all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and major bleeding event in the Fushimi AF Registry.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare,and Daiichi-Sankyo