Prognostic value of machine learning for acute heart failure

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

At onset of acute heart failure (AHF), various clinical fundamental parameters including vital sign, laboratory data, or initial treatment were investigated, and we can roughly estimate the prognosis. However, machine learning method for prediction of the prognosis was not studied.

Purpose

To elucidate prognostic value of machine learning for AHF comparing conventional statistical model.

Methods

We enrolled consecutive 300 patients with AHF (79.5 ± 12.1 years, 158 Males). Patients with acute coronary syndrome, mechanical circulatory support cases, and cardio-pulmonary arrest cases were excluded. The patients were randomly divided into 80% (240 cases) and 20% (60 cases), and the former was used as train data, and the latter as validation data. Objective variable was set as cardiac death in one year. First, logistic regression analysis with Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) was performed, and extracted predictive parameters. The predictive model for the cardiac prognosis was constructed by cut-off value of ROC curve analysis of propensity score was calculated. Next, machine learning (random forest method and deep learning) to build predictive model was performed with the predictors. Finally, accuracy of each predictive model was compared.

Results

Thirty cases showed cardiac death in one year. Logistic regression with AIC extracted 8  predictors, and the cut off-value of propensity score with the 6 parameters was 0.110. The accuracy was 0.714 and area under ROC (AUROC) was 0.836. Conversely, random forest method demonstrated the accuracy as 0.927, AUROC 0.860. On deep learning, the accuracy was 0.937 and AUROC 0.901. 

The top 4 high feature importance of random forest were Cl/red blood cell count/pH/Anion Gap. However, accuracy of those predictors was lower than that of machine learning.

Conclusion

Machine learning was a powerful tool to predict cardiac prognosis of AHF, comparing with conventional statistical model. Abstract Figure. Statistical model

Direct visualization of the three-dimensional shape of skyrmion strings in a noncentrosymmetric magnet

Magnetic skyrmions are topologically stable swirling spin textures that appear as particle-like objects in two-dimensional (2D) systems. Here, utilizing scalar magnetic X-ray tomography under applied magnetic fields, we report the direct visualization of the three-dimensional (3D) shape of individual skyrmion strings in the room-temperature skyrmion-hosting non-centrosymmetric compound Mn_1.4Pt_0.9Pd_0.1Sn. Through the tomographic reconstruction of the 3D distribution of the [001] magnetization component on the basis of transmission images taken at various angles, we identify a skyrmion string running through the entire thickness of the sample, as well as various defect structures, such as the interrupted and Y-shaped strings. The observed point defect may represent the Bloch point serving as an emergent magnetic monopole, as proposed theoretically. Our tomographic approach with a tunable magnetic field paves the way for direct visualization of the structural dynamics of individual skyrmion strings in 3D space, which will contribute to a better understanding of the creation, annihilation and transfer of these topological objects.

Influence of Perceived Ageism on Older Adults: Focus on Attitudes toward Young People and Life Satisfaction

The world’s population is aging, and intergenerational conflicts between older adults and young people are becoming more serious. This study focused on ageism as a cause of intergenerational conflicts and older adults’ diminished mental health status. We conducted an online survey of older Japanese participants (n = 1.096). Our results indicated that older adults who perceived more ageism directed toward them (1) had more negative attitudes toward young people and (2) had lower life satisfaction, which persisted even after controlling for variables such as old age identity and depressive tendencies. Accordingly, we suggest that ageism may reinforce intergenerational conflicts between older adults and young people and compromise older adults’ mental health status. The findings of this study can aid gerontological and psychological research aimed at reducing ageism.

Factors Associated with Increased Caregiver Burden of Informal Caregivers during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan

This study's objective was to explore the association between various factors and the increased caregiver burden of informal caregivers during the COVID-19 pandemic. On February, 2021, 700 informal caregivers completed an online survey. We assessed the change in caregiver burden during the COVID-19 pandemic. Among all caregiver participants, 287 (41.0%) complained of an increased caregiver burden due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The factors associated with increased caregiver burden were depressive symptoms in caregivers [odds ratio (OR), 2.20; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.50-3.23], dementia (OR, 2.48; 95%CI, 1.07-5.73) and low Barthel Index scores (OR, 2.01; 95%CI, 1.39-2.90) in care receivers, care days (OR, 1.09; 95%CI, 1.01-1.17) and times (OR, 1.06; 95%CI, 1.01-1.10), and use of home care service (OR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.01-2.10) and visiting care service (OR, 1.71; 95%CI, 1.20-2.45). These findings suggest we need to pay attention to the physical and mental health of both the care receivers and caregivers.

Excess deaths from COVID-19 in Japan and 47 prefectures from January through June 2021

Objectives

In Japan, several studies have reported no excess all-cause deaths (the difference between the observed and expected number of deaths) during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020. This study aimed to estimate the weekly excess deaths in Japan's 47 prefectures for 2021 until June 27.

Study design

Vital statistical data on deaths were obtained from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan. For this analysis, we used data from January 2012 to June 2021.

Methods

A quasi-Poisson regression was used to estimate the expected weekly number of deaths. Excess deaths were expressed as the range of differences between the observed and expected number of all-cause deaths and the 95% upper bound of the one-sided prediction interval.

Results

Since January 2021, excess deaths were observed for the first time in the week corresponding to April 12–18 and have continued through mid-June, with the highest excess percentage occurring in the week corresponding to May 31–June 6 (excess deaths: 1431–2587; excess percentage: 5.95–10.77%). Similarly, excess deaths were observed in consecutive weeks from April to June 2021 in 18 of 47 prefectures.

Conclusions

For the first time since February 2020, when the first COVID-19 death was reported in Japan, excess deaths possibly related to COVID-19 were observed in April 2021 in Japan, during the fourth wave. This may reflect the deaths of non-infected people owing to the disruption that the pandemic has caused.

Tea crude extracts effectively inactivate severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2

It is well known that black and green tea extracts, particularly polyphenols, have antimicrobial activity against various pathogenic microbes including viruses. However, there is limited data on the antiviral activity against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2), which emerged rapidly in China in late 2019 and which has been responsible for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic globally. In this study, 20 compounds and three extracts were obtained from black and green tea and found that three tea extracts showed significant antiviral activity against SARS‐CoV‐2, whereby the viral titre decreased about 5 logs TCID₅₀ per ml by 1·375 mg ml⁻¹ black tea extract and two‐fold diluted tea bag infusion obtained from black tea when incubated at 25°C for 10 s. However, when concentrations of black and green tea extracts were equally adjusted to 344 µg ml⁻¹, green tea extracts showed more antiviral activity against SARS‐CoV‐2. This simple and highly respected beverage may be a cheap and widely acceptable means to reduce SARS‐CoV‐2 viral burden in the mouth and upper gastrointestinal and respiratory tracts in developed as well as developing countries.

Distinct association of VEGF-C and VEGF-D with prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure: the PREHOSP-CHF study

Background

The lymphatic system has been suggested to play an important role in cardiovascular (CV) diseases including heart failure (HF). Vascular endothelial growth factor C (VEGF-C) and VEGF-D are key regulators of lymphoangiogenesis.

Purpose

To investigate the association of VEGF-C and VEGF-D with prognosis in patients with chronic HF (CHF).

Methods

The PREHOSP-CHF study is a multicenter prospective cohort study to determine the predictive value of angiogenesis-related biomarkers in CHF. A total of 1,024 patients (mean age, 75.5±12.6 years; male, 58.7%) admitted to acute decompensated HF were included in the analyses. The primary outcome was MACE defined as a composite of CV death or HF hospitalization. The secondary outcomes were all-cause death, CV death, and HF hospitalizations. Serum levels of VEGF-C and VEGF-D, as well as N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI), high sensitive C reactive protein (hs-CRP), VEGF, and soluble VEGF receptor-2 (sVEGFR-2) were measured at the time of discharge. Patients were followed-up over two years.

Results

Median [interquartile range] of VEGF-C and VEGF-D levels were 4821 [3633–6131] pg/ml and 404 [296–559] pg/ml, respectively. In multivariate stepwise regression analysis, independent determinants of VEGF-C levels were younger age, female gender, absence of prior HF hospitalization, chronic kidney disease, and anemia, lower ejection fraction, lower NT-proBNP levels, higher VEGF levels, and higher sVEGFR-2 levels, while those of VEGF-D levels were lower body mass index, presence of diabetes and atrial fibrillation, and higher NT-proBNP levels. During the follow-up, a total of 209 (20.4%) all-cause deaths, 112 (10.9%) CV deaths, and 309 (30.2%) HF hospitalizations occurred. After adjusting for established risk factors and CV biomarkers, VEGF-C levels were significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of MACE and non-CV death (Fig.1, model 4). On the other hand, VEGF-D levels were significantly and positively associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization (Fig. 1, model 4). When we divided the patients into 4 groups based on the median of VEGF-C and VEGF-D levels, patients with low VEGF-C and high VEGF-D showed significantly higher incidence of MACE, all-cause death, CV death, and HF hospitalization compared to those with high VEGF-C and low VEGF-D (Fig. 2).

Conclusions

Among patients with CHF, VEGF-C and VEGF-D had different characteristic and association with the incidence of adverse events. VEGF-C levels were inversely associated with the incidence of MACE and non-CV death, and VEGF-D levels were positively associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization. These results suggests different effects of VEGF-C and VEGF-D in CHF. Combination of VEGF-C and VEGF-D enables us to make good risk stratification in patients with CHF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization Figure 1Figure 2

Diagnostic performance of deep learning on 12-leads electrocardiography for recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation

Background

Several patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (per-AF) suffer from recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). Various methods to predict the recurrence were tried, but deep learning on 12-leads electrocardiography (ECG) after PVI was not studied.

Purpose

To elucidate diagnostic performance of deep learning on 12-leads ECG after PVI in patients with per-AF

Methods

We enrolled consecutive 109 patients with per-AF who underwent PVI (68.8±10.0 years, 83 males) excluding failure cases. We defined recurrence in 3–12 months after PVI. From the ECG just after PVI, five beats of each lead were sampled separately. Deep learning (convolutional neural network on bitmap ECG image) was performed by transfer learning of Inception-Resnet-V2 model. Gradient weighted class activation color mapping (GradCam) was performed to detect convolutional importance in the lead.

Results

Thirty-six patients showed recurrence in the period. Lead II (accuracy 0.701), aVR (0.690) were the top 2 leads of prediction, which showed larger accuracy than statistical accuracies of Non PV foci = SVC (accuracy = 0.541) and left atrial diameter >50mm (0.596). In lead II, GradCam spotlighted strong convolution of latter half of P wave in recurrent case, and former half of P wave and T wave in no-recurrent case.

Conclusions

Deep learning on ECG was a powerful tool to predict recurrence of per-AF after PVI.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Results of deep learningResults of GradCam

Exploration of electrocardiographic and echocardiographic findings to screen transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy in patients with mild left ventricular hypertrophy

Background

The transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM), a common condition in the elderly, is a life-threatening disease; however, it is treatable. The early accurate diagnosis is, therefore, an important key to improve the patient's outcomes. Electrocardiography and echocardiography are instant diagnostic tools with red flags for the screening of the ATTR-CM. In fact, ATTR-CM often mimics left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), and the differential diagnosis is difficult to establish. Thus, the characteristics of cardiac amyloidosis may be obscured in ATTR-CM patients with mild LVH, possibly making the disease difficult to diagnose. Therefore, in this study, the effect of LVH on the occurrence of electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters for ATTR-CM was investigated, and their incremental value over the age for the screening of ATTR-CM in the patients with mild LVH was recorded.

Methods

This study retrospectively studied 319 consecutive nonischemic LVH patients with a sinus rhythm who underwent detailed diagnostic tests. The light chain-associated amyloidosis was an exclusion criterion. The mean left ventricular wall thickness (MWT) <12 mm was defined as mild LVH, while MWT ≥12 mm was defined as moderate to severe LVH. The ATTR-CM was diagnosed with biopsy or 99 mTc-PYP scintigraphy. The elderly were defined as people aged ≥65 years in males and ≥70 years in females, according to the literature. Each electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameter was binarized with an external cut-off point to increase the external validity, being the incremental benefit of each parameter over age for identifying ATTR-CM assessed using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and comparisons of the area under the curve (AUC).

Results

Fourteen patients (8%) among the 170 patients with mild LVH had ATTR-CM, while 27 patients (18%) among the 149 patients with moderate to severe LVH had ATTR-CM. The patients with mild LVH had fewer electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters, showing a significant difference between ATTR-CM and non-ATTR-CM patients than those with moderate to severe LVH (Table 1). Among several binarized parameters, the voltage-to-mass ratio, E/A ratio, the global longitudinal strain, and also the relative apical sparing pattern demonstrated additive value for identifying the ATTR-CM over aging (Table 2). In addition, the discriminative ability of the propensity score calculated from these four variables and age was considered excellent for the screening of ATTR-CM (AUC = 0.98).

Conclusion

The patients with mild LVH appear to have fewer electrocardiographic and echocardiographic specific findings of the ATTR-CM compared to patients with moderate to severe LVH. However, several red flags may be useful for screening ATTR-CM even in patients with a mild LVH.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Table 1Table 2

Impact of atrial fibrillation on soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and cardiovascular events in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease: the EXCEED-J study

Background

Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), a vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antagonist, has been suggested as a marker of endothelial dysfunction. Circulating sFlt-1 levels are associated with adverse outcomes in patients with preeclampsia, chronic kidney disease, and heart failure. Atrial fibrillation (AF) and coronary artery disease (CAD) are both associated with endothelial dysfunction. However, whether sFlt-1 can predict cardiovascular (CV) events and whether AF modifies the relationship between sFlt-1 and CV events in patients with suspected or known CAD are unknown.

Methods

We performed a nationwide, multicenter, prospective cohort study to determine the prognostic value of sFlt-1 and other biomarkers in patients with suspected or known CAD undergoing elective angiography. Heparin-free fasting serum was collected from the peripheral vein to determine levels of sFlt-1, VEGF, placental growth factor, cystatin C, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP). The primary outcome was 3-point major adverse CV events (3P-MACE) defined as a composite of CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. The secondary outcomes were all-cause death, CV death, and 5P-MACE defined as a composite of 3P-MACE, heart failure hospitalization, and coronary/peripheral artery revascularization.

Results

3311 patients were consecutively enrolled between Nov 2013 and May 2017. After excluding 56 ineligible patients, 3255 patients (324 AF and 2931 non-AF) were followed up over 3 years (follow-up rate, 99%). During the follow-up, 156 patients developed 3P-MACE, 215 died from any cause, 82 died from cardiovascular disease, and 1361 developed 5P-MACE. The sFlt-1 level was significantly higher in AF compared to non-AF patients (p<0.001). Stepwise regression analysis revealed that the sFlt-1 level was independently associated with AF. After adjusting for potential clinical confounders, serum levels of sFlt-1, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnI and cystatin C, but not other biomarkers, were significantly associated with 3P-MACE in the entire cohort. These associations were still significant in non-AF patients, whereas only the sFlt-1 level was significantly associated with 3P-MACE in AF patients. Serum levels of sFlt-1, but not other biomarkers, were also significantly associated with CV death in AF patients. Among the biomarkers, only the hs-CRP level was significantly associated with all-cause death, and no biomarker was significantly associated with 5P-MACE in AF patients. Furthermore, sFlt-1 provided an incremental prognostic information for 3P-MACE to the model with potential clinical confounders in AF, but not in non-AF patients.

Conclusions

Serum levels of sFlt-1 were significantly associated with 3P-MACE in patients with suspected or known CAD. This association was pronounced in AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The EXCEED-J study is supported by Health Labour Sciences Research Grant (2013-2014), AMED (2015-2017, Grant Number JP17ek0210008) and Grant-in-Aid for Clinical Research from the National Hospital Organization (2018-2020).

Flexural Properties and Polished Surface Characteristics of a Structural Colored Resin Composite

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the flexural properties and surface characteristics of a structural colored resin composite after different finishing and polishing methods, in comparison to those of conventional resin composites.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A structural color resin composite, Omnichroma (OM, Tokuyama Corp, Chiyoda City, Tokyo, Japan), and two comparison resin composites, Filtek Supreme Ultra (FS, 3M, St Paul, MN, USA) and Tetric EvoCeram (TE, Ivoclar Vivadent, Schaan, Liechtenstein), were used. The flexural properties of the resin composites were determined in accordance with the ISO 4049 specifications. For surface properties, 70 polymerized specimens of each resin composite were prepared and divided into seven groups of 10. Surface roughness (Sa), gloss (GU), and surface free energy (SFE) were investigated after the following finishing and polishing methods. Three groups of specimens were finished with a superfine-grit diamond bur (SFD), and three with a tungsten carbide bur (TCB). After finishing, one of the two remaining groups was polished with a one-step silicone point (CMP), and the other with an aluminum oxide flexible disk (SSD). A group ground with SiC 320-grit was set as a baseline.

RESULTS

The average flexural strength ranged from 116.6 to 142.3 MPa in the following order with significant differences between each value: FS > TE > OM. The average E ranged from 6.8 to 13.2 GPa in the following order with significant differences between each value: FS > TE > OM. The average R ranged from 0.77 to 1.01 MJ/mm3 in the following order: OM > FS > TE. The Sa values of the OM groups polished with CMP and SSD were found to be significantly lower than those of the other resin composites, regardless of the finishing method. The GU values appeared to be dependent on the material and the finishing method used. The OM specimens polished with SSD showed significantly higher GU values than those polished with CMP. Most of the resin composites polished with SSD demonstrated significantly higher γS values compared to the other groups. Extremely strong negative correlations between Sa and GU in the combined data from the three resin composites and each resin composite and between Sa and γS in the OM specimens were observed; GU showed a strong positive correlation with γS in the same material.

CONCLUSION

These findings indicate that both flexural and surface properties are material dependent. Furthermore, the different finishing and polishing methods used in this study were observed to affect the Sa, GU, and SFE of the resin composites.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Screening Arterial Spin-Labeling MRI Using Hadamard Encoding for the Detection of Reduced CBF in Adult Patients with Ischemic Moyamoya Disease

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Adult patients with ischemic Moyamoya disease are advised to undergo selective revascularization surgery based on cerebral hemodynamics. The purpose of this study was to determine the diagnostic accuracy of arterial spin-labeling MR imaging using Hadamard-encoded multiple postlabeling delays for the detection of reduced CBF in such patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-seven patients underwent brain perfusion SPECT and pseudocontinuous arterial spin-labeling MR imaging using standard postlabeling delay (1525 ms) and Hadamard-encoded multiple postlabeling delays. For Hadamard-encoded multiple postlabeling delays, based on data obtained from the 7 sub-boluses with combinations of different labeling durations and postlabeling delays, CBF corrected by the arterial transit time was calculated on a voxel-by-voxel basis. Using a 3D stereotaxic template, we automatically placed ROIs in the ipsilateral cerebellar hemisphere and 5 MCA territories in the symptomatic cerebral hemisphere; then, the ratio of the MCA to cerebellar ROI was calculated.

RESULTS

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for detecting reduced SPECT-CBF ratios (<0.686) was significantly greater for the Hadamard-encoded multiple postlabeling delays-CBF ratios (0.885) than for the standard postlabeling delay-CBF ratios (0.786) (P = .001). The sensitivity and negative predictive value for the Hadamard-encoded multiple postlabeling delays-CBF ratios were 100% (95% confidence interval, 100%-100%) and significantly higher than the sensitivity (95% CI, 44%-80%) and negative predictive value (95% CI, 88%-97%) for the standard postlabeling delay-CBF ratio, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

ASL MR imaging using Hadamard-encoded multiple postlabeling delays may be applicable as a screening tool because it can detect reduced CBF on brain perfusion SPECT with 100% sensitivity and a 100% negative predictive value in adult patients with ischemic Moyamoya disease.

Effect of nursing procedures on the hand skin temperature of female hospital nurses

AIMS

Nurses' hand temperature may affect patient comfort but has not been investigated. This study aimed to determine female hospital nurses' hand skin temperature and clarify the effects of measurement site, time, nursing procedures, and environment.

DESIGN

An observational study.

METHODS

The middle finger, thenar eminence, hypothenar eminence, and medial forearm skin temperature of 29 female hospital nurses was measured at four time points during a day shift and before and after nursing procedures (hand disinfection, hand washing, taking vital signs, hygiene care, and positioning).

RESULTS

Mean hand skin temperature was in the range of 29-32°C with interpersonal variations. Mean skin temperature at the medial forearm was 31.94-32.35°C (SD 0.87-1.52°C) and at the middle finger, 29.73-31.07°C (SD > 3°C). Time-dependent skin temperature fluctuations were confirmed on the middle finger (p = .022), and thenar (p = .005) and hypothenar eminence (p = .001). There were weak correlations between skin temperature and environmental factors, including ambient temperature (ρ = .194-.266), humidity (ρ = -.309 to -.319), and hospital room wind speed (ρ = .253-.314). The skin temperature dropped significantly after hand disinfection and handwashing at all measurement sites (middle finger: -1.30 and -3.56°C, respectively; thenar eminence: -1.19 and -3.32°C; hypothenar eminence: -0.80 and -3.39°C; medial forearm: -0.21 and -1.60°C).

CONCLUSION

These findings may raise nurses' awareness of their skin temperature. Moreover, our study highlights the need to develop countermeasures to ensure optimal nurses' skin temperature and patient comfort.

Molecular characterization and antimicrobial resistance of group A streptococcus isolates in streptococcal toxic shock syndrome cases in Japan from 2013 to 2018

Streptococcal toxic shock syndrome (STSS) is a severe invasive infection characterized by the sudden onset of shock, multi-organ failure, and puerperal sepsis and shows high mortality. Its primary cause is group A streptococcus (GAS, Streptococcus pyogenes). In this study, we genotyped the cell-surface M virulence protein gene (emm) from 621 GAS isolates obtained from patients with STSS in Japan in 2013-2018 and performed antimicrobial susceptibility testing using the broth microdilution method. The predominant emm type was found to be 1, followed by 89, 12, and 3, which were identified in more than 70 % of STSS isolates. The proportions of emm3 and emm89 increased from 2.4 % and 12.0 %, respectively, during 2010-2012 to 5.6 % and 23.3 % during 2013-2018. In contrast, the proportion of emm1 decreased from 60.6 % to 39.3 % during the same two periods. Some emm types showed increasing proportions and were not isolated from patients with STSS in 2010-2012. Among these, an emm76 type increased in prevalence and was not included in the 30-valent M protein-based vaccine. Continual investigation of changes in the epidemiology of GAS which causes STSS can provide useful monitoring information such as future vaccination strategies and the emergence status of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria.

Impaired preload reserve is an important haemodynamic characteristics that discriminates between physiological ageing and overt heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

 Ageing process per se is a major risk factor for heart failure (HF). In fact, the incidence of HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) dramatically increases with age. Although ageing plays a central role in the development of HFpEF, not all the elderly patients develop clinical HFpEF. Multiple abnormalities in the cardiovascular system have been proposed to contribute to the development of HFpEF. However, the pathophysiology that discriminates between physiological ageing and overt HFpEF is incompletely understood.

Purpose

 The purpose of this study was to assess the effects of ageing on the cardiac structures and haemodynamics. Moreover, we evaluated the determinant factor that discriminates between physiological ageing and overt HFpEF by non-invasive preload increasing manoeuvre using leg-positive pressure (LPP) stress echocardiography.

Methods

 A total of 91 subjects were prospectively recruited in this study: 22 patients with HFpEF and 69 healthy controls. Normal controls were further stratified into 3 age groups: young (n = 19, 20-40 years of age), middle-aged (N = 25, 40-65 years) and elderly (n = 25, &gt;65 years). All subjects underwent LPP stress with a continuous external pressure of 90 mmHg around both lower limbs using dedicated airbags (Fig.). 

Results

 The left ventricular mass index (LVMI; young, 68 ± 19 g/m²; middle-age, 70 ± 18 g/m²; elderly, 84 ± 21 g/m²) and also the relative wall thickness (RWT; young, 0.34 ± 0.09; middle-age, 0.41 ± 0.06; elderly 0.55 ± 0.10) increased with ageing, which was accelerated in HFpEF (LVMI: 111 ± 32 g/m², RWT; 0.63 ± 0.19, ANOVA P &lt; 0.001, respectively). Although baseline LV ejection fraction and cardiac output were quite comparable between groups, E/e’ ratio significantly increased with with ageing (ANOVA P &lt; 0.001, Fig.). During LPP stress, E/e’ ratio significantly increased in the middle-aged and elderly groups (from 8.8 ± 2.7 to 9.7 ± 3.3, and from 11.4 ± 2.4 to 13.0 ± 2.2, P &lt; 0.05, respectively), which was further deteriorated in HFpEF (from 16.8 ± 5.8 to 18.0 ± 7.6, P &lt; 0.05). On the other hand, stroke volume index (SVi) significantly increased in each healthy group during LPP stress (young; from 45 ± 10 to 50 ± 11 mL/m², middle-age; from 39 ± 7 to 44 ± 6 mL/m² and elderly; from 37 ± 7 to 43 ± 8 mL/m², all P &lt; 0.001), while SVi failed to increase in the HFpEF group (from 45 ± 13 to 45 ± 14 mL/m², P = 0.60). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, LVMI (hazard ratio; HR 1.055, P &lt; 0.05), baseline E/e’ (HR 1.444; P &lt; 0.05), and ΔSVi (HR 0.755; P &lt; 0.05) during LPP stress were the independent parameters that characterised overt HFpEF.

Conclusions

 Striking parallels between structure-function alterations were observed in the physiological cardiovascular ageing process, which was further accelerated in patients with HFpEF. Not only structural remodeling and impaired diastolic function, but also impaired systolic reserve during preload stress is important haemodynamic feature that characterise the pathophysiology of HFpEF.

Abstract Figure.

Association between clinical risk factors and left ventricular function in patients with breast cancer following chemotherapy

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

The sequential or concurrent use of two different types of agents such as anthracyclines and trastuzumab may increase myocardial injury and cancer therapeutics-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD), which is often the result of the combined detrimental effect of the two therapies for breast cancer patients. For risk stratification to detect the development of CTRCD, the current position paper from the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) lists several factors associated with risk of cardiotoxicity.

Purpose

Our purpose was to investigate the impact of baseline risk factors on left ventricular (LV) function in patients with preserved LV ejection fraction (LVEF) who have undergone chemotherapy for breast cancer.

Methods

We studied 86 breast cancer patients treated with anthracyclines, trastuzumab, or both. Mean age was 59 ± 13 years and LVEF was 67 ± 5%. In accordance with the current definition, CTRCD was defined as a decline in LVEF of &gt;10% to an absolute value of &lt;53% after chemotherapy. Based on the 2016 ESC position paper, clinical risk factors for CTRCD were defined as: (1) a cumulative total doxorubicin dose of ≥ 240mg/m², (2) age ≥ 65-year-old, (3) body mass index ≥ 30kg/m², (4) a previous history of radiation therapy to chest or mediastinum, (5) B-type natriuretic peptide ≥ 100pg/mL, (6) a previous history of cardiovascular disease, (7) atrial fibrillation, (8) hypertension, (9) diabetes mellitus, (10) current or ex-smoker.

Results

The relative decrease in LVEF after chemotherapy for patients with more than four risk factors was significantly greater than that for patients without (-9.3 ± 10.8% vs. -2.2 ± 10.2%; p = 0.02). However, this finding did not apply to patients with more than one, two or three risk factors. Patients with more than four risk factors also tended to show a higher prevalence of CTRCD than those without (14.3% vs. 2.8%, p = 0.12). Moreover, patients with more than four risk factors were more likely to have higher LV mass index (109.3 ± 29.0g/m² vs. 83.2 ± 21.0g/m², p &lt; 0.001), lower global longitudinal strain (18.4 ± 2.8% vs. 20.0 ± 2.6%, p = 0.06) and higher E/e’ (10.4 (8.9-13.0) vs. 9.0 (7.4-10.9), p = 0.06) compared to those without. 

Furthermore, receiver-operator characteristics curve analysis showed that an optimal cut off value of a cumulative total doxorubicin dose for developing LV dysfunction in patients with more than any of four risk factors was lower than that in those without (180 mg/m² vs. 280 mg/m²).

Conclusions

Association between clinical risk factors and LV dysfunction following chemotherapy became stronger with an increase in the number of risk factors in breast cancer patients, and was especially strong for patients treated with chemotherapy who had more than four risk factors. Our findings can thus be expected to have clinical implications for better management of patients with breast cancer referred for chemotherapy.

Abstract Figure.

Preload stress echocardiography by using dynamic postural alteration can identify high risk patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Haemodynamic assessment during stress testing is not commonly performed for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) due to its invasiveness, less feasibility, and safety concerns. Passive leg-lifting (PLL) manoeuvres have been introduced as a simple alternative for non-invasive preload stress testing; however, the haemodynamic load imposed on the cardiovascular system is unsatisfactory, which precludes the accurate assessment of the preload reserve for patients with HF.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to assess the haemodynamic characteristics of patients with HFrEF in response to a preload stress during dynamic postural alterations by combining the semi-sitting position (SSP) and PLL. We also evaluated whether combined postural stress could be used for risk stratification for these patients.

Methods

For this study, 101 patients with HFrEF and 35 age- and sex-matched normal controls were prospectively recruited. At each postural position (i.e., baseline, SSP, and PLL), all standard echocardiographic and Doppler variables were obtained. Adverse cardiac events were prespecified as the combined endpoints of death from or hospitalisation for deteriorated HF, or sudden cardiac death. Clinical follow-up was conducted for a median of 7 months.

Results

During PLL stress, the stroke volume index (SVi) significantly increased in both controls (from 40 ± 6 to 43 ± 6 mL/m², P = 0.03) and HFrEF patients (from 31 ± 9 to 34 ± 10 mL/m², P = 0.03). Conversely, during SSP stress, the SVi significantly decreased for both controls (from 40 ± 6 to 37 ± 6 mL/m², P = 0.03) and HFrEF patients (31 ± 9 to 28 ± 8 mL/m², P = 0.03). During the follow-up period, 16 patients developed cardiac events. In patients without events, the Frank-Starling mechanism was well preserved (Fig. A). Namely, the SVi significantly increased from 31 ± 9 to 35 ± 10 mL/m² (P = 0.02) during PLL stress, while the SVi significantly decreased from 31 ± 8 to 28 ± 8 mL/m² (P = 0.02) during SSP stress. In contrast, for patients with cardiac events, the SVi did not change during postural alterations (n.s), which indicated that the failing heart operates on the flat portion of the Frank-Starling curve (Fig. A). When patients were divided into three equal sub-groups based on the total difference in the SVi during dynamic postural stress, patients with impaired preload reserve (third trimester, ΔSVi ≤ 3.0 mL/m²) showed significantly worse event-free survival than the other two sub-groups (Fig. B; P &lt; 0.001). In a Cox proportional-hazard analysis, baseline LVEF (hazard ratio 0.93; P = 0.04), and ΔSVi during postural stress (hazard ratio 0.76; P = 0.004) were predictors of future cardiac events.

Conclusions

The combined assessment of dynamic postural stress during PLL and SPP is a simple, time-saving, and easy-to-use clinical tool for the assessment of preload reserve for patients with HFrEF. Moreover, postural stress echocardiography proved to contribute to the risk stratification for these patients.

Abstract Figure.

Cardiac resynchronization therapy improves left atrial reservoir function through resynchronization of the left atrium in patients with heart failure

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

The structural remodeling of the left atrium (LA) has been proposed as an important determinant of adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the potential impact of LA mechanical dyssynchrony on its reservoir function and the prognosis of patients with HF. In addition, it has not been fully investigated whether cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is also beneficial to LA function.

Purposes

The purposes of this study were to test whether left ventricular (LV) dyssynchrony may negatively affect LA synchronicity and reservoir function, and to assess whether residual LA dyssynchrony after CRT affects the prognosis in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).

Methods

This study included total of 90 subjects: 40 HFrEF with a wide-QRS complex (≧130 ms), 28 HFrEF with a narrow-QRS, and 22 age- and sex-matched normal controls. LA global longitudinal strain (LA-GLS) and LA dyssynchrony were quantified using speckle-tracking strain analysis. LA dyssynchrony was defined as the maximal difference of time-to-peak strain (LA time-diff). All wide-QRS HFrEF received CRT, and event-free survival was tracked for 24 months.

Results

At baseline, HFrEF patients showed significant LA remodeling coupled with the reduced LA reservoir function, as evidenced by larger LA volume index (LAVi: 46 ± 16 vs. 30 ± 14 mL/m², P &lt; 0.01) and smaller LA-GLS (13.0 ± 4.8 vs. 30.6 ± 10.7%, P &lt; 0.01). Of note was that, not only LV dyssynchrony (381 ± 178 vs. 177 ± 62 ms, P &lt; 0.01) but also LA dyssynchrony (298 ± 136 vs. 186 ± 78 ms, P &lt; 0.01) were significantly larger in patients with HFrEF compared to normal subjects and this applied even more to patients with a wide-QRS complex. All patients with a wide-QRS complex underwent CRT, and only responders exhibited the significant decrease in LA time-diff (from 338 ± 123 to 245 ± 141 ms, P &lt; 0.05) and increase in LA-GLS (from 11.9 ± 4.7 to 19.6 ± 10.1%, P &lt; 0.05) in parallel with the reduction in LAVi (from 48 ± 17 to 37 ± 18 mL/m², P &lt; 0.05) at 6 months after CRT. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified the optimal cut-off value of LA time-diff at 6 months after CRT as 202 ms (P &lt; 0.05) and that of LA-GLS as 14.6% (P &lt; 0.05) for predicting adverse cardiac events. The patients whose LA time-diff reduced &lt;202 ms after CRT showed significantly favorable event-free survival than the others. Similarly, the patients whose LA-GLS improved &gt;14.6% after CRT exhibited significantly favorable event-free survival than the others (P &lt; 0.05, respectively). Of note was that, when the patients were restricted to CRT responders only, those who showed LA time-diff less than 202 ms at 6 months after CRT almost never experienced cardiac events (P &lt; 0.05).

Conclusions

The improved LV coordination by CRT also resulted in resynchronization of discoordinated LA wall motion and a consecutive improvement of LA reservoir function, which ultimately lead to the favorable outcome for HFrEF patients with wide-QRS complex.

Abstract Figure.