Hierarchical porous polystyrene-based activated carbon spheres for CO2 capture

It is rather essential to design porous carbon adsorbents with high CO2 capture performance for improving global warming and climate change. Activated carbon spheres with high specific surface area and hierarchical porous texture were prepared from polystyrene-based macroreticular resin spheres due to their low ash and mechanical stability by air pre-oxidization and steam activation. The as-prepared carbon spheres had a specific surface area of 1274.95 m2 g-1, total pore volume of 1.09 cm3 g-1 and micropore volume of 0.47 cm3 g-1. Moreover, these carbon spheres showed a hierarchical porous texture composed of ultrafine micropores (0.5-1 nm), micropores (1-2 nm), mesopores (10-50 nm) and macropores (50-100 nm). A CO2 adsorption capacity of 2.82 mmol g-1 for carbon spheres can be obtained at 30 °C and 1 atm. Further, after introducing nitrogen-containing functional groups by gaseous ammonia at 600 °C, these carbon spheres (NPSRCSs) exhibited a high CO2 adsorption capacity of 3.2 mmol g-1. In addition, excellent cyclic stability, low hygroscopicity and regenerability temperature suggested these carbon spheres were favorable for CO2 capture.

Methylxanthine Treatment in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in China: A Real-World Study Using Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background: Although medical guidelines discourage the use of methylxanthines in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), they are still widely used in clinical practice. This study investigated the real-world use of methylxanthines in the management of AECOPD.

Methods: Patient data from the Acute exacerbation of Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Using REgistry data (ACURE, NCT02657525) study database were screened. Enrolled patients were divided into treatment and control groups. Propensity score (PS) matching and Cox regression analyses were used to minimize confounding factors and determine the association between methylxanthine treatment and the length of stay (LOS).

Results: Among the 2088 eligible patients, 1,563 (74.9%) were in the methylxanthine treatment group. Patients treated with methylxanthines had more severe respiratory symptoms and worse lung function than those in the control group. Doxophylline was the most commonly used methylxanthine in both secondary and tertiary hospitals. After PS matching, 966 patients were equally divided into two groups. The LOS of patients in the two groups was similar [median: 8 days, interquartile range (IQR): 7–11 days, p = 0.730]. Patients in the treatment group (median: 8, IQR: 4–12) had a more significant decrease in the COPD Assessment Test score from admission to discharge than those in the control group (median: 6, IQR: 2–10, p < 0.001). Among all matched patients, the LOS was not significantly associated with methylxanthine treatment [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.02, 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 0.89–1.16]. However, in the subgroup analysis, methylxanthines were significantly associated with a short LOS in patients with blood eosinophil count >4% (adjusted HR: 1.56, 95% CIs: 1.12–2.17).

Conclusion: This study revealed that methylxanthines, especially doxophylline, are widely used in China. Methylxanthines were effective in improving symptoms in AECOPD patients. Higher blood eosinophil count may be associated with a better efficacy of methylxanthine treatment.

OP18 Efficacy and safety of filgotinib for the treatment of perianal fistulizing Crohn’s Disease: Results from the phase 2 DIVERGENCE 2 study

Background

Treatment of perianal fistulizing Crohn’s disease (PFCD) is a major unmet need. Filgotinib (FIL) is a once-daily, oral, preferential Janus kinase 1 inhibitor in development for the treatment of inflammatory bowel diseases. The efficacy and safety of FIL for the treatment of PFCD was evaluated in the phase 2, double-blind, randomized, placebo (PBO)-controlled DIVERGENCE 2 study (NCT03077412).

Methods

Patients (18–75 years old) with PFCD (documented diagnosis of CD for at least 3 months and 1–3 external openings [EOs] with drainage [spontaneous or on compression] for ≥ 4 weeks before screening) previously treated with antibiotics, immunomodulators and/or tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) were randomized (2:2:1) to receive FIL 200 mg, FIL 100 mg or PBO once daily for up to 24 weeks. Active luminal CD was permitted providing that the Crohn’s Disease Activity Index score was ≤ 300 at screening. The primary endpoint was combined fistula response (reduction of ≥ 1 from baseline in the number of draining EOs determined by investigator assessment and no fluid collections > 1 cm on centrally read pelvic magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]) at Week 24. Combined fistula remission (closure of all draining EOs present at baseline and no fluid collections > 1 cm) at Week 24 was a key secondary endpoint. The study was not powered for statistical comparisons and was prematurely terminated owing to low recruitment rates during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Results

Baseline characteristics were broadly similar across the treatment groups (Table 1). Overall, 91.2% of patients had complex perianal fistulae and TNFi treatment had previously failed in 64.9% of patients. A lower proportion of patients randomized to receive FIL 200 mg discontinued the study compared with those who received PBO (Table 2). The proportion of patients who achieved a combined fistula response at Week 24 was numerically higher in the FIL 200 mg group (47.1%; 90% confidence interval [CI]: 26.0–68.9) than in the PBO group (25.0%; 90% CI: 7.2–52.7) (Figure 1), with similar results observed for combined fistula remission (FIL 200 mg [47.1%; CI: 26.0–68.9] versus PBO [16.7%; CI: 3.0–43.8]) (Figure 2). Treatment-emergent severe adverse events were highest in the FIL 200 mg group (Table 2). Adverse event rates were otherwise similar across treatment groups.

Conclusion

In this phase 2 study, numerically higher fistula response and remission rates were observed after 24 weeks of treatment with FIL 200 mg versus PBO in patients with active PFCD and a history of multiple medical treatment failures. FIL was well tolerated overall. Further studies of FIL for the treatment of PFCD are warranted.

Dinuclear osmium complexes as mitochondrion-targeting antitumor photothermal agents in vivo

Mitochondrion-targeting dinuclear osmium complexes with extremely high photothermal conversion capability under irradiation of an 808 nm low-power laser without nucleus affinity and photodynamic activity act as antitumor photothermal therapy agents in vivo.

The Heterogeneity of Inflammatory Response and Emphysema in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a heterogeneous disease characterized by chronic inflammation, emphysema, airway remodeling, and altered lung function. Despite the canonical classification of COPD as a neutrophilic disease, blood and airway eosinophilia are found in COPD patients. Identifying the tools to assess eosinophilic airway inflammation in COPD models during stable disease and exacerbations will enable the development of novel anti-eosinophilic treatments. We developed different animal models to mimic the pathological features of COPD. Our results show that eosinophils accumulated in the lungs of pancreatic porcine elastase-treated mice, with emphysema arising from the alveolar septa. A lipopolysaccharide challenge significantly increased IL-17 levels and induced a swift change from a type-2 response to an IL-17-driven inflammatory response. However, lipopolysaccharides can exacerbate cigarette smoking-induced airway inflammation dominated by neutrophil infiltration and airway remodeling in COPD models. Our results suggest that eosinophils may be associated with emphysema arising from the alveolar septa, which may be different from the small airway disease-associated emphysema that is dominated by neutrophilic inflammation in cigarette smoke-induced models. The characterization of heterogeneity seen in the COPD-associated inflammatory signature could pave the way for personalized medicine to identify new and effective therapeutic approaches for COPD.

Effect of Sodium Tanshinone IIA Sulfonate Injection on Blood Lipid in Patients With Coronary Heart Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials

Background: Lipid-lowering therapy is very important in secondary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD). In many clinical trials, it has been found that Sodium Tanshinone IIA Sulfonate Injection (STS) have a lipid-lowering effect while reducing major cardiovascular events in patients with CHD. However, up to now, there is no system review on the effectiveness and safety of STS affecting blood lipids.

Purpose: The aim of this review is to systematically assess the effects of STS on blood lipid levels in patients with CHD.

Methods: Until Mar 2021, five databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang Database) were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) about STS treating patients with CHD. Risk bias was assessed for included studies according to Cochrane handbook. The primary outcome was total cholesterol (TC). The secondary outcomes were triglycerides (TG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), and adverse events (AEs).

Results: A total of 27 trials including 2,445 CHD patients met the eligibility criteria. Most trials had high risks in random sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of patients and personal, blinding of outcome assessment. Meta-analysis showed that STS significantly reduced plasma TC levels [MD = −1.34 mmol/l 95% CI (−1.59, −1.09), p < 0.00001, I² = 98%], TG levels [MD = −0.49 mmol/l 95% CI (−0.62, −0.35), p < 0.00001, I² = 97%], LDL-c levels [MD = −0.68 mmol/l (−0.80, −0.57), p < 0.00001, I² = 96%], increased HDL-c levels [MD = 0.26 mmol/l (0.15, 0.37), p < 0.00001, I² = 97%], without increasing the incidence of AEs [RR = 1.27 95% CI (0.72, 2.27), p = 0.94, I² = 0%] in patients with CHD.

Conclusion: STS can safely and effectively reduce plasma TC, TG and LDL-c levels in patients with CHD, and improve plasma HDL-c levels. However, these findings require careful recommendation due to the low overall quality of RCTs at present. More multi-center, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials which are designed follow the CONSORT 2010 guideline are needed.

Antimicrobial and anti-dust mite efficacy of Cinnamomum camphora chvar. Borneol essential oil using pilot-plant neutral cellulase-assisted steam distillation

Cinnamomum camphora chvar. Borneol essential oil (BEO) was efficiently extracted by using pilot-plant neutral cellulase-assisted steam distillation (NCSD). Borneol, β-cadinene and α-caryophyllene were identified as major components. Bacillus subtilis was the most sensitive bacteria to BEO with the lowest minimal inhibition concentration (MIC) and minimal bactericial concentration (MBC) at 1·75 and 3·50 mg ml^-1 , respectively. Antimicrobial activity of the BEO was also reasonably high against Salmonella typhimurium, Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus aureus, but not sensitive against two fungi, i.e. Aspergillus niger and Penicillium aurantiogriseum. Changes in permeability and integrity of cell membrane, damage of cell wall and further leakage out of metabolites and ions were determined as bactericidal mechanisms of BEO against the two gram-positive bacteria. The BEO showed a reasonably high repelling activity of dust mite, which achieved higher than 95% repelling dust mite activity after the treatment of BEO solution at 0·50 mg ml^-1 . When the concentration of BEO was higher than 0·50 mg ml^-1 , it was B-grade miticide with miticidal activity higher than 95%. Miticidal procedures were characterized as excitation, contraction, relaxation and lastly leading to the death of dust mite. It is speculated that the BEO would cause dehydration and death of dust mite as neuromuscular toxicity.

Prevalence, predictors, and clinical prognosis of macrophage infiltrates in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction caused by plaque erosion as assessed by OCT

Background

Autopsy series showed that one of most common plaque phenotypes underlying coronary thrombi was plaque erosion. Identification of erosion may permit a less invasive management. Chronic inflammation is a common process in atherosclerosis. The severity of plaque inflammation can be assessed by optical coherence tomography (OCT) defined macrophages density. The impact of macrophage infiltrates (MØI) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients caused by plaque erosion was still unknown.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to evaluate plaque morphology and clinical prognosis associated with MØI as assessed by optical coherence tomography in STEMI patients caused by plaque erosion.

Methods

From October 2014 to December 2017, 1561 STEMI with OCT imaging before percutaneous coronary intervention were enrolled in this study. Finally, 312 STEMI patients caused by plaque erosion were split into two group according to the presence of MØI in culprit eroded plaques.

Results

163 (52.2%) STEMI patients presented plaque erosion with MØI, whereas 149 (47.8%) patients had no evidence of MØI. MØI were more frequency appeared in older patients (p=0.015). The severity and vulnerability of culprit lesions were higher in patients with MØI characterized by more aggressive and vulnerable features. Patients with MØI had worse long-term prognosis, compared with patient without MØI, mainly driven by a higher rate of target lesion revascularization (p=0.046), especially in STEMI patients presented plaque erosion with intensive antiplatelet therapy (p=0.035).

Conclusions

In the present study, we demonstrated that macrophage infiltrates at the site of erode plaques were associated with severity and vulnerability of culprit lesions. The long-term prognosis in patients with MØI were poorer especially in patients without stent implantation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Study flow chartPredictors of plaque erosion with MØI

Development and validation of an incidence risk prediction model for early foot ulcer in diabetes based on a high evidence systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a model for predicting the risk of early diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) based on systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

Data were analyzed from the risk factors of DFU with their corresponding risk ratio (RR) by meta-analysis. The DFU prediction model included statistically significant risk factors from the meta-analysis, all of which were scored by its weightings, and the prediction model was externally validated using a validation cohort from China. The occurrence of early DFU was defined as patients with type 2 diabetes who were free of DFU at baseline and diagnosed with DFU at follow-up. Evaluation of model performance was based on the area under the discrimination receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), with optimal cutoff point determined by calculation of sensitivity and specificity. Kaplan-Meier curve were performed tocompare the cumulative risk of different groups.

RESULTS

Our meta-analysis confirmed a cumulative incidence of approximately 6.0% in 46,521 patients with diabetes. The final risk prediction model included Sex, BMI, HbA1c, Smoker, DN, DR, DPN, Intermittent Claudication, Foot care, and their RRs were 1.87, 1.08, 1.21, 1.77, 2.97, 2.98, 2.76, 3.77, 0.38, respectively. The total score of all risk factors was 80 points according to their weightings. The prediction model showed good discrimination with AUC = 0.798 (95 %CI 0.738-0.858). At the optimal cut-off value of 46.5 points, the sensitivity, specificity and Youden index were 0.769, 0.798 and 0.567, respectively. The final model stratified the validation cohort into low, low-intermediate, high-intermediate and high-risk groups; Compared with low-risk group, the RR with 95 %CI of developing DFU in high-intermediate and high-risk group were 17.23 (5.12-58.02), p < 0.01 and 46.11 (5.16-91.74), p < 0.01, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We have developed a simple tool to facilitates early identification of patients with diabetes at high risk of developing DFU based on scores. This simple tool may improve clinical decision-making and potentially guide early intervention.

Soft-Dielectron Excess in Proton-Proton Collisions at sqrt[s]=13 TeV

A measurement of dielectron production in proton-proton (pp) collisions at sqrt[s]=13  TeV, recorded with the ALICE detector at the CERN LHC, is presented in this Letter. The data set was recorded with a reduced magnetic solenoid field. This enables the investigation of a kinematic domain at low dielectron (ee) invariant mass m_{ee} and pair transverse momentum p_{T,ee} that was previously inaccessible at the LHC. The cross section for dielectron production is studied as a function of m_{ee}, p_{T,ee}, and event multiplicity dN_{ch}/dη. The expected dielectron rate from hadron decays, called hadronic cocktail, utilizes a parametrization of the measured η/π^{0} ratio in pp and proton-nucleus collisions, assuming that this ratio shows no strong dependence on collision energy at low transverse momentum. Comparison of the measured dielectron yield to the hadronic cocktail at 0.15<m_{ee}<0.6  GeV/c^{2} and for p_{T,ee}<0.4  GeV/c indicates an enhancement of soft dielectrons, reminiscent of the "anomalous" soft-photon and soft-dilepton excess in hadron-hadron collisions reported by several experiments under different experimental conditions. The enhancement factor over the hadronic cocktail amounts to 1.61±0.13(stat)±0.17(syst,data)±0.34(syst,cocktail) in the ALICE acceptance. Acceptance-corrected excess spectra in m_{ee} and p_{T,ee} are extracted and compared with calculations of dielectron production from hadronic bremsstrahlung and thermal radiation within a hadronic many-body approach.

Pulmonary telerehabilitation and efficacy among discharged COVID-19 patients: Rational and design of a prospective real-world study

INTRODUCTION

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could cause physical and psychological dysfunction in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infected patients. Pulmonary telerehabilitation is strongly recommended due to the contagious nature of the disease, but its efficacy and benefit need to be comprehensively evaluated.

METHODS

An 8-week pulmonary telerehabilitation programme is designed in a real-world and prospective manner, aiming to assess the efficacy of remote rehabilitation among discharged patients with COVID-19 from three designated hospitals in the epicenter of China (Wuhan City). The telerehabilitation programme includes physicians and physiotherapists remotely guided training (online) for 2 weeks, and patient self-managed rehabilitation (offline) for 6 weeks with assistance of information technology and digital device. The main rehabilitation intervention includes breathing exercise, respiratory muscle training, aerobic exercise, and resistance training. The primary outcome is 6-min walk distance, and secondly pulmonary function, respiratory muscle strength, physical activity, symptom, psychological status and quality of life, etc. will also be assessed. Patients will be followed up periodically at week two, four, eight after enrolment and at month one, three, six and 12 after the rehabilitation accomplished, respectively. Current study has been approved by the ethics committee of China-Japan Friendship Hospital and three participating centers in Wuhan City.

DISCUSSION

We anticipate that the health status of discharged patients with COVID-19 could be improved through this systemic pulmonary telerehabilitation programme. The interdisciplinary remote mode of rehabilitation could be an optimal way in management of emerging respiratory tract infectious disease.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04368793.

Emergence of livestock-associated MRSA ST398 from bulk tank milk, China

OBJECTIVES

To detect livestock-associated MRSA (LA-MRSA) ST398 from bulk tank milk in China and to determine the phenotypic and genomic characteristics of the strains.

METHODS

LA-MRSA ST398 strains were isolated from bulk tank milk samples in Shanghai and their susceptibilities to antimicrobials were determined using the broth dilution method. Genomic characterization of MRSA ST398 strains was performed by WGS and their evolutionary relationships were assessed by phylogenetic analysis.

RESULTS

Two LA-MRSA ST398 isolates were recovered from bulk tank milk samples in two geographically distant farms in China. Whole-genome analysis strongly suggested that the LA-MRSA ST398 strains were closely related to the highly virulent hospital-associated MRSA (HA-MRSA) ST398 strains in China.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of LA-MRSA ST398 in bulk tank milk might be a serious threat to public health, highlighting the need for active surveillance of LA-MRSA in healthy cattle in China.

Blood Eosinophils and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis of Real-World Data in China

Background and Objective: Elevated eosinophils in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are recognized as a biomarker to guide inhaled corticosteroids use, but the value of blood eosinophils in hospitalized exacerbations of COPD remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of eosinophils in predicting clinical outcomes in acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD).

Methods: We analyzed data from the acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease inpatient registry (ACURE) study, which is an ongoing nationwide multicenter, observational real-world study in patients admitted for AECOPD. Data collected between January 2018 and December 2019 in 163 centers were first reviewed. The eligible patients were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups, according to blood eosinophil with 2% of the total leukocyte count as the threshold. Propensity score (PS) matching was performed to adjust for confounders.

Results: A total of 1,566 patients (median age: 69 years; 80.3% male) were included and 42.7% had an eosinophilic AECOPD. Eosinophil count <2% was associated with the development of respiratory failure and pneumonia. After PS matching, 650 pairs in overall patients, 468 pairs in patients with smoking history and 177 pairs in patients without smoking were selected, respectively. Only in patients with smoking history, the non-eosinophilic AECOPD was associated with longer median hospital stays (9 vs. 8 days, P = 0.034), higher dosage of corticosteroid use, higher economic burden of hospitalization, and poorer response to corticosteroid therapy compared to the eosinophilic AECOPD. No significant difference was found in patients without smoking. Eosinophil levels had no relationship with the change of COPD Assessment Test scores and readmissions or death after 30 days.

Conclusion: Elevated eosinophils were associated with better short-term outcomes only in patients with a smoking history. Eosinophil levels cannot be confidently used as a predictor alone for estimating prognosis.

Development of a TaqMan loop-mediated isothermal amplification assay for the rapid detection of pigeon paramyxovirus type 1

Pigeon paramyxovirus-1 (PPMV-1) is a strain of Newcastle disease virus (NDV) that has adapted to infect pigeons and poses a constant threat to the commercial poultry industry. Early detection via rapid and sensitive methods, along with timely preventative and mitigating actions, is important for reducing the spread of PPMV-1. Here, we report the development of a TaqMan loop-mediated isothermal amplification assay (TaqMan-LAMP) for rapid and specific detection of PPMV-1 based on the F gene. This system makes use of six novel primers and a TaqMan probe that targets nine distinct regions of the F gene that are highly conserved among PPMV-1 isolates. The results showed that the limit of detection was 10 copies μL-1 for PPMV-1 cDNA and 0.1 ng for PPMV-1 RNA. The reaction was completed within 25 min and was thus faster than conventional RT-PCR. Moreover, no cross-reactions with similar viruses or with peste des petits ruminants virus (PPRV) or NDV LaSota vaccine strains were observed under the same conditions. To evaluate the applicability of the assay, the TaqMan-LAMP assay and a commercial RT-PCR assay were compared using 108 clinical samples, and the concordance rate between two methods was found to be 96.3%. The newly developed PPMV-1 TaqMan-LAMP assay can therefore be used for simple, efficient, rapid, specific, and sensitive diagnosis of PPMV-1 infections.

Extreme oxidant amounts produced by lightning in storm clouds

Lightning increases the atmosphere's ability to cleanse itself by producing nitric oxide (NO), leading to atmospheric chemistry that forms ozone (O₃) and the atmosphere's primary oxidant, the hydroxyl radical (OH). Our analysis of a 2012 airborne study of deep convection and chemistry demonstrates that lightning also directly generates the oxidants OH and the hydroperoxyl radical (HO₂). Extreme amounts of OH and HO₂ were discovered and linked to visible flashes occurring in front of the aircraft and to subvisible discharges in electrified anvil regions. This enhanced OH and HO₂ is orders of magnitude greater than any previous atmospheric observation. Lightning-generated OH in all storms happening at the same time globally can be responsible for a highly uncertain, but substantial, 2 to 16% of global atmospheric OH oxidation.

Elliptic Flow of Electrons from Beauty-Hadron Decays in Pb-Pb Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=5.02 TeV

The elliptic flow of electrons from beauty hadron decays at midrapidity (|y|<0.8) is measured in Pb-Pb collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=5.02  TeV with the ALICE detector at the LHC. The azimuthal distribution of the particles produced in the collisions can be parametrized with a Fourier expansion, in which the second harmonic coefficient represents the elliptic flow, v_{2}. The v_{2} coefficient of electrons from beauty hadron decays is measured for the first time in the transverse momentum (p_{T}) range 1.3-6  GeV/c in the centrality class 30%-50%. The measurement of electrons from beauty-hadron decays exploits their larger mean proper decay length cτ≈500  μm compared to that of charm hadrons and most of the other background sources. The v_{2} of electrons from beauty hadron decays at midrapidity is found to be positive with a significance of 3.75  σ. The results provide insights into the degree of thermalization of beauty quarks in the medium. A model assuming full thermalization of beauty quarks is strongly disfavored by the measurement at high p_{T}, but is in agreement with the results at low p_{T}. Transport models including substantial interactions of beauty quarks with an expanding strongly interacting medium describe the measurement within uncertainties.

Development and Validation of Risk Prediction Model for In-hospital Mortality Among Patients Hospitalized With Acute Exacerbation Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Between 2015 and 2019

Background: In patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), acute exacerbations affect patients' health and can lead to death. This study was aimed to develop a prediction model for in-hospital mortality in patients with acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). Method: A retrospective study was performed in patients hospitalized for AECOPD between 2015 and 2019. Patients admitted between 2015 and 2017 were included to develop model and individuals admitted in the following 2 years were included for external validation. We analyzed variables that were readily available in clinical practice. Given that death was a rare outcome in this study, we fitted Firth penalized logistic regression. C statistic and calibration plot quantified the model performance. Optimism-corrected C statistic and slope were estimated by bootstrapping. Accordingly, the prediction model was adjusted and then transformed into risk score. Result: Between 2015 and 2017, 1,096 eligible patients were analyzed, with a mean age of 73 years and 67.8% male. The in-hospital mortality was 2.6%. Compared to survivors, non-survivors were older, more admitted from emergency, more frequently concomitant with respiratory failure, pneumothorax, hypoxic-hypercarbic encephalopathy, and had longer length of stay (LOS). Four variables were included into the final model: age, respiratory failure, pneumothorax, and LOS. In internal validation, C statistic was 0.9147, and the calibration slope was 1.0254. Their optimism-corrected values were 0.90887 and 0.9282, respectively, indicating satisfactory discrimination and calibration. When externally validated in 700 AECOPD patients during 2018 and 2019, the model demonstrated good discrimination with a C statistic of 0.8176. Calibration plot illustrated a varying discordance between predicted and observed mortality. It demonstrated good calibration in low-risk patients with predicted mortality rate ≤10% (P = 0.3253) but overestimated mortality in patients with predicted rate >10% (P < 0.0001). The risk score of 20 was regarded as a threshold with an optimal Youden index of 0.7154. Conclusion: A simple prediction model for AECOPD in-hospital mortality has been developed and externally validated. Based on available data in clinical setting, the model could serve as an easily used instrument for clinical decision-making. Complications emerged as strong predictors, underscoring an important role of disease management in improving patients' prognoses during exacerbation episodes.