51
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Lim R, Dyke L, Dymond DS. Early prognosis after thrombolysis: value of exercise radionuclide ventriculography performed on anti-ischaemic medication. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CARDIAC IMAGING 1991; 7:125-31. [PMID: 1795124 DOI: 10.1007/bf01798052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
We examined the prognostic value of exercise radionuclide ventriculography (RNV) performed on anti-ischaemic medication following thrombolysis. Within 3 months of thrombolysis for first myocardial infarction, 31 medically treated patients with revascularisable but non-critical and minimally symptomatic coronary disease had left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) measured by first-pass exercise RNV. This was first performed off treatment and then repeated within 4 weeks on patients' regular medication. Follow-up at 12 months post-thrombolysis showed that 5 patients (Group I) had suffered significant recurrent symptoms (worsening angina requiring revascularisation in 3, unstable angina in 1, reinfarction in 1), but 26 remained well (Group II). Both groups were similar in age, post-thrombolytic severity of coronary disease, exercise LVEF whether off (39% vs 43%) or on medication (43% vs 44%), and change in LVEF with exercise ([symbol: see text]LVEF) off medication (-11% vs - 3%). However, on medication, there was a significant difference in mean [symbol: see text]LVEF between Groups I and II (-11% vs + 5%, P = 0.0008, 99% confidence interval = 4 to 26%). Thus, following thrombolysis, an abnormal [symbol: see text]LVEF despite anti-ischaemic medication may identify patients at risk of significant early recurrent ischaemia. Post-thrombolysis prognostic testing by exercise RNV may therefore be of greater value when performed on rather than off medication.
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Affiliation(s)
- R Lim
- Department of Cardiology, St Bartholomew's Hospital, London, UK
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52
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Kulick DL, Rahimtoola SH. Risk stratification in survivors of acute myocardial infarction: routine cardiac catheterization and angiography is a reasonable approach in most patients. Am Heart J 1991; 121:641-56. [PMID: 1990780 DOI: 10.1016/0002-8703(91)90747-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Noninvasive risk assessment in survivors of AMI can effectively subdivide patients into groups with differing risk profiles after hospital discharge, but some patients at risk for late death or recurrent AMI may be incorrectly identified; data from cardiac catheterization and angiography provide complementary and generally more powerful prognostic information. Many patients may derive particular benefit from early cardiac catheterization and angiography, including: (1) patients with AMI complicated by recurrent myocardial ischemia, congestive heart failure, and/or complex ventricular arrhythmias; (2) patients with abnormal or inconclusive results of noninvasive testing or those patients unable to perform an exercise test; (3) patients with abnormal left ventricular global systolic function and those with increased left ventricular end-systolic volume; (4) "young" patients (younger than 50 years of age?); (5) older patients (older than 65 to 70 years of age?); (6) patients with non-Q wave AMI; and (7) patients who are receiving thrombolytic therapy. Performance of early cardiac catheterization and angiography in virtually all survivors of AMI, with selective use of appropriate noninvasive tests, may provide a more efficacious means of risk assessment after AMI; if all tests are performed judiciously, the cost of such an approach need not be excessive. A combination of invasive and selected noninvasive tests probably provides optimal information. The risks to the routine performance of diagnostic cardiac catheterization and angiography in all survivors of AMI are: (1) adequate care and attention may not be paid to proper performance of the procedure(s) and to detailed and proper analyses of the data; (2) the need for additional noninvasive testing in selected patients may be ignored; and most importantly, (3) premature or unnecessary revascularization procedures may be performed subsequently. For optimal patient care, the clinician must obtain all necessary data, avoid unnecessary and repetitive tests, know the accuracy of individual tests at his or her own facility, interpret all data in proper context, and then counsel patients objectively about available management strategies. With this approach, all patients who might appropriately benefit from coronary artery revascularization will be correctly identified, and patients who are truly at very low risk (minimal residual coronary artery disease and preserved left ventricular function particularly if associated with a patent infarct-related artery) may be similarly identified and managed appropriately with elimination of unnecessary additional testing and pharmacologic therapy. Finally, whatever approach to risk stratification one chooses for an individual patient, the importance of and the need to correct and/or ameliorate risk factors for coronary artery disease must be recognized and undertaken.
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Affiliation(s)
- D L Kulick
- Department of Medicine, University of Southern California School of Medicine, Los Angeles County 90033
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53
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Lavie CJ, Gibbons RJ, Zinsmeister AR, Gersh BJ. Interpreting results of exercise studies after acute myocardial infarction altered by thrombolytic therapy, coronary angioplasty or bypass. Am J Cardiol 1991; 67:116-20. [PMID: 1987711 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(91)90431-j] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Numerous studies have assessed the ability of exercise modalities to predict patient outcome after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Implicit in the use of these prior data to assess the prognosis of patients currently undergoing exercise studies is the assumption that patients selected for exercise assessment are similar over time and that the data generated in the past are therefore applicable to the current patient populations. This study retrospectively assessed the clinical, exercise, and rest and exercise radionuclide angiographic data in 791 consecutive patients referred for exercise radionuclide angiography within 1 month after AMI during a 5-year period to determine if the clinical and exercise characteristics of patients referred for exercise evaluation after infarction have changed significantly over time. Most parameters examined demonstrated significant increasing trends, including thrombolytic therapy at the time of AMI, revascularization procedure between AMI and exercise assessment, age, beta-blocker usage, Q-wave AMI, inferior infarction, exercise double product, exercise capacity, significant ST-segment depression with exercise, peak ejection fraction, and change in ejection fraction with exercise. These data indicate that the characteristics of patients selected to undergo exercise after AMI in a large referral center have changed significantly over time. If these data are applicable to other referral centers and to other exercise testing modalities, previously published results regarding exercise assessment after AMI will need to be reconfirmed in patients currently selected for testing, since these results may no longer be applicable in this current era of aggressive medical and interventional management.
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Affiliation(s)
- C J Lavie
- Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota 55905
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54
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Tamaki N, Fischman AJ, Strauss HW. Radionuclide imaging of the heart. Clin Nucl Med 1991. [DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4899-3358-4_1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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55
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Felipe RF, Prpic H, Arndt JW, van der Wall EE, Pauwels EK. Role of radionuclide ventriculography in evaluating cardiac function. Eur J Radiol 1991; 12:20-9. [PMID: 1999205 DOI: 10.1016/0720-048x(91)90127-h] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
The role of nuclear cardiology techniques for evaluating cardiac function has become increasingly important among other diagnostic techniques. The current status of radionuclide imaging of left and right ventricular function allows accurate diagnosis of cardiac patients with both coronary and noncoronary disease. The combination of gated first-pass and equilibrium radionuclide ventriculography makes it possible to assess more completely cardiac function than by either technique alone. Of particular interest to most imaging physicians is the current position of exercise ventriculography in the diagnostic setting, especially since this test has undergone new scrutiny in its application to broader patient segments. This technique and issues related to its place in the diagnostic environment are discussed in this review article, with emphasis on relevance to the clinical laboratory.
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Affiliation(s)
- R F Felipe
- Department of Diagnostic Radiology, University Hospital Leiden, The Netherlands
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56
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Lee KL, Pryor DB, Pieper KS, Harrell FE, Califf RM, Mark DB, Hlatky MA, Coleman RE, Cobb FR, Jones RH. Prognostic value of radionuclide angiography in medically treated patients with coronary artery disease. A comparison with clinical and catheterization variables. Circulation 1990; 82:1705-17. [PMID: 2225372 DOI: 10.1161/01.cir.82.5.1705] [Citation(s) in RCA: 126] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
To evaluate the usefulness of multiple measures from rest and exercise radionuclide angiography (RNA) in predicting cardiovascular death and cardiovascular events (death or nonfatal myocardial infarction) and to assess the prognostic usefulness of the RNA relative to clinical and catheterization data, we studied 571 stable patients with symptomatic coronary artery disease who had upright rest/exercise first-pass RNA within 3 months of catheterization and were medically treated. With a median follow-up of 5.4 years, 90 patients have died from cardiovascular causes, and 147 patients have either died or suffered a nonfatal myocardial infarction. Using the Cox regression model and a preselected group of RNA variables, the most important RNA predictor of mortality was exercise ejection fraction (chi 2 = 81, p less than 0.00001). Neither rest ejection fraction nor the change in ejection fraction from rest to exercise contributed additional predictive information. Two other RNA study variables, the change in heart rate from rest to exercise and rest end-diastolic volume index, did contribute additional prognostic information to the exercise ejection fraction (chi 2 = 23, p less than 0.0001). Compared with noninvasive clinical data (history, physical examination, electrocardiogram, and chest radiograph), RNA variables were considerably more predictive of mortality (chi 2 = 71 [clinical variables] versus chi 2 = 104 [RNA]). Remarkably, the strength of the relation of RNA variables with mortality was equivalent to that of the set of catheterization variables previously demonstrated in our large angiographic population to be prognostically important (chi 2 = 104 [RNA] versus chi 2 = 102 [catheterization variables]). The RNA contained 84% of the information provided by clinical and catheterization descriptors combined. Furthermore, the RNA contributed significant additional prognostic information to the clinical and catheterization data (chi 2 = 13.6, p = 0.0035). For cardiovascular events, the relative prognostic usefulness of the RNA was similar, although relations with this outcome were generally weaker. Descriptors from the rest/exercise RNA exhibit a powerful relation with long-term outcomes and can be useful in defining risk, even when clinical and catheterization data are available.
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Affiliation(s)
- K L Lee
- Department of Community and Family Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710
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57
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Gunnar RM, Bourdillon PD, Dixon DW, Fuster V, Karp RB, Kennedy JW, Klocke FJ, Passamani ER, Pitt B, Rapaport E. ACC/AHA guidelines for the early management of patients with acute myocardial infarction. A report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Assessment of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Cardiovascular Procedures (subcommittee to develop guidelines for the early management of patients with acute myocardial infarction). Circulation 1990; 82:664-707. [PMID: 2197021 DOI: 10.1161/01.cir.82.2.664] [Citation(s) in RCA: 139] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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58
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Vatterott PJ, Hanley PC, Mankin HT, Gibbons RJ. The divergent recovery of ST-segment depression and radionuclide angiographic indicators of myocardial ischemia. Am J Cardiol 1990; 66:296-301. [PMID: 2368674 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(90)90839-s] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
This study evaluated the recovery after exercise of both ST-segment depression on the exercise electrocardiogram (electrical evidence of ischemia) and exercise-induced abnormalities in wall motion or ejection fraction as detected by radionuclide angiography. The study group of 31 patients was selected to undergo prolonged electrocardiographic and radionuclide imaging after exercise because they had persistent ST-segment depression greater than 3 minutes after exercise and radionuclide angiographic evidence of ischemia at peak exercise. In 27 (87%) of the 31 patients, radionuclide evidence of ischemia recovered more quickly than the electrocardiogram. Only 15 of the 31 patients had exercise-induced radionuclide abnormalities after exercise. Compared with the 16 patients without such findings of ischemia after exercise, these 15 patients had a worse wall motion score at peak exercise (5.3 vs 3.9; p less than 0.01) and a smaller increase in systolic blood pressure with exercise (p less than 0.05) and after exercise (p less than 0.01). Radionuclide angiographic evidence of ischemia recovers more quickly after exercise than ST-segment depression. When there is radionuclide evidence of ischemia after exercise, it is associated with more severe ischemia during exercise.
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Affiliation(s)
- P J Vatterott
- Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic 55905
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59
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Gunnar RM, Passamani ER, Bourdillon PD, Pitt B, Dixon DW, Rapaport E, Fuster V, Reeves TJ, Karp RB, Russell RO. Guidelines for the early management of patients with acute myocardial infarction. A report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Assessment of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Cardiovascular Procedures (Subcommittee to Develop Guidelines for the Early Management of Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction). J Am Coll Cardiol 1990; 16:249-92. [PMID: 2197309 DOI: 10.1016/0735-1097(90)90575-a] [Citation(s) in RCA: 273] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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60
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Iliceto S, Caiati C, Ricci A, Amico A, D'Ambrosio G, Ferri GM, Izzi M, Lagioia R, Rizzon P. Prediction of cardiac events after uncomplicated myocardial infarction by cross-sectional echocardiography during transesophageal atrial pacing. Int J Cardiol 1990; 28:95-103. [PMID: 2365537 DOI: 10.1016/0167-5273(90)90013-u] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Atrial pacing can safely be utilized shortly after myocardial infarction. To evaluate the prognostic value of wall motion abnormalities induced by such pacing 83 consecutive patients with recent uncomplicated myocardial infarction underwent transthoracic cross-sectional echocardiography during transesophageal atrial pacing and upright bicycle exercise stress test. Patients were followed-up for 14 +/- 5 months. During the atrial pacing and the echocardiography, patients were defined at high risk if abnormalities of wall motion were detected in left ventricular regions remote from the infarcted area. Then, during the exercise stress test, high risk patients were those with ST segment depression greater than or equal to 1 mm. On the other hand, patients were considered to be at low risk if they had no abnormalities of wall motion during atrial pacing in remote regions or, in the case of the stress test, if they did not develop ST depression greater than or equal to 1 mm. Of the 83 patients, 21 had major cardiac events during the period of follow-up. Cardiac events occurred in 15/23 (65%) and 5/60 (8%, P less than 0.001) patients assigned to the groups adjudged to be at high and low risk, respectively, on the basis of echocardiographic results. Exercise testing was less reliable in identifying patients at risk of future cardiac events. Major events occurred in only 6 of the 19 patients with a positive stress test (32%, P less than 0.05 vs positive stress echocardiography) and in 14 of the 64 patients with a negative exercise stress test (22%, P = NS vs positive exercise stress test, P less than 0.05 vs negative atrial pacing echocardiography).
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Affiliation(s)
- S Iliceto
- Division of Cardiology, University of Bari, Italy
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61
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Rogers WJ, Baim DS, Gore JM, Brown BG, Roberts R, Williams DO, Chesebro JH, Babb JD, Sheehan FH, Wackers FJ. Comparison of immediate invasive, delayed invasive, and conservative strategies after tissue-type plasminogen activator. Results of the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Phase II-A trial. Circulation 1990; 81:1457-76. [PMID: 2110033 DOI: 10.1161/01.cir.81.5.1457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 142] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
To assess the value and timing of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) after thrombolytic therapy for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), 586 patients in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Study Phase II-A were randomized among three treatment strategies, one using immediate coronary arteriography followed by PTCA if appropriate (immediate invasive strategy group, n = 195), a second that deferred angiography and PTCA for 18-48 hours (delayed invasive strategy group, n = 194), and a third, more conservative, approach in which PTCA was used only if ischemia occurred spontaneously or at the time of predischarge exercise testing (conservative strategy group, n = 197). Predischarge contrast left ventricular ejection fraction, the primary study end point, was similar among the patients in all three treatment groups and averaged 49.3%. The finding of a patent infarct-related artery at the time of predischarge arteriography was equally common among the patients in the three groups (mean, 83.7%); however, the mean residual infarct artery stenosis was greater in the patients in the conservative strategy group (67.2%) as compared with the patients in the immediate invasive (50.6%) and the delayed invasive strategy groups (47.8%) (p less than 0.001). Immediate invasive strategy led to a higher rate of coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) after PTCA (7.7%) than did delayed invasive and conservative strategies (2.1% and 2.5%, respectively; p less than 0.01). Furthermore, among patients not undergoing CABG during the first 21 days, blood transfusion of more than 1 unit was used in 13.8% of the patients in the immediate invasive strategy group, 3.1% of the patients in the delayed invasive strategy group, and 2.0% of the patients in the conservative strategy group (p less than 0.001). At 1-year follow-up, the three treatment groups had similar cumulative rates of mortality (8.7%, pooled over all groups), fatal and nonfatal reinfarction (8.5%), combined death and reinfarction (14.5%), and CABG (17.2%), although the cumulative performance rate of PTCA remained higher in the invasive groups (immediate invasive strategy group, 75.8%; delayed invasive strategy group, 64.3%; and conservative strategy group, 23.9%; p less than 0.001). Thus, because conservative strategy achieves equally good short- and long-term outcome with less morbidity and a lower use of PTCA, it seems to be the preferred initial management strategy.
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Affiliation(s)
- W J Rogers
- Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction, Coordinating Center, Baltimore, Maryland
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62
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Cohen LS. Managing patients after myocardial infarction. HOSPITAL PRACTICE (OFFICE ED.) 1990; 25:49-60. [PMID: 1968904 DOI: 10.1080/21548331.1990.11703923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Thrombolytic therapy clearly saves lives when administered in the first critical hours after acute MI. Consequently, most patients can now be treated initially at the community hospital level. Transfer to a tertiary center may be reserved for those who become symptomatic after thrombolysis, which, of course, is not a panacea. Reducing the risks of reinfarction and death remain major issues.
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63
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Cuocolo A, Sax FL, Brush JE, Maron BJ, Bacharach SL, Bonow RO. Left ventricular hypertrophy and impaired diastolic filling in essential hypertension. Diastolic mechanisms for systolic dysfunction during exercise. Circulation 1990; 81:978-86. [PMID: 2137735 DOI: 10.1161/01.cir.81.3.978] [Citation(s) in RCA: 121] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
Left ventricular ejection fraction is normal at rest but may respond abnormally to exercise in many patients with essential hypertension. To assess the determinants of the abnormal ejection fraction response to exercise, we performed radionuclide angiography at rest and during exercise in 41 hypertensive patients without coronary artery disease. In 22 patients (group 1), the ejection fraction increased more than 5% during exercise; in the other 19 patients (group 2), the ejection fraction either increased by less than 5% or decreased with exercise. Left ventricular diastolic filling was impaired at rest in patients in group 2 compared with group 1, with reduced peak filling rate (2.5 +/- 0.4 vs. 3.1 +/- 0.7 end-diastolic volume/sec; p less than 0.01) and prolonged time to peak filling rate (175 +/- 28 vs. 153 +/- 22 msec; p less than 0.01). Impaired diastolic filling in group 2 was associated with less augmentation in end-diastolic volume during exercise compared with group 1 (p less than 0.01). These observations were not dependent on the threshold value that was arbitrarily chosen to define an abnormal ejection fraction response, as there were significant correlations for the entire group between the magnitude of change in ejection fraction with exercise and both the resting peak filling rate (r = 0.46) and the change in end-diastolic volume with exercise (r = 0.62).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- A Cuocolo
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, Warren G. Magnuson Clinical Center, Bethesda, Maryland
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64
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Ouyang P, Chandra NC, Gottlieb SO. Frequency and importance of silent myocardial ischemia identified with ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring in the early in-hospital period after acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1990; 65:267-70. [PMID: 2301253 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(90)90285-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
The incidence and clinical significance of silent myocardial ischemia occurring in the early period after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was studied in 59 patients who had an uncomplicated early course after admission for AMI. Calibrated 2-lead ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring performed for 39 +/- 2 hours starting 4 +/- 1 days after AMI identified silent myocardial ischemia, defined as greater than or equal to 1 mm ST-segment change lasting greater than or equal to 2 minutes, in 27 patients. These patients had 5 +/- 1 episodes lasting a median of 11 minutes/episode (range 2 to 36 minutes/episode). Patients with and without silent ischemia had comparable baseline demographics, were receiving similar anti-ischemic medications and had similar severity of coronary disease by angiography. No reinfarctions occurred during the in-hospital period. Fourteen of 27 patients (52%) with silent ischemia had greater than or equal to 1 in-hospital clinical ischemic event (pulmonary edema, n = 5, cardiac death, n = 1, and postinfarction angina, n = 11). In contrast, only 7 of 32 patients without silent ischemia (22%) had greater than or equal to 1 in-hospital event (pulmonary edema, n = 1, cardiac death, n = 1, and postinfarction angina, n = 6). The frequency of ischemic events was significantly greater in patients with silent ischemia compared to those without silent ischemia, p less than 0.02. Silent ischemia occurs frequently very early after AMI and identifies a group of patients who are at increased risk for adverse in-hospital clinical outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- P Ouyang
- Division of Cardiology, Francis Scott Key Medical Center, Baltimore, Maryland 21224
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65
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Benhorin J, Moss AJ, Oakes D. Prognostic significance of nonfatal myocardial reinfarction. Multicenter Diltiazem Postinfarction Trial Research Group. J Am Coll Cardiol 1990; 15:253-8. [PMID: 2299062 DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(10)80043-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
In most risk stratification and intervention postinfarction trials, cardiac mortality is used as the major outcome end point either alone or in combination with nonfatal reinfarction. However, the independent risk carried by nonfatal reinfarction for subsequent cardiac death has not been quantified. The prognostic significance of nonfatal reinfarction was determined from the multicenter diltiazem trial data base of 1,234 patients treated with placebo followed up for 1 to 4 years after acute myocardial infarction. One hundred sixteen patients had at least one nonfatal reinfarction, 14 (12%) of whom subsequently experienced cardiac death. Of the remaining 1,118 patients without nonfatal reinfarction, 110 (9.8%) experienced cardiac death. Compared with event-free patients, patients with nonfatal reinfarction were more likely (p less than 0.05) to be women, to have had an infarction before their index event and to have had prior cardiac-related symptoms. Cox survivorship analyses, using pertinent baseline clinical variables along with nonfatal reinfarction as a time-dependent predictor variable, revealed that nonfatal reinfarction carried a significant and independent risk for subsequent cardiac mortality (hazard ratio 3.0, p = 0.002), which was greater than that carried by other significant predictor variables (New York Heart Association functional class, pulmonary congestion on chest radiograph, blood urea nitrogen level, predischarge Holter-recorded ventricular premature complexes and radionuclide ejection fraction). The cardiac mortality risk associated with nonfatal reinfarction was further increased in patients whose index event was their first infarction (hazard ratio 5.4, p = 0.0006). Thus, nonfatal reinfarction carries a strong, significant and independent risk for subsequent cardiac death in patients surviving an acute myocardial infarction.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Benhorin
- Division of Biostatistics, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, New York 14642
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66
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Hendel RC, Layden JJ, Leppo JA. Prognostic value of dipyridamole thallium scintigraphy for evaluation of ischemic heart disease. J Am Coll Cardiol 1990; 15:109-16. [PMID: 2295718 DOI: 10.1016/0735-1097(90)90184-q] [Citation(s) in RCA: 112] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Exercise testing alone or in combination with thallium scintigraphy has significant prognostic value. In contrast, dipyridamole thallium imaging is not dependent on patients achieving adequate levels of exercise, but no long-term prognostic studies have been reported. Accordingly, imaging results of 516 consecutive patients referred for dipyridamole thallium studies were correlated with subsequent cardiac events, death (n = 23) and myocardial infarction (n = 43) over a mean follow-up period of 21 months. Patients with a history of congestive heart failure, prior myocardial infarction, diabetes mellitus or abnormal scans were significantly more likely to have a cardiac event (p less than 0.03). With use of logistic regression analysis, an abnormal scan was an independent and significant predictor of subsequent myocardial infarction or cardiac death and increased the relative risk of any event more than threefold. The presence of redistribution on thallium scanning further increased the risk of a cardiac event. Survival analysis demonstrated a significant difference between patients with an abnormal or normal thallium scan over a 30 month period. In conclusion, dipyridamole thallium scintigraphy demonstrates prognostic value in a large unselected population and may be an adequate clinical alternative to physiologic exercise testing in the evaluation of coronary heart disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- R C Hendel
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical Center, Worcester 01655
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67
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Gimple LW, Hutter AM, Guiney TE, Boucher CA. Prognostic utility of predischarge dipyridamole-thallium imaging compared to predischarge submaximal exercise electrocardiography and maximal exercise thallium imaging after uncomplicated acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1989; 64:1243-8. [PMID: 2589187 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(89)90561-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 57] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
The prognostic value of predischarge dipyridamole-thallium scanning after uncomplicated myocardial infarction was determined by comparison with submaximal exercise electrocardiography and 6-week maximal exercise thallium imaging and by correlation with clinical events. Two endpoints were defined: cardiac events and severe ischemic potential. Of the 40 patients studied, 8 had cardiac events within 6 months (1 died, 3 had myocardial infarction and 4 had unstable angina requiring hospitalization). The finding of any redistribution on dipyridamole-thallium scanning was common (77%) in these patients and had poor specificity (29%). Redistribution outside of the infarct zone, however, had equivalent sensitivity (63%) and better specificity (75%) for events (p less than 0.05). Both predischarge dipyridamole-thallium and submaximal exercise electrocardiography identified 5 of the 8 events (p = 0.04 and 0.07, respectively). The negative predictive accuracy for events for both dipyridamole-thallium and submaximal exercise electrocardiography was 88%. In addition to the 8 patients with events, 16 other patients had severe ischemic potential (6 had coronary bypass surgery, 1 had inoperable 3-vessel disease and 9 had markedly abnormal 6-week maximal exercise tests). Predischarge dipyridamole-thallium and submaximal exercise testing also identified 8 and 7 of these 16 patients with severe ischemic potential, respectively. Six of the 8 cardiac events occurred before 6-week follow-up. A maximal exercise thallium test at 6 weeks identified 1 of the 2 additional events within 6 months correctly. Thallium redistribution after dipyridamole in coronary territories outside the infarct zone is a sensitive and specific predictor of subsequent cardiac events and identifies patients with severe ischemic potential.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- L W Gimple
- Cardiac Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston 02114
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68
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Younis LT, Byers S, Shaw L, Barth G, Goodgold H, Chaitman BR. Prognostic importance of silent myocardial ischemia detected by intravenous dipyridamole thallium myocardial imaging in asymptomatic patients with coronary artery disease. J Am Coll Cardiol 1989; 14:1635-41. [PMID: 2584551 DOI: 10.1016/0735-1097(89)90008-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 84] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
One hundred seven asymptomatic patients who underwent intravenous dipyridamole thallium imaging were evaluated to determine prognostic indicators of subsequent cardiac events over an average follow-up period of 14 +/- 10 months. Univariate analysis of 18 clinical, scintigraphic and angiographic variables revealed that a reversible thallium defect, a combined fixed and reversible thallium defect, number of segmental thallium defects and extent of coronary artery disease were significant predictors of subsequent cardiac events. Of the 13 patients who died or had a nonfatal infarction, 12 had a reversible thallium defect. Stepwise logistic regression analysis selected a reversible thallium defect as the only significant predictor of cardiac events. When death or myocardial infarction was the outcome variable, a combined fixed and reversible thallium defect was the only predictor of outcome. In patients without previous myocardial infarction, the cardiac event rate was significantly greater in those with an abnormal versus normal thallium scan (55% versus 12%, p less than 0.001). Thus, intravenous dipyridamole thallium scintigraphy is a useful noninvasive test to risk stratify asymptomatic patients with coronary artery disease. A reversible thallium defect most likely indicates silent myocardial ischemia in a sizable fraction of patients in this clinical subset and is associated with an unfavorable prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- L T Younis
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Louis University School of Medicine, Missouri
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69
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Work JW, Ferguson JG, Diamond GA. Limitations of a conventional logistic regression model based on left ventricular ejection fraction in predicting coronary events after myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1989; 64:702-7. [PMID: 2801520 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(89)90751-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
The clinical utility of conventional logistic regression models based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) for the prediction of cardiac events (death or recurrent infarction) was assessed in 646 postinfarction patients undergoing radionuclide ventriculography at rest and during exercise. The discriminant power of 2 different models (LVEF at rest alone vs LVEF at rest plus LVEF at peak exercise) was quantified in terms of the area under receiver-operating characteristic curves based on knowledge of patient outcome in the year after testing and the logistic probability of that outcome. Although LVEF at rest provided a significant amount of prognostic information (receiver-operating characteristic curve area = 62 +/- 4%, p less than 0.001), several limitations were observed: (1) powerful predictors of risk were uncommon (32% of patients with an LVEF at rest less than 0.20 had a cardiac event, but only 3% of the population had such extreme values); (2) the accuracy of predictions for high risk patients was less than for low risk patients (28 vs 98%, p less than 0.001); (3) addition of exercise LVEF to the model did not improve the accuracy of prediction (receiver-operating characteristic curve area = 68 +/- 4%, p = 0.11); and (4) predictions for individual patients were very imprecise (the 95% confidence interval of percent risk for an LVEF at rest of 0.20 [11 to 36%] overlapped that for an LVEF at rest of 0.60 [0 to 14%]).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- J W Work
- Division of Cardiology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California 90048
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70
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de Cock CC, Visser FC, van Eenige MJ, Roos JP. Short-term and long-term prognosis after myocardial infarction: prognostic value of coronary anatomy and left ventriculography. Int J Cardiol 1989; 24:197-209. [PMID: 2767797 DOI: 10.1016/0167-5273(89)90305-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
To assess prospectively short-term (1 year) and long-term (4 years) prognostic variables from heart catheterization, 325 consecutive patients of 65 years or less who survived a myocardial infarction were studied. In all coronary angiography and left ventriculography was performed 4-6 weeks after infarction. First year mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with an ejection fraction less than 0.30 (20%) than in patients with an ejection fraction greater than or equal to 0.30 (2%, P less than 0.001). During 4-year follow-up cumulative mortality was 44% in patients with an ejection fraction less than 0.30 vs 11% in patients with an ejection fraction greater than or equal to 0.30 (P less than 0.001). In patients who survived the first year after infarction, however, a low ejection fraction less than 0.30 was not associated with higher mortality rate during the subsequent 3 years. Mortality in patients with one-, two- or three-vessel disease was equally distributed in the first year. After 4 years patients with three-vessel disease had a significant higher mortality (32%) than patients with two- or one-vessel disease (12 and 11%, respectively; P less than 0.05). Reinfarction rate was higher in patients with an ejection fraction less than 0.30 (14%) than in patients with an ejection fraction greater than or equal to 0.30 (3%, P less than 0.05) in the first year. During 4-year follow-up reinfarction rate was 38% in patients with an ejection fraction less than 0.30 vs. 13% in patients with an ejection fraction greater than or equal to 0.30 (P less than 0.05). Again, in patients who survived the first year without reinfarction, an ejection fraction less than 0.30 had no prognostic value for recurrent myocardial infarction during the subsequent three years. Three-vessel disease had no higher reinfarction rate in the first year of follow-up: during 4 years, patients with three-vessel disease had a reinfarction rate (32%) compared to patients with two- and one-vessel disease (14 and 11%, respectively; P less than 0.05). It is concluded that an ejection fraction less than 0.30 is a major risk factor for cardiac death and reinfarction only in the first year after myocardial infarction. Beyond the first year, a subgroup of patients with three-vessel disease is at risk for both cardiac death and reinfarction during the three subsequent years.
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Affiliation(s)
- C C de Cock
- Department of Cardiology, Free University Hospital, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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71
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72
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Rogers WJ, Bourge RC, Papapietro SE, Wackers FJ, Zaret BL, Forman S, Dodge HT, Robertson TL, Passamani ER, Braunwald E. Variables predictive of good functional outcome following thrombolytic therapy in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction phase II (TIMI II) pilot study. Am J Cardiol 1989; 63:503-12. [PMID: 2521976 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(89)90889-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
Before commencing the randomized Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction phase II (TIMI II) study, 370 patients were administered intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) within 4 hours of onset of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and assigned to 2-hour (immediate) percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (n = 33), 18- to 48-hour (delayed) angioplasty (n = 288) or no angioplasty (n = 49) in a nonrandomized, observational pilot study. Left ventricular ejection fraction at rest and during exercise was assessed by gated equilibrium radionuclide ventriculography at hospital discharge and again at 6 weeks. At hospital discharge, ejection fraction averaged 50% at rest and 56% at peak exercise. At 6-week follow-up, ejection fraction averaged 50% at rest and 53% at peak exercise. At 6-week follow-up, resting ejection fraction average 49% in the 2-hour angioplasty group, 49% in the 18- to 48-hour angioplasty group and 55% in the no-angioplasty group. Variables independently predicting "good functional outcome" at 6-week follow-up (survival with resting ejection fraction greater than equal to 50% and no decrease with exercise) in the 18- to 48-hour angioplasty group were fewer leads with ST-segment elevation greater than or equal to 0.1 mV, younger age, rapid normalization during rt-PA infusion of ST segments or dramatic relief of chest pain, absence of arrhythmias within the first 24 hours of treatment initiation, no prior infarction and not a cigarette smoker at entry. Thus, the TIMI II pilot study demonstrates that most patients with AMI of less than or equal to 4-hour duration treated with rt-PA have good ventricular function after AMI.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- W J Rogers
- TIMI Coordinating Center, Baltimore, Maryland
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73
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Risk Stratification after Acute Myocardial Infarction: Theory and Practice. DEVELOPMENTS IN CARDIOVASCULAR MEDICINE 1989. [DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4613-1597-1_11] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
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74
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Breisblatt WM, Weiland FL, McLain JR, Tomlinson GC, Burns MJ, Spaccavento LJ. Usefulness of ambulatory radionuclide monitoring of left ventricular function early after acute myocardial infarction for predicting residual myocardial ischemia. Am J Cardiol 1988; 62:1005-10. [PMID: 2847521 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(88)90538-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
Ambulatory radionuclide monitoring of left ventricular function was performed with the nuclear Vest device in 35 patients early after acute myocardial infarction. Patients were evaluated during post-infarction treadmill, other activities that included mental stress and cold pressor challenge, and with stress thallium imaging and cardiac catheterization. Of the 35 patients evaluated, 14 had ischemic responses on treadmill testing and 21 had negative responses. By contrast, 20 had redistribution by thallium imaging suggesting ischemia. Vest studies demonstrated 56 responses suggestive of ischemia in 23 patients. Twenty-two occurred during exercise and 13 with mental stress. Seventy-five percent were silent and only 39% had associated electrocardiographic changes. Vest responses were compared in patients whose thallium scan was indicative of ischemia (thallium-positive) and those without ischemia (thallium-negative). Ejection fraction was higher in the thallium-positive group (0.52 +/- 0.11), as compared with thallium-negative patients (0.44 +/- 0.1). With exercise, ejection fraction decreased for the thallium-positive patients from 0.52 +/- 0.11 to 0.40 +/- 0.09 at peak exercise. For thallium-negative patients, ejection fraction changes were not significant. During mental stress, ejection fraction decreased from 0.51 +/- 0.11 to 0.45 +/- 0.12 for thallium-positive patients while thallium-negative patients were unchanged. Vest-measured decreases in ejection fraction of greater than or equal to 5 units during exercise were highly sensitive (90%), specific (73%) and predictive (82%) of a positive thallium scan. The same response for mental stress was specific (87%) and predictive (85%) of a positive scan result.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- W M Breisblatt
- Cardiology and Nuclear Medicine Services, United States Air Force Medical Center, Lackland Air Force Base, San Antonio, Texas
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75
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76
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Cerqueira M, Ritchie JL. Thallium-201 scintigraphy in risk assessment for ambulatory patients with chest pain: does everyone need catheterization? J Am Coll Cardiol 1988; 12:35-6. [PMID: 3379217 DOI: 10.1016/0735-1097(88)90352-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- M Cerqueira
- Division of Nuclear Medicine and Cardiology, University of Washington and Seattle Veterans Asministration Medical Center
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77
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Kaul S, Finkelstein DM, Homma S, Leavitt M, Okada RD, Boucher CA. Superiority of quantitative exercise thallium-201 variables in determining long-term prognosis in ambulatory patients with chest pain: a comparison with cardiac catheterization. J Am Coll Cardiol 1988; 12:25-34. [PMID: 3379211 DOI: 10.1016/0735-1097(88)90351-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 125] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic utility of quantitative exercise thallium-201 imaging and compare it with that of cardiac catheterization in ambulatory patients. Accordingly, long-term (4 to 9 years) follow-up was obtained in 293 patients who underwent both tests for the evaluation of chest pain: 89 had undergone coronary artery bypass graft surgery within 3 months of testing and were excluded from analysis, 119 experienced no cardiac events and 91 had an event (death in 20, nonfatal myocardial infarction in 21 and coronary artery bypass operations performed greater than 3 months after cardiac catheterization in 50). When all variables were analyzed using Cox regression analysis, the quantitatively assessed lung/heart ratio of thallium-201 activity was the most important predictor of a future cardiac event (chi 2 = 40.21). Other significant predictors were the number of diseased vessels (chi 2 = 17.11), patient gender (chi 2 = 9.43) and change in heart rate from rest to exercise (chi 2 = 4.19). Whereas the number of diseased vessels was an important independent predictor of cardiac events, it did not add significantly to the overall ability of the exercise thallium-201 test to predict events. Furthermore, information obtained from thallium-201 imaging alone was marginally superior to that obtained from cardiac catheterization alone (p = 0.04) and significantly superior to that obtained from exercise testing alone (p = 0.02) in determining the occurrence of events. In addition, unlike the exercise thallium-201 test, which could predict the occurrence of all categories of events, catheterization data were not able to predict the occurrence of nonfatal myocardial infarction. The exclusion of bypass surgery and previous myocardial infarction did not alter the results. In conclusion, data from this study demonstrate that exercise thallium-201 imaging may be superior to data from both exercise testing alone and cardiac catheterization data alone for predicting future events in ambulatory patients who have undergone both exercise thallium-201 imaging and catheterization for the evaluation of chest pain.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Kaul
- Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston
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78
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Mannering D, Cripps T, Leech G, Mehta N, Valantine H, Gilmour S, Bennett ED. The dobutamine stress test as an alternative to exercise testing after acute myocardial infarction. Heart 1988; 59:521-6. [PMID: 3382564 PMCID: PMC1276891 DOI: 10.1136/hrt.59.5.521] [Citation(s) in RCA: 98] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Three weeks after myocardial infarction in 50 patients the effect of the infusion of a graded dose of dobutamine was compared with that of symptom limited treadmill exercise testing. The following variables were measured: blood pressure, heart rate, ST segment changes, Doppler aortic blood flow, and cross sectional echocardiographic dimensions. The heart rate and double product increased more during exercise than during dobutamine infusion, while maximum acceleration in the ascending aorta increased more during dobutamine infusion than during exercise. Significant ST depression was recorded in 22 patients during exercise and in 24 during dobutamine infusion; the concordance between the two tests was 88%. In all cases in which ST segment depression occurred in both tests the site of ST depression was the same. Dobutamine stress testing is an alternative to exercise testing in patients after myocardial infarction.
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Affiliation(s)
- D Mannering
- Department of Medicine, St George's Hospital Medical School, London
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79
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Affiliation(s)
- S E Epstein
- Cardiology Branch of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892
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80
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Kaul S, Lilly DR, Gascho JA, Watson DD, Gibson RS, Oliner CA, Ryan JM, Beller GA. Prognostic utility of the exercise thallium-201 test in ambulatory patients with chest pain: comparison with cardiac catheterization. Circulation 1988; 77:745-58. [PMID: 3258193 DOI: 10.1161/01.cir.77.4.745] [Citation(s) in RCA: 127] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
The goal of this study was to determine the prognostic utility of the exercise thallium-201 stress test in ambulatory patients with chest pain who were also referred for cardiac catheterization. Accordingly, 4 to 8 year (mean +/- 1SD, 4.6 +/- 2.6 years) follow-up data were obtained for all but one of 383 patients who underwent both exercise thallium-201 stress testing and cardiac catheterization from 1978 to 1981. Eighty-three patients had a revascularization procedure performed within 3 months of testing and were excluded from analysis. Of the remaining 299 patients, 210 had no events and 89 had events (41 deaths, nine nonfatal myocardial infarctions, and 39 revascularization procedures greater than or equal to 3 months after testing). When all clinical, exercise, thallium-201, and catheterization variables were analyzed by Cox regression analysis, the number of diseased vessels (when defined as greater than or equal to 50% luminal diameter narrowing) was the single most important predictor of future cardiac events (chi 2 = 38.1) followed by the number of segments demonstrating redistribution on delayed thallium-201 images (chi 2 = 16.3), except in the case of nonfatal myocardial infarction, for which redistribution was the most important predictor of future events. When coronary artery disease was defined as 70% or greater luminal diameter narrowing, the number of diseased vessels significantly (p less than .01) lost its power to predict events (chi 2 = 14.5). Other variables found to independently predict future events included change in heart rate from rest to exercise (chi 2 = 13.0), ST segment depression on exercise (chi 2 = 13.0), occurrence of ventricular arrhythmias on exercise (chi 2 = 5.9), and beta-blocker therapy (chi 2 = 4.3). The exclusion of myocardial revascularization procedures as an event did not change the results significantly. Although the number of diseased vessels was the single most important determinant of future events, the exercise thallium-201 stress test when considered as a whole (which included the number of segments demonstrating redistribution on delayed thallium-201 images, change in heart rate from rest to exercise, ST segment depression on the electrocardiogram, and ventricular premature beats on exercise) was equally powerful (chi 2 = 41.6). Combination of both catheterization and exercise thallium-201 data was superior to either alone (chi 2 = 57.5) for determining future events. Exercise stress test alone (without thallium-201 data) was inferior to the exercise thallium-201 stress test or cardiac catheterization for predicting future events (chi 2 = 30.6).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- S Kaul
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville 22908
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81
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Sheehan FH, Mathey DG, Schofer J, Mitten S, Bolson EL. Limitations in the interpretation of rest-exercise ejection fraction changes after early thrombolytic therapy during acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1988; 61:743-8. [PMID: 3354436 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(88)91059-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
The effect of exercise on left ventricular wall motion in the infarct and noninfarct regions, and their contribution to the global ejection fraction response to exercise was evaluated in 24 patients studied at least 2 weeks following thrombolytic therapy for acute myocardial infarction. To achieve this goal, a nonstandard protocol was used: contrast ventriculography was performed at rest and immediately following 3 minutes of supine bicycle exercise at 50 watts. Wall motion in the infarct and noninfarct regions was measured using the centerline method. The global ejection fraction response to exercise correlated poorly with the exercise response of motion in the infarct region (r = 0.38). In 15 of the 24 patients, the function of the infarct and noninfarct regions changed in opposing directions, and in only 8 (53%) of these did the global ejection fraction response follow the exercise response of motion in the infarct region. The motion of the noninfarct region was the predominant influence on the ejection fraction response in the other 7 patients. Subgroup analysis revealed that the global ejection fraction response was more dependent on the response of motion in the anterior wall (r = 0.71, p less than 0.001) than in the inferior wall (r = 0.16), regardless of infarct location. The regional wall motion response to exercise also better distinguished reperfused from nonreperfused patients than did the ejection fraction response. These results indicate that the global ejection fraction response to exercise may be an unreliable indicator of the functional status of the infarct region.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Affiliation(s)
- F H Sheehan
- Cardiovascular Research and Training Center, University of Washington, Seattle 98195
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82
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Wilson WW, Gibson RS, Nygaard TW, Craddock GB, Watson DD, Crampton RS, Beller GA. Acute myocardial infarction associated with single vessel coronary artery disease: an analysis of clinical outcome and the prognostic importance of vessel patency and residual ischemic myocardium. J Am Coll Cardiol 1988; 11:223-34. [PMID: 3339161 DOI: 10.1016/0735-1097(88)90084-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
The long-term outcome and the significance of residual ischemic myocardium, as assessed by predischarge exercise thallium scintigraphy and vessel patency, were studied in 97 patients with single vessel coronary artery disease by angiography 12 +/- 4 days after uncomplicated myocardial infarction. During a mean follow-up period of 39 +/- 17 months, no patients died, 6 (6%) had a recurrent nonfatal infarction and 25 (26%) experienced rapidly progressive angina requiring hospitalization. Although neither exercise-induced angina nor ST segment depression was predictive of a recurrent cardiac event, the mean number of infarct zone scan segments showing thallium redistribution (1.0 +/- 1.0 versus 0.5 +/- 0.8, p = 0.01) and the percent of patients with infarct zone redistribution (61 versus 39%, p = 0.05) were greater in those patients who experienced a late ischemic event. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a lower event-free survival rate in patients with redistribution (n = 45) than in those without redistribution (n = 52) (p = 0.019). Although no patient received immediate thrombolytic therapy, the infarct-related vessel was angiographically patent in 40 patients (41%). Vessel patency did not influence event-free survival, although a patent vessel, as compared with an occluded vessel, was associated with a greater prevalence of non-Q wave infarction (58 versus 21%, p less than 0.001), fewer persistent infarct zone thallium defects (1.2 +/- 1.1 versus 2.0 +/- 1.2, p = 0.001), more reversible infarct zone thallium defects (1.0 +/- 1.0 versus 0.5 +/- 0.9, p = 0.02) and a trend toward a higher left ventricular ejection fraction (53 +/- 10% versus 49 +/- 12%, p = 0.07). In summary, uncomplicated myocardial infarction in patients with single vessel coronary artery disease is associated with a very low incidence of subsequent death and reinfarction. The presence of infarct zone thallium redistribution, compared with its absence, is predictive of a higher cardiac event rate. These data should be considered when recommending prophylactic percutaneous transluminal angioplasty after uncomplicated myocardial infarction in asymptomatic patients with single vessel coronary disease. On the basis of these results, future randomized trials designed to evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of revascularization in asymptomatic postinfarction patients with single vessel disease should limit enrollment to those patients with residual ischemia located within the infarct zone.
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Affiliation(s)
- W W Wilson
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Virginia Medical Center, Charlottesville 22908
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83
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84
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Griffith LS, Varnauskas E, Wallin J, Bjurö T, Ejdebäck J. Correlation of coronary arteriography after acute myocardial infarction with predischarge limited exercise test response. Am J Cardiol 1988; 61:201-7. [PMID: 3341194 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(88)90916-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
This study of post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients compared the extent and distribution of coronary narrowings and left ventricular dysfunction in 45 patients who had greater than or equal to 1 mm ST-segment depression on a predischarge low-level exercise test (positive-result group) with those found in 78 patients who had less than 1 mm ST depression (negative-result group). Cardiac catheterization was done 50 +/- 20 days (mean + standard deviation) after AMI. Patients with positive responses more often had multivessel coronary artery disease (80 vs 47%, p = 0.001) and a greater than or equal to 75% narrowing in the left anterior descending (LAD) (87 vs 62%, p = 0.003) and left circumflex (71 vs 37%, p = 0.001) arteries, as well as in the proximal LAD segment before the first septal branch (58 vs 29%, p = 0.002). Among patients with positive responses 93% had normal or hypokinetic wall motion in the vascular territory of a severely diseased coronary artery (viable but potentially ischemic myocardium) while 63% of the negative-result group had these findings (p = 0.001). No difference in ejection fraction could be identified between the 2 groups (54 +/- 15% vs 54 +/- 16%). Prior studies of AMI patients have shown that ST-segment depression on a predischarge low-level exercise test will identify patients at higher risk of subsequent cardiac death. Our observations have identified differences in cardiac angiographic findings between patients with positive and negative responses to this test that may explain this difference in outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
- L S Griffith
- Department of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
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85
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After the Myocardial Infarction: A Review and Approach to Risk Stratification. Cardiol Clin 1988. [DOI: 10.1016/s0733-8651(18)30508-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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86
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87
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88
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Weisman HF, Healy B. Myocardial infarct expansion, infarct extension, and reinfarction: pathophysiologic concepts. Prog Cardiovasc Dis 1987; 30:73-110. [PMID: 2888158 DOI: 10.1016/0033-0620(87)90004-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 156] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
Infarct expansion and infarct extension are events early in the course of myocardial infarction with serious short- and long-term consequences. Infarct expansion, disproportionate thinning, and dilatation of the infarct segment probably begin within hours of acute infarction and usually reach peak extent within seven to 14 days. Clinical data suggest that infarct expansion occurs in approximately 35% to 45% of anterior transmural myocardial infarctions and to a lesser extent in infarctions at other sites. Although expansion usually develops in large infarcts, the extent of transmural necrosis rather than absolute infarct size predicts its occurrence. Expansion has an adverse effect on infarct structure and function for several reasons. Functional infarct size is increased because of infarct segment lengthening, and expansion results in over-all ventricular dilatation. Thus, patients with expansion of an infarct have poorer exercise tolerance, more congestive heart failure symptoms, and greater early and late mortality than those without expansion. Infarct rupture and late aneurysm formation are two additional structural consequences of infarct expansion. Experimental and clinical data suggest that the incidence and severity of expansion can be modified by interventions. Increased ventricular loading conditions and steroidal and nonsteroidal antiinflammatory agents make expansion more severe. Reperfusion of the infarct segment and pharmacologic interventions that decrease ventricular afterload lessen the severity of expansion. Previous myocardial infarction and preexisting ventricular hypertrophy may also limit the development of infarct expansion. Infarct extension is defined clinically as early in-hospital reinfarction after a myocardial infarction. The pathologic finding of infarct extension is necrotic and healing myocardium of several different recent ages within the same vascular territory. Although this pathologic criterion usually cannot be verified, studies employing invasive and noninvasive assessment of patients with early reinfarction provide evidence that the new myocardial injury is usually in the same vascular risk region as the original infarction. A variety of different criteria have been applied in the clinical diagnosis of infarct extension, and this has resulted in a large range of estimated frequencies from under 10% to as high as 86%. High estimates are found in studies using one or two nonspecific criteria such as ST segment shift or reelevation of total CK. The lowest rates have been found when combinations of criteria are used.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
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89
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Rozanski A, Berman DS. Silent myocardial ischemia: II. Prognosis and implications for the clinical assessment of patients with coronary artery disease. Am Heart J 1987; 114:627-38. [PMID: 3307362 DOI: 10.1016/0002-8703(87)90761-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Myocardial ischemia is known to be a strong independent predictor of cardiac events. New data suggest that the presence of silent ischemia, like symptomatic ischemia, is indicative of an increased risk of future cardiac events. Ordinarily, patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease are evaluated first for the presence of myocardial ischemia by performing exercise ECG, used as a test of both diagnosis and prognosis. In those patients who have an "intermediate" probability of cardiac event after exercise ECG, prognostic assessment may be enhanced, by using either radionuclide stress testing, to assess the extent and severity of potentially inducible ischemia, or ambulatory ECG, to assess the frequency and duration of spontaneously occurring ischemia. The indications for testing and type of test to be used are highly dependent on a number of clinical factors, not the least of which are the nature of the population to be evaluated and the exercise ECG response. We have proposed an overall approach for prognostic testing that considers the potential strengths and limitations of each form of testing. This potential approach now requires prospective evaluation.
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Abraham RD, Harris PJ, Roubin GS, Shen WF, Sadick N, Morris J, Kelly DT. Usefulness of ejection fraction response to exercise one month after acute myocardial infarction in predicting coronary anatomy and prognosis. Am J Cardiol 1987; 60:225-30. [PMID: 3497567 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(87)90218-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
The prognostic value of left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF) measured during maximal exercise testing early after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was assessed in 75 patients, aged 65 years or younger, a mean of 36 days after AMI. At follow-up for a mean 12 months (range 6 to 26), medical complications developed in 15 patients: cardiac death in 5, ventricular fibrillation in 1, reinfarction in 2, unstable angina in 5, and severe cardiac failure in 2. Seven other patients underwent coronary artery bypass grafting for severe angina. When LVEF less than 50% at rest was compared with LVEF of 50% or more, the 2-year life-table survival free of complications was 54 +/- 21% compared with 84 +/- 19% (p less than 0.05). When exercise LVEF less than 50% was compared with LVEF of 50% or more, the 2-year survival rate free of medical complication was 42 +/- 32% compared with 83 +/- 20% (p less than 0.05). LVEF change from rest to exercise was not related to prognosis. Patients with combined medical and surgical events tended to have lower rest and exercise LVEFs, but changes in LVEF during exercise were again unrelated to prognosis. Sixty-five patients underwent coronary arteriography. After inferior AMI the mean LVEF was lower in those with multivessel than in those with 1-vessel coronary artery disease at rest (47 +/- 13% vs 59 +/- 7%, p less than 0.005) and during exercise (47 +/- 13% vs 59 +/- 9%, p less than 0.005); however, the change in LVEF during exercise was not related to coronary anatomy anatomy.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Kostis JB, Byington R, Friedman LM, Goldstein S, Furberg C. Prognostic significance of ventricular ectopic activity in survivors of acute myocardial infarction. J Am Coll Cardiol 1987; 10:231-42. [PMID: 2439559 DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(87)80001-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 160] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Twenty-four hour ambulatory electrocardiography was performed on 3,290 survivors of acute myocardial infarction participating in the Beta-Blocker Heart Attack Trial (BHAT). History of myocardial infarction before the qualifying event, congestive heart failure and age were independently associated with the frequency and complexity of ventricular premature beats. Of the 1,640 patients randomized to placebo therapy, 163 died (76 suffered sudden death) during a 25 month average follow-up period. Ventricular ectopic activity was an independent predictor of total mortality after taking into consideration 16 other prognostic factors describing past history, risk factors, physical examination and laboratory investigations. Seven categoric definitions of ventricular ectopic activity predicted mortality, with similar odds ratios ranging from 2.27 to 2.69. A reciprocal relation of the sensitivity and specificity of each definition in predicting mortality was observed. Three clinical criteria (ST depression, cardiomegaly and prior infarction) allowed stratification of patients into four subsets with respective mortality rates of 35.5% (three criteria present), 19.0% (two criteria), 11.5% (one criterion) and 4.7% (none). Presence of ventricular ectopic activity (greater than or equal to 10 ventricular premature beats/h or pairs, ventricular tachycardia or multiform complexes) was associated with higher mortality rates in all four risk strata. The relative risk was higher (3.86) in the lowest risk stratum (mortality 2.4% without and 9.1% with ventricular ectopic activity). Thus, in survivors of acute myocardial infarction, ventricular ectopic activity was more pronounced in patients with prior myocardial infarction and congestive heart failure. It predicted mortality independently of other factors. Although mortality ratios were similar for all seven arrhythmia definitions, a reciprocal relation between sensitivity and specificity of the definitions in predicting mortality existed; ventricular ectopic activity was associated with increased mortality in all risk strata, but with a higher risk ratio in the numerically larger, low risk subset.
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92
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Applegate RJ, Dell'Italia LJ, Crawford MH. Usefulness of two-dimensional echocardiography during low-level exercise testing early after uncomplicated acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1987; 60:10-4. [PMID: 3604923 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(87)90974-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 105] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
To determine whether 2-dimensional (2-D) echocardiographic measures of segmental and global left ventricular (LV) function immediately on recovery of low-level, symptom-limited treadmill exercise are as sensitive as the same variables measured at peak bicycle exercise, 21 patients were studied after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The recovery treadmill ejection fraction analysis was predictive of the peak bicycle results in 18 of the 21 patients (86%) and recovery treadmill wall motion abnormalities were predictive of the peak bicycle analysis in 17 (81%) (p less than 0.01). These data indicate that 2-D echocardiography during the immediate recovery phase of low-level postinfarction treadmill testing was as sensitive as the peak exercise assessment of segmental and global LV function. Accordingly, the predictive value of rest and recovery exercise measures were prospectively assessed in 67 patients during a mean follow-up interval of 11 months (range 3 to 24). Clinical characteristics and treadmill electrocardiographic findings did not identify the 16 of 67 patients (24%) who had new cardiac events (3 cardiac deaths, 8 recurrent AMIs and 6 coronary artery bypass graft operations). However, a decrease in recovery ejection fraction units of more than 10% was seen in 7 of these 16 patients (44%) with events, compared with only 4 of the 51 (13%) without events (p less than 0.002), and new or worsening wall motion abnormalities on exercise recovery were seen in 10 of the 16 patients (63%) with events, but in only 10 of the 51 (20%) without (p less than 0.001).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Haines DE, Beller GA, Watson DD, Kaiser DL, Sayre SL, Gibson RS. Exercise-induced ST segment elevation 2 weeks after uncomplicated myocardial infarction: contributing factors and prognostic significance. J Am Coll Cardiol 1987; 9:996-1003. [PMID: 3571761 DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(87)80299-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
To define the prevalence and clinical significance of exercise-induced ST segment elevation during predischarge treadmill testing after uncomplicated acute myocardial infarction confirmed by serum MB creatine kinase (CK) activity, 241 consecutive patients were prospectively investigated with quantitative exercise thallium-201 scintigraphy, rest radionuclide ventriculography and coronary angiography at 10 +/- 3 days. All patients received customary care, and in none was thrombolytic therapy or emergency coronary angioplasty employed. Eighty-two patients (34%) had exercise-induced ST segment elevation of greater than or equal to 1 mm above rest baseline. These patients were similar to the 159 patients without this finding with respect to history of prior infarction, the Norris coronary prognostic index, exercise duration, metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved and peak heart rate-blood pressure product. The frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia and extent of angiographic coronary disease was also comparable in the two groups. Findings associated with larger infarct size and transmural extent of infarction were more common in patients with exercise-induced ST segment elevation than in those without, including higher peak CK values (1,235 +/- 1,037 versus 942 +/- 915 mumol/min per liter, p less than 0.026), lower left ventricular ejection fraction (43 +/- 12 versus 51 +/- 10%, p less than 0.001), a higher prevalence of pathologic Q waves in greater than or equal to 2 contiguous infarct-related leads (80 versus 55%, p less than 0.001), more persistent thallium-201 defects (2.2 +/- 1.1 versus 1.4 +/- 1.1, p less than 0.001), abnormally increased lung uptake of thallium (33 versus 18%, p less than 0.01) and a greater number of akinetic or dyskinetic segments (3.2 +/- 2.5 versus 1.4 +/- 1.9, p less than 0.001).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Cohen LS. Management of patients after myocardial infarction. HOSPITAL PRACTICE (OFFICE ED.) 1987; 22:149-53, 157, 161-4 passim. [PMID: 2881935 DOI: 10.1080/21548331.1987.11707698] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
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96
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Borer JS, Miller D, Schreiber T, Charash B, Gerling B. Radionuclide cineangiography in acute myocardial infarction: role in prognostication. Semin Nucl Med 1987; 17:89-94. [PMID: 3296199 DOI: 10.1016/s0001-2998(87)80014-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Radionuclide-based procedures have achieved frequent application in acute myocardial infarction (MI). While these methods can be employed in diagnosis and assessment of therapy, diagnosis usually can be made more easily and with less expense when other methods are employed. Assessment of therapy, while potentially of value, has not been evaluated in a manner which can provide practical guidelines for clinical application. Practical utility has been associated with the use of radionuclide-based techniques in prognostication after infarction; this application is crucial to the formulation and optimization of management decisions. While myocardial perfusion scintigraphy and infarct-avid-agent imaging have been employed in prognostication after infarction, the largest body of prognostic data are available in association with radionuclide cineangiography. When determined in the early hours after infarction, a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) less than 30% indicates a high likelihood of in-hospital mortality, irrespective of the site of infarction. When determined shortly prior to hospital discharge, LVEF less than 30% indicates a high likelihood of posthospital mortality, perhaps as high as 25% during the first year, and reaching 30% by the end of 2 years after infarction. Conversely, LVEF greater than or equal to 30% indicates an 8% 2-year postinfarction mortality risk. While LVEF is a highly potent risk descriptor, considerable evidence suggests the LVEF determined during exercise prior to hospital discharge also provides risk stratification, and may be superior to, or at least additive to, LVEF at rest as a prognostic index.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Abstract
Radionuclide stress tests were initially introduced into medicine as new diagnostic tests for coronary artery disease (CAD). These tests are very effective for this purpose when applied to populations with an intermediate pre-test probability of coronary artery disease. Radionuclide stress tests, however, also are used now in guiding many management decisions in patients with established CAD, based on the ability of these tests to assess the extent and severity of myocardial ischemia, the functional significance of coronary stenoses, and myocardial viability. Specific uses beyond diagnosis include decisions regarding whom to catheterize, send to coronary bypass surgery, or angioplasty; risk stratification following myocardial infarction or before noncardiac surgery; and evaluation of the results of therapy. This article reviews both the diagnostic efficacy of radionuclide stress tests and their efficacy in guiding management decisions in patients with known coronary artery disease.
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Ladenheim ML, Kotler TS, Pollock BH, Berman DS, Diamond GA. Incremental prognostic power of clinical history, exercise electrocardiography and myocardial perfusion scintigraphy in suspected coronary artery disease. Am J Cardiol 1987; 59:270-7. [PMID: 3812276 DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(87)90798-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 92] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
Abstract
The incremental ability of a clinical history, exercise electrocardiography (ECG) and myocardial perfusion scintigraphy to identify coronary events in the year after testing was assessed in 1,659 patients with symptoms suggestive of coronary artery disease (CAD), 74 of whom suffered a coronary event in the year after testing. Prognostic power was quantified in terms of the area under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from logistic regression. In 1,451 patients with normal rest ECG findings, a clinical history alone provided the most prognostic power (area = 72%). This improved significantly (by 5%) only when both tests were analyzed. In contrast, clinical history had significantly less prognostic power in the 208 patients with abnormal rest ECG findings (area = 58%), but each test then provided a significant incremental improvement in these patients (by 14% for each). A strategic model was thereby developed for prognostic assessment that recognizes the incremental power of these tests in specific patient groups as well as their overall accuracy and monetary cost. This strategy stratified individual patient risk for subsequent coronary events over a full order of magnitude (from 2 to 22%) at a 64% reduction in the cost of testing compared to performing both stress tests in all patients.
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Beller GA, Gibson RS. Sensitivity, specificity, and prognostic significance of noninvasive testing for occult or known coronary disease. Prog Cardiovasc Dis 1987; 29:241-70. [PMID: 3544042 DOI: 10.1016/s0033-0620(87)80002-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
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100
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