Comparing the Net Benefits of Adult Deceased Donor Kidney Transplantation for a Patient on the Preemptive Waiting List vs a Patient Receiving Dialysis

Push toward pre-emptive kidney transplantation - for sure?

Pre-emptive kidney transplantation (PKT) has long been considered the optimal treatment for patients with end-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) seeking the most favourable long-term outcomes. However, the significant growth in transplant procedures over recent decades has led to a notable increase in wait-listed patients and a disproportionate demand for donor organs. This situation necessitates a re-evaluation of transplantation timing and the establishment of rational indications from both societal and clinical perspectives. An increasing number of retrospective analyses have challenged the universal benefit of PKT, suggesting that premature indications for living or deceased donor PKT may not always yield superior hard outcomes compared with non-PKT approaches. Conventional predictive models have shown limitations in accurately assessing risks for certain subpopulations, potentially leading to significant disparities among wait-listed patients. To address these challenges, we propose the following considerations. Prediction models should not only optimize the distribution of our limited donor resources, but should also illuminate foreseeable risks associated with a potentially 'unsuccessful' PKT. Therefore, this article seeks to underscore the necessity for further discourse on the smouldering concept of when and for whom living or deceased donor PKT should be considered. Is it universally beneficial, or should the clinical paradigm be re-evaluated? In the endeavour to attain superior post-PKT survival outcomes compared with non-PKT or conservative treatment, it seems critical to acknowledge that other treatments may provide more favourable results for certain individuals. This introduces the intricate task of effectively navigating the complexities associated with 'too early' or 'unsuccessful' PKT.

Time trends in preemptive kidney transplantation in Europe: an ERA registry study

BACKGROUND

Preemptive kidney transplantation (PEKT) has better outcomes when compared with transplantation after dialysis. We aimed to examine trends in PEKT between 2000 and 2019 in Europe and to provide an overview of associated policies, barriers and initiatives.

METHODS

Adult patients from 12 European countries who received a preemptive kidney transplant were included. The representatives of the registries providing these data were questioned on the policies, barriers and initiatives around PEKT.

RESULTS

Between 2000 and 2019, 20 251 adults underwent PEKT [11 169 from living donors (LDs), 8937 from deceased donors (DDs)]. The proportion of first kidney transplantations that were preemptive more than doubled from 7% in 2000 to 18% in 2019, reflecting a similar relative increase for LD kidney recipients (from 21% to 43%) and DD kidney recipients (from 4% to 11%). Large international differences were found. The increase in PEKT was observed across all age, sex and primary renal disease groups. Countries had similar criteria for preemptive waitlisting. Barriers mentioned included donor shortage, late referral to the transplant center and long donoror recipient work-up. Suggested initiatives included raising awareness on the possibility of PEKT, earlier start and shorter work-up time for recipient and LD.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the last two decades the proportion of patients receiving a first kidney transplant preemptively has more than doubled, reflecting a similar relative increase for living and DD kidney recipients.

A Transplant-Inclusive Value-Based Kidney Care Payment Model

In the United States, kidney care payment models are migrating toward value-based care (VBC) models incentivizing quality of care at lower cost. Current kidney VBC models will continue through 2026. We propose a future transplant-inclusive VBC (TIVBC) model designed to supplement current models focusing on patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The proposed TIVBC is structured as an episode-of-care model with risk-based reimbursement for "referral/evaluation/waitlisting" (REW, referencing kidney transplantation), "primary hospitalization to 180 days posttransplant," and "long-term graft survival." Challenges around organ acquisition costs, adjustments to quality metrics, and potential criticisms of the proposed model are discussed. We propose next steps in risk-adjustment and cost-prediction to develop as an end-to-end, TIVBC model.

Quality-adjusted life years and surgical waiting list: Systematic review of the literature

BACKGROUND

The quality-adjusted life year (QALY) is a metric that is increasingly used today in the field of health economics to evaluate the value of different medical treatments and procedures. Surgical waiting lists (SWLs) represent a pressing problem in public healthcare. The QALY measure has rarely been used in the context of surgery. It would be interesting to know how many QALYs are lost by patients on SWLs.

AIM

To investigate the relationship between QALYs and SWLs in a systematic review of the scientific literature.

METHODS

The study was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Statement. An unlimited search was carried out in PubMed, updated on January 19, 2024. Data on the following variables were investigated and analyzed: Specialty, country of study, procedure under study, scale used to measure QALYs, the use of a theoretical or real-life model, objectives of the study and items measured, the economic value assigned to the QALY in the country in question, and the results and conclusions published.

RESULTS

Forty-eight articles were selected for the study. No data were found regarding QALYs lost on SWLs. The specialties in which QALYs were studied the most in relation to the waiting list were urology and general surgery, with 15 articles each. The country in which the most studies of QALYs were carried out was the United States (n = 21), followed by the United Kingdom (n = 9) and Canada (n = 7). The most studied procedure was organ transplantation (n = 39), including 15 kidney, 14 liver, 5 heart, 4 lung, and 1 intestinal. Arthroplasty (n = 4), cataract surgery (n = 2), bariatric surgery (n = 1), mosaicplasty (n = 1), and septoplasty (n = 1) completed the surgical interventions included. Thirty-nine of the models used were theoretical (the most frequently applied being the Markov model, n = 34), and nine were real-life. The survey used to measure quality of life in 11 articles was the European Quality of Life-5 dimensions, but in 32 articles the survey was not specified. The willingness-to-pay per QALY gained ranged from $100000 in the United States to €20000 in Spain.

CONCLUSION

The relationship between QALYs and SWLs has only rarely been studied in the literature. The rate of QALYs lost on SWLs has not been determined. Future research is warranted to address this issue.

Deceased Kidney Donor Biomarkers: Relationship between Delayed Kidney Function and Graft Function Three Years after Transplantation

With an increasing number of marginal donors, additional methods for the evaluation of cadaveric kidney quality are required. This study aimed to evaluate pretransplant deceased donor serum (s) and urine (u) biomarkers, including neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), interleukin-18, and C-X-C motif chemokine 10 (CXCL10) for predicting early and late graft function. In total, 43 deceased kidney donors and 76 corresponding recipients were enrolled. Delayed graft function (DGF) occurred in 27.6% of cases. sIL-18, sKIM-1, uNGAL, and uKIM-1 were predictors of DGF. A model incorporating sIL-18, uKIM-1, and clinical factors was developed to predict DGF (AUROC 0.863). Univariate analysis showed a negative association between uKIM and graft eGFR at 6, 12, 24, and 36 months, but this was not confirmed in the multivariate analysis. In conclusion, we report a superior performance of donor biomarkers for predicting DGF and later graft function over serum creatinine. Higher levels of donor sIL-18 and uKIM in conjunction with expanded-criteria donors and longer cold ischemia times predicted DGF. With no renal tubular damage in zero-time donor biopsies, higher pretransplant urine and serum NGAL levels were associated with better allograft function one year after transplantation, and sNGAL with graft function three years after transplantation.

Risk factors for heart, cerebrovascular, and kidney diseases: evaluation of potential side effects of medications to control hypertension, hyperglycemia, and hypercholesterolemia

Background

Heart disease (HD), cerebrovascular disease (CBD), and kidney disease (KD) are serious diseases worldwide. These diseases constitute the leading causes of death worldwide and are costly to treat. An analysis of risk factors is necessary to prevent these diseases.

Data and Methods

Risk factors were analyzed using data from 2,837,334, 2,864,874, and 2,870,262 medical checkups obtained from the JMDC Claims Database. The side effects of medications used to control hypertension (antihypertensive medications), hyperglycemia (antihyperglycemic medications), and hypercholesterolemia (cholesterol medications), including their interactions, were also evaluated. Logit models were used to calculate the odds ratios and confidence intervals. The sample period was from January 2005 to September 2019.

Results

Age and history of diseases were found to be very important factors, and the risk of having diseases could be almost doubled. Urine protein levels and recent large weight changes were also important factors for all three diseases and made the risks 10%-30% higher, except for KD. For KD, the risk was more than double for individuals with high urine protein levels. Negative side effects were observed with antihypertensive, antihyperglycemic, and cholesterol medications. In particular, when antihypertensive medications were used, the risks were almost doubled for HD and CBD. The risk would be triple for KD when individuals were taking antihypertensive medications. If they did not take antihypertensive medications and took other medications, these values were lower (20%-40% for HD, 50%-70% for CBD, and 60%-90% for KD). The interactions between the different types of medications were not very large. When antihypertensive and cholesterol medications were used simultaneously, the risk increased significantly in cases of HD and KD.

Conclusion

It is very important for individuals with risk factors to improve their physical condition for the prevention of these diseases. Taking antihypertensive, antihyperglycemic, and cholesterol medications, especially antihypertensive medications, may be serious risk factors. Special care and additional studies are necessary to prescribe these medications, particularly antihypertensive medications.

Limitations

No experimental interventions were performed. As the dataset was comprised of the results of health checkups of workers in Japan, individuals aged 76 and above were not included. Since the dataset only contained information obtained in Japan and the Japanese are ethnically homogeneous, potential ethnic effects on the diseases were not evaluated.

The Benefits of Preemptive Transplantation Using High-Kidney Donor Profile Index Kidneys

BACKGROUND

The Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI) is a percentile score summarizing the likelihood of allograft failure: A KDPI ≥85% is associated with shorter allograft survival, and 50% of these donated kidneys are not currently used for transplantation. Preemptive transplantation (transplantation without prior maintenance dialysis) is associated with longer allograft survival than transplantation after dialysis; however, it is unknown whether this benefit extends to high-KDPI transplants. The objective of this analysis was to determine whether the benefit of preemptive transplantation extends to recipients of transplants with a KDPI ≥85%.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study compared the post-transplant outcomes of preemptive and nonpreemptive deceased donor kidney transplants using data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. 120,091 patients who received their first, kidney-only transplant between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017, were studied, including 23,211 with KDPI ≥85%. Of this cohort, 12,331 patients received a transplant preemptively. Time-to-event models for the outcomes of allograft loss from any cause, death-censored graft loss, and death with a functioning transplant were performed.

RESULTS

Compared with recipients of nonpreemptive transplants with a KDPI of 0%-20% as the reference group, the risk of allograft loss from any cause in recipients of a preemptive transplant with KDPI ≥85% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39 to 1.64) was lower than that in recipients of nonpreemptive transplant with a KDPI ≥85% (HR, 2.39; 95% CI, 2.21 to 2.58) and similar to that of recipients of a nonpreemptive transplant with a KDPI of 51%-84% (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.52 to 1.70).

CONCLUSIONS

Preemptive transplantation is associated with a lower risk of allograft failure, irrespective of KDPI, and preemptive transplants with KDPI ≥85% have comparable outcomes with nonpreemptive transplants with KDPI 51%-84%.