Comparing Projected Fatal Overdose Outcomes and Costs of Strategies to Expand Community-Based Distribution of Naloxone in Rhode Island

Examining potential bystander presence for overdose deaths in Tennessee, 2019-2022

OBJECTIVE

To examine potential bystander presence in fatal drug overdoses in Tennessee by assessing the type of potential bystander, type of responses carried out, reasons for lack of response, and the sociodemographic characteristics of overdose decedents in Tennessee.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study to examine potential bystander presence in overdose deaths in Tennessee using 2019-2022 data from the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System. Descriptive statistics were calculated to compare potential bystander presence by demographic breakdown of decedents, type of potential bystander, and reasons for no response.

RESULTS

We identified 11,970 accidental and undetermined fatal drug overdoses in Tennessee from 2019 to 2022. A potential bystander was present in 24.8 % of deaths. Most potential bystanders were family members (27.4 %), intimate partners (26.5 %), or friends (21.1 %). Overall, potential bystanders called 911 or attempted another type of response in 94.5 % of overdose events. The most frequent reason for no response was being spatially separated from the decedent (34.2 %).

CONCLUSIONS

A quarter of drug overdose deaths in Tennessee had a potential bystander present who could have intervened. Continued education about how to identify and respond to an overdose as well as the availability of naloxone should be delivered to potential bystanders. Future qualitative studies should assess bystander knowledge and barriers to responding. Messaging should also encourage people who use substances to avoid using alone, given that most overdose deaths occurred without a bystander present.

Missouri naloxone distribution 2017-2023: Evaluation and implications of applying a naloxone saturation model

INTRODUCTION

Overdose deaths have increased sharply in the past five years. States have implemented overdose education and naloxone distribution (OEND) initiatives to mitigate overdose deaths at a population level. Irvine et al. (2022) proposed a model to estimate amounts of naloxone needed to meaningfully reduce opioid overdose mortality (defined as naloxone saturation) by distributing it through: 1) community-based, 2) pharmacy-initiated, and 3) provider-based access points. In the most recent rounds of State Opioid Response grant applications, the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) required plans to reach naloxone saturation. Though SAMHSA funding has supported the growth of Missouri-based OEND, the outcomes of applying such a model are yet to be evaluated.

METHODS

We used descriptive statistics and visual inspection to evaluate Missouri's naloxone distribution across agency types and years. Missouri's naloxone output was compared to observed opioid overdose fatalities and the naloxone need estimated by the model, which was at least 31,000 two-dose kits distributed through community-based settings to reach saturation.

RESULTS

Missouri distributed over 400,000 naloxone kits from 2017 to 2023. In 2021, Missouri distributed 32,486 kits, passing the annual saturation threshold. Overall, street outreach/harm reduction services received the most naloxone (38.9 %), followed by treatment providers (13.6 %), recovery community centers (12.6 %), and social service providers (11.6 %). Missouri's opioid overdose death rate slowed in 2022 and began to discernibly decrease in 2023.

CONCLUSIONS

Missouri's naloxone distribution exceeded established saturation targets and evolved to include a wide variety of community access points, eventually coinciding with opioid overdose mortality reductions. Given the significant variability in overdose risk across populations and regions, the increasingly potent and volatile drug supply emerging since 2017, and the persistent risk of solitary drug use, more comprehensive response strategies are needed and saturation models should be updated to incorporate more specific geographic, racial/ethnic, and programmatic distribution targets.

Naloxone Distribution Models in the United States: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Increasing naloxone distribution is a high priority means to mitigating opioid overdose rates in the United States. Since a variety of naloxone distribution models exist, with differences in infrastructure and funding between states and health-systems, it is important to review their differences and understand the strengths and barriers to widespread implementation of each model.

METHODS

The following 4 databases were searched for articles reporting on naloxone distribution models: (1) PubMed/Medline (National Library of Medicine), (2) Embase (Elsevier), (3) Scopus (Elsevier), and (4) the Cochrane library. Reports from all years written in English that discussed naloxone distribution models in the United States were included, as were all study designs.

RESULTS

Of 5825 articles initially identified, 173 were selected for full text review. Of these, 49 met full criteria and were included for data extraction and analysis. Most distribution models occurred in community-based opioid education and naloxone distribution programs and in community pharmacies via a standing order/statewide protocol. Most programs reported strengths related to feasibility, but frequently reported cost as a limitation. Fewer studies described distribution models in ambulatory care or hospital settings, though these studies also highlighted strengths related to feasibility, particularly with support from working partners, and when utilizing an interprofessional care approach. Few studies reported health/economic outcomes data associated with naloxone distribution, such as changes in the number of patient/layperson access, the number of opioid overdose reversals, or cost-savings.

CONCLUSIONS

This review outlines the many ways in which naloxone is distributed in the United States and emphasizes a need for improved outcomes data collecting/reporting in the various settings where naloxone is distributed. This would allow for future studies to evaluate which distribution model factors are associated with improvements in health outcomes, such as increased layperson access, and lower opioid overdose/mortality rates.

Effectiveness of naloxone distribution in community settings to reduce opioid overdose deaths among people who use drugs: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

It is estimated that over 111,000 people in the U.S. died from a drug overdose in the twelve-month period ending in July 2023. More than three-quarters of those deaths were attributed to opioids. Naloxone has long been available in healthcare facilities to reverse opioid overdose rapidly and safely but is not universally accessible for use in community settings where overdoses occur. We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to assess the effectiveness of overdose education and naloxone distribution (OEND) programs in three types of community settings to reduce overdose deaths among people who use opioids nonmedically.

METHODS

We systematically searched electronic databases, including Medline (OVID), Embase (OVID), Psycinfo (OVID), and Global Health (OVID), for peer-reviewed studies of OEND programs published during 2003-2018 (Group 1) that reported overdose outcomes individual level survivals or deaths immediately following naloxone administration. The PRISMA checklist guided screening, quality assessment, and data abstraction. We later identified studies published during 2018-2022 (Group 2), when drug usage and fentanyl-related overdose deaths notably increased, differed from earlier ones. We conducted meta-analyses on both Groups using random effects models to estimate summary survival proportions.

RESULTS

Among the 44 Group 1 studies published during 2003-2018, survival did not differ by time (year), location, naloxone dose, or route of administration, but studies of OEND programs serving people who use drugs reported 98.3% (95% CI: 97.5-98.8) survival; those serving family of people who use drugs or other community members reported 95.0% (95% CI: 91.4-97.1) survival; and those for police reported 92.4% (95% CI: 88.9-94.8) survival (p < 0.01). Five Group 2 studies (2018-2022) yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Community-based naloxone distribution programs can be effective in preventing opioid overdose deaths. The paper demonstrates that in the face of increasing overdose deaths over time, survival after naloxone administration has been sustained. The very high survival rates provide clear evidence for public health to continue efforts to expand channels for naloxone distribution in community settings.

Improving racial/ethnic health equity and naloxone access among people at risk for opioid overdose: A simulation modeling analysis of community-based naloxone distribution strategies in Massachusetts, United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a surge in opioid overdose deaths (OODs) in Massachusetts, USA, particularly among Black and Hispanic/Latinx populations. Despite the increasing racial and ethnic disparities in OODs, there was no compensatory increase in naloxone distributed to these groups. We aimed to evaluate two community-based naloxone expansion strategies, with the objective of identifying approaches that could mitigate mortality and racial and ethnic disparities in OODs.

DESIGN

Individual-based simulation model. We measured naloxone availability using naloxone kits per OOD and evaluated scenarios of achieving higher benchmarks for naloxone availability (i.e. 40, 60 and 80 kits per OOD) from 2022 levels (overall: 26.0, White: 28.8, Black: 17.3, Hispanic/Latinx: 18.9). We compared two naloxone distribution strategies: (1) proportional distribution: achieving the benchmark ratio at the overall population level while distributing additional kits proportional to the 2022 level for each racial/ethnic group (at 40 kits per OOD benchmark: overall: 40, White: 44.3, Black: 26.6, Hispanic/Latinx: 29.1), and (2) equity-focused distribution: achieving the benchmark ratio among each racial/ethnic group (at 40 kits per OOD benchmark: 40 for all groups).

SETTING

Massachusetts, United States.

PARTICIPANTS

People at risk of OOD.

MEASUREMENTS

Annual number and rate of OODs, total healthcare costs of increasing naloxone availability.

FINDINGS

Both naloxone distribution strategies yielded comparable predicted reductions in total OODs in 2025 and incurred similar incremental costs. However, the relative reduction in the rate of OODs differed across groups. For achieving an 80 kits per OOD benchmark, proportional distribution resulted in a projected 6.7%, 6.5% and 7.1% reduction in annual OODs in 2025 among White, Black and Hispanic/Latinx populations, respectively. In contrast, equity-focused distribution achieved a reduction of 5.7%, 11.3% and 10.2% in the respective groups. In all scenarios, the cost per OOD averted was lower than the generally accepted thresholds for cost per life saved.

CONCLUSIONS

An equity-focused naloxone distribution strategy designed to reduce racial and ethnic disparities in naloxone availability could improve health equity among racial and ethnic groups while potentially improving overall population health at lower healthcare costs per opioid overdose death averted than a proportional distribution strategy.

Agent-Based Model of Combined Community- and Jail-Based Take-Home Naloxone Distribution

Importance

Opioid-related overdose accounts for almost 80 000 deaths annually across the US. People who use drugs leaving jails are at particularly high risk for opioid-related overdose and may benefit from take-home naloxone (THN) distribution.

Objective

To estimate the population impact of THN distribution at jail release to reverse opioid-related overdose among people with opioid use disorders.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This study developed the agent-based Justice-Community Circulation Model (JCCM) to model a synthetic population of individuals with and without a history of opioid use. Epidemiological data from 2014 to 2020 for Cook County, Illinois, were used to identify parameters pertinent to the synthetic population. Twenty-seven experimental scenarios were examined to capture diverse strategies of THN distribution and use. Sensitivity analysis was performed to identify critical mediating and moderating variables associated with population impact and a proxy metric for cost-effectiveness (ie, the direct costs of THN kits distributed per death averted). Data were analyzed between February 2022 and March 2024.

Intervention

Modeled interventions included 3 THN distribution channels: community facilities and practitioners; jail, at release; and social network or peers of persons released from jail.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was the percentage of opioid-related overdose deaths averted with THN in the modeled population relative to a baseline scenario with no intervention.

Results

Take-home naloxone distribution at jail release had the highest median (IQR) percentage of averted deaths at 11.70% (6.57%-15.75%). The probability of bystander presence at an opioid overdose showed the greatest proportional contribution (27.15%) to the variance in deaths averted in persons released from jail. The estimated costs of distributed THN kits were less than $15 000 per averted death in all 27 scenarios.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found that THN distribution at jail release is an economical and feasible approach to substantially reducing opioid-related overdose mortality. Training and preparation of proficient and willing bystanders are central factors in reaching the full potential of this intervention.

Estimating the total utilization of take home naloxone during an unregulated drug toxicity crisis: A Bayesian modeling approach

BACKGROUND

British Columbia (BC) Canada has a large take-home naloxone (THN) program, implemented as part of the provincial response to the ongoing toxic unregulated drug supply emergency. Ascertaining the rate of use of THN kits is vital to understanding the full impact of the program. However, this is a challenging problem due to under-reporting of kit distribution. This study aims to estimate the total number of THN kits used based on the number of THN kits shipped, the number of THN kits reported as distributed, and the number of THN kits reported as used.

METHODS

We used BC THN shipment and distribution records (February 2015 to August 2023) to inform a simple Bayesian model of naloxone kit distribution and use. A logistic regression term by health region and distribution site type was incorporated to account for variable under-reporting, and a convolution term was incorporated to account for kit distribution.

RESULTS

We find the number of THN kits reported as used, and the number of total THN kits distributed, are largely under-reported. An estimated 1,500 (95 % CrI: 1,430 - 1,590) THN kits per 10,000 BC population were used, of which 288 per 10,000 had been reported as used. Of all the THN kits shipped, the model estimated that 43 % (95 % CrI: 41-45 %) of kits were used. We also found variation in both distribution and use by distribution site type, with kits distributed from overdose prevention sites having the highest rate of use (56 %; 95 % CrI: 53-59 %).

CONCLUSION

Across all sites, kit use is approximately five times higher than has been reported. Our framework can also be applied to other localities where THN programs operate, in order to better estimate the true reach and impact of take home naloxone distribution.

Evaluation of Strategies to Enhance Community-Based Naloxone Distribution Supported by an Opioid Settlement

Importance

Many US states are substantially increasing community-based naloxone distribution, supported in part through settlements from opioid manufacturers and distributors.

Objectives

To evaluate the potential impact of increased naloxone availability on opioid overdose deaths (OODs) and explore strategies to enhance this impact by integrating interventions to address solitary drug use.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This decision analytical modeling study used PROFOUND (Prevention and Rescue of Fentanyl and Other Opioid Overdoses Using Optimized Naloxone Distribution Strategies), a previously published simulation model, to forecast annual OODs between January 2023 and December 2025. The simulated study population included individuals from Rhode Island who misused opioids and stimulants and were at risk for opioid overdose.

Exposures

The study modeled expanded naloxone distribution supported by the state's opioid settlement (50 000 naloxone nasal spray kits each year). Two approaches to expanding naloxone distribution were evaluated: one based on historical spatial patterns of naloxone distribution (supply-based approach) and one based on the spatial distribution of individuals at risk (demand-based approach). In addition, hypothetical interventions to enhance the likelihood of witnessed overdoses in private or semiprivate settings were considered.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Annual number of OODs and ratio of fatal to nonfatal opioid overdoses.

Results

Modeling results indicated that distributing more naloxone supported by the state's opioid settlement could reduce OODs by 6.3% (95% simulation interval [SI], 0.3%-13.7%) and 8.8% (95% SI, 1.8%-17.5%) in 2025 with the supply-based and demand-based approaches, respectively. However, increasing witnessed overdoses by 20% to 60% demonstrated greater potential for reducing OODs, ranging from 8.5% (95% SI, 0.0%-20.3%) to 24.1% (95% SI, 8.6%-39.3%). Notably, synergistic associations were observed when combining both interventions: increased naloxone distribution with the 2 approaches and a 60% increase in witnessed overdoses could reduce OODs in 2025 by 33.5% (95% SI, 17.1%-50.4%) and 37.4% (95% SI, 19.6%-56.3%), respectively.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that interventions to address solitary drug use are needed to maximize the impact of continued efforts to increase community-based naloxone distribution, which may be particularly important for jurisdictions that have strong community-based naloxone distribution programs.

Feasibility of paying people who use drugs cash to distribute naloxone within their networks

INTRODUCTION

Immediate access to naloxone is needed to prevent fatal opioid-related overdoses in the presence of fentanyl analogs saturating the opioid supply. Peer models engage impacted populations who are not accessing naloxone through standard venues, yet compensating peers who utilize syringe service programs with cash stipends to distribute naloxone within networks of people who use drugs is not well described.

METHODS

As part of the HEALing Communities Study, syringe service program-based interventions were developed in Holyoke and Gloucester, MA, which paid people who use drugs ("peers") cash to distribute naloxone. Early program outcomes were evaluated for the time each program was funded within the HCS study period.

RESULTS

During 22 study-months of observation, peers in two communities distributed 1104 naloxone kits. The total cost of peer compensation for program delivery was $10,510. The rate of peer-distributed naloxone per 100 K population reached 109 kits/mo and 222 kits/mo in the two communities. Participating peers addressed gaps in harm reduction outreach and distributed naloxone and other harm reduction equipment to individuals who were not syringe service program participants, expanding organizational reach. Being compensated with unrestricted cash stipends supported dignity and acknowledged peers' work in overdose prevention.

CONCLUSION

The underutilization of compensated peer models is often attributed to funding and organizational barriers. These programs demonstrate that providing cash stipends to peers is feasible and expanded naloxone distribution at two existing syringe service programs. Providing cash stipends for peers who engage in secondary naloxone distribution offers promise in delivering naloxone to people not accessing syringe services.

Responding to the US opioid crisis: leveraging analytics to support decision making

The US is experiencing a severe opioid epidemic with more than 80,000 opioid overdose deaths occurring in 2022. Beyond the tragic loss of life, opioid use disorder (OUD) has emerged as a major contributor to morbidity, lost productivity, mounting criminal justice system costs, and significant social disruption. This Current Opinion article highlights opportunities for analytics in supporting policy making for effective response to this crisis. We describe modeling opportunities in the following areas: understanding the opioid epidemic (e.g., the prevalence and incidence of OUD in different geographic regions, demographics of individuals with OUD, rates of overdose and overdose death, patterns of drug use and associated disease outbreaks, and access to and use of treatment for OUD); assessing policies for preventing and treating OUD, including mitigation of social conditions that increase the risk of OUD; and evaluating potential regulatory and criminal justice system reforms.

Endogenous opiates and behavior: 2022

This paper is the forty-fifth consecutive installment of the annual anthological review of research concerning the endogenous opioid system, summarizing articles published during 2022 that studied the behavioral effects of molecular, pharmacological and genetic manipulation of opioid peptides and receptors as well as effects of opioid/opiate agonists and antagonists. The review is subdivided into the following specific topics: molecular-biochemical effects and neurochemical localization studies of endogenous opioids and their receptors (1), the roles of these opioid peptides and receptors in pain and analgesia in animals (2) and humans (3), opioid-sensitive and opioid-insensitive effects of nonopioid analgesics (4), opioid peptide and receptor involvement in tolerance and dependence (5), stress and social status (6), learning and memory (7), eating and drinking (8), drug abuse and alcohol (9), sexual activity and hormones, pregnancy, development and endocrinology (10), mental illness and mood (11), seizures and neurologic disorders (12), electrical-related activity and neurophysiology (13), general activity and locomotion (14), gastrointestinal, renal and hepatic functions (15), cardiovascular responses (16), respiration and thermoregulation (17), and immunological responses (18).

Rapid opioid overdose response system technologies

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Opioid overdose events are a time sensitive medical emergency, which is often reversible with naloxone administration if detected in time. Many countries are facing rising opioid overdose deaths and have been implementing rapid opioid overdose response Systems (ROORS). We describe how technology is increasingly being used in ROORS design, implementation and delivery.

RECENT FINDINGS

Technology can contribute in significant ways to ROORS design, implementation, and delivery. Artificial intelligence-based modelling and simulations alongside wastewater-based epidemiology can be used to inform policy decisions around naloxone access laws and effective naloxone distribution strategies. Data linkage and machine learning projects can support service delivery organizations to mobilize and distribute community resources in support of ROORS. Digital phenotyping is an advancement in data linkage and machine learning projects, potentially leading to precision overdose responses. At the coalface, opioid overdose detection devices through fixed location or wearable sensors, improved connectivity, smartphone applications and drone-based emergency naloxone delivery all have a role in improving outcomes from opioid overdose. Data driven technologies also have an important role in empowering community responses to opioid overdose.

SUMMARY

This review highlights the importance of technology applied to every aspect of ROORS. Key areas of development include the need to protect marginalized groups from algorithmic bias, a better understanding of individual overdose trajectories and new reversal agents and improved drug delivery methods.