Locally advanced rectal cancer: a multivariate analysis of outcome risk factors

Tumor Size >5 cm and Harvested LNs <12 Are the Risk Factors for Recurrence in Stage I Colon and Rectal Cancer after Radical Resection

Simple Summary

We analyzed the data from 1952 patients with stage I colorectal cancer to evaluate the risk factors for recurrence and survival rates. In the entire cohort, the recurrence rate was 4.6%. There were some differences in the risk factors for recurrence between colon and rectal cancer in stage I colorectal cancer. Left-sided tumors, T2, tumor size >5 cm, and lymphovascular invasion were independent risk factors of colon cancer recurrence. Male, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥2.5 ng/mL, and harvested lymph nodes (LNs) <12 were independently associated with recurrence of rectal cancer. Even though patients with early-stage CRC underwent curative resection, survival sharply decreased in cases of recurrence. Our findings could suggest more aggressive surveillance for patients with an increased risk of recurrence.

Abstract

Recurrence can still occur even after radical resection of stage I colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aimed to identify subgroups with a high risk for recurrence in the stage I CRC. We retrospectively reviewed prospectively collected data of 1952 patients with stage I CRC after radical resection between 2002 and 2017 at our institute. 1398 (colon, 903 (64.6%), rectum, 495 (35.4%)) were eligible for analysis. We analyzed the risk factors for recurrence and survival. During the follow-up period (median: 59 months), 63 (4.6%) had a recurrence. The recurrence rate of rectal cancer was significantly higher than that of colon cancer (8.5% vs. 2.3%). Left-sided tumors, T2, tumor size >5 cm, and lymphovascular invasion were independent risk factors of colon cancer recurrence. Male, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥2.5 ng/mL, and harvested lymph nodes (LNs) <12 were independently associated with recurrence of rectal cancer. Recurrence affected OS (5-year OS: 97.1% vs. 67.6%). Despite curative resection, survival sharply decreased with recurrence. The risk factors for recurrence were different between colon and rectal cancer. Patients with a higher risk for recurrence should be candidates for more aggressive surveillance, even in early-stage CRC.

The potential benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is not predicted by tumor regression grade

INTRODUCTION

Recommended treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) followed by surgery and total mesorectal excision (TME). The role of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in this regimen is still debated. Assessment of Dworak's tumor regression grade (TRG) after NACRT could potentially select patients who might benefit from ACT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data for patients who underwent NACRT and TME for LARC between 2007 and 2014 were retrieved from the Bordet Institute database. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated for the whole population, according to whether or not they received ACT, and according to TRG.

RESULTS

We included 74 patients (38 males) with a median age of 62.7 years (33-84 years). AJCC stage cIIIb disease was the most frequent (73%). Pathologic complete response (pCR) was achieved in 13 patients (17.6%). ACT was administered to 42 patients (56.8%). Five-year OS and DFS of patients who received ACT or not were 92 and 84.5% (p = ns), and 79.9 and 84.8% (p = ns), respectively. OS was related to TRG (cut-off value of 3) (p = 0.001). ACT administration was not correlated with improved outcomes in any TRG groups.

CONCLUSION

TRG is a prognostic factor for both OS and DFS but does not appear to have a significant benefit for the selection of patients with LARC treated with NACRT who might benefit from the administration of ACT. Prospective randomized trials with larger populations are needed to identify factors that predict which patients may benefit from the administration of ACT.

Pre-treatment carcinoembryonic antigen and outcome of patients with rectal cancer receiving neo-adjuvant chemo-radiation and surgical resection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Neo-adjuvant chemo-radiation is the standard of care for patients with locally advanced rectal carcinoma. The aim of the present paper is to evaluate the relationship of the baseline serologic concentration of the carcinoembryonic antigen with the outcome. Data sources included MEDLINE and Web of Science databases. A systematic search of the databases by a predefined criterion has been conducted. Chemo-radiation followed by surgical resection of rectal tumors was the intervention of interest. From selected studies, the relationships between carcinoembryonic antigen and pathologic complete response, disease-free survival and overall survival were assessed. Carcinoembryonic antigen correlated significantly and inversely with the rate of pathologic complete responses (OR 2.00). Similar to this relationship, a low baseline carcinoembryonic antigen concentration was associated with a better disease-free survival (OR 1.88) and a better overall survival (OR 1.85). Heterogeneity of studies and publication bias were considerable in evaluating the relationship of baseline carcinoembryonic antigen and pathologic complete response. Baseline carcinoembryonic antigen should be regarded as a predictor of outcome of patients undergoing neo-adjuvant chemo-radiation. A calibration of the cutoff value from 5 to 3 ng/ml appears more appropriate to this patient population and should be evaluated in prospective trials.

Early-stage rectal cancer: clinical and pathologic prognostic markers of time to local recurrence and overall survival after resection

BACKGROUND

Resection without adjuvant therapy results in a low recurrence rate for patients with stage I (T1/2 N0) rectal cancer in the range of 4% to 16% at 5 years. There are limited data, however, regarding clinical or pathologic prognostic markers for recurrence in this population.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to assess the clinical and pathologic factors associated with local recurrence and overall survival in patients with early-stage rectal cancer after resection.

DESIGN

This is a retrospective study.

SETTING

This study was conducted at 2 tertiary care centers in Boston, Massachusetts.

PATIENTS

From 2000 to 2008, 175 patients with stage I rectal cancer treated with local or total mesorectal excision without adjuvant therapy were identified.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Time to local recurrence after resection and overall survival were evaluated for all patients with complete follow-up data. Perioperative data were reviewed to identify staging method, preoperative CEA, type of surgery, tumor size, number of lymph nodes resected, histological grade, circumferential resection margin, perineural invasion, lymphovascular invasion, and tumor ulceration. Data were analyzed by using a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

Of the eligible cohort, 137 patients had complete follow-up data for analysis of time to local recurrence, and only 23 (16.8%) patients had local recurrence. Among these 23 patients, the median time to recurrence was 1.1 years (0.1-7.8). On multivariate analysis, male sex, current alcohol use, and tumor ulceration were associated with heightened risk of local recurrence. Of the original cohort, 173 patients had complete follow-up for overall survival analysis. Among these patients, the median overall survival was 12 years. On multivariable analysis, age at diagnosis >65 years and T2 pathologic stage were associated with decreased survival.

LIMITATIONS

As in any retrospective study, there is a potential for selection bias. Several patients were excluded from the analysis due to inadequate follow-up data. These results from two academic medical centers with specialized colorectal surgeons may not be generally applicable. The relatively small number of events, ie, recurrences, suggest the findings should be validated in a larger study.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with stage I rectal cancer treated with resection alone, these results provide important prognostic information and may help identify those who could benefit from additional therapy.

Regional lymph node metastasis and locoregional recurrence of rectal carcinoma in the era of TME [corrected] surgery. Implications for treatment decisions

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

For rectal carcinoma treated according to the concept of total mesorectal excision (TME surgery), the independent influence of regional lymph node metastasis on the locoregional recurrence risk is still in discussion. A reliable assessment of this risk is important for an individualised selective indication for neoadjuvant radio-/radiochemotherapy.

METHODS

Analysis of literature, especially of the last 20 years, and consideration of pathological and oncological basic research. Multivariate analysis of data of the Erlangen Registry of Colorectal Carcinoma.

RESULTS

The clinical assessment of the pretherapeutic regional lymph node status by the present available imaging methods is still unreliable. The analysis of the association between pretherapeutic regional lymph node status and locoregional recurrence risk has to be based on follow-up data of patients treated by primary surgery and has to be distinguished between patients treated by conventional and optimised quality-assured TME surgery, respectively. Data from Erlangen show an increase of the local recurrence risk for patients with at least four involved regional lymph nodes.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with at least four involved regional lymph nodes, a neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy may be indicated. However, today, the pretherapeutic diagnosis is uncertain and results in overtherapy in 40%. Thus, in case of positive lymph node findings by imaging methods, the benefits and risk of neoadjuvant therapy in such situations should always be discussed with the patient in the sense of informed consent and shared decision.

Guideline for optimization of colorectal cancer surgery and pathology

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

There is evidence of gaps in care for colorectal cancer surgery related to obtaining negative resection margins and lymph node assessment. Recommendations on the surgical and pathological management of curable colon and rectal cancer were developed.

METHODS

A systematic review on colorectal resection margins and lymph nodes was conducted. This evidence, combined with evidence from existing guidelines and expert consensus, was used to develop recommendations. The draft guideline was reviewed by an expert panel and was externally reviewed by practitioners in Ontario, Canada.

RESULTS

The search of the recent literature identified 107 articles pertinent to resection margins and lymph node assessment. The majority of the evidence was of poor quality. Of the 63 practitioners who reviewed the guideline, 97% agreed with the draft recommendations and 92% thought that the report should be approved as a practice guideline.

CONCLUSIONS

Achieving optimized performance concerning margin status and lymph node assessment requires the coordinated efforts of surgeons and pathologists, as well as other medical professionals. Focus should be on ensuring that colorectal cancers are resected with negative (R0) margins and that an adequate number of lymph nodes are assessed to allow for accurate decision making relating to prognosis and adjuvant therapy.

Brachytherapy and local excision for sphincter preservation in T1 and T2 rectal cancer

PURPOSE

To report long-term results of brachytherapy after local excision (LE) in the treatment of T1 and T2 rectal cancer at risk of recurrence due to residual subclinical disease.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Between 1989 and 2007, 32 patients undergoing LE and brachytherapy were followed prospectively for a mean of 6.2 years. Estimates of local recurrence (LR), disease-specific survival (DSS), and overall survival (OS) were generated. Treatment-related toxicity and the effect of known prognostic factors were determined.

RESULTS

There were 8 LR (3 T1, 5 T2), of which 5 were salvaged surgically. Median time to the 8 LR was 14 months, and the 5-year rate of local control was 76%. Although there have been 9 deaths to date, only 5 were from disease. Five-year DSS and OS rates were 85% and 78%, respectively. There were 4 cases of Grade 2-3 radionecrosis and 1 case of mild stool incontinence. The sphincter was preserved in 27 of 32 patients.

CONCLUSION

Local excision and adjuvant brachytherapy for T1 and T2 rectal cancer is an appealing treatment alternative to immediate radical resection, particularly in the frail and elderly who are unable to undergo major surgery, as well as for patients wanting to avoid a permanent colostomy.

Prognostic factors after preoperative irradiation and surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer

AIMS

The experience of preoperative irradiation in clinically locally advanced rectal cancer for the period 1991-2003 is reported. Prognostic factors for survival and recurrence, and parameters for obtaining a free circumferential margin were evaluated.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of 204 M0 patients given >45 Gy preoperatively (median age 66 years; 29% women; tumour level <16 cm from the anal verge).

RESULTS

Multivisceral and/or pelvic wall resections were performed in 61% of the patients. R0, R1 and R2 resections were achieved in 74%, 21% and 5%. Five-year survival was 52% for all patients, 60% for R0 resections, 31% for R1 and 0% for R2. The calculated 5-year recurrence rates were 13% for R0 resections and 24% for R1 resections (p<0.035). R-stage, N-stage, age, type of rectal resection and pelvic wall resection remained significant in Cox multivariate analysis for survival. Regarding local recurrence, the following parameters were independent: N-stage, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) response and pelvic wall resection. Medium high tumour level and reduced histopathological differentiation are important individual factors that seem to predict increased risk for not obtaining a R0 resection.

CONCLUSIONS

After preoperative irradiation and surgery, about 50% of the patients with locally advanced rectal cancer without overt metastases (M0) can be cured.

Rectal cancer surgery in the elderly: analysis of consecutive 158 patients with stage III rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

It is difficult to establish a clear-cut indication for rectal surgery in elderly patients because of greater risk. We tried to clarify the factors associated with the short-term and long-term outcomes between elderly and younger patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We clarified the potential predictors of the cancer-related and disease-free survivals after surgery, the factors associated with the elderly, preoperative comorbid conditions, and postoperative complications in 158 patients with stage III rectal cancer who underwent surgery, including 33 elderly patients (>or=75 years) and 125 younger patients (<75 years).

RESULTS

An old age and macroscopic types 3 and 4 were independent poor prognostic factors of cancer-related survival, whereas the disease-free survival of the younger patients was not longer than for the elderly patients. Interestingly, the survival rate in the elderly patients with recurrence was shorter than that in the younger patients. Histopathological type except well differentiated and without chemotherapy were significant tumor characteristics associated with the elderly patients. On preoperative comorbid conditions, elderly patients have more cardiovascular diseases than younger patients, whereas there were no significant differences in the postoperative complications.

CONCLUSION

Strength of the adjuvant and intensive therapies after recurrence may contribute to gain long-term survival in the elderly rectal cancer patients.

Assessing the evidence for an association between circumferential tumour clearance and local recurrence after resection of rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

Circumferential resection margin involvement (CRMI) after resection of rectal cancer is regarded as a risk factor for local recurrence. We have been able to identify only nine peer-reviewed English-language publications which focus primarily on this association, and they report widely differing rates of local recurrence. The aims of this study were to review possible reasons for this variability and to assess the evidence for the micrometrically measured threshold defining CRMI.

METHOD

Methodological and statistical evaluation of relevant literature.

RESULTS

Several factors which could account for this variability are discussed including the nature of the patient series, surgical technique, curative vs palliative resections, pathology technique, the definition of CRMI, adjuvant therapy, tumour stage, definition and ascertainment of local recurrence, length of follow-up and method of analysis. The objective evidence for the conventional definition of CRMI as tumour 1 mm or less from a circumferential margin is considered along with the evidence supporting a recent proposal that the margin be extended to 2 mm or less. The evidence is numerically weak in both cases and we believe that neither definition should be set in concrete at this stage.

CONCLUSION

Pending further research, we recommend that routine pathology reports should record frank tumour transection, if present, or otherwise report the histological width of the margin between the tumour and the nearest circumferential line of resection in millimetres. The definition of CRMI should be simply histological evidence of tumour in a line of resection, that is, a margin of 0 mm. The definition of CRMI as a margin of <or=1 mm should not be adopted as a basis for assessing the quality of surgery.

Rectal cancer surgery in the elderly: a multivariate analysis of outcome risk factors

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Geriatric population life expectancy is rapidly increasing and the impact of major surgical procedures is not well defined. The purpose of this study was to compare short term surgical results assessing mortality and morbidity and long-term survival and disease-free interval in elective rectal surgery patients older than 65 years of age. The main independent risk factors of mortality, morbidity, and overall and disease-free survival were also identified.

METHODS

Out of 177 rectal cancer accepted consecutively from 1991 to 2002, we studied the main clinical and pathological parameters comparing patients older and younger than 65 years. Data have been collected in a database and variables considered were studied by univariate analysis; independent predictive factors of 30-day mortality and morbidity were identified by multiple logistic regression analysis. Overall, cancer specific and disease-free survival curves were obtained with the Kaplan-Meier method and results compared with the log-rank test. Independent risk factors of overall and disease-free survival have been identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

In patients younger and older than 65 years postoperative mortality (3.2% vs. 9.6%) and morbidity (30% vs. 29%) were not significantly different. Variables independently associated with 30-day mortality were the duration of surgical procedures and postoperative complications. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a significantly worst overall survival (P = 0.003), cancer specific survival (P = 0.02), and disease-free survival (P = 0.03) in patients aged 65 years or more. Multivariate analysis showed that pT, grading, preoperative CEA level, gender, and site of the tumor along the rectum, the number of blood transfusion and the age group of more than 65 years are independent risk factors for both overall survival and disease-free interval. The presence of residual disease was an adjunctive factor of overall survival, whereas the Astler and Coller staging was a risk factor for the disease-free survival.

CONCLUSION

The short-term prognosis for elective rectal cancer procedure in patients over 65 years of age was comparable to that of younger patients, whereas long term cancer-related survival was statistically worst in older patients.

Prognostic value of tumour regression grading and depth of neoplastic infiltration within the perirectal fat after combined neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy and surgery for rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate histological variables correlated with pathological response to chemo-radiotherapy protocols for rectal cancer and with local recurrence and survival.

METHODS

From 1994 to 2003, 58 patients with rectal cancer were enrolled in a non-randomised study based on standardised treatment with radiotherapy, 5-fluorouracil, and surgical resection, followed by histological examination, including tumour regression grading and depth of neoplastic infiltration within the perirectal fat. All patients were followed up. Mean (SD) length of follow up was 55.3 (28.1) months, range 5 to 108.

RESULTS

No case was found with no regression (grade 0). Tumour regression was defined as grade 1 in 24.5% of cases, grade 2 in 58.5%, grade 3 in 7.5%, and grade 4 (complete regression) in 9.5%. Neoplastic infiltration of >4 mm within the perirectal fat was found in 25.6% of cases in grade 1, 55.8% in grade, 2.7% in grade 3, and 11.6% in grade 4. In 80% cases of pT4 depth of neoplastic infiltration within the perirectal fat was >4 mm (100% were pN+), and the same spread was also found in 53.4% of pT2 and 86.2% of pT3. Pathological response was associated with regression grade (p = 0.006) and depth of neoplastic infiltration within the perirectal fat (p = 0.04). Tumour regression grading was an independent variable for pT (p = 0.0002), pN status (p = 0.00004), pathological staging (p = 0.000001), and local recurrence (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Involvement of the lateral resection margins correlates with a poor prognosis and indicates the likelihood of local recurrence of rectal cancer. Tumour regression grading and the depth of neoplastic infiltration within the perirectal fat are important prognostic factors that need to be evaluated routinely.

Local recurrence after curative resection for rectal cancer is associated with anterior position of the tumour

Background

Mobilization of rectal cancer can be difficult if the tumour is located anteriorly and may result in a higher incidence of local recurrence. The aim of this study was to determine whether local recurrence and survival following curative resection of rectal cancer were associated with the position of the tumour.

Methods

Data were drawn from a comprehensive, prospective hospital registry of all resections for rectal cancer from January 1990 to December 1998, with follow-up to December 2003.

Results

The 5-year local recurrence rate was 15·9 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 11·0 to 22·8) per cent in 176 patients with tumours that had an anterior component compared with 5·8 (95 per cent c.i. 2·8 to 11·9) per cent in 132 patients with tumours without an anterior component (P = 0·009). This association persisted after adjustment for other factors linked to local recurrence (hazard ratio (HR) 2·4 (95 per cent c.i. 1·1 to 5·4)). Similarly, anterior position had a significant negative independent association with survival (HR 1·4 (95 per cent c.i. 1·0 to 2·00)).

Conclusion

Anterior position is an independent negative prognostic factor for both local recurrence and survival after curative resection of rectal cancer.

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Management of locally advanced rectal cancer

The treatment of rectal cancer typically involves a multidisciplinary approach. A minority of patients will have tumors that are full thickness, involve adjacent structures, or have metastatic disease to regional lymph nodes. The combination of adjuvant therapy and surgical resection is the mainstay of treatment for locally advanced carcinoma of the rectum. This article will review the role of adjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy in patients with high risk tumors. The operative considerations in advanced rectal cancers will be reviewed. In particular, the role of mesorectal excision and exenterative surgery will be discussed.