A Multianalyte Assay Panel With Cell-Bound Complement Activation Products Predicts Transition of Probable Lupus to American College of Rheumatology-Classified Lupus

SLE criteria are by necessity still based on clinical (and immunological) criteria items

INTRODUCTION

The 2019 European League Against Rheumatism/American College of Rheumatology (EULAR/ACR) classification criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) rely on clinical and routine immunological items. The criteria have anti-nuclear antibodies (ANA) as an obligatory entry criterion; items are weighted and ordered in domains. While demonstrating good sensitivity and specificity, the lack of a more molecular approach to some came as a disappointment.

AREAS COVERED

Based on a non-systematic literature search, this review covers items investigated in the EULAR/ACR classification criteria project, but not included in the set of criteria. It demonstrates data on the importance of the criteria and analyses implications of multiomics studies started around the same time as the criteria project. We also discuss data on the type-I interferon signature and on other cytokines, as well as on complement proteins and their split products. The final part deals with the variability in disease and the apparently random pattern of autoantibodies and organ manifestations in individual patients.

EXPERT OPINION

We believe that the EULAR/ACR criteria are a relevant step toward the right direction. A more uniform molecular approach will not be feasible as long as the molecular mechanisms underlying the tendency toward producing multiple autoantibodies are not better understood.

Predicting progression from undifferentiated connective tissue disease to definite connective tissue disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Undifferentiated connective tissue disease (UCTD) encapsulates a broad range of conditions including incomplete forms of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and systemic sclerosis (SSc), some of whom progress to a formal clinical diagnosis over time. This systematic review (SR) and meta-analysis aimed to identify clinical and laboratory features and biomarkers that can predict progression of UCTD.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was carried out on MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Central Register of Randomized Controlled Trials. Abstracts and full-text manuscripts were screened by two reviewers. Publications were included if they included at least 20 UCTD patients, a minimum of six months of follow up, and provided data on at least one risk factor for developing a defined CTD. The QUIPS tool was used to assess risk of bias (RoB) and GRADE for grading the quality of the evidence. The study is registered with PROSPERO (ID: CRD42021237725).

RESULTS

Fifty-nine studies were included in the SR, and forty-one in the meta-analysis. The predictors for progression to SLE with the highest certainty of evidence included those with younger age (MD -5.96 [-11.05-0.87 years]), serositis (RR 2.69 [1.61-4.51]), or the presence of anti-dsDNA antibodies (RR 4.27 [1.92-9.51]). For SSc, the highest certainty of evidence included puffy fingers (RR [3.09 [1.48-6.43]), abnormal nailfold changes (NFC) (avascular areas [RR 5.71 (3.03-10.8)] or active or late SSc pattern [RR 2.24 (1.25-4.01)] and anti-topoisomerase-I (RR 1.83 [1.45-2.30]). No novel biomarkers were included in the meta-analysis; however HLA molecules, regulatory T cell shift, pro-inflammatory cytokines and complement activation products were identified as potential predictors for evolution of disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical and immunological parameters may predict which patients with UCTD progress to definitive disease; however, the heterogeneous nature and RoB in most studies limits the ability to apply these results in routine clinical practice. Limited data suggest that some novel biomarkers may provide additional predictive value but these will need larger well designed studies to fully delineate their clinical utility.

Disease criteria of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE); the potential role of non-criteria autoantibodies

Patients with SLE show a broad spectrum of more than 200 autoantibodies. They can be pathogenic, predictive, prognostic or even an epiphenomenon. Here, we discuss different autoantibodies that have not been included in EULAR/ACR 2019 classification criteria. Most of them have been addressed to monitor and detect disease activity and not specifically as classification criteria. Indeed, markers to assess disease activity fluctuate as compared with classification criteria and their validation is different. The development of new methods will probably bring new clinical associations and be evaluated as potential classification criteria.

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Most of the autoantibodies described in SLE are of utility in monitoring disease activity.

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The validation of activity biomarkers is different from classification criteria biomarkers.

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The new methods coming into the clinical routine will bring new associations and potentially classification criteria.