Development and validation of grade-based prediction models for postoperative morbidity in gastric cancer resection using a Japanese web-based nationwide registry

Predictive Postoperative Inflammatory Response Indicators of Infectious Complications Following Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Perioperative factors are useful for predicting postoperative infectious complications (PIC) in gastric cancer. Specifically, postoperative inflammatory response indicators (PIRI), [C-reactive protein (CRP) level, body temperature (BT), and white blood cell (WBC) count], are widely used in clinical practice. We investigated predictive factors for PIC, including PIRI, to establish a simple and practical indicator of postoperative complications after gastrectomy.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected clinical data from 200 patients with fStage I-III gastric cancer. Univariate/multivariate analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship of predictive factors [host factors, clinicopathological factors, and PIRI (BT, WBC count, and CRP level on postoperative day (POD) 1 and 3) ]. Cut-off values of the predictive factors were analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve modulated by the presence/absence of PIC Grade II, III (Clavien-Dindo classification).

RESULTS

Age [Odds ratio (OR): 5.67], smoking history (OR: 3.51), and CRP level (OR: 5.65), WBC count (OR: 8.96), and BT (OR: 3.37) on POD3 were selected as independent factors from multivariate analysis. Cut-off values were 77 years, 14.8 mg/dL, 116.0×102/μL, and 37.4°C, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Predictive factors relative to PIC in gastric cancer were CRP level ≥ 14.8 mg/dL, WBC count ≥ 116.0×102/μL, and BT ≥ 37.4°C all on POD3. Age ≥ 77 years, and history of smoking were relative to PIC, suggesting a simple and practical indicator applicable in clinical practice.

Clinical impact of Endoscopic Surgical Skill Qualification System (ESSQS) by Japan Society for Endoscopic Surgery (JSES) for laparoscopic distal gastrectomy and low anterior resection based on the National Clinical Database (NCD) registry

AIM

This study aimed to evaluate the association between surgeons certified via the Endoscopic Surgical Skill Qualification System (ESSQS) of the Japan Society for Endoscopic Surgery (JSES) and surgical outcomes of laparoscopic distal gastrectomy (LDG) and laparoscopic low anterior resection (LLAR).

METHODS

Japanese National Clinical Database data on the patients undergoing LDG and LLAR between 2014-2016 were analyzed retrospectively. The proportion of cases performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons was calculated for each procedure, and clinicopathological factors with or without participation of ESSQS-certified surgeons as an operator were assessed. Then, effects of operations performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons on short-term patient outcomes were analyzed using generalized estimating equations logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

There were 110 610 and 65 717 patients who underwent LDG and LLAR, respectively. The operations performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons in each procedure totaled 28 467 (35.3%) and 12 866 (31.2%), respectively. A multivariable logistic regression model showed that odds ratios of mortality for LDG and LLAR performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons were 0.774 (95% CI, 0.566-1.060, P = 0.108) and 0.977 (0.591-1.301, P = 0.514), respectively. Odds ratios for secondary endpoints of anastomotic leakage in LDG and LLAR performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons were 0.835 (95% CI, 0.723-0.964, P = 0.014) and 0.929 (0.860-1.003, P = 0.059), respectively, whereas that of ileus/bowel obstruction for LLAR performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons was 1.265 (1.132-1.415, P < 0.001). There were no significant associations between the two operations performed by ESSQS-certified surgeons and other factors such as mortality and overall complications.

CONCLUSIONS

ESSQS certification did not affect postoperative mortality following LDG and LLAR, but annual experience of laparoscopic surgery was associated with it. ESSQS certification may contribute to favorable outcomes regarding anastomotic leakage following LDG and LLAR.

Development of gastroenterological surgery over the last decade in Japan: analysis of the National Clinical Database

The National Clinical Database (NCD) of Japan was established in 2010 with the board certification system. A joint committee of 16 gastroenterological surgery database-affiliated organizations has been nurturing this nationwide database and utilizing its data for various analyses. Stepwise board certification systems have been validated by the NCD and are used to improve the surgical outcomes of patients. The use of risk calculators based on risk models can be particularly helpful for establishing appropriate and less invasive surgical treatments for individual patients. Data obtained from the NCD reflect current developments in the surgical approaches used in hospitals, which have progressed from open surgery to endoscopic and robot-assisted procedures. An investigation of the data acquired by the NCD could answer some relevant clinical questions and lead to better surgical management of patients. Furthermore, excellent surgical outcomes can be achieved through international comparisons of the national databases worldwide. This review examines what we have learned from the NCD of gastroenterological surgery and discusses what future developments we can expect.

The effect of the visceral fat area on the predictive accuracy of C-reactive protein for infectious complications after laparoscopy-assisted gastrectomy

AIM

To investigate the influence of visceral fat area on postoperative C-reactive protein levels and whether it affects its ability to diagnose infectious complications after laparoscopy-assisted gastrectomy.

METHODS

A total of 435 consecutive patients who underwent laparoscopy-assisted resection for gastric cancer from 2008 to 2017 were reviewed and divided into four groups according to visceral fat area quartiles. We evaluated the relationship between C-reactive protein and visceral fat area and whether visceral fat area affects the sensitivity and specificity of C-reactive protein in diagnosing postoperative infectious complications.

RESULTS

Postoperative C-reactive protein levels increased with increasing visceral fat areas at every postoperative assessment. Multiple linear regression revealed that levels on postoperative day 3 significantly positively correlated with visceral fat area. Postoperative day 3 levels also showed moderate accuracy for diagnosing infectious complications (area under the curve, 0.78; sensitivity, 0.86; specificity, 0.65), with an optimal cut-off of 11.8 mg/dL. The sensitivity for predicting infectious complications was low in the 1st visceral fat area quartile group but high in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th groups (0.43 vs 1.0 vs 1.0 vs 0.94, respectively). By contrast, the specificity was high in the 1st and 2nd group but low in the 3rd and 4th (0.84 vs 0.70 vs 0.54 vs 0.48, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Visceral fat area positively correlated with postoperative C-reactive protein levels and this affected its accuracy in diagnosing infectious complications. A uniform C-reactive protein cut-off may not provide accurate predictions in patients with more extreme visceral fat areas.