Population-based study on resection rates and survival in patients with colorectal liver metastasis in Norway

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with bevacizumab for resectable colorectal liver metastasis with risk factors for recurrence: a multicenter real-world study

Background

Currently, guidelines prohibit the addition of targeted drugs in neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for initially resectable colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).

Objective

Nevertheless, efficacy data of NAC combined with bevacizumab (Bev) for initially resectable CRLM with risk factors for recurrence (RFR) are lacking.

Designs

We conducted a multicenter real-world cohort study to retrospectively analyze the efficacy and feasibility of NAC combined with Bev for CRLM with RFR.

Methods

The patients were divided into the NAC alone group and NAC combined with the Bev group. We designated progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and overall survival (OS) as the outcomes. Kaplan-Meier, Cox proportional hazards regression models, and subgroup analysis were utilized. RFR was a clinical risk score of 3-5. Subgroup analysis was applied to explore which subgroup was more suitable for NAC combined with Bev.

Results

Between 2015 and 2020, this multicenter real-world study encompassed 335 CRLM patients from six medical centers who underwent curative hepatectomy following NAC. Two hundred seventeen patients were in the NAC alone group, and 118 received NAC combined with Bev. The NAC alone group exhibited an ORR of 51.15%, compared to 66.95% in the NAC combined with Bev (p = 0.005). The R0 resection rates achieved 91.71% for the NAC alone group and 94.92% for the NAC combined with Bev (p = 0.276). Three-year PFS rate was 27.6% for NAC alone and 41.5% for the NAC combined with the Bev group (p = 0.006). Furthermore, the 3-year OS was calculated to be 57.0% for the NAC alone and 66.7% for the NAC combined with Bev patients (p = 0.079).

Conclusion

For initially resectable CRLM patients with RFR, NAC combined with Bev exhibited a higher ORR and longer PFS.

Chinese clinical trial registry

ChiCTR2400082966.

Artificial Intelligence-Driven Patient Selection for Preoperative Portal Vein Embolization for Patients with Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases

PURPOSE

To develop a machine learning algorithm to improve hepatic resection selection for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) by predicting post-portal vein embolization (PVE) outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study (2000-2020) included 200 consecutive patients with CRC liver metastases planned for PVE before surgery. Data on radiomic features and laboratory values were collected. Patient-specific eigenvalues for each liver shape were calculated using a statistical shape model approach. After semiautomatic segmentation and review by a board-certified radiologist, the data were split 70%/30% for training and testing. Three machine learning algorithms predicting the total liver volume (TLV) after PVE, sufficient future liver remnant (FLR%), and kinetic growth rate (KGR%) were trained, with performance assessed using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve (AUC), or root mean squared error. Significance between the internal and external test sets was assessed by the Student t-test. One institution was kept separate as an external testing set.

RESULTS

A total of 114 (76 men; mean age, 56 years [SD± 12]) and 37 (19 men; mean age, 50 years ± [SD± 11]) patients met the inclusion criteria for the internal validation and external validation, respectively. Prediction accuracy and AUC for sufficient FLR% or liver growth potential (KGR%> 0%) were high in the internal testing set-85.81% (SD ± 1.01) and 0.91 (SD ± 0.01) or 87.44% (SD ± 0.10) and 0.66 (SD ± 0.03), respectively. Similar results occurred in the external testing set-79.66% (SD ± 0.60) and 0.88 (SD ± 0.00) or 72.06% (SD ± 0.30) and 0.69 (SD ± 0.01), respectively. TLV prediction showed discrepancy rates of 12.56% (SD ±4.20%; P = .86) internally and 13.57% (SD ± 3.76%; P = .91) externally.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning-based models incorporating radiomics and laboratory test results may help predict the FLR%, KGR%, and TLV as metrics for successful PVE.

Liver metastases from colorectal cancer: A joint ESSO-EAHPBA-UEMS core curriculum collaboration

Colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) are a major indication for liver surgery in Europe, highlighting the need for standardized knowledge and training in surgical oncology. The European Society of Surgical Oncology (ESSO) has updated its core curriculum to provide a structured framework for education. Previous publications have addressed pancreatic, hepatocellular, and biliary tract cancers to support candidates preparing for the European Board of Surgery Qualification (EBSQ) exams in Surgical Oncology and Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery. However, a dedicated guide for CRLM remains absent. This article aims to fill that gap by offering a structured reference on CRLM, covering epidemiology, staging, genetics, and diagnosis of metastatic colorectal cancer. It also outlines multidisciplinary treatment strategies, including systemic, surgical, interventional, and palliative approaches. A structured literature review was conducted using PubMed to identify the most updated (inter)national management guidelines, prioritizing recent multicentre studies, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses published from January 2020 to January 2025. By bridging the gap between the ESSO core curriculum and detailed subspecialty training, this guide provides an essential resource for hepatobiliary surgeons and surgical oncologists. It serves as a valuable tool for those preparing for board examinations while promoting a standardized approach to CRLM education and management across Europe.

Treatment-sequencing before and after index hepatectomy with either synchronous or metachronous colorectal liver metastasis: Comparison of recurrence risk, repeat hepatectomy and overall survival in a population-derived cohort

BACKGROUND

Treatment of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) includes several options with impact on the patient journey and may depend on presentation and patient characteristics. The aim of the study was to investigate how treatment sequencing in index hepatectomy for synchronous or metachronous CRLM may potentially impact treatment pathways and oncological outcomes.

METHODS

An observational cohort study (ACROBATICC; NCT0176813) of patients having surgery for CRLM. Patient and tumour characteristics, treatment and recurrence patterns were recorded. Recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method (log-rank test).

RESULTS

The study included 132 patients, median age 67 yrs, 69 % men and 55 % had synchronous CRLM. Overall, 65 (50 %) received neoadjuvant chemotherapy, 45 (63 %) in synchronous and 20 (33 %) in metachronous CRLM (odds ratio, OR 0.30 95%CI 0.15-0.62; p < 0.001). Patient- and tumour characteristics did not differ except number of metastases (synchronous CRLM median 2 (range 1-4) vrs metachronous median 1 (1-2), respectively; p < 0.001). Some 99 (75 %) patients relapsed, 38 % had liver-recurrence. Repeat hepatectomy was performed in one-third, with equal rates between synchronous or metachronous CRLM. Median OS of all patients was 68 months, for a difference of 24 months between synchronous and metachronous CRLM (59 and 83 months, respectively; p = 0.334). RFS survival did not differ between groups.

CONCLUSION

Pre-operative chemotherapy was given twice as often for patients with synchronous CRLM who also had more metastases and more frequently rectal primaries. Liver recurrence rates, repeat hepatecomy and overall survival was comparable between groups. Intrinsic cancer biology needs to be better investigated to provide better outcomes.

Comparison of systemic treatments for previously treated patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Background

There is limited evidence of comparative results among different treatments for patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) who have failed at least one line of previous systemic therapy. We aimed to compare the efficacy of systemic treatments among these patients through this investigation.

Methods

We collected randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reported in English up until July 2023, from databases including PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, and prominent conference databases, for this Bayesian network meta-analysis. Phase II or III trials that evaluated at least two therapeutic regimens were included. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS), secondary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). Hazards ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used as effect size. Subgroup analysis was performed based on metastatic sites. The current systematic review protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023420498).

Results

30 RCTs were included, with a total of 13,511 patients. Compared to chemotherapy, multi-targeted therapy (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.37-0.87) and targeted therapy plus chemotherapy (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.67-0.91) show significant advantages. Targeted therapy (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.54-1.57) and local treatment plus chemotherapy (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.85-1.23) had comparable performance. For patients with liver metastases, TAS-102 plus bevacizumab, aflibercept plus fluorouracil-based combination chemotherapy (CTFU), and bevacizumab plus capecitabine-based combination chemotherapy (CTCA) showed the best outcomes in terms of OS. Bevacizumab plus intensified CTFU, bevacizumab plus CTCA, and HAI followed by single-agent chemotherapy (SingleCT) performed the best regarding PFS. For patients with liver-limited metastases, aflibercept plus CTFU is the optimal choice in OS. For PFS, the best options were HAI followed by SingleCT, aflibercept plus CTFU, and panitumumab plus CTFU. For patients with multiple-site metastases, the best treatments were TAS-102 plus bevacizumab, bevacizumab plus CTCA, bevacizumab plus CTFU, and aflibercept plus CTFU.

Conclusion

Multi-targeted therapy and targeted therapy plus chemotherapy are the best treatment mechanisms. TAS-102 plus bevacizumab is superior in OS, the combination of anti-VEGF drugs like bevacizumab and aflibercept with standard chemotherapy is the preferred option for CRLM patients.

Digestive and breast cancer patients managed during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic: Short and middle term outcomes

BACKGROUND

The first wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Spain lasted from middle March to the end of June 2020. Spanish population was subjected to lockdown periods and scheduled surgeries were discontinued or reduced during variable periods. In our centre, we managed patients previously and newly diagnosed with cancer. We established a strategy based on limiting perioperative social contacts, preoperative screening (symptoms and reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction) and creating separated in-hospital COVID-19-free pathways for non-infected patients. We also adopted some practice modifications (surgery in different facilities, changes in staff and guidelines, using continuously changing personal protective equipment…), that supposed new inconveniences.

AIM

To analyse cancer patients with a decision for surgery managed during the first wave, focalizing on outcomes and pandemic-related modifications.

METHODS

We prospectively included adults with a confirmed diagnosis of colorectal, oesophago-gastric, liver-pancreatic or breast cancer with a decision for surgery, regardless of whether they ultimately underwent surgery. We analysed short-term outcomes [30-d postoperative morbimortality and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection] and outcomes after 3 years (adjuvant therapies, oncological events, death, SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccination). We also investigated modifications to usual practice.

RESULTS

From 96 included patients, seven didn't receive treatment that period and four never (3 due to COVID-19). Operated patients: 28 colon and 21 rectal cancers; laparoscopy 53.6%/90.0%, mortality 3.57%/0%, major complications 7.04%/25.00%, anastomotic leaks 0%/5.00%, 3-years disease-free survival (DFS) 82.14%/52.4% and overall survival (OS) 78.57%/76.2%. Six liver metastases and six pancreatic cancers: no mortality, one major complication, three grade A/B liver failures, one bile leak; 3-year DFS 0%/33.3% and OS 50.0%/33.3% (liver metastases/pancreatic carcinoma). 5 gastric and 2 oesophageal tumours: mortality 0%/50%, major complications 0%/100%, anastomotic leaks 0%/100%, 3-year DFS and OS 66.67% (gastric carcinoma) and 0% (oesophagus). Twenty breast cancer without deaths/major complications; 3-year OS 100% and DFS 85%. Nobody contracted SARS-CoV-2 postoperatively. COVID-19 pandemic-related changes: 78.2% treated in alternative buildings, 43.8% waited more than 4 weeks, two additional colostomies and fewer laparoscopies.

CONCLUSION

Some patients lost curative-intent surgery due to COVID-19 pandemic. Despite practice modifications and 43.8% delays higher than 4 weeks, surgery was resumed with minimal changes without impacting outcomes. Clean pathways are essential to continue surgery safely.

A Glimpse into the Role and Effectiveness of Splenectomy for Isolated Metachronous Spleen Metastasis of Colorectal Cancer Origin: Long-Term Survivals Can Be Achieved

Background: Many papers exploring the role of resectioning metastases in colorectal cancer (CRC) have focused mainly on liver and lung sites, showing improved survival compared with non-resectional therapies. However, data about exceptional metastatic sites such as splenic metastases (SMs) are scarce. This paper aims to assess the role and effectiveness of splenectomy in the case of isolated metachronous SM of CRC origin. Methods: The patients' data were extracted after a comprehensive literature search through public databases for articles reporting patients with splenectomies for isolated metachronous SM of CRC origin. Potential predictors of survival were explored, along with demographic, diagnostic, pathology, and treatment data for each patient. Results: A total of 83 patients with splenectomies for isolated metachronous SM of CRC origin were identified. The primary CRC was at an advanced stage (Duke's C-70.3%) and on the left colon (45.5%) for most patients, while the median interval between CRC resection and SM was 24 months. The median overall survival after splenectomy was 84 months, and patients younger than 62 years presented statistically significantly worse overall survival rates than those ≥62 years old (p = 0.011). There was no significant impact on the long-term outcomes for factors including primary tumor location or adjuvant chemotherapy (p values ≥ 0.070, ns). Laparoscopic splenectomy was increasingly used in the last 20 years from 2002 (33.3% vs. 0%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Splenectomy is the optimal treatment for patients with isolated metachronous SM of CRC, with the laparoscopic approach being increasingly used and having the potential to become a standard of care. Encouraging long-term survival rates were reported in the context of a multidisciplinary approach. Younger ages are associated with worse survival. Perioperative chemotherapy in the context of a patient diagnosed with SM of CRC origin appears to be a reasonable option, although the present study failed to show any significant impact on long-term survival.

Development and validation of a novel risk score to predict overall survival following surgical clearance of bilobar colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer pose a challenge for obtaining a satisfactory oncological outcome with an adequate future liver remnant. This study aimed to assess the clinical and pathological determinants of overall survival and recurrence-free survival among patients undergoing surgical clearance of bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective international multicentre study of patients who underwent surgery for bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer between January 2012 and December 2018 was conducted. Overall survival and recurrence-free survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years after surgery were the primary outcomes evaluated. The secondary outcomes were duration of postoperative hospital stay, and 90-day major morbidity and mortality rates. A prognostic nomogram was developed using covariates selected from a Cox proportional hazards regression model, and internally validated using a 3:1 random partition into derivation and validation cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 1236 patients were included from 70 centres. The majority (88 per cent) of the patients had synchronous liver metastases. Overall survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was 86.4 per cent, 67.5 per cent, 52.6 per cent and 33.8 per cent, and the recurrence-free survival rates were 48.7 per cent, 26.6 per cent, 19.2 per cent and 10.5 per cent respectively. A total of 25 per cent of patients had recurrent disease within 6 months. Margin positivity and progressive disease at liver resection were poor prognostic factors, while adjuvant chemotherapy in margin-positive resections improved overall survival. The bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer-overall survival nomogram was developed from the derivation cohort based on pre- and postoperative factors. The nomogram's ability to forecast overall survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was subsequently validated on the validation cohort and showed high accuracy (overall C-index = 0.742).

CONCLUSION

Despite the high recurrence rates, overall survival of patients undergoing surgical resection for bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer is encouraging. The novel bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer-overall survival nomogram helps in counselling and informed decision-making of patients planned for treatment of bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

Resectability, Resections, Survival Outcomes, and Quality of Life in Older Adult Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer (the RAXO-Study)

Older adults are underrepresented in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) studies and thus may not receive optimal treatment, especially not metastasectomies. The prospective Finnish real-life RAXO-study included 1086 any organ mCRC patients. We assessed repeated centralized resectability, overall survival (OS), and quality of life (QoL) using 15D and EORTC QLQ-C30/CR29. Older adults (>75 years; n = 181, 17%) had worse ECOG performance status than adults (<75 years, n = 905, 83%), and their metastases were less likely upfront resectable. The local hospitals underestimated resectability in 48% of older adults and in 34% of adults compared with the centralized multidisciplinary team (MDT) evaluation (p < 0.001). The older adults compared with adults were less likely to undergo curative-intent R0/1-resection (19% vs. 32%), but when resection was achieved, OS was not significantly different (HR 1.54 [CI 95% 0.9-2.6]; 5-year OS-rate 58% vs. 67%). 'Systemic therapy only' patients had no age-related survival differences. QoL was similar in older adults and adults during curative treatment phase (15D 0.882-0.959/0.872-0.907 [scale 0-1]; GHS 62-94/68-79 [scale 0-100], respectively). Complete curative-intent resection of mCRC leads to excellent survival and QoL even in older adults. Older adults with mCRC should be actively evaluated by a specialized MDT and offered surgical or local ablative treatment whenever possible.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Radiofrequency Ablation May Be a New Treatment Modality for Colorectal Liver Metastasis: A Propensity Score Matching Comparative Study

Background: Most colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) are not candidates for liver resection. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) plays a key role in selected CRLM patients. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by liver resection has been widely used for resectable CRLM. Whether NAC followed by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) can achieve a similar prognosis to NAC followed by hepatectomy remains is unclear. The present study aimed to provide a new treatment modality for CRLM patients. Methods: This comparative retrospective research selected CRLM patients from 2009 to 2022. They were divided into NAC + RFA group and NAC + hepatectomy group. The propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce bias. We used multivariate cox proportional hazards regression analysis to explore independent factors affecting prognosis. The primary study endpoint was the difference in the progression-free survival (PFS) between the two groups. Results: A total of 190 locally curable CRLM patients were in line with the inclusion criteria. A slight bias was detected in the comparison of basic clinical characteristics between the two groups. RFA showed a significant advantage in the length of hospital stay (median; 2 days vs. 7 days; p < 0.001). The 1- and 3-year PFS in the liver resection and the RFA groups was 57.4% vs. 86.9% (p < 0.001) and 38.8% vs. 55.3% (p = 0.035), respectively. The 1-year and 3-year OS in the liver resection and RFA groups was 100% vs. 96.7% (p = 0.191) and 73.8% vs. 73.6% (p = 0.660), respectively. Conclusions: NAC followed by RFA has rapid postoperative recovery, fewer complications, and better prognosis.

Utility and specificity of plasma heat shock protein 90 alpha, CEA, and CA199 as the diagnostic test in colorectal cancer liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Plasma heat shock protein 90 alpha (Hsp90α) has been suggested as a novel biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of cancer. Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen199 (CA199) are traditional tumor biomarkers for colorectal cancer (CRC). Previous studies have shown that Hsp90α and the combination of Hsp90α and CEA are optimal biomarkers for CRC at an early stage. However, research on the use of Hsp90α alone or in combination with CEA and/or CA199 in diagnosing CRC development, particularly liver metastasis, is limited. This study sought to investigate the value of Hsp90α alone or in combination with CEA/CA199 in diagnosing CRC liver metastasis.

METHODS

The clinical data of 472 CRC patients were retrospectively analyzed, which were confirmed by clinical manifestations and a histopathological examination associated with an imaging diagnosis. The levels of Hsp90α, and CEA, and CA199 were assessed by enzyme-linked immunoassays and electrochemiluminescence immunoassays. Liver metastasis was diagnosed by imaging or pathology of the liver. Logistic regression models were used to analyze associations between Hsp90α, CEA, and CA199, and liver metastasis in CRC. The areas under the curves (AUCs) were used to compare the utility of Hsp90α, CEA, and CA199 in the diagnosis of CRC liver metastasis (CRLM). Additionally, we compared the diagnostic utility of the models, including the Hsp90α plus 1 of the other serum markers, and a combination of the 3 serum makers.

RESULTS

The plasma levels of Hsp90α, CEA, and CA199 were positively associated with a higher risk of CRLM [odds ratios (OR) ranging from 1.36-2.72]. The AUCs of CEA, CA199, and Hsp90α for CRLM were 0.80, 0.69, and 0.55, respectively. The AUCs for the combination of Hsp90α and CEA, combination of Hsp90α and CA199, combinations of Hsp90α, CEA, and CA199 were 0.75, 0.66, 0.76, respectively. The combination of Hsp90α, CEA, and CA199 did not improve the diagnostic utility for liver metastasis in CRC.

CONCLUSIONS

The level of Hsp90α was elevated in CRC and was associated with CRLM. Thus, the Hsp90α is a potential biomarker for CRLM. CEA has the largest diagnostic utility for CRLM. Adding Hsp90α to CEA/CA199 did not improve their diagnostic utility for CRLM.

Temporal development in survival, and gender and regional differences in the Swedish population of patients with synchronous and metachronous metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Survival in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) has markedly improved in patients included in clinical trials. In population-based materials, improvements were seen until about a decade ago, but it is unclear if survival has continued to improve. It is also unclear if regional or gender differences exist.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

All patients with mCRC (N = 19,566) in Sweden between 2007 and 2016 were identified from the national quality register, SCRCR, with almost complete coverage. Overall survival (OS) from diagnosis of metastatic disease was calculated in two calendar periods, 2007-2011 and 2012-2016. Differences between groups were compared using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Median age was 72 years, 55% were males, synchronous presentation was seen in 13,630 patients and metachronous in 5936. In synchronous disease, the primary tumour was removed more often during the first than the second period (51% vs 41%, p < 0.001). Median OS (mOS) was 14.0 months. It was longer in those with metachronous than synchronous disease (17.6 vs 13.1 months, p < 0.001) and in males (15.0 vs 12.8 months, p < 0.001), and markedly influenced by age and primary location. It was longer in patients diagnosed during the second period than during the first (14.9 vs 13.1 months, HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.92), p < 0.001). This difference was seen in all subgroups according to sex, age, presentation, and sidedness. mOS was about one month shorter in 1/6 healthcare regions, most pronounced during the first period. Differences in median of up to 5 months were seen between the region with the shortest and longest mOS.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall survival in Swedish patients with mCRC has improved during the past decade but is still substantially worse than reported from clinical trials/hospital-based series, reflecting the selection of patients to trials. Regional differences were seen, but they decreased with time. Women did not have a poorer prognosis in multivariable analyses.

Incidence of Liver Resection Following the Introduction of Caseload Requirements for Liver Surgery in Switzerland

Background

Centralization of care is an established concept in complex visceral surgery. Switzerland introduced case load requirements (CR) in 2013 in five areas of cancer surgery. The current study investigates the effects of CR on indication and mortality in liver surgery.

Methods

This is a retrospective analysis of a complete national in-hospital data set including all admissions between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2015. Primary outcome variables were the incidence proportion and the 60-day in-hospital mortality of liver resections. Incidence proportion was calculated as the overall yearly number of liver resections performed in relation to the population living in Switzerland before and after the introduction of CR.

Results

Our analysis shows an increase number of liver resections compared to the period before introduction of CR from 2005–2012 (4.67 resections/100,000) to 2013–2015 (5.32 resections/100,000) after CR introduction. Age-adjusted incidence proportion increased by 14% (OR 1.14 95 CI [1.07–1.22]). National in-hospital mortality remained stable before and after CR (4.1 vs 3.7%), but increased in high-volume institutions (3.6 vs 5.6%). The number of hospitals performing liver resections decreased after the introduction of CR from 86 to 43. Half of the resections were performed in institutions reaching the stipulated numbers (53% before vs 49% after introduction of CR). After implementation of CR, patients undergoing liver surgery had more comorbidities (88 vs 92%).

Conclusion

The introduction of CR for liver surgery in Switzerland in 2013 was accompanied by an increase in operative volume with limited effects on centralization of care.

Predicting metachronous liver metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer: development and assessment of a new nomogram

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop and validate a nomogram model, which could predict metachronous liver metastasis in colorectal cancer within two years after diagnosis.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed on colorectal cancer patients who were admitted to Beijing Shijitan Hospital from January 1, 2016 to June 30, 2019. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was used to optimize feature selection for susceptibility to metachronous liver metastasis in colorectal cancer. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to establish a predictive model through incorporating features selected in the LASSO regression model. C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were employed to assess discrimination, distinctiveness, consistency with actual occurrence risk, and clinical utility of candidate predictive model. Internal validation was assessed with bootstrapping method.

RESULTS

Predictors contained in candidate prediction nomogram included age, CEA, vascular invasion, T stage, N stage, family history of cancer, and KRAS mutation. This model displayed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.787 (95% confidence interval: 0.728-0.846) and good calibration, whereas area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.786. Internal validation obtained C-index of 0.786, and AUC of validation cohort is 0.784. Based on DCA, with threshold probability range from 1 to 60%; this predictive model might identify colorectal cancer metachronous liver metastasis to achieve a net clinical benefit.

CONCLUSION

We have developed and validated a prognostic nomogram with good discriminative and high accuracy to predict metachronous liver metastasis in CRC patients.

OUP accepted manuscript

Background

Laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) is a highly demanding procedure with great variability. Previously published randomized trials have proven oncological safety of laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) as compared to open surgery. However, these were started after the learning curve (LC) was established. This leaves the question of whether the LC of LLR in the early laparoscopic era has affected the survival of patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).

Methods

All consecutive LLRs performed by a single surgeon between 2000 and 2019 were retrospectively analysed. A risk-adjusted cumulative sum (RA-CUSUM) chart for conversion rate and the log regression analysis of the blood loss identified two phases in the LC. This was then applied to patients with CRLM, and the two subgroups were compared for recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The analysis was repeated with propensity score-matched (PSM) groups

Results

A total of 286 patients were included in the LC analysis, which identified two distinct phases, the early (EP; 68 patients) and the late (LP; 218 patients) phases. The LC was applied to 192 patients with colorectal liver metastasis (EPc, 45 patients; LPc, 147 patients). For patients with CRLM, R0 resection was achieved in 93 per cent: 100 per cent in the EPc group and 90 per cent in the LPc group (P = 0.026). Median OS and RFS were 60 and 16 months, respectively. The 5-year OS and RFS were 51 per cent and 32.7 per cent, respectively. OS (hazard ratio (h.r.) 0.78, 95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 0.51 to 1.2; P = 0.286) and RFS (h.r. 0.94, 95 per cent c.i. 0.64 to 1.37; P = 0.760) were not compromised by the learning curve. The results were replicated after PSM.

Conclusion

In our experience, the development of a laparoscopic liver resection programme can be achieved without adverse effects on the long-term survival of patients with CRLM.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy followed by resection/ablation in stage IV rectal cancer patients with potentially resectable metastases

Background

The optimal treatment of stage IV rectal cancer remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to assess the treatment outcomes and toxicity of neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy followed by local treatment of all tumor sites and subsequent adjuvant chemotherapy in stage IV rectal cancer patients with potentially resectable metastases.

Methods

Adult patients diagnosed with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma with potentially resectable metastases, who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy from July 2013 and September 2019 at Sun Yat-sen University cancer center, were included. Completion of the whole treatment schedule, pathological response, treatment-related toxicity and survival were evaluated.

Results

A total of 228 patients were analyzed with a median follow-up of 33 (range 3.3 to 93.4) months. Eventually, 112 (49.1%) patients finished the whole treatment schedule, of which complete response of all tumor sites and pathological downstaging of the rectal tumor were observed in three (2.7%) and 90 (80.4%) patients. The three-year overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of all patients were 56.6% (50.2 to 63.9%) and 38.6% (95% CI 32.5 to 45.8%), respectively. For patients who finished the treatment schedule, 3-year OS (74.4% vs 39.2%, P < 0.001) and 3-year PFS (45.5% vs 30.5%, P = 0.004) were significantly improved compared those who did not finish the treatment. Grade 3–4 chem-radiotherapy treatment toxicities were observed in 51 (22.4%) of all patients and surgical complications occurred in 22 (9.6%) of 142 patients who underwent surgery, respectively.

Conclusions

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy followed by resection/ablation and subsequent adjuvant chemotherapy offered chances of long-term survival with tolerable toxicities for selected patients with potentially resectable stage IV rectal cancer, and could be considered as an option in clinical practice.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-09089-5.

Resection of oesophageal and oesophagogastric junction cancer liver metastases - a summary of current evidence

Purpose

Metastatic oesophageal cancer is commonly considered as a palliative situation with a poor prognosis. However, there is increasing evidence that well-selected patients with a limited number of liver metastases (ECLM) may benefit from a multimodal approach including surgery.

Methods

A systematic review of the current literature for randomized trials, retrospective studies, and case series with patients undergoing hepatectomies for oesophageal and oesophagogastric junction cancer liver metastases was conducted up to the 31st of August 2021 using the MEDLINE (PubMed) and Cochrane Library databases.

Results

A total of 661 articles were identified. After removal of duplicates, 483 articles were screened, of which 11 met the inclusion criteria. The available literature suggests that ECLM resection in patients with liver oligometastatic disease may lead to improved survival and even long-term survival in some cases. The response to concomitant chemotherapy and liver resection seems to be of significance. Furthermore, a long disease-free interval in metachronous disease, low number of liver metastases, young age, and good overall performance status have been described as potential predictive markers of outcome for the resection of liver metastases.

Conclusion

Surgery may be offered to carefully selected patients to potentially improve survival rates compared to palliative treatment approaches. Studies with standardized patient selection criteria and treatment protocols are required to further define the role for surgery in ECLM. In this context, particular consideration should be given to neoadjuvant treatment concepts including immunotherapies in stage IVB oesophageal and oesophagogastric junction cancer.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Radiofrequency Ablation Prolongs Survival for Ablatable Colorectal Liver Metastasis: A Propensity Score Matching Comparative Study

Background

Typically, colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is not a candidate for hepatectomy. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) plays a critical role in unresectable CRLM patients. Nevertheless, high local tumor progression (LTP) and distant metastasis limit the development and further adoption and use of RFA. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has been widely used in resectable CRLM and is recommended by the guidelines. There are no studies on whether NAC can improve the prognosis in ablatable CRLM patients. The present study aimed to determine the feasibility and effectiveness of RFA plus NAC.

Methods

This retrospective cohort included CRLM patients from Zhejiang Cancer Hospital records, who received RFA from January 2009 to June 2020 and were divided into two groups according to the presence or absence of NAC. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to evaluate the 3-year local tumor progression-free survival (LTPFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) of the two groups. The propensity score matching was used to reduce bias when assessing survival. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to study the independent factors affecting LTPFS, PFS, and OS.

Results

A total of 149 CRLM patients (88 in the RFA alone group and 61 in the plus NAC group) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Post-RFA complications were 3.4% in the RFA alone group and 16.4% in the plus NAC group. The 3-year LTPFS, PFS, and OS of the RFA only group were 60.9%, 17.7%, and 46.2%, respectively. The 3-year LTPF, PFS, and OS of the plus NAC group were 84.9%, 46.0%, and 73.6%, respectively. In the 29 pairs of propensity score matching cohorts, the 3-year LTPFS, PFS, and OS in the plus NAC group were longer than those in the RFA group (P < 0.05). NAC was an independent protective factor for LTPFS, PFS, and OS (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

For ablatable CRLM patients, RFA plus NAC obtained a better prognosis than RFA alone. Based on the current results, the application of NAC before RFA may become the standard treatment.

De novo transcriptomic subtyping of colorectal cancer liver metastases in the context of tumor heterogeneity

Background

Gene expression-based subtyping has the potential to form a new paradigm for stratified treatment of colorectal cancer. However, current frameworks are based on the transcriptomic profiles of primary tumors, and metastatic heterogeneity is a challenge. Here we aimed to develop a de novo metastasis-oriented framework.

Methods

In total, 829 transcriptomic profiles from patients with colorectal cancer were analyzed, including primary tumors, liver metastases, and non-malignant liver samples. High-resolution microarray gene expression profiling was performed of 283 liver metastases from 171 patients treated by hepatic resection, including multiregional and/or multi-metastatic samples from each of 47 patients. A single randomly selected liver metastasis sample from each patient was used for unsupervised subtype discovery by nonnegative matrix factorization, and a random forest prediction model was trained to classify multi-metastatic samples, as well as liver metastases from two independent series of 308 additional patients.

Results

Initial comparisons with non-malignant liver samples and primary colorectal tumors showed a highly variable degree of influence from the liver microenvironment in metastases, which contributed to inter-metastatic transcriptomic heterogeneity, but did not define subtype distinctions. The de novo liver metastasis subtype (LMS) framework recapitulated the main distinction between epithelial-like and mesenchymal-like tumors, with a strong immune and stromal component only in the latter. We also identified biologically distinct epithelial-like subtypes originating from different progenitor cell types. LMS1 metastases had several transcriptomic features of cancer aggressiveness, including secretory progenitor cell origin, oncogenic addictions, and microsatellite instability in a microsatellite stable background, as well as frequent RAS/TP53 co-mutations. The poor-prognostic association of LMS1 metastases was independent of mutation status, clinicopathological variables, and current subtyping frameworks (consensus molecular subtypes and colorectal cancer intrinsic subtypes). LMS1 was also the least heterogeneous subtype in comparisons of multiple metastases per patient, and tumor heterogeneity did not confound the prognostic value of LMS1.

Conclusions

We report the first large study of multi-metastatic gene expression profiling of colorectal cancer. The new metastasis-oriented subtyping framework showed potential for clinically relevant transcriptomic classification in the context of metastatic heterogeneity, and an LMS1 mini-classifier was constructed to facilitate prognostic stratification and further clinical testing.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13073-021-00956-1.

Conventional transarterial chemoembolization combined with systemic therapy versus systemic therapy alone as second-line treatment for unresectable colorectal liver metastases: randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

The combination of conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE) and systemic therapy has the potential to treat chemotherapy-refractory unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). This study aimed to compare survival after this combined treatment versus systemic chemotherapy alone.

METHODS

This single-centre RCT included patients with unresectable CRLMs that progressed after first-line treatment. Patients were randomized on a 1 : 1 basis to either systemic chemotherapy with or without cTACE, without further stratification. The primary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary outcomes were overall response rate, disease control rate, conversion rate to liver resection, overall survival, and adverse events.

RESULTS

Of 180 patients recruited, 168 were randomized. Eighty-five patients in arm A received systemic chemotherapy plus cTACE and 83 in arm B received systemic chemotherapy alone. Median PFS was longer in arm A than B (6.7 versus 3.8 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.67, 95 per cent c.i. 0.49 to 0.91; P = 0.009), but did not translate into prolonged median overall survival (18.4 versus 14.8 months; HR = 0.92, 0.62 to 1.36; P = 0.669). Overall response rates (20 versus 22 per cent; P = 0.788) and conversion rate to liver resection (18 versus 16 per cent; P = 0.730) were no different between arms A and B. The disease control rate was higher in arm A than arm B (67 versus 51 per cent; P = 0.030). No adverse event higher than grade 3 according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events was observed during treatment.

CONCLUSION

Systemic chemotherapy plus cTACE is a safe option as second-line treatment for unresectable colorectal liver metastases, with a modest effect on PFS. Registration number: NCT03783559 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov).

Systematic Review of Treatments for Colorectal Metastases in Elderly Patients to Guide Surveillance Cessation Following Hepatic Resection for Colorectal Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

Although included in surveillance programmes for colorectal cancer (CRC) metastases, elderly patients are susceptible to declines in health and quality of life that may render them unsuitable for further surveillance. Deciding when to cease surveillance is challenging.

METHODS

There are no publications focused on surveillance of elderly patients for CRC metastases. A systematic review of studies reporting treatment outcomes for CRC metastases in elderly patients was performed to assess the risk-benefit balance of the key objectives of surveillance; detecting and treating CRC metastases.

RESULTS

Sixty-eight eligible studies reported outcomes for surgery and chemotherapy in the elderly. Liver resections and use of chemotherapy, including biologics, are more conservative and have poorer outcomes in the elderly compared with younger patients. Selected studies demonstrated poorer quality-of-life (QoL) following surgery and chemotherapy. Studies of ablation in elderly patients are limited.

DISCUSSION

The survival benefit of treating CRC metastases with surgery or chemotherapy decreases with advancing age and QoL may decline in the elderly. The relatively lower efficacy and detrimental QoL impact of multimodal therapy options for detected CRC metastases in the elderly questions the benefit of surveillance in some elderly patients. Care of elderly patients should thus be customized based on their preference, formal geriatric assessment, natural life-expectancy, and the perceived risk-benefit balance of treating recurrent CRC metastases. Clinicians may consider surveillance cessation in patients aged 75 years and above if geriatric assessment is unsatisfactory, patients decline surveillance, or patient fitness deteriorates catastrophically.

Genomic and prognostic heterogeneity among RAS/BRAFV600E /TP53 co-mutated resectable colorectal liver metastases

Hepatic resection is potentially curative for patients with colorectal liver metastases, but the treatment benefit varies. KRAS/NRAS (RAS)/TP53 co‐mutations are associated with a poor prognosis after resection, but there is large variation in patient outcome within the mutation groups, and genetic testing is currently not used to evaluate benefit from surgery. We have investigated the potential for improved prognostic stratification by combined biomarker analysis with DNA copy number aberrations (CNAs), and taking tumor heterogeneity into account. We determined the mutation status of RAS, BRAF^V600, and TP53 in 441 liver lesions from 171 patients treated by partial hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer. CNAs were profiled in 232 tumors from 67 of the patients. Mutations and high‐level amplifications of cancer‐critical genes, the latter including ERBB2 and EGFR, were predominantly homogeneous within patients. RAS/BRAF^V600E and TP53 co‐mutations were associated with a poor patient outcome (hazard ratio, HR, 3.9, 95% confidence interval, CI, 1.3–11.1, P = 0.012) in multivariable analyses with clinicopathological variables. The genome‐wide CNA burden and intrapatient intermetastatic CNA heterogeneity varied within the mutation groups, and the CNA burden had prognostic associations in univariable analysis. Combined prognostic analyses of RAS/BRAF^V600E/TP53 mutations and CNAs, either as a high CNA burden or high intermetastatic CNA heterogeneity, identified patients with a particularly poor outcome (co‐mutation/high CNA burden: HR 2.7, 95% CI 1.2–5.9, P = 0.013; co‐mutation/high CNA heterogeneity: HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1–5.6, P = 0.022). In conclusion, DNA copy number profiling identified genomic and prognostic heterogeneity among patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases with co‐mutated RAS/BRAF^V600E/TP53.

Impact of patient, primary tumor and metastatic pattern including tumor location on survival in patients undergoing ablation or resection for colorectal liver metastases: A population-based national cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Selecting the optimal treatment strategy for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) aim to improve survival for the total cohort. Following the introduction of laparoscopic resections and ablation, localization may direct choice of method. The aim with this study was to re-evaluate prognostic factors that should be considered at the preoperative multidisciplinary tumor board, based on a national population cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A national cohort with radically operated colorectal cancer in 2009-2013, also treated for CRLM was identified in Swedish national registries. Prognostic factors were identified and evaluated in multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

1200 patients treated with resection and 125 with ablation only were included in the study cohort. Relative five-year survival was 54.7% (50.9%-58.4%) and 32.0% (22.4%-41.9%), respectively). High age, acute surgery and complications at time of primary tumor resection remained important risk factors at liver surgery, as well as the primary tumor characteristics; vascular invasion and high lymph node ratio. As for metastatic pattern; tumor size, location in segment 4, 6, 7 or 8, multiple metastatic sites and progress after preoperative chemotherapy were significant risk factors. In multivariate analyses, ablation therapy doubled the risk of death within 5 years. This strong negative impact was confirmed in a weighted propensity score analysis (HR = 2.1 (95 % CI 1.5 -3.0)).

CONCLUSION

Segmental localization and tumor size were prognostic factors but also patient and primary tumor factors significantly impacted survival after intervention for CRLM. Long-term survival was significantly lower after ablation therapy compared to surgical resection.

Systematic failure to operate on colorectal cancer liver metastases in California

Background

Despite evidence that liver resection improves survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM) and may be potentially curative, there are no population‐level data examining utilization and predictors of liver resection in the United States.

Methods

This is a population‐based cross‐sectional study. We abstracted data on patients with synchronous CRCLM using California Cancer Registry from 2000 to 2012 and linked the records to the Office of Statewide Health Planning Inpatient Database. Quantum Geographic Information System (QGIS) was used to map liver resection rates to California counties. Patient‐ and hospital‐level predictors were determined using mixed‐effects logistic regression.

Results

Of the 24 828 patients diagnosed with stage‐IV colorectal cancer, 16 382 (70%) had synchronous CRCLM. Overall liver resection rate for synchronous CRCLM was 10% (county resection rates ranging from 0% to 33%) with no improvement over time. There was no correlation between county incidence of synchronous CRCLM and rate of resection (R² = .0005). On multivariable analysis, sociodemographic and treatment‐initiating‐facility characteristics were independently associated with receipt of liver resection after controlling for patient disease‐ and comorbidity‐related factors. For instance, odds of liver resection decreased in patients with black race (OR 0.75 vs white) and Medicaid insurance (OR 0.62 vs private/PPO); but increased with initial treatment at NCI hospital (OR 1.69 vs Non‐NCI hospital), or a high volume (10 + cases/year) (OR 1.40 vs low volume) liver surgery hospital.

Conclusion

In this population‐based study, only 10% of patients with liver metastases underwent liver resection. Furthermore, the study identifies wide variations and significant population‐level disparities in the utilization of liver resection for CRCLM in California.

Incidence and management of patients with colorectal cancer and synchronous and metachronous colorectal metastases: a population-based study

Background

This population‐based study aimed to examine the incidence, patterns and results of multimodal management of metastatic colorectal cancer.

Methods

A retrospective population‐based study was conducted on patients with metastatic colorectal cancer in Central Finland in 2000–2015. Clinical and histopathological data were retrieved and descriptive analysis was conducted to determine the pattern of metastatic disease, defined as synchronous, early metachronous (within 12 months of diagnosis of primary disease) and late metachronous (more than 12 months after diagnosis). Subgroups were compared for resection and overall survival (OS) rates.

Results

Of 1671 patients, 296 (17·7 per cent) had synchronous metastases, and 255 (19·6 per cent) of 1302 patients with resected stage I–III tumours developed metachronous metastases (94 early and 161 late metastases). Liver, pulmonary and intraperitoneal metastases were the most common sites. The commonest metastatic patterns were a combination of liver and lung metastases. The overall metastasectomy rate for patients with synchronous metastases was 16·2 per cent; in this subgroup, 3‐ and 5‐year OS rates after any resection were 63 and 44 per cent respectively, compared with 7·1 and 3·3 per cent following no resection (P < 0·001). The resection rate was higher for late than for early metachronous disease (28·0 versus 17 per cent respectively; P = 0·048). Three‐ and 5‐year OS rates after any resection of metachronous metastases were 78 and 62 per cent respectively versus 42·1 and 18·2 per cent with no metastasectomy (P < 0·001). Similarly, 3‐ and 5‐year OS rates after any metastasectomy for early metachronous metastases were 57 and 50 per cent versus 84 and 66 per cent for late metachronous metastases (P = 0·293).

Conclusion

The proportion of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer was consistent with that in earlier population‐based studies, as were resection rates for liver and lung metastases and survival after resection. Differentiation between synchronous, early and late metachronous metastases can improve assessment of resectability and survival.

Population-based study on practice variation regarding preoperative systemic chemotherapy in patients with colorectal liver metastases and impact on short-term outcomes

INTRODUCTION

Definitions regarding resectability and hence indications for preoperative chemotherapy vary. Use of preoperative chemotherapy may influence postoperative outcomes. This study aimed to assess the variation in use of preoperative chemotherapy for CRLM and related postoperative outcomes in the Netherlands.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients who underwent liver resection for CRLM in the Netherlands between 2014 and 2018 were included from a national database. Case-mix factors contributing to the use of preoperative chemotherapy, hospital variation and postoperative outcomes were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. Postoperative outcomes were postoperative complicated course (PCC), 30-day morbidity and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 4469 patients were included of whom 1314 patients received preoperative chemotherapy and 3155 patients did not. Patients receiving chemotherapy were significantly younger (mean age (+SD) 66.3 (10.4) versus 63.2 (10.2) p < 0.001) and had less comorbidity (Charlson scores 2+ (24% versus 29%, p = 0.010). Unadjusted hospital variation concerning administration of preoperative chemotherapy ranged between 2% and 55%. After adjusting for case-mix factors, three hospitals administered significantly more preoperative chemotherapy than expected and six administered significantly less preoperative chemotherapy than expected. PCC was 12.1%, 30-day morbidity was 8.8% and 30-day mortality was 1.5%. No association between preoperative chemotherapy and PCC (OR 1.24, 0.98-1.55, p = 0.065), 30-day morbidity (OR 1.05, 0.81-1.39, p = 0.703) or with 30-day mortality (OR 1.22, 0.75-2.09, p = 0.467) was found.

CONCLUSION

Significant hospital variation in the use of preoperative chemotherapy for CRLM was present in the Netherlands. No association between postoperative outcomes and use of preoperative chemotherapy was found.

Liver Resection Improves Survival in Colorectal Cancer Patients: Causal-effects From Population-level Instrumental Variable Analysis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to estimate population-level causal effects of liver resection on survival of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRC-LM).

BACKGROUND

A randomized trial to prove that liver resection improves survival in patients with CRC-LM is neither feasible nor ethical. Here, we test this assertion using instrumental variable (IV) analysis that allows for causal-inference by controlling for observed and unobserved confounding effects.

METHODS

We abstracted data on patients with synchronous CRC-LM using the California Cancer Registry from 2000 to 2012 and linked the records to the Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development Inpatient Database. We used 2 instruments: resection rates in a patient's neighborhood (within 50-mile radius)-NALR rate; and Medical Service Study Area resection rates-MALR rate. IV analysis was performed using the 2SLS method.

RESULTS

A total of 24,828 patients were diagnosed with stage-IV colorectal cancer of which 16,382 (70%) had synchronous CRC-LM. Liver resection was performed in 1635 (9.8%) patients. NALR rates ranged from 8% (lowest-quintile) to 11% (highest-quintile), whereas MALR rates ranged from 3% (lowest quintile) to 19% (highest quintile). There was a strong association between instruments and probability of liver resection (F-statistic at median cut-off: NALR 24.8; MALR 266.8; P < 0.001). IV analysis using both instruments revealed a 23.6 month gain in survival (robust SE 4.4, P < 0.001) with liver resection for patients whose treatment choices were influenced by the rates of resection in their geographic area (marginal patients), after accounting for measured and unmeasured confounders.

CONCLUSION

Less than 10% of patients with CRC-LM had liver resection. Significant geographic variation in resection rates is attributable to community biases. Liver resection leads to extensive survival benefit, accounting for measured and unmeasured confounders.

Synchronous and metachronous liver metastases in patients with colorectal cancer-towards a clinically relevant definition

Background

Approximately 25% of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) will have liver metastases classified as synchronous or metachronous. There is no consensus on the defining time point for synchronous/metachronous, and the prognostic implications thereof remain unclear. The aim of the study was to assess the prognostic value of differential detection at various defining time points in a population-based patient cohort and conduct a literature review of the topic.

Methods

All patients diagnosed with CRC in the counties of Stockholm and Gotland, Sweden, during 2008 were included in the study and followed for 5 years or until death to identify patients diagnosed with liver metastases. Patients with liver metastases were followed from time of diagnosis of liver metastases for at least 5 years or until death. Different time points defining synchronous/metachronous detection, as reported in the literature and identified in a literature search of databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane library), were applied to the cohort, and overall survival was calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared with log-rank test. The influence of synchronously or metachronously detected liver metastases on disease-free and overall survival as reported in articles forthcoming from the literature search was also assessed.

Results

Liver metastases were diagnosed in 272/1026 patients with CRC (26.5%). No statistically significant difference in overall survival for synchronous vs. metachronous detection at any of the defining time points (CRC diagnosis/surgery and 3, 6 and 12 months post-diagnosis/surgery) was demonstrated for operated or non-operated patients. In the literature search, 41 publications met the inclusion criteria. No clear pattern emerged regarding the prognostic significance of synchronous vs. metachronous detection.

Conclusion

Synchronous vs. metachronous detection of CRC liver metastases lacks prognostic value. Using primary tumour diagnosis/operation as standardized cut-off point to define synchronous/metachronous detection is semantically correct. In synchronous detection, it defines a clinically relevant group of patients where individualized multimodality treatment protocols will apply.

Outcomes of Resectability Assessment of the Dutch Colorectal Cancer Group Liver Metastases Expert Panel

BACKGROUND

Decision making on optimal treatment strategy in patients with initially unresectable colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) remains complex because uniform criteria for (un)resectability are lacking. This study reports on the feasibility and short-term outcomes of The Dutch Colorectal Cancer Group Liver Expert Panel.

STUDY DESIGN

The Expert Panel consists of 13 hepatobiliary surgeons and 4 radiologists. Resectability assessment is performed independently by 3 randomly assigned surgeons, and CRLM are scored as resectable, potentially resectable, or permanently unresectable. In absence of consensus, 2 additional surgeons are invited for a majority consensus. Patients with potentially resectable or unresectable CRLM at baseline are evaluated every 2 months of systemic therapy. Once CRLM are considered resectable, a treatment strategy is proposed.

RESULTS

Overall, 398 panel evaluations in 183 patients were analyzed. The median time to panel conclusion was 7 days (interquartile range [IQR] 5-11 days). Intersurgeon disagreement was observed in 205 (52%) evaluations, with major disagreement (resectable vs permanently unresectable) in 42 (11%) evaluations. After systemic treatment, 106 patients were considered to have resectable CRLM, 84 of whom (79%) underwent a curative procedure. R0 resection (n = 41), R0 resection in combination with ablative treatment (n = 26), or ablative treatment only (n = 4) was achieved in 67 of 84 (80%) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This study analyzed prospective resectability evaluation of patients with CRLM by a panel of radiologists and liver surgeons. The high rate of disagreement among experienced liver surgeons reflects the complexity in defining treatment strategies for CRLM and supports the use of a panel rather than a single-surgeon decision.

Impact of absence of consensual cutoff time distinguishing between synchronous and metachronous metastases: illustration with colorectal cancer

Staging is essential for scientific exchanges on colorectal cancer. Lack of a consensual definition for synchronous and metachronous metastases for colorectal cancer may introduce artifactual differences between epidemiological studies according to stage. We investigated how variations in the cutoff for the definition of synchronous metastases influenced the stage-specific distribution and incidence and the survival of stage IV patients. Between 2007 and 2013, a total of 4636 cases of colorectal adenocarcinoma were registered in the cancer registry of Burgundy. Age-standardized incidence by stage was estimated for each cutoff from 0 to 12 months, differentiating between synchronous and metachronous metastases. Net survival was calculated from the date of the diagnosis of metastasis. The incidence of stage IV colorectal cancer increased from 6.0/100 000 when considering metastases diagnosed within the first month to 7.1/100 000 when including metastases diagnosed until 12 months after the diagnosis of colorectal cancer. When the cutoff increased from 1 to 12 months, the relative variation in the proportion of cancers was +21% for stage IV, -12% for stage III, and -5% for stage II. Similarly, the 1-year net survival for metachronous group was over 10% higher than that for the synchronous group when the cutoff was over 5 months. An objective definition of the relevant cutoff to distinguish between synchronous and metachronous metastases is required for scientific epidemiologic exchanges. Survival in the metachronous group was significantly better than survival in the synchronous group when the cutoff between synchronous and metachronous was over 4 months after the primary diagnosis.

Mortality after liver surgery in Germany

Background

Mortality rates after liver surgery are not well documented in Germany. More than 1000 hospitals offer liver resection, but there is no central regulation of infrastructure requirements or outcome quality.

Methods

Hospital mortality rates after liver resection were analysed using the standardized hospital discharge data (Diagnosis-Related Groups, ICD-10 and German operations and procedure key codes) provided by the Research Data Centre of the Federal Statistical Office and Statistical Offices of the Länder in Wiesbaden, Germany.

Results

A total of 110 332 liver procedures carried out between 2010 and 2015 were identified. The overall hospital mortality rate for all resections was 5·8 per cent. The mortality rate among 17 574 major hepatic procedures was 10·4 per cent. Patients who had surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) had the lowest mortality rate among those with malignancy (5·5 per cent), followed by patients with gallbladder cancer (7·1 per cent), hepatocellular carcinoma (9·3 per cent) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (11·0 per cent). Patients with extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma had the highest mortality rate (14·6 per cent). The mortality rate for extended hepatectomy was 16·2 per cent and the need for a biliodigestive anastomosis increased this to 25·5 per cent. Failure to rescue after complications led to mortality rates of more than 30 per cent in some subgroups. There was a significant volume–outcome relationship for CRLM surgery in very high-volume centres (mean 26–60 major resections for CRLMs per year). The mortality rate was 4·6 per cent in very high-volume centres compared with 7·5 per cent in very low-volume hospitals (odds ratio 0·60, 95 per cent c.i. 0·42 to 0·77; P &lt; 0·001).

Conclusion

This analysis of outcome data after liver resection in Germany suggests that hospital mortality remains high. There should be more focused research to understand, improve or justify factors leading to this result, and consideration of centralization of liver surgery.

The impact of advancing age on incidence of hepatectomy and post-operative outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Clinical outcomes for elderly patients undergoing liver resection for colorectal cancer (CRC) liver metastases are poorly characterised. This study aimed to investigate the impact of advancing age on the incidence of liver resection and post-operative outcomes.

METHODS

Patients in the National Bowel Cancer Audit undergoing major CRC resection from 2010 to 2016 in England were included. Liver resection was identified from linked Hospital Episode Statistics data. A Cox-proportional hazards model was used to compare 3-year mortality.

RESULTS

Of 117,005 patients, 6081 underwent liver resection. For patients <65 years there was 1 liver resection per 12 cases, 65-74, 1 per 17, and ≥75, 1 per 40. 90-day mortality after liver resection increased with advancing age (<65 0.9% (26/2829), 65-74 2.8% (57/2070), ≥75 4.0% (47/1182); P < 0.001). Age was an independent risk factor for 3-year mortality. Patients 65-74 did not have adjusted mortality higher than those <65, yet age ≥75 was associated with increased overall mortality (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.47 (95% CI 1.30-1.68)) and cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.30 (95% CI 1.13-1.49)).

CONCLUSION

Although advancing age was associated with higher rates of 90-day mortality following liver resection, 3-year mortality for patients 65-74 years was comparable to younger patients. These results will aid clinicians and patients in pre-operative decision-making.

The value of KRAS gene status in predicting local tumor progression of colorectal liver metastases following radiofrequency ablation

PURPOSE

We investigated the relationships between KRAS gene status and local tumor progression (LTP) of colorectal liver metastases (CLMs) after treatment with percutaneous ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical and imaging data from 76 patients (154 lesions) with CLM who underwent percutaneous ultrasound-guided RFA and had KRAS gene test results between January 2012 and June 2016 were analyzed. The average lesion size was 2.3 ± 1.0 cm (range 0.9-5.7 cm); 38 cases (82 lesions) had wild-type KRAS, and 38 cases (72 lesions) had KRAS mutations.

RESULTS

The technique effectiveness was 98.1% (151/154), and the LTP rate was 18.2% (28/154) after RFA, which was performed between January 2012 and November 2017. The mean and median follow-up were 32.7 ± 2.5 and 32.0 ± 2.6 months (range 1-70 months), respectively. Cumulative LTP rates at 6 months and 1, 2 and 3 years post-RFA for all patients were 7.4, 14.5, 17.8 and 19.2%, respectively. The LTP rate for patients with mutant KRAS (27.8% [20/72]) was significantly higher than that in patients with wild-type KRAS (9.8% [8/82]; p = .004). The cumulative LTP rates at 6 months and 1, 2 and 3 years post-RFA were 4.0, 11.1, 11.1 and 11.1%, respectively, for patients with wild-type KRAS and 11.2, 18.4, 25.2 and 36.2%, respectively, for patient with mutant KRAS (p = .011). Univariate (p = .011) and multivariate analyses (p = .005) showed that KRAS genotype in liver metastases was predictive of LTP. Multivariate analysis also showed that ablation margin size (p< .001) and modified clinical risk score (CRS; p = .033) were independent prognostic factors for LTP.

CONCLUSIONS

KRAS gene status of liver metastatic lesions was associated with LTP rates after RFA of CLM. Ablation margin size and modified CRS were also independent prognostic factors for LTP.

Progress and future direction in the management of advanced colorectal cancer

Improving advanced colorectal cancer care

Contemporary practice and short-term outcomes after liver resections in a complete national cohort

BACKGROUND

Improved outcome after liver resections have been reported in several series, but outcomes from national cohorts are scarce. Our aim was to evaluate nationwide practice and short-term outcomes after liver surgery in a universal healthcare system.

METHODS

A complete 5-year cohort of all liver resections from the Norwegian Patient Registry (NPR). Short-term outcomes were aggregated length of stay (a-LoS), reoperation and 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

Of 2118 liver resections, 605 (28.6%) were major, median age was 65 years and 1184 (55%) were male. Most common indication was metastatic disease (n = 1554; 73.4%) and primary malignancy (n = 328; 15.3%). Laparoscopy was performed in 513 (33.9%) of minor and 37 (6.1%) of major liver resections and increased over time to 39.1% of minor resections in 2016. Median a-LoS was 12 days for major resections, 8 days for open minor and 3 days for laparoscopic minor resections. Reoperation was reported for 159 (7.4%) and 90-day mortality for 44 (2.1%). Primary malignancy, male gender, elderly patients and major resections were associated with poorer outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

In a national cohort, laparoscopy is used for a substantial proportion of minor resections and was associated with reduced a-LoS. Risk factors for reoperation and mortality were male gender, increased age and major resection for primary malignancy.

Identification of Inequalities in the Selection of Liver Surgery for Colorectal Liver Metastases in Sweden

BACKGROUND:

Liver resection for colorectal liver metastases offers a 5-year survival rate of 25%-58%. This study aimed to analyze whether patients with colorectal liver metastases undergo resection to an equal extent and whether selection factors play a role in the selection process.

MATERIAL AND METHODS:

Data were retrieved from the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry (2007-2011) for colorectal cancer and colorectal liver metastases. The patients identified were linked to the Swedish Registry of Liver and Bile surgery and the National Patient Registry to identify whether liver surgery or ablative treatment was performed. Analyses for age, sex, type of primary tumor and treating hospital (university, county, or district), American Society of Anesthesiologists class, and radiology for detection of metastatic disease were performed.

RESULTS:

Of 28,355 patients with colorectal cancer, 21.6% (6127/28,355) presented with liver metastases. Of the patients with liver metastases, 18.5% (1134/6127) underwent liver resection or ablation. The cumulative proportion of liver resection/ablation was 4% (1134/28,355) of all colorectal cancer. If "not bowel resected" were excluded, the proportion slightly increased to 4.7% (1134/24,262). Around 15% of the patients with metastases were registered as referrals for liver surgery. In a multivariable analysis patients treated at a university hospital for primary tumor were more frequently surgically treated for liver metastases (p < 0.0001). Patients with liver metastases from rectal cancer (p < 0.0001) and men more often underwent liver resection (p = 0.006). A difference was found between health-care regions for the frequency of liver surgery (p < 0.0001). Patients >70 years and those with American Society of Anesthesiologists class >2 underwent liver resection less frequently. Magnetic resonance imaging of the liver was more often used in diagnostic work-up in men.

CONCLUSION:

Patients with colorectal liver metastases are unequally treated in Sweden, as indicated by the low referral rate. The proximity to a hepatobiliary unit seems important to enhance the patient's chances of being offered liver surgery.

Disparities in resection of hepatic metastases in colon cancer

Background

Evidence suggests that resection of synchronous hepatic metastases (SHM) in stage IV colon cancer is safe and can improve survival in select patients. Little is known, however, about the use of hepatic resection in this setting on a population level. The aim of this study was to describe trends in resection rates of SHM in patients with stage IV colon cancer using a large national cohort database.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was performed of stage IV colon cancer patients during 2000-2011 in Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Medicare data who had diagnosis codes confirming SHM. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to identify patient factors related to receipt of hepatic resection.

Results

There were 11,351 patients with colon cancer and SHM. Of these patients, 465 (4.1%) underwent surgical hepatic resection. The proportion increased steadily over time from 2000-2002 (3.5%) to 2009-2011 (5.1%) (P=0.03). Patients who were older with higher comorbidity burden were less likely to undergo hepatic resection. Additionally, the odds of hepatic resection were 30% lower for African-American patients than for white patients (OR 0.70, P=0.05). Odds of hepatic resection were 44% lower for patients from ZIP Codes with >20% poverty than for patients from areas with <5% poverty (OR 0.56, P<0.001). Interestingly, among patients who underwent no surgical treatment at all, only 25% saw a surgeon after diagnosis. This number increased over time from 21.6% in 2000 to 29.1% in 2011 (P<0.001). Similar disparities noted above were seen with surgical evaluation for hepatic resection.

Conclusions

Despite evidence supporting the safety and efficacy of hepatic resection in the setting of SHM, few patients are seen by surgeons and go onto receive hepatic surgery. Additionally, access to hepatic resection is notably lower for African Americans and patients from areas with higher poverty rates.