Factors associated with metachronous metastases and survival in locally advanced and recurrent rectal cancer

Changes in serum uric acid, serum uric acid/serum creatinine ratio, and gamma-glutamyltransferase might predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive value of changes in serum uric acid (SUA), the ratio of serum uric acid to serum creatinine (SUA/SCr), and serum gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) from before to after therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

METHODS

Data from 114 LARC patients from January 2016 to December 2021 were included in this retrospective study. All patients received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and total mesorectal excision (TME). The change in SUA was calculated as a ratio: (SUA level after nCRT-SUA level before nCRT)/SUA level before nCRT. The change ratios of SUA/SCr and GGT were calculated in the same way. The efficacy of nCRT was evaluated by magnetic resonance (MR) and postoperative pathological response. A nonlinear model was used to evaluate whether the change ratios of SUA, SUA/SCr, and GGT were associated with the efficacy of nCRT. The predictive power of the change ratios of SUA, SUA/SCr, and GGT was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to measure the associations between disease-free survival (DFS) and other predictive indicators. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to further compare DFS between groups.

RESULTS

The nonlinear model indicated that the change ratios of SUA, SUA/SCr, and GGT were associated with the efficacy of nCRT. The change ratios of SUA, SUA/SCr, and GGT were used to predict the area under the ROC curve of efficacy for nCRT (0.95, 0.91-0.99), which was better than the prediction by the change ratio of SUA (0.94, 0.89-0.99), SUA/SCr (0.90, 0.84-0.96), or GGT alone (0.86, 0.79-0.93; p < 0.05). The optimal cut-off values of SUA, SUA/SCr, and GGT change were 0.02, 0.01, and 0.04, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier method indicated that patients with SUA, SUA/SCr, or GGT changes greater than the cut-off values had shorter DFS (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Change ratios of SUA, SUA/SCr, or GGT greater than the cut-off values implied a risk of poor pathological response after nCRT and shorter DFS in LARC patients.

Added value of DCER-features to clinicopathologic model for predicting metachronous metastases in rectal cancer patients

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to investigate whether dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI parameters and preoperative radiological features (DCER-Features) add value to the clinicopathologic model for predicting metachronous metastases in rectal cancer patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From January 2014 to December 2020, 859 patients in the PACS system were retrospectively screened. Of the initial 722 patients with surgically confirmed rectal cancer and no synchronous metastases, 579 patients were excluded for various reasons such as lack of clinicopathological or radiological information. 143 patients were finally included in this study. And 73 Patients of them developed metachronous metastasis within five years. After stepwise multiple regression analyses, we constructed three distinct models. Model 1 was developed solely based on clinicopathological factors, and model 2 incorporated clinicopathological characteristics along with DCE-MRI parameters. Finally, model 3 was built on all available factors, including clinicopathological characteristics, DCE-MRI parameters, and radiological features based on rectal magnetic resonance imaging. The radiological features assessed in this study encompass tumor imaging staging, location, and circumferential resection margin (CRM) for primary tumors, as well as the number of visible lymph nodes and suspected metastatic lymph nodes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) were conducted to evaluate whether the diagnostic efficiency was improved.

RESULTS

The performance of model 3 (including clinicopathologic characteristics and DCER-Features) was the best (AUC: 0.856, 95% CI 0.778-0.886), whereas it was 0.796 (95% CI 0.720-0.828) for model 2 and 0.709 (95% CI 0.612-0.778) for model 1 (DeLong test: model 1 vs model 2, p = 0.004; model 2 vs model 3, p = 0.037; model 1 vs model 3, p < 0.001). The decision curves indicated that the net benefit of model 3 was higher than the other two models at each referral threshold. The calibration plot of the three models revealed an excellent predictive accuracy.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that DCER-Features have added value for the clinicopathological model to predict metachronous metastasis in patients with rectal cancers.

Locally recurrent rectal cancer: Oncological outcomes for patients with a pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy

BACKGROUND

For patients with locally recurrent rectal cancer, it is an ongoing pursuit to establish factors predicting or improving oncological outcomes. In locally advanced rectal cancer, a pCR appears to be associated with improved outcomes. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to compare the oncological outcomes of patients with locally recurrent rectal cancer with and without a pCR.

METHODS

Patients who underwent neoadjuvant treatment and surgery for locally recurrent rectal cancer with curative intent between January 2004 and June 2020 at a tertiary referral hospital were analysed. Primary outcomes included overall survival, disease-free survival, metastasis-free survival, and local re-recurrence-free survival, stratified according to whether the patient had a pCR.

RESULTS

Of a total of 345 patients, 51 (14.8 per cent) had a pCR. Median follow-up was 36 (i.q.r. 16-60) months. The 3-year overall survival rate was 77 per cent for patients with a pCR and 51.1 per cent for those without (P < 0.001). The 3-year disease-free survival rate was 56 per cent for patients with a pCR and 26.1 per cent for those without (P < 0.001). The 3-year local re-recurrence-free survival rate was 82 and 44 per cent respectively (P < 0.001). Surgical procedures (for example soft tissue, sacrum, and urogenital organ resections) and postoperative complications were comparable between patients with and without a pCR.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that patients with a pCR have superior oncological outcomes to those without a pCR. It may therefore be safe to consider a watch-and-wait approach in highly selected patients, potentially improving quality of life by omitting extensive surgical procedures without compromising oncological outcomes.

Role of 18F-PET-CT to predict pathological response after neoadjuvant treatment of rectal cancer

OBJECTIVES

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) is universally considered to be a valid treatment to achieve downstaging, to improve local disease control and to obtain better resectability in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The aim of this study is to correlate the change in the tumour 18F-FDG PET-CT standardized uptake value (SUV) before and after nCRT, in order to obtain an early prediction of the pathologic response (pR) achieved in patients with LARC.

DATA DESCRIPTION

We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with LARC diagnosis who underwent curative resection. All patients underwent a baseline 18F-FDG PET-CT scan within the week prior to the initiation of the treatment (PET-CT SUV1) and a second scan (PET-CT SUV2) within 6 weeks of the completion of nCRT. We evaluated the prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET-CT in terms of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with LARC.A total of 133 patients with LARC were included in the study. Patients were divided in two groups according to the TRG (tumour regression grade): 107 (80%) as the responders group (TRG0-TRG1) and 26 (25%) as the no-responders group (TRG2-TRG3). We obtained a significant difference in Δ%SUV between the two different groups; responders versus no-responders (p < 0.012). The results of this analysis show that 18F-FDG PET-CT may be an indicator to evaluate the pR to nCRT in patients with LARC. The decrease in 18F-FDG PET-CT uptake in the primary tumour may offer important information in order for an early identification of those patients more likely to obtain a pCR to nCRT and to predict those who are unlikely to significantly regress.