A 5-gene prognostic nomogram predicting survival probability of glioblastoma patients

Integrated analysis of single-cell RNA-seq dataset and bulk RNA-seq dataset constructs a prognostic model for predicting survival in human glioblastoma

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common primary malignant brain tumor in adults. For patients with GBM, the median overall survival (OS) is 14.6 months and the 5-year survival rate is 7.2%. It is imperative to develop a reliable model to predict the survival probability in new GBM patients. To date, most prognostic models for predicting survival in GBM were constructed based on bulk RNA-seq dataset, which failed to accurately reflect the difference between tumor cores and peripheral regions, and thus show low predictive capability. An effective prognostic model is desperately needed in clinical practice.

METHODS

We studied single-cell RNA-seq dataset and The Cancer Genome Atlas-glioblastoma multiforme (TCGA-GBM) dataset to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) that impact the OS of GBM patients. We then applied the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox penalized regression analysis to determine the optimal genes to be included in our risk score prognostic model. Then, we used another dataset to test the accuracy of our risk score prognostic model.

RESULTS

We identified 2128 DEGs from the single-cell RNA-seq dataset and 6461 DEGs from the bulk RNA-seq dataset. In addition, 896 DEGs associated with the OS of GBM patients were obtained. Five of these genes (LITAF, MTHFD2, NRXN3, OSMR, and RUFY2) were selected to generate a risk score prognostic model. Using training and validation datasets, we found that patients in the low-risk group showed better OS than those in the high-risk group. We validated our risk score model with the training and validating datasets and demonstrated that it can effectively predict the OS of GBM patients.

CONCLUSION

We constructed a novel prognostic model to predict survival in GBM patients by integrating a scRNA-seq dataset and a bulk RNA-seq dataset. Our findings may advance the development of new therapeutic targets and improve clinical outcomes for GBM patients.

A gene-based risk score model for predicting recurrence-free survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains the most frequent liver cancer, accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers worldwide. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) of HCC patients is a critical factor in devising a personal treatment plan. Thus, it is necessary to accurately forecast the prognosis of HCC patients in clinical practice.

METHODS

Using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) dataset, we identified genes associated with RFS. A robust likelihood-based survival modeling approach was used to select the best genes for the prognostic model. Then, the GSE76427 dataset was used to evaluate the prognostic model's effectiveness.

RESULTS

We identified 1331 differentially expressed genes associated with RFS. Seven of these genes were selected to generate the prognostic model. The validation in both the TCGA cohort and GEO cohort demonstrated that the 7-gene prognostic model can predict the RFS of HCC patients. Meanwhile, the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the 7-gene risk score model could function as an independent prognostic factor. In addition, according to the time-dependent ROC curve, the 7-gene risk score model performed better in predicting the RFS of the training set and the external validation dataset than the classical TNM staging and BCLC. Furthermore, these seven genes were found to be related to the occurrence and development of liver cancer by exploring three other databases.

CONCLUSION

Our study identified a seven-gene signature for HCC RFS prediction that can be used as a novel and convenient prognostic tool. These seven genes might be potential target genes for metabolic therapy and the treatment of HCC.

Development of a nomogram for prognostic prediction of lower-grade glioma based on alternative splicing signatures

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of lower-grade glioma (LGG) differs from that of other grades gliomas. Although lots of studies on the prognostic biomarkers of LGG have been reported, few have significant clinical impact. Alternative splicing (AS) events can affect cell function by splicing precursor mRNA. Therefore, a prognostic model for LGG based on AS events are important to establish.

METHODS

RNA sequencing, clinical, and AS event data of 510 LGG patients from the TCGA database were downloaded. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen out prognostic-related AS events and LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression were used to establish prognostic risk scores for patients in the training set (n = 340). After validation, a nomogram model was established based on the AS signature and clinical information, which was able to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates. Finally, considering the regulatory effect of splicing factors (SFs) on AS events, an AS-SF regulatory network was analyzed.

RESULTS

The most common AS event was exon skipping and the least was mutually exclusive exons. All the seven AS events were related to the prognosis of LGG patients, regardless of whether they were separated or considered as a whole event (integrated AS event), and the integrated AS event had the most significant correlation. After further inclusion of clinical indicators, eight factors were screened out: age, new event, KPS, WHO grade, treatment, integrated AS signature, IDH1 and TP53 mutation status, and a nomogram model was established. The study also constructed an AS-SF regulatory network.

CONCLUSION

The AS events and clinical factors that can predict the prognosis of LGG patients were screened, and a prognostic prediction model was established. The results of this study can play an important role in clinical work to better evaluate the prognosis of patients and impact treatment options.

Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) comprises the majority of kidney cancer death worldwide, whose incidence and mortality are not promising. Identifying ideal biomarkers to construct a more accurate prognostic model than conventional clinical parameters is crucial.

METHODS

Raw count of RNA-sequencing data and clinicopathological data were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Tumor samples were divided into two sets. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened in the whole set and prognosis-related genes were identified from the training set. Their common genes were used in LASSO and best subset regression which were performed to identify the best prognostic 5 genes. The gene-based risk score was developed based on the Cox coefficient of the individual gene. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis were used to assess its prognostic power. GSE29609 dataset from GEO (Gene Expression Omnibus) database was used to validate the signature. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were performed to screen independent prognostic parameters to construct a nomogram. The predictive power of the nomogram was revealed by time-dependent ROC curves and the calibration plot and verified in the validation set. Finally, Functional enrichment analysis of DEGs and 5 novel genes were performed to suggest the potential biological pathways.

RESULTS

PADI1, ATP6V0D2, DPP6, C9orf135 and PLG were screened to be significantly related to the prognosis of ccRCC patients. The risk score effectively stratified the patients into high-risk group with poor overall survival (OS) based on survival analysis. AJCC-stage, age, recurrence and risk score were regarded as independent prognostic parameters by Cox regression analysis and were used to construct a nomogram. Time-dependent ROC curves showed the nomogram performed best in 1-, 3- and 5-year survival predictions compared with AJCC-stage and risk score in validation sets. The calibration plot showed good agreement of the nomogram between predicted and observed outcomes. Functional enrichment analysis suggested several enriched biological pathways related to cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

In our study, we constructed a gene-based model integrating clinical prognostic parameters to predict prognosis of ccRCC well, which might provide a reliable prognosis assessment tool for clinician and aid treatment decision-making in the clinic.

A 5-gene prognostic nomogram predicting survival probability of glioblastoma patients

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) remains the most biologically aggressive subtype of gliomas with an average survival of 10 to 12 months. Considering that the overall survival (OS) of each GBM patient is a key factor in the treatment of individuals, it is meaningful to predict the survival probability for GBM patients newly diagnosed in clinical practice.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Using the TCGA dataset and two independent GEO datasets, we identified genes that are associated with the OS and differentially expressed between GBM tissues and the adjacent normal tissues. A robust likelihood-based survival modeling approach was applied to select the best genes for modeling. After the prognostic nomogram was generated, an independent dataset on different platform was used to evaluate its effectiveness.

RESULTS

We identified 168 differentially expressed genes associated with the OS. Five of these genes were selected to generate a gene prognostic nomogram. The external validation demonstrated that 5-gene prognostic nomogram has the capability of predicting the OS of GBM patients.

CONCLUSION

We developed a novel and convenient prognostic tool based on five genes that exhibited clinical value in predicting the survival probability for newly diagnosed GBM patients, and all of these five genes could represent potential target genes for the treatment of GBM. The development of this model will provide a good reference for cancer researchers.