Geographic and intra-racial disparities in early-onset colorectal cancer in the SEER 18 registries of the United States

Modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors of early-onset colorectal cancer: National Health Interview Survey analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosed in individuals younger than 50 years, early-onset CRC (EO-CRC), is rapidly increasing, the risk factors for EO-CRC are still being identified. This study aimed to confirm the modifiable and non-modifiable characteristics identified as risk factors for EO-CRC.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study used 2004-2018 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) data, which provides comprehensive health information gathered from national annual household interview surveys. Demographic, clinical, and behavioral characteristics of EO-CRC patients were compared with those without. In addition, their non-age-related characteristics (gender, race/ethnicity, region, body mass index [BMI], alcohol consumption, and smoking status) were compared with individuals with average-onset CRC (AO-CRC). For both comparisons, multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

We identified 156 patients with EO-CRC, 204,846 with non-CRC, and 1972 with AO-CRC. Comparison between the EO-CRC and the non-CRC groups showed that higher odds of having EO-CRC was associated with older age (Odds Ratio [OR]=1.11, 95 % CI=1.08-1.14, p<0.001), living in the Midwest (vs. South) (OR=1.64, 95 % CI=1.06-2.55, p=0.03), and history of alcohol consumption (vs. lifetime abstainer) (OR=2.09, 95 % CI=1.01-4.36, p=0.049). Lower odds of having EO-CRC were associated with being Hispanic (OR=0.43, 95 % CI=0.22-0.84, p=0.01) or Asian (OR=0.38, 95 % CI=0.16-0.92, p=0.03) (vs. non-Hispanic White) and having moderate or vigorous physical activities (vs. no activity) (OR=0.58, 95 % CI=0.34-0.999, p=0.0496 and OR=0.34; 95 % CI=0.21-0.55, p<0.0001, respectively). Compared with patients with AO-CRC, patients with EO-CRC were more likely to be Hispanic (vs. non-Hispanic White) (OR=2.21, 95 % CI=1.13-4.33, p=0.02).

CONCLUSION

This study verified several modifiable (i.e., alcohol consumption and physical activity) and non-modifiable (i.e., race/ethnicity) risk factors while also discovering a new factor (i.e., geographical region) associated with EO-CRC.

Using a Bayesian analytic approach to identify county-level ecological factors associated with survival among individuals with early-onset colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

In the United States (US), incidence of early age of onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC, diagnosed <50 years of age) has been increasing. Using a Bayesian analytic approach, we evaluated the association between county-level ecological factors and survival among individuals with EOCRC and identified hotspot and coldspot counties with unexplained low and high survival, respectively.

METHODS

Principal component (PC) analysis was used to reduce dimensionality of 36 county-level social, behavioral, and preventive factors from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data. Survival information was derived from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program data from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2019. The association between the identified PCs and survival was evaluated using multivariable spatial generalized linear mixed models. Counties with residual low and high survival (i.e., unexplained by the PCs) were classified as hotspots and coldspots, respectively.

RESULTS

Four PCs were used to explain the spatial variability in 5-year survival among 75,215 individuals with EOCRC: PC1) poverty, chronic disease, health risk behaviors (β = -0.03, 95% credible interval (CrI): -0.04, -0.03); PC2) younger age, chronic disease-free, minority status (β = -0.01, 95% CrI: -0.02, 0.00); PC3) urban environment, preventive services (β = 0.02, 95% CrI: 0.00, 0.03); and PC4) older age (-0.04, 95% CrI: -0.06, -0.02). Among individuals with distant malignancies, the residual spatial variability remained high for two US counties: 1) Salt Lake County, UT residents experiencing 26.5% (95% CrI: 1.5%, 47.8%) lower odds of survival [hotspot], and 2) Riverside County, CA residents experiencing 37% (95% CrI: 7.97%, 78.8%) higher odds survival [coldspot] after adjustment for county-level factors.

CONCLUSIONS

County-level ecological factors are strongly associated with survival among individuals with EOCRC. Yet there is some evidence of survival disparities among individuals with distant malignancies that remain unexplained by the included factors.

Effect of Medicaid Expansion in Reducing Racial Disparities in Early Onset Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The burden of early onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) falls disproportionately on minorities and individuals in specific geographic regions. While these disparities are likely multi-factorial, access to high-quality health care plays a significant role. We sought to determine if Medicaid expansion is associated with reducing racial disparities in EOCRC detection in Hispanics and non-Hispanic Blacks (NHB), compared to non-Hispanic Whites (NHW).

METHODS

Analysis of data from National Cancer Database was undertaken to compare incidence of EOCRC among those aged 40-49 between Medicaid expansion states (ES) and non-expansion states (NES) by racial/ethnic groups. Data was classified by race (NHW, NHB, or Hispanic), state of residence (ES or NES), and time (pre- or post-expansion). The primary outcome was change in incidence rate of EOCRC among racial/ethnic groups, according to whether patients resided in Medicaid expansion or non-expansion states.

RESULTS

Among Hispanics, the ES showed a significant increase in EOCRC incidence post expansion as compared to NES (p = 0.03). The rate of increase in annual incidence of EOCRC among Hispanics was 4.3% per year (pre-expansion) and 9.8% (post-expansion) for ES; and 6.4% (pre-expansion) and 1% (post-expansion) in NES. However, no difference was noted among NHB (p = 0.33) and NHW (p = 0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Medicaid expansion has improved detection rates of EOCRC in ES especially in Hispanic population. This is the first study to demonstrate the effect of Medicaid expansion on the incidence of EOCRC. Based on our study findings we suggest that racial and ethnic disparities should be considered in the earlier CRC screening debates.

Future direction of total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

Despite therapeutic advancements, disease-free survival and overall survival of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer have not improved in most trials as a result of distant metastases. For treatment decision-making, both long-term oncologic outcomes and impact on quality-of-life indices should be considered (for example, bowel function). Total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT), comprised of chemotherapy and radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy, is now a standard treatment approach in patients with features of high-risk disease to prevent local recurrence and distant metastases. In selected patients who have a clinical complete response, subsequent surgery might be avoided through non-operative management, but patients who do not respond to TNT have a poor prognosis. Refined molecular characterization might help to predict which patients would benefit from TNT and non-operative management. Specifically, integrated analysis of spatiotemporal multi-omics using artificial intelligence and machine learning is promising. Three prospective trials of TNT and non-operative management in Japan, the USA and Germany are collaborating to better understand drivers of response to TNT. Here, we address the future direction for TNT.

Geographical Variations in Early Onset Colorectal Cancer in the United States between 2001 and 2020

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer remains the second leading cause of cancer-related death in the US. As early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) becomes more prevalent in the US, research attention has shifted towards identifying at-risk populations. Previous studies have highlighted the rising rate of early-onset adenocarcinoma (ADC) and neuroendocrine tumors (NET) in the US. However, data on geographical variations of EO-CRC are scarce. Hence, our study aims to analyze time trends in EO-CRC incidence rates across various US regions and to assess these trends by sex and histopathological subtypes (ADC and NET).

METHODS

We analyze data spanning from 2001 to 2020 from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database, covering nearly 98% of the US population. Using SEER*Stat software version (8.4.2, NCI), we calculated EO-CRC incidence rates among adults aged 20-54 years, adjusting for the age standard 2000 US population. The rates were categorized by sex and US geographical regions into west, midwest, northeast, and south. Time trends, reported as annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC), were generated via Joinpoint Regression software (v.5.0.2, NCI) utilizing the weighted Bayesian Information Criteria "BIC" method to generate the best-fit trends with a two-sided p-value cutoff at 0.05. The rates were also stratified by histopathology into ADC and NET.

RESULTS

Between 2001 and 2020, a total of 514,875 individuals were diagnosed with early-onset CRC in the US, with 54.78% being men. Incidence rates and trends varied across geographical regions. In the western region (comprising 106,685 patients, 54.85% men), incidence rates significantly increased in both women (AAPC = 1.37, p < 0.001) and men (AAPC = 1.34, p < 0.001). Similarly, in the midwestern region (with 110,380 patients, 55.46% men), there were significant increases in incidence rates among women (AAPC = 1.06, p < 0.001) and men (AAPC = 1.35, p < 0.001). The northeastern region (with 94,758 patients, 54.53% men) also witnessed significant increases in incidence rates for both women (AAPC = 0.71, p < 0.001) and men (AAPC = 0.84, p < 0.001). In contrast, the southern region (with 203,052 patients, 54.48% men) experienced slower increases in incidence rates among both women and men (AAPC = 0.25, p < 0.05 in women; AAPC = 0.66, p < 0.05 in men). When stratified by histopathology, incidence rates for adenocarcinomas (ADC) increased in all regions, most notably in the west (AAPC = 1.45, p < 0.05), and least in the south (AAPC = 0.46, p < 0.05). Conversely, for neuroendocrine tumors (NET), while incidence rates increased similarly across all regions, the pace was notably faster compared to ADC, particularly in the west (AAPC = 3.26, p < 0.05) and slower in the south (AAPC = 2.24, p < 0.05) Discussion: Our analysis of nationwide US data spanning two decades and encompassing over half a million early-onset CRC patients, representing nearly 98% of the US population, highlights significant temporal variation in incidence rates across various geographical regions. The most substantial increases in incidence rates were observed in the west, while the least pronounced changes were noted in the south, affecting both men and women. These trends persisted across the main CRC histopathological subtypes, with NET exhibiting a notably swifter pace of increase compared with ADC. These findings hold important implications for public health strategies and underscore the need for targeted interventions to address the rising burden of early-onset CRC across different regions in the US.

Machine Learning as a Tool for Early Detection: A Focus on Late-Stage Colorectal Cancer across Socioeconomic Spectrums

PURPOSE

To assess the efficacy of various machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting late-stage colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnoses against the backdrop of socio-economic and regional healthcare disparities.

METHODS

An innovative theoretical framework was developed to integrate individual- and census tract-level social determinants of health (SDOH) with sociodemographic factors. A comparative analysis of the ML models was conducted using key performance metrics such as AUC-ROC to evaluate their predictive accuracy. Spatio-temporal analysis was used to identify disparities in late-stage CRC diagnosis probabilities.

RESULTS

Gradient boosting emerged as the superior model, with the top predictors for late-stage CRC diagnosis being anatomic site, year of diagnosis, age, proximity to superfund sites, and primary payer. Spatio-temporal clusters highlighted geographic areas with a statistically significant high probability of late-stage diagnoses, emphasizing the need for targeted healthcare interventions.

CONCLUSIONS

This research underlines the potential of ML in enhancing the prognostic predictions in oncology, particularly in CRC. The gradient boosting model, with its robust performance, holds promise for deployment in healthcare systems to aid early detection and formulate localized cancer prevention strategies. The study's methodology demonstrates a significant step toward utilizing AI in public health to mitigate disparities and improve cancer care outcomes.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Cancer Occurrence and Outcomes in Rural United States: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Cancer is the second-leading cause of death in the United States. Most studies have reported rural versus urban and Black versus White cancer disparities. However, few studies have investigated racial disparities in rural areas.

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a literature review to explore the current state of knowledge on racial and ethnic disparities in cancer attitudes, knowledge, occurrence, and outcomes in rural United States.

METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed and Embase was performed. Peer-reviewed articles published in English from 2004-2023 were included. Three authors independently reviewed the articles and reached a consensus.

RESULTS

After reviewing 993 articles, a total of 30 articles met the inclusion criteria and were included in the present review. Studies revealed that underrepresented racial and ethnic groups in rural areas were more likely to have low cancer-related knowledge, low screening, high incidence, less access to treatment, and high mortality compared to their White counterparts.

CONCLUSION

Underrepresented racial and ethnic groups in rural areas experienced a high burden of cancer. Improving social determinants of health may help reduce cancer disparities and promote health.

Early Onset Colorectal Cancer in Arabs, Are We Dealing with a Distinct Disease?

Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) incidence is increasing worldwide. Efforts are directed to understand the biological and clinical signatures of EOCRC compared to late-onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC). EOCRC is thought to present differently across different ethnic groups and geographical regions. This study was an attempt to contribute with data from the Arab world toward the understanding of the clinicopathological parameters of EOCRC compared to LOCRC. Data from 254 CRC patients diagnosed at Sultan Qaboos University Hospital from the period 2015-2020 were studied. About 32.6% of all diagnosed CRC patients are below 50 years old, with no differences in gender distribution between EOCRC and LOCRC (p-value 0.417). Rectal involvement and tumor laterality were comparable among the two groups. Adenocarcinoma accounts for 83.3% and 94.2% of EOCRC and LOCRC, respectively. More mucinous and signet ring adenocarcinoma (8.3% each) were reported in EOCRC than LOCRC (2.9% and 2.2%, respectively). MLH1 and PMS2 loss are more common among LOCRC, but MSH6 loss is more frequent in EOCRC. The overall survival of EOCRC and LOCRC was comparable (median survival 64.88 and 67.24 months, respectively). This study showed comparable clinicopathological parameters between EOCRC and LOCRC from Arabs, which adds to the bigger picture of understand the disease.

Colorectal Cancer Screening Disparities Among Race: A Zip Code Level Analysis

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening can prevent disease by early identification. Existing disparities in CRC screening have been associated with factors including race, socioeconomic status, insurance, and even geography. Our study takes a deeper look into how social determinants related to zip code tabulation areas affect CRC screenings.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study of CRC screenings by race at a zip code level, evaluating for impactful social determinant factors such as the social deprivation index (SDI). We used publicly available data from CDC 500 Cities Project (2016-2019), PLACES Project (2020), and the American Community Survey (2019). We conducted multivariate and confirmatory factor analyses among race, income, health insurance, check-up visits, and SDI.

RESULTS

Increasing the tertile of SDI was associated with a higher likelihood of being Black or Hispanic, as well as decreased median household income (P < .01). Lower rates of regular checkup visits were found in the third tertile of SDI (P < .01). The multivariate analysis showed that being Black, Hispanic, lower income, being uninsured, lack of regular check-ups, and increased SDI were related to decreased CRC screening. In the confirmatory factor analysis, we found that SDI and access to insurance were the variables most related to decreased CRC screening.

CONCLUSION

Our results reveal the top 2 factors that impact a locality's CRC screening rates are the social deprivation index and access to health care. This data may help implement interventions targeting social barriers to further promote CRC screenings within disadvantaged communities and decrease overall mortality via early screening.

Trends in Early-onset vs Late-onset Colorectal Cancer Incidence by Race/Ethnicity in the United States Cancer Statistics Database

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence has decreased overall in the last several decades, but it has increased among younger adults. Prior studies have characterized this phenomenon in the United States (U.S.) using only a small subset of cases. We describe CRC incidence trends using high-quality data from 92% of the U.S. population, with an emphasis on those younger than 50 years.

METHODS

We obtained 2001 to 2016 data from the U.S. Cancer Statistics database and analyzed CRC incidence for all age groups, with a focus on individuals diagnosed at ages 20 to 49 years (early-onset CRC). We compared incidence trends stratified by age, as well as by race/ethnicity, sex, region, anatomic site, and stage at diagnosis.

RESULTS

We observed 191,659 cases of early-onset and 1,097,765 cases of late-onset CRC during the study period. Overall, CRC incidence increased in every age group from 20 to 54 years. Whites were the only racial group with a consistent increase in incidence across all younger ages, with the steepest rise seen after 2012. Hispanics also experienced smaller increases in incidence in most of the younger age groups. Asians/Pacific Islanders and blacks saw no increase in incidence in any age group in 2016, but blacks continued to have the highest incidence of CRC for every age group. Greater increase in early-onset CRC incidence was observed for males, left-sided tumors, and regional and distant disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Early-onset CRC incidence increased overall from 2001 to 2016, but the trends were markedly different for whites, blacks, Asians/Pacific Islanders, and Hispanics. These results may inform future research on the risk factors underlying early-onset CRC.

Distant metastasis and prognostic factors in patients with invasive ductal carcinoma of the breast

OBJECTIVE

To explore the risk factors and prognostic factors of invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) and to predict the survival of IDC patients with metastasis.

METHOD

We used multivariate logistic regression to identify independent risk factors affecting metastasis in IDC patients and used Cox regression to identify independent prognostic factors affecting the overall survival of patients with metastasis. Nomogram was used to predict survival, while C-index and calibration curves were used to measure the performance of nomogram. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the survival curves of patients with different independent prognostics factors and different metastatic sites, and the differences were compared by log-rank test. The data of our study were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results cancer registry.

RESULT

Our study included 226,094 patients with IDC. In multivariate analysis, independent risk factors of metastasis included age, race, marital status, income, geographic region, grade, T stage, N stage, subtype, surgery and radiotherapy. Independent prognostic factors included age, race, marital status, income, geographic region, grade, T stage, N stage, subtype, surgery and chemotherapy. We established a nomogram, of which the C-index was 0.701 (0.693, 0.709), with the calibration curves showing that the disease-specific survival between actual observation and prediction had a good consistency. The survival curves of different metastatic patterns were significantly different (log-rank test: χ²  = 18784, p < 0.001; χ²  = 47.1, p < 0.001; χ²  = 20, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram we established may provide risk assessment and survival prediction for IDC patients with metastasis, which can be used for clinical decision-making and reference.

Geographic determinants of colorectal cancer in Louisiana

Purpose

Currently, rural residents in the United States (US) experience a greater cancer burden for tobacco-related cancers and cancers that can be prevented by screening. We aim to characterize geographic determinants of colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence in Louisiana due to rural residence and other known geographic risk factors, area socioeconomic status (SES), and cultural region (Acadian or French-speaking).

Methods

Primary colorectal cancer diagnosed among adults 30 years and older in 2008–2017 were obtained from the Louisiana Tumor Registry. Population and social and economic data were obtained from US Census American Community Survey. Rural areas were defined using US Department of Agriculture 2010 rural–urban commuting area codes. Estimates of relative risk (RR) were obtained from multilevel binomial regression models of incidence.

Results

The study population was 16.1% rural, 18.4% low SES, and 17.9% Acadian. Risk of CRC was greater among rural white residents (RR Women: 1.09(1.02–1.16), RR Men: 1.11(1.04–1.18)). Low SES was associated with increased CRC for all demographic groups, with excess risk ranging from 8% in Black men (RR: 1.08(1.01–1.16)) to 16% in white men (RR: 1.16(1.08–1.24)). Increased risk in the Acadian region was greatest for Black men (RR: 1.21(1.10–1.33)) and women (RR: 1.21(1.09–1.33)). Rural–urban disparities in CRC were no longer significant after controlling for SES and Acadian region.

Conclusion

SES remains a significant determinant of CRC disparities in Louisiana and may contribute to observed rural–urban disparities in the state. While the intersectionality of CRC risk factors is complex, we have confirmed a robust regional disparity for the Acadian region of Louisiana.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10552-021-01546-7.

Updates on Age to Start and Stop Colorectal Cancer Screening: Recommendations From the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force on Colorectal Cancer

This document is a focused update to the 2017 colorectal cancer (CRC) screening recommendations from the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force on Colorectal Cancer, which represents the American College of Gastroenterology, the American Gastroenterological Association, and the American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy. This update is restricted to addressing the age to start and stop CRC screening in average-risk individuals and the recommended screening modalities. Although there is no literature demonstrating that CRC screening in individuals under age 50 improves health outcomes such as CRC incidence or CRC-related mortality, sufficient data support the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force to suggest average-risk CRC screening begin at age 45. This recommendation is based on the increasing disease burden among individuals under age 50, emerging data that the prevalence of advanced colorectal neoplasia in individuals ages 45 to 49 approaches rates in individuals 50 to 59, and modeling studies that demonstrate the benefits of screening outweigh the potential harms and costs. For individuals ages 76 to 85, the decision to start or continue screening should be individualized and based on prior screening history, life expectancy, CRC risk, and personal preference. Screening is not recommended after age 85.

Updates on Age to Start and Stop Colorectal Cancer Screening: Recommendations From the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force on Colorectal Cancer

This document is a focused update to the 2017 colorectal cancer (CRC) screening recommendations from the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force on Colorectal Cancer, which represents the American College of Gastroenterology, the American Gastroenterological Association, and the American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy. This update is restricted to addressing the age to start and stop CRC screening in average-risk individuals and the recommended screening modalities. Although there is no literature demonstrating that CRC screening in individuals under age 50 improves health outcomes such as CRC incidence or CRC-related mortality, sufficient data support the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force to suggest average-risk CRC screening begin at age 45. This recommendation is based on the increasing disease burden among individuals under age 50, emerging data that the prevalence of advanced colorectal neoplasia in individuals ages 45 to 49 approaches rates in individuals 50 to 59, and modeling studies that demonstrate the benefits of screening outweigh the potential harms and costs. For individuals ages 76 to 85, the decision to start or continue screening should be individualized and based on prior screening history, life expectancy, CRC risk, and personal preference. Screening is not recommended after age 85.

Early age onset colorectal cancer

The incidence and mortality associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosed in patients under the age of 50 have been steadily increasing. The exact etiology of these epidemiologic trends is unclear. This chapter will provide a comprehensive review on the topic of early age onset colorectal cancer (EAO-CRC), defined as colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosed in patients under the age of 50. Topics reviewed will include the epidemiology of EAO-CRC around the world, clinical and pathological features of EAO-CRC in contrast to later age onset CRC (CRC diagnosed on those over the age of 50) and the observed molecular and somatic characteristics. This chapter will review the etiologies to EAO-CRC and the established, as well as proposed risk factors for disease. Evidence-based approaches to prevention, early detection, treatment and survivorship will be presented.

An Update on the Epidemiology, Molecular Characterization, Diagnosis, and Screening Strategies for Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer

Rising trends in the incidence and mortality of early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC) in those who are younger than 50 years have been well established. These trends have spurred intense investigation focused on elucidating the epidemiology and characteristics of early-onset CRC, as well as on identifying strategies for early detection and prevention. In this review, we provide a contemporary update on early-onset CRC with a particular focus on epidemiology, molecular characterization, red flag signs and symptoms, and screening for early-onset CRC.