Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic indicator for overall and cancer-specific survival in squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck

Development of a nomogram for predicting pharyngocutaneous fistula based on skeletal muscle mass and systemic inflammation indices

BACKGROUND

Laryngeal and hypopharyngeal cancers often require surgical treatment, which can lead to the development of pharyngocutaneous fistula (PCF). Our research aimed to assess the predictive value of skeletal muscle mass (SMM) and systemic inflammation indices for PCF and construct a clinically effective nomogram.

METHODS

A nested case-control study of 244 patients matched from 1171 patients with laryngeal or hypopharyngeal cancer was conducted. SMM was measured at the third cervical level based on CT scans. A PCF nomogram was developed based on the univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Glucose, white blood cell count, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and skeletal muscle index were independent risk factors for PCF. The area under the curve for the PCF nomogram was 0.841 (95% CI 0.786-0.897). The calibration and decision curves indicated that the nomogram was well-calibrated with good clinical utility.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram we constructed may help clinicians predict PCF risk early in the postoperative period, pending external validation.

Prognostic nutritional score based on pretreatment lymphocyte, platelet, and prealbumin predicts prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Pretreatment immunological indicators and nutritional factors are associated with survival of many malignancies. This study aims to develop a prognostic nutritional score based on a combination of pretreatment lymphocyte, platelet, and prealbumin (Co-LPPa) in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) and to investigate the prognostic significance of this score.

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreatectomy with a curative intent for PC were retrospectively enrolled. A pretreatment prognostic score was established by immunological indicators and nutritional factors that were independently associated with survival.

RESULTS

Pretreatment lymphocyte (<1.6 × 109 /L), platelet (<160 × 109 /L) and prealbumin (<0.23 g/L) were independently associated with poorer overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), and were used to create the Co-LPPa score. The Co-LPPa scores were inversely related to OS and RFS, and were able to stratify survival into four groups. The survival differences among the four groups were all significant. Besides, the Co-LPPa scores could stratify survival independently of pathological prognostic factors. The Co-LPPa score was superior to prognostic nutritional index and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in predicting OS and RFS.

CONCLUSION

The Co-LPPa score could accurately predict the prognosis of PC patients who underwent curative resection. The score may be helpful for preoperative therapeutic strategies.

Prognostic values of systemic inflammation and nutrition-based prognostic indices in oropharyngeal carcinoma

Objective

Pretreatment systemic inflammation and nutrition-based prognostic indices (SINBPI) have demonstrated significance. This study investigated the prognostic value of pretreatment SINBPI for patients with oropharyngeal cancer and identified unfavorable prognostic markers.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the data of 124 patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) who received definitive treatment between January 2010 and December 2018. The prognostic utility of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutritional index, and high-sensitivity modified Glasgow prognostic score (HS-mGPS) was assessed for disease-free survival (DFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and overall survival (OS) using univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Multivariate analyses revealed that human papillomavirus (HPV) status and HS-mGPS were significantly associated with DFS, DSS, and OS. Patients with a HS-mGPS of 2 had a significantly higher rate of treatment-related deaths than those with a HS-mGPS of 0 or 1. The combination of the HS-mGPS and PLR had more accurate predictive ability in DFS and OS compared with the HS-mGPS alone, and the combination of the HS-mGPS and LMR had more accurate predictive ability in DSS and OS.

Conclusion

Our results indicated that the HS-mGPS was a useful prognostic marker for patients with OPSCC, and combined markers consisting of the HS-mGPS and PLR or LMR may provide more accurate prognostic predictions.Level of Evidence: 3.

Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio in Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been associated with survival in various cancers, including head and neck cancer. However, there is limited information on its role in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCC) according to HPV status. This prompted the present meta-analysis. Studies were selected when the prognostic value of NLR prior to treatment was evaluated in OPSCC patients, the cutoff value of NLR was available, and the prognostic value of NLR was evaluated by time-to-event survival analysis. A total of 14 out of 492 articles, including 7647 patients, were analyzed. The results showed a worse prognosis for the patients with a high NLR: The combined hazard ratios (HR) for overall survival (OS) in patients with an elevated NLR was 1.56 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-2.02; p = 0.0006), for disease-free survival was 1.52 (95% CI 1.34-1.73; p < 0.00001), and for recurrence-free survival was 1.86 (95% CI 1.50-2.30; p < 0.00001). This worse prognosis of high NLR was exclusive of HPV-positive patients: HR for OS in the HPV-positive subgroup was 4.05 (95% CI 1.90-8.62 (p = 0.0003), and in the HPV-negative subgroup 0.92 (95% CI 0.47-1.80; p = 0.82). The prognosis of NLR was not influenced by treatment: The HR for OS for patients treated with radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy (RT/CRT) was 1.48 (95% CI 1.09-2.01; p = 0.01), and for patients treated with surgery (±RT/CRT) was 1.72 (95% CI 1.08-2.72; p = 0.02). In conclusion, an elevated NLR relates to worse outcomes in patients with HPV-positive OPSCC.

Pretreatment Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Marker for the Outcome of HPV-Positive and HPV-Negative Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

The incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) has increased in the past decades due to carcinogenic HPV infection. As this patient group suffers from considerable mortality and treatment morbidity it is important to improve prognostic strategies in OPSCC. Inflammation plays a key role in cancer and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in blood has been suggested as a prognostic factor for OPSCC. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of NLR on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in a retrospective cohort of 1370 patients. Included patients had pretreatment neutrophil and lymphocyte counts available, as well as a known HPV status. Patients were treated with curative intent according to Danish national guidelines. We stratified patients in groups by NLR < 2, NLR 2−4, or NLR > 4 and analyzed the influence of the NLR tertile on OS and RFS. Kaplan−Meier curves illustrated survival probability in OS and RFS in the general cohort and were stratified by HPV status. We found that an increasing NLR was associated with inferior OS (HR = 1.5 for NLR > 4) and RFS (HR = 1.6 for NLR 2−4; HR = 1.8 for NLR > 4) in multivariable analysis. The Kaplan−Meier curves displayed inferior OS and RFS with an increasing NLR for both HPV+ and HPV− patients. In conclusion, we showed that an increasing NLR is prognostic for a worse outcome of OPSCC independently of HPV status. There are possible uses of NLR in prognostication and treatment de-escalation although further studies are warranted to determine the clinical utility.

A Study of Peripheral Blood Parameters to Predict Response to Induction Chemotherapy and Overall Survival in Advanced Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Purpose: the purpose of this study was to screen peripheral blood parameters and construct models predicting the prognosis and induction chemotherapy (IC) response in locally advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) patients. Methods: A total of 128 stage III/IVa LSCC patients (who required a total laryngectomy) were enrolled in a retrospective study from January 2013 to September 2020 at Beijing Tongren Hospital of Capital Medical University. Among them, 62 patients received IC (IC group), and 66 patients immediately underwent a total laryngectomy (TL) after diagnosis (surgery group). Demographic information and peripheral blood parameters were collected for further analysis. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and disease-specific survival (DSS) were compared between the two groups. The prognosis and survival were also compared between patients with laryngeal function preservation (LFP) and those with TL. Results: The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve for IC response in the IC group showed that the AUC of the blood model based on the four peripheral blood parameters of fibrinogen (FIB), platelet (PLT), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL), and albumin (ALB) was significantly higher than the TNM stage model’s AUC (0.7932 vs. 0.6568). We constructed a nomogram blood model to predict IC response (C-Index = 0.793). Regarding the OS of all patients, an ROC analysis for overall survival, the Kaplan–Meier (K-M) method with a log-rank test, and multivariate analysis indicated age, clinical stage, FIB, and hemoglobin (HGB) were independent prognostic factors for the OS of LSCC patients. The blood–clinical logistic model (AUC = 0.7979) was constructed based on the four prognosis factors, which were superior to the blood (AUC = 0.6867) or clinical models (AUC = 0.7145) alone to predict OS. We constructed a nomogram model based on age, clinical stage, FIB, and HGB to predict OS for LSCC patients (C-Index = 0.792). Besides this, there were no significant differences in OS, PFS, and DSS between IC and surgery groups or LFP and TL groups. Conclusion: Peripheral blood parameters help predict IC response and overall survival. Furthermore, induction chemotherapy significantly improves laryngeal function preservation without lowering the survival prognosis.

Different inflammatory blood markers correlate with specific outcomes in incident HPV-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Inflammatory blood markers have been associated with oncological outcomes in several cancers, but evidence for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is scanty. Therefore, this study aims at investigating the association between five different inflammatory blood markers and several oncological outcomes.

Methods

This multi-centre retrospective analysis included 925 consecutive patients with primary HPV-negative HNSCC (median age: 68 years) diagnosed between April 2004 and June 2018, whose pre-treatment blood parameters were available. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic inflammatory marker (SIM), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) were calculated; their associations with local, regional, and distant failure, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) was calculated.

Results

The median follow-up was 53 months. All five indexes were significantly associated with OS; the highest accuracy in predicting patients’ survival was found for SIM (10-year OS = 53.2% for SIM < 1.40 and 40.9% for SIM ≥ 2.46; c-index = 0.569) and LMR (10-year OS = 60.4% for LMR ≥ 3.76 and 40.5% for LMR < 2.92; c-index = 0.568). While LMR showed the strongest association with local failure (HR = 2.16; 95% CI:1.22–3.84), PLR showed the strongest association with regional (HR = 1.98; 95% CI:1.24–3.15) and distant failure (HR = 1.67; 95% CI:1.08–2.58).

Conclusion

Different inflammatory blood markers may be useful to identify patients at risk of local, regional, or distant recurrences who may benefit from treatment intensification or intensive surveillance programs.

The Potential Prognostic Value of a Novel Hematologic Marker Fibrinogen-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Head and Neck Adenoid-Cystic Carcinoma

Many patients with adenoid-cystic carcinoma (ACC) experience an indolent course of disease over many years but face late recurrence, and long-term survivors are rare. Due to its infrequent occurrence, it is hard to predict outcome in these patients. The fibrinogen-to-lymphocyte ratio (FLR) was recently proposed as an outcome prognosticator in different cancer entities. We aimed to investigate its prognostic relevance in patients with head and neck ACC. This retrospective analysis was performed including all patients treated for ACC between 1998 and 2020. The FLR ratio was calculated based on pretreatment values (0-7 days). The study cohort was dichotomized based on optimized threshold value and compared for differences in outcome (overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS)). In the cohort of 39 included patients, the OS was significantly longer in the low (n = 28) compared to the high pretreatment FLR group (n = 11) (median OS 150.5 months, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 85.3-215.7 months vs. 29.4 months, 95% CI not reached; p = 0.0093). Similarly, the DFS was significantly longer in the low FLR group (median DFS 74.5 months, 95% CI 30.6-118.4 months vs. 11.0 months, 95% CI 5.1-16.9 months; p = 0.019). The FLR is an easily obtainable and simple marker and may be a valuable outcome prognosticator in patients with ACC. Further studies are needed for validation of our results.

Tumor microenvironment and immune evasion in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), an aggressive malignancy, is characterized by high morbidity and low survival rates with limited therapeutic options outside of regional surgery, conventional cytotoxic chemotherapy, and irradiation. Increasing studies have supported the synergistic role of the tumor microenvironment (TME) in cancer advancement. The immune system, in particular, plays a key role in surveillance against the initiation, development, and progression of HNSCC. The understanding of how neoplastic cells evolve and evade the immune system whether through self-immunogenicity manipulation, or expression of immunosuppressive mediators, provides the foundation for the development of advanced therapies. Furthermore, the crosstalk between cancer cells and the host immune system have a detrimental effect on the TME promoting angiogenesis, proliferation, and metastasis. This review provides a recent insight into the role of the key inflammatory cells infiltrating the TME, with a focus on reviewing immunological principles related to HNSCC, as cancer immunosurveillance and immune escape, including a brief overview of current immunotherapeutic strategies and ongoing clinical trials.

A novel procalcitonin-based score for detecting sepsis among critically ill patients

Background

Procalcitonin (PCT) has been widely investigated as an infection biomarker. The study aimed to prove that serum PCT, combining with other relevant variables, has an even better sepsis-detecting ability in critically ill patients.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in a regional teaching hospital enrolling eligible patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) between July 1, 2016, and December 31, 2016, and followed them until March 31, 2017. The primary outcome measurement was the occurrence of sepsis. We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine the independent factors for sepsis and constructed a novel PCT-based score containing these factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was applied to evaluate sepsis-detecting abilities. Finally, we validated the score using a validation cohort.

Results

A total of 258 critically ill patients (70.9±16.3 years; 55.4% man) were enrolled in the derivation cohort and further subgrouped into the sepsis group (n = 115) and the non-sepsis group (n = 143). By using the multivariate logistic regression analysis, we disclosed five independent factors for detecting sepsis, namely, “serum PCT level,” “albumin level” and “neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio” at ICU admission, along with “diabetes mellitus,” and “with vasopressor.” We subsequently constructed a PCT-based score containing the five weighted factors. The PCT-based score performed well in detecting sepsis with the cut-points of 8 points (AUROC 0.80; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.74–0.85; sensitivity 0.70; specificity 0.76), which was better than PCT alone, C-reactive protein and infection probability score. The findings were confirmed using an independent validation cohort (n = 72, 69.2±16.7 years, 62.5% men) (cut-point: 8 points; AUROC, 0.79; 95% CI 0.69–0.90; sensitivity 0.64; specificity 0.87).

Conclusions

We proposed a novel PCT-based score that performs better in detecting sepsis than serum PCT levels alone, C-reactive protein, and infection probability score.

A novel prognostic score based on systemic inflammatory biomarkers for patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To explore the prognostic value of systemic inflammatory biomarkers (albumin/globulin ratio [AGR], neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio [NLR], and platelet/lymphocyte ratio [PLR]) in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), and further develop a novel prognostic score (AGR-NLR).

METHODS

A large-scale prospective study enrolling 792 eligible patients from December 2002 to June 2018 was carried out at the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University. Three multivariate Cox regression models were performed to assess the association of overall survival (OS) with systemic inflammatory biomarkers, quantified by Akaike information criterion (AIC). Then, a novel AGR-NLR score was established and incorporated into a prognostic nomogram.

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, the increased AGR was associated with a reduced risk of death. Conversely, the higher NLR and PLR, the worse the OS. In the multivariate Cox regression models, AGR and NLR were stably independent prognostic indicators in all models, with Model 2 showing a lowest AIC (AGR: HR = 0.56, 95%CI: 0.41-0.78; NLR: HR = 1.80, 95%CI: 1.07-3.04). Then, a novel AGR-NLR score was established, which showed a more excellent performance than either AGR or NLR alone (area under curve [AUC]: 0.589, 0.559, and 0.556, respectively). The C-index of the nomogram based on AGR-NLR was superior to that of traditional TNM staging system (C-index: 0.658 versus. 0.596, p < .001). Similar results were also showed by decision curve analysis, indicating the nomogram had more positive net benefit compared to TNM staging system.

CONCLUSION

The novel AGR-NLR score is strongly associated with outcome in patients with OSCC and could be serve as a useful tool to accurately predict the OS of OSCC patients.