Developing and validating the Caesarean risk assessment nomogram and comparing the effect of cervical ripening balloon, evening primrose oil and misoprostol on childbirth outcomes in term pregnancies: A study protocol

Oenothera biennis improves pregnancy outcomes by suppressing inflammation and fibrosis in an intra-uterine adhesion rat model

Intrauterine adhesion (IUA), also referred to as Asherman's syndrome, is characterized by fibrosis, inflammation, and can cause amenorrhea and infertility due to abnormal endometrial healing. Histological and Molecular methods were used to evaluate the efficacy of EPO, which is traditionally known for its anti-inflammatory and fibrinolytic properties, in preventing the formation of IUA. Oral administration of EPO reduced the formation of adhesion bands and promoted endometrial regeneration. EPO administration decreased extracellular matrix accumulation, evidenced by the down-regulation of tissue COL1A1 and COL3A1 expression. The anti-inflammatory effect of EPO was confirmed by a reduction in oxidants and down-regulation of pro-inflammatory cytokines including TNF-α, IL-6, IFN-γ, and IL-1β. Furthermore, EPO improved embryonic development parameters, including size and weight of embryo, as well as increased embryo count and live embryo percentage in the rat IUA model. EPO also positively enhanced implantation markers, particularly enlargement and mass gain in the placenta of the treated group, consequently improving pregnancy outcomes such as the number of babies, percent of live babies, baby weight and gestation time. Histopathological investigation provides evidence that oral administration of EPO showed no toxicity on the main three organs including liver, kidney and heart. These results showed that EPO can be considered as a safe and natural product with potent anti-inflammatory and fibrinolytic properties without any observed side effects for the treatment of IUA.

Developing a nomogram for estimating the risk of needing to perform a caesarean section after induction of labour in pregnancies using a COOK® Cervical Ripening Balloon

BACKGROUND

Using a COOK® Cervical Ripening Balloon (CCRB) for cervical maturity has become a common clinical practice for the induction of labour (IOL).

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a predictive instrument that could estimate the risk of a caesarean after IOL in term pregnancies with CCRB treatment.

METHODS

The medical records of 415 pregnant women requiring IOL from January 2018 to October 2022 were retrospectively reviewed and randomly selected for training (290) and validation (125) sets in a 7:3 ratio. A model for predicting the risk of a caesarean was virtualised by a nomogram using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

After completing the multivariate analysis, parity (odds ratio [OR] = 0.226; p= 0.017), modified Bishop score at induction (OR =0.688; p= 0.005) and the artificial rupture of membranes (OR = 0.436; p= 0.010) were identified as the predictors for implementing a caesarean delivery after IOL. The decision curve analysis showed that the model achieved a net benefit across all threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSION

We successfully constructed a nomogram for caesarean delivery after IOL in pregnancies with CCRB treatment using factors including parity, modified Bishop score at induction and the artificial rupture of membrane.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Estimate Risk of Cesarean After Induction of Labor in Term Pregnancies with an Unfavorable Cervix in Iran

This study aimed to develop and validate a labor induction nomogram for nulliparous and multiparous women who were 38 weeks pregnant or more and had their labor induced by an unfavorable cervix. This prospective study was conducted on 300 individuals (200 for nomogram development and 100 for nomogram validation). Height, body mass index at delivery, parity, gestational age, adjusted bishop score, and cesarean section risk assessment were all recorded on a checklist. Participants were followed until they gave birth, and the type of delivery was noted in the checklist. Out of 300 labor inductions, 80 (26.7%) underwent a cesarean section. Cesarean risk estimation was the only predictor of delivery type based on multivariate logistic regression. The AUC (Area Under the Curve) in development group was 0.68 and in validation group was 0.71. The developed nomogram for predicting of cesarean section risk following labor induction has a relatively good predictive value among women.

Developing and validating the Caesarean risk assessment nomogram and comparing the effect of cervical ripening balloon, evening primrose oil and misoprostol on childbirth outcomes in term pregnancies: A study protocol

AIM

To develop and validate the nomogram for risk estimation of Caesarean delivery and to compare the effect of cervical ripening balloon, evening primrose oil (EPO) and misoprostol on Bishop Score and duration of the first stage of labour.

DESIGN

The first phase is a prospective study, and the second phase is a randomized controlled trial.

METHODS

In the first phase, the nomogram will be developed and validated over 300 participants, and in the second phase, the 90 participants will be allocated to three groups: vaginal 25mcg misoprostol, vaginal 4000mg EPO and double-balloon catheter, through block randomization method. The Bishop score will be evaluated every 4 hr, and if required the same dose will be repeated. Maximum waiting time for balloon is 12 hr if not effective, the catheter will be removed, and other interventions will be done according to guidelines.

DISCUSSION

The nomogram will help informed decision-making for women undergoing an induction with an unfavourable cervix and introducing effective low-complication methods of labour induction can improve the pregnancy outcomes.