Studying the relationship between change and initial value in longitudinal studies

RESPONDER CELL FREQUENCY ESTIMATION AND BINOMIAL THREE-LEVEL NONLINEAR MIXED EFFECTS MODEL IN LIMITING DILUTION ASSAYS

Responder cell frequencies (RCF), which describe vaccine-boosted immune responses in herpes zoster (HZ) prevention studies, have been estimated by using limiting dilution assays (LDA). The theoretical linearity assumption between the logarithm of the proportion of nonresponding wells (s) and the cell concentration (N) (or dilution level) in LDA, based on the single-hit Poisson model, is often violated with observed data resulting in biased estimates of RCF. In this article, the Poisson assumption is modified by applying a mixture of Poisson and gamma distributions, resulting in a negative binomial assumption, which presents a better fit between s and N. In LDA for HZ prevention studies, binary responses (responder or non-responder wells) are measured repeatedly at different cell concentrations and over time. To account for the correlation between responses to varying dilution levels from individuals, and the correlation between repeated assays of individuals over time simultaneously, a binomial three-level nonlinear mixed-effects model is proposed. For parameter estimation, a maximum likelihood method is applied via adaptive Gaussian quadrature. There is a lack of non-Gaussian multilevel nonlinear mixed-effects software, which can execute such a complicated fit. In this article, an algorithm for the three-level nonlinear mixed-effects model, which can be inserted into the code in the SAS procedure NLMIXED, is suggested.

Evaluation of the results of a randomized controlled trial: how to define changes between baseline and follow-up

OBJECTIVE

The most common way to evaluate the effect of an intervention is to compare the intervention and nonintervention groups regarding the change in the outcome variable between baseline and follow-up; however, there are many different ways to define "changes." The purpose of this article is to demonstrate how different definitions of "change" used in the analysis can influence the results of a study.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

Two different randomized controlled trials were used as examples.

RESULTS

The results of the analyses showed that for continuous outcome variables, analysis of covariance seems to be the most appropriate because it corrects for the phenomenon of regression to the mean. For dichotomous outcome variables, multinomial logistic regression analysis with all possible changes over time as outcome seems to be the most appropriate, especially because of its straightforward interpretation.

CONCLUSION

A different definition of "change" can lead to different results in the evaluation of the effect of an intervention.

Developmental aspects of pediatric fMRI: considerations for image acquisition, analysis, and interpretation

Functional MRI provides a powerful means to identify and trace the evolution, development, and consolidation of cognitive neural networks through normal childhood. Neural network perturbations due to disease and other adverse factors during development can also be explored. Studies performed to date suggest that normal children older than 5 years show activation maps comparable to adults for similar cognitive paradigms. Minor differences in adult and pediatric activation maps may reflect age dependent strategies or maturation of cognitive networks. However, there are important physiologic and anatomic differences in children, varying with age, that may affect the acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of pediatric fMRI data. Differences between children and adult fMRI comparison studies may reflect technical aspects of data acquisition as much as developmental and brain maturation factors.

Relationship of fetal alanine uptake and placental alanine metabolism to maternal plasma alanine concentration

Uterine and umbilical uptakes of alanine (Ala) were measured in 10 ewes before (control) and during intravenous infusion of Ala, which increased maternal arterial Ala concentration from 115 +/- 14 to 629 +/- 78 microM (P < 0.001). In 8 of these ewes, placental Ala fluxes were traced by constant intravenous infusion of L-[3,3,3-2H3]Ala in the mother and L-[1-13C]Ala in the fetus. Rates are reported as micromoles per minute per kilogram fetus. Ala infusion increased uterine uptake (2.5 +/- 0.6 to 15.6 +/- 3.1, P < 0.001), umbilical uptake (3.1 +/- 0.5 to 6.9 +/- 0.8, P < 0.001), and net uteroplacental utilization (-0.7 +/- 0.8 to 8.6 +/- 2.7, P < 0.01) of Ala. Control Ala flux to fetus from mother (Rf,m) was much less than the Ala flux to fetus from placenta (Rf,p) (0.17 +/- 0.04 vs. 5. 0 +/- 0.6). Two additional studies utilizing L-[U-13C]Ala as the maternal tracer confirmed the small relative contribution of Rf,m to Rf,p. During maternal Ala infusion, Rf,m increased significantly (P < 0.02) but remained a small fraction of Rf,p (0.71 +/- 0.2 vs. 7.3 +/- 1.3). We conclude that maternal Ala entering the placenta is metabolized and exchanged for placental Ala, so that most of the Ala delivered to the fetus is produced within the placenta. An increase in maternal Ala concentration increases placental Ala utilization and the fetal uptake of both maternal and placental Ala.