Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by uterine artery Doppler and mean arterial pressure at 19-24 weeks

A Hybrid Model for Fetal Growth Restriction Assessment by Automatic Placental Radiomics on T2-Weighted MRI and Multifeature Fusion

BACKGROUND

MRI-based placental analyses have been used to improve fetal growth restriction (FGR) assessment by complementing ultrasound-based measurements. However, these are still limited by time-consuming manual annotation in MRI data and the lack of mother-based information.

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a hybrid model for accurate FGR assessment by automatic placental radiomics on T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) and multifeature fusion.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

274 pregnant women (29.5  ±  4.0 years) from two centers were included and randomly divided into training (N = 119), internal test (N = 40), time-independent validation (N = 43), and external validation (N = 72) sets.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

1.5-T, T2WI half-Fourier acquisition single-shot turbo spin-echo pulse sequence.

ASSESSMENT

First, the placentas on T2WI were manually annotated, and a deep learning model was developed to automatically segment the placentas. Then, the radiomic features were extracted from the placentas and selected by three-step feature selection. In addition, fetus-based measurement features and mother-based clinical features were obtained from ultrasound examinations and medical records, respectively. Finally, a hybrid model based on random forest was constructed by fusing these features, and further compared with models based on other machine learning methods and different feature combinations.

STATISTICAL TESTS

The performances of placenta segmentation and FGR assessment were evaluated by Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), respectively. A P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The placentas were automatically segmented with an average DSC of 90.0%. The hybrid model achieved an AUROC of 0.923, 0.931, and 0.880 on the internal test, time-independent validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The mother-based clinical features resulted in significant performance improvements for FGR assessment.

DATA CONCLUSION

The proposed hybrid model may be able to assess FGR with high accuracy. Furthermore, information complementation based on placental, fetal, and maternal features could also lead to better FGR assessment performance.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

Stage 2.

Umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunt and intrauterine growth restriction: an inquiry from a prospective study

BACKGROUND

The investigation of the fetal umbilical-portal venous system is based on the premise that congenital anomalies of this system may be related to adverse perinatal outcomes. Several small retrospective studies have reported an association between umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts and intrauterine growth restriction. However, the prevalence of portosystemic shunts in the fetal growth restricted population is yet to be determined.

OBJECTIVE

The aims of this study were (1) to determine the prevalence of fetal umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts in pregnancies complicated by intrauterine growth restriction and (2) to compare the perinatal and neonatal outcomes of pregnancies with intrauterine growth restriction with and without umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective, cross-sectional study of pregnancies diagnosed with intrauterine growth restriction, as defined by the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine intrauterine growth restriction guidelines. All participants underwent a detailed anomaly scan, supplemented with a targeted scan of the fetal portal system. Venous shunts were diagnosed using color Doppler mode. The perinatal outcomes of pregnancies with intrauterine growth restriction with and without umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 150 cases with intrauterine growth restriction were recruited. The prevalence of umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts in our cohort was 9.3% (n=14). When compared with the control group (intrauterine growth restriction without umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts, n=136), the study group had a significantly lower mean gestational age at the time of intrauterine growth restriction diagnosis (29.7±5.6 vs 32.47±4.6 weeks of gestation; P=.036) and an earlier gestational age at delivery (33.50±6.0 vs 36.13±2.8; P=.005). The study group had a higher rate of fetal death (21.4% vs 0.7%; P<.001) and, accordingly, a lower rate of live births (71.4% vs 95.6%; P=.001). Additional associated fetal vascular anomalies were significantly more prevalent in the study group than in the control group (35.7% vs 4.4%; P≤.001). The rate of other associated anomalies was similar. The study group had a significantly lower rate of abnormal uterine artery Doppler indices (0% vs 40.4%; P=.011) and a higher rate of abnormal ductus venosus Doppler indices (64.3% vs 23%; P=.001). There were no cases of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in the study group, whereas the control group had an incidence of 12.5% (P=.16). Other perinatal and neonatal outcomes were comparable.

CONCLUSION

Umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunt is a relatively common finding among fetuses with growth restriction. When compared with pregnancies with intrauterine growth restriction with a normal portal system, these pregnancies complicated by intrauterine growth restriction and an umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunt are associated with a different Doppler flow pattern, an increased risk for fetal death, earlier presentation of intrauterine growth restriction, a lower gestational age at delivery, additional congenital vascular anomalies, and a lower rate of pregnancy-induced hypertensive disorders. Meticulous sonographic evaluation of the portal system should be considered in the prenatal workup of intrauterine growth restriction, as umbilical-portal-systemic venous shunts may affect perinatal outcomes.

Fetal Growth Restriction Is Associated with Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein A and Uterine Artery Doppler in First Trimester

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major cause of stillbirth and poor neurodevelopmental outcomes. The early prediction may be important to establish treatment options and improve neonatal outcomes. The aim of this study was to assess the association of parameters used in first-trimester screening, uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index and the development of FGR. In this retrospective cohort study, 1930 singleton pregnancies prenatally diagnosed with an estimated fetal weight under the third percentile were included. All women underwent first-trimester screening assessing maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), free beta-human chorionic gonadotrophin levels, fetal nuchal translucency and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index (PI). We constructed a Receiver Operating Characteristics curve to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of early diagnosis of FGR. In pregnancies with FGR, PAPP-A was significantly lower, and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index was significantly higher compared with the normal birth weight group (0.79 ± 0.38 vs. 1.15 ± 0.59, p < 0.001 and 1.82 ± 0.7 vs. 1.55 ± 0.47, p = 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analyses demonstrated that PAPP-A levels and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index were significantly associated with FGR (p = 0.009 and p = 0.01, respectively). To conclude, these two parameters can predict FGR < 3rd percentile.

Predicting the risk of fetal growth restriction by radiomics analysis of the placenta on T2WI: A retrospective case-control study

INTRODUCTION

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is associated with placental abnormalities, and its precise diagnosis is challenging. This study aimed to explore the role of radiomics based on placental MRI in predicting FGR.

METHODS

A retrospective study using T2-weighted placental MRI data were conducted. A total of 960 radiomic features were automatically extracted. Features were selected using three-step machine learning methods. A combined model was constructed by combining MRI-based radiomic features and ultrasound-based fetal measurements. The receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were conducted to assess model performance. Additionally, decision curves and calibration curves were performed to evaluate prediction consistency of different models.

RESULTS

Among the study participants, pregnant women who delivered from January 2015 to June 2021 were randomly divided into training (n = 119) and test (n = 40) sets. Forty-three other pregnant women who delivered from July 2021 to December 2021 were used as the time-independent validation set. After training and testing, three radiomic features that were strongly correlated with FGR were selected. The area under the ROC curves (AUCs) of the MRI-based radiomics model reached 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.74-0.96) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.76-0.97) in the test and validation sets, respectively. Moreover, the AUCs for the model comprising MRI-based radiomic features and ultrasound-based measurements were 0.91 (95% CI: 0.83-0.97) and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.86-0.99) in the test and validation sets, respectively.

DISCUSSION

MRI-based placental radiomics could accurately predict FGR. Moreover, combining placental MRI-based radiomic features with ultrasound indicators of the fetus could improve the diagnostic accuracy of FGR.

Interpreting the role of nuchal fold for fetal growth restriction prediction using machine learning

The objective of the study is to investigate the effect of Nuchal Fold (NF) in predicting Fetal Growth Restriction (FGR) using machine learning (ML), to explain the model's results using model-agnostic interpretable techniques, and to compare the results with clinical guidelines. This study used second-trimester ultrasound biometry and Doppler velocimetry were used to construct six FGR (birthweight < 3rd centile) ML models. Interpretability analysis was conducted using Accumulated Local Effects (ALE) and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). The results were compared with clinical guidelines based on the most optimal model. Support Vector Machine (SVM) exhibited the most consistent performance in FGR prediction. SHAP showed that the top contributors to identify FGR were Abdominal Circumference (AC), NF, Uterine RI (Ut RI), and Uterine PI (Ut PI). ALE showed that the cutoff values of Ut RI, Ut PI, and AC in differentiating FGR from normal were comparable with clinical guidelines (Errors between model and clinical; Ut RI: 15%, Ut PI: 8%, and AC: 11%). The cutoff value for NF to differentiate between healthy and FGR is 5.4 mm, where low NF may indicate FGR. The SVM model is the most stable in FGR prediction. ALE can be a potential tool to identify a cutoff value for novel parameters to differentiate between healthy and FGR.

Competing risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates from biophysical markers at 19 to 24 weeks' gestation

BACKGROUND

Antenatal identification of women at high risk to deliver small-for-gestational-age neonates may improve the management of the condition. The traditional but ineffective methods for small-for-gestational-age screening are the use of risk scoring systems based on maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and the measurement of the symphysial-fundal height. Another approach is to use logistic regression models that have higher performance and provide patient-specific risks for different prespecified cutoffs of birthweight percentile and gestational age at delivery. However, such models have led to an arbitrary dichotomization of the condition; different models for different small-for-gestational-age definitions are required and adding new biomarkers or examining other cutoffs requires refitting of the whole model. An alternative approach for the prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates is to consider small for gestational age as a spectrum disorder whose severity is continuously reflected in both the gestational age at delivery and z score in birthweight for gestational age.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop a new competing risks model for the prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates based on a combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history with sonographic estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure at 19 to 24 weeks' gestation.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective observational study of 96,678 women with singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 to 24 weeks' gestation, which included recording of estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure. The competing risks model for small for gestational age is based on a previous joint distribution of gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score, according to maternal demographic characteristics and medical history. The likelihoods of the estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure were fitted conditionally to both gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score and modified the previous distribution, according to the Bayes theorem, to obtain an individualized posterior distribution for gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score and therefore patient-specific risks for any desired cutoffs for birthweight z score and gestational age at delivery. The model was internally validated by randomly dividing the data into a training data set, to obtain the parameters of the model, and a test data set, to evaluate the model. The discrimination and calibration of the model were also examined.

RESULTS

The estimated fetal weight was described using a regression model with an interaction term between gestational age at delivery and birthweight z score. Folded plane regression models were fitted for uterine artery pulsatility index and mean arterial pressure. The prediction of small for gestational age by maternal factors was improved by adding biomarkers for increasing degree of prematurity, higher severity of smallness, and coexistence of preeclampsia. Screening by maternal factors with estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure, predicted 41%, 56%, and 70% of small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of <10th percentile delivered at ≥37, <37, and <32 weeks' gestation, at a 10% false-positive rate. The respective rates for a birthweight of <3rd percentile were 47%, 65%, and 77%. The rates in the presence of preeclampsia were 41%, 72%, and 91% for small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of <10th percentile and 50%, 75%, and 92% for small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of <3rd percentile. Overall, the model was well calibrated. The detection rates and calibration indices were similar in the training and test data sets, demonstrating the internal validity of the model.

CONCLUSION

The performance of screening for small-for-gestational-age neonates by a competing risks model that combines maternal factors with estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index, and mean arterial pressure was superior to that of screening by maternal characteristics and medical history alone.

Doppler Uterine Artery Ultrasound in the Second Trimester of Pregnancy to Predict Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes

Purpose. To determine in uterine artery (UtA) the mean pulsatility index (PI), systolic/diastolic (S/D) ratio and the presence/absence of notch in the second trimester of pregnancy, with normal or abnormal pregnancy outcome. Material and Methods. We performed an analysis of 135 cases with high risk pregnancy in Obstetrics and Gynecology Department of The Municipal Hospital Filantropia, Craiova, between October 2016 and May 2020. The ultrasound evaluation in the second trimester was performed during the second trimester morphology scan, or after this, but up to 24 weeks of pregnancy. Results. The study showed only in the case of early preeclampsia (PE) a statistical significance for mean PI-UtA percentiles in the second trimester. In the other studied categories of pregnancy outcome, even we did not have a statistical significance, we found a specificity of 75% and positive predictive value of 88.89% in late PE. The presence of notch in the second trimester was statistically significant (p value <0.05) in the case of premature birth (PB) and early PE. A positive predictive value of 77.50% we found only in case of late PE. Conclusions. Our results show that routine Doppler screening of the uterine arteries during the second trimester did not make an accurate prediction of fetal growth restriction, preeclampsia or preterm birth. However, we believe that the present study results prove that this screening may select a population with increased risk of adverse outcome, which would give them the opportunity to benefit from an early intervention.

FIGO (international Federation of Gynecology and obstetrics) initiative on fetal growth: best practice advice for screening, diagnosis, and management of fetal growth restriction

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is defined as the failure of the fetus to meet its growth potential due to a pathological factor, most commonly placental dysfunction. Worldwide, FGR is a leading cause of stillbirth, neonatal mortality, and short- and long-term morbidity. Ongoing advances in clinical care, especially in definitions, diagnosis, and management of FGR, require efforts to effectively translate these changes to the wide range of obstetric care providers. This article highlights agreements based on current research in the diagnosis and management of FGR, and the areas that need more research to provide further clarification of recommendations. The purpose of this article is to provide a comprehensive summary of available evidence along with practical recommendations concerning the care of pregnancies at risk of or complicated by FGR, with the overall goal to decrease the risk of stillbirth and neonatal mortality and morbidity associated with this condition. To achieve these goals, FIGO (the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics) brought together international experts to review and summarize current knowledge of FGR. This summary is directed at multiple stakeholders, including healthcare providers, healthcare delivery organizations and providers, FIGO member societies, and professional organizations. Recognizing the variation in the resources and expertise available for the management of FGR in different countries or regions, this article attempts to take into consideration the unique aspects of antenatal care in low-resource settings (labelled “LRS” in the recommendations). This was achieved by collaboration with authors and FIGO member societies from low-resource settings such as India, Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America.

ACR Appropriateness Criteria® Growth Disturbances-Risk of Fetal Growth Restriction

Fetal growth restriction, or an estimated fetal weight of less than the 10th percentile, is associated with adverse perinatal outcome. Optimizing management for obtaining the most favorable outcome for mother and fetus is largely based on detailed ultrasound findings. Identifying and performing those ultrasound procedures that are most associated with adverse outcome is necessary for proper patient management. Transabdominal ultrasound is the mainstay of initial management and assessment of fetal growth. For those fetuses that are identified as small for gestational age, assessment of fetal well-being with biophysical profile and Doppler velocimetry provide vital information for differentiating those fetuses that may be compromised and may require delivery and those that are well compensated. Delivery of the pregnancy is primarily based upon the gestational age of the pregnancy and the ultrasound findings. The American College of Radiology Appropriateness Criteria are evidence-based guidelines for specific clinical conditions that are reviewed annually by a multidisciplinary expert panel. The guideline development and revision include an extensive analysis of current medical literature from peer reviewed journals and the application of well-established methodologies (RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation or GRADE) to rate the appropriateness of imaging and treatment procedures for specific clinical scenarios. In those instances where evidence is lacking or equivocal, expert opinion may supplement the available evidence to recommend imaging or treatment.

Doppler Indices and Notching Assessment of Uterine Artery Between the 19th and 22nd Week of Pregnancy in the Prediction of Pregnancy Outcome

BACKGROUND/AIM

The aim of this study was to determine the value of Doppler indices and notching assessment of uterine artery between the 19th and 22nd week of gestation in the prediction of pregnancy outcome such as delivery mode, birth weight, Apgar score, afterbirth pH, fetal presentation, preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction in singleton pregnancy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of Doppler ultrasound of the uterine arteries at 19-22 week of gestation in 1,472 women with singleton pregnancies.

RESULTS

Patients with bilateral high resistance-index (RI) and pulsatility-index (RI) or with the presence of a notch showed a significantly higher prevalence of small for gestational age (SGA) fetuses and intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), low Apgar Scores at the 1st and the 5th min, high c-section rate, preterm birth, breech birth, placental insufficiency and placental abruption. The presence of a notch significantly increased the prevalence of severe preeclampsia, HELLP-syndrome and oligohydramnios. Also, patients with a bilateral uterine notching had a higher c-section rate along with higher prevalence of SGA and IUGR at screening time.

CONCLUSION

Uterine artery Doppler waveform analysis as well as the assessment of the presence of a notch in the second trimester can be used as a screening method to identify women who will thereafter develop a severe adverse outcome.

Fetal Growth Restriction Prediction: How to Move beyond

The actual burden and future burden of the small-for-gestational-age (SGA) babies turn their screening in pregnancy a question of major concern for clinicians and policymakers. Half of stillbirths are due to growth restriction in utero, and possibly, a quarter of livebirths of low- and middle-income countries are SGA. Growing body of evidence shows their higher risk of adverse outcomes at any period of life, including increased rates of neurologic delay, noncommunicable chronic diseases (central obesity and metabolic syndrome), and mortality. Although there is no consensus regarding its definition, birthweight centile threshold, or follow-up, we believe birthweight <10th centile is the most suitable cutoff for clinical and epidemiological purposes. Maternal clinical factors have modest predictive accuracy; being born SGA appears to be of transgenerational heredity. Addition of ultrasound parameters improves prediction models, especially using estimated fetal weight and abdominal circumference in the 3rd trimester of pregnancy. Placental growth factor levels are decreased in SGA pregnancies, and it is the most promising biomarker in differentiating angiogenesis-related SGA from other causes. Unfortunately, however, only few societies recommend universal screening. SGA evaluation is the first step of a multidimensional approach, which includes adequate management and long-term follow-up of these newborns. Apart from only meliorating perinatal outcomes, we hypothesize SGA screening is a key for socioeconomic progress.

Reduced fetal growth velocities and the association with neonatal outcomes in appropriate-for-gestational-age neonates: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Fetal growth restriction is, despite advances in neonatal care and uptake of antenatal ultrasound scanning, still a major cause of perinatal morbidity. Neonates with birth weight > 10th percentile are assumed to be appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA), although many are at increased risk of perinatal morbidity, because of undetected mild restriction of growth potential. We hypothesized that within AGA neonates, reduced fetal growth velocities are associated with adverse neonatal outcome.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of singleton pregnancies, in the Maastricht University Medical Centre (MUMC) between 2010 and 2016. Women had two fetal biometry scans (18–22 weeks and 30–34 weeks of gestational age) and delivered a newborn with a birth weight between the 10th–80th percentile.

Differences in growth velocities of the abdominal circumference (AC), biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC) and femur length (FL) were compared between the suboptimal AGA (sAGA) (birth weight centiles 10–50) and optimal AGA (oAGA) (birth weight centiles 50–80) group. We assessed the association between velocities and neonatal outcomes.

Results

We included 934 singleton pregnancies. In the suboptimal AGA group, fetal growth velocities were lower (in mm/week): AC 10.72 ± 1.00 vs 11.23 ± 1.00 (p < .001), HC 10.50 ± 0.80 vs 10.68 ± 0.77 (p = 0.001), BPD 3.01 ± 0.28 vs 3.08 ± 0.27 (p < .0001) and FL 2.47 ± 0.21 vs 2.50 ± 0.22 (p = 0.014), compared to the optimal AGA group. Neonates with an adverse neonatal outcome had significantly lower growth velocities (in mm/week) of: AC 10.57 vs 10.94 (p = 0.034), HC 10.28 vs 10.59 (p = 0.003) and BPD 2.97 vs 3.04 (p = 0.043) compared to those with normal outcome. An inverse association was observed between the AC velocity and a composite adverse neonatal outcome (OR) = 0.667 (95%CI 0.507–0.879, p = 0.004), and between the AC velocity and neonates with NICU stay (OR) = 0.733 (95%CI 0.570–0.942, p = 0.015). Neonates with a birthweight lower than expected (based on the abdominal circumference at 20 weeks) had significantly more composite adverse neonatal outcomes 8.5% vs 5.0% (p = 0.047), NICU stays 9.6% vs 3.8% (p < .0001) and hospital stays 44.4% vs 35.6% (p = 0.006).

Conclusions

Appropriate-for-gestational-age neonates are a heterogeneous group with some showing suboptimal fetal growth. Abnormal fetal growth velocities, especially abdominal circumference velocity, are associated with adverse neonatal outcome and can potentially improve the detection of mild growth restriction when used in multivariate models.

Prediction and prevention of small-for-gestational-age neonates: evidence from SPREE and ASPRE

OBJECTIVES

To examine the effect of first-trimester screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) on the prediction of delivering a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and the effect of prophylactic use of aspirin on the prevention of SGA.

METHODS

The data for this study were derived from two multicenter studies. In SPREE, we investigated the performance of screening for PE by a combination of maternal characteristics and biomarkers at 11-13 weeks' gestation. In ASPRE, women with a singleton pregnancy identified by combined screening as being at high risk for preterm PE (> 1 in 100) participated in a trial of aspirin (150 mg/day from 11-14 until 36 weeks' gestation) compared to placebo. In this study, we used the data from the ASPRE trial to estimate the effect of aspirin on the incidence of SGA with birth weight < 10^th , < 5^th and < 3^rd percentile for gestational age. We also used the data from SPREE to estimate the proportion of SGA in the pregnancies with a risk for preterm PE of > 1 in 100.

RESULTS

In SPREE, screening for preterm PE by a combination of maternal factors, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index and serum placental growth factor identified a high-risk group that contained about 46% of SGA neonates < 10^th percentile born at < 37 weeks' gestation (preterm) and 56% of those born at < 32 weeks (early); the overall screen-positive rate was 12.2% (2014 of 16 451 pregnancies). In the ASPRE trial, use of aspirin reduced the overall incidence of SGA < 10^th percentile by about 40% in babies born at < 37 weeks' gestation and by about 70% in babies born at < 32 weeks; in babies born at ≥ 37 weeks, aspirin did not have a significant effect on incidence of SGA. The aspirin-related decrease in incidence of SGA was mainly due to its incidence decreasing in pregnancies with PE, for which the decrease was about 70% in babies born at < 37 weeks' gestation and about 90% in babies born at < 32 weeks. On the basis of these results, it was estimated that first-trimester screening for preterm PE and use of aspirin in the high-risk group would potentially reduce the incidence of preterm and early SGA by about 20% and 40%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

First-trimester screening for PE by the combined test identifies a high proportion of cases of preterm SGA that can be prevented by the prophylactic use of aspirin. © 2018 Crown copyright. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology © 2018 ISUOG.

Small-for-gestational-age babies after 37 weeks: impact study of risk-stratification protocol

OBJECTIVE

Although no clear evidence exists, many international guidelines advocate early-term delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses. The aim of this study was to determine whether a risk-stratification protocol in which low-risk SGA fetuses are managed expectantly beyond 37 weeks affects perinatal and maternal outcomes.

METHODS

This was an impact study examining data collected over a 39-month period (1 January 2013 to 30 April 2016) at a tertiary referral unit. The study included women who were referred to the fetal medicine unit with a singleton non-anomalous fetus diagnosed antenatally as SGA (estimated fetal weight < 10^th centile) from 36 + 0 weeks' gestation. In 2014, a protocol for management of SGA was introduced, which included risk stratification with surveillance and expectant management after 37 weeks for lower-risk babies (protocol group). This was compared with the previous strategy, which recommended delivery at around 37 weeks (pre-protocol group). Primary outcome was neonatal composite adverse outcome.

RESULTS

In the pre-protocol group, there were 138 SGA babies; in the protocol group there were 143. Mean gestational ages at delivery were 37.4 weeks in the pre-protocol group and 38.2 weeks in the protocol group (P = 0.04). The incidence of neonatal composite adverse outcome was lower in the protocol group (9% vs 22%; P < 0.01), as was neonatal unit admission (13% vs 39%; P < 0.01). Induction of labor and Cesarean section rates were lower, and vaginal delivery rate (83% vs 60%; P < 0.01) was higher, in the protocol group. Most of the differences were as a result of delayed delivery of SGA babies that were stratified as low risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study suggest that protocol-based management of SGA babies may improve outcome, and that identification of moderate SGA should not in isolation prompt delivery. Larger numbers are required to assess any impact on perinatal mortality. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Role of early second-trimester uterine artery Doppler screening to predict small-for-gestational-age babies in nulliparous women

BACKGROUND

Trophoblastic invasion of the uterine spiral arteries substantially increases compliance to accommodate increased blood flow to the placenta. Failure of this process impedes uterine artery blood flow, and this may be detected by uterine artery Doppler flow studies. However, the clinical utility of uterine artery Doppler flow studies in the prediction of adverse pregnancy outcomes in a general population remains largely unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine the utility of early second-trimester uterine artery Doppler studies as a predictor of small-for-gestational-age neonates.

STUDY DESIGN

Nulliparous women with a viable singleton pregnancy were recruited during their first trimester into an observational prospective cohort study at 8 institutions across the United States. Participants were seen at 3 study visits during pregnancy and again at delivery. Three indices of uterine artery Doppler flow (resistance index, pulsatility index, and diastolic notching) were measured in the right and left uterine arteries between 16 weeks 0 days' and 22 weeks 6 days' gestation. Test characteristics for varying thresholds in the prediction of small for gestational age (defined as birthweight <5th percentile for gestational age [Alexander growth curve]) were evaluated.

RESULTS

Uterine artery Doppler indices, birthweight, and gestational age at birth were available for 8024 women. Birthweight <5th percentile for gestational age occurred in 358 (4.5%) births. Typical thresholds for the uterine artery Doppler indices were all associated with birthweight <5th percentile for gestational age (P < .0001 for each), but the positive predictive values for these cutoffs were all <15% and areas under receiver operating characteristic curves ranged from 0.50-0.60. Across the continuous scales for these measures, the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves ranged from 0.56-0.62. Incorporating maternal age, early pregnancy body mass index, race/ethnicity, smoking status prior to pregnancy, chronic hypertension, and pregestational diabetes in the prediction model resulted in only modest improvements in the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.63-0.66.

CONCLUSION

In this large prospective cohort, early second-trimester uterine artery Doppler studies were not a clinically useful test for predicting small-for-gestational-age babies.

The role of aspirin dose on the prevention of preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction: systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction are major causes of perinatal death and handicap in survivors. Randomized clinical trials have reported that the risk of preeclampsia, severe preeclampsia, and fetal growth restriction can be reduced by the prophylactic use of aspirin in high-risk women, but the appropriate dose of the drug to achieve this objective is not certain.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to estimate the impact of aspirin dosage on the prevention of preeclampsia, severe preeclampsia, and fetal growth restriction.

STUDY DESIGN

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials comparing the effect of daily aspirin or placebo (or no treatment) during pregnancy. We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials up to December 2015, and study bibliographies were reviewed. Authors were contacted to obtain additional data when needed. Relative risks for preeclampsia, severe preeclampsia, and fetal growth restriction were calculated with 95% confidence intervals using random-effect models. Dose-response effect was evaluated using meta-regression and reported as adjusted R². Analyses were stratified according to gestational age at initiation of aspirin (≤16 and >16 weeks) and repeated after exclusion of studies at high risk of biases.

RESULTS

In all, 45 randomized controlled trials included a total of 20,909 pregnant women randomized to between 50-150 mg of aspirin daily. When aspirin was initiated at ≤16 weeks, there was a significant reduction and a dose-response effect for the prevention of preeclampsia (relative risk, 0.57; 95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.75; P < .001; R², 44%; P = .036), severe preeclampsia (relative risk, 0.47; 95% confidence interval, 0.26-0.83; P = .009; R², 100%; P = .008), and fetal growth restriction (relative risk, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.44-0.70; P < .001; R², 100%; P = .044) with higher dosages of aspirin being associated with greater reduction of the 3 outcomes. Similar results were observed after the exclusion of studies at high risk of biases. When aspirin was initiated at >16 weeks, there was a smaller reduction of preeclampsia (relative risk, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.66-0.99; P = .04) without relationship with aspirin dosage (R², 0%; P = .941). Aspirin initiated at >16 weeks was not associated with a risk reduction or a dose-response effect for severe preeclampsia (relative risk, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.64-1.14; P = .28; R², 0%; P = .838) and fetal growth restriction (relative risk, 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.86-1.05; P = .34; R², not available; P = .563).

CONCLUSION

Prevention of preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction using aspirin in early pregnancy is associated with a dose-response effect. Low-dose aspirin initiated at >16 weeks' gestation has a modest or no impact on the risk of preeclampsia, severe preeclampsia, and fetal growth restriction. Women at high risk for those outcomes should be identified in early pregnancy.

Contingent versus routine third-trimester screening for late fetal growth restriction

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the use of third-trimester ultrasound screening for late fetal growth restriction (FGR) on a contingent basis, according to risk accrued in the second trimester, in an unselected population.

METHODS

Maternal characteristics, fetal biometry and second-trimester uterine artery (UtA) Doppler were included in logistic regression analysis to estimate risk for late FGR (birth weight < 3(rd) percentile, or 3(rd) -10(th) percentile plus abnormal cerebroplacental ratio or UtA Doppler, with delivery ≥ 34 weeks). Based on the second-trimester risk, strategies for performing contingent third-trimester ultrasound examinations in 10%, 25% or 50% of the cohort were tested against a strategy of routine ultrasound scanning in the entire population at 32 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks.

RESULTS

Models were constructed based on 1393 patients and validated in 1303 patients, including 73 (5.2%) and 82 late FGR (6.3%) cases, respectively. At the second-trimester scan, the a-posteriori second-trimester risk (a-posteriori first-trimester risk (baseline a-priori risk and mean arterial blood pressure) combined with second-trimester abdominal circumference and UtA Doppler) yielded an area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74-0.87) (detection rate (DR), 43.1% for a 10% false-positive rate (FPR)). The combination of a-posteriori second-trimester risk plus third-trimester estimated fetal weight (full model) yielded an AUC of 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.96) (DR, 74% for a 10% FPR). Subjecting 10%, 25% or 50% of the study population to third-trimester ultrasound, based on a-posteriori second-trimester risk, gave AUCs of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.75-0.88), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.78-0.91) and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.84-0.94), respectively. Only the 50% contingent model proved statistically equivalent to performing routine third-trimester ultrasound scans (AUC, 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.96), P = 0.11).

CONCLUSION

A strategy of selecting 50% of the study population to undergo third-trimester ultrasound examination, based on accrued risk in the second trimester, proved equivalent to routine third-trimester ultrasound scanning in predicting late FGR.

Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by biophysical and biochemical markers at 19-24 weeks

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the value of combined screening by maternal characteristics and medical history, fetal biometry and biophysical and biochemical markers at 19-24 weeks' gestation, for prediction of delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates, in the absence of pre-eclampsia (PE), and examine the potential value of such assessment in deciding whether the third-trimester scan should be at 32 and/or 36 weeks' gestation.

METHODS

This was a screening study in 7816 singleton pregnancies, including 389 (5.0%) that delivered SGA neonates with birth weight < 5(th) percentile (SGA < 5(th) ), in the absence of PE. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if screening by a combination of maternal factors, fetal biometry, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and maternal serum concentrations of placental growth factor (PlGF) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) had significant contribution in predicting SGA neonates. A model was developed for selecting the gestational age for third-trimester assessment, at 32 and/or 36 weeks, based on the results of screening at 19-24 weeks.

RESULTS

Significant independent contributions to the prediction of SGA < 5(th) were provided by maternal factors, fetal biometry, UtA-PI and serum PlGF and AFP. The detection rate (DR) of such combined screening at 19-24 weeks was 100%, 78% and 42% for SGA < 5(th) delivering < 32, at 32-36 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, respectively, at a false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%. In a hypothetical model, it was estimated that if the desired objective of prenatal screening is to predict about 80% of the cases of SGA < 5(th) , it would be necessary to select 11% of the population at the 19-24-week assessment to be reassessed at 32 weeks and 44% to be reassessed at 36 weeks; 57% would not require a third-trimester scan.

CONCLUSION

Prenatal prediction of a high proportion of SGA neonates necessitates the undertaking of screening in the third trimester of pregnancy, in addition to assessment in the second trimester, and the timing of such screening, at 32 and/or 36 weeks, should be contingent on the results of the assessment at 19-24 weeks.