Performance of third-trimester combined screening model for prediction of adverse perinatal outcome

Assessment of fetal growth trajectory identifies infants at high risk of perinatal mortality

OBJECTIVE

To analyze perinatal risks associated with three distinct scenarios of fetal growth trajectory in the latter half of pregnancy compared with a reference group.

METHODS

This cohort study included women with a singleton pregnancy that delivered between 32 + 0 and 41 + 6 weeks' gestation and had two or more ultrasound scans, at least 4 weeks apart, from 18 + 0 weeks. We evaluated three different scenarios of fetal growth against a reference group, which comprised appropriate-for-gestational-age fetuses with appropriate forward-growth trajectory. The comparator growth trajectories were categorized as: Group 1, small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses (estimated fetal weight (EFW) or abdominal circumference (AC) persistently < 10th centile) with appropriate forward growth; Group 2, fetuses with decreased growth trajectory (decrease of ≥ 50 centiles) and EFW or AC ≥ 10th centile (i.e. non-SGA) at their final ultrasound scan; and Group 3, fetuses with decreased growth trajectory and EFW or AC < 10th centile (i.e. SGA) at their final scan. The primary outcome was overall perinatal mortality (stillbirth or neonatal death). Secondary outcomes included stillbirth, delivery of a SGA infant, preterm birth, emergency Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status and composite severe neonatal morbidity. Associations were analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

The final study cohort comprised 5319 pregnancies. Compared to the reference group, the adjusted odds of perinatal mortality were increased significantly in Group 2 (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 4.00 (95% CI, 1.36-11.22)) and Group 3 (aOR, 7.71 (95% CI, 2.39-24.91)). Only Group 3 had increased odds of stillbirth (aOR, 5.69 (95% CI, 1.55-20.93)). In contrast, infants in Group 1 did not have significantly increased odds of demise. The odds of a SGA infant at birth were increased in all three groups compared with the reference group, but was highest in Group 1 (aOR, 111.86 (95% CI, 62.58-199.95)) and Group 3 (aOR, 40.63 (95% CI, 29.01-56.92)). In both groups, more than 80% of infants were born SGA and nearly half had a birth weight < 3rd centile. Likewise, the odds of preterm birth were increased in all three groups compared with the reference group, being highest in Group 3, with an aOR of 4.27 (95% CI, 3.23-5.64). Lastly, the odds of composite severe neonatal morbidity were increased in Groups 1 and 3, whereas the odds of emergency Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status were increased only in Group 3.

CONCLUSION

Assessing the fetal growth trajectory in the latter half of pregnancy can help identify infants at increased risk of perinatal mortality and birth weight < 3rd centile for gestation. © 2024 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

The role of the PLGF in the management of pregnancies complicated with fetal microsomia

PURPOSE

To explore the contribution of maternal and fetal parameters in predicting the time interval between diagnosis and development of adverse events leading to delivery in singleton pregnancies complicated with fetal microsomia.

METHODS

Prospective study on singleton pregnancies referred to a tertiary center because of suspicion of fetal smallness in the third trimester. The study cohort included cases with fetal abdominal circumference (AC) ≤ 10th centile or estimated fetal weight ≤ 10th centile or umbilical artery pulsatitlity index ≥ 90th centile. Development of pre-eclampsia, fetal demise, and fetal deterioration diagnosed by fetal Doppler studies or fetal heart rate monitoring and leading to delivery were considered as adverse events. Maternal demographics, obstetric history, blood pressure, serum PLGF, and fetal Doppler studies were explored as predictors of the time interval between the first visit to the clinic and the diagnosis of complications.

RESULTS

In 59 women, the median incubation period from presentation to the clinic to an adverse event was 6, 2 weeks, whereas half of the pregnancies (52.5%) did not develop any adverse event. PLGF was the strongest predictor of adverse events. Both PLGF in raw values and PLGF MOM had equally good predictive ability (AUC 0.82 and 0.78 respectively). Optimal cut-off points were 177.7 pg/ml for PLGF raw values (sensitivity 83% and specificity 66.7%) and 0.277 MoM (sensitivity 76% and specificity 86.7%). On multiple Cox regression analysis, maternal systolic blood pressure, PLGF, fetal increased umbilical artery PI, and reduced CP ratio were independently associated with adverse events. Half of the pregnancies with low PLGF and only one in ten with high PLGF were delivered within two weeks after the initial visit.

CONCLUSION

Half of the pregnancies carrying a small fetus in the third trimester will not develop maternal or fetal complications. PLGF is a strong predictor of adverse events that can be used to customize antenatal care.

Usefulness of angiogenic factors in prenatal counseling of late-onset fetal growth-restricted and small-for-gestational-age gestations: a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

To create a predictive model including biomarkers and evaluate its ability to predict adverse perinatal outcomes in late-onset small fetuses, ultimately helping to provide individualized counseling at the time of diagnosis.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study, including singleton pregnancies with an estimated fetal weight (EFW) below the 10th percentile, at a gestational age between 32 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks of gestation (WG). Variables recorded at diagnosis to predict adverse pregnancy outcomes were: soluble fms-like tyrosine-kinase-1 to placental growth factor ratio (sFlt-1/PlGF), fetal Doppler (umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtAPI), EFW percentile, gestational age, and the presence of maternal risk factors for placental insufficiency. Logistic regression models were developed for the prediction of three co-primary outcomes: composite adverse perinatal outcomes (APO), and the need for elective delivery before 35 or 37 WG.

RESULTS

Sixty (52.2%) fetal growth restricted (FGR) and 55 (47.8%) small for gestational age (SGA) were enrolled. Thirteen (11.3%) women needed elective delivery before 35 WG and 27 (23.5%) women before 37 WG. At least one APO occurred in 43 (37.4%) pregnancies. The best marker in univariate analyses was the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio [AUC = 0.932 (95% CI, 0.864-0.999)]. The multivariate model including sFlt-1/PlGF showed a better predictive performance for APO than the multivariate model without sFlt-1/PlGF (P < 0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

sFlt-1/PlGF is a good predictor of APO at the time of late-onset FGR/SGA diagnosis. Our predictive models may be useful to provide early individualized prenatal counseling in this group of women. Further studies are needed to validate these preliminary findings in a larger cohort.

Predictive index for adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies complicated by fetal growth restriction

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate an index predictive of adverse perinatal outcome (APO) in pregnancies meeting the consensus-based criteria for fetal growth restriction (FGR) endorsed by the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology (ISUOG).

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of consecutive singleton non-anomalous gestations meeting the ISUOG-endorsed criteria for FGR at a single tertiary care center from November 2010 to August 2020. The dataset was divided randomly into a development set (two-thirds) and a validation set (one-third). The primary composite APO comprised one or more of: perinatal demise, Grade III-IV intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), periventricular leukomalacia (PVL), seizures, hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy (HIE), necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), sepsis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) and length of stay in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) > 7 days. Regression analysis incorporated clinical factors readily available at the time of FGR diagnosis. The sum of β coefficient-based weights yielded an index score, the performance of which was assessed in the validation set. Score cut-offs were selected to identify 'high-risk' and 'low-risk' ranges for which positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values and positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios were calculated.

RESULTS

Of the 875 consecutive pregnancies that met the criteria for FGR and were included in the study cohort, 405 (46%) were complicated by one or more components of the composite APO, including 54 (6%) perinatal deaths, 22 (3%) neonates with Grade III-IV IVH and/or PVL, nine (1%) with seizures and/or HIE, 91 (10%) with BPD, 57 (7%) with sepsis, 21 (2%) with NEC, and 361 (41%) who remained in the NICU > 7 days. In addition, 270 (31%) pregnancies were delivered by Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status, 43 (5%) were admitted to the NICU for < 7 days, 79 (9%) had 5-min Apgar score < 7, 125/631 (20%) had a cord gas pH ≤ 7.1 and 35/631 (6%) had a base excess ≥ 12 mmol/L. The predictive index we developed included seven factors available at the time of FGR diagnosis: hypertensive disorder of pregnancy (HDP) (+8 points), chronic hypertension without HDP (+4 points), gestational age ≤ 32 weeks (+5 points), absent or reversed end-diastolic flow in the umbilical artery (+8 points), prepregnancy body mass index ≥ 35 kg/m2 (+3 points), isolated abdominal circumference < 3rd  percentile (-4 points) and non-Hispanic black race (-2 points). The bias-corrected bootstrapped (1000 replicates) area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) of the predictive index for composite APO in the validation group was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.84-0.92), which was similar to that in the development group (AUC, 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82-0.89); P = 0.34). In the total cohort, 40% of pregnancies had a low-risk index score (≤ 2), associated with a NPV of 85% (95% CI, 81-88%) and a LR- of 0.21 (95% CI, 0.16-0.27), and 23% had a high-risk index score (≥ 10), associated with a PPV of 96% (95% CI, 93-98%) and a LR+ of 27.36 (95% CI, 14.33-52.23). Of the remaining pregnancies that had an intermediate-risk score, 50% were complicated by composite APO.

CONCLUSION

An easy-to-use index incorporating seven clinical factors readily available at the time of FGR diagnosis is predictive of APO and may prove useful in counseling and management of pregnancies meeting the ISUOG-endorsed criteria for FGR. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Added prognostic value of Doppler ultrasound for adverse perinatal outcomes: A pooled analysis of three cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is an obstetric complication associated with adverse perinatal outcomes. Doppler ultrasound can improve perinatal outcomes through monitoring at-risk fetuses and helping time delivery.

AIM

To investigate the prognostic value of different Doppler ultrasound measurements for adverse perinatal outcomes.

MATERIALS

Individual participant data.

METHODS

We performed a pooled analysis on individual participant data. We compared six prognostic models using multilevel logistic regression, where each subsequent model added a new variable to a base model that included maternal characteristics. Estimated fetal weight (EFW) and four Doppler ultrasound measurements were added in turn: umbilical artery pulsatility index (UA PI), middle cerebral artery pulsatility index (MCA PI), cerebroplacental ratio (CPR), and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (mUtA PI). The primary outcome was a composite adverse perinatal outcome, defined as perinatal mortality, emergency caesarean delivery for fetal distress, or neonatal admission. Discriminative ability was quantified with area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Three data sets (N = 3284) were included. Overall, the model that included EFW and UA PI improved AUC from 0.650 (95% CI 0.624-0.676) to 0.673 (95% CI 0.646-0.700). Adding more ultrasound measurements did not improve further the discriminative ability. In subgroup analysis, the addition of EFW and UA PI improved AUC in both preterm (AUC from 0.711 to 0.795) and small for gestational age pregnancies (AUC from 0.729 to 0.770), but they did not improve the models in term delivery or normal growth subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Umbilical artery pulsatility index added prognostic value for adverse perinatal outcomes to the already available information, but the combination of other Doppler ultrasound measurements (MCA PI, CPR or UtA PI) did not improve further prognostic performance.

Establishment and validation of a predictive model of preeclampsia based on transcriptional signatures of 43 genes in decidua basalis and peripheral blood

Preeclampsia (PE) has an increasing incidence worldwide, and there is no gold standard for prediction. Recent progress has shown that abnormal decidualization and impaired vascular remodeling are essential to PE pathogenesis. Therefore, it is of great significance to analyze the decidua basalis and blood changes of PE to explore new methods. Here, we performed weighted gene co-expression network analysis based on 9553 differentially expressed genes of decidua basalis data (GSE60438 includes 25 cases of PE and 23 non-cases) from Gene Expression Omnibus to screen relevant module-eigengenes (MEs). Among them, MEblue and MEgrey are the most correlated with PE, which contains 371 core genes. Subsequently, we applied the logistic least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, screened 43 genes most relevant to prediction from the intersections of the 371 genes and training set (GSE48424 includes 18 cases of PE and 18 non-cases) genes, and built a predictive model. The specificity and sensitivity are illustrated by receiver operating characteristic curves, and the stability was verified by two validation sets (GSE86200 includes 12 cases of PE and 48 non-cases, and GSE85307 includes 47 cases of PE and 110 non-cases). The results demonstrated that our predictive model shows good predictions, with an area under the curve of 0.991 for the training set, 0.874 and 0.986 for the validation sets. Finally, we found the 43 key marker genes in the model are closely associated with the clinically accepted predictive molecules, including FLT1, PIGF, ENG and VEGF. Therefore, this predictive model provides a potential approach for PE diagnosis and treatment.

Third trimester uterine artery Doppler for prediction of adverse perinatal outcomes

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Abnormal uterine artery Doppler (UtAD) studies early in gestation have been associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, their association with complications in the third trimester is weak. We aim to review the prediction ability for perinatal complications of these indices in the third trimester.

RECENT FINDINGS

Abnormal UtAD waveforms in the third trimester are associated with preeclampsia, small-for-gestational age infants (SGA), preterm birth, perinatal death, and other perinatal complications, such as cesarean section for fetal distress, 5 min low Apgar score, low umbilical artery pH, and neonatal admission to the ICU, particularly in SGA infants. UtAD prediction performance is improved by the addition of maternal characteristics as well as biochemical markers to prediction models and is more precise if the evaluation is made closer to delivery or diagnosis.

SUMMARY

This review shows that the prediction accuracy of UtAD for adverse pregnancy outcomes during the third trimester is moderate at best. UtAD have limited additive value to prediction models that include PlGF and sFlt-1. Serial assessments rather than a single third trimester evaluation may enhance the prediction performance of the UtAD combined models.

Personalized Model to Predict Small for Gestational Age at Delivery Using Fetal Biometrics, Maternal Characteristics, and Pregnancy Biomarkers: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Births Assisted at a Spanish Hospital

Small for gestational age (SGA) is defined as a newborn with a birth weight for gestational age < 10th percentile. Routine third-trimester ultrasound screening for fetal growth assessment has detection rates (DR) from 50 to 80%. For this reason, the addition of other markers is being studied, such as maternal characteristics, biochemical values, and biophysical models, in order to create personalized combinations that can increase the predictive capacity of the ultrasound. With this purpose, this retrospective cohort study of 12,912 cases aims to compare the potential value of third-trimester screening, based on estimated weight percentile (EPW), by universal ultrasound at 35−37 weeks of gestation, with a combined model integrating maternal characteristics and biochemical markers (PAPP-A and β-HCG) for the prediction of SGA newborns. We observed that DR improved from 58.9% with the EW alone to 63.5% with the predictive model. Moreover, the AUC for the multivariate model was 0.882 (0.873−0.891 95% C.I.), showing a statistically significant difference with EPW alone (AUC 0.864 (95% C.I.: 0.854−0.873)). Although the improvements were modest, contingent detection models appear to be more sensitive than third-trimester ultrasound alone at predicting SGA at delivery.

Predictors of adverse perinatal outcome up to 34 weeks, a multivariable analysis study

The objective was to evaluate the best predictors of adverse perinatal outcome (APO) in foetuses examined up to 34 weeks and delivered by spontaneous or induced labour. This was a retrospective study of 129 pregnancies that underwent an ultrasound Doppler examination at 23-34 weeks and entered into labour within 30 days. Cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (mUtA PI) were converted into multiples of the median (MoM) and estimated foetal weight (EFW) into centiles to adjust for gestational age (GA). Sonographic and clinical parameters were evaluated using logistic regression analysis.The multivariable model for the prediction of APO presented a notable accuracy: Detection rate (DR) was 39.5% for a false positive rate (FPR) of 5% and 56.8% for a FPR of 10%, AUC 0.82, p < .0001. Significant predictors were GA, EFW centile, and CPR MoM, but not mUtA PI MoM. Moreover, the type of labour onset did not exert any influence on APO. In conclusion, up to 34 weeks, prediction of APO after spontaneous or induced labour may be done measuring CPR and EFW.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Earlier in pregnancy, foetal growth restriction is caused by placental disease causing progressive hemodynamic changes. These changes have been exhaustively described. Conversely, information about the best predictors of adverse outcome is scarce.What do the results of this study add? The findings of this study show that prior to 34 weeks and up to 1 month before labour, labour outcome might be predicted by gestational age, foetal cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) and estimated foetal weight (EFW).What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? If CPR behaves as a good marker of outcome not only at the end of pregnancy but also earlier in gestation, it might be interrogated along with EFW in foetuses attempting vaginal delivery to determine the risk of adverse outcome.

Effects of Mediterranean Diet or Mindfulness-Based Stress Reduction on Prevention of Small-for-Gestational Age Birth Weights in Newborns Born to At-Risk Pregnant Individuals: The IMPACT BCN Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Being born small for gestational age (SGA) is a leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality with no effective prevention or therapy. Maternal suboptimal nutrition and high stress levels have been associated with poor fetal growth and adverse pregnancy outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether structured interventions based on a Mediterranean diet or mindfulness-based stress reduction (stress reduction) in high-risk pregnancies can reduce the percentage of newborns who were born SGA and other adverse pregnancy outcomes.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Parallel-group randomized clinical trial conducted at a university hospital in Barcelona, Spain, including 1221 individuals with singleton pregnancies (19-23 weeks' gestation) at high risk for SGA. Enrollment took place from February 1, 2017, to October 10, 2019, with follow-up until delivery (final follow-up on March 1, 2020).

INTERVENTIONS

Participants in the Mediterranean diet group (n = 407) received 2 hours monthly of individual and group educational sessions and free provision of extra-virgin olive oil and walnuts. Individuals in the stress reduction group (n = 407) underwent an 8-week stress reduction program adapted for pregnancy, consisting of weekly 2.5-hour sessions and 1 full-day session. Individuals in the usual care group (n = 407) received pregnancy care per institutional protocols.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary end point was the percentage of newborns who were SGA at delivery, defined as birth weight below the 10th percentile. The secondary end point was a composite adverse perinatal outcome (at least 1 of the following: preterm birth, preeclampsia, perinatal mortality, severe SGA, neonatal acidosis, low Apgar score, or presence of any major neonatal morbidity).

RESULTS

Among the 1221 randomized individuals (median [IQR] age, 37 [34-40] years), 1184 (97%) completed the trial (392 individuals assigned to the Mediterranean diet group, 391 to the stress reduction group, and 401 to the usual care group). SGA occurred in 88 newborns (21.9%) in the control group, 55 (14.0%) in the Mediterranean diet group (odds ratio [OR], 0.58 [95% CI, 0.40-0.84]; risk difference [RD], -7.9 [95% CI, -13.6 to -2.6]; P = .004), and 61 (15.6%) in the stress reduction group (OR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.46-0.94]; RD, -6.3 [95% CI, -11.8 to -0.9]; P = .02). The composite adverse perinatal outcome occurred in 105 newborns (26.2%) in the control group, 73 (18.6%) in the Mediterranean diet group (OR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.46-0.90]; RD, -7.6 [95% CI, -13.4 to -1.8]; P = .01), and 76 (19.5%) in the stress reduction group (OR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.49-0.95]; RD, -6.8 [95% CI, -12.6 to -0.3]; P = .02).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this randomized trial conducted at a single institution in Spain, treating pregnant individuals at high risk for SGA with a structured Mediterranean diet or with mindfulness-based stress reduction, compared with usual care, significantly reduced the percentage of newborns with birth weight below the 10th percentile. Due to important study limitations, these findings should be considered preliminary and require replication, as well as assessment in additional patient populations, before concluding that these treatments should be recommended to patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03166332.

Prenatal serum sFlt-1/PlGF ratio predicts the adverse neonatal outcomes among small-for-gestational-age fetuses in normotensive pregnant women: A prospective cohort study

We investigated the predictive value of the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1)-to-placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio for poor neonatal outcomes of SGA neonates in the absence of preeclampsia.This prospective cohort study included 530 singleton pregnant women who attended a prenatal screening program at a single institution. The sFlt-1/PlGF values at 24 to 28+6 weeks and 29 to 36+6 weeks of gestation were analyzed and compared between control and SGA group (subdivided as with normal neonatal outcomes and with poor neonatal outcomes).After 22 preeclampsia cases were excluded, 47 SGA neonates and 461 control neonates were included. In the SGA group, 17 neonates had adverse neonatal outcomes (36.1%, 17/47). The mean (±D) sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of early third trimester was significantly higher in SGA with averse neonatal outcome group than in the control group (14.42 ± 23.8 vs 109.12 3.96, P = .041) and the ratio retained an independent and significant association with SGA with adverse neonatal outcomes (odds ratio = 1.017, P = .01). A sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cut-off of 28.15 at 29 to 36+6 weeks significantly predicted adverse outcomes among SGA neonates (sensitivity = 76.9%, specificity = 88%).In this study, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio at 29 to 36 + 6wks of SGA with adverse neonatal outcome group was significantly higher than control group. This study suggests the feasibility of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio as helpful objective measurement for predicting the adverse SGA neonatal outcome by providing sFlt-1/PlGF cut-off value.

Improved detection of coarctation of the aorta using speckle-tracking analysis of fetal heart on last examination prior to delivery

OBJECTIVE

The false-positive rate for prenatal diagnosis of coarctation of the aorta (FP-CoA) commonly exceeds 50%, with an accurate detection rate of < 50%. This study was conducted to determine if the sensitivity for prenatal detection of true CoA and the FP-CoA rate could be improved by evaluating the fetal epicardial size and shape in the four-chamber view (4CV) and the endocardial right (RV) and left (LV) ventricular size, shape and contractility.

METHODS

We analyzed retrospectively Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine (DICOM) clips of the 4CV from the last examination prior to delivery in a series of 108 fetuses with CoA suspected prenatally by pediatric cardiologists using traditional diagnostic criteria. Postnatal evaluation distinguished those fetuses which subsequently required CoA surgery (true positives; true CoA) from those that were FP-CoA. Postnatal cardiac abnormalities were identified for each group. For the prenatal evaluation, we measured the 4CV end-diastolic epicardial area, circumference, length, width and global sphericity index. Speckle-tracking analysis was used to compute the endocardial RV and LV end-diastolic area, length, 24-segment sphericity index, 24-segment transverse width and the following functional parameters: fractional area change; global longitudinal, free-wall and septal-wall strain; basal-apical-length, basal free-wall and basal septal-wall fractional shortening; septal-wall annular plane systolic excursion; 24-segment transverse-width fractional shortening; and LV end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes, stroke volume, cardiac output and ejection fraction. In addition, the RV/LV end-diastolic area ratio was computed. Using a control group of 200 normal fetuses, the mean and SD for each of the above cardiac measurements was used to compute the Z-scores for each measurement in each of the 108 study fetuses. Logistic regression analysis was then performed on the Z-score values to identify variables that separated the true CoA group from the FP-CoA group.

RESULTS

Of the 108 study fetuses, 54 were confirmed postnatally to have true CoA and 54 were FP-CoA. Right/left area disproportion > 90^th  centile was present in 80% (n = 43) of the true-CoA fetuses and 76% (n = 41) of the FP-CoA fetuses. Fetuses with true CoA had a significantly greater number of associated cardiac abnormalities (93%, n = 50) compared with the FP-CoA fetuses (61%, n = 33) (P < 0.001). The most common associated malformations were bicuspid aortic valve (true CoA, 46% (n = 25) vs FP-CoA, 22% (n = 12); P < 0.01), aortic arch hypoplasia (true CoA, 31% (n = 17) vs FP-CoA, 11% (n = 6); P < 0.01), ventricular septal defect (true CoA, 33% (n = 18) vs FP-CoA, 11% (n = 6); P < 0.05) and mitral valve abnormality (true CoA, 30% (n = 16) vs FP-CoA, 4% (n = 2); P < 0.01). Logistic regression analysis identified 28 variables that correctly identified 96% (52/54) of the fetuses with true CoA, with a false-positive rate of 4% (2/54) and a false-negative rate of 4% (2/54). These variables included the epicardial size in the 4CV, size and shape of RV and LV, and abnormal contractility of RV and LV. The area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve was 0.98 (SE, 0.023; 95% CI, 0.84-1). There was no significant difference in the percent of fetuses with RV/LV area disproportion between those with CoA and those that were FP-CoA.

CONCLUSIONS

Speckle-tracking analysis of multiple ventricular measurements may be helpful to refine the diagnosis in fetuses that are suspected to have CoA prenatally. © 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

The PLANES study: a protocol for a randomised controlled feasibility study of the placental growth factor (PlGF) blood test-informed care versus standard care alone for women with a small for gestational age fetus at or after 32 + 0 weeks' gestation

Background

Stillbirth remains a major concern across the globe and in some high-resource countries, such as the UK; efforts to reduce the rate have achieved only modest reductions. One third of stillborn babies are small for gestational age (SGA), and these pregnancies are also at risk of neonatal adverse outcomes and lifelong health problems, especially when delivered preterm. Current UK clinical guidance advocates regular monitoring and early term delivery of the SGA fetus; however, the most appropriate regimen for surveillance of these babies remains unclear and often leads to increased intervention for a large number of these women. This pilot trial will determine the feasibility of a large-scale trial refining the risk of adverse pregnancy outcome in SGA pregnancies using biomarkers of placental function sFlt-1/PlGF, identifying and intervening in only those deemed at highest risk of stillbirth.

Methods

PLANES is a randomised controlled feasibility study of women with an SGA fetus that will be conducted at two tertiary care hospitals in the UK. Once identified on ultrasound, women will be randomised into two groups in a 3:1 ratio in favour of sFlt-1/PlGF ratio led management vs standard care. Women with an SGA fetus and a normal sFlt-1/PlGF ratio will have a repeat ultrasound and sFlt-1/PlGF ratio every 2 weeks with planned birth delayed until 40 weeks. In those women with an SGA fetus and an abnormal sFlt-1/PlGF ratio, we will offer birth from 37 weeks or sooner if there are other concerning features on ultrasound. Women assigned to standard care will have an sFlt-1/PlGF ratio taken, but the results will be concealed from the clinical team, and the woman’s pregnancy will be managed as per the local NHS hospital policy. This integrated mixed method study will also involve a health economic analysis and a perspective work package exploring trial feasibility through interviews and questionnaires with participants, their partners, and clinicians.

Discussion

Our aim is to determine feasibility through the assessment of our ability to recruit and retain participants to the study. Results from this pilot study will inform the design of a future large randomised controlled trial that will be adequately powered for adverse pregnancy outcome. Such a study would provide the evidence needed to guide future management of the SGA fetus.

Trial registration

ISRCTN58254381. Registered on 4 July 2019

Third-trimester uterine artery Doppler for prediction of adverse outcome in late small-for-gestational-age fetuses: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the predictive ability for adverse perinatal outcome of abnormal third-trimester uterine artery Doppler in late small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed to identify relevant observational studies and randomized controlled trials evaluating the performance of abnormal third-trimester uterine artery Doppler for the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome in suspected SGA fetuses and SGA neonates. Abnormal uterine artery Doppler was defined as uterine artery pulsatility index > 95^th percentile or ≥ 2 SD above the mean, or bilateral uterine artery notching. Hierarchical summary receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curves were constructed using random-effects modeling. Bayesian analysis was used to calculate the posterior probability of adverse perinatal outcome following an abnormal or normal uterine artery Doppler assessment.

RESULTS

Seventeen observational studies (including 7552 fetuses either diagnosed with suspected SGA (n = 3461) or later diagnosed as a SGA neonate (n = 4091)) met the inclusion criteria; no randomized-controlled trials met the inclusion criteria. Summary ROC curves showed that, among suspected SGA fetuses, the best predictive accuracy of abnormal third-trimester uterine artery Doppler was for perinatal mortality and the worst was for composite adverse perinatal outcome, with areas under the summary ROC curves of 0.90 and 0.66, respectively. The corresponding positive and negative likelihood ratios were 16.5 and 0.6 for perinatal mortality and 2.82 and 0.65 for composite adverse perinatal outcome, respectively. Following an abnormal vs normal uterine artery Doppler assessment, the posterior risks for composite adverse perinatal outcome, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit, Cesarean section for intrapartum fetal compromise, 5-min Apgar score < 7, neonatal acidosis and perinatal death were: 52.3% vs 20.2%, 48.6% vs 18.7%, 23.1% vs 15.2%, 3.59% vs 1.32%, 9.15% vs 5.12% and 31.4% vs 1.64%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Abnormal uterine artery Doppler in the third trimester appears to be moderately useful in predicting perinatal death in pregnancies with suspected SGA. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Maternal Tobacco Smoke Exposure Causes Sex-Divergent Changes in Placental Lipid Metabolism in the Rat

Maternal tobacco smoke exposure (MTS) affects fetal acquisition of long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LCPUFA) and increases the risk of obesity and cardio-metabolic disease in the offspring. Alterations in fetal LCPUFA acquisition in maternal smoking are mediated by the placenta. The handling of LCPUFA by the placenta involves protein-mediated transfer and storage. Molecular mediators of placental LCPUFA handling include PPARγ and the fatty acid transport proteins. We previously demonstrated, in a rat model, that MTS results in programming of adult-onset obesity and metabolic disease in male, but not female, offspring. In this study, we test the hypothesis that in utero MTS exposure alters placental structure, placental LCPUFA handling, and fetal fatty acid levels, in a sex-divergent manner. We exposed pregnant rats to tobacco smoke from embryonic day 11 to term gestation. We measured placental and fetal fatty acid profiles, the systolic/diastolic ratio (SD ratio), placental histology, and expression of molecular mediators in the placenta. Our primary finding is that MTS alters fatty acid profiles in male, but not female fetuses and placenta, including increasing the ratio of omega-6 to omega-3 fatty acids. MTS also increased SD ratio in male, but not female placenta. In contrast, the expression of PPARγ and FATPs was upregulated in female, but not male placenta. We conclude that MTS causes sex-divergent changes in placental handling of LCPUFA in the rat. We speculate that our results demonstrate an adaptive response to MTS by the female placenta.

A prediction model for short-term neonatal outcomes in severe early-onset fetal growth restriction

BACKGROUND

Severe early-onset fetal growth restriction (FGR) predisposes to fetal death, neonatal death, neonatal morbidity and neurodisability. The use of placental biomarkers has been proposed for risk stratification in pre-eclampsia, but they could be equally useful in fetal growth restriction in aiding management.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the efficacy of angiogenic biomarkers at predicting adverse pregnancy outcome in severe early-onset fetal growth restriction.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a secondary analysis of the multicentre, placebo-controlled STRIDER UK randomised controlled trial of singleton pregnancies with severe early-onset fetal growth restriction. Women with FGR pregnancies between 22⁺⁰ and 29⁺⁶ weeks of gestation were randomly assigned to receive either sildenafil 25 mg three times daily or placebo until 32⁺⁰ weeks' gestation or delivery. We developed prediction models based upon maternal demographics (age, parity, blood pressure, preeclampsia, gestational hypertension), fetal biometric (estimated fetal weight) and Doppler measurements (Middle Cerebral Artery (MCA), Umbilical Artery (UA)) and maternal angiogenic biomarkers [placental growth factor (PlGF), soluble endoglin (sEng), soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt-1) and sFlt-1:PlGF ratio) using both univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

A complete data set was available for 105 of 135 randomised women. Multivariate regression analysis identified estimated fetal weight (EFW) and sFlt-1:PlGF as independent predictors of livebirth (EFW OR: 1.01 (1.008, 1.021); p < 0.001 and lower sFlt-1:PlGF ratio OR: 0.53 (0.284, 0.994); p = 0.048) and overall survival (EFW OR: 1.01 (1.006, 1.015); p < 0.001 and lower sFlt-1/PlGF ratio OR: 0.51 (0.286, 0.904); p = 0.021). EFW was a consistent predictor for all outcomes other than gestation at delivery. sFlt-1:PlGF ratio was a consistent predictor for all outcomes other than neonatal morbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

In severe early-onset FGR pregnancies livebirth and overall survival can be predicted using a model involving EFW and sFlt-1:PlGF ratio. This model require validation in a larger cohort but may allow informed decision making about pregnancy management, especially in previable cases.

Clinical significance of cerebroplacental ratio

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Two-thirds of the pregnancies complicated by stillbirth demonstrate growth restriction. Identification of the foetus at risk of growth restriction is essential to reduce the risk of stillbirth. The aim of this review is to critically appraise the current evidence regarding clinical utility of cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) in antenatal surveillance.

RECENT FINDINGS

The CPR has emerged as an assessment tool for foetuses at increased risk of growth disorders. CPR is a better predictor of adverse events compared with middle-cerebral artery or umbilical artery Doppler alone. The predictive value of CPR for adverse perinatal outcomes is better for suspected small-for-gestational age foetuses compared with appropriate-for-gestational age (AGA) foetuses. CPR could be useful for the risk stratification of small-for-gestational age foetuses to determine the timing of delivery and also to calculate the risk of intrapartum compromise or prolonged admission to the neonatal care unit. Although there are many proposed cut-offs for an abnormal CPR value, evidence is currently lacking to suggest the use of one cut-off over another. CPR appears to be associated with increased risk of intrapartum foetal compromise, abnormal growth velocity, and lower birthweight in AGA foetuses as well. Moreover, birthweight differences are better explained with CPR compared to other factors such as ethnicity. However, the role of CPR in predicting adverse perinatal outcomes such as acidosis or low Apgar scores in AGA foetuses is yet to be determined.

SUMMARY

CPR appears to be a useful surrogate of suboptimal foetal growth and intrauterine hypoxia and it is associated with a variety of perinatal adverse events.

Detection of Adverse Perinatal Outcomes at Term Delivery Using Ultrasound Estimated Percentile Weight at 35 Weeks of Gestation: Comparison of Five Fetal Growth Standards

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictive ability of the ultrasound estimated percentile weight (EPW) at 35 weeks of pregnancy to predict adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs) at term delivery according to 5 fetal growth standards, including population, population-customized, and international references.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of 9,585 singleton pregnancies. Maternal clinical characteristics, fetal ultrasound data obtained at 35 weeks and pregnancy and perinatal outcomes were used to calculate EPWs to predict APOs according to: the customized and noncustomized (NC) Miguel Servet University Hospital (MSUH), the customized Figueras, the NC INTERGROWTH-21st, and the NC World Health Organization (WHO) international standards. APOs were defined as the occurrence of cesarean or instrumental delivery for nonreassuring fetal status, 5-min Apgar score < 7, arterial cord blood pH <7.10, or stillbirth. The predictive ability of EPW for APOs was analyzed using the area under the curve (AUC), and sensitivities were calculated for different false-positive rates (FPRs).

RESULTS

For a 10% FPR, detection rates for total APOs ranged between 12.7% with the customized MSUH (AUC 0.52; 95% CI 0.50-0.55) and 14.4% with the NC MSUH standard (AUC 0.55; 95% CI 0.53-0.57) for EPW by ultrasound; and from 22.0% with the customized MSUH standard (AUC 0.60; 95% CI 0.58-0.63) to 27.8% with the NC WHO (AUC 0.65; 95% CI 0.63-0.68) for EPW at delivery.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive capacity of the EPW for APOS is limited and similar, by both ultrasound and at delivery, for the 5 growth standards, without significant differences between customized and NC standards.

Women's experience of wearing a portable fetal-electrocardiogram device to monitor small-for-gestational age fetus in their home environment

Objective:

To determine the acceptability, to women, of wearing a portable fetal electrocardiogram recording device at different stages of pregnancy and to gain insight into their experience of its use for long-periods of monitoring of small-for-gestational fetuses in the home environment.

Methods:

A qualitative study using both a questionnaire and focus group involving women with singleton pregnancy >24 weeks gestation, no evidence of fetal malformation and an estimated fetal weight below 10th gestational centile on ultrasound scan. Fetal heart rate recordings were collected for up to 20 h.

Results:

In total, 59 questionnaires were completed; 35 after wearing the monitor for the first time and an additional 24 from the women who wore the device for a second time. Six women participated in the focus group; the principal theme identified related to the practicality of the fetal electrocardiogram device. Other themes identified were the discomfort that resulted from wearing the monitor and the reassurance provided in knowing that the baby’s heart rate was being monitored.

Conclusion:

Long-term ambulatory fetal electrocardiogram monitoring is an acceptable method of monitoring small-for-gestational fetuses. Overall, women concluded that benefits of wearing the device outweighed any discomfort it caused.

Risk of operative delivery for intrapartum fetal compromise in small-for-gestational-age fetuses at term: external validation of the IRIS algorithm

Objectives: Small-for-gestational-age fetuses (SGA) are at high risk of intrapartum fetal compromise requiring operative delivery. In a recent study, we developed a model using a combination of three antenatal (gestational age at delivery, parity, cerebroplacental ratio) and three intrapartum (epidural use, labor induction and augmentation using oxytocin) variables for the prediction of operative delivery due to presumed fetal compromise in SGA fetuses - the Individual RIsk aSsessment (IRIS) prediction model. The aim of this study was to test the predictive accuracy of the IRIS prediction model in an external cohort of singleton pregnancies complicated by SGA.Methods: This was an external validation study using a cohort of pregnancies from two tertiary referral centers in Spain and England. The inclusion criteria were singleton pregnancies diagnosed with an SGA fetus, defined as estimated fetal weight (EFW) below the 10th centile for gestational age at 36 weeks or beyond, which had fetal Doppler assessment and available data on their intrapartum care and pregnancy outcomes. The main outcome in this study was the operative delivery for presumed fetal compromise. External validation was performed using the coefficients obtained in the original development cohort. The predictive accuracies of models were investigated with receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to test the goodness-of-fit of models and calibration plots were also obtained for visual assessment. A mobile application using the combined model algorithm was developed to facilitate clinical use.Results: Four hundred twelve singleton pregnancies with an antenatal diagnosis of SGA were included in the study. The operative delivery rate was 22.8% (n = 94). The group which required operative delivery for presumed fetal compromise had significantly fewer multiparous women (19.1 versus 47.8%, p < .001 in the total study population; 19.0 versus 43.5 and 19.2 versus 49.6%, UK and Spain cohort, respectively), lower cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) multiples of median (MoM) (median: 0.77 versus 0.92, p < .001 in the total study population; 0.77 versus 0.92 and 0.77 versus 0.92, UK and Spain cohort, respectively), more inductions of labor (74.5 versus 60.1%, p = .010 in the total study population; 85.7 versus 77.2 and 71.2% and 53.1, UK and Spain cohort, respectively) and more use of oxytocin augmentation (57.4 versus 39.3%, p = .002 in the total study population; 19.0 versus 12.0 and 68.5 and 50.4%, UK and Spain cohort, respectively) compared to those who did not require operative delivery due to presumed fetal compromise. When the original antenatal model was applied to the present cohort, we observed moderate predictive accuracy (AUC: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.64-0.76), and no signs of poor fit (p = .464). The original combined model, when applied to the external cohort, had moderate predictive accuracy (AUC: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.67-0.77) and also no signs of poor fit (p = .268) without the need for refitting. A statistically significant increase in the predictive accuracy was not achieved via refitting of the combined model (AUC 0.76 versus 0.72, p = .060).Conclusions: Using our recently published model, the predictive accuracy for fetal compromise requiring operative delivery in term fetuses thought to be SGA was modest and showed no signs of poor fit in an external cohort. The IRIS tool for mobile devices has been developed to facilitate wide clinical use of this prediction model.Brief rationaleObjective: To determine the external validity of an intrapartum risk prediction model for suspected small-for-gestational age fetuses.What is already known: Small-for-gestational age fetuses are at increased risk of intrapartum compromise. Fetal weight alone is a poor marker for adverse outcomes and a comprehensive prediction model has been previously suggested.What this study adds: Multivariable prediction model showed good accuracy and calibration in this external validation study. The significance of some variables was different between the original and external validation cohort and there was a small margin for improvement with model refitting. A mobile application has been developed to facilitate clinical use.

A Comparison of Prediction of Adverse Perinatal Outcomes between Hadlock and INTERGROWTH-21st Standards at the Third Trimester

Little is known about the clinical value of the Hadlock and INTERGROWTH-21^st EFW standards for predicting adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs) in the third trimester. The purpose of this study was to study the association between low estimated fetal weight percentile (EFWc) in the third trimester and the risk of APOs and compare predictions of APOs between Hadlock and INTERGROWTH-21^st EFW standards. A prospective cohort of 690 singleton pregnancies with ultrasonography performed in the third trimester between March 2015 and March 2016 in China was conducted. EFW and the corresponding EFWc were measured using the Hadlock and INTERGROWTH-21^st standards, respectively. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the relationship between low EFWc (i.e., <5 percentile, P5) and the risk of APOs. Compared with fetuses with ≥P5 of the EFWc, fetuses with <P5 of the EFWc were much more likely to have an APO, with adjusted hazard ratios of 35.0 (95% confidence interval, 13.9-88.5) and 17.5 (7.7-39.6) for the Hadlock and INTERGROWTH standards, respectively. The Hadlock-EFWc had a higher predictive accuracy for APOs than the INTERGROWTH-EFWc, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.94 (0.92-0.95) and 0.90 (0.87-0.92), respectively (P=0.007). The cutoff value for the INTERGROWTH-EFWc was percentile 11.61 with a sensitivity and specificity of 87.9% and 80.5%, respectively. For the Hadlock-EFWc, the corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 93.9% and 81.2%, with a cutoff value of percentile 8.65. Fetuses with low EFWc (i.e., <P5) were associated with an increased risk of APOs. APOs were more accurately predicted when EFWc was measured by the Hadlock standard than by the INTERGROWTH-21^st standard.

Using fetal abdominal circumference growth velocity in the prediction of adverse outcome in near-term small-for-gestational-age fetuses

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether abdominal circumference growth velocity (ACGV) improves the prediction of perinatal outcome in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses beyond that afforded by estimated fetal weight (EFW) and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR).

METHODS

A cohort of 235 singleton SGA fetuses at 36-38 weeks' gestation was examined. ACGV, EFW and CPR centiles were calculated. ACGV centile was determined using data from a large database of 19-21- and 36-38-week scans in an unselected population. Binary variables of ACGV < 10^th , EFW < 3^rd and CPR < 5^th centiles were defined as abnormal. Two composite adverse outcomes (CAO) were explored: CAO-1 defined as at least one of umbilical artery pH < 7.10, 5-min Apgar score < 7 or neonatal unit admission, and CAO-2 that included in addition hypoglycemia, intrapartum fetal distress and perinatal death. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the relationship between the three risk factors and their predictive value for CAO. The change in screening performance afforded by adding ACGV to EFW and CPR was assessed and receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were calculated.

RESULTS

ACGV < 10^th centile was an independent risk factor for CAO. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios of a predictive model based on EFW < 3^rd centile and CPR < 5^th centile were, respectively, 51%, 70%, 1.71 and 0.69 for CAO-1 and 41%, 70%, 1.39 and 0.83 for CAO-2. After addition of ACGV < 10^th centile to the model, the respective values were 82%, 46%, 1.54 and 0.38 for CAO-1 and 71%, 47%, 1.34 and 0.62 for CAO-2. Using continuous variables, the areas under the ROC curves improved marginally from 0.669 (95% CI, 0.604-0.729) to 0.741 (95% CI, 0.677-0.798) for CAO-1 and from 0.646 (95% CI, 0.580-0.707) to 0.700 (95% CI, 0.633-0.759) for CAO-2 after addition of ACGV to the model.

CONCLUSIONS

ACGV is a risk factor for adverse neonatal outcome that is independent of EFW and of CPR, although any improvement in the prediction of adverse outcome is not statistically significant. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Prediction of adverse perinatal outcome by cerebroplacental ratio adjusted for estimated fetal weight

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the relationship between cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) in low- and high-risk singleton pregnancies. Furthermore, we evaluated the role of CPR in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome and whether CPR measurements adjusted for EFW improve its predictive value.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study including pregnancies in which Doppler investigations of umbilical artery (UA) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) were performed at ≥ 30 weeks' gestation. Pregnancies were allocated to one of three groups according to EFW centile: small-for-gestational age (SGA) with EFW < 10^th centile, appropriate-for-gestational age (AGA) and large-for-gestational age (LGA) with EFW > 90^th centile. CPR was calculated as the ratio between the UA pulsatility index (PI) and MCA-PI and converted to CPR multiples of the median (MoMs) according to the three EFW groups. Linear regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between CPR-MoMs and EFW centiles in low-risk pregnancies. Furthermore, MoMs of CPR adjusted according to EFW centile (aCPR-MoMs) were calculated. Adverse perinatal outcome was defined as presence of pathological cardiotocography (CTG) trace, arterial cord blood pH < 7.1, 5-min Apgar score < 7 and presence of meconium-stained amniotic fluid (MSAF).

RESULTS

A total of 3515 (3016 low risk and 499 high risk) pregnancies, delivered between January 2010 and March 2016, were included. Linear regression analysis revealed a significant positive correlation between EFW centile and CPR-MoM. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis showed a significant association between CPR-MoM and pathological CTG trace (AUC, 0.539; SD, 0.014; P = 0.005) and low Apgar score (AUC, 0.609; SD, 0.041; P = 0.008), but not with low arterial pH or MSAF. There was a significant association between aCPR-MoM and pathological CTG trace (AUC, 0.540; SD, 0.014; P = 0.003), low arterial cord blood pH (AUC, 0.546; SD, 0.022; P = 0.035) and low Apgar score (AUC, 0.609; SD, 0.044; P = 0.008), but not with MSAF. However, detection rates for adverse perinatal outcomes by CPR-MoM and aCPR-MoM were low, ranging from 6.7% to 28.6% for SGA, 12.1% to 22.2% for AGA and 0% to 33.3% for LGA, for a false-positive rate of 10%. In a subgroup analysis of cases in which ultrasound examination was performed at ≥ 34 weeks of gestation and within 4 weeks of delivery (n = 1439), the ROC curves for aCPR-MoM were significantly associated with all four outcomes evaluated.

CONCLUSIONS

CPR-MoM values are dependent on EFW centiles; therefore, we suggest that CPR-MoM should be adjusted for EFW centile. However, both CPR- and aCPR-MoM showed a low prediction rate for adverse perinatal outcome. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Is the fetal cerebroplacental ratio better that the estimated fetal weight in predicting adverse perinatal outcomes in a low risk cohort?

OBJECTIVE

In high-risk pregnancies combining the cerebro-placental ratio (CPR) with the estimated fetal weight (EFW) improves the identification of vulnerable fetuses. The purpose of this study was to assess the CPR and EFW's ability to predict adverse obstetric and perinatal outcomes in a low-risk pregnancy, when measured late in gestation.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of women who birthed at Mater Mothers Hospitals, Brisbane, Australia between 2010 and 2015. We included all nonanomalous singleton pregnancies that had an ultrasound scan performed between 36 and 38 weeks gestation. Excluded was any major congenital abnormality, aneuploidy, multiple pregnancy, preterm birth, maternal hypertension, or diabetes. The primary outcome was a severe composite neonatal outcome (SCNO) defined as severe acidosis (umbilical cord artery pH <7.0, cord lactate ≥6 mmol/L, cord base excess ≤-12 mmol/L) Apgar score ≤3 at 5 minutes, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), and death. A low CPR was defined as <10th centile for gestation and small for gestational age (SGA) was defined as an EFW <10th centile and appropriate for gestational age (AGA) was defined as EFW ≥10th centile.

RESULTS

Of 2425 pregnancies, 13.2% (321/2425) had a fetus with a CPR <10th centile and 13.7% (332/2425) with an EFW <10th centile. Both a low CPR and SGA predicted the SCNO. Individually a low CPR and SGA had sensitivity for detection of SCNO of 23.3% and 24.7%, respectively which increased to 36.7% when combined. Both were associated with emergency caesarean for nonreassuring fetal status (NRFS), as well as early-term birth and admission to NICU. Stratifying the population into EFW <10th centile and EFW ≥10th centile, a low CPR maintained its association with the SCNO, early-term birth and emergency caesarean for NRFS in the cohort with an EFW <10th centile but SCNO lost its association with a low CPR in the EFW >10th cohort. Stratifying the population into CPR <10th centile and CPR >10th centile, a low EFW was associated with early-term birth, induction of labor, admission to NICU, and the SCNO.

CONCLUSIONS

In a low-risk cohort both the CPR and EFW individually and in combination predicts adverse obstetric and perinatal outcomes when measured late in pregnancy. However, the predictive value was enhanced when both were used in combination.