Contingent screening in stratification of pregnancy care based on risk of pre-eclampsia at 19-24 weeks' gestation

Ophthalmic artery Doppler at 36 weeks' gestation in prediction of pre-eclampsia: validation and update of previous model

OBJECTIVE

To validate and extend a model incorporating maternal ophthalmic artery Doppler at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of subsequent development of pre-eclampsia (PE).

METHODS

This was a prospective validation study of screening for PE (defined according to the 2019 American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists criteria) by maternal ophthalmic artery peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio in 6746 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine care at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation (validation dataset). Additionally, the data from the validation dataset were combined with those of 2287 pregnancies that were previously used for development of the model (training dataset), and the combined data were used to update the original model parameters. The competing-risks model was used to estimate the individual patient-specific risk of delivery with PE at any time and within 3 weeks from assessment by a combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history with PSV ratio alone and in combination with the established PE biomarkers of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1). We evaluated the predictive performance of the model by examining, first, the ability to discriminate between the PE and non-PE groups using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve and the detection rate (DR) at fixed screen-positive (SPR) and false-positive rates of 10% and, second, calibration by measuring the calibration slope and calibration-in-the-large. McNemar's test was used to compare the performance of screening by a biophysical test (maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PSV ratio) vs a biochemical test (maternal factors, PlGF and sFlt-1), low PlGF concentration (< 10th percentile) or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio (> 90th percentile).

RESULTS

In the validation dataset, the performance of screening by maternal factors and PSV ratio for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and at any time after assessment was consistent with that in the training dataset, and there was good agreement between the predicted and observed incidence of PE. In the combined data from the training and validation datasets, good prediction for PE was achieved in screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF, sFlt-1 and PSV ratio, with a DR, at a 10% SPR, of 85.0% (95% CI, 76.5-91.4%) for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and 65.7% (95% CI, 59.2-71.7%) for delivery with PE at any time after assessment. The performance of a biophysical test was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio but not significantly different from the performance of a biochemical test combining maternal factors with PlGF and sFlt-1 for both PE within 3 weeks and PE at any time after assessment.

CONCLUSION

Maternal ophthalmic artery PSV ratio at 35-37 weeks' gestation in combination with other biomarkers provides effective prediction of subsequent development of PE. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Ophthalmic artery Doppler at 19-23 weeks' gestation in pregnancies that deliver small-for-gestational-age neonates

OBJECTIVES

First, to explore hemodynamic differences between pregnancies delivering a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate in the absence of hypertensive disorders and those that develop pre-eclampsia (PE) or gestational hypertension (GH), by comparing the ophthalmic artery peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio and first (PSV1) and second (PSV2) PSV at 19-23 weeks' gestation, and second, to compare these pregnancies for markers of placental perfusion and function.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study in women attending for a routine hospital visit at 19 + 1 to 23 + 3 weeks' gestation. This visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, ultrasound examination for assessment of fetal anatomy and growth, and measurement of maternal ophthalmic artery PSV ratio, PSV1, PSV2, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF). The values of PSV ratio, PSV1, PSV2, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF were converted to multiples of the median (MoM) or deltas. Mean MoMs or deltas of these biomarkers in the SGA, PE and GH groups were compared with those in the unaffected group. The definition of SGA was birth weight below the 10^th percentile in the absence of PE or GH.

RESULTS

The study population of 5214 pregnancies contained 4375 (83.9%) that were unaffected by SGA, PE or GH, 563 (10.8%) complicated by SGA, 157 (3.0%) with PE and 119 (2.3%) with GH. There were three main findings of the study. First, in the SGA, PE and GH groups, compared with unaffected pregnancies, the PSV ratio delta, PSV2 MoM, MAP MoM and UtA-PI MoM were increased and PlGF MoM was decreased; however, the magnitude of most changes was smaller in the SGA group than in PE and GH groups. Second, in the PE and GH groups, but not in the SGA group, PSV1 MoM was increased. Third, in general, in the pathological pregnancies, the magnitude of deviation of biomarkers from unaffected pregnancies was greater for those delivering at < 37 than at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation.

CONCLUSION

In mid-gestation, pregnancies that subsequently develop hypertensive disorders and those delivering a SGA neonate, compared with unaffected pregnancies, have abnormal uteroplacental measurements and increased maternal ophthalmic artery PSV ratio. These data suggest similar pathophysiology in the two conditions, with evidence of placental dysfunction and increased peripheral vascular resistance, but the magnitude of abnormalities is greater in hypertensive disorders. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Development and validation of model for prediction of placental dysfunction-related stillbirth from maternal factors, fetal weight and uterine artery Doppler at mid-gestation

OBJECTIVE

To examine the performance of a model combining maternal risk factors, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 19-24 weeks' gestation, for predicting all antepartum stillbirths and those due to impaired placentation, in a training dataset used for development of the model and in a validation dataset.

METHODS

The data for this study were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcome in women with singleton pregnancy attending for routine pregnancy care at 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks' gestation. The study population was divided into a training dataset used to develop prediction models for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth and a validation dataset to which the models were then applied. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop a model based on a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW Z-score and UtA-PI multiples of the normal median. We examined the predictive performance of the model by, first, the ability of the model to discriminate between the stillbirth and live-birth groups, using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and the detection rate (DR) at a fixed false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%, and, second, calibration by measurements of calibration slope and intercept.

RESULTS

The study population of 131 514 pregnancies included 131 037 live births and 477 (0.36%) stillbirths. There are four main findings of this study. First, 92.5% (441/477) of stillbirths were antepartum and 7.5% (36/477) were intrapartum, and 59.2% (261/441) of antepartum stillbirths were observed in association with placental dysfunction and 40.8% (180/441) were unexplained or due to other causes. Second, placental dysfunction accounted for 80.1% (161/201) of antepartum stillbirths at < 32 weeks' gestation, 54.2% (52/96) at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks and 33.3% (48/144) at ≥ 37 weeks. Third, the risk of placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth increased with increasing maternal weight and decreasing maternal height, was 3-fold higher in black than in white women, was 5.5-fold higher in parous women with previous stillbirth than in those with previous live birth, and was increased in smokers, in women with chronic hypertension and in parous women with a previous pregnancy complicated by pre-eclampsia and/or birth of a small-for-gestational-age baby. Fourth, in screening for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI in the validation dataset, the DR at a 10% FPR was 62.3% (95% CI, 57.2-67.4%) and the AUC was 0.838 (95% CI, 0.799-0.878); these results were consistent with those in the dataset used for developing the algorithm and demonstrate high discrimination between affected and unaffected pregnancies. Similarly, the calibration slope was 1.029 and the intercept was -0.009, demonstrating good agreement between the predicted risk and observed incidence of placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth. The performance of screening was better for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth at < 37 weeks' gestation compared to at term (DR at a 10% FPR, 69.8% vs 29.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Screening at mid-gestation by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI can predict a high proportion of placental dysfunction-related stillbirths and, in particular, those that occur preterm. Such screening provides poor prediction of unexplained stillbirth or stillbirth due to other causes. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Every Mother and Every Fetus Matters: A Positive Pregnant Test = Multiple Offerings of Reproductive Risk Screening for personal, family, and specific obstetrical-fetal conditions

Structured OBJECTIVE: The requirement and need for a focused 'pregnant person -centered' antenatal care process with time for informed consent and shared decision making are important for optimal antenatal care. This commentary focuses on the evidenced -based screening test options and timing as part of the overall 'pregnant person-centered' preconception and antenatal care journey.

METHODS

A structured quality improvement (QI) review (Squire 2.0) was undertaken to examine the appropriate reproductive screening process in the periods of preconception and during pregnancy.

RESULTS

First, evaluated the broader antenatal care structure which, second, enabled the directed reproductive risk screening processes to be offered within an informed consent process. Four international pre-conception and antenatal evidenced-based consensus would routinely offer specific gestational age reproductive risk screening elements: totaling 21 screening elements (preconception 3; 1st trimester 9; 2nd trimester 3; 3rd trimester 4; intrapartum 1; postpartum 1).

CONCLUSION

The best evidenced-based opportunity for comprehensive and collaborative antenatal care with appropriate screening elements requires: single national access healthcare system; expert evidenced-based guideline creation; collaborative maternity care providers based for risk assessment, triage, and management; pregnant person (women) centered care model of maternity care; clearly identified evidenced-based gestational age directed screening elements; international pre-conception and antenatal guideline consensus.

Clinical interpretation and implementation of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio in the prediction, diagnosis and management of preeclampsia

Preeclampsia is associated with significant morbidity and mortality for mother and baby. Although around 30% of all pregnancies are evaluated for preeclampsia, diagnosis is difficult, especially in patients who have overlying symptoms from other diseases. Discovery of circulating angiogenic factors in the pathogenesis of preeclampsia has been a major advance for both diagnosis and prognosis. The anti-angiogenic factor, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt-1) and the pro-angiogenic factor, placental growth factor (PlGF), can be measured in plasma and serum and are usually reported as a ratio, which specifically relates to the onset and severity of preeclampsia. The sFlt-1/PlGF ratio has a very high negative predictive value in ruling out the development of preeclampsia within 7 days among women with suspected preeclampsia. Currently, there is no clear consensus on the practical use of angiogenic biomarkers in the detection and management of preeclampsia in routine clinical practice. While major international clinical guidelines exist, they do not define which specific parameters signal patient admission, or outpatient evaluation of suspected preeclampsia, and most clinicians follow local practices. Better guidance is needed on risk stratification among women with suspected preeclampsia, as well as among women at high risk for preeclampsia. Prediction of adverse outcomes in women, after the clinical diagnosis of preeclampsia, is also important. This report has been developed following a meeting of international experts and aims to guide clinicians in the management of pregnant women at risk of preeclampsia using the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio test.