Validation of machine-learning model for first-trimester prediction of pre-eclampsia using cohort from PREVAL study

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning: An Updated Systematic Review of Their Role in Obstetrics and Midwifery

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are rapidly evolving technologies with significant implications in obstetrics and midwifery. This systematic review aims to evaluate the latest advancements in AI and ML applications in obstetrics and midwifery. A search was conducted in three electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science) for studies published between January 1, 2022, and February 20, 2025, using keywords related to AI, ML, obstetrics, and midwifery. The review adhered to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines for updated systematic reviews. Studies were selected based on their focus on AI/ML applications in obstetrics and midwifery, while non-English publications and review studies were excluded. The review included 64 studies, highlighting significant advancements in AI and ML applications across various domains in obstetrics and midwifery. Findings indicate that AI and ML models and systems achieved high accuracy in areas, such as assisted reproduction, diagnosis (e.g., 3D/4D ultrasound and MRI), pregnancy risk assessment (e.g., preeclampsia, gestational diabetes, preterm birth), fetal monitoring, mode of birth, and perinatal outcomes (e.g., mortality rates, postpartum hemorrhage, hypertensive disorders, neonatal respiratory distress). AI and ML have significant potential in transforming obstetric and midwifery care. The great number of studies reporting significant improvements suggests that the widespread adoption of AI and ML in these fields is imminent. Interdisciplinary collaboration between clinicians, data scientists, and policymakers will be crucial in shaping the future of maternal and neonatal healthcare.

Prediction of Preeclampsia Using Machine Learning: A Systematic Review

Preeclampsia is one of the leading causes of maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality. Early prediction is the need of the hour so that interventions like aspirin prophylaxis can be started. Nowadays, machine learning (ML) is increasingly being used to predict the disease and its prognosis. This review explores the methodologies, predictors, and performance of ML models for preeclampsia prediction, emphasizing their comparative advantages, challenges, and clinical applicability. We conducted a systematic search of databases including PubMed, Cochrane, and Scopus for studies published in the last 10 years using terms such as "preeclampsia", "risk factors", "machine learning", "artificial intelligence", and "deep learning". Words and phrases were selected using MeSH, a controlled vocabulary. Appropriate articles were selected using Boolean operators "OR" and "AND". The database search yielded 325 records. After removing duplicates and non-English articles, and completing a title and abstract search 55 research articles were assessed for eligibility of which 11 were included in this review. The risk of bias was found to be high in three of the studies and low in the rest. Clinicodemographic characteristics, laboratory reports, Doppler ultrasound, and some innovative ones like genotypic data and fundal images were predictors used to train ML models. More than ten different ML models were used in the 11 studies from diverse countries like the United States, the United Kingdom, China, and Korea. The area under the curve varied from 0.76 to 0.97. ML algorithms such as extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest, and neural networks consistently demonstrated superior predictive accuracy Non-interpretable or black box ML models may not find clinical application on ethical grounds. The future of preeclampsia prediction using ML lies in balancing model performance with interpretability. Human oversight remains indispensable in implementing and interpreting these models to achieve better maternal outcomes. Further research and validation across diverse populations are critical to establishing the universal applicability of these promising ML-based approaches.

Preeclampsia and its prediction: traditional versus contemporary predictive methods

OBJECTIVE

Preeclampsia (PE) poses a significant threat to maternal and perinatal health, so its early prediction, prevention, and management are of paramount importance to mitigate adverse pregnancy outcomes. This article provides a brief review spanning epidemiology, etiology, pathophysiology, and risk factors associated with PE, mainly discussing the emerging role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) deep learning (DL) technology in predicting PE, to advance the understanding of PE and foster the clinical application of early prediction methods.

METHODS

Our narrative review comprehensively examines the PE epidemiology, etiology, pathophysiology, risk factors and predictive approaches, including traditional models and AI deep learning technology.

RESULTS

Preeclampsia involves a wide range of biological and biochemical risk factors, among which poor uterine artery remodeling, excessive immune response, endothelial dysfunction, and imbalanced angiogenesis play important roles. Traditional PE prediction models exhibit significant limitations in sensitivity and specificity, particularly in predicting late-onset PE, with detection rates ranging from only 30% to 50%. AI models have exhibited a notable level of predictive accuracy and value across various populations and datasets, achieving detection rates of approximately 70%. Particularly, they have shown superior predictive capabilities for late-onset PE, thereby presenting novel opportunities for early screening and management of the condition.

CONCLUSION

AI DL technology holds promise in revolutionizing the prediction and management of PE. AI-based approaches offer a pathway toward more effective risk assessment methods by addressing the shortcomings of traditional prediction models. Ongoing research efforts should focus on expanding databases and validating the performance of AI in diverse populations, leading to the development of more sophisticated prediction models with improved accuracy.

Validation of the first-trimester machine learning model for predicting pre-eclampsia in an Asian population

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the performance of an artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) model for first-trimester screening for pre-eclampsia in a large Asian population.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort study in 10 935 participants with singleton pregnancies attending for routine pregnancy care at 11-13+6 weeks of gestation in seven regions in Asia between December 2016 and June 2018. We applied the AI+ML model for the first-trimester prediction of preterm pre-eclampsia (<37 weeks), term pre-eclampsia (≥37 weeks), and any pre-eclampsia, which was derived and tested in a cohort of pregnant participants in the UK (Model 1). This model comprises maternal factors with measurements of mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, and serum placental growth factor (PlGF). The model was further retrained with adjustments for analyzers used for biochemical testing (Model 2). Discrimination was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The Delong test was used to compare the AUC of Model 1, Model 2, and the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) competing risk model.

RESULTS

The predictive performance of Model 1 was significantly lower than that of the FMF competing risk model in the prediction of preterm pre-eclampsia (0.82, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.87 vs. 0.86, 95% CI 0.811-0.91, P = 0.019), term pre-eclampsia (0.75, 95% CI 0.71-0.80 vs. 0.79, 95% CI 0.75-0.83, P = 0.006), and any pre-eclampsia (0.78, 95% CI 0.74-0.81 vs. 0.82, 95% CI 0.79-0.84, P < 0.001). Following the retraining of the data with adjustments for the PlGF analyzers, the performance of Model 2 for predicting preterm pre-eclampsia, term pre-eclampsia, and any pre-eclampsia was improved with the AUC values increased to 0.84 (95% CI 0.80-0.89), 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.81), and 0.80 (95% CI 0.76-0.83), respectively. There were no differences in AUCs between Model 2 and the FMF competing risk model in the prediction of preterm pre-eclampsia (P = 0.135) and term pre-eclampsia (P = 0.084). However, Model 2 was inferior to the FMF competing risk model in predicting any pre-eclampsia (P = 0.024).

CONCLUSION

This study has demonstrated that following adjustment for the biochemical marker analyzers, the predictive performance of the AI+ML prediction model for pre-eclampsia in the first trimester was comparable to that of the FMF competing risk model in an Asian population.

Machine learning: a new era for cardiovascular pregnancy physiology and cardio-obstetrics research

The maternal cardiovascular system undergoes functional and structural adaptations during pregnancy and postpartum to support increased metabolic demands of offspring and placental growth, labor, and delivery, as well as recovery from childbirth. Thus, pregnancy imposes physiological stress upon the maternal cardiovascular system, and in the absence of an appropriate response it imparts potential risks for cardiovascular complications and adverse outcomes. The proportion of pregnancy-related maternal deaths from cardiovascular events has been steadily increasing, contributing to high rates of maternal mortality. Despite advances in cardiovascular physiology research, there is still no comprehensive understanding of maternal cardiovascular adaptations in healthy pregnancies. Furthermore, current approaches for the prognosis of cardiovascular complications during pregnancy are limited. Machine learning (ML) offers new and effective tools for investigating mechanisms involved in pregnancy-related cardiovascular complications as well as the development of potential therapies. The main goal of this review is to summarize existing research that uses ML to understand mechanisms of cardiovascular physiology during pregnancy and develop prediction models for clinical application in pregnant patients. We also provide an overview of ML platforms that can be used to comprehensively understand cardiovascular adaptations to pregnancy and discuss the interpretability of ML outcomes, the consequences of model bias, and the importance of ethical consideration in ML use.

The Holy Grail of obstetric ultrasound: can artificial intelligence detect hard-to-identify fetal cardiac anomalies?

Linked article: This Editorial comments on articles by Day et al. and Taksøe‐Vester et al.

Prediction model of preeclampsia using machine learning based methods: a population based cohort study in China

Introduction

Preeclampsia is a disease with an unknown pathogenesis and is one of the leading causes of maternal and perinatal morbidity. At present, early identification of high-risk groups for preeclampsia and timely intervention with aspirin is an effective preventive method against preeclampsia. This study aims to develop a robust and effective preeclampsia prediction model with good performance by machine learning algorithms based on maternal characteristics, biophysical and biochemical markers at 11-13 + 6 weeks' gestation, providing an effective tool for early screening and prediction of preeclampsia.

Methods

This study included 5116 singleton pregnant women who underwent PE screening and fetal aneuploidy from a prospective cohort longitudinal study in China. Maternal characteristics (such as maternal age, height, pre-pregnancy weight), past medical history, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, and placental growth factor were collected as the covariates for the preeclampsia prediction model. Five classification algorithms including Logistic Regression, Extra Trees Classifier, Voting Classifier, Gaussian Process Classifier and Stacking Classifier were applied for the prediction model development. Five-fold cross-validation with an 8:2 train-test split was applied for model validation.

Results

We ultimately included 49 cases of preterm preeclampsia and 161 cases of term preeclampsia from the 4644 pregnant women data in the final analysis. Compared with other prediction algorithms, the AUC and detection rate at 10% FPR of the Voting Classifier algorithm showed better performance in the prediction of preterm preeclampsia (AUC=0.884, DR at 10%FPR=0.625) under all covariates included. However, its performance was similar to that of other model algorithms in all PE and term PE prediction. In the prediction of all preeclampsia, the contribution of PLGF was higher than PAPP-A (11.9% VS 8.7%), while the situation was opposite in the prediction of preterm preeclampsia (7.2% VS 16.5%). The performance for preeclampsia or preterm preeclampsia using machine learning algorithms was similar to that achieved by the fetal medicine foundation competing risk model under the same predictive factors (AUCs of 0.797 and 0.856 for PE and preterm PE, respectively).

Conclusions

Our models provide an accessible tool for large-scale population screening and prediction of preeclampsia, which helps reduce the disease burden and improve maternal and fetal outcomes.

Use of Machine Learning for Early Detection of Maternal Cardiovascular Conditions: Retrospective Study Using Electronic Health Record Data

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular conditions (eg, cardiac and coronary conditions, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, and cardiomyopathies) were the leading cause of maternal mortality between 2017 and 2019. The United States has the highest maternal mortality rate of any high-income nation, disproportionately impacting those who identify as non-Hispanic Black or Hispanic. Novel clinical approaches to the detection and diagnosis of cardiovascular conditions are therefore imperative. Emerging research is demonstrating that machine learning (ML) is a promising tool for detecting patients at increased risk for hypertensive disorders during pregnancy. However, additional studies are required to determine how integrating ML and big data, such as electronic health records (EHRs), can improve the identification of obstetric patients at higher risk of cardiovascular conditions.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the capability and timing of a proprietary ML algorithm, Healthy Outcomes for all Pregnancy Experiences-Cardiovascular-Risk Assessment Technology (HOPE-CAT), to detect maternal-related cardiovascular conditions and outcomes.

METHODS

Retrospective data from the EHRs of a large health care system were investigated by HOPE-CAT in a virtual server environment. Deidentification of EHR data and standardization enabled HOPE-CAT to analyze data without pre-existing biases. The ML algorithm assessed risk factors selected by clinical experts in cardio-obstetrics, and the algorithm was iteratively trained using relevant literature and current standards of risk identification. After refinement of the algorithm's learned risk factors, risk profiles were generated for every patient including a designation of standard versus high risk. The profiles were individually paired with clinical outcomes pertaining to cardiovascular pregnancy conditions and complications, wherein a delta was calculated between the date of the risk profile and the actual diagnosis or intervention in the EHR.

RESULTS

In total, 604 pregnancies resulting in birth had records or diagnoses that could be compared against the risk profile; the majority of patients identified as Black (n=482, 79.8%) and aged between 21 and 34 years (n=509, 84.4%). Preeclampsia (n=547, 90.6%) was the most common condition, followed by thromboembolism (n=16, 2.7%) and acute kidney disease or failure (n=13, 2.2%). The average delta was 56.8 (SD 69.7) days between the identification of risk factors by HOPE-CAT and the first date of diagnosis or intervention of a related condition reported in the EHR. HOPE-CAT showed the strongest performance in early risk detection of myocardial infarction at a delta of 65.7 (SD 81.4) days.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides additional evidence to support ML in obstetrical patients to enhance the early detection of cardiovascular conditions during pregnancy. ML can synthesize multiday patient presentations to enhance provider decision-making and potentially reduce maternal health disparities.

Development and validation of nomograms to predict clinical outcomes of preeclampsia

Background

Preeclampsia (PE) is one of the most severe pregnancy-related diseases; however, there is still a lack of reliable biomarkers. In this study, we aimed to develop models for predicting early-onset PE, severe PE, and the gestation duration of patients with PE.

Methods

Eligible patients with PE were enrolled and divided into a training (n = 253) and a validation (n = 108) cohort. Multivariate logistic and Cox models were used to identify factors associated with early-onset PE, severe PE, and the gestation duration of patients with PE. Based on significant factors, nomograms were developed and evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and a calibration curve.

Results

In the training cohort, multiple gravidity experience (p = 0.005), lower albumin (ALB; p < 0.001), and higher lactate dehydrogenase (LDH; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with early-onset PE. Abortion history (p = 0.017), prolonged thrombin time (TT; p < 0.001), and higher aspartate aminotransferase (p = 0.002) and LDH (p = 0.003) were significantly associated with severe PE. Abortion history (p < 0.001), gemellary pregnancy (p < 0.001), prolonged TT (p < 0.001), higher mean platelet volume (p = 0.014) and LDH (p < 0.001), and lower ALB (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with shorter gestation duration. Three nomograms were developed and validated to predict the probability of early-onset PE, severe PE, and delivery time for each patient with PE. The AUC showed good predictive performance, and the calibration curve and decision curve analysis demonstrated clinical practicability.

Conclusion

Based on the clinical features and peripheral blood laboratory indicators, we identified significant factors and developed models to predict early-onset PE, severe PE, and the gestation duration of pregnant women with PE, which could help clinicians assess the clinical outcomes early and design appropriate strategies for patients.

Prediction of Intrauterine Growth Restriction and Preeclampsia Using Machine Learning-Based Algorithms: A Prospective Study

(1) Background: Prenatal care providers face a continuous challenge in screening for intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) and preeclampsia (PE). In this study, we aimed to assess and compare the predictive accuracy of four machine learning algorithms in predicting the occurrence of PE, IUGR, and their associations in a group of singleton pregnancies; (2) Methods: This observational prospective study included 210 singleton pregnancies that underwent first trimester screenings at our institution. We computed the predictive performance of four machine learning-based methods, namely decision tree (DT), naïve Bayes (NB), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF), by incorporating clinical and paraclinical data; (3) Results: The RF algorithm showed superior performance for the prediction of PE (accuracy: 96.3%), IUGR (accuracy: 95.9%), and its subtypes (early onset IUGR, accuracy: 96.2%, and late-onset IUGR, accuracy: 95.2%), as well as their association (accuracy: 95.1%). Both SVM and NB similarly predicted IUGR (accuracy: 95.3%), while SVM outperformed NB (accuracy: 95.8 vs. 94.7%) in predicting PE; (4) Conclusions: The integration of machine learning-based algorithms in the first-trimester screening of PE and IUGR could improve the overall detection rate of these disorders, but this hypothesis should be confirmed in larger cohorts of pregnant patients from various geographical areas.