N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide levels predict newly detected atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort

Association between NT-proBNP levels and risk of atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a well-established biomarker in clinical practice, particularly for heart failure, but its role in predicting atrial fibrillation (AF) risk is not fully understood. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between NT-proBNP levels and AF incidence, and to explore the potential of NT-proBNP in enhancing AF risk prediction models.

METHODS

We systematically searched databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science and Scopus) up to August 2024 for prospective studies that reported associations between baseline NT-proBNP levels and incident AF. HRs or relative risks (RRs) with 95% CIs were pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

This analysis included 136 089 participants from 16 cohorts, with 8017 incident AF cases. Elevated NT-proBNP levels were associated with a higher risk of developing AF (top vs bottom quartile, RR=3.84, 95% CI 3.03 to 4.87; per SD increment, RR=1.70, 95% CI 1.54 to 1.88). A significant non-linear dose-response relationship was observed (Pnon-linearity<0.05), and stronger associations were noted in older populations and when serum samples were used. Adding NT-proBNP to traditional AF risk models improved predictive accuracy, suggesting its value in AF risk stratification.

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP levels are strongly associated with an increased risk of AF, particularly in older adults. Incorporating NT-proBNP into risk prediction models may enhance early identification of individuals at risk of AF, with potential implications for population-based screening.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42024538714.

Biomarker-based prediction of sinus rhythm in atrial fibrillation patients: the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), recurrent AF and sinus rhythm during follow-up are determined by interactions between cardiovascular disease processes and rhythm control therapy. Predictors of attaining sinus rhythm at follow-up are not well known.

METHODS

To quantify the interaction between cardiovascular disease processes and rhythm outcomes, 14 biomarkers reflecting AF-related cardiovascular disease processes in 1586 patients in the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study (71 years old, 45% women) were quantified at baseline. Mixed logistic regression models including clinical features were constructed for each biomarker. Biomarkers were interrogated for interaction with early rhythm control. Outcome was sinus rhythm at 12 months. Results were validated at 24 months and in external datasets.

RESULTS

Higher baseline concentrations of three biomarkers were independently associated with a lower chance of sinus rhythm at 12 months: angiopoietin 2 (ANGPT2) (odds ratio [OR] .76 [95% confidence interval .65-.89], P < .001), bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) (OR .83 [.71-.97], P = .017), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (OR .73 [.60-.88], P < .001). Analysis of rhythm at 24 months confirmed the results. Early rhythm control interacted with the predictive potential of NT-proBNP (Pinteraction = .033). The predictive effect of NT-proBNP was reduced in patients randomized to early rhythm control (usual care: OR .64 [.51-.80], P < .001; early rhythm control: OR .90 [.69-1.18], P = .453). External validation confirmed that low concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP predict sinus rhythm during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Low concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP identify patients with AF who are likely to attain sinus rhythm during follow-up. The predictive ability of NT-proBNP is attenuated in patients receiving rhythm control.

The role of NT-proBNP in screening for atrial fibrillation in hypertensive disease

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) screening should be considered in elderly patients with high risk of stroke, which include individuals with hypertension. The biomarker N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) can predict incident AF and is increased in hypertensive individuals. The aim of this study is to investigate the incidence of screening-detected AF in elderly individuals in relation to NT-proBNP and hypertension.

Methods

STROKESTOP II is a randomized controlled trial in which 75/76-years-old individuals were invited to a screening study for AF using NT-proBNP as a discriminator of high risk. In this sub-study, a prior hypertension diagnosis was self-reported by participants and measured blood pressure was stratified into hypertension-grades. Individuals with both increased blood pressure (≥140 mmHg) and NT-proBNP ≥ 125 ng/L were defined as a high-risk group. The lowest risk-group was defined as normotensive participants with NT-proBNP < 125 ng/L.

Results

NT-proBNP increased gradually for every hypertension-grade above hypertension-grade 1 compared to normotensive participants. Screening-detected AF was most common in normotensive participants with increased NT-proBNP (n = 90/1922, 4.7 %), followed by patients with both NT-proBNP > 125 ng/l and SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, (AF = 65/1741, 3.7 %) compared to the low-risk group (AF = 2/1444, 0.1 %), p < 0.001.

Conclusion

NT-proBNP is elevated in elderly patients with hypertension and increases with grades of hypertensive disease. NT-proBNP is a strong predictor of AF regardless of high blood pressure, and the risk for screening-detected AF is very low in participants with normal blood pressure and low NT-proBNP. A combination of blood pressure and NT-proBNP could identify suitable participants for AF screening.

AI-Enabled CT Cardiac Chamber Volumetry Predicts Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke Comparable to MRI

Background

AI-CAC provides more actionable information than the Agatston coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. We have recently shown in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) that AI-CAC automated left atrial (LA) volumetry enabled prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) as early as 1 year.

Objectives

In this study, the authors evaluated the performance of AI-CAC LA volumetry versus LA measured by human experts using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMRI) for predicting incident AF and stroke and compared them with Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology model for atrial fibrillation (CHARGE-AF) risk score, Agatston score, and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

Methods

We used 15-year outcomes data from 3,552 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, age 61.7 ± 10.2 years) who underwent both CAC scans and CMRI in the MESA baseline examination. CMRI LA volume was previously measured by human experts. Data on NT-proBNP, CHARGE-AF risk score, and the Agatston score were obtained from MESA. Discrimination was assessed using the time-dependent area under the curve.

Results

Over 15 years follow-up, 562 cases of AF and 140 cases of stroke accrued. The area under the curve for AI-CAC versus CMRI volumetry for AF (0.802 vs 0.798) and stroke (0.762 vs 0.751) were not significantly different. AI-CAC LA significantly improved the continuous net reclassification index for prediction of 5-year AF when added to CHARGE-AF risk score (0.23), NT-proBNP (0.37, 0.37), and Agatston score (0.44) (P for all <0.0001).

Conclusions

AI-CAC automated LA volumetry and CMRI LA volume measured by human experts similarly predicted incident AF and stroke over 15 years. Further studies to investigate the clinical utility of AI-CAC for AF and stroke prediction are warranted.

AI-enabled left atrial volumetry in coronary artery calcium scans (AI-CACTM) predicts atrial fibrillation as early as one year, improves CHARGE-AF, and outperforms NT-proBNP: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported.

METHODS

We have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CACTM) to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45-84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000-2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). AI-CAC took on average 21 ​s per CAC scan. We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and assessed discrimination using the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP. The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9 ​± ​1.4 years.

RESULTS

At 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF for Years 1, 2, and 3 (0.83 vs. 0.74, 0.84 vs. 0.80, and 0.81 vs. 0.78, respectively, all p ​< ​0.05), but similar for Years 4 and 5, and significantly higher than NT-proBNP at Years 1-5 (all p ​< ​0.01), but not for combined CHARGE-AF and NT-proBNP at any year. AI-CAC LA significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1-5 when added to CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and NT-proBNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) (all p ​< ​0.01).

CONCLUSION

AI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP.

AI-enabled Left Atrial Volumetry in Cardiac CT Scans Improves CHARGE-AF and Outperforms NT-ProBNP for Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation in Asymptomatic Individuals: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported.

Methods

We have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CAC), taking on average 21 seconds per CAC scan, to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45-84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000-2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and compared the time-dependent AUC of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP (BNP). The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9±1.4 years.

Results

At 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF or BNP at year 1 (0.836, 0.742, 0.742), year 2 (0.842, 0.807,0.772), and year 3 (0.811, 0.785, 0.745) (p<0.02), but similar for year 4 (0.785, 0.769, 0.725) and year 5 (0.781, 0.767, 0.734) respectively (p>0.05). AI-CAC LA volume significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1-5 when added to CAC score (0.74, 0.49, 0.53, 0.39, 0.44), CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and BNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) respectively (p<0.01).

Conclusion

AI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and BNP.

Nutritional Status as a Risk Factor for New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Acute Myocardial Infarction

Purpose

Our study aimed to identify new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) risk factors in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients after treatment with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and investigate whether their nutritional status can be a predicting factor of NOAF.

Patients and Methods

We analyzed 662 AMI patients after PCI for NOAF occurrence during follow-up hospitalization and divided them into an NOAF and non-NOAF group. The patients' nutritional status was assessed using the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score and geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI). The Kaplan‒Meier analysis was used to assess NOAF-free survival in varying degrees of malnutrition. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify the risk factors for NOAF.

Results

Eighty-four (12.7%) patients developed NOAF during hospitalization. There was a statistically significant difference in the occurrence of NOAF among different categories of nutritional status. The CONUT score and GNRI classifications were independent predictors of NOAF. NOAF occurrence was associated with older age, higher uric acid levels, higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels, greater left atrial size, and worse Killip class upon admission.

Conclusion

The nutritional status can affect NOAF occurrence in AMI patients after PCI. The CONUT score and GNRI are ideal tools for evaluating the nutritional status of AMI patients, with an excellent predictive effect on NOAF.

Markers of Inflammation, Oxidative Stress, and Fibrosis in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia in clinical practice. The pathogenesis of AF is linked to inflammatory reaction and oxidative stress, which leads to fibrosis of the atria and progression of the disease. The purpose of this study was to define the role of several biomarkers of inflammation, fibrosis, and oxidative stress (OxS). We included 75 patients with paroxysmal/persistent AF, who were admitted for electrical cardioversion or pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), galectin-3 (Gal-3), myeloperoxidase (MPO), oxidized low-density lipoprotein (oxLDL), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were measured before the procedures. We compared the results with those of 75 healthy age-, sex-, and blood pressure-matched individuals. The patients were followed up for 1 year after the intervention to establish the recurrence of AF and its association with the measured markers. Patients with AF had higher MPO (52.6 vs. 36.2 ng/ml, p < 0.001) and NT-proBNP (209.0 vs. 28.0 pg/ml, p < 0.001) compared to healthy subjects. Also, they showed significantly higher levels of hsCRP (1.5 vs. 1.1 mg/l, p = 0.001) and Gal-3 (11.4 vs. 9.7 mg/l, p = 0.003), while there was no difference found in oxLDL (71.5 vs. 71.7 U/l, p = 0.449). MPO (OR = 1.012, p = 0.014), hsCRP (OR = 1.265, p = 0.026), and weight (OR = 1.029, p = 0.013) were independently associated with AF in a multivariable logistic regression analysis. Patients with successful maintenance of sinus rhythm (SR) for one year had lower baseline MPO (40.5 vs. 84.3 ng/ml, p = 0.005) and NT-proBNP (127.5 vs. 694.0 pg/ml, p < 0.001) compared to patients with recurrent AF episodes, but there was no difference in hsCRP, Gal-3, or oxLDL between them. MPO (OR = 0.985, p = 0.010) was independently associated with AF recurrence during the follow-up period when adjusted for cofounders. Patients with AF had increased markers of inflammation and fibrosis, while there was no increase detected in the OxS marker oxLDL. MPO was independently associated with AF in a multivariate model. Inflammatory and fibrotic mechanisms are important factors in electrical and structural remodelling progress in the atria of patients with AF.

Screening for precapillary pulmonary hypertension in chronic myeloproliferative disorders: the role of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and vascular endothelial growth factor - a pilot study

INTRODUCTION

Precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH) implies a worse prognosis in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN). N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is elevated in cardiopulmonary involvement. In MPN patients with precapillary PH, elevated vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) values, but in left heart (LH) disease patients, decreased values were reported. Our aim was to determine whether a combination of NT-proBNP and VEGF is suitable for the detection of the precapillary forms of PH in MPN patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Eighty-one MPN patients were investigated. Pulmonary hypertension was defined as Doppler-derived systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) ≥ 40 mm Hg. Patient groups with cardiopulmonary involvement (precapillary PH, PH due to LH disease, left ventricular ejection fraction < 50%, atrial fibrillation) or LH disease (PH due to LH disease, left ventricular ejection fraction < 50%, atrial fibrillation) were identified.

RESULTS

In 9 patients PH was associated with LH disease. In 2 patients precapillary PH was found with extremely high NT-proBNP values. NT-proBNP significantly correlated with sPAP (r = 0.550; p < 0.001). NT-proBNP ≥ 466 pg/ml was the best predictor of cardiopulmonary involvement (AUC: 0.962, sensitivity: 86.7%, specificity: 93.9%). No correlation was found between VEGF levels and sPAP values. VEGF ≤ 431 pg/ml was the best predictor of LH disease (AUC: 0.609, sensitivity: 76.9%, specificity: 62.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP levels reflect cardiopulmonary involvement with high accuracy, but the combination of NT-proBNP and VEGF is not suitable for the detection of precapillary PH as the diagnostic power of VEGF is limited. Highly elevated NT-proBNP levels may suggest precapillary PH but further investigation is necessary for the exclusion of LH disease or atrial fibrillation.

Serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide as a predictor for future development of atrial fibrillation in a general population: the Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

Biomarkers for predicting future development of atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been fully established in general populations. The aim of this study was to assess the predictive ability of serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for the development of AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 3126 community-dwelling Japanese subjects aged ≥ 40 years without a history of AF in 2002 were followed up for a median of 10.2 years. Serum NT-proBNP levels at baseline were divided into four categories (≤ 54, 55-124, 125-299, and ≥ 300 pg/mL) according to the current guidelines and prior reports. The hazard ratios for the development of AF were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up period, 153 subjects developed new-onset AF. The age- and sex-adjusted cumulative incidence of AF increased significantly with higher serum NT-proBNP levels (p < 0.001 for trend). The association remained significant after adjustment for known risk factors for AF and cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: ≤ 54 pg/mL: 1.00 [reference]; 55-124 pg/mL: 1.72 [1.00-2.97]; 125-299 pg/mL: 3.95 [2.23-6.98]; ≥ 300 pg/mL: 8.51 [4.48-16.17]; p < 0.001 for trend). Furthermore, incorporation of serum NT-proBNP levels into the model consisting of known risk factors for AF and cardiovascular disease significantly improved the predictive ability for developing AF (Harrell's c-statistics: 0.828 to 0.844, p = 0.01; continuous net reclassification improvement: 0.41, p < 0.001; integrated discrimination improvement: 0.031, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum NT-proBNP levels can be a risk biomarker for predicting future development of AF in a general Japanese population.

Atrial Fibrillation and Anticoagulation in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) represents a common inherited cardiac disorder with well-known complications Including stroke and sudden cardiac death. There is a recognised association between HCM and the development of AF. This review describes the epidemiology of AF within the HCM population and analyses the risk factors for the development of AF. It further discusses the outcomes associated with AF in this population, including the evidence in support of higher stroke risk in patients with HCM with AF compared with the general AF population. Finally, the evidence and recommendations for anticoagulation in this patient group are addressed.

Baseline NT-ProBNP level predicts success of cardioversion of atrial fibrillation with flecainide

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute-onset symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) can be treated with flecainide. However, flecainide may induce arrhythmias and/or exaggerate heart failure. Therefore, validated markers to predict the efficacy of flecainide and prevent adverse effects are required. We hypothesised that lower NT-proBNP plasma levels correlate with higher success rates of cardioversion with flecainide in patients with AF.

METHODS

In this prospective single-centre study, we included 112 subsequent patients with acute-onset (< 24 h) symptomatic AF. Patients with symptoms of heart failure and ECG signs of ischaemia were excluded. Baseline laboratory measurements, including NT-proBNP, were done. Echocardiograms were performed ~ 2 weeks after restoration of SR.

RESULTS

Cardioversion with flecainide was successful in 91 patients (87 %). NT-proBNP was lower in patients with successful cardioversion (P < 0.001). Logistic regression indicated NT-proBNP as an independent predictor of successful cardioversion. A cut-off NT-proBNP value of 1550 pg/ml provided optimal test accuracy to predict successful cardioversion.

CONCLUSION

In patients with < 24 h of symptomatic AF, NT-proBNP levels up to 1550 pg/ml correlate with high success rates (94 %) of cardioversion with flecainide. Conversely, NT-proBNP higher than 1550 pg/ml correlates with poor success rates (36 %). Further research is needed to validate the predictive value of NT-proBNP for successful cardioversion with flecainide.

Correlation between N-Terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide and Doppler Echocardiographic Parameters of Left Ventricular Filling Pressure in Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia with a population prevalence of about 1%. Natriuretic peptide level is elevated in patients with AF with diastolic dysfunction even with a normal left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction. The N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level and Doppler echocardiographic parameters for diastolic function have shown correlation with LV filling pressures. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between echocardiographic parameters and serum NT-proBNP in patients with AF with preserved LV ejection fraction.

Methods

We examined transthoracic echocardiography and NT-proBNP levels in the patients with AF and patients with sinus rhythm. Blood samples were taken for serum NT-proBNP measurements within 24 hours of echocardiographic examination. The group 1 was the patients with sinus rhythm (n = 30, mean age 68 ± 13 years) and the group 2 was the patients with AF (n = 33, mean age 70 ± 14 years).

Results

The group 2 patients had significantly higher mitral E, E' (lateral annulus), E/E' (septal annulus), left atrial (LA) volume index, LA size, pulmonary vein diastolic velocity, and NT-proBNP level than those of group 1 patients (p < 0.05). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve showed a NT-proBNP had good diagnostic power for E/E' (septal annulus) > 15 in patients with AF at cutoff value of 433 pg/mL.

Conclusion

NT-proBNP level is well correlated with Doppler echocardiographic parameters of diastolic function in patients with AF and preserved LV ejection fraction. NT-proBNP level more than 433 pg/mL may suggest elevated LV filling pressure in patients with AF.

Natriuretic peptide levels predict recurrence of atrial fibrillation after radiofrequency catheter ablation

BACKGROUND

the presence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is related to increased levels of natriuretic peptides. In addition, increased natriuretic peptide levels are predictive of the development of AF. However, the role of natriuretic peptides to predict recurrence of AF after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) is controversial.

OBJECTIVE

the study aimed to investigate the role of natriuretic peptides in the prediction of AF recurrence after RFCA for AF.

METHODS

pre-procedural amino-terminal pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (NT-proANP) and amino-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) plasma levels were determined in 87 patients undergoing RFCA for symptomatic drug-refractory AF. In addition, a comprehensive clinical and echocardiographic evaluation was performed at baseline. Left atrial volumes, left ventricular volumes, and function (systolic and diastolic) were assessed. During a 6-month follow-up period, AF recurrence was monitored and defined as any registration of AF on electrocardiogram or an episode of AF longer than 30 seconds on 24-hour Holter monitoring. The role of natriuretic peptide plasma levels to predict AF recurrence after RFCA was studied.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 66 patients (76%) maintained sinus rhythm, whereas 21 patients (24%) had AF recurrence. Patients with AF recurrence had higher baseline natriuretic peptide levels than patients who maintained sinus rhythm (NT-proANP 3.19 nmol/L [2.55-4.28] vs 2.52 nmol/L [1.69-3.55], P = .030; NT-proBNP 156.4 pg/mL [64.1-345.3] vs 84.6 pg/mL [43.3-142.7], P = .036). However, NT-proBNP was an independent predictor of AF recurrence, whereas NT-proANP was not. Moreover, NT-proBNP had an incremental value over echocardiographic characteristics to predict AF recurrence after RFCA.

CONCLUSION

baseline NT-proBNP plasma level is an independent predictor of AF recurrence after RFCA.

Relations of biomarkers of distinct pathophysiological pathways and atrial fibrillation incidence in the community

BACKGROUND

Biomarkers of multiple pathophysiological pathways have been related to incident atrial fibrillation (AF), but their predictive ability remains controversial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 3120 Framingham cohort participants (mean age 58.4+/-9.7 years, 54% women), we related 10 biomarkers that represented inflammation (C-reactive protein and fibrinogen), neurohormonal activation (B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] and N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide), oxidative stress (homocysteine), the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (renin and aldosterone), thrombosis and endothelial function (D-dimer and plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1), and microvascular damage (urinary albumin excretion; n=2673) to incident AF (n=209, 40% women) over a median follow-up of 9.7 years (range 0.05 to 12.8 years). In multivariable-adjusted analyses, the biomarker panel was associated with incident AF (P<0.0001). In stepwise-selection models (P<0.01 for entry and retention), log-transformed BNP (hazard ratio per SD 1.62, 95% confidence interval 1.41 to 1.85, P<0.0001) and C-reactive protein (hazard ratio 1.25, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.45, P=0.004) were chosen. The addition of BNP to variables recently combined in a risk score for AF increased the C-statistic from 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.75 to 0.81) to 0.80 (95% confidence interval 0.78 to 0.83) and showed an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.03 (95% confidence interval 0.02 to 0.04, P<0.0001), with 34.9% relative improvement in reclassification analysis. The combined analysis of BNP and C-reactive protein did not appreciably improve risk prediction over the model that incorporated BNP in addition to the risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

BNP is a predictor of incident AF and improves risk stratification based on well-established clinical risk factors. Whether knowledge of BNP concentrations may be used to target individuals at risk of AF for more intensive monitoring or primary prevention requires further investigation.

Impact of atrial fibrillation on NT-proBNP levels in a 75-year-old population

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on serum levels of N-terminal fragment of pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in a 75-year-old population.

METHODS

All 75-year-old citizens in Asker and Baerum counties in Norway were invited to participate in a prevalence study of AF. Blood samples for measurement of NT-proBNP were collected at rest from 61 subjects with AF and a gender-matched control group of 126 subjects in sinus rhythm. NT-proBNP was measured in serum using the Elecsys proBNP sandwich immunoassay (Roche Diagnostics, Basel, Switzerland).

RESULTS

Subjects with permanent AF had higher levels of NT-proBNP (median 1119 pg/mL (interquartile range 701, 1643)) than subjects with paroxysmal AF (257 pg/mL (169, 382)) and controls (95 pg/mL (60, 171)), p<0.001 for both.The presence of AF was still significantly associated with higher log NT-proBNP (B=0.61, p<0.001) after adjusting for the presence of heart failure, coronary heart disease and hypertension.

CONCLUSION

In this stable, out-of-hospital population of 75-year-old subjects, AF was independently associated with increased levels of NT-proBNP. Permanent AF was associated with higher NT-proBNP levels than paroxysmal AF.

Perindopril decreases P wave dispersion in patients with stage 1 hypertension

INTRODUCTION

Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors prevent atrial fibrillation episodes by effective control of blood pressure and improving electrical and structural remodelling in the atria. Increased P wave dispersion (PWD) is a non-invasive electrocardiographic marker for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. The aim of the study was to evaluate the effect of perindopril treatment on PWD in hypertensive patients.

METHODS

Forty-eight hypertensive patients (mean age 57.4+/-11.8 years, 18 men) were included. Blood pressure values were determined and 12-lead electrocardiograms were recorded at the beginning and at the first week, first month, third month and sixth month of the perindopril treatment.The difference between maximum and minimum P wave durations was calculated as PWD.

RESULTS

PWDs were significantly shortened at the first, third and sixth months (41.7+/-8.8 ms, 39.1+/-6.9 ms and 38.3+/-7.1 ms, respectively) compared with baseline and first-week measurements (54.3+/-9.2 ms and 49.0+/-9.1 ms, respectively, p<0.001). Baseline PWD was correlated with body mass index (r=0.32, p=0.026), while PWD at the sixth month of treatment was significantly correlated with left atrial volume index (r=0.30, p=0.042). Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that PWD at the sixth month was related to baseline PWD (p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

Perindopril treatment significantly reduced PWD in hypertensive patients.

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and atrial fibrillation

NT-proBNP is produced from both atria and ventricles. The primary regulation of production is at the synthesis level. The plasma half-life of NT-proBNP is 60-120 min. Cutoff value of NT-proBNP for diagnosis of heart failure is 125 pg/ml in the age group below 75 years and 450 pg/ml in the age group above 75 years. It increases in atrial fibrillation and drops after successful cardioversion. High levels predict development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in healthy persons with sinus rhythm (SR). Some studies concluded that baseline level predicts maintenance of SR after cardioversion of AF while some others found that it did not. Many studies have proven that it is useful in monitoring rhythm stability after cardioversion of AF. Since it is increased in many other conditions, out of which some may also cause AF, care must be taken before ascribing changes in its level to AF alone.

N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide levels predict newly detected atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort

BACKGROUND

B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is secreted from cardiomyocytes and may reflect haemodynamic abnormalities predisposing to atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to investigate whether N-terminal pro BNP (NT-proBNP) is associated with newly detected AF in subjects obtained from the general population.

METHODS

From the PREVEND programme (n=8592), we selected all subjects with an available baseline and four-year electrocardiogram and NTproBNP levels at baseline. We excluded subjects with AF at baseline and subjects with a serum creatinine >2.0 mg/dl.

RESULTS

In total, 6494 subjects were eligible for the prospective analysis (aged 49+/-12 years, 49.7% men). At four years, AF was detected in 41 (0.6%) subjects. Median NT-proBNP levels at baseline in subjects with newly detected AF after four years was 62.2 (22.6 to 208.5) pg/ml as compared with 35.7 (15.9 to 68.7) pg/ml in those with sinus rhythm (p=0.001). Each 1 standard deviation increment in natural log transformed NT-proBNP was associated with a 54% (5% to 126%, p=0.028) increase in risk for AF after adjustment for other risk factors predisposing to AF. NT-proBNP levels above the sex-specific 80th percentile (97 pg/ml in women and 60 pg/ml in men) were associated with a multivariate odds ratio of 2.65 (1.22 to 5.76, p=0.01) for the occurrence of AF.

CONCLUSION

Plasma levels of NT-proBNP predict newly detected AF in subjects obtained from the general population independent of cardiovascular risk factors predisposing to AF. (Neth Heart J 2008;16:73-8.).