Predictive and prognostic value of tumor volume and its changes during radical radiotherapy of stage III non-small cell lung cancer : A systematic review

Predicting Individual Tumor Response Dynamics in Locally Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Radiation Therapy: A Mathematical Modelling Study

PURPOSE

To predict individual tumor responses to radiation therapy (RT) in non-small cell lung cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The proliferation saturation index (PSI) model, which models tumor dynamics in response to RT as an instantaneous reduction in tumor volume, was fit to n = 162 patients with 4 distinct dose fractionation schedules (30-32 fractions × 2 Gy, 23-24 fractions × 2.75 Gy, 32-42 fractions × 1.8 Gy, and 30 fractions × 1.5 Gy Bidaily, followed by 5-12 fractions × 2 Gy daily). Following initial training, the predictive power of the model was tested using only the first 3 tumor volume measurements as measured on daily imaging. The remainder of tumor volume regression during RT was simulated using the PSI model. Comparisons of the measured to the simulated volumes were made using scatter plots, coefficient of determination (R2), and Pearson correlation coefficient values.

RESULTS

The PSI model predicted tumor volume regression during RT with a high degree of accuracy. Comparison of the measured versus predicted volumes resulted in R2 values of 0.968, 0.954, 0.968, and 0.937, and Pearson correlation coefficient values of 0.984, 0.977, 0.984, and 0.968 in the 2 Gy, 1.8 Gy, 2.75 Gy, and Bidaily groups, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The proliferation saturation model can predict, with a high degree of accuracy, non-small cell lung cancer tumor volume regression in response to RT in 4 distinct dose fractionation schedules.

Tumor volume change at radiation boost planning to estimate the response to chemoradiotherapy in stage III unresectable NSCLC (TORCH): a multicenter retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in UICC stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) after definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) can be increased with consolidating immunotherapy. Recent studies have shown a strong predictive value of gross tumor volume (GTV) changes during CRT on OS. The TORCH trial investigated the prognostic impact of GTV changes during CRT as a predictor for a response to immunotherapy.

METHODS

This retrospective non-interventional observational multicenter trial included n = 203 patients from 10 German university centers for radiation oncology with confirmed inoperable NSCLC in UICC stage III A-C. Patients had received CRT between 2015 and 2023 as a curative-intent treatment approach. Patient and tumor characteristics were collected anonymously via electronic case report forms. Initial GTVs before CRT (initial planning CT, GTV1) and at 40-50 Gy (re-planning CT for radiation boost, GTV2) were delineated. Absolute and relative GTV changes before/during CRT were correlated with OS to predict the response to CRT with sequential immunotherapy. Hazard ratios (HR) of survival analyses were estimated using adjusted Cox regression models.

RESULTS

The mean GTV1 before radiation therapy (RT) was 145.29 ml with the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles being 61.36 ml, 145.29 ml, and 204.93 ml, respectively. Before initiation of the radiation boost, the mean GTV2 was 99.58 ml, with the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles at 32.93 ml, 70.45 ml, and 126.85 ml. The HR for the impact of GTV1 on survival was 0.99 per ml (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99-1.00; p = 0.49). For the absolute volume change between GTV1 and GTV2, the HR was 1.004 per ml (95% CI 0.997-1.011; p = 0.26). In a subgroup analysis of patients who were treated with durvalumab, absolute volume changes between GTV1 and GTV2 were associated with longer OS (HR = 0.955 per ml; 95% CI 0.916-0.996; p = 0.03). Overall, durvalumab treatment was positively associated with OS, demonstrating an HR of 0.454 (95% CI 0.209-0.990; p = 0.047).

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment GTV and absolute GTV volume changes did not significantly correlate with OS. However, the absolute volume change between the pretreatment and replanning GTV was associated with longer OS in patients treated with durvalumab. Histological subtype, grading, UICC stage, age at onset, pulmonary comorbidities, and smoking status had no significant association with OS. Durvalumab treatment was associated with improved OS.

Prognostic and Predictive Biomarkers of Oligometastatic NSCLC: New Insights and Clinical Applications

This review discusses the current data on predictive and prognostic biomarkers in oligometastatic NSCLC and discusses whether biomarkers identified in other stages and widespread metastatic disease can be extrapolated to the oligometastatic disease (OMD) setting. Research is underway to explore the prognostic and predictive value of biological attributes of tumor tissue, circulating cells, the tumor microenvironment, and imaging findings as biomarkers of oligometastatic NSCLC. Biomarkers that help define true OMD and predict outcomes are needed for patient selection for oligometastatic treatment, and to avoid futile treatments in patients that will not benefit from locoregional treatment. Nevertheless, these biomarkers are still in the early stages of development and lack prospective validation in clinical trials. Furthermore, the absence of a clear definition of OMD contributes to a heterogeneous study population in which different types of OMD are mixed and treatment strategies are different. Multiple tissue-based, circulating, and imaging features are promising regarding their prognostic and predictive role in NSCLC, but data is still limited and might be biased owing to the inclusion of heterogeneous patient populations. Larger homogeneous and prospective series are needed to assess the prognostic and predictive role of these biomarkers. As obtaining tissue can be difficult and is invasive, the most promising tools for further evaluation are liquid biopsies and imaging-based biomarkers as these can also be used for longitudinal follow-up.

Predictive value of primary tumor volume change during concurrent chemoradiotherapy in patients with unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

No established early biomarkers currently exist to predict responses during concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with unresectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study investigated the potential of gross tumor volume (GTV) and its changes during CCRT as predictors of survival outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified 227 patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC who underwent definitive CCRT followed by durvalumab between November 2018 and December 2022. GTV was defined as the volume of the primary tumor, assessed at two time points: before starting CCRT for initial planning (GTV1), and at the fourth week of CCRT for adaptive planning (GTV2). Both relative and absolute regressions between GTV1 and GTV2 were calculated.

RESULTS

The median GTV1 volume was 90 mL (range, 5-840 mL), and the median GTV2 volume was 64 mL (range, 1-520 mL), resulting in median absolute and relative regressions of 18.6 mL and 25.0 %, respectively. Among the GTV parameters, relative GTV regression exhibited the strongest predictive value, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.804 for in-field progression and 0.711 for overall progression. The 1-year progression-free survival rates for the high (>30 %), intermediate (0-30 %), and low (≤0%) relative regression groups were 88.0 %, 62.6 %, and 14.3 %, respectively (p = 0.006 for high vs. intermediate; p < 0.001 for intermediate vs. low). Additionally, GTV2 volume demonstrated stronger associations with survival outcomes than GTV1 volume.

CONCLUSION

Relative GTV regression was identified as a promising early predictor for patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC. Further development of a multi-parametric predictive model is warranted to guide patient-tailored therapeutic approaches.

First-site-metastasis pattern in patients with inoperable stage III NSCLC treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy with or without immune check-point inhibition: a retrospective analysis

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to investigate a first-site-metastasis pattern (FSMP) in unresectable stage III NSCLC after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (cCRT) with or without immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI).

METHODS

We defined three patient subgroups according to the year of initial multimodal treatment: A (2011-2014), B (2015-2017) and C (2018-2020). Different treatment-related parameters were analyzed. Observed outcome parameters were brain metastasis-free survival (BMFS), extracranial distant metastasis-free survival (ecDMFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS).

RESULTS

136 patients treated between 2011 and 2020 were included with ≥ 60.0 Gy total dose and concurrent chemotherapy (cCRT); thirty-six (26%) received ICI. Median follow-up was 49.7 (range:0.7-126.1), median OS 31.2 (95% CI:16.4-30.3) months (23.4 for non-ICI vs not reached for ICI patients, p = 0.001). Median BMFS/ecDMFS/DMFS in subgroups A, B and C was 14.9/16.3/14.7 months, 20.6/12.9/12.7 months and not reached (NR)/NR/36.4 months (p = 0.004/0.001/0.016). For cCRT+ICI median BMFS was 53.1 vs. 19.1 months for cCRT alone (p = 0.005). Median ecDMFS achieved 55.2 vs. 17.9 (p = 0.003) and median DMFS 29.5 (95% CI: 1.4-57.6) vs 14.93 (95% CI:10.8-19.0) months (p = 0.031), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age over 65 (HR:1.629; p = 0.036), GTV ≥ 78 cc (HR: 2.100; p = 0.002) and V20 ≥ 30 (HR: 2.400; p = 0.002) were negative prognosticators for BMFS and GTV ≥ 78 cc for ecDMFS (HR: 1.739; p = 0.027). After onset of brain metastasis (BM), patients survived 13.3 (95% CI: 6.4-20.2) months and 8.6 months (95% CI: 1.6-15.5) after extracranial-distant-metastasis (ecDM). Patients with ecDM as FSMP reached significantly worse overall survival of 22.1 (range:14.4-29.8) vs. 40.1 (range:18.7-61.3) months (p = 0.034) in the rest of cohort. In contrast, BM as FSMP had no impact on OS.

CONCLUSION

This retrospective analysis of inoperable stage III NSCLC patients revealed that age over 65, V20 ≥ 30 and GTV ≥ 78 cc were prognosticators for BMFS and GTV ≥ 78 cc for ecDMFS. ICI treatment led to a significant improvement of BMFS, ecDMFS and DMFS. ecDM as FSMP was associated with significant deterioration of OS, whereas BM as FSMP was not.

Use of durvalumab in stage III non-small-cell lung cancer based on eligibility for the PACIFIC study

BACKGROUND

Durvalumab following concurrent chemoradiotherapy is standard treatment for unresectable stage III non-small-cell lung cancer based on the results of the PACIFIC trial. Based on trial criteria, not all patients are eligible for durvalumab in routine clinical practice.

METHODS

We evaluated eligibility for durvalumab in a real-world clinical setting and the impact of eligibility on outcomes. Consecutive patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy at two tertiary centers between January 2015 and June 2022 were assessed. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were evaluated based on eligibility criteria for the PACIFIC trial.

RESULTS

A total of 126 patients were included. Seventy patients (56%) were eligible for durvalumab. Ineligibility was associated with shorter progression-free survival of 9.7 months versus 18.4 months (hazard ratio [HR] 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39-0.95, p = 0.029) and overall survival of 26.4 months versus 58.7 months (HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.28-0.80, p = 0.005). Common reasons for ineligibility were history of previous malignancy (32%) and progressive disease or death during chemoradiotherapy (25%). Ineligible patients who received durvalumab had similar outcomes to eligible patients who received durvalumab.

CONCLUSIONS

In a real-world cohort, adjuvant durvalumab is safe and beneficial in a substantial proportion of patients who would not have been eligible for the PACIFIC trial.

Prognostic Role of Biologically Active Volume of Disease in Patients With Metastatic Lung Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Number of metastatic sites can identify patient populations with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) that benefit from aggressive therapy. Total volume of disease is also relevant. We evaluated the prognostic impact of biologically active volume of disease (BaVD) on patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Positron emission tomography/computerized tomography (PET/CT) scans from patients with newly diagnosed lung adenocarcinoma prior to starting any therapy were identified. SUV thresholds of 3 and 4 were used to auto-contour all FDG avid areas. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression were performed to examine influence on OS.

RESULTS

One hundred forty-eight patients were included in the analysis. The median BaVD when using an SUV threshold of 3 was 122.8 mL. The median BaVD when using an SUV threshold of 4 was 46.2 mL When stratified by median BaVD using an SUV of 3, median OS was higher for patients with <=122.8 mL (2.12 years) compared to patients with >122.8 mL (1.46 years) (log-rank P = .001). Similarly, when stratified by median BaVD using an SUV of 4, median OS was higher for patients with <=46.2 mL (1.91 years; 95% CI: 1.65-3.22 years) compared to patients with >46.2 mL (1.48 years; 95% CI: 1.07-1.80 years) (log-rank P = .007). On multivariable analysis, BaVD was significantly associated with OS when using an SUV threshold of 3 (HR: 20.169, P < .001) and 4 (HR: 4.117, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

BaVD is an important prognostic factor in metastatic lung adenocarcinoma and may aid identification of patients with limited disease who may be candidates for more aggressive therapies.

Development and Validation of Prognostic Nomograms for Lung Squamous Cell Carcinoma With Brain Metastasis in Patients Aged 45 Years or Older: A Population-Based Study

PURPOSE

We aimed to establish nomograms to predict the survival in patients aged ≥45  years with lung squamous cell carcinoma and brain metastasis.

METHODS

We collected patients diagnosed as lung squamous cell carcinoma with brain metastasis aged ≥45 years between 2010 and 2019 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Prognostic factors were determined by the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, and then the nomogram was constructed to predict cancer-specific survival and overall survival. Nomograms were evaluated by decision curve analysis, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot, concordance index, and risk group stratification.

RESULTS

In total, 2437 patients were included, with 1706 and 731 in the cohorts of training and validation, respectively. The age, N stage, T stage, liver metastasis, chemotherapy, bone metastasis, along with radiotherapy were significant in predicting the survival, and adopted for the establishment of nomograms. In the training and validation sets, the concordance index were .713(95%CI:0.699-.728) & .700(95%CI:0.677-.722) in predicting cancer-specific survival and .715(95%CI:0.701-.729) & .712(95%CI:0.690-.735) in predicting overall survival, respectively. Besides, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting cancer-specific survival and overall survival in the training set were all >.7 at 1-, 2-, and 3- years. Calibration plots proved the survival predicted by nomograms were consistent with the actual values. decision curve analysis revealed better clinical validity of the nomogram in predicting cancer-specific survival and overall survival at 1-year than TNM staging. Patients were stratified into the high-/low-risk groups according to the optimal cutoff value of 100.21 for cancer-specific survival and 91.98 for overall survival. A web-based probability calculator was constructed finally.

CONCLUSION

Two nomograms were developed for the prognostic prediction of lung squamous cell carcinoma patients with brain metastasis aged ≥45 years, providing guidance for decision-making in clinical practice.

Prospective evaluation of immunological, molecular-genetic, image-based and microbial analyses to characterize tumor response and control in patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy followed by consolidation therapy with durvalumab (PRECISION): protocol for a prospective longitudinal biomarker study

BACKGROUND

Concurrent platinum-based chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by durvalumab maintenance treatment represents the new standard of care in unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). In this prospective hypothesis-generating single-center study, we aim to identify a framework of prognostic and predictive biomarkers by longitudinal characterization of tumor- and patient (host)-related parameters over all phases of multimodal treatment.

METHODS

This study will enroll 40 patients (≥18 years, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) 0-2, with a diagnosis of PD-L1 positive (≥1%), inoperable stage III NSCLC) with an indication for CRT followed by maintenance treatment with durvalumab according to European Medicines Agency (EMA) approval. Comprehensive analysis will include peripheral blood cellular and humoral immunophenotyping and circulating tumor DNA as well as gut/saliva microbiota analyses. Additional morphological analysis with 18F-FDG-PET/computed tomography (CT) before, 6 weeks, 6 and 12 months after the end of CRT is included. Statistical analysis using multiple testing will be used to examine the impact of different parameters on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) as well as tumor response and response duration.

DISCUSSION

This protocol describes the methodology of a comprehensive biomarker study in order to identify a framework of prognostic and predictive markers for unresectable stage III NSCLC in a real-world setting.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier (NCT05027165), data registered on August 2021.

A comparison of machine learning methods for predicting recurrence and death after curative-intent radiotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer: Development and validation of multivariable clinical prediction models

BACKGROUND

Surveillance is universally recommended for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with curative-intent radiotherapy. High-quality evidence to inform optimal surveillance strategies is lacking. Machine learning demonstrates promise in accurate outcome prediction for a variety of health conditions. The purpose of this study was to utilise readily available patient, tumour, and treatment data to develop, validate and externally test machine learning models for predicting recurrence, recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) at 2 years from treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective, multicentre study of patients receiving curative-intent radiotherapy for NSCLC was undertaken. A total of 657 patients from 5 hospitals were eligible for inclusion. Data pre-processing derived 34 features for predictive modelling. Combinations of 8 feature reduction methods and 10 machine learning classification algorithms were compared, producing risk-stratification models for predicting recurrence, RFS and OS. Models were compared with 10-fold cross validation and an external test set and benchmarked against TNM-stage and performance status. Youden Index was derived from validation set ROC curves to distinguish high and low risk groups and Kaplan-Meier analyses performed.

FINDINGS

Median follow-up time was 852 days. Parameters were well matched across training-validation and external test sets: Mean age was 73 and 71 respectively, and recurrence, RFS and OS rates at 2 years were 43% vs 34%, 54% vs 47% and 54% vs 47% respectively. The respective validation and test set AUCs were as follows: 1) RFS: 0·682 (0·575-0·788) and 0·681 (0·597-0·766), 2) Recurrence: 0·687 (0·582-0·793) and 0·722 (0·635-0·81), and 3) OS: 0·759 (0·663-0·855) and 0·717 (0·634-0·8). Our models were superior to TNM stage and performance status in predicting recurrence and OS.

INTERPRETATION

This robust and ready to use machine learning method, validated and externally tested, sets the stage for future clinical trials entailing quantitative personalised risk-stratification and surveillance following curative-intent radiotherapy for NSCLC.

FUNDING

A full list of funding bodies that contributed to this study can be found in the Acknowledgements section.

Differential role of residual metabolic tumor volume in inoperable stage III NSCLC after chemoradiotherapy ± immune checkpoint inhibition

BACKGROUND

The PET-derived metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is an independent prognosticator in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. We analyzed the prognostic value of residual MTV (rMTV) after completion of chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in inoperable stage III NSCLC patients with and without immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI).

METHODS

Fifty-six inoperable stage III NSCLC patients (16 female, median 65.0 years) underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT after completion of standard CRT. rMTV was delineated on 18F-FDG PET/CT using a standard threshold (liver SUVmean + 2 × standard deviation). 21/56 patients underwent additional ICI (CRT-IO, 21/56 patients) thereafter. Patients were divided in volumetric subgroups using median split dichotomization (MTV ≤ 4.3 ml vs. > 4.3 ml). rMTV, clinical features, and ICI-application were correlated with clinical outcome parameters (progression-free survival (PFS), local PFS (LPFS), and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Overall, median follow-up was 52.0 months. Smaller rMTV was associated with longer median PFS (29.3 vs. 10.5 months, p = 0.015), LPFS (49.9 vs. 13.5 months, p = 0.001), and OS (63.0 vs. 23.0 months, p = 0.003). CRT-IO patients compared to CRT patients showed significantly longer median PFS (29.3 vs. 11.2 months, p = 0.034), LPFS (median not reached vs. 14.0 months, p = 0.016), and OS (median not reached vs. 25.2 months, p = 0.007). In the CRT subgroup, smaller rMTV was associated with longer median PFS (33.5 vs. 8.6 months, p = 0.001), LPFS (49.9 vs. 10.1 months, p = 0.001), and OS (63.0 vs. 16.3 months, p = 0.004). In the CRT-IO subgroup, neither PFS, LPFS, nor OS were associated with MTV (p > 0.05 each). The findings were confirmed in subsequent multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSION

In stage III NSCLC, smaller rMTV is highly associated with superior clinical outcome, especially in patients undergoing CRT without ICI. Patients with CRT-IO show significantly improved outcome compared to CRT patients. Of note, clinical outcome in CRT-IO patients is independent of residual MTV. Hence, even patients with large rMTV might profit from ICI despite extensive tumor load.

Identification of modes of tumor regression in non-small cell lung cancer patients during radiotherapy

PURPOSE

Observed gross tumor volume (GTV) shrinkage during radiotherapy (RT) raises the question of whether to adapt treatment to changes observed on the acquired images. In the literature, two modes of tumor regression have been described: elastic and non-elastic. These modes of tumor regression will affect the safety of treatment adaptation. This study applies a novel approach, using routine cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) and deformable image registration to automatically distinguish between elastic and non-elastic tumor regression.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 150 locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with 55 Gray of radiotherapy were included. First, the two modes of tumor regression were simulated. For each mode of tumor regression, one timepoint was simulated. Based on the results of simulated data, the approach used for analysis in real patients was developed. CBCTs were non-rigidly registered to the baseline CBCT using a cubic B-spline algorithm, NiftyReg. Next, the Jacobian determinants were computed from the deformation vector fields. To capture local volume changes, 10 Jacobian values were sampled perpendicular to the surface of the GTV, across the lung-tumor boundary. From the simulated data, we can distinguish elastic from non-elastic tumor regression by comparing the Jacobian values samples between 5 and 12.5 mm inside and 5 and 12.5 mm outside the planning GTV. Finally, morphometric results were compared between tumors of different histologies.

RESULTS

Most patients (92.3%) in our cohort showed stable disease in the first week of treatment and non-elastic shrinkage in the later weeks of treatment. At week 2, 125 patients (88%) showed stable disease, three patients (2.1%) disease progression, and 11 patients (8%) regression. By treatment completion, 91 patients (64%) had stable disease, one patient (0.7%) progression and 46 patients (32%) regression. A slight difference in the mode of tumor change was observed between tumors of different histologies.

CONCLUSION

Our novel approach shows that it may be possible to automatically quantify and identify global changes in lung cancer patients during RT, using routine CBCT images. Our results show that different regions of the tumor change in different ways. Therefore, careful consideration should be taken when adapting RT.

Prognostic impact of gross tumor volume during radical radiochemotherapy of locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer-results from the NCT03055715 multicenter cohort study of the Young DEGRO Trial Group

BACKGROUND

In radical radiochemotherapy (RCT) of inoperable non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) typical prognostic factors include T- and N-stage, while there are still conflicting data on the prognostic relevance of gross tumor volume (GTV) and particularly its changes during RCT. The NCT03055715 study of the Young DEGRO working group of the German Society of Radiation Oncology (DEGRO) evaluated the prognostic impact of GTV and its changes during RCT.

METHODS

A total of 21 university centers for radiation oncology from five different European countries (Germany, Switzerland, Spain, Belgium, and Austria) participated in the study which evaluated n = 347 patients with confirmed (biopsy) inoperable NSCLC in UICC stage III A/B who received radical curative-intent RCT between 2010 and 2013. Patient and disease data were collected anonymously via electronic case report forms and entered into the multi-institutional RadPlanBio platform for central data analysis. GTV before RCT (initial planning CT, GTV1) and at 40-50 Gy (re-planning CT for radiation boost, GTV2) was delineated. Absolute GTV before/during RCT and relative GTV changes were correlated with overall survival as the primary endpoint. Hazard ratios (HR) of survival analysis were estimated by means of adjusted Cox regression models.

RESULTS

GTV1 was found to have a mean of 154.4 ml (95%CI: 1.5-877) and GTV2 of 106.2 ml (95% CI: 0.5-589.5), resulting in an estimated reduction of 48.2 ml (p < 0.001). Median overall survival (OS) was 18.8 months with a median of 22.1, 20.9, and 12.6 months for patients with high, intermediate, and low GTV before RT. Considering all patients, in one survival model of overall mortality, GTV2 (2.75 (1.12-6.75, p = 0.03) was found to be a stronger survival predictor than GTV1 (1.34 (0.9-2, p > 0.05). In patients with available data on both GTV1 and GTV2, absolute GTV1 before RT was not significantly associated with survival (HR 0-69, 0.32-1.49, p > 0.05) but GTV2 significantly predicted OS in a model adjusted for age, T stage, and chemotherapy, with an HR of 3.7 (1.01-13.53, p = 0.04) per 300 ml. The absolute decrease from GTV1 to GTV2 was correlated to survival, where every decrease by 50 ml reduced the HR by 0.8 (CI 0.64-0.99, p = 0.04). There was no evidence for a survival effect of the relative change between GTV1 and GTV2.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that independently of T stage, the re-planning GTV during RCT is a significant and superior survival predictor compared to baseline GTV before RT. Patients with a high absolute (rather than relative) change in GTV during RT show a superior survival outcome after RCT.

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy for stage III non-small-cell lung cancer: recent progress and future perspectives (a narrative review)

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CHRT) remains the therapeutic standard for locally advanced inoperable non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The median overall survival (OS) with this approach is in the range of 20–30 months, with five-year survival of approximately 30%. These outcomes have recently been further improved by supplementing CHRT with maintenance durvalumab, a monoclonal anti-PD-L1 agent. The progress in treatment outcomes of locally advanced NSCLC before the era of immunotherapy has been achieved mainly by virtue of developments in diagnostics and radiotherapy techniques. Routine implementation of endoscopic and endobronchial ultrasonography for mediastinal lymph nodes assessment, positron emission tomography/computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging of the brain allows for more accurate staging of NSCLC and for optimizing treatment strategy. Thorough staging and respiratory motion control allows for higher conformity of radiotherapy and reduction of radiotherapy related toxicity. Dose escalation with prolonged overall treatment time does not improve treatment outcomes of CHRT. In consequence, 60 Gy in 2 Gy fractions or equivalent biological dose remains the standard dose for definitive CHRT in locally advanced NSCLC. However, owing to increased toxicity of CHRT, this option may not be applicable in a proportion of elderly or frail patients. This article summarizes recent developments in curative CHRT for inoperable stage III NSCLC, and presents perspectives for further improvements of this strategy

Durvalumab after Chemoradiotherapy for PD-L1 Expressing Inoperable Stage III NSCLC Leads to Significant Improvement of Local-Regional Control and Overall Survival in the Real-World Setting

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by maintenance treatment with the PD-L1 inhibitor durvalumab is a new standard of care for inoperable stage III NSCLC. The present study compares the oncological outcome of patients treated with CRT to those treated with CRT and durvalumab (CRT-IO) in the real-world setting. The analysis was performed based on the retro- and prospectively collected data of 144 consecutive inoperable stage III NSCLC patients treated between 2011-2020. Local-regional-progression-free-survival (LRPFS-defined as progression in the mediastinum, hilum and/or supraclavicular region at both sites and the involved lung), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were evaluated from the last day of thoracic radiotherapy (TRT). Median follow-up for the entire cohort was 33.1 months (range: 6.3-111.8) and median overall survival was 27.2 (95% CI: 19.5-34.9) months. In the CRT-IO cohort after a median follow-up of 20.9 (range: 6.3-27.4) months, median PFS was not reached, LRPFS (p = 0.002), PFS (p = 0.018), and OS (p = 0.005) were significantly improved vs. the historical cohort of conventional CRT patients. After propensity-score matching (PSM) analysis with age, gender, histology, tumor volume, and treatment mode, and exact matching for T-and N-stage, 22 CRT-IO patients were matched 1:2 to 44 CRT patients. Twelve-month LRPFS, PFS, and OS rates in the CRT-IO vs. CRT cohort were 78.9 vs. 45.5% (p = 0.002), 60.0 vs. 31.8% (p = 0.007), and 100 vs. 70.5% (p = 0.003), respectively. This real-world analysis demonstrated that durvalumab after CRT led to significant improvement of local-regional control, PFS, and OS in PD-L1 expressing inoperable stage III NSCLC patients compared to a historical cohort.

Current status and developments of German curriculum-based residency training programmes in radiation oncology

Purpose

The current status of German residency training in the field of radiation oncology is provided and compared to programmes in other countries. In particular, we present the DEGRO-Academy within the international context.

Methods

Certified courses from 2018 and 2019 were systematically assigned to the DEGRO-Curriculum, retrospectively for 2018 and prospectively for 2019. In addition, questionnaires of course evaluations were provided, answered by course participants and collected centrally.

Results

Our data reveal a clear increase in curriculum coverage by certified courses from 57.6% in 2018 to 77.5% in 2019. The analyses enable potential improvements in German curriculum-based education. Specific topics of the DEGRO-Curriculum are still underrepresented, while others decreased in representation between 2018 and 2019. It was found that several topics in the DEGRO-Curriculum require more attention because of a low DEGRO-curriculum coverage. Evaluation results of certified courses improved significantly with a median grade of 1.62 in 2018 to 1.47 in 2019 (p = 0.0319).

Conclusion

The increase of curriculum coverage and the simultaneous improvement of course evaluations are promising with respect to educational standards in Germany. Additionally, the early integration of radiation oncology into medical education is a prerequisite for resident training because of rising demands on quality control and increasing patient numbers. This intensified focus is a requirement for continued high standards and quality of curriculum-based education in radiation oncology both in Germany and other countries.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13014-021-01785-7.

Identification of patterns of tumour change measured on CBCT images in NSCLC patients during radiotherapy

In this study, we propose a novel approach to investigate changes in the visible tumour and surrounding tissues with the aim of identifying patterns of tumour change during radiotherapy (RT) without segmentation on the follow-up images. On-treatment cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) images of 240 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who received 55 Gy of RT were included. CBCTs were automatically aligned onto planning computed tomography (planning CT) scan using a two-step rigid registration process. To explore density changes across the lung-tumour boundary, eight shells confined to the shape of the gross tumour volume (GTV) were created. The shells extended 6 mm inside and outside of the GTV border, and each shell is 1.5 mm thick. After applying intensity correction on CBCTs, the mean intensity was extracted from each shell across all CBCTs. Thereafter, linear fits were created, indicating density change over time in each shell during treatment. The slopes of all eight shells were clustered to explore patterns in the slopes that show how tumours change. Seven clusters were obtained, 97% of the patients were clustered into three groups. After visual inspection, we found that these clusters represented patients with little or no density change, progression and regression. For the three groups, the survival curves were not significantly different between the groups, p-value = 0.51. However, the results show that definite patterns of tumour change exist, suggesting that it may be possible to identify patterns of tumour changes from on-treatment CBCT images.

Phase II Study: The Outcome of Hypofractionated Involved-Field Radiation Therapy With Concurrent Chemotherapy for the Treatment of Locally Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

PURPOSE

This phase II study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of hypofractionated involved-field radiation therapy (HypoFx-IFRT) in 2.5 Gy fractions and concurrent chemotherapy for locally advanced stage IIIA and B nonsmall cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) without prolonging treatment delivery time beyond 6 weeks. We analyzed the overall survival (OS), progression-free survival, and safety of the treatment.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This prospective, single center, single-arm trial was initiated in 2010. All LA-NSCLC patients were treated with HypoFx-IFRT using 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy. The median total dose of HypoFx-IFRT was 67.5 Gy (range, 60-70).

RESULTS

From December 2010 to October 2016, 36 patients were ultimately enrolled and evaluated. The trial closed early owing to slow accrual. The median follow-up duration was 50 months in all patients and 65 months in surviving patients. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 88.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 78.6%-99.2%), 61.1% (95% CI, 45.2%-77.0%), and 54.1% (95% CI, 37.3%-70.9%), respectively. The median time for OS was not reached. The median time for progression-free survival was 10.7 months. The incidence rates of grade 3 radiation pneumonitis, esophagitis and esophageal stenosis were 8.3%, 2.8%, and 2.8%, respectively, and no acute or late toxicities of grade 4 or 5 were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicated that HypoFx-IFRT with concurrent chemotherapy yielded an acceptable safety profile and might be beneficial in the survival outcomes of patients with LA-NSCLC.

Tumor volume reduction evaluated by cone beam computed tomography during stereotactic body radiotherapy for early stage non-small cell lung cancer

Background

We hypothesized that significant tumor volume reduction (TVR) occurs over the course of stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for early stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and that TVR correlates with clinical outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective review of patients treated with SBRT for early stage NSCLC across two academic centers. For each patient, we contoured the tumor volume (TV) on cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) images obtained before each treatment fraction. We then calculated TVR based on the TV from the first and last days of treatment. We used log-rank tests to quantify differences in overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and recurrence based on TVR.

Results

Data from 69 patients and a total of 73 treated tumors were analyzed. The median follow-up for survivors was 51.8 months (range, 6.9 to 80.0 months). The median TVR for the cohort was 10.1% (range, −5.7% to 43.5%). There was no significant difference in either OS (median 33.4 vs. 29.1 months, P=0.79) or PFS (median 26.3 vs. 12.3 months, P=0.43) for those with high TVRs (≥10.1%) vs. low TVRs (<10.1%), respectively. There was a trend toward superior 2-year PFS in the high TVR group (52.2% vs. 36.7%, P=0.062), but this effect diminished on longer follow-up (4-year PFS 31.9% vs. 26.7%, P=0.15). No associations were observed between TVR and local, regional or distant recurrence.

Conclusions

We were not able to demonstrate that TVR is a reliable predictive imaging marker for stage I/II NSCLC treated with SBRT. Future studies with larger sample sizes are needed to clarify a potential relationship between TVR and early outcomes.

Chemoradioimmunotherapy of inoperable stage III non-small cell lung cancer: immunological rationale and current clinical trials establishing a novel multimodal strategy

Immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have dramatically changed the landscape of lung cancer treatment. Preclinical studies investigating combination of ICI with radiation show a synergistic improvement of tumor control probability and have resulted in the development of novel therapeutic strategies. For advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), targeting immune checkpoint pathways has proven to be less toxic with more durable treatment response than conventional chemotherapy. In inoperable Stage III NSCLC, consolidation immune checkpoint inhibition with the PD-L1 inhibitor durvalumab after completion of concurrent platinum-based chemoradiotherapy resulted in remarkable improvement of progression-free and overall survival. This new tri-modal therapy has become a new treatment standard. Development of predictive biomarkers and improvement of patient selection and monitoring is the next step in order to identify patients most likely to derive maximal benefit from this new multimodal approach. In this review, we discuss the immunological rationale and current trials investigating chemoradioimmunotherapy for inoperable stage III NSCLC.

Maximum standardized uptake value of primary tumor (SUVmax_PT) and horizontal range between two most distant PET-positive lymph nodes predict patient outcome in inoperable stage III NSCLC patients after chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

18F-FDG-positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) is a standard for initial staging in patients with locally advanced stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We evaluated a PET/CT staging score to characterize disease extension and patient outcome in this disease.

METHODS

Ninety-nine consecutive patients with NSCLC stage IIIA-B (UICC 7th edition), who underwent 18F-FDG-PET/CT before the start of chemoradiotherapy (CRT) were analyzed. Maximum standardized uptake value of primary tumor (SUVmax_PT) and range between two most distant PET-positive (SUV ≥2.5) lymph nodes in two directions were analyzed for their correlation with patient outcome. The vertical distance was defined as A- and the horizontal as a B-line.

RESULTS

According to the results of univariate analysis, score included the SUVmax_PT and horizontal B-line, patients were divided into three risk subgroups: low, intermediate and high-risk subgroups. Subgroups were defined as SUVmax_PT <8 and B-line <3.7 cm, SUVmax_PT >8 or B-line >3.7 cm and SUVmax_PT >8 plus B-line >3.7 cm, respectively. Twenty-eight (28%), 45 (46%) and 26 (26%) patients were assigned to the low, intermediate and high-risk subgroup, respectively. Median event-free survival (EFS) in low, intermediate and high-risk subgroups was 16 (95% CI: 7-25), 13 (95% CI: 12-15) and 10 (95% CI: 7-13) months (P=0.002, log-rank test). Median OS in the low, intermediate and high-risk subgroups was 40 (95% CI: 11-69), 23 (95% CI: 15-31) and 14 (95% CI: 13-14) months (P=0.0001, log-rank test). In the multivariate analysis, SUV, B-line and PET/CT score were significantly associated with EFS [harard ratio (HR) 2.12 (95% CI: 1.27-3.55) and intermediate risk HR 2.01 (95% CI: 1.13-3.59), P=0.003] and OS [high-risk HR 2.79 (95% CI: 1.16-4.55) and intermediate risk HR 2.30 (95% CI: 1.58-4.94), P=0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

A PET/CT score was developed for inoperable stage III NSCLC patients treated with CRT and was an independent predictor of patient outcome in the single-center cohort.

Implementation of durvalumab maintenance treatment after concurrent chemoradiotherapy in inoperable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)-a German radiation oncology survey

BACKGROUND

Durvalumab as maintenance treatment after platinum-based concurrent chemoradiotherapy (cCRT) has become the standard of care in inoperable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). In this nationwide survey, we solicited members of the German Radiation Oncology Society to review the current distribution and clinical settings of durvalumab treatment after cCRT, observed side effects and summarize follow-up management.

METHODS

We surveyed radiation oncology institutions in Germany via an anonymous online questionnaire sent by e-mail to all members of the German Radiation Oncology Society which agreed their willingness to participate.

RESULTS

We received a total of 255 responses (response rate: 18%). Of which 203 (80%) were completed and returned and thus eligible for further evaluation. The respondents work in 87 different cities and 44% in a private medical practice, 29% in university and 22% in a general hospital. Durvalumab was implemented in clinical routine by 70% of respondents. Major reasons for failed implementation in clinical practice reported by the respondents were patient's ineligibility (42%), lack of required PD-L1 status (25%), decision of medical oncologists (7%) or absence of updated German guidelines (7%). Thirty-six percent of all respondents report low (≤30%) PD-L1 testing before cCRT based on IHC assay. No respondent had applied durvalumab in less than 14 days after the completion of CRT. Severe side effects requiring hospital admission in more than 10% of all patients were reported by 12% of all respondents.

CONCLUSIONS

Durvalumab maintenance is already implemented in the radiation oncology community and administered by the absolute majority of respondents. Low testing rates of PD-L1 at initial diagnosis were observed and should be considered a major barrier to universal adoption and integration in the clinical work-flow in countries with durvalumab approval restricted to PD-L1 positive patients. No respondent applies durvalumab in less than 14 days after cCRT.

Role of T0 status in overall survival for unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer: A NCDB analysis

OBJECTIVES

Occult primary non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with mediastinal involvement is a known but rare clinical condition. Very limited retrospective data are available in the literature. Its prognosis and response to systemic chemotherapy have not been investigated with large scale data.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using National Cancer Database (NCDB), cases that had undergone radiation therapy without surgery for N2-3M0 NSCLC were selected. Demographics and survival data were compared between T0 and T1-4 groups. Survival analyses were conducted with Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. Cox proportional hazard models were used for univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Between 2004 and 2016, 84,263 and 458 cases met criteria for unresectable stage III NSCLC with T1-4 and T0 stage, respectively. T0 status was associated with younger age, recent diagnosis (year 2010-2016), adenocarcinoma histology, N3 stage, and use of chemotherapy. Survival analysis demonstrated that those with T0 status had prolonged overall survival as compared to T1-4 counterparts in both overall and chemotherapy groups (p < 0.0001 for each). Five-year overall survival rates for T0 and T1-4 groups were 30.5% and 12.7% in all groups, and 33.6% and 14.6% in chemotherapy groups, respectively. Propensity score matching also demonstrated a statistically significant difference in overall survival (p < 0.0001). These findings are confirmed by independent analysis using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER).

CONCLUSION

This large hospital-based study demonstrates the favorable prognosis for T0 status in the setting of unresectable stage III NSCLC. Researchers may consider it as distinct stage (e.g., stage IIC) for future studies.

External Validation of a Survival Score for Limited-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Treated with Chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

In order to personalize multimodal treatment regimens in limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC), a survival score for these patients was proposed. The aim of this study is to validate the score in an independent external patient cohort.

METHODS

We collected data of 78 patients treated with chemoradiotherapy for LS-SCLC between 2004 and 2015. The survival score was calculated by independent prognostic factors: gender, Karnofsky performance status, tumor substage, and hemoglobin level before treatment. Scoring points were derived from 2-year survival rates divided by 10 and the values for each prognostic factor were tallied. Three risk subgroups were defined (high, intermediate, low risk: 9-13, 14-18, 19-26 points). The 2-year survival rate of each subgroup from the original study was compared to its corresponding subgroup from the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Median survival time in the entire validation cohort was 17 months (range: 1-123 months). The 2-year survival rates were 0% in the 9-13, 35% in the 14-18, and 43% in the 19-26 points group, respectively (p = 0.018). The difference in 2-year survival between the 9-13 points and the 14-18 points group was significant in the validation cohort (p = 0.007) as well after stratification of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (p < 0.001), whereas the difference between the 14 and 18 points and the 19-26 points group was not significant (p = 0.602, p = 0.770).

CONCLUSION

The score was reproducible to estimate the 2-year survival rate of patients with LS-SCLC, especially in the high- and intermediate-risk subgroups. In order to improve the differentiation between patients with an intermediate and favorable survival prognosis, the scoring system needs further development.

Provider decision regret-a useful method for analysis of palliative thoracic re-irradiation for lung cancer?

BACKGROUND

The overall usefulness of palliative thoracic re-irradiation depends on the balance between efficacy, survival, and toxicity, and is difficult to judge from previous studies. In the absence of patient-reported data, we developed a method for provider decision regret that addresses the question "would we re-irradiate this patient again in light of the known outcome?" Furthermore, we analyzed different reasons for decision regret and defined a subgroup at increased risk.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 33 patients with lung cancer re-irradiated with 17-45 Gy was performed. Reasons for decision regret included re-irradiation within the last 30 days of life, immediate radiological progression after re-irradiation (as opposed to stable disease or objective response), radiation myelopathy, any grade 4-5 toxicity, grade 3 pneumonitis, and other grade 3 toxicity in the absence of a symptomatic benefit or a time period of at least 3 months without worsening of the treated tumor.

RESULTS

Median survival time was 5.2 months (95% confidence interval 3.4-7.0 months). Symptomatic and radiological responses were observed. Provider decision regret was declared in 12 patients (36%): 2 patients with grade 3 pneumonitis, 3 patients with a short survival (radiotherapy during the last 30 days of life), and 7 patients with progression. Decision regret was declared only in patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) 2 or 3 and was associated with a time interval to re-irradiation <6 months.

CONCLUSION

Our data support the usefulness and acceptable side effects profile of palliative re-irradiation for lung cancer. Patients with reduced PS are at increased risk of futile treatment. Future research should aim at prediction of immediate disease progression (the prevailing cause of decision regret). Evaluation of provider decision regret has the potential to improve the way we learn from retrospective databases and should also be considered for other scenarios where high-quality prospective outcome data are lacking.

Prognostic value of PD-L1 expression on tumor cells combined with CD8+ TIL density in patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND/AIM

mmune checkpoint inhibition (CPI) has an increasing impact in the multimodal treatment of locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC). Increasing evidence suggests treatment outcome depending on tumor cell PD-L1 expression. The purpose of this retrospective study was to investigate the prognostic value of PD-L1 expression on tumor cells in combination with CD8+ tumor stroma-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) density in inoperable LA-NSCLC treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

PATIENTS AND METHOD

We retrospectively assessed clinical characteristics and initial tumor biopsy samples of 31 inoperable LA-NSCLC patients treated with concurrent CRT. Prognostic impact of tumor cell PD-L1 expression (0% versus ≥1%) and CD8+ TIL density (0-40% vs. 41-100%) for local control, progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) as well as correlations with clinicopathological features were evaluated.

RESULTS

Median OS was 14 months (range: 3-167 months). The OS rates at 1- and 2 years were 68 and 20%. Local control of the entire cohort at 1 and 2 years were 74 and 61%. Median PFS, 1-year and 2-year PFS were 13 ± 1.4 months, 58 and 19%. PD-L1 expression < 1% on tumor cells was associated with improved OS, PFS and local control in patients treated with concurrent CRT. Univariate analysis showed a trend towards improved OS and local control in patients with low CD8+ TIL density. Evaluation of Tumor Immunity in the MicroEnvironment (TIME) appears to be an independent prognostic factor for local control, PFS and OS. The longest and shortest OS were achieved in patients with type I (PD-L1neg/CD8low) and type IV (PD-L1pos/CD8low) tumors (median OS: 57 ± 37 vs. 10 ± 5 months, p = 0.05), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Assessment of PD-L1 expression on tumor cells in combination with CD8+ TIL density can be a predictive biomarker in patients with inoperable LA-NSCLC treated with concurrent CRT.

Impact Of Underlying Pulmonary Diseases On Treatment Outcomes In Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Treated With Definitive Radiotherapy

Purpose

Current guidelines recommend definitive radiotherapy for patients with medically inoperable early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the impact of underlying pulmonary diseases on survival in those patients remains unclear.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 234 patients with stage I-II NSCLC treated with definitive radiotherapy alone at Samsung Medical Center between January 2010 and October 2017. We compared survival outcomes according to the presence of underlying pulmonary diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), combined pulmonary fibrosis and emphysema (CPFE), and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The control group in this study was stage I-II NSCLC patients who were non-COPD, non-CPFE, and non-IPF.

Results

The median follow-up duration was 17 (range, 1–92) months. The median survival times of the control, COPD, CPFE, and IPF groups were 32, 49, 17, and 12 months, respectively (P<0.001). In a Cox proportional hazards analysis for factors associated with overall survival, patients with COPD showed a similar risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.306; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.723–2.358; P=0.376) compared to that of the control group, while patients with CPFE (adjusted HR, 3.382; 95% CI, 1.472–7.769; P=0.004) and IPF (adjusted HR, 4.061; 95% CI, 1.963–8.403; P<0.001) showed an increased risk of death.

Conclusion

Definitive radiotherapy may be a tolerable treatment for early-stage NSCLC with COPD. However, poor survival in early-stage NSCLC patients with IPF or CPFE requires further study to identify and develop patient selection criteria as well as an optimal radiotherapy modality.

Tumor regression during radiotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer patients using cone-beam computed tomography images

PURPOSE

Previous literature has reported contradicting results regarding the relationship between tumor volume changes during radiotherapy treatment for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients and locoregional recurrence-free rate or overall survival. The aim of this study is to validate the results from a previous study by using a different volume extraction procedure and evaluating an external validation dataset.

METHODS

For two datasets of 94 and 141 NSCLC patients, gross tumor volumes were determined manually to investigate the relationship between tumor volume regression and locoregional control using Kaplan-Meier curves. For both datasets, different subgroups of patients based on histology and chemotherapy regimens were also investigated. For the first dataset (n = 94), automatically determined tumor volumes were available from a previously published study to further compare their correlation with updated clinical data.

RESULTS

A total of 70 out of 94 patients were classified into the same group as in the previous publication, splitting the dataset based on median tumor regression calculated by the two volume extraction methods. Non-adenocarcinoma patients receiving concurrent chemotherapy with large tumor regression show reduced locoregional recurrence-free rates in both datasets (p < 0.05 in dataset 2). For dataset 2, the opposite behavior is observed for patients not receiving chemotherapy, which was significant for overall survival (p = 0.01) but non-significant for locoregional recurrence-free rate (p = 0.13).

CONCLUSION

The tumor regression pattern observed during radiotherapy is not only influenced by irradiation but depends largely on the delivered chemotherapy schedule, so it follows that the relationship between patient outcome and the degree of tumor regression is also largely determined by the chemotherapy schedule. This analysis shows that the relationship between tumor regression and outcome is complex, and indicates factors that could explain previously reported contradicting findings. This, in turn, will help guide future studies to fully understand the relationship between tumor regression and outcome.

Impact of chemotherapy in the prognosis of non-small-cell lung cancer patients with severe to very severe COPD

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to investigate if first-line chemotherapy improves total survival time in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients complicated with severe to very severe COPD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective observational clinical study included 267 consecutive NSCLC patients with COPD complications at the Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine of Tianjin Chest Hospital between January 2009 and January 2018. Sixty-nine evaluable patients were included. The clinical characteristics, toxicity profile, objective response rate, and prognosis were analyzed and compared between patients receiving and those not receiving chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Forty-five and 24 patients received first-line chemotherapy plus supportive care and supportive care alone, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that patients receiving chemotherapy had a statistically significant 6-month longer median overall survival (OS) than that of patients receiving supportive care alone (14.0, 95% CI: 8.5-19.5 vs 8.0, 95% CI: 6.4-9.6, respectively) (chi2=8.857, P=0.003). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for the most relevant variables, the adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) differed significantly for the receipt of chemotherapy (HRadj=0.4464, 95% CI: 0.2495-0.7988; P=0.0066) but not for gender (HRadj=0.8527, 95% CI: 0.4461-1.6298; P=0.6297), age (HRadj=1.0021, 95% CI: 0.9609-1.0451; P=0.9214), histology (HRadj=1.4422, 95% CI: 0.6959-2.9889; P=0.3247), cancer stage (HRadj=1.9098, 95% CI: 0.8607-4.2375; P=0.1116), performance status score (HRadj=1.5155, 95% CI: 0.7523-3.0529; P=0.2446), lung function (HRadj=1.3856, 95% CI: 0.7149-2.6857; P=0.3341), or respiratory symptoms (HRadj=1.0518, 95% CI: 0.6032-1.8342; P=0.8586). Patients with grade 3/4 adverse reactions accounted for 29% (13/45) of the chemotherapy group.

CONCLUSION

The results indicated that chemotherapy may improve the OS of NSCLC patients with severe to very severe COPD.

Is tumor volume reduction during radiotherapy prognostic relevant in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer?

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Lung cancer tumor volume reduction is common during radiation treatment (RT). The purpose of this study was to investigate tumor volume reduction ratio (VRR) and its correlation with outcomes in a cohort of patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who underwent image-guided radiochemotherapy (RCTx).

MATERIALS/METHODS

Fifty patients with NSCLC treated with fractionated RT at our institution between 2013 and 2017 were included. The relationship between gross tumor volume (GTV) changes during RT (week 1 vs. week 5) and outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

The median radiation dose delivered was 59.4 Gy (median fraction dose, 1.8 Gy). The median GTV before treatment was 119 cm3, with a median GTV change of - 40%. Patients with more volume reduction had poorer tumor control. A VRR > 40% was associated with a poorer OS and PFS in patients with non-adenocarcinoma (non-ADC) histology. In multivariate analysis, VRR during RT, and chemotherapy (CTx) administration remained related to PFS and OS, while initial GTV remained a significant determinant for OS. In subgroup analyses, and CTx (p = 0.038) affected PFS among non-ADC patients, with initial GTV (p = 0.058) and VRR (p = 0.08) showing non-significant trends. Initial GTV (p = 0.023), VRR (p = 0.038), and CTx (p = 0.01) remained significant predictors for OS in the non-ADC group.

CONCLUSION

Worse tumor control and OS in non-ADC patients are observed with more marked RT-induced tumor shrinkage, supporting the development of response-adaptive treatment strategies, particularly in non-ADC NSCLC patients.

Prognostic implications of the co-detection of the urokinase plasminogen activator system and osteopontin in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer undergoing radiotherapy and correlation with gross tumor volume

BACKGROUND

The urokinase plasminogen activator system (uPA, uPAR, PAI‑1) is upregulated in cancer and high plasma levels are associated with poor prognosis. Their interaction with hypoxia-related osteopontin (OPN) which is also overexpressed in malignant tumors suggests potential clinical relevance. However, the prognostic role of the uPA system in the radiotherapy (RT) of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), particularly in combination with OPN, has not been investigated so far.

METHODS

uPA, uPAR, PAI‑1 and OPN plasma levels of 81 patients with locally advanced or metastasized NSCLC were prospectively analyzed by ELISA before RT and were correlated to clinical patient/tumor data and prognosis after RT.

RESULTS

uPAR plasma levels were higher in M1; uPA and PAI‑1 levels were higher in M0 NSCLC patients. uPAR correlated with uPA (p < 0.001) which also correlated with PAI‑1 (p < 0.001). The prognostic impact of OPN plasma levels in the RT of NSCLC was previously reported by our group. PAI‑I plasma levels significantly impacted overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Low PAI‑1 levels were associated with a significantly reduced OS and PFS with a nearly 2‑fold increased risk of death (p = 0.029) and tumor progression (p = 0.029). In multivariate analysis, PAI‑1 levels remained an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS with a 3‑fold increased risk of death (p = 0.001). If PAI‑1 plasma levels were combined with OPN or tumor volume, we found an additive prognostic impact on OS and PFS with a 2.5- to 3‑fold increased risk of death (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that PAI-1 but not uPA and uPAR might add prognostic information in patients with advanced NSCLC undergoing RT. High pretreatment PAI-1 plasma levels were found predominantly in M0-stage patients and indicate a favorable prognosis as opposed to OPN where high plasma levels are associated with poor survival and metastasis. In combination, PAI-1 and OPN levels successfully predicted outcome and additively correlated with prognosis. These findings support the notion of an antidromic prognostic impact of OPN and PAI-1 plasma levels in the RT of advanced NSCLC.