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Beck M, Koll C, Dumpis U, Giske CG, Göpel S, Jørgensen SB, Kessel J, Kleppe LK, Oma DH, Raz NE, Semret M, Simonsen GS, Vehreschild MJGT, Albus K, Biehl LM, Vehreschild JJ, Classen AY. Identifying patients at high risk for antibiotic treatment following hospital admission: a predictive score to improve antimicrobial stewardship measures. Infection 2025:10.1007/s15010-025-02525-9. [PMID: 40232662 DOI: 10.1007/s15010-025-02525-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2025] [Accepted: 03/24/2025] [Indexed: 04/16/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE Identifying patients for clinical studies evaluating strategies to reduce unnecessary antibiotic usage in hospitals is challenging. This study aimed to develop a predictive score to identify newly hospitalized patients with high likelihood of receiving antibiotics, thus improving patient inclusion in future studies focusing on antimicrobial stewardship (AMS) programs. METHODS This retrospective analysis used data from the PILGRIM study (NCT03765528), which included 1,600 patients across ten international sites. Predictive variables for antibiotic treatment during hospitalization were computed, and an additive score model was developed using logistic regression and 10-fold cross-validation. The PILGRIM score was validated in an independent cohort (validation cohort), with performance metrics assessed. RESULTS Data from 1,258 patients was included. In the development cohort 52.8% (n = 445) and in the validation cohort 42.4% (n = 134) of patients received antibiotics. Key predictors included hematologic malignancies, immunosuppressive medication, and past hospitalization. The logistic regression model demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.74 in the validation. The final additive score incorporated these predictors plus "planned elective surgery" achieving a specificity of 92%, a positive predictive value of 78%, a sensitivity of 41%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 69%in validation set. CONCLUSION The PILGRIM score effectively identifies newly hospitalized patients likely to receive antibiotics, demonstrating high specificity and PPV. Its application can improve future AMS programs and trial recruitment by facilitating targeted inclusion of patients, especially in the hematological and oncological setting. Further -external and prospective- validation is needed to broaden the model's applicability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moritz Beck
- Department I of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany
- Department of Urology, Hospital of Leverkusen, Leverkusen, Germany
| | - Carolin Koll
- Department I of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany
| | - Uga Dumpis
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia
- Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Christian G Giske
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Microbiology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Siri Göpel
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- German Centre for Infection Research (DZIF), Clinical Research Unit for Healthcare Associated Infections, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Silje Bakken Jørgensen
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Infection Control and Department of Emergency Care, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway
| | - Johanna Kessel
- Department II of Internal Medicine, Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Frankfurt, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt Am Main, Germany
| | - Lars Kaare Kleppe
- Department of Infection Prevention and Control, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Dorthea Hagen Oma
- Section for Patient Safety, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway
| | - Noa Eliakim Raz
- Internal medicine E, Rabin medical center Beilinson campus, Petah-Tikva, Israel
- Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Makeda Semret
- Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, Mcgill University Health Centre, Montreal, Canada
| | - Gunnar Skov Simonsen
- Department of Microbiology and Infection Control, University Hospital of North Norway, Tromsø, Norway
- Uit the Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Maria J G T Vehreschild
- Department II of Internal Medicine, Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Frankfurt, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt Am Main, Germany
- German Centre for Infection Research, Partner Site Bonn-Cologne, Cologne, Germany
| | - Kerstin Albus
- Department I of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Institute of Translational Research, Cologne Excellence Cluster on Cellular Stress Responses in Aging-Associated Diseases (CECAD), University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
| | - Lena M Biehl
- Department I of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany
- German Centre for Infection Research, Partner Site Bonn-Cologne, Cologne, Germany
| | - Jörg J Vehreschild
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Frankfurt, Institute for Digital Medicine and Clinical Data Sciences, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
| | - Annika Y Classen
- Department I of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany.
- German Centre for Infection Research, Partner Site Bonn-Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
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Yue Y, Chen X, Wang H, Cheng M, Zheng B. Mechanical bowel preparation combined with oral antibiotics reduces infectious complications and anastomotic leak in elective colorectal surgery: a pooled-analysis with trial sequential analysis. Int J Colorectal Dis 2023; 38:5. [PMID: 36622449 DOI: 10.1007/s00384-022-04302-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/06/2022] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE A pooled analysis combined with trial sequential analysis (TSA) was conducted in order to explore the effect of mechanical bowel preparation (MBP) combined with oral antibiotic bowel decontamination (OAB) versus MBP alone on patients who have undergone colorectal resection. METHODS Comprehensive and systematic searches of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Knowledge, and Clinical Trials.gov databases were conducted. The quality of literature was evaluated using Cochrane risk bias assessment tool as well as Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) score. A pooled analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective studies was performed comparing patients who underwent colorectal resection and received MBP plus OAB or MBP alone. The outcome endpoints were the incidence of anastomotic leak (AL) and surgical site infection (SSI). TSA is a tool used to assess the reliability of currently available evidence to determine further clinical trial validation. RESULTS The analysis included a total of 22 studies involving 8852 patients, including 3016 patients in the MBP + OAB group and 4415 patients exposed to MBP alone. The pooled analysis showed that the incidence of postoperative anastomotic leak was significantly lower in the group treated with MBP plus OAB compared with MBP alone (OR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.23-0.81, P = 0.009, I2 = 73%). The incidence of postoperative surgical site infections was significantly lower in the group exposed to the combination of MBP and OAB compared with MBP alone (OR = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.32-0.46, P < 0.0001, I2 = 24%). The TSA demonstrated significant benefits of MBP plus OAB intervention in terms of AL and SSI. CONCLUSION MBP combined with OAB significantly reduces the incidence of AL and SSI in patients after colorectal resection compared with MBP alone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yumin Yue
- Department of General Surgery, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China
| | - Xi Chen
- Yan'an University, Shaanxi, Yan'an, China
| | - Hui Wang
- Xi'an Medical University, Shaanxi, Xi'an, China
| | - Min Cheng
- Xi'an Medical University, Shaanxi, Xi'an, China
| | - Bobo Zheng
- Department of General Surgery, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China.
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Schindler CR, Woschek M, Franz JN, Störmann P, Henrich D, Marzi I. Influence of Antibiotic Management on Microbial Selection and Infectious Complications After Trauma. Front Med (Lausanne) 2021; 8:678382. [PMID: 34568354 PMCID: PMC8461005 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2021.678382] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2021] [Accepted: 08/17/2021] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: The inflammatory response and post-traumatic complications like infections play an important role in the pathophysiology of severe injuries. This study examines the microbiological aspects in anti-infective treatment of trauma patients and their inflammatory response in post-traumatic infections complications. Patients and Methods: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data in trauma patients (ISS ≥ 16) over a 1-year period (01/2018 to 12/2018) is provided. Patient population was stratified into severely injured patients without post-traumatic infection (inf-PT), and severely injured patients who developed an infection (inf+PT). Results: Of 114 trauma patients, 45 suffered from post-traumatic infection during the first 10 days of hospitalization. Severely injured patients with concomitant traumatic brain injury (PT+TBI) showed the highest rate of post-traumatic infection. Pro-inflammatory reaction was tracked by levels of Interleukin (IL-)6 (day 3: inf+T 190.8 ± 359.4 pg/dL > inf-PT 56.2 ± 57.7 pg/mL (mean ± SD); p = 0.008) and C-Reactive-Protein (CRP, day 3: inf+PT 15.3 mg/dL > inf-PT 6.7 mg/dL, p = 0.001) which were significantly higher in trauma patients who develop an infectious complication and showed a significant positive correlation with the occurrence of infection. The leading entity of infection was pneumonia followed by infections of the urinary tract mainly caused by gram-negative Enterobacteriaceae. 67.5% of all trauma patients received single-shot antibiosis during initial care in trauma bay. The development of secondary colonization was not relevant positively correlated with single-shot antibiosis (r = 0.013, p = 0.895) and prophylactically calculated antibiotic administration (r = 0.066, p = 0.500). Conclusion: Severely injured trauma patients have an increased risk for development of infectious complications, which mainly is pneumonia followed by infection of the urinary tract mainly caused by gram-negative Enterobacteriaceae. Based on the data in this study, the one-time antibiotic and prophylactic calculated use of antibiotics, like Cephalosporins must be critically discussed in terms of their role in the development of post-traumatic infections and microbial selection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cora Rebecca Schindler
- Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Mathias Woschek
- Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Jan-Niklas Franz
- Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Philipp Störmann
- Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Dirk Henrich
- Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Ingo Marzi
- Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
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Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Psoas blocks are an alternative to femoral nerve blocks and have the potential advantage of blocking the entire lumbar plexus. However, the psoas muscle is located deeply, making psoas blocks more difficult than femoral blocks. In contrast, while femoral blocks are generally easy to perform, the inguinal region is prone to infection. We thus tested the hypothesis that psoas blocks are associated with more insertion-related complications than femoral blocks but have fewer catheter-related infections. METHODS We extracted 22,434 surgical cases from the German Network for Regional Anesthesia registry (2007-2014) and grouped cases as psoas (n = 7593) and femoral (n = 14,841) blocks. Insertion-related complications (including single-shot blocks and catheter) and infectious complications (including only catheter) in each group were compared with χ tests. The groups were compared with multivariable logistic models, adjusted for potential confounding factors. RESULTS After adjustment for potential confounding factors, psoas blocks were associated with more complications than femoral blocks including vascular puncture 6.3% versus 1.1%, with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 3.6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.9-4.6; P < 0.001), and multiple skin punctures 12.6% versus 7.7%, with an aOR of 2.6 (95% CI, 2.1-3.3; P <0.001). Psoas blocks were also associated with fewer catheter-related infections: 0.3% versus 0.9% (aOR of 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.8; P = 0.016), and with improved patient satisfaction (mean ± SD 0- to 10-point scale score, 9.6 ± 1.2 vs 8.4 ± 2.9; P < 0.001). Results from a propensity-matched sensitivity analysis were similar. CONCLUSIONS Psoas blocks are associated with more insertion-related complications but fewer infectious complications. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION ID NCT02846610.
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