Accuracy of genomic selection in European maize elite breeding populations

Ability of Genomic Prediction to Bi-Parent-Derived Breeding Population Using Public Data for Soybean Oil and Protein Content

Genomic selection (GS) is a marker-based selection method used to improve the genetic gain of quantitative traits in plant breeding. A large number of breeding datasets are available in the soybean database, and the application of these public datasets in GS will improve breeding efficiency and reduce time and cost. However, the most important problem to be solved is how to improve the ability of across-population prediction. The objectives of this study were to perform genomic prediction (GP) and estimate the prediction ability (PA) for seed oil and protein contents in soybean using available public datasets to predict breeding populations in current, ongoing breeding programs. In this study, six public datasets of USDA GRIN soybean germplasm accessions with available phenotypic data of seed oil and protein contents from different experimental populations and their genotypic data of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were used to perform GP and to predict a bi-parent-derived breeding population in our experiment. The average PA was 0.55 and 0.50 for seed oil and protein contents within the bi-parents population according to the within-population prediction; and 0.45 for oil and 0.39 for protein content when the six USDA populations were combined and employed as training sets to predict the bi-parent-derived population. The results showed that four USDA-cultivated populations can be used as a training set individually or combined to predict oil and protein contents in GS when using 800 or more USDA germplasm accessions as a training set. The smaller the genetic distance between training population and testing population, the higher the PA. The PA increased as the population size increased. In across-population prediction, no significant difference was observed in PA for oil and protein content among different models. The PA increased as the SNP number increased until a marker set consisted of 10,000 SNPs. This study provides reasonable suggestions and methods for breeders to utilize public datasets for GS. It will aid breeders in developing GS-assisted breeding strategies to develop elite soybean cultivars with high oil and protein contents.

Portability of genomic predictions trained on sparse factorial designs across two maize silage breeding cycles

KEY MESSAGE

We validated the efficiency of genomic predictions calibrated on sparse factorial training sets to predict the next generation of hybrids and tested different strategies for updating predictions along generations. Genomic selection offers new prospects for revisiting hybrid breeding schemes by replacing extensive phenotyping of individuals with genomic predictions. Finding the ideal design for training genomic prediction models is still an open question. Previous studies have shown promising predictive abilities using sparse factorial instead of tester-based training sets to predict single-cross hybrids from the same generation. This study aims to further investigate the use of factorials and their optimization to predict line general combining abilities (GCAs) and hybrid values across breeding cycles. It relies on two breeding cycles of a maize reciprocal genomic selection scheme involving multiparental connected reciprocal populations from flint and dent complementary heterotic groups selected for silage performances. Selection based on genomic predictions trained on a factorial design resulted in a significant genetic gain for dry matter yield in the new generation. Results confirmed the efficiency of sparse factorial training sets to predict candidate line GCAs and hybrid values across breeding cycles. Compared to a previous study based on the first generation, the advantage of factorial over tester training sets appeared lower across generations. Updating factorial training sets by adding single-cross hybrids between selected lines from the previous generation or a random subset of hybrids from the new generation both improved predictive abilities. The CDmean criterion helped determine the set of single-crosses to phenotype to update the training set efficiently. Our results validated the efficiency of sparse factorial designs for calibrating hybrid genomic prediction experimentally and showed the benefit of updating it along generations.

Genetic analyses and prediction for lodging‑related traits in a diverse Iranian hexaploid wheat collection

Lodging is one of the most important limiting environmental factors for achieving the maximum yield and quality of grains in cereals, including wheat. However, little is known about the genetic foundation underlying lodging resistance (LR) in wheat. In this study, 208 landraces and 90 cultivars were phenotyped in two cropping seasons (2018-2019 and 2019-2020) for 19 LR-related traits. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) and genomics prediction were carried out to dissect the genomic regions of LR. The number of significant marker pairs (MPs) was highest for genome B in both landraces (427,017) and cultivars (37,359). The strongest linkage disequilibrium (LD) between marker pairs was found on chromosome 4A (0.318). For stem lodging-related traits, 465, 497, and 478 marker-trait associations (MTAs) and 45 candidate genes were identified in year 1, year 2, and pooled. Gene ontology exhibited genomic region on Chr. 2B, 6B, and 7B control lodging. Most of these genes have key roles in defense response, calcium ion transmembrane transport, carbohydrate metabolic process, nitrogen compound metabolic process, and some genes harbor unknown functions that, all together may respond to lodging as a complex network. The module associated with starch and sucrose biosynthesis was highlighted. Regarding genomic prediction, the GBLUP model performed better than BRR and RRBLUP. This suggests that GBLUP would be a good tool for wheat genome selection. As a result of these findings, it has been possible to identify pivotal QTLs and genes that could be used to improve stem lodging resistance in Triticum aestivum L.

Combination of linkage and association mapping with genomic prediction to infer QTL regions associated with gray leaf spot and northern corn leaf blight resistance in tropical maize

Among the diseases threatening maize production in Africa are gray leaf spot (GLS) caused by Cercospora zeina and northern corn leaf blight (NCLB) caused by Exserohilum turcicum. The two pathogens, which have high genetic diversity, reduce the photosynthesizing ability of susceptible genotypes and, hence, reduce the grain yield. To identify population-based quantitative trait loci (QTLs) for GLS and NCLB resistance, a biparental population of 230 lines derived from the tropical maize parents CML511 and CML546 and an association mapping panel of 239 tropical and sub-tropical inbred lines were phenotyped across multi-environments in western Kenya. Based on 1,264 high-quality polymorphic single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the biparental population, we identified 10 and 18 QTLs, which explained 64.2% and 64.9% of the total phenotypic variance for GLS and NCLB resistance, respectively. A major QTL for GLS, qGLS1_186 accounted for 15.2% of the phenotypic variance, while qNCLB3_50 explained the most phenotypic variance at 8.8% for NCLB resistance. Association mapping with 230,743 markers revealed 11 and 16 SNPs significantly associated with GLS and NCLB resistance, respectively. Several of the SNPs detected in the association panel were co-localized with QTLs identified in the biparental population, suggesting some consistent genomic regions across genetic backgrounds. These would be more relevant to use in field breeding to improve resistance to both diseases. Genomic prediction models trained on the biparental population data yielded average prediction accuracies of 0.66-0.75 for the disease traits when validated in the same population. Applying these prediction models to the association panel produced accuracies of 0.49 and 0.75 for GLS and NCLB, respectively. This research conducted in maize fields relevant to farmers in western Kenya has combined linkage and association mapping to identify new QTLs and confirm previous QTLs for GLS and NCLB resistance. Overall, our findings imply that genetic gain can be improved in maize breeding for resistance to multiple diseases including GLS and NCLB by using genomic selection.

Discovery of genomic regions associated with grain yield and agronomic traits in Bi-parental populations of maize (Zea mays. L) Under optimum and low nitrogen conditions

Low soil nitrogen levels, compounded by the high costs associated with nitrogen supplementation through fertilizers, significantly contribute to food insecurity, malnutrition, and rural poverty in maize-dependent smallholder communities of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The discovery of genomic regions associated with low nitrogen tolerance in maize can enhance selection efficiency and facilitate the development of improved varieties. To elucidate the genetic architecture of grain yield (GY) and its associated traits (anthesis-silking interval (ASI), anthesis date (AD), plant height (PH), ear position (EPO), and ear height (EH)) under different soil nitrogen regimes, four F3 maize populations were evaluated in Kenya and Zimbabwe. GY and all the traits evaluated showed significant genotypic variance and moderate heritability under both optimum and low nitrogen stress conditions. A total of 91 quantitative trait loci (QTL) related to GY (11) and other secondary traits (AD (26), PH (19), EH (24), EPO (7) and ASI (4)) were detected. Under low soil nitrogen conditions, PH and ASI had the highest number of QTLs. Furthermore, some common QTLs were identified between secondary traits under both nitrogen regimes. These QTLs are of significant value for further validation and possible rapid introgression into maize populations using marker-assisted selection. Identification of many QTL with minor effects indicates genomic selection (GS) is more appropriate for their improvement. Genomic prediction within each population revealed low to moderately high accuracy under optimum and low soil N stress management. However, the accuracies were higher for GY, PH and EH under optimum compared to low soil N stress. Our findings indicate that genetic gain can be improved in maize breeding for low N stress tolerance by using GS.

Optimization of Multi-Generation Multi-location Genomic Prediction Models for Recurrent Genomic Selection in an Upland Rice Population

Genomic selection is a worthy breeding method to improve genetic gain in recurrent selection breeding schemes. The integration of multi-generation and multi-location information could significantly improve genomic prediction models in the context of shuttle breeding. The Cirad-CIAT upland rice breeding program applies recurrent genomic selection and seeks to optimize the scheme to increase genetic gain while reducing phenotyping efforts. We used a synthetic population (PCT27) of which S0 plants were all genotyped and advanced by selfing and bulk seed harvest to the S0:2, S0:3, and S0:4 generations. The PCT27 was then divided into two sets. The S0:2 and S0:3 progenies for PCT27A and the S0:4 progenies for PCT27B were phenotyped in two locations: Santa Rosa the target selection location, within the upland rice growing area, and Palmira, the surrogate location, far from the upland rice growing area but easier for experimentation. While the calibration used either one of the two sets phenotyped in one or two locations, the validation population was only the PCT27B phenotyped in Santa Rosa. Five scenarios of genomic prediction and 24 models were performed and compared. Training the prediction model with the PCT27B phenotyped in Santa Rosa resulted in predictive abilities ranging from 0.19 for grain zinc concentration to 0.30 for grain yield. Expanding the training set with the inclusion of the PCT27A resulted in greater predictive abilities for all traits but grain yield, with increases from 5% for plant height to 61% for grain zinc concentration. Models with the PCT27B phenotyped in two locations resulted in higher prediction accuracy when the models assumed no genotype-by-environment (G × E) interaction for flowering (0.38) and grain zinc concentration (0.27). For plant height, the model assuming a single G × E variance provided higher accuracy (0.28). The gain in predictive ability for grain yield was the greatest (0.25) when environment-specific variance deviation effect for G × E was considered. While the best scenario was specific to each trait, the results indicated that the gain in predictive ability provided by the multi-location and multi-generation calibration was low. Yet, this approach could lead to increased selection intensity, acceleration of the breeding cycle, and a sizable economic advantage for the program.

Phenomic data-driven biological prediction of maize through field-based high-throughput phenotyping integration with genomic data

High-throughput phenotyping (HTP) has expanded the dimensionality of data in plant research; however, HTP has resulted in few novel biological discoveries to date. Field-based HTP (FHTP), using small unoccupied aerial vehicles (UAVs) equipped with imaging sensors, can be deployed routinely to monitor segregating plant population interactions with the environment under biologically meaningful conditions. Here, flowering dates and plant height, important phenological fitness traits, were collected on 520 segregating maize recombinant inbred lines (RILs) in both irrigated and drought stress trials in 2018. Using UAV phenomic, single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genomic, as well as combined data, flowering times were predicted using several scenarios. Untested genotypes were predicted with 0.58, 0.59, and 0.41 prediction ability for anthesis, silking, and terminal plant height, respectively, using genomic data, but prediction ability increased to 0.77, 0.76, and 0.58 when phenomic and genomic data were used together. Using the phenomic data in a genome-wide association study, a heat-related candidate gene (GRMZM2G083810; hsp18f) was discovered using temporal reflectance phenotypes belonging to flowering times (both irrigated and drought) trials where heat stress also peaked. Thus, a relationship between plants and abiotic stresses belonging to a specific time of growth was revealed only through use of temporal phenomic data. Overall, this study showed that (i) it is possible to predict complex traits using high dimensional phenomic data between different environments, and (ii) temporal phenomic data can reveal a time-dependent association between genotypes and abiotic stresses, which can help understand mechanisms to develop resilient plants.

Genetic variation among elite inbred lines suggests potential to breed for BNI-capacity in maize

Biological nitrification inhibition (BNI) is a plant function where root systems release antibiotic compounds (BNIs) specifically aimed at suppressing nitrifiers to limit soil-nitrate formation in the root zone. Little is known about BNI-activity in maize (Zea mays L.), the most important food, feed, and energy crop. Two categories of BNIs are released from maize roots; hydrophobic and hydrophilic BNIs, that determine BNI-capacity in root systems. Zeanone is a recently discovered hydrophobic compound with BNI-activity, released from maize roots. The objectives of this study were to understand/quantify the relationship between zeanone activity and hydrophobic BNI-capacity. We assessed genetic variability among 250 CIMMYT maize lines (CMLs) characterized for hydrophobic BNI-capacity and zeanone activity, towards developing genetic markers linked to this trait in maize. CMLs with high BNI-capacity and ability to release zeanone from roots were identified. GWAS was performed using 27,085 SNPs (with unique positions on the B73v.4 reference genome, and false discovery rate = 10), and phenotypic information for BNI-capacity and zeanone production from root systems. Eighteen significant markers were identified; three associated with specific BNI-activity (SBNI), four with BNI-activity per plant (BNIPP), another ten were common between SBNI and BNIPP, and one with zeanone release. Further, 30 annotated genes were associated with the significant SNPs; most of these genes are involved in pathways of "biological process", and one (AMT5) in ammonium regulation in maize roots. Although the inbred lines in this study were not developed for BNI-traits, the identification of markers associated with BNI-capacity suggests the possibility of using these genomic tools in marker-assisted selection to improve hydrophobic BNI-capacity in maize.

G2P Provides an Integrative Environment for Multi-model genomic selection analysis to improve genotype-to-phenotype prediction

Genotype-to-phenotype (G2P) prediction has become a mainstream paradigm to facilitate genomic selection (GS)-assisted breeding in the seed industry. Many methods have been introduced for building GS models, but their prediction precision may vary depending on species and specific traits. Therefore, evaluation of multiple models and selection of the appropriate one is crucial to effective GS analysis. Here, we present the G2P container developed for the Singularity platform, which not only contains a library of 16 state-of-the-art GS models and 13 evaluation metrics. G2P works as an integrative environment offering comprehensive, unbiased evaluation analyses of the 16 GS models, which may be run in parallel on high-performance computing clusters. Based on the evaluation outcome, G2P performs auto-ensemble algorithms that not only can automatically select the most precise models but also can integrate prediction results from multiple models. This functionality should further improve the precision of G2P prediction. Another noteworthy function is the refinement design of the training set, in which G2P optimizes the training set based on the genetic diversity analysis of a studied population. Although the training samples in the optimized set are fewer than in the original set, the prediction precision is almost equivalent to that obtained when using the whole set. This functionality is quite useful in practice, as it reduces the cost of phenotyping when constructing training population. The G2P container and source codes are freely accessible at https://g2p-env.github.io/.

Results from rapid-cycle recurrent genomic selection in spring bread wheat

Genomic selection (GS) in wheat breeding programs is of great interest for predicting the genotypic values of individuals, where both additive and nonadditive effects determine the final breeding value of lines. While several simulation studies have shown the efficiency of rapid-cycling GS strategies for parental selection or population improvement, their practical implementations are still lacking in wheat and other crops. In this study, we demonstrate the potential of rapid-cycle recurrent GS (RCRGS) to increase genetic gain for grain yield (GY) in wheat. Our results showed a consistent realized genetic gain for GY after 3 cycles of recombination (C1, C2, and C3) of bi-parental F1s, when summarized across 2 years of phenotyping. For both evaluation years combined, genetic gain through RCRGS reached 12.3% from cycle C0 to C3 and realized gain was 0.28 ton ha-1 per cycle with a GY from C0 (6.88 ton ha-1) to C3 (7.73 ton ha-1). RCRGS was also associated with some changes in important agronomic traits that were measured (days to heading, days to maturity, and plant height) but not selected for. To account for these changes, we recommend implementing GS together with multi-trait prediction models.

A Combination of QTL Mapping and GradedPool-Seq to Dissect Genetic Complexity for Gibberella Ear Rot Resistance in Maize Using an IBM Syn10 DH Population

Gibberella ear rot (GER) caused by Fusarium graminearum (teleomorph Gibberella zeae) is one of the most devastating maize diseases that reduces grain yield and quality worldwide. Utilization of host genetic resistance has become one of the most suitable strategies to control GER. In this study, a set of 246 diverse inbred lines derived from the intermated B 73 × Mo 17 doubled haploid population (IBM Syn10 DH) were used to detect quantitative trait loci (QTL) associated with resistance to GER. Meanwhile, a GradedPool-Seq (GPS) approach was performed to identify genomic variations involved in GER resistance. Using artificial inoculation across multiple environments, GER severity of the population was observed with wide phenotypic variation. Based on the linkage mapping, a total of 14 resistant QTLs were detected, accounting for 5.11 to 14.87% of the phenotypic variation, respectively. In GPS analysis, five significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with GER resistance were identified. Combining QTL mapping and GPS analysis, a peak-value SNP on chromosome 4 from GPS was overlapped with the QTL qGER4.2, suggesting that the colocalized region could be the most possible target location conferring resistance to GER. Subsequently, seven candidate genes were identified within the peak SNP, linking them to GER resistance. These findings are useful for exploring the complicated genetic variations in maize GER resistance. The genomic regions and genes identified herein provide a list of candidate targets for further investigation, in addition to the combined strategy that can be used for quantitative traits in plant species.

Genome-wide association mapping and genomic prediction of agronomical traits and breeding values in Iranian wheat under rain-fed and well-watered conditions

BACKGROUND

The markers detected by genome-wide association study (GWAS) make it possible to dissect genetic structure and diversity at many loci. This can enable a wheat breeder to reveal and used genomic loci controlling drought tolerance. This study was focused on determining the population structure of Iranian 208 wheat landraces and 90 cultivars via genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) and also on detecting marker-trait associations (MTAs) by GWAS and genomic prediction (GS) of wheat agronomic traits for drought-tolerance breeding. GWASs were conducted using both the original phenotypes (pGWAS) and estimated breeding values (eGWAS). The bayesian ridge regression (BRR), genomic best linear unbiased prediction (gBLUP), and ridge regression-best linear unbiased prediction (rrBLUP) approaches were used to estimate breeding values and estimate prediction accuracies in genomic selection.

RESULTS

Population structure analysis using 2,174,975 SNPs revealed four genetically distinct sub-populations from wheat accessions. D-Genome harbored the lowest number of significant marker pairs and the highest linkage disequilibrium (LD), reflecting different evolutionary histories of wheat genomes. From pGWAS, BRR, gBLUP, and rrBLUP, 284, 363, 359 and 295 significant MTAs were found under normal and 195, 365, 362 and 302 under stress conditions, respectively. The gBLUP with the most similarity (80.98 and 71.28% in well-watered and rain-fed environments, correspondingly) with the pGWAS method in the terms of discovered significant SNPs, suggesting the potential of gBLUP in uncovering SNPs. Results from gene ontology revealed that 29 and 30 SNPs in the imputed dataset were located in protein-coding regions for well-watered and rain-fed conditions, respectively. gBLUP model revealed genetic effects better than other models, suggesting a suitable tool for genome selection in wheat.

CONCLUSION

We illustrate that Iranian landraces of bread wheat contain novel alleles that are adaptive to drought stress environments. gBLUP model can be helpful for fine mapping and cloning of the relevant QTLs and genes, and for carrying out trait introgression and marker-assisted selection in both normal and drought environments in wheat collections.

Genomic prediction in the wild: A case study in Soay sheep

Genomic prediction, the technique whereby an individual's genetic component of their phenotype is estimated from its genome, has revolutionised animal and plant breeding and medical genetics. However, despite being first introduced nearly two decades ago, it has hardly been adopted by the evolutionary genetics community studying wild organisms. Here, genomic prediction is performed on eight traits in a wild population of Soay sheep. The population has been the focus of a >30 year evolutionary ecology study and there is already considerable understanding of the genetic architecture of the focal Mendelian and quantitative traits. We show that the accuracy of genomic prediction is high for all traits, but especially those with loci of large effect segregating. Five different methods are compared, and the two methods that can accommodate zero-effect and large-effect loci in the same model tend to perform best. If the accuracy of genomic prediction is similar in other wild populations, then there is a real opportunity for pedigree-free molecular quantitative genetics research to be enabled in many more wild populations; currently the literature is dominated by studies that have required decades of field data collection to generate sufficiently deep pedigrees. Finally, some of the potential applications of genomic prediction in wild populations are discussed.

Genome-wide association studies of grain yield and quality traits under optimum and low-nitrogen stress in tropical maize (Zea mays L.)

Genome-wide association study (GWAS) demonstrated that multiple genomic regions influence grain quality traits under nitrogen-starved soils. Using genomic prediction, genetic gains can be improved through selection for grain quality traits. Soils in sub-Saharan Africa are nitrogen deficient due to low fertilizer use and inadequate soil fertility management practices. This has resulted in a significant yield gap for the major staple crop maize, which is undermining nutritional security and livelihood sustainability across the region. Dissecting the genetic basis of grain protein, starch and oil content under nitrogen-starved soils can increase our understanding of the governing genetic systems and improve the efficacy of future breeding schemes. An association mapping panel of 410 inbred lines and four bi-parental populations were evaluated in field trials in Kenya and South Africa under optimum and low nitrogen conditions and genotyped with 259,798 SNP markers. Genetic correlations demonstrated that these populations may be utilized to select higher performing lines under low nitrogen stress. Furthermore, genotypic, environmental and GxE variations in nitrogen-starved soils were found to be significant for oil content. Broad sense heritabilities ranged from moderate (0.18) to high (0.86). Under low nitrogen stress, GWAS identified 42 SNPs linked to grain quality traits. These significant SNPs were associated with 51 putative candidate genes. Linkage mapping identified multiple QTLs for the grain quality traits. Under low nitrogen conditions, average prediction accuracies across the studied genotypes were higher for oil content (0.78) and lower for grain yield (0.08). Our findings indicate that grain quality traits are polygenic and that using genomic selection in maize breeding can improve genetic gain. Furthermore, the identified genomic regions and SNP markers can be utilized for selection to improve maize grain quality traits.

Improving Genomic Prediction with Machine Learning Incorporating TPE for Hyperparameters Optimization

Depending on excellent prediction ability, machine learning has been considered the most powerful implement to analyze high-throughput sequencing genome data. However, the sophisticated process of tuning hyperparameters tremendously impedes the wider application of machine learning in animal and plant breeding programs. Therefore, we integrated an automatic tuning hyperparameters algorithm, tree-structured Parzen estimator (TPE), with machine learning to simplify the process of using machine learning for genomic prediction. In this study, we applied TPE to optimize the hyperparameters of Kernel ridge regression (KRR) and support vector regression (SVR). To evaluate the performance of TPE, we compared the prediction accuracy of KRR-TPE and SVR-TPE with the genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) and KRR-RS, KRR-Grid, SVR-RS, and SVR-Grid, which tuned the hyperparameters of KRR and SVR by using random search (RS) and grid search (Gird) in a simulation dataset and the real datasets. The results indicated that KRR-TPE achieved the most powerful prediction ability considering all populations and was the most convenient. Especially for the Chinese Simmental beef cattle and Loblolly pine populations, the prediction accuracy of KRR-TPE had an 8.73% and 6.08% average improvement compared with GBLUP, respectively. Our study will greatly promote the application of machine learning in GP and further accelerate breeding progress.

A divide-and-conquer approach for genomic prediction in rubber tree using machine learning

Rubber tree (Hevea brasiliensis) is the main feedstock for commercial rubber; however, its long vegetative cycle has hindered the development of more productive varieties via breeding programs. With the availability of H. brasiliensis genomic data, several linkage maps with associated quantitative trait loci have been constructed and suggested as a tool for marker-assisted selection. Nonetheless, novel genomic strategies are still needed, and genomic selection (GS) may facilitate rubber tree breeding programs aimed at reducing the required cycles for performance assessment. Even though such a methodology has already been shown to be a promising tool for rubber tree breeding, increased model predictive capabilities and practical application are still needed. Here, we developed a novel machine learning-based approach for predicting rubber tree stem circumference based on molecular markers. Through a divide-and-conquer strategy, we propose a neural network prediction system with two stages: (1) subpopulation prediction and (2) phenotype estimation. This approach yielded higher accuracies than traditional statistical models in a single-environment scenario. By delivering large accuracy improvements, our methodology represents a powerful tool for use in Hevea GS strategies. Therefore, the incorporation of machine learning techniques into rubber tree GS represents an opportunity to build more robust models and optimize Hevea breeding programs.

QTL mapping and genomic prediction of resistance to wheat head blight caused by Fusarium verticillioides

Fusarium head blight (FHB), is one of the destructive fugue diseases of wheat worldwide caused by the Fusarium verticillioides (F.v). In this study, a population consisting of 262 recombinant inbred lines (RILs) derived from Zhongmai 578 and Jimai 22 was used to map Quantitative Trait Locus (QTL) for FHB resistance, with the genotype data using the wheat 50 K single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) array. The percentage of symptomatic spikelet (PSS) and the weighted average of PSS (PSSW) were collected for each RIL to represent their resistance to wheat head blight caused by F.v. In total, 22 QTL associated with FHB resistance were identified on chromosomes 1D, 2B, 3B, 4A, 5D, 7A, 7B, and 7D, respectively, from which 10 and 12 QTL were detected from PSS and PSSW respectively, explaining 3.82%-10.57% of the phenotypic variances using the inclusive composite interval mapping method. One novel QTL, Qfhb. haust-4A.1, was identified, explaining 10.56% of the phenotypic variation. One stable QTL, Qfhb. haust-1D.1 was detected on chromosome 1D across multiple environments explaining 4.39%-5.70% of the phenotypic variation. Forty-seven candidate genes related to disease resistance were found in the interval of Qfhb. haust-1D.1 and Qfhb. haust-4A.1. Genomic prediction accuracies were estimated from the five-fold cross-validation scheme ranging from 0.34 to 0.40 for PSS, and from 0.34 to 0.39 for PSSW in in-vivo inoculation treatment. This study provided new insight into the genetic analysis of resistance to wheat head blight caused by F.v, and genomic selection (GS) as a potential approach for improving the resistance of wheat head blight.

Advances in integrated genomic selection for rapid genetic gain in crop improvement: a review

Genomic selection and its importance in crop breeding. Integration of GS with new breeding tools and developing SOP for GS to achieve maximum genetic gain with low cost and time. The success of conventional breeding approaches is not sufficient to meet the demand of a growing population for nutritious food and other plant-based products. Whereas, marker assisted selection (MAS) is not efficient in capturing all the favorable alleles responsible for economic traits in the process of crop improvement. Genomic selection (GS) developed in livestock breeding and then adapted to plant breeding promised to overcome the drawbacks of MAS and significantly improve complicated traits controlled by gene/QTL with small effects. Large-scale deployment of GS in important crops, as well as simulation studies in a variety of contexts, addressed G × E interaction effects and non-additive effects, as well as lowering breeding costs and time. The current study provides a complete overview of genomic selection, its process, and importance in modern plant breeding, along with insights into its application. GS has been implemented in the improvement of complex traits including tolerance to biotic and abiotic stresses. Furthermore, this review hypothesises that using GS in conjunction with other crop improvement platforms accelerates the breeding process to increase genetic gain. The objective of this review is to highlight the development of an appropriate GS model, the global open source network for GS, and trans-disciplinary approaches for effective accelerated crop improvement. The current study focused on the application of data science, including machine learning and deep learning tools, to enhance the accuracy of prediction models. Present study emphasizes on developing plant breeding strategies centered on GS combined with routine conventional breeding principles by developing GS-SOP to achieve enhanced genetic gain.

Integrated Approach in Genomic Selection to Accelerate Genetic Gain in Sugarcane

Marker-assisted selection (MAS) has been widely used in the last few decades in plant breeding programs for the mapping and introgression of genes for economically important traits, which has enabled the development of a number of superior cultivars in different crops. In sugarcane, which is the most important source for sugar and bioethanol, marker development work was initiated long ago; however, marker-assisted breeding in sugarcane has been lagging, mainly due to its large complex genome, high levels of polyploidy and heterozygosity, varied number of chromosomes, and use of low/medium-density markers. Genomic selection (GS) is a proven technology in animal breeding and has recently been incorporated in plant breeding programs. GS is a potential tool for the rapid selection of superior genotypes and accelerating breeding cycle. However, its full potential could be realized by an integrated approach combining high-throughput phenotyping, genotyping, machine learning, and speed breeding with genomic selection. For better understanding of GS integration, we comprehensively discuss the concept of genetic gain through the breeder’s equation, GS methodology, prediction models, current status of GS in sugarcane, challenges of prediction accuracy, challenges of GS in sugarcane, integrated GS, high-throughput phenotyping (HTP), high-throughput genotyping (HTG), machine learning, and speed breeding followed by its prospective applications in sugarcane improvement.

Genetic Augmentation of Legume Crops Using Genomic Resources and Genotyping Platforms for Nutritional Food Security

Recent advances in next generation sequencing (NGS) technologies have led the surge of genomic resources for the improvement legume crops. Advances in high throughput genotyping (HTG) and high throughput phenotyping (HTP) enable legume breeders to improve legume crops more precisely and efficiently. Now, the legume breeder can reshuffle the natural gene combinations of their choice to enhance the genetic potential of crops. These genomic resources are efficiently deployed through molecular breeding approaches for genetic augmentation of important legume crops, such as chickpea, cowpea, pigeonpea, groundnut, common bean, lentil, pea, as well as other underutilized legume crops. In the future, advances in NGS, HTG, and HTP technologies will help in the identification and assembly of superior haplotypes to tailor the legume crop varieties through haplotype-based breeding. This review article focuses on the recent development of genomic resource databases and their deployment in legume molecular breeding programmes to secure global food security.

Association Studies and Genomic Prediction for Genetic Improvements in Agriculture

To feed the fast growing global population with sufficient food using limited global resources, it is urgent to develop and utilize cutting-edge technologies and improve efficiency of agricultural production. In this review, we specifically introduce the concepts, theories, methods, applications and future implications of association studies and predicting unknown genetic value or future phenotypic events using genomics in the area of breeding in agriculture. Genome wide association studies can identify the quantitative genetic loci associated with phenotypes of importance in agriculture, while genomic prediction utilizes individual genetic value to rank selection candidates to improve the next generation of plants or animals. These technologies and methods have improved the efficiency of genetic improvement programs for agricultural production via elite animal breeds and plant varieties. With the development of new data acquisition technologies, there will be more and more data collected from high-through-put technologies to assist agricultural breeding. It will be crucial to extract useful information among these large amounts of data and to face this challenge, more efficient algorithms need to be developed and utilized for analyzing these data. Such development will require knowledge from multiple disciplines of research.

Unraveling the potential of phenomic selection within and among diverse breeding material of maize (Zea mays L.)

Genomic selection is a well-investigated approach that facilitates and supports selection decisions for complex traits and has meanwhile become a standard tool in modern plant breeding. Phenomic selection has only recently been suggested and uses the same statistical procedures to predict the targeted traits but replaces marker data with near-infrared spectroscopy data. It may represent an attractive low-cost, high-throughput alternative but has not been sufficiently studied until now. Here, we used 400 genotypes of maize (Zea mays L.) comprising elite lines of the Flint and Dent heterotic pools as well as 6 Flint landraces, which were phenotyped in multienvironment trials for anthesis-silking-interval, early vigor, final plant height, grain dry matter content, grain yield, and phosphorus concentration in the maize kernels, to compare the predictive abilities of genomic as well as phenomic prediction under different scenarios. We found that both approaches generally achieved comparable predictive abilities within material groups. However, phenomic prediction was less affected by population structure and performed better than its genomic counterpart for predictions among diverse groups of breeding material. We therefore conclude that phenomic prediction is a promising tool for practical breeding, for instance when working with unknown and rather diverse germplasm. Moreover, it may make the highly monopolized sector of plant breeding more accessible also for low-tech institutions by combining well established, widely available, and cost-efficient spectral phenotyping with the statistical procedures elaborated for genomic prediction - while achieving similar or even better results than with marker data.

Identification of Genomic Regions Associated with Agronomic and Disease Resistance Traits in a Large Set of Multiple DH Populations

Breeding maize lines with the improved level of desired agronomic traits under optimum and drought conditions as well as increased levels of resistance to several diseases such as maize lethal necrosis (MLN) is one of the most sustainable approaches for the sub-Saharan African region. In this study, 879 doubled haploid (DH) lines derived from 26 biparental populations were evaluated under artificial inoculation of MLN, as well as under well-watered (WW) and water-stressed (WS) conditions for grain yield and other agronomic traits. All DH lines were used for analyses of genotypic variability, association studies, and genomic predictions for the grain yield and other yield-related traits. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) using a mixed linear FarmCPU model identified SNPs associated with the studied traits i.e., about seven and eight SNPs for the grain yield; 16 and 12 for anthesis date; seven and eight for anthesis silking interval; 14 and 5 for both ear and plant height; and 15 and 5 for moisture under both WW and WS environments, respectively. Similarly, about 13 and 11 SNPs associated with gray leaf spot and turcicum leaf blight were identified. Eleven SNPs associated with senescence under WS management that had depicted drought-stress-tolerant QTLs were identified. Under MLN artificial inoculation, a total of 12 and 10 SNPs associated with MLN disease severity and AUDPC traits, respectively, were identified. Genomic prediction under WW, WS, and MLN disease artificial inoculation revealed moderate-to-high prediction accuracy. The findings of this study provide useful information on understanding the genetic basis for the MLN resistance, grain yield, and other agronomic traits under MLN artificial inoculation, WW, and WS conditions. Therefore, the obtained information can be used for further validation and developing functional molecular markers for marker-assisted selection and for implementing genomic prediction to develop superior elite lines.

Genomic Selection: A Tool for Accelerating the Efficiency of Molecular Breeding for Development of Climate-Resilient Crops

Since the inception of the theory and conceptual framework of genomic selection (GS), extensive research has been done on evaluating its efficiency for utilization in crop improvement. Though, the marker-assisted selection has proven its potential for improvement of qualitative traits controlled by one to few genes with large effects. Its role in improving quantitative traits controlled by several genes with small effects is limited. In this regard, GS that utilizes genomic-estimated breeding values of individuals obtained from genome-wide markers to choose candidates for the next breeding cycle is a powerful approach to improve quantitative traits. In the last two decades, GS has been widely adopted in animal breeding programs globally because of its potential to improve selection accuracy, minimize phenotyping, reduce cycle time, and increase genetic gains. In addition, given the promising initial evaluation outcomes of GS for the improvement of yield, biotic and abiotic stress tolerance, and quality in cereal crops like wheat, maize, and rice, prospects of integrating it in breeding crops are also being explored. Improved statistical models that leverage the genomic information to increase the prediction accuracies are critical for the effectiveness of GS-enabled breeding programs. Study on genetic architecture under drought and heat stress helps in developing production markers that can significantly accelerate the development of stress-resilient crop varieties through GS. This review focuses on the transition from traditional selection methods to GS, underlying statistical methods and tools used for this purpose, current status of GS studies in crop plants, and perspectives for its successful implementation in the development of climate-resilient crops.

The performance of phenomic selection depends on the genetic architecture of the target trait

The phenomic predictive ability depends on the genetic architecture of the target trait, being high for complex traits and low for traits with major QTL. Genomic selection is a powerful tool to assist breeding of complex traits, but a limitation is the costs required for genotyping. Recently, phenomic selection has been suggested, which uses spectral data instead of molecular markers as predictors. It was shown to be competitive with genomic prediction, as it achieved predictive abilities as high or even higher than its genomic counterpart. The objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of phenomic prediction for triticale and the dependency of the predictive ability on the genetic architecture of the target trait. We found that for traits with a complex genetic architecture, like grain yield, phenomic prediction with NIRS data as predictors achieved high predictive abilities and performed better than genomic prediction. By contrast, for mono- or oligogenic traits, for example, yellow rust, marker-based approaches achieved high predictive abilities, while those of phenomic prediction were very low. Compared with molecular markers, the predictive ability obtained using NIRS data was more robust to varying degrees of genetic relatedness between the training and prediction set. Moreover, for grain yield, smaller training sets were required to achieve a similar predictive ability for phenomic prediction than for genomic prediction. In addition, our results illustrate the potential of using field-based spectral data for phenomic prediction. Overall, our result confirmed phenomic prediction as an efficient approach to improve the selection gain for complex traits in plant breeding.

Genomic Analysis of Resistance to Fall Armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda) in CIMMYT Maize Lines

The recent invasion, rapid spread, and widescale destruction of the maize crop by the fall armyworm (FAW; Spodoptera frugiperda (J.E. Smith)) is likely to worsen the food insecurity situation in Africa. In the present study, a set of 424 maize lines were screened for their responses to FAW under artificial infestation to dissect the genetic basis of resistance. All lines were evaluated for two seasons under screen houses and genotyped with the DArTseq platform. Foliar damage was rated on a scale of 1 (highly resistant) to 9 (highly susceptible) and scored at 7, 14, and 21 days after artificial infestation. Analyses of variance revealed significant genotypic and genotype by environment interaction variances for all traits. Heritability estimates for leaf damage scores were moderately high and ranged from 0.38 to 0.58. Grain yield was negatively correlated with a high magnitude to foliar damage scores, ear rot, and ear damage traits. The genome-wide association study (GWAS) revealed 56 significant marker–trait associations and the predicted functions of the putative candidate genes varied from a defense response to several genes of unknown function. Overall, the study revealed that native genetic resistance to FAW is quantitative in nature and is controlled by many loci with minor effects.

Response to Early Generation Genomic Selection for Yield in Wheat

We investigated increasing genetic gain for grain yield using early generation genomic selection (GS). A training set of 1,334 elite wheat breeding lines tested over three field seasons was used to generate Genomic Estimated Breeding Values (GEBVs) for grain yield under irrigated conditions applying markers and three different prediction methods: (1) Genomic Best Linear Unbiased Predictor (GBLUP), (2) GBLUP with the imputation of missing genotypic data by Ridge Regression BLUP (rrGBLUP_imp), and (3) Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) a.k.a. Gaussian Kernel (GK). F2 GEBVs were generated for 1,924 individuals from 38 biparental cross populations between 21 parents selected from the training set. Results showed that F2 GEBVs from the different methods were not correlated. Experiment 1 consisted of selecting F2s with the highest average GEBVs and advancing them to form genomically selected bulks and make intercross populations aiming to combine favorable alleles for yield. F4:6 lines were derived from genomically selected bulks, intercrosses, and conventional breeding methods with similar numbers from each. Results of field-testing for Experiment 1 did not find any difference in yield with genomic compared to conventional selection. Experiment 2 compared the predictive ability of the different GEBV calculation methods in F2 using a set of single plant-derived F2:4 lines from randomly selected F2 plants. Grain yield results from Experiment 2 showed a significant positive correlation between observed yields of F2:4 lines and predicted yield GEBVs of F2 single plants from GK (the predictive ability of 0.248, P < 0.001) and GBLUP (0.195, P < 0.01) but no correlation with rrGBLUP_imp. Results demonstrate the potential for the application of GS in early generations of wheat breeding and the importance of using the appropriate statistical model for GEBV calculation, which may not be the same as the best model for inbreds.

Genomic Prediction of Complex Traits in an Allogamous Annual Crop: The Case of Maize Single-Cross Hybrids

For many plant and animal species, commercial products are hybrids between individuals from different genetic groups. For allogamous plant species such as maize, the breeding objective is to produce single-cross hybrid varieties from two inbred lines each selected in complementary groups. Efficient hybrid breeding requires methods that (1) quickly generate homozygous and homogeneous parental lines with high combining abilities, (2) efficiently choose among the large number of available parental lines the most promising ones, and (3) predict the performances of sets of non-phenotyped single-cross hybrids, or hybrids phenotyped in a limited number of environments, based on their relationship with another set of hybrids with known performances. The maize breeding community has been developing model-based prediction of hybrid performances well before the genomic era. This chapter (1) provides a reminder of the maize breeding scheme before the genomic era; (2) describes how genomic data were incorporated in the prediction models involved in different steps of genomic-based single-cross maize hybrid breeding; and (3) reviews factors affecting the accuracy of genomic prediction, approaches for optimizing GP-based single-cross maize hybrid breeding schemes, and ensuring the long-term sustainability of genomic selection.

Genome and Environment Based Prediction Models and Methods of Complex Traits Incorporating Genotype × Environment Interaction

Genomic-enabled prediction models are of paramount importance for the successful implementation of genomic selection (GS) based on breeding values. As opposed to animal breeding, plant breeding includes extensive multienvironment and multiyear field trial data. Hence, genomic-enabled prediction models should include genotype × environment (G × E) interaction, which most of the time increases the prediction performance when the response of lines are different from environment to environment. In this chapter, we describe a historical timeline since 2012 related to advances of the GS models that take into account G × E interaction. We describe theoretical and practical aspects of those GS models, including the gains in prediction performance when including G × E structures for both complex continuous and categorical scale traits. Then, we detailed and explained the main G × E genomic prediction models for complex traits measured in continuous and noncontinuous (categorical) scale. Related to G × E interaction models this review also examine the analyses of the information generated with high-throughput phenotype data (phenomic) and the joint analyses of multitrait and multienvironment field trial data that is also employed in the general assessment of multitrait G × E interaction. The inclusion of nongenomic data in increasing the accuracy and biological reliability of the G × E approach is also outlined. We show the recent advances in large-scale envirotyping (enviromics), and how the use of mechanistic computational modeling can derive the crop growth and development aspects useful for predicting phenotypes and explaining G × E.

A SNP-based GWAS and functional haplotype-based GWAS of flag leaf-related traits and their influence on the yield of bread wheat (Triticum aestivum L.)

The genetic architecture of five flag leaf morphology traits was dissected by the functional haplotype-based GWAS and a standard SNP-based GWAS in a diverse population consisting of 197 varieties. Flag leaf morphology (FLM) is a critical factor affecting plant architecture and grain yield in wheat. The genetic architecture of FLM traits has been extensively studied with QTL mapping in bi-parental populations, while few studies exploited genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in diverse populations. In this study, a panel of 197 elite and historical varieties from China was evaluated for five FLM traits including the length (FLL), width (FLW), ratio (FLR), area (FLA) and angle (FLANG) as well as yield in nine environments. Based on the phenotypic correlation between yield and FLL (-0.43), FLA (- 0.32) and FLW (0.11), an empirical FLM index combining the three FLM traits proved to be a good predictor for yield. Two GWAS approaches were applied to dissect the genetic architecture of five FLM traits with a Wheat660K SNP array. The functional haplotype-based GWAS revealed 6, 5 and 7 QTL for FLANG, FLL and FLR, respectively, whereas two QTL for FLW and one for FLR were identified by the standard SNP-based GWAS. Due to co-localization, there were 18 independent QTL and 10 of them were close to known ones. One co-localized QTL on chromosome 5A was associated with FLL, FLANG and FLR. Moreover, both GWAS approaches identified a novel QTL for FLR on chromosome 6B which was not reported in previous studies. This study provides new insights into the relationship between FLM and yield and broadens our understanding of the genetic architecture of FLM traits in wheat.

Prediction of heterosis in the recent rapeseed (Brassica napus) polyploid by pairing parental nucleotide sequences

The utilization of heterosis is a successful strategy in increasing yield for many crops. However, it consumes tremendous manpower to test the combining ability of the parents in fields. Here, we applied the genomic-selection (GS) strategy and developed models that significantly increase the predictability of heterosis by introducing the concept of a regional parental genetic-similarity index (PGSI) and reducing dimension in the calculation matrix in a machine-learning approach. Overall, PGSI negatively affected grain yield and several other traits but positively influenced the thousand-seed weight of the hybrids. It was found that the C subgenome of rapeseed had a greater impact on heterosis than the A subgenome. We drew maps with overviews of quantitative-trait loci that were responsible for the heterosis (h-QTLs) of various agronomic traits. Identifications and annotations of genes underlying high impacting h-QTLs were provided. Using models that we elaborated, combining abilities between an Ogu-CMS-pool member and a potential restorer can be simulated in silico, sidestepping laborious work, such as testing crosses in fields. The achievements here provide a case of heterosis prediction in polyploid genomes with relatively large genome sizes.

Oilseed rape (Brassica napus) is of significant economic interest worldwide, providing high-quality oil with excellent health-promoting properties. It represents an excellent model of a successful recent polyploid that rapidly became an important crop worldwide. The utilization of hybridization, leading to hybrid vigor, or heterosis, is a successful strategy in increasing yield and vigor for many field crops including rapeseed (Brassica napus). However, the procedure of using classical breeding methods remains slow and laborious, illustrating the need for predictive and innovative methods. Here, we have achieved a significant breakthrough by using genome selection and significantly advanced models to predict the heterosis by pairing genome-wide nucleotides of parents. We provided maps with overviews of quantitative trait loci that were responsible for the heterosis of various agronomic traits. The research used deep resequencing (>30x) data of the entire polyploidy rapeseed genome, providing a successful case for the prediction of heterosis in polyploid genomes with relatively large genome sizes. Moreover, we provided the genetic information (SNPs) of 1007 core accessions of this species in the public domain for testing combinations with high heterosis using our predicting model for rapeseed breeders all over the world.

Training set design in genomic prediction with multiple biparental families

Genomic selection is a powerful tool to reduce the cycle length and enhance the genetic gain of complex traits in plant breeding. However, questions remain about the optimum design and composition of the training set. In this study, we used 944 soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.] recombinant inbred lines from eight families derived through a partial-diallel mating design among five parental lines. The cross-validated prediction accuracies for the six traits seed yield, 1,000-seed weight, protein yield, plant height, protein content, and oil content were high, ranging from 0.79 to 0.87. We investigated among-family predictions, making use of the special mating design with different degrees of relatedness among families. Generally, the prediction accuracy decreased from full-sibs to half-sib families to unrelated families. However, half-sib and unrelated families also showed substantial variation in their prediction accuracy for a given family, which appeared to be caused at least in part by the shared segregation of quantitative trait loci in both the training and prediction sets. Combining several half-sib families in composite training sets generally led to an increase in the prediction accuracy compared with the best family alone. The prediction accuracy increased with the size of the training set, but for comparable prediction accuracy, substantially more half-sibs were required than full-sibs. Collectively, our results highlight the potential of genomic selection for soybean breeding and, in a broader context, illustrate the importance of the targeted design of the training set.

Tomato genomic prediction for good performance under high-temperature and identification of loci involved in thermotolerance response

Many studies showed that few degrees above tomato optimum growth temperature threshold can lead to serious loss in production. Therefore, the development of innovative strategies to obtain tomato cultivars with improved yield under high temperature conditions is a main goal both for basic genetic studies and breeding activities. In this paper, a F4 segregating population was phenotypically evaluated for quantitative and qualitative traits under heat stress conditions. Moreover, a genotyping by sequencing (GBS) approach has been employed for building up genomic selection (GS) models both for yield and soluble solid content (SCC). Several parameters, including training population size, composition and marker quality were tested to predict genotype performance under heat stress conditions. A good prediction accuracy for the two analyzed traits (0.729 for yield production and 0.715 for SCC) was obtained. The predicted models improved the genetic gain of selection in the next breeding cycles, suggesting that GS approach is a promising strategy to accelerate breeding for heat tolerance in tomato. Finally, the annotation of SNPs located in gene body regions combined with QTL analysis allowed the identification of five candidates putatively involved in high temperatures response, and the building up of a GS model based on calibrated panel of SNP markers.

From gene banks to farmer's fields: using genomic selection to identify donors for a breeding program in rice to close the yield gap on smallholder farms

KEY MESSAGE

Despite phenotyping the training set under unfavorable conditions on smallholder farms in Madagascar, we were able to successfully apply genomic prediction to select donors among gene bank accessions. Poor soil fertility and low fertilizer application rates are main reasons for the large yield gap observed for rice produced in sub-Saharan Africa. Traditional varieties that are preserved in gene banks were shown to possess traits and alleles that would improve the performance of modern variety under such low-input conditions. How to accelerate the utilization of gene bank resources in crop improvement is an unresolved question and here our objective was to test whether genomic prediction could aid in the selection of promising donors. A subset of the 3,024 sequenced accessions from the IRRI rice gene bank was phenotyped for yield and agronomic traits for two years in unfertilized farmers' fields in Madagascar, and based on these data, a genomic prediction model was developed. This model was applied to predict the performance of the entire set of 3024 accessions, and the top predicted performers were sent to Madagascar for confirmatory trials. The prediction accuracies ranged from 0.10 to 0.30 for grain yield, from 0.25 to 0.63 for straw biomass, to 0.71 for heading date. Two accessions have subsequently been utilized as donors in rice breeding programs in Madagascar. Despite having conducted phenotypic evaluations under challenging conditions on smallholder farms, our results are encouraging as the prediction accuracy realized in on-farm experiments was in the range of accuracies achieved in on-station studies. Thus, we could provide clear empirical evidence on the value of genomic selection in identifying suitable genetic resources for crop improvement, if genotypic data are available.

Genomic Prediction of Resistance to Tar Spot Complex of Maize in Multiple Populations Using Genotyping-by-Sequencing SNPs

Tar spot complex (TSC) is one of the most important foliar diseases in tropical maize. TSC resistance could be furtherly improved by implementing marker-assisted selection (MAS) and genomic selection (GS) individually, or by implementing them stepwise. Implementation of GS requires a profound understanding of factors affecting genomic prediction accuracy. In the present study, an association-mapping panel and three doubled haploid populations, genotyped with genotyping-by-sequencing, were used to estimate the effectiveness of GS for improving TSC resistance. When the training and prediction sets were independent, moderate-to-high prediction accuracies were achieved across populations by using the training sets with broader genetic diversity, or in pairwise populations having closer genetic relationships. A collection of inbred lines with broader genetic diversity could be used as a permanent training set for TSC improvement, which can be updated by adding more phenotyped lines having closer genetic relationships with the prediction set. The prediction accuracies estimated with a few significantly associated SNPs were moderate-to-high, and continuously increased as more significantly associated SNPs were included. It confirmed that TSC resistance could be furtherly improved by implementing GS for selecting multiple stable genomic regions simultaneously, or by implementing MAS and GS stepwise. The factors of marker density, marker quality, and heterozygosity rate of samples had minor effects on the estimation of the genomic prediction accuracy. The training set size, the genetic relationship between training and prediction sets, phenotypic and genotypic diversity of the training sets, and incorporating known trait-marker associations played more important roles in improving prediction accuracy. The result of the present study provides insight into less complex trait improvement via GS in maize.

Strategies and considerations for implementing genomic selection to improve traits with additive and non-additive genetic architectures in sugarcane breeding

Simulations highlight the potential of genomic selection to substantially increase genetic gain for complex traits in sugarcane. The success rate depends on the trait genetic architecture and the implementation strategy. Genomic selection (GS) has the potential to increase the rate of genetic gain in sugarcane beyond the levels achieved by conventional phenotypic selection (PS). To assess different implementation strategies, we simulated two different GS-based breeding strategies and compared genetic gain and genetic variance over five breeding cycles to standard PS. GS scheme 1 followed similar routines like conventional PS but included three rapid recurrent genomic selection (RRGS) steps. GS scheme 2 also included three RRGS steps but did not include a progeny assessment stage and therefore differed more fundamentally from PS. Under an additive trait model, both simulated GS schemes achieved annual genetic gains of 2.6-2.7% which were 1.9 times higher compared to standard phenotypic selection (1.4%). For a complex non-additive trait model, the expected annual rates of genetic gain were lower for all breeding schemes; however, the rates for the GS schemes (1.5-1.6%) were still greater than PS (1.1%). Investigating cost-benefit ratios with regard to numbers of genotyped clones showed that substantial benefits could be achieved when only 1500 clones were genotyped per 10-year breeding cycle for the additive genetic model. Our results show that under a complex non-additive genetic model, the success rate of GS depends on the implementation strategy, the number of genotyped clones and the stage of the breeding program, likely reflecting how changes in QTL allele frequencies change additive genetic variance and therefore the efficiency of selection. These results are encouraging and motivate further work to facilitate the adoption of GS in sugarcane breeding.

Diversifying maize genomic selection models

Genomic selection (GS) is one of the most powerful tools available for maize breeding. Its use of genome-wide marker data to estimate breeding values translates to increased genetic gains with fewer breeding cycles. In this review, we cover the history of GS and highlight particular milestones during its adaptation to maize breeding. We discuss how GS can be applied to developing superior maize inbreds and hybrids. Additionally, we characterize refinements in GS models that could enable the encapsulation of non-additive genetic effects, genotype by environment interactions, and multiple levels of the biological hierarchy, all of which could ultimately result in more accurate predictions of breeding values. Finally, we suggest the stages in a maize breeding program where it would be beneficial to apply GS. Given the current sophistication of high-throughput phenotypic, genotypic, and other -omic level data currently available to the maize community, now is the time to explore the implications of their incorporation into GS models and thus ensure that genetic gains are being achieved as quickly and efficiently as possible.

A classic approach for determining genomic prediction accuracy under terminal drought stress and well-watered conditions in wheat landraces and cultivars

The present study aimed to improve the accuracy of genomic prediction of 16 agronomic traits in a diverse bread wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) germplasm under terminal drought stress and well-watered conditions in semi-arid environments. An association panel including 87 bread wheat cultivars and 199 landraces from Iran bread wheat germplasm was planted under two irrigation systems in semi-arid climate zones. The whole association panel was genotyped with 9047 single nucleotide polymorphism markers using the genotyping-by-sequencing method. A number of 23 marker-trait associations were selected for traits under each condition, whereas 17 marker-trait associations were common between terminal drought stress and well-watered conditions. The identified marker-trait associations were mostly single nucleotide polymorphisms with minor allele effects. This study examined the effect of population structure, genomic selection method (ridge regression-best linear unbiased prediction, genomic best-linear unbiased predictions, and Bayesian ridge regression), training set size, and type of marker set on genomic prediction accuracy. The prediction accuracies were low (-0.32) to moderate (0.52). A marker set including 93 significant markers identified through genome-wide association studies with P values ≤ 0.001 increased the genomic prediction accuracy for all traits under both conditions. This study concluded that obtaining the highest genomic prediction accuracy depends on the extent of linkage disequilibrium, the genetic architecture of trait, genetic diversity of the population, and the genomic selection method. The results encouraged the integration of genome-wide association study and genomic selection to enhance genomic prediction accuracy in applied breeding programs.

Integrated genomic selection for rapid improvement of crops

An increase in the rate of crop improvement is essential for achieving sustained food production and other needs of ever-increasing population. Genomic selection (GS) is a potential breeding tool that has been successfully employed in animal breeding and is being incorporated into plant breeding. GS promises accelerated breeding cycles through a rapid selection of superior genotypes. Numerous empirical and simulation studies on GS and realized impacts on improvement in the crop yields are recently being reported. For a holistic understanding of the technology, we briefly discuss the concept of genetic gain, GS methodology, its current status, advantages of GS over other breeding methods, prediction models, and the factors controlling prediction accuracy in GS. Also, integration of speed breeding and other novel technologies viz. high throughput genotyping and phenotyping technologies for enhancing the efficiency and pace of GS, followed by its prospective applications in varietal development programs is reviewed.

Optimization of training sets for genomic prediction of early-stage single crosses in maize

Training population optimization algorithms are useful for efficiently training genomic prediction models for single-cross performance, especially if the population is extended beyond only realized crosses to all possible single crosses. Genomic prediction of single-cross performance could allow effective evaluation of all possible single crosses between all inbreds developed in a hybrid breeding program. The objectives of the present study were to investigate the effect of different levels of relatedness on genomic predictive ability of single crosses, evaluate the usefulness of deterministic formula to forecast prediction accuracy in advance, and determine the potential for TRS optimization based on prediction error variance (PEVmean) and coefficient of determination (CDmean) criteria. We used 481 single crosses made by crossing 89 random recombinant inbred lines (RILs) belonging to the Iowa stiff stalk synthetic group with 103 random RILs belonging to the non-stiff stalk synthetic heterotic group. As expected, predictive ability was enhanced by ensuring close relationships between TRSs and target sets, even when TRS sizes were smaller. We found that designing a TRS based on PEVmean or CDmean criteria is useful for increasing the efficiency of genomic prediction of maize single crosses. We went further and extended the sampling space from that of all observed single crosses to all possible single crosses, providing a much larger genetic space within which to design a training population. Using all possible single crosses increased the advantage of the PEVmean and CDmean methods based on expected prediction accuracy. This finding suggests that it may be worthwhile using an optimization algorithm to select a training population from all possible single crosses to maximize efficiency in training accurate models for hybrid genomic prediction.

Genetic dissection of maize drought tolerance for trait improvement

Maize is one of the most important crops, but its production is threatened by drought stress worldwide. Thus, increased drought tolerance has been a major goal of maize breeding. Conventional breeding strategies have led to significantly increase of maize yields; however, these strategies often fail to meet the need for drought stress tolerance enhancement. Here, we focus on progress related to the genetic dissection of drought tolerance in maize at different developmental stages achieved through linkage mapping and association mapping. Moreover, recent molecular breeding systems, including transgenic, genome-wide marker-assisted selection, and genome editing technologies, have provided a more direct, efficient, and accurate approach for trait improvement. We also provide perspectives on future directions regarding multi-omics studies and maize improvement. Overall, the application of acquired knowledge will facilitate maize breeding to meet the challenges.

Enviromic Assembly Increases Accuracy and Reduces Costs of the Genomic Prediction for Yield Plasticity in Maize

Quantitative genetics states that phenotypic variation is a consequence of the interaction between genetic and environmental factors. Predictive breeding is based on this statement, and because of this, ways of modeling genetic effects are still evolving. At the same time, the same refinement must be used for processing environmental information. Here, we present an "enviromic assembly approach," which includes using ecophysiology knowledge in shaping environmental relatedness into whole-genome predictions (GP) for plant breeding (referred to as enviromic-aided genomic prediction, E-GP). We propose that the quality of an environment is defined by the core of environmental typologies and their frequencies, which describe different zones of plant adaptation. From this, we derived markers of environmental similarity cost-effectively. Combined with the traditional additive and non-additive effects, this approach may better represent the putative phenotypic variation observed across diverse growing conditions (i.e., phenotypic plasticity). Then, we designed optimized multi-environment trials coupling genetic algorithms, enviromic assembly, and genomic kinships capable of providing in-silico realization of the genotype-environment combinations that must be phenotyped in the field. As proof of concept, we highlighted two E-GP applications: (1) managing the lack of phenotypic information in training accurate GP models across diverse environments and (2) guiding an early screening for yield plasticity exerting optimized phenotyping efforts. Our approach was tested using two tropical maize sets, two types of enviromics assembly, six experimental network sizes, and two types of optimized training set across environments. We observed that E-GP outperforms benchmark GP in all scenarios, especially when considering smaller training sets. The representativeness of genotype-environment combinations is more critical than the size of multi-environment trials (METs). The conventional genomic best-unbiased prediction (GBLUP) is inefficient in predicting the quality of a yet-to-be-seen environment, while enviromic assembly enabled it by increasing the accuracy of yield plasticity predictions. Furthermore, we discussed theoretical backgrounds underlying how intrinsic envirotype-phenotype covariances within the phenotypic records can impact the accuracy of GP. The E-GP is an efficient approach to better use environmental databases to deliver climate-smart solutions, reduce field costs, and anticipate future scenarios.

Genetic Dissection of Grain Yield of Maize and Yield-Related Traits Through Association Mapping and Genomic Prediction

High yield is the primary objective of maize breeding. Genomic dissection of grain yield and yield-related traits contribute to understanding the yield formation and improving the yield of maize. In this study, two genome-wide association study (GWAS) methods and genomic prediction were made on an association panel of 309 inbred lines. GWAS analyses revealed 22 significant trait-marker associations for grain yield per plant (GYP) and yield-related traits. Genomic prediction analyses showed that reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) outperformed the other four models based on GWAS-derived markers for GYP, ear weight, kernel number per ear and row, ear length, and ear diameter, whereas genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) showed a slight superiority over other modes in most subsets of the trait-associated marker (TAM) for thousand kernel weight and kernel row number. The prediction accuracy could be improved when significant single-nucleotide polymorphisms were fitted as the fixed effects. Integrating information on population structure into the fixed model did not improve the prediction performance. For GYP, the prediction accuracy of TAMs derived from fixed and random model Circulating Probability Unification (FarmCPU) was comparable to that of the compressed mixed linear model (CMLM). For yield-related traits, CMLM-derived markers provided better accuracies than FarmCPU-derived markers in most scenarios. Compared with all markers, TAMs could effectively improve the prediction accuracies for GYP and yield-related traits. For eight traits, moderate- and high-prediction accuracies were achieved using TAMs. Taken together, genomic prediction incorporating prior information detected by GWAS could be a promising strategy to improve the grain yield of maize.

Genetic Dissection of Resistance to Gray Leaf Spot by Combining Genome-Wide Association, Linkage Mapping, and Genomic Prediction in Tropical Maize Germplasm

Gray leaf spot (GLS) is one of the major maize foliar diseases in sub-Saharan Africa. Resistance to GLS is controlled by multiple genes with additive effect and is influenced by both genotype and environment. The objectives of the study were to dissect the genetic architecture of GLS resistance through linkage mapping and genome-wide association study (GWAS) and assessing the potential of genomic prediction (GP). We used both biparental populations and an association mapping panel of 410 diverse tropical/subtropical inbred lines that were genotyped using genotype by sequencing. Phenotypic evaluation in two to four environments revealed significant genotypic variation and moderate to high heritability estimates ranging from 0.43 to 0.69. GLS was negatively and significantly correlated with grain yield, anthesis date, and plant height. Linkage mapping in five populations revealed 22 quantitative trait loci (QTLs) for GLS resistance. A QTL on chromosome 7 (qGLS7-105) is a major-effect QTL that explained 28.2% of phenotypic variance. Together, all the detected QTLs explained 10.50, 49.70, 23.67, 18.05, and 28.71% of phenotypic variance in doubled haploid (DH) populations 1, 2, 3, and F3 populations 4 and 5, respectively. Joint linkage association mapping across three DH populations detected 14 QTLs that individually explained 0.10-15.7% of phenotypic variance. GWAS revealed 10 significantly (p < 9.5 × 10-6) associated SNPs distributed on chromosomes 1, 2, 6, 7, and 8, which individually explained 6-8% of phenotypic variance. A set of nine candidate genes co-located or in physical proximity to the significant SNPs with roles in plant defense against pathogens were identified. GP revealed low to moderate prediction correlations of 0.39, 0.37, 0.56, 0.30, 0.29, and 0.38 for within IMAS association panel, DH pop1, DH pop2, DH pop3, F3 pop4, and F3 po5, respectively, and accuracy was increased substantially to 0.84 for prediction across three DH populations. When the diversity panel was used as training set to predict the accuracy of GLS resistance in biparental population, there was 20-50% reduction compared to prediction within populations. Overall, the study revealed that resistance to GLS is quantitative in nature and is controlled by many loci with a few major and many minor effects. The SNPs/QTLs identified by GWAS and linkage mapping can be potential targets in improving GLS resistance in breeding programs, while GP further consolidates the development of high GLS-resistant lines by incorporating most of the major- and minor-effect genes.

A Dual Strategy of Breeding for Drought Tolerance and Introducing Drought-Tolerant, Underutilized Crops into Production Systems to Enhance Their Resilience to Water Deficiency

Water scarcity is the primary constraint on crop productivity in arid and semiarid tropical areas suffering from climate alterations; in accordance, agricultural systems have to be optimized. Several concepts and strategies should be considered to improve crop yield and quality, particularly in vulnerable regions where such environmental changes cause a risk of food insecurity. In this work, we review two strategies aiming to increase drought stress tolerance: (i) the use of natural genes that have evolved over time and are preserved in crop wild relatives and landraces for drought tolerance breeding using conventional and molecular methods and (ii) exploiting the reservoir of neglected and underutilized species to identify those that are known to be more drought-tolerant than conventional staple crops while possessing other desired agronomic and nutritive characteristics, as well as introducing them into existing cropping systems to make them more resilient to water deficiency conditions. In the past, the existence of drought tolerance genes in crop wild relatives and landraces was either unknown or difficult to exploit using traditional breeding techniques to secure potential long-term solutions. Today, with the advances in genomics and phenomics, there are a number of new tools available that facilitate the discovery of drought resistance genes in crop wild relatives and landraces and their relatively easy transfer into advanced breeding lines, thus accelerating breeding progress and creating resilient varieties that can withstand prolonged drought periods. Among those tools are marker-assisted selection (MAS), genomic selection (GS), and targeted gene editing (clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat (CRISPR) technology). The integration of these two major strategies, the advances in conventional and molecular breeding for the drought tolerance of conventional staple crops, and the introduction of drought-tolerant neglected and underutilized species into existing production systems has the potential to enhance the resilience of agricultural production under conditions of water scarcity.

Combination of Linkage Mapping, GWAS, and GP to Dissect the Genetic Basis of Common Rust Resistance in Tropical Maize Germplasm

Common rust (CR) caused by Puccina sorghi is one of the destructive fungal foliar diseases of maize and has been reported to cause moderate to high yield losses. Providing CR resistant germplasm has the potential to increase yields. To dissect the genetic architecture of CR resistance in maize, association mapping, in conjunction with linkage mapping, joint linkage association mapping (JLAM), and genomic prediction (GP) was conducted on an association-mapping panel and five F₃ biparental populations using genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Analysis of variance for the biparental populations and the association panel showed significant genotypic and genotype x environment (GXE) interaction variances except for GXE of Pop4. Heritability (h²) estimates were moderate with 0.37-0.45 for the individual F₃ populations, 0.45 across five populations and 0.65 for the association panel. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) analyses revealed 14 significant marker-trait associations which individually explained 6-10% of the total phenotypic variances. Individual population-based linkage analysis revealed 26 QTLs associated with CR resistance and together explained 14-40% of the total phenotypic variances. Linkage mapping revealed seven QTLs in pop1, nine QTL in pop2, four QTL in pop3, five QTL in pop4, and one QTL in pop5, distributed on all chromosomes except chromosome 10. JLAM for the 921 F3 families from five populations detected 18 QTLs distributed in all chromosomes except on chromosome 8. These QTLs individually explained 0.3 to 3.1% and together explained 45% of the total phenotypic variance. Among the 18 QTL detected through JLAM, six QTLs, qCR1-78, qCR1-227, qCR3-172, qCR3-186, qCR4-171, and qCR7-137 were also detected in linkage mapping. GP within population revealed low to moderate correlations with a range from 0.19 to 0.51. Prediction correlation was high with r = 0.78 for combined analysis of the five F₃ populations. Prediction of biparental populations by using association panel as training set reveals positive correlations ranging from 0.05 to 0.22, which encourages to develop an independent but related population as a training set which can be used to predict diverse but related populations. The findings of this study provide valuable information on understanding the genetic basis of CR resistance and the obtained information can be used for developing functional molecular markers for marker-assisted selection and for implementing GP to improve CR resistance in tropical maize.

Genomic Prediction with Genotype by Environment Interaction Analysis for Kernel Zinc Concentration in Tropical Maize Germplasm

Zinc (Zn) deficiency is a major risk factor for human health, affecting about 30% of the world's population. To study the potential of genomic selection (GS) for maize with increased Zn concentration, an association panel and two doubled haploid (DH) populations were evaluated in three environments. Three genomic prediction models, M (M1: Environment + Line, M2: Environment + Line + Genomic, and M3: Environment + Line + Genomic + Genomic x Environment) incorporating main effects (lines and genomic) and the interaction between genomic and environment (G x E) were assessed to estimate the prediction ability (rMP ) for each model. Two distinct cross-validation (CV) schemes simulating two genomic prediction breeding scenarios were used. CV1 predicts the performance of newly developed lines, whereas CV2 predicts the performance of lines tested in sparse multi-location trials. Predictions for Zn in CV1 ranged from -0.01 to 0.56 for DH1, 0.04 to 0.50 for DH2 and -0.001 to 0.47 for the association panel. For CV2, rMP values ranged from 0.67 to 0.71 for DH1, 0.40 to 0.56 for DH2 and 0.64 to 0.72 for the association panel. The genomic prediction model which included G x E had the highest average rMP for both CV1 (0.39 and 0.44) and CV2 (0.71 and 0.51) for the association panel and DH2 population, respectively. These results suggest that GS has potential to accelerate breeding for enhanced kernel Zn concentration by facilitating selection of superior genotypes.

Training Population Design With the Use of Regional Fusarium Head Blight Nurseries to Predict Independent Breeding Lines for FHB Traits

Fusarium head blight (FHB) is a devastating disease in cereals around the world. Because it is quantitatively inherited and technically difficult to reproduce, breeding to increase resistance in wheat germplasm is difficult and slow. Genomic selection (GS) is a form of marker-assisted selection (MAS) that simultaneously estimates all locus, haplotype, or marker effects across the entire genome to calculate genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs). Since its inception, there have been many studies that demonstrate the utility of GS approaches to breeding for disease resistance in crops. In this study, the Uniform Northern (NUS) and Uniform Southern (SUS) soft red winter wheat scab nurseries (a total 452 lines) were evaluated as possible training populations (TP) to predict FHB traits in breeding lines of the UK (University of Kentucky) wheat breeding program. DON was best predicted by the SUS; Fusarium damaged kernels (FDK), FHB rating, and two indices, DSK index and DK index were best predicted by NUS. The highest prediction accuracies were obtained when the NUS and SUS were combined, reaching up to 0.5 for almost all traits except FHB rating. Highest prediction accuracies were obtained with bigger TP sizes (300-400) and there were not significant effects of TP optimization method for all traits, although at small TP size, the PEVmean algorithm worked better than other methods. To select for lines with tolerance to DON accumulation, a primary breeding target for many breeders, we compared selection based on DON BLUES with selection based on DON GEBVs, DSK GEBVs, and DK GEBVs. At selection intensities (SI) of 30-40%, DSK index showed the best performance with a 4-6% increase over direct selection for DON. Our results confirm the usefulness of regional nurseries as a source of lines to predict GEBVs for local breeding programs, and shows that an index that includes DON, together with FDK and FHB rating could be an excellent choice to identify lines with low DON content and an overall improved FHB resistance.

Can metabolic prediction be an alternative to genomic prediction in barley?

Like other crop species, barley, the fourth most important crop worldwide, suffers from the genetic bottleneck effect, where further improvements in performance through classical breeding methods become difficult. Therefore, indirect selection methods are of great interest. Here, genomic prediction (GP) based on 33,005 SNP markers and, alternatively, metabolic prediction (MP) based on 128 metabolites with sampling at two different time points in one year, were applied to predict multi-year agronomic traits in the nested association mapping (NAM) population HEB-25. We found prediction abilities of up to 0.93 for plant height with SNP markers and of up to 0.61 for flowering time with metabolites. Interestingly, prediction abilities in GP increased after reducing the number of incorporated SNP markers. The estimated effects of GP and MP were highly concordant, indicating MP as an interesting alternative to GP, being able to reflect a stable genotype-specific metabolite profile. In MP, sampling at an early developmental stage outperformed sampling at a later stage. The results confirm the value of GP for future breeding. With MP, an interesting alternative was also applied successfully. However, based on our results, usage of MP alone cannot be recommended in barley. Nevertheless, MP can assist in unravelling physiological pathways for the expression of agronomically important traits.

Complex Genetic System Involved in Fusarium Ear Rot Resistance in Maize as Revealed by GWAS, Bulked Sample Analysis, and Genomic Prediction

Fusarium ear rot (FER) caused by Fusarium verticillioides is one of the most prevalent maize diseases in China and worldwide. Resistance to FER is a complex trait controlled by multiple genes highly affected by environment. In this paper, genome-wide association study (GWAS), bulked sample analysis (BSA), and genomic prediction were performed for understanding FER resistance using 509 diverse inbred lines, which were genotyped by 37,801 high-quality single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Ear rot evaluation was performed using artificial inoculation in four environments in China: Xinxiang, Henan, and Shunyi, Beijing, during 2017 and 2018. Significant phenotypic and genetic variation for FER severity was observed, and FER resistance was significantly correlated among the four environments with a generalized heritability of 0.78. GWAS identified 23 SNPs that were associated with FER resistance, 2 of which (1_226233417 on chromosome 1 and 10_14501044 on chromosome 10) were associated at threshold of 2.65 × 10^-7 [-log(0.01/37,801)]. Using BSA, resistance quantitative trait loci were identified on chromosomes 3, 4, 7, 9, and 10 at the 90% confidence level and on chromosomes 3 and 10 at the 95% confidence level. A key region, bin 10.03, was detected by both GWAS and BSA. Genomic prediction for FER resistance showed that the prediction accuracy by trait-related markers was higher than that by randomly selected markers under different levels of marker density. Marker-assisted selection using genomic prediction could be an efficient strategy for genetic improvement for complex traits like FER resistance.