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Song M, Wang Y, Jiang Y, Pi H, Lyu H, Gao Y. Risk factors for subsequent fractures in hip fracture patients: a nested case-control study. J Orthop Surg Res 2024; 19:348. [PMID: 38867268 PMCID: PMC11167847 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-024-04833-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2024] [Accepted: 06/02/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The risk factors for subsequent fractures following an initial hip fracture are not entirely understood. This study examined the clinical characteristics of hip fracture patients to identify potential risk factors associated with a higher risk of experiencing subsequent fractures. METHODS We conducted a nested case-control study using data from the Chinese PLA General Hospital Hip Fracture Cohort between January 2008 and March 2022. The cases were individuals who experienced subsequent fractures following an initial hip fracture. Each case was matched with up to 2 controls who did not develop subsequent fractures. Important clinical factors were compared across groups, including traditional fracture risk factors and potential risk factors (e.g., comorbidities, falls risk, physical impairment, calcium or vitamin D use, and anti-osteoporosis medications). Conditional logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the impact of these clinical features as potential risk factors for subsequent fractures. RESULTS A total of 96 individuals who suffered from subsequent fractures were matched with 176 controls. The median time between the initial hip fracture and the subsequent fracture was 2.1 years. The overall proportion of patients receiving anti-osteoporosis treatment after initial hip fracture was 25.7%. In the multivariable regression analysis, living in a care facility (OR = 3.78, 95%CI: 1.53-9.34), longer hospital stays (OR = 1.05, 95%CI: 1.00-1.11), and falls after discharge (OR = 7.58, 95%CI: 3.37-17.04) were associated with higher odds of subsequent fractures. CONCLUSIONS This study showed that living in a care facility, longer hospital stays, and falls after discharge may be independent risk factors for repeat fractures following an initial hip fracture. These findings could be used to identify and manage patients at high risk of subsequent fractures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mi Song
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
- Department of Orthopedics, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
- Department of nursing, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Yilin Wang
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
- Department of Orthopedics, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Yu Jiang
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
- Department of Orthopedics, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Hongying Pi
- Military Health Service Training Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China.
| | - Houchen Lyu
- Department of Orthopedics, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China.
- National Clinical Research Center for Orthopedics, Sports Medicine & Rehabilitation, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China.
| | - Yuan Gao
- Department of nursing, Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28, Fuxing Road, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China.
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Gong IY, Chan KKW, Lipscombe LL, Cheung MC, Mozessohn L. Fracture risk among patients with cancer compared to individuals without cancer: a population-based study. Br J Cancer 2023; 129:665-671. [PMID: 37422530 PMCID: PMC10421906 DOI: 10.1038/s41416-023-02353-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2023] [Revised: 06/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/28/2023] [Indexed: 07/10/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with cancer may be at increased risk of osteoporosis and fracture; however, gaps exist in the existing literature and the association between cancer and fracture requires further examination. METHODS We conducted a population-based cohort study of Ontario patients with cancer (breast, prostate, lung, gastrointestinal, haematologic) diagnosed between January 2007 to December 2018 and 1:1 matched non-cancer controls. The primary outcome was incident fracture (end of follow-up December 2019). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the relative fracture risk with sensitivity analysis accounting for competing risk of death. RESULTS Among 172,963 cancer patients with non-cancer controls, 70.6% of patients with cancer were <65 years old, 58% were female, and 9375 and 8141 fracture events were observed in the cancer and non-cancer group, respectively (median follow-up 6.5 years). Compared to non-cancer controls, patients with cancer had higher risk of fracture (adjusted HR [aHR] 1.10, 95% CI 1.07-1.14, p < 0.0001), which was also observed for both solid (aHR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.13, p < 0.0001) and haematologic cancers (aHR 1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.31, p < 0.0001). Sensitivity analysis accounting for competing risk of death did not change these findings. CONCLUSIONS Our study indicates that patients with cancer are at modest risk of fractures compared to non-cancer controls.
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Affiliation(s)
- Inna Y Gong
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Kelvin K W Chan
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- ICES, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Lorraine L Lipscombe
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- ICES, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Matthew C Cheung
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- ICES, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Lee Mozessohn
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
- ICES, Toronto, ON, Canada.
- Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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3
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Gao J, Xie C, Yang J, Tian C, Zhang M, Lu Z, Meng X, Cai J, Guo X, Gao T. The Effects of n-3 PUFA Supplementation on Bone Metabolism Markers and Body Bone Mineral Density in Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of RCTs. Nutrients 2023; 15:2806. [PMID: 37375709 DOI: 10.3390/nu15122806] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2023] [Revised: 06/07/2023] [Accepted: 06/15/2023] [Indexed: 06/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Supplemental n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) on bone metabolism have yielded inconsistent results. This study aimed to examine the effects of n-3 PUFA supplementation on bone metabolism markers and bone mineral density through a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. A systematic literature search was conducted using the PubMed, Web of Science, and EBSCO databases, updated to 1 March 2023. The intervention effects were measured as standard mean differences (SMD) and mean differences (MD). Additionally, n-3 PUFA with the untreated control, placebo control, or lower-dose n-3 PUFA supplements were compared, respectively. Further, 19 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) (22 comparisons, n = 2546) showed that n-3 PUFA supplementation significantly increased blood n-3 PUFA (SMD: 2.612; 95% CI: 1.649 to 3.575). However, no significant effects were found on BMD, CTx-1, NTx-1, BAP, serum calcium, 25(OH)D, PTH, CRP, and IL-6. Subgroup analyses showed significant increases in femoral neck BMD in females (0.01, 95% CI: 0.01 to 0.02), people aged <60 years (0.01, 95% CI: 0.01 to 0.01), and those people in Eastern countries (0.02, 95% CI: 0.02 to 0.03), and for 25(OH)D in people aged ≥60 years (0.43, 95% CI: 0.11 to 0.74), treated with n-3 PUFA only (0.36, 95% CI: 0.06 to 0.66), and in studies lasting ≤6 months (0.29, 95% CI: 0.11 to 0.47). NTx-1 decreased in both genders (-9.66, 95% CI: -15.60 to -3.71), and serum calcium reduction was found in studies lasting >6 months (-0.19, 95% CI: -0.37 to -0.01). The present study demonstrated that n-3 PUFA supplementation might not have a significant effect on bone mineral density or bone metabolism markers, but have some potential benefits for younger postmenopausal subjects in the short term. Therefore, additional high-quality, long-term randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are warranted to fully elucidate the potential benefits of n-3 PUFA supplementation, as well as the combined supplementation of n-3 PUFA, on bone health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Gao
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
| | - Chenqi Xie
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
| | - Jie Yang
- Health Service Center of Xuejiadao Community, Qingdao 266520, China
| | - Chunyan Tian
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
| | - Mai Zhang
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
| | - Zhenquan Lu
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
| | - Xiangyuan Meng
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
- Department of Toxicology, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China
| | - Jing Cai
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
| | - Xiaofei Guo
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
| | - Tianlin Gao
- School of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
- Institute of Nutrition & Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266021, China
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Lai H, Fan J, Liu H, Wu X, Wang L, Gao L, Zhou L, Chen T, Zhang L, Chen J, Luo Z. Fracture liaison services combined with online home nursing care in fragility hip fracture: a comparative effectiveness pilot study. Arch Osteoporos 2023; 18:33. [PMID: 36809579 DOI: 10.1007/s11657-023-01221-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2022] [Accepted: 02/01/2023] [Indexed: 02/23/2023]
Abstract
Fracture liaison service (FLS) is a management system for osteoporotic fractures, its difficulty lies in long-term management. Through this pilot single-center study, we found that FLS combined with an internet-based follow-up service (online home nursing care) can economically and conveniently monitor patients, reduce falls and refractures, and improve care and medication adherence. INTRODUCTION Among potential e-health platforms, mobile internet encompasses the largest user group of mobile instant messaging software in Asia and offers strong interaction, low cost, and fast speed. The online home nursing care model prevents unnecessary hospital admissions and readmissions. This study aims to explore the effects of a fracture liaison service (FLS) model combined with online home nursing care on patients with fragility hip fracture. METHODS Patients discharged after November 2020 received FLS care combined with online home nursing care. Patients discharged from May 2020 to November 2020 received only routine discharge guidance and were classified as the control group. The Parker Mobility Score (PMS), Medical Outcomes Study 36-item short-form health survey (MOS SF-36), general medication adherence scale (GMAS), complication rate, and fall/refracture rates were used to evaluate the efficacy of the FLS combined with online home nursing care during the 52-week follow-up period. RESULTS Eighty-nine patients with complete follow-up information were included in the analysis at the 52-week follow-up. The FLS combined with online home nursing care was associated with improved osteoporosis patient care, including increased medication adherence (64.58% in the control group and 90.24% in the observation group), improved mental quality of life, reduced fall/refracture rate (12.5% and 4.88%, respectively), and reduced rates of bedsores and joint stiffness; however, there was no effect on functional recovery within 1 year. CONCLUSIONS We recommend the combination of FLS with online home nursing care, considering the local environment, to economically and conveniently monitor patients, reduce falls and refractures, and improve care and medication adherence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hehuan Lai
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Jialin Fan
- Lishui Second People's Hospital, Beihuan Road 69, Liandu District, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Huan Liu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Xiufen Wu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Lingming Wang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Liumei Gao
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Lili Zhou
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Tingting Chen
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Le Zhang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Jing Chen
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Zhiping Luo
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Affiliated Lishui Hospital of Zhejiang University, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui Municipal Central Hospital, 289 Kuocang Road, Lishui, 323000, Zhejiang Province, China.
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5
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Hassanabadi N, Berger C, Papaioannou A, Cheung AM, Rahme E, Leslie WD, Goltzman D, Morin SN. Variation in bone mineral density and fractures over 20 years among Canadians: a comparison of the Canadian Multicenter Osteoporosis Study and the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging. Osteoporos Int 2023; 34:357-367. [PMID: 36449036 PMCID: PMC9852141 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-022-06623-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2022] [Accepted: 11/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/05/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED International variations in osteoporosis and fracture rates have been reported, with temporal trends differing between populations. We observed higher BMD and lower fracture prevalence in a recently recruited cohort compared to that of a cohort recruited 20 years ago, even after adjusting for multiple covariates. PURPOSE We explored sex-specific differences in femoral neck bone mineral density (FN-BMD) and in prevalent major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) using two Canadian cohorts recruited 20 years apart. METHODS We included men and women aged 50-85 years from the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos, N = 6,479; 1995-1997) and the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA, N = 19,534; 2012-2015). We created regression models to compare FN-BMD and fracture risk between cohorts, adjusting for important covariates. Among participants with prevalent MOF, we compared anti-osteoporosis medication use. RESULTS Mean (SD) age in CaMos (65.4 years [8.6]) was higher than in CLSA (63.8 years [9.1]). CaMos participants had lower mean body mass index and higher prevalence of smoking (p < 0.001). Adjusted linear regression models (estimates [95%CI]) demonstrated lower FN-BMD in CaMos women (- 0.017 g/cm2 [- 0.021; - 0.014]) and men (- 0.006 g/cm2 [- 0.011; 0.000]), while adjusted odds ratios (95%CI) for prevalent MOF were higher in CaMos women (1.99 [1.71; 2.30]) and men (2.33 [1.82; 3.00]) compared to CLSA. In women with prevalent MOF, menopausal hormone therapy use was similar in both cohorts (43.3% vs 37.9%, p = 0.076), but supplements (32.0% vs 48.3%, p < 0.001) and bisphosphonate use (5.8% vs 17.3%, p < 0.001) were lower in CaMos. The proportion of men with MOF who received bisphosphonates was below 10% in both cohorts. CONCLUSION Higher BMD and lower fracture prevalence were noted in the more recently recruited CLSA cohort compared to CaMos, even after adjusting for multiple covariates. We noted an increase in bisphosphonate use in the recent cohort, but it remained very low in men.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nazila Hassanabadi
- Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
- Centre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 de Maisonneuve O; Room 3E.11, Montreal, Quebec, H4A 3S5, Canada
| | - Claudie Berger
- Centre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 de Maisonneuve O; Room 3E.11, Montreal, Quebec, H4A 3S5, Canada
| | | | - Angela M Cheung
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Elham Rahme
- Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
- Centre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 de Maisonneuve O; Room 3E.11, Montreal, Quebec, H4A 3S5, Canada
| | - William D Leslie
- Department of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
| | - David Goltzman
- Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
- Centre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 de Maisonneuve O; Room 3E.11, Montreal, Quebec, H4A 3S5, Canada
| | - Suzanne N Morin
- Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
- Centre for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, 5252 de Maisonneuve O; Room 3E.11, Montreal, Quebec, H4A 3S5, Canada.
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6
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Bogoch E, Marcano-Fernández FA, Schemitsch EH, Zhou Q, Bzovsky S, Bhandari M, Schneider PS, Swiontkowski M, Sprague S. High Rates of Imminent Subsequent Fracture After Femoral Neck Fracture in the Elderly. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2022; 104:1984-1992. [PMID: 36017942 DOI: 10.2106/jbjs.22.00088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fragility fractures of the hip are known to be followed frequently by subsequent fragility fractures, including second hip fractures. Data on subsequent fractures are available for aggregated index femoral neck and intertrochanteric femoral fractures, grouped generically as hip fractures, but not specifically for femoral neck fractures. There is increasing recognition that a subsequent fracture often occurs early after a hip fracture in the elderly, creating an emphasis on the concept of "imminent fracture risk." Since 2000, there have been many reports on the care gap in interventions after a fragility fracture, with concern regarding the slow uptake of appropriate systemic treatments designed to prevent a subsequent fracture in high-risk patients. METHODS As planned a priori, we performed an analysis of subsequent fractures after an index femoral neck fracture in 2 prospective clinical trials involving 2,520 patients from 90 sites on 5 continents. We recorded the incidence and time of occurrence of all secondary fragility fractures as well as the reported use of bone-protective medication in all subjects. RESULTS In the 24 months following the index femoral neck fracture, 226 (9.0%) of 2,520 patients sustained at least 1 subsequent fragility fracture, including 113 hip fractures (4.5%). The median interval from the index fracture to a subsequent fracture was approximately 9.0 months. Only 25.2% (634) of the 2,520 patients reported using bone-protective medications at any time during follow-up. Female patients, those with nondisplaced index fractures, and those treated with arthroplasty, were more likely to have received protective medication. CONCLUSIONS Subsequent fractures, including second hip fractures, occurred frequently and early following an index femoral neck fracture in 2 large global cohorts. Interventions to prevent a subsequent fracture were instituted in only 1 of 4 patients, even though a focused directive was included in both study protocols. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic Level II . See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Earl Bogoch
- Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Francesc A Marcano-Fernández
- Orthopaedic Department, Parc Taulí Hospital Universitari, Institut d'Investigació i Innovació Parc Taulí I3PT, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Sabadell, Spain
| | - Emil H Schemitsch
- Department of Surgery, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Qi Zhou
- Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sofia Bzovsky
- Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, Department of Surgery, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mohit Bhandari
- Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.,Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, Department of Surgery, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Prism S Schneider
- Division of Orthopaedic Trauma, Department of Surgery, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Marc Swiontkowski
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota
| | - Sheila Sprague
- Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.,Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, Department of Surgery, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
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Leslie WD, Morin SN, Lix LM, McCloskey EV, Johansson H, Harvey NC, Kanis JA. The Effect of Fracture Recency on Observed 10-Year Fracture Probability: A Registry-Based Cohort Study. J Bone Miner Res 2022; 37:848-855. [PMID: 35147245 DOI: 10.1002/jbmr.4526] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2021] [Revised: 01/26/2022] [Accepted: 02/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
FRAX estimates 10-year fracture major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture probability from multiple risk factors. FRAX does not consider prior fracture site or time since fracture. Fracture risk is greater in the initial 2-year post-fracture period (imminent risk), implying that FRAX may underestimate risk in this setting. We used the population-based Manitoba Bone Mineral Density (BMD) Program registry to examine the effect of fracture recency and site on incident fracture risk predictions using FRAX. We identified women aged 40 years or older with baseline BMD and FRAX scores. Observed fracture outcomes to 10 years were compared with predicted 10-year fracture probability stratified by prior fracture status: none, recent (<2 years [median 0.3 years]), and remote (≥2 years [median 10.6 years]). For women with recent fractures, we also examined proposed multipliers to adjust FRAX for the effect of fracture recency and site. The cohort comprised 33,465 women aged 40 to 64 years (1897 recent fracture, 2120 remote fracture) and 33,806 women aged ≥65 years (2365 fracture, 4135 remote fracture). Observed fracture probability was consistent with predicted probability in most analyses. In women aged 40 to 64 years, there was a significant effect of recent vertebral and humerus fracture on MOF (observed to predicted 1.61 and 1.48, respectively), but these effects were still lower than the proposed multipliers (2.32 and 1.67, respectively). No significant effect of fracture recency was found after hip or forearm fracture in either age group. Our findings contribute to accumulating evidence of the importance of recent fracture. The effect of fracture recency was not consistent across fracture sites and with a lower magnitude than previously reported. Further quantification of effect size and specificity in additional independent cohorts is warranted to validate and refine recent-fracture multipliers in fracture risk assessment. © 2022 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Lisa M Lix
- University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
| | - Eugene V McCloskey
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK
| | - Helena Johansson
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Nicholas C Harvey
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK
| | - John A Kanis
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
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