Verification of "Japanese Scoring Systems" to Predict IVIG Resistance and Identification of Predictors for IVIG Resistance in Thai Children with Kawasaki Disease

Nutrition-Associated Biomarkers in Predicting Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance and Coronary Artery Lesions in Kawasaki Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Several studies explored the associations of pre-albumin (PA)/albumin (ALB) and ALB-combined indicators (prognostic nutrition index [PNI], albumin-to-globulin ratio [AGR], bilirubin-to-albumin [BAR], and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio [CAR]) with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance and coronary artery lesions (CALs) in Kawasaki disease (KD) patients. However, the results were controversial. A meta-analysis was conducted to reconfirm their associations and predictive performance. Databases of PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane library were searched. The pooled standardized mean difference (SMD) or odds ratios (ORs) assessed the association, while the pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) evaluated the predictive power. Ninety-four studies were included. Overall and subgroup meta-analyses demonstrated lower ALB and higher CAR were associated with IVIG resistance (ALB: SMD = -0.61; OR = 0.83; CAR: SMD = 1.47; OR = 1.69) and CALs (ALB: SMD = -0.56; OR = 0.92; CAR: SMD = 0.52). PNI was reduced in IVIG-resistant (SMD = -0.82) and coronary artery aneurysm (SMD = -0.18) patients in subgroup analysis and high PNI predicted the decreased risk of CALs in overall analysis (OR = 0.82). ALB, CAR, and PNI were a good or fair biomarker for differentiating IVIG-resistant (CALs) from IVIG-sensitive (non-CALs) patients (AUC > 0.6 or > 0.7). PA (SMD = -0.72) and BAR (SMD = 1.10) were differential in IVIG-resistant, but not in CAL patients compared with controls. AGR was not associated with CALs (p > 0.05). In conclusion, ALB, CAR, PNI, PA, and BAR may represent promising biomarkers for the prediction of IVIG resistance and CALs in KD patients.

The state of play in tools for predicting immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease

INTRODUCTION

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance is an independent risk factor for the development of coronary artery lesions (CAL) in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). Accurate identification of IVIG-resistant patients is one of the biggest clinical challenges in the treatment of KD.

AREAS COVERED

In this review article, we will go over current IVIG resistance scoring systems and other biological markers of IVIG resistance, with a particular focus on advances in machine-based learning techniques and high-throughput omics data.

EXPERT OPINION

Traditional scoring models, which were developed using logistic regression, including the Kobayashi score and Egami score, are inadequate at identifying IVIG resistance in non-Japanese populations. Newer machine-learning methods and high-throughput technologies including transcriptomic and epigenetic arrays have identified several potential targets for IVIG resistance including gene expression of the Fc receptor, and components of the interleukin (IL)-1β and pyroptosis pathways. As we enter an age where access to big data has become more commonplace, interpretation of large data sets that are able take into account complexities in patient populations will hopefully usher in a new era of precision medicine, which will enable us to identify and treat KD patients with IVIG resistance with increased accuracy.

Evaluation of Formosa score and diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of four Asian risk scores for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease: a bivariate meta-analysis

Background

In 2016, Lin et al. developed a prediction score of non-responsiveness to intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) (Lin et al., 2016). Various studies have attempted to validate the Formosa score, but inconsistent results have given us new opportunities and challenges. The aim of this meta-analysis is to explore the role of the Formosa score as a risk score in detecting IVIG-resistant KD patients and then compare the pooled sensitivity and specificity of four Asian risk scores, Egami, Formosa, Kobayashi, and Sano risk scores.

Methods

A comprehensive search of Cochrane, Embase, and PubMed was conducted through 20 December 2021, using key terms relevant to the research question "What are the sensitivities and specificities of the four Asian predicting scores, Egami, Formosa, Kobayashi, and Sano, in Kawasaki disease patients with IVIG resistance?" The reference lists of the included studies were manually reviewed to identify pertinent references. A random-effects bivariate model was used to estimate the summary of sensitivity and specificity of the tools.

Results

We found 41 relevant studies of the four Asian risk scores that were eligible to analyze for pooled accuracy. Eleven studies involving 5,169 KD patients reported the diagnostic performance of the Formosa score for the risk of IVIG resistance. The overall performance of the Formosa score was as follows: pooled sensitivity, 0.60 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.48-0.70]; pooled specificity, 0.59 (95% CI, 0.50-0.68); and area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.62. The Formosa score exhibited the highest sensitivity 0.76 (95% CI, 0.70-0.82) for detecting IVIG-resistant KD patients among the 21,389 children included in the 41 studies. In terms of specificity estimates, Formosa had the lowest specificity of 0.46 (95% CI, 0.41-0.51).

Conclusion

Patients at high risk for IVIG resistance may receive adjunctive treatment to reduce coronary lesions and thus also cardiovascular morbidity. Among all of the included studies, we found Formosa score to have the best sensitivity (0.76) but unsatisfactory specificity (0.46) for predicting IVIG resistance in Kawasaki disease. In the future, network meta-analysis should also incorporate the accuracy of the new scores after they have undergone a certain degree of validation around the world.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, PROSPERO CRD42022341410.

Risk Factors for Coronary Artery Aneurysm in a Chinese Pediatric Population with Kawasaki Disease at Low Risk of Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance: A Retrospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Multiple scoring systems for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance have been developed. Although low-scoring patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) have a favorable prognosis, many develop coronary artery aneurysms (CAAs). Herein, we determined the risk factors for CAA development among patients with KD with low risk of IVIG resistance.

METHODS

We compared 14 scoring systems for predicting IVIG resistance among patients with KD hospitalized from 2003 to 2022. Patients were risk stratified using an optimal scoring system. Association between baseline characteristics and CAA development was assessed within the low-risk group.

RESULTS

Overall, 664 pediatric patients with KD were included; 108 (16.3%) had IVIG resistance, and the Liping scoring system had the highest area under the curve (0.714). According to this system, 444 (66.9%) patients with KD were classified as having low risk of developing IVIG resistance (<5 points). CAA development was significantly associated with male sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.946; 95% CI: 1.015-3.730), age <6 months at fever onset (OR, 3.142; 95% CI: 1.028-9.608), and a baseline maximum Z score of ≥2.72 (OR, 3.451; 95% CI: 2.582-4.612). CAA incidence increased with the number of risk factors, and comparisons with a Kobayashi score of <5 points among patients with KD revealed similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Predicting the response to IVIG might help further reduce CAA development in patients with KD.

Intravenous immunoglobulin-resistant Kawasaki disease: Risk factors in children in a middle-income country

Background

Identifying risk factors in patients with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance Kawasaki disease (KD) is vital in managing and preventing coronary artery aneurysms (CAAs). We aimed to study the risk factors for IVIG resistance KD in Malaysian children.

Methods

This retrospective observational study of children with KD was conducted at two tertiary hospitals in Malaysia from January 2014 to December 2019. Multivariable binary logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors associated with IVIG resistance.

Results

A total of 174 patients, 118 males (67.8%) with a median age of 1.4-year-old (interquartile range: 0.1-12.1-year-old), were analyzed. Early (<5 days) and late (>10 days) IVIG treatments were observed in 14 (8.1%) and 19 (11.0%), respectively. Thirty-two patients (18.4%) had IVIG resistance. The independent factors associated with IVIG resistance were high white cell count, hypoalbuminemia, and extremities changes with an odd ratio of 4.7, 3.0, and 4.0, respectively. In addition, CAA was significantly higher in IVIG resistance compared to IVIG responder patients (57.5% [19/33] vs. 23.4% [33/141], P < 0.001). The sensitivity was high in Harada (93.8%) but low in Kobayashi and Egami (46.9% and 34.4%, respectively). The specificity was high with Egami (79.6%) but low in Harada and Kobayashi (22.5% and 64.1%, respectively).

Conclusion

Leukocytosis, hypoalbuminemia, and extremities changes were independent risk factors for IVIG resistance. The variation in sensitivity and specificity of the Japanese scoring makes it unsuitable for predicting IVIG resistance in Malaysian children.

Evaluation of laboratory predictors for intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery aneurysm in Kawasaki Disease before and after therapy

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate the clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) before and after therapy.

METHODS

Patients with KD were divided into different groups according to their responsiveness to initial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment and coronary status. The clinical and laboratory parameters before and after therapy were compared. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the independent risk factors, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to assess and compare the prediction ability of risk factors and their fluctuations.

RESULTS

Of the 153 patients included in the study, 41 (26.8%) had IVIG resistance and 37 (24.2%) had developed CAA. After stratifying by therapy response, the two groups differed in the levels of total bilirubin (TSB), albumin, and sodium, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte count ratio (PLR), TSB-to-albumin (B/A) ratio, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) before IVIG, and in the white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count, levels of hemoglobin, C-reactive protein (CRP), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and albumin, NLR, PNI, capillary leakage index (CLI), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) after IVIG. Multivariate analysis revealed that the B/A ratio before IVIG and CLI and SII after IVIG were significantly and positively associated with IVIG resistance and that there was a larger decline in the B/A ratio and smaller decline in CLI and SII pre- and post-treatment in the IVIG-resistant group than in the IVIG-responsive group. However, no statistical differences in the fluctuations of the B/A ratio, CLI, and SII as well as all parameters before and after therapy were observed in patients with and without CAA. ROC curve analyses found a greater AUC value of post-treatment parameters (0.751 and 0.706 for CLI and SII, respectively) compared with pre-treatment parameters (0.654 for B/A ratio) in predicting IVIG resistance; however, the predictive ability of the fluctuations in risk factors before and after therapy was not superior to that of baseline values.

CONCLUSIONS

The B/A ratio before IVIG and CLI and SII after IVIG were risk factors for IVIG resistance in patients with KD, independent of CAA development. Key Points • A high total bilirubin-to-albumin ratio before IVIG and high capillary leakage and systemic immune-inflammation indices after IVIG may indicate an increased risk of intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in patients with Kawasaki disease. • Post-treatment parameters were superior to pre-treatment parameters in terms of prediction; therefore, rapid and repeated assessment of risk factors before and after treatment must be considered in children in whom the vital signs and symptoms do not improve after treatment.

Risk Factors for Resistance to Intravenous Immunoglobulin Treatment and Coronary Artery Abnormalities in a Chinese Pediatric Population With Kawasaki Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

The factors predicting high-risk Kawasaki disease (KD) remain unclear. Therefore, we aimed to determine the risk factors for resistance to intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment and coronary artery aneurysm (CAA) development in a Chinese pediatric population with high-risk KD.

Methods

We compared the performances of 11 scoring systems that have been reported to predict IVIG resistance among patients with KD hospitalized from January 2013 through August 2021. Patients were risk-stratified based on the optimal scoring system. The association of baseline characteristics with IVIG treatment resistance and CAA development was investigated within the high-risk group of KD.

Results

In total, 346 pediatric patients with KD were included, of whom 63 (18.2%) presented with IVIG resistance. The Kobayashi score and five Chinese scoring system scores (Tang et al., Yang et al., Lan et al., Liping et al., and Wu et al.) were significantly higher in the IVIG non-responsive KD group than in the IVIG responsive KD group, and the results of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves analysis were observed to be highest in the Xie Liping scoring system for IVIG resistance (area under the curve, 0.650). Especially, 87 (25.1%) patients comprised the high-risk KD group based on this optimal scoring system (≥5 points). IVIG resistance was significantly associated with the total bilirubin-to-albumin ratio (B/A ratio) [odds ratio, 7.427; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.022-53.951]. The area under the ROC was 0.703 (95% CI: 0.586-0.821), and the cutoff point was 0.383, which indicated a sensitivity and specificity for predicting treatment resistance of 58% and 80%, respectively. The serum albumin level (odds ratio, 1.401; 95% CI: 1.049-1.869) and Z score of the left main coronary artery (odds ratio, 9.023; 95% CI: 1.070-76.112) were independent predictors of CAA development.

Conclusions

In the Chinese pediatric population with KD, the Xie Liping scoring system is the most appropriate method for identifying high-risk patients, and IVIG resistance could be predicted based on the B/A ratio. Serum albumin level and Z score of the left main coronary artery at baseline were warning indicators for CAA development. More intensified or adjunctive therapies and close follow-up should be considered for high-risk patients with these risk factors.