Early monoclonal protein decline pattern is an independent prognostic factor in patients with multiple myeloma

Early Identification of the Non-Transplanted Functional High-Risk Multiple Myeloma: Insights from a Predictive Nomogram

Background: Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) who have a suboptimal response to induction therapy or early relapse are classified as functional high-risk (FHR) patients and have been shown to have a dismal prognosis. The aim of this study was to establish a predictive nomogram for patients with non-transplanted FHR MM. Materials and Methods: The group comprised 215 patients in our center between 1 January 2006 and 1 March 2024. To identify independent risk factors, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed, and a nomogram was constructed to predict non-transplant FHR MM. To evaluate the nomogram's predictive accuracy, we utilized bias-corrected AUC, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curves (CIC). Results: Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that younger age at onset, a higher proportion of LDH (more than 220 U/L), pattern A + C of M protein decline patterns, a lower proportion of patients with induction treatment efficacy than VGPR, and those undergoing maintenance therapies were independent risk factors for patients with non-transplanted FHR MM. The AUC scores for the training and internal validation groups were 0.940 (95% CI 0.893-0.986) and 0.978 (95% CI 0.930-1.000). DCA and CIC curves were utilized to further verify the clinical efficacy of the nomogram. Conclusions: We developed a nomogram that enables early prediction of non-transplant FHR MM patients. Younger age at onset, LDH ≥ 220 U/L, an A + C pattern of M-protein decline, and induction therapy efficacy not reaching VGPR are more likely to be FHR MM patients. Patients who do not undergo maintenance therapy are prone to early progression or relapse.

A systematic review on the epidemiology and treatment options of multiple Myeloma in Asia

Multiple myeloma (MM) accounts for almost 15 % of all neoplastic malignancies around the globe. This systematic review intends to analyse data on the treatment and management of MM in selected regions in Asia to identify and prioritize areas that need attention. A comprehensive review of original articles, published in English from 2005 to 2022, derived from the PubMed/MEDLINE database was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. There were 98 studies from select regions of Asia (China, India, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore) on newly diagnosed MM and relapsed/refractory MM. This review evaluated the trends in disease outcomes with the gradual shift in treatment regimens from doublet to triplet. Additionally, this review also explored autologous stem cell transplant outcome and anti-B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy in MM patients. This is the first systematic review attempting to collect data on the utility and comparison of innovative agents and modifications in treatment regimens in the context of the Asian population. This review established that the body of evidence for the management of MM was generally of poor quality and there is a need for more versatile studies in the region. Novel and innovative drug regimens may help in combating the illness but consorted efforts by researchers, industry partners, policymakers, and the government are key factors in the long-term survival of MM patients. In the current systematic review, the authors have tried to give a comprehensive account of the available treatments, trends in MM management and prognosis for MM in Asia.

Prognostic Value of Serum Paraprotein Response Kinetics in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma

INTRODUCTION

Response kinetics is a well-established prognostic marker in acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The situation is not clear in multiple myeloma (MM) despite having a biomarker for response monitoring (monoclonal component [MC]).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We developed a mathematical model to assess the prognostic value of serum MC response kinetics during 6 induction cycles, in 373 NDMM transplanted patients treated in the GEM2012Menos65 clinical trial. The model calculated a "resistance" parameter that reflects the stagnation in the response after an initial descent.

RESULTS

Two patient subgroups were defined based on low and high resistance, that respectively captured sensitive and refractory kinetics, with progression-free survival (PFS) at 5 years of 72% and 59% (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44-0.93; P = .02). Resistance significantly correlated with depth of response measured after consolidation (80.9% CR and 68.4% minimal residual disease negativity in patients with sensitive vs. 31% and 20% in those with refractory kinetics). Furthermore, it modulated the impact of reaching CR after consolidation; thus, within CR patients those with refractory kinetics had significantly shorter PFS than those with sensitive kinetics (median 54 months vs. NR; P = .02). Minimal residual disease negativity abrogated this effect. Our study also questions the benefit of rapid responders compared to late responders (5-year PFS 59.7% vs. 76.5%, respectively [P < .002]). Of note, 85% of patients considered as late responders were classified as having sensitive kinetics.

CONCLUSION

This semi-mechanistic modeling of M-component kinetics could be of great value to identify patients at risk of early treatment failure, who may benefit from early rescue intervention strategies.

Study on the Relationship Between the Expression of B Cell Mature Antigen and the Classification, Stage, and Prognostic Factors of Multiple Myeloma

The expression level of BCMA in bone marrow of 54 MM patients was detected in this study to explore the relationship between the BCMA expression and the classification, stage, and prognostic factors of MM. The BCMA expression level of the stable group and remission group was lower than that of the newly diagnosed group and relapse group (P=0.001). There was no significant difference in BCMA expression of MM patients in different types and stages (P>0.05), but it was found that for the newly diagnosed MM patients, the BCMA expression level of IgG patients was higher than that of IgA or light-chain patients (rank average 11.20 vs 5.44, P=0.014). There was no significant correlation between the BCMA expression and the age and serum creatinine of MM patients (P>0.05). And there was no significant difference in BCMA expression between patients with different levels of age and serum creatinine (P>0.05). But it was found that the BCMA expression level of the newly diagnosed MM patients was moderately positively correlated with their age (P=0.025, r=0.595). There was no significant correlation between the BCMA expression and serum β2-microglobulin, serum lactate dehydrogenase, free kap/lam ratio, and urine β2-microglobulin (P>0.05). But we found that the BCMA expression of patients with high serum β2-microglobulin was higher than that of patients with low serum β2-microglobulin (rank average 28.89 vs 17.54, P=0.017). And the BCMA expression of patients with abnormal serum free kap/lam ratio was higher than that of patients with normal ratio (rank average 28.49 vs 13.55, P=0.004). The BCMA expression was strongly positively correlated with 24-h urine protein, was moderately positively correlated with serum M protein and the percentage of plasma cells in bone marrow, was moderately negatively correlated with albumin and hemoglobin count, and was weakly positively correlated with serum corrected calcium (P<0.05). And it was found that the BCMA expression of positive serum immunofixation electrophoresis patients was higher than that of negative patients (rank average 29.94 vs 16.75, P=0.017). And we try to clarify the relationship between the bone marrow BCMA expression and the peripheral blood sBCMA expression. However, we have not found a clear correlation between them so far (P>0.05).