Time to CA19-9 nadir: a clue for defining optimal treatment duration in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

CA19.9 Response and Tumor Size Predict Recurrence Following Post-neoadjuvant Pancreatectomy in Initially Resectable and Borderline Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Data on recurrence after post-neoadjuvant pancreatectomy are scant. This study investigated the incidence and pattern of recurrence in patients with initially resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who received post-neoadjuvant pancreatectomy. Furthermore, preoperative predictors of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and their interactions were determined.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients undergoing post-neoadjuvant pancreatectomy at two academic facilities between 2013 and 2017 were analyzed using standard statistics. The possible interplay between preoperative parameters was scrutinized including interaction terms in multivariable Cox models.

RESULTS

Among 315 included patients, 152 (48.3%) were anatomically resectable. The median RFS was 15.7 months, with 1- and 3-year recurrence rates of 41.9% and 74.2%, respectively. Distant recurrence occurred in 83.3% of patients, with lung-only patterns exhibiting the most favorable prognostic outlook. Normal posttreatment CA19.9, ΔCA19.9 (both in patients with normal and elevated baseline levels), and posttreatment tumor size were associated with RFS. Critical thresholds for ΔCA19.9 and tumor size were set at 50% and 20 mm, respectively. Interaction between ΔCA19.9 and posttreatment CA19.9 suggested a significant risk reduction in patients with elevated values when ΔCA19.9 exceeded 50%. Moreover, posttreatment tumor size interacted with posttreatment CA19.9 and ΔCA19.9, suggesting an increased risk in the instance of elevated posttreatment CA19.9 values and a protective effect associated with CA19.9 response in patients with tumor size >20 mm.

CONCLUSION

Recurrence following post-neoadjuvant pancreatectomy is common. Preoperative tumor size <20 mm, normal posttreatment CA19.9 and ΔCA19.9 > 50% were associated with longer RFS. These variables should not be taken in isolation, as their interaction significantly modulates the recurrence risk.

Evolving pancreatic cancer treatment: From diagnosis to healthcare management

The prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is still the worst among solid tumors. In this review, a panel of experts addressed the main unanswered questions about the clinical management of this disease, with the aim of providing practical decision support for physicians. On the basis of the evidence available from the literature, the main topics concerning pancreatic cancer are discussed: the diagnosis, as the need for a pathological characterization and the role for germ-line and somatic molecular profiling; the therapeutic management of resectable disease, as the role of upfront surgery or neoadjuvant chemotherapy, the post-operative restaging and the optimal timing foradjuvant chemotherapy, the management of the borderline resectable and locally advanced disease; the metastatic disease and the role of surgery for the management of patients with isolated metastasis and the use of biomarkers of metastatic potential; the role of supportive care and the healthcare management of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

The Association of Real-World CA 19-9 Level Monitoring Patterns and Clinical Outcomes Among Patients With Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Background

Pancreatic cancer is expected to be the third deadliest cancer in the US in 2021. Evaluation of treatment response in patients with mPDAC necessitates scheduled clinical and radiographic assessments along with monitoring serum CA 19-9 levels. Currently available single-institution data examining the importance of CA 19-9 monitoring cannot be generalized to real-world settings. We investigated the impact of serum CA 19-9 monitoring and its association with clinical outcomes in patients with mPDAC in a population-based setting.

Methods

Data were extracted from the Flatiron Health electronic health record (EHR)-derived de-identified database for patients diagnosed with mPDAC between January 1, 2015, and June 30, 2020. Serum CA 19-9 levels at baseline – defined as the values obtained ≤ 60 days prior to treatment initiation - and during treatment were extracted. CA 19-9 levels > 40 IU/mL were considered elevated. Survival outcomes were compared based on testing frequency, baseline CA 19-9 levels, and change in CA 19-9.

Results

6,118 patients with mPDAC who received treatment were included in the analysis. The median age at diagnosis was 68 years (IQR: 61-75). Patients with normal baseline CA 19-9 experienced longer median survival than patients with elevated levels [1L: 8.8 months (95% CI: 7.9 - 10) vs. 7.2 months (6.8 – 7.5), p < 0.001; 2L: 7.2 months (6.1 – 9.2) vs. 5.2 months (4.9 – 5.6), p < 0.001; 3L: 6.1 months (5.4 – 9.1) vs. 3.9 months (3.4 – 4.3), p < 0.001]. Patients with decreasing/stable CA 19-9 during treatment experienced longer survival than patients who experienced an increase in CA 19-9 levels [1L: 10.9 months (10.5 – 11.3) vs. 5.4 months (5.1 – 5.9), p < 0.0001; 2L: 8.2 months (7.7 – 8.5) vs. 4.3 months (4.1 – 4.7), p < 0.001; 3L: 7.5 months (6.6 – 9.2) vs. 3.7 months (3.4 – 4.3), p < 0.001].

Conclusions

In one of the largest, contemporary, real-world studies of patients with mPDAC, elevated CA 19-9 level at treatment initiation demonstrated a prognostic impact. Routine serial monitoring of CA 19-9 levels during treatment may be warranted, in addition to clinical and radiographic assessment, and may translate into better patient outcomes. Further validation studies are needed to understand the generalizability of these results.

The Prognostic Significance of Novel Pancreas Cancer Prognostic Index in Unresectable Locally Advanced Pancreas Cancers Treated with Definitive Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

We evaluated the prognostic quality of the novel pancreas cancer prognostic index (PCPI), a combination of CA 19-9 and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), on the outcomes of locally advanced pancreas adenocarcinoma (LAPAC) patients who received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (C-CRT).

METHODS

This retrospective analysis covered 152 unresectable LAPAC patients treated from 2007 to 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to define ideal cutoff thresholds for the pretreatment CA 19-9 and SIRI measurements, individually. The associations between the PCPI groups and progression-free- (PFS) and overall survival (OS) comprised the respective primary and secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

The ROC curve analysis distinguished the respective rounded optimal cutoffs at 91 U/m/L (< versus ≥90) and 1.8 (< versus ≥1.8) for CA 19-9 and SIRI, arranging the study cohort into two significantly different survival groups for each, with resultant four likely groups: Group-1: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L and SIRI<1.8, Group-2: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L but SIRI≥1.8, Group-3: CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L but SIRI<1.8, and Group-4: CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L and SIRI≥1.8. Since the PFS (P=0.79) and OS (P=0.86) estimates of the groups 2 and 3 were statistically indistinct, we merged them as one group and created the novel three-tiered PCPI: PCPI-1: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L and SIRI<1.8, PCPI-2: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L but SIRI≥1.8 or CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L but SIRI<1.8, and PCPI-3: CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L and SIRI≥1.8, respectively. Comparative analyses unveiled that the PCPI-1 and PCPI-3 groups had the respective best and worst PFS (17.0 versus 7.5 versus 4.4 months; P<0.001) and OS (26.1 versus 15.1 versus 7.4 months; P<0.001) outcomes, while the PCPI-2 group posed in between. The multivariate analysis outcomes confirmed the novel three tired PCPI's independent prognostic significance on either of the PFS [HR: 5.38 (95% confidence interval (CI): 4.96-5.80); P<0.001)] and OS [HR: 5.67 (95% CI: 5.19-6.15); P<0.001] endpoints, separately.

CONCLUSION

The new PCPI introduced here can be used as an independent and reliable prognostic indicator to divide LAPAC patients into three subgroups with discrete survival results.

Duration of Reduced CA19-9 Levels Is a Better Prognostic Factor Than Its Rate of Reduction for Unresectable Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer

Simple Summary

Upon diagnosis, about 35% of patients have initially unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer. The prognosis of these patients is still poor. Chemotherapy alone has been generally accepted as a standard therapeutic approach. However, clinical decision-making processes have not been established for aggressive treatments such as surgery and chemoradiotherapy in patients with a response and stable case of initially unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer. In the current study, we evaluated the reduction rate and duration of carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 within 6 months as long-term survival. Cases of over 44% CA 19-9 reduction only one month from the baseline after treatment were not significantly associated with overall survival. On the other hand, more than 3 months of over 44% CA 19-9 reduction was significantly associated with prognosis, which is the same as the occurrence of distant metastasis. Multidisciplinary treatment focus on local treatment is expected in these selected patients.

Abstract

A decrease in carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 levels has been proposed as a prognostic marker for survival and recurrence in patients with pancreatic cancer. We evaluated the association between duration of reduced CA 19-9 levels during 6 months after treatment and long-term survival for 79 patients with unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). We calculated the differences between pretreatment and monthly CA19-9 levels. We categorized 71 patients with decreases in CA19-9 levels into three groups based on the duration of these reduced levels (>2, >3, and >4 months). The cut-off level for long-term (more than 2 years) survival was identified as a 44% reduction from the baseline, using a ROC curve. A reduction duration >2 months was not associated with overall survival (p = 0.1), while >3 months was significantly associated with survival (p =.04). In multivariate analysis, a reduction duration >3 months predicted a good long-term prognosis (odds ratio = 5.75; 95% confidence interval = 1.47–22.36; p < 0.01). In patients with unresectable LAPC, the duration of reduced CA19-9 levels for more than 3 months, rather than the rate of reduction in CA19-9 levels, during 6 months after treatment was significantly associated with good prognosis.

Exploring chemotherapy holiday and drugs re-challenge in advanced pancreatic cancer patients

PURPOSE

We aimed to explore the role of drugs re-challenge at the disease progression after a chemotherapy-free interval for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the outcome of re-treatments at the progression in two cohorts of advanced PDAC patients who had disease control (DC) and a treatment holiday ≥ 3 months after upfront chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Between 2015 and 2019, 66 advanced PDAC patients (cohort A) had DC with nab-paclitaxel-based chemotherapy (i.e. AG or PAXG = cisplatin, nab-paclitaxel, gemcitabine, capecitabine). At the time of progressive disease (PD), 34 patients were re-treated with AG (A1) and 32 were treated with other regimens (A2). The median (m) duration of chemotherapy holiday was 6.1 and 5.9 months in A1 and A2, respectively. Partial response (PR) and stable disease (SD) were found in 14 (41%) and 12 (35%) of patients in A1 and in 8 (25%) and 6 (19%) patients in A2. CA19-9 response was recorded in 23/33 evaluable patients (70%) in A1 and in 5/20 (25%) in A2. mPFS2 and mOS2, defined as the time between the second line of treatment start and the disease progression or death, were 4.8 and 12.2 months in A1 and 3.9 and 8.4 months in A2, respectively. Similarly, between 2006 and 2013, 64 patients (cohort B) had DC with upfront PEFG/PEXG/PDXG regimens (epirubicin or docetaxel, cisplatin, gemcitabine, capecitabine or 5-fluorouracil) and were re-treated at PD with either 4-drug (B1; N = 30) or other regimens (B2; N = 34), yielding a mOS2 of 10.9 and 7.2 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our data endorse the strategy of resuming prior drugs after a chemotherapy holiday ≥ 3 months in advanced PDAC patients who achieved a  durable disease control after upfront treatments.