Aortic valve and aortic root calcifications for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events: NADESICO study

Predictive value of valvular calcification for the recurrence of persistent atrial fibrillation after radiofrequency catheter ablation

BACKGROUND

Valvular calcification (VC) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. The relationship between VC and atrial fibrillation is not clear.

HYPOTHESIS

We treated the aortic valve, mitral valve, and tricuspid valve as a whole and considered the possible association between VC and recurrence of persistent atrial fibrillation (PsAF) after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA).

METHODS

This study involved 2687 PsAF patients who underwent RFCA. Data were collected to explore the relationship between VC and outcome. VC was defined by echocardiography in aortic valve, mitral valve, or tricuspid valve. After 1 year follow-up, subgroup analysis, mixed model regression analysis, and score system analysis were performed. The external validation of 133 patients demonstrated the accuracy of this clinical prediction model.

RESULTS

Overall, 2687 inpatients were assigned to the recurrence group (n = 682) or the no recurrence group (n = 2005) with or without VC. Compared to patients with no recurrence, the incidence of VC was higher in recurrence patients. Recurrence was present in 18.5%, 34.9%, 39.3%, and 52.0% of the four groups, which met VC numbers of 0, 1, 2, and 3, respectively. After adjustment for potential confounding factors, VC was an independent risk factor for AF recurrence in several models. For multivariable logistic regression, a scoring system was established based on the regression coefficient. The receiver operating characteristic area of the scoring system was 0.787 in the external validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

VC was an independent risk factor for AF recurrence in PsAF after RFCA. The scoring system may be a useful clinical tool to assess AF recurrence.

Significance of coronary artery calcification for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events: results from the NADESICO study in Japan

BACKGROUND

We aimed to determine the usefulness and sex differences of assessment of coronary artery calcification (CAC) with cardiovascular risk factors and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in Japanese patients.

METHODS

In a nationwide, multicenter, prospective cohort study, 1187 patients with suspected coronary artery disease who underwent coronary computed tomography were enrolled. MACE included cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization, and hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or aortic disease. The concordance (C)-statistics were used to assess the relationships among the Suita risk score, CAC score, and incident MACE, with emphasis on sex differences.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 982 patients (mean age, 64.7 ± 6.6 years; 53.9 % male patients). MACE developed in 65 male and 21 female patients during a median follow-up of 1480 days. The C-statistics calculated using Suita score for MACE were 0.650, 0.633, and 0.569 in overall, male, and female patients, respectively. In overall patients, the C-statistic significantly increased in combined models of Agatston CAC scores of ≥100, 200, 300, or 400 and the Suita score. In each sex, the C-statistics significantly increased in the model that added an Agatston CAC score of ≥100 and ≥ 200 (+0.049 and + 0.057) in male patients, and ≥ 400 (+0.119) in females, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding assessment of Agatston CAC scores to Suita score was useful to improve the predictive ability for future MACE in Japanese patients. Agatston CAC scores of ≥100 or 200 in male and ≥ 400 in female patients in addition to Suita score improved the MACE risk prediction.

Combination of coronary CT angiography, FFRCT , and risk factors in the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients suspected CAD

BACKGROUND

To examine the utility of fractional flow reserve by coronary computed tomography (CT) angiography (FFR_CT ) for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

This was a nationwide multicenter prospective cohort study including consecutive 1187 patients aged 50-74 years with suspected CAD and had available coronary CT angiography (CCTA). In patients with ≥50% coronary artery stenosis (CAS), FFR_CT was further analyzed. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association of FFR_CT and cardiovascular risk factors with incident MACE within 2 years.

RESULTS

Among 933 patients with available information on MACE within 2 years after enrollment, the incidence rate of MACE was higher in 281 patients with CAS than in those without CAS (6.11 vs. 1.16 per 100 patient-year). In 241 patients with CAS, the Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that FFR_CT as well as diabetes mellitus and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level were independently associated with incident MACE. Moreover, the hazard ratio was significantly higher in patients harboring all three factors compared to those harboring 0-2 of the three factors (6.01; 95% confidence interval: 2.77-13.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Combinatorial assessment using CCTA for stenosis, FFR_CT , and risk factors was useful for more accurate prediction of MACE in patients with suspected CAD. Among patients with CAS, those with lower FFR_CT , diabetes mellitus, and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level were at highest risk for MACE during the 2-year period following enrollment.