Anastomotic leakage after curative rectal cancer resection has no impact on long-term survival: a propensity score analysis

Impact of anastomotic leakage on long-term prognosis after colorectal cancer surgery

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common malignancies in the world. Despite significant improvements in surgical technique, postoperative complications still occur in a fair percentage of patients undergoing colorectal surgery. The most feared complication is anastomotic leakage. It negatively affects short-term prognosis, with increased post-operative morbidity and mortality, higher hospitalization time and costs. Moreover, it may require further surgery with the creation of a permanent or temporary stoma. While there is no doubt about the negative impact of anastomotic dehiscence on the short-term prognosis of patients operated on for CRC, still under discussion is its impact on the long-term prognosis. Some authors have described an association between leakage and reduced overall survival, disease-free survival, and increased recurrence, while other Authors have found no real impact of dehiscence on long term prognosis. The purpose of this paper is to review all the literature about the impact of anastomotic dehiscence on long-term prognosis after CRC surgery. The main risk factors of leakage and early detection markers are also summarized.

Impact of anastomotic leakage on postoperative survival of patients with colorectal cancer: A meta-analysis using propensity score matching studies

OBJECTIVE

To explore the influence of anastomotic leakage (AL) on postoperative survival in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

BACKGROUND

Although several studies have compared the postoperative survival of patients with CRC with and without AL, the background characteristics of the two groups were not aligned in most studies.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive electronic search of the literature up to March 2020 to identify propensity score matching (PSM) studies that compared postoperative survival between CRC patients with and without AL. A meta-analysis was performed using random-effects models to calculate the risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI), and heterogeneity was analyzed using I (Akiyoshi et al., 2011) [2] statistics.

RESULTS

Four PSM studies involving a total of 1676 patients with CRC undergoing surgery were included in this meta-analysis. Among 234 patients who had AL, 163 (69.7%) survived at 5 years after surgery, whereas among 1422 patients who did not have AL, 1156 (81.3%) survived at 5 years after surgery. Background characteristics of the two groups were adjusted with PSM in all 4 studies. The result of the meta-analysis revealed a significant difference between the two groups (RR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.09-2.45; P = 0.02; I² = 66%) in 5-year overall survival (OS).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this meta-analysis demonstrate a significantly decreased 5-year OS in patients with CRC who had AL compared with patients with CRC who did not have AL.

Impact of early biochemical diagnosis of anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer surgery: long-term results from GRECCAR 5 trial

Elevated C-reactive protein, should be used to prompt early detection of AL prior to the development of clinical symptoms. Early biochemical diagnosis and intervention of AL mitigates the negative impact of AL on oncological outcomes in patients with rectal cancer.

The impact of anastomotic leakage on oncology after curative anterior resection for rectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leakage (AL) is a serious clinical complication after anterior resection for rectal cancer and will lead to an increase in postoperative mortality. However, the effect on long-term oncology outcomes remains controversial.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane library databases for related articles. The included studies assessed local recurrence, distant recurrence, overall survival, cancer-specific survival and disease-free survival. The systematic reviews and meta-analyses was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA guidelines. The combined RRs with 95% CI were then calculated using a fixed effects model or a randomized effect model.

RESULTS

A total of 18 cohort studies included 34,487 patients who met the inclusion criteria. The meta-analysis demonstrated that AL was associated with increased local recurrence (RR 1.47, 95% CI 1.14-1.90, I = 57.8%). Anastomotic leakage decreased overall survival (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88-0.96, I = 58.1%), cancer-specific survival (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-1.00, I = 30.4%), and disease-free survival (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.77-0.94, I = 80.4%). Distant recurrence may had no significant effects of AL (RR 1.16, 95% CI 0.91-1.46, I = 58.4%).

CONCLUSION

AL has a negative effect on local recurrence and long-term survival (including overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and disease-free survival) after anterior resection for rectal cancer, but not related to distant recurrence.

Does anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer resection worsen long-term oncologic outcome?

PURPOSE

The influence of anastomotic leakage on long-term survival in patients with rectal cancer is debatable. The aim of this study was to evaluate relationships between anastomotic leakage and long-term survival.

METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, 395 consecutive stage I to III rectal cancer patients underwent anterior resection between 2007 and 2012. Five-year overall survival, 5-year disease-free survival, and 5-year local recurrence-free survival were compared between patients with leakage (Leakage (+)) and patients without leakage (Leakage (-)).

RESULTS

Of 395 patients, 50 (12.7%) had anastomotic leakage. Of these 50, 34 (68.0%) required urgent surgery and 16 (32.0%) could be managed by watchful waiting or with percutaneous drainage. The median follow-up period was 62.6 months. Five-year overall survival did not differ between the two groups (Leakage (+) 93.8% vs. Leakage (-) 89.0%, P = 0.121). Five-year disease-free survival also did not differ between the two groups (81.6% vs. 80.3%, P = 0.731), and neither did 5-year local recurrence-free survival (91.9% vs. 86.1%, P = 0.206). In a multivariable Cox regression model, BMI > 25, preoperative CA19-9 > 37, pathological T stage, pathological N stage, and circumferential resection margin (CRM) positive were independent predictors of disease-free survival. Moreover, pathological T stage, pathological N stage, and CRM positive were the only independent predictors of overall survival and local recurrence-free survival. Anastomotic leakage was not a risk factor for overall survival, disease-free survival, or local recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Anastomotic leakage is not associated with a significant decrease in long-term survival in rectal cancer patients.

Meta-analysis of the impact of postoperative infective complications on oncological outcomes in colorectal cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

Cancer outcomes are complex, involving prevention, early detection and optimal multidisciplinary care. Postoperative infection and surgical site-infection (SSI) are not only uncomfortable for patients and costly, but may also be associated with poor oncological outcomes. A meta-analysis was undertaken to assess the oncological effects of SSI in patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS

An ethically approved PROSPERO-registered meta-analysis was conducted following PRISMA guidelines. PubMed and Scopus databases were searched for studies published between 2007 and 2017 reporting the effects of postoperative infective complications on oncological survival in colorectal cancer. Results were separated into those for SSI and those concerning anastomotic leakage. Articles with a Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies score of at least 18 were included. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95 per cent confidence intervals were computed for risk factors using an observed to expected and variance fixed-effect model.

RESULTS

Of 5027 articles were reviewed, 43 met the inclusion criteria, with a total of 154 981 patients. Infective complications had significant negative effects on overall survival (HR 1·37, 95 per cent c.i. 1·28 to 1·46) and cancer-specific survival (HR 2·58, 2·15 to 3·10). Anastomotic leakage occurred in 7·4 per cent and had a significant negative impact on disease-free survival (HR 1·14, 1·09 to 1·20), overall survival (HR 1·34, 1·28 to 1·39), cancer-specific survival (HR 1·43, 1·31 to 1·55), local recurrence (HR 1·18, 1·06 to 1·32) and overall recurrence (HR 1·46, 1·27 to 1·68).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis identified a significant negative impact of postoperative infective complications on overall and cancer-specific survival in patients undergoing colorectal surgery.

Long-term Oncological Outcomes Following Anastomotic Leak in Rectal Cancer Surgery

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leak remains a critical complication after restorative rectal cancer surgery and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality rates, whereas reported rates range from 4% to 29%. Whether the occurrence of leak may have an impact on long-term oncological outcomes is under debate.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to describe the oncological impact of anastomotic leak on patients undergoing sphincter-preserving surgery for rectal adenocarcinoma.

DESIGN

This is a retrospective review of a prospectively maintained database.

SETTINGS

The study was conducted at a high-volume colorectal center.

PATIENTS

Data on patients who underwent restorative surgery for rectal adenocarcinoma from January 2000 until December 2013 were retrospectively analyzed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measured was the impact of anastomotic leak, defined according to the classification proposed by the International Study Group of Rectal Cancer, on long-term overall survival, disease-free survival, disease-specific survival, and local recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 787 patients undergoing sphincter-preserving surgery for rectal cancer met the inclusion criteria. Forty-two (5.3%) patients presented a symptomatic anastomotic leak. The median follow-up period was 64 months. Fifty-one (6.5%) patients experienced a cancer-related death, 2 of 42 in the anastomotic leak group. Five-year overall survival, disease-specific survival, and disease-free survival were 88%, 94.7%, and 85.3%. Local recurrence rate was 2%. There was no difference in long-term overall survival, disease-specific survival, disease-free survival, and local recurrence rate between groups. On a multivariable analysis, anastomotic leak did not impact oncological outcomes.

LIMITATIONS

This study was limited by retrospective analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The occurrence of anastomotic leak after restorative resection for rectal cancer did not impact long-term oncological outcomes in our cohort of patients. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B187. RESULTADOS ONCOLÓGICOS A LARGO PLAZO DESPUÉS DE UNA FUGA ANASTOMÓTICA EN CIRUGÍA DE CÁNCER RECTAL: La fuga anastomótica sigue siendo una complicación crítica después de la cirugía restauradora del cáncer rectal y se asocia con tasas significativas de morbilidad y mortalidad, mientras que las tasas reportadas varían del 4% al 29%. Se está debatiendo si la aparición de fugas puede tener un impacto en los resultados oncológicos a largo plazo.Describir el impacto oncológico de la fuga anastomótica en pacientes sometidos a cirugía de preservación del esfínter para adenocarcinoma rectal.Revisión retrospectiva de una base de datos mantenida prospectivamente.El estudio se realizó en un centro colorrectal de alto volumen.Se analizaron retrospectivamente los datos de pacientes que se sometieron a cirugía reparadora por adenocarcinoma rectal desde Enero de 2000 hasta Diciembre de 2013.Impacto de la fuga anastomótica, definida de acuerdo con la clasificación propuesta por el Grupo de Estudio Internacional del Cáncer Rectal (International Study Group of Rectal Cancer), sobre la supervivencia general a largo plazo, la supervivencia libre de enfermedad, la supervivencia específica de la enfermedad y la recurrencia local.Un total de 787 pacientes sometidos a cirugía para preservar el esfínter por cáncer rectal cumplieron con los criterios de inclusión. Cuarenta y dos (5.3%) pacientes presentaron una fuga anastomótica sintomática. El tiempo mediano del período de seguimiento fue de 64 meses. Cincuenta y un (6.5%) pacientes sufrieron muerte relacionada con el cáncer, 2 de 42 en el grupo de fuga anastomótica. La supervivencia global a cinco años, la supervivencia específica de la enfermedad y la supervivencia libre de enfermedad fueron del 88%, 94.7% y 85.3%, respectivamente. La tasa de recurrencia local fue del 2%. No hubo diferencias en la supervivencia global a largo plazo, la supervivencia específica de la enfermedad, la supervivencia libre de enfermedad y la tasa de recurrencia local entre los grupos. En un análisis multivariable, la fuga anastomótica no afectó los resultados oncológicos.Este estudio fue limitado por análisis retrospectivo.La aparición de fuga anastomótica después de la resección restauradora para el cáncer rectal no afectó los resultados oncológicos a largo plazo en nuestra cohorte de pacientes. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B187. (Traducción-Dr. Yesenia Rojas-Kahlil).

The influence of anastomotic leakage for rectal cancer oncologic outcome: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Anastomotic leakage is a serious complication after arterial resection of rectal cancer. It has been found that anastomotic leakage is related to the oncological outcome. The purpose of the study is to evaluate the long-term outcome of the rectal tumor after anastomotic leakage.

METHODS

The effect of anastomotic leakage on the oncological outcome of rectal cancer was studied by electronic literature retrieval. Using the DerSimonian Laird random effect model to calculate the odds ratio and 95% confidence interval. Research heterogeneity was evaluated by Q statistics and I² , and bias was evaluated by funnel plot and Begg's test.

RESULTS

A total of 35 studies and 44 698 patients were included in the study. The studies have shown that anastomotic leakage is associated with local recurrence (OR = 1.93; 95% CI, 1.57-2.38; P < .0001), overall survival (OR = 1.64; 95% CI, 1.37-1.95; P < .00001), disease-free survival (OR = 2.07; 95% CI, 1.50-2.87; P < .00001) and cancer-specific survival (OR = 1.32; 95% CI, 1.02-1.70; P = .012), while it was not related to distant recurrence (OR = 1.25; 95% CI, 0.95-1.65; P = .12).

CONCLUSIONS

The results showed that anastomotic leakage after anterior resection increased the risk of local recurrence, decreased the overall survival, cancer-specific survival and disease-free survival.

Early reoperation following pancreaticoduodenectomy: impact on morbidity, mortality, and long-term survival

Background

Reoperation following PD is a surrogate marker for a complex post-operative course and may lead to devastating consequences. We evaluate the indications for early reoperation following PD and analyze its effect on short- and long-term outcome.

Methods

Four hundred and thirty-three patients that underwent PD between August 2006 and June 2016 were retrospectively analyzed.

Results

Forty-eight patients (11%; ROp group) underwent 60 reoperations within 60 days from PD. Forty-two patients underwent 1 reoperation, and 6 had up to 6 reoperations. The average time to first reoperation was 10.1 ± 13.4 days. The most common indications were anastomotic leaks (22 operations in 18 patients; 37.5% of ROp), followed by post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) (14 reoperations in 12 patients; 25%), and wound complications in 10 (20.8%). Patients with cholangiocarcinoma had the highest reoperation rate (25%) followed by ductal adenocarcinoma (12.3%). Reoperation was associated with increased length of hospital stay and a high post-operative mortality of 18.7%, compared to 2.6% for the non-reoperated group. For those who survived the post-operative period, the overall and disease-free survival were not affected by reoperation.

Conclusions

Early reoperations following PD carries a dramatically increased mortality rate, but has no impact on long-term survival.

Influence of Conversion and Anastomotic Leakage on Survival in Rectal Cancer Surgery; Retrospective Cross-sectional Study

BACKGROUND

Conversion and anastomotic leakage in colorectal cancer surgery have been suggested to have a negative impact on long-term oncologic outcomes. The aim of this study in a large Dutch national cohort was to analyze the influence of conversion and anastomotic leakage on long-term oncologic outcome in rectal cancer surgery.

METHODS

Patients were selected from a retrospective cross-sectional snapshot study. Patients with a benign lesion, distant metastasis, or unknown tumor or metastasis status were excluded. Overall (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared between laparoscopic, converted, and open surgery as well as between patients with and without anastomotic leakage.

RESULTS

Out of a database of 2095 patients, 638 patients were eligible for inclusion in the laparoscopic, 752 in the open, and 107 in the conversion group. A total of 746 patients met the inclusion criteria and underwent low anterior resection with primary anastomosis, including 106 (14.2%) with anastomotic leakage. OS and DFS were significantly shorter in the conversion compared to the laparoscopic group (p = 0.025 and p = 0.001, respectively) as well as in anastomotic leakage compared to patients without anastomotic leakage (p = 0.002 and p = 0.024, respectively). In multivariable analysis, anastomotic leakage was an independent predictor of OS (hazard ratio 2.167, 95% confidence interval 1.322-3.551) and DFS (1.592, 1077-2.353). Conversion was an independent predictor of DFS (1.525, 1.071-2.172), but not of OS.

CONCLUSION

Technical difficulties during laparoscopic rectal cancer surgery, as reflected by conversion, as well as anastomotic leakage have a negative prognostic impact, underlining the need to improve both aspects in rectal cancer surgery.

Impact of postoperative complications on long-term survival following surgery for T4 colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Postoperative complications (POCs) after the resection of locally advanced colorectal cancer (CRC) may influence adjuvant treatment timing, outcomes, and survival. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of POCs on long-term outcomes in patients surgically treated for T4 CRC.

METHODS

All consecutive patients who underwent the resection of T4 CRC at a single centre from 2004 to 2013 were retrospectively analysed from a prospectively maintained database. POCs were assessed using the Clavien-Dindo classification. Patients who developed POCs were compared with those who did not in terms of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The study population comprised 106 patients, including 79 (74.5%) with synchronous distant metastases. Overall, 46 patients (43%) developed at least one POC during the hospital stay, and of those patients, 9 (20%) had severe complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥ grade III). POCs were not associated with OS (65% with POCs vs. 69% without POCs; p = 0.72) or RFS (58% with POCs vs. 70% without POCs; p = 0.37). Similarly, POCs did not affect OS or RFS in patients who had synchronous metastases at diagnosis compared with those who did not.

CONCLUSIONS

POCs do not affect the oncological course of patients subjected to the resection of T4 CRC, even in cases of synchronous metastases.

Oncologic outcome and recurrence rate following anastomotic leakage after curative resection for colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Anastomotic leakage is one of the most severe early complications after colorectal surgery, and it is associated with a high reoperation rate-, and increased in short-term morbidity and mortality rates. It remains unclear whether anastomotic leakage is associated with poor oncologic outcomes. The aim of this study was to determine the impacts of anastomotic leakage on long-term oncologic outcomes, disease-free survival and overall mortality in patients who underwent curative surgery for colorectal cancer.

METHODS

This single-centre, retrospective, observational cohort study included patients who underwent curative surgery for colorectal cancer between 2005 and 2015 and who had a primary anastomosis. Survival- and multivariate cox regression analyses were performed to adjust for confounding.

RESULTS

A total of 1984 patients had a primary anastomosis after surgery. The overall incidence of anastomotic leakage was 7.5%; 19 patients were excluded because they were lost to follow-up. Of the remaining 1965 patients, 41 (2.1%) developed local recurrence associated with anastomotic leakage [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 2.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-5.29; P = 0.03]. Distant recurrence developed in 291(14.8%) patients with no association with anastomotic leakage [adjusted HR = 1.30 (95% CI: 0.85-1.97) P = 0.23]. Anastomotic leakage was associated with increased long-term mortality [adjusted HR = 1.69 (95% CI 1.32-2.18) P < 0.01]. Five year disease-free survival was significantly decreased in patients with anastomotic leakage, (log rank test P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Anastomotic leakage was significantly associated with increased rates of local recurrence, disease free-survival and overall mortality. Associations of anastomotic leakage with distant recurrence was not found.

[Influence of anastomotic leakage on the long-term outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer]

Anastomotic leakage after surgery for colorectal cancer is a widely known factor aggravating immediate outcomes. At the same time, deterioration of oncological results is under much less attention. Long-term consequences of anastomotic leakage and possible mechanism of negative effect of this complication on long-term results are reviewed in the article.

Unplanned reoperation after radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer: causes, risk factors, and long-term prognostic influence

Purpose

Unplanned reoperation (URO) after radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer (GC) mostly results from serious postoperative complications. At present, there is still controversy over the predictive factors for URO. Our goal was to identify the risk factors for URO and to investigate its potential impact on long-term survival.

Patients and methods

We included 2,852 GC patients who underwent a gastrectomy. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the risk factors for URO. Patients were randomly selected from the non-URO group by 1:4 propensity score matching with multiple parameters with patients from the URO group. The survival disparity of 34 URO patients and 136 non-URO patients was examined using the Kaplan-Meier method and the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

The incidence of URO was 1.4% (39/2, 852). The primary cause of URO was intra-abdominal bleeding (53.9%, 21/39). Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that male gender (OR = 4.630, 95% CI = 1.412-15.152, P = 0.011), diabetes (OR = 4.189, 95% CI = 1.705-10.290, P = 0.002), and preoperative hypoproteinemia (OR = 2.305, 95% CI = 1.079-4.923, P = 0.031) were independent risk factors for URO. With regard to early surgical outcomes, patients undergoing URO had a longer hospital stay (P < 0.001), higher incidence of postoperative complications (P < 0.001), and greater mortality (P < 0.001) compared with the non-URO group. No significant correlation was found between URO and cancer-specific survival in univariate (P = 0.275) and multivariate (P = 0.090) survival analyses.

Conclusion

Male gender, diabetes, and preoperative hypoproteinemia were suggested as independent risk factors for URO. URO was associated with longer hospital stay and increased perioperative mortality, but might not be correlated with long-term mortality.

Adverse Effects of Anastomotic Leakage on Local Recurrence and Survival After Curative Anterior Resection for Rectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leakage is a serious complication associated with anterior resection for rectal cancer, the long-term effects of which are unclear. Therefore, a systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to evaluate the impact of anastomotic leakage on disease recurrence and survival.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases from their inception to January 2016. Studies evaluating the oncologic impact of anastomotic leakage were included in the meta-analysis. Outcome measures were local recurrence, overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and distant recurrence. Pooled hazard ratio (HR) with 95 % confidence interval (CI) was calculated using random effects models.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies containing 11,353 patients met inclusion criteria. Anastomotic leakage was associated with a greater local recurrence (HR 1.71; 95 % CI 1.22-2.38) and decreased in both overall survival (HR 1.67; 95 % CI 1.19-2.35) and cancer-specific survival (HR 1.30; 95 % CI 1.08-1.56); anastomotic leakage did not increase distant recurrence (HR 1.03; 95 % CI 0.76-1.40).

CONCLUSIONS

Anastomotic leakage was associated with high local recurrence and poor survival (both overall and cancer-specific), but not with distant recurrence.

Oncological impact of anastomotic leakage after laparoscopic mesorectal excision

BACKGROUND

The effect of anastomotic leakage on oncological outcomes after total mesorectal excision (TME) is controversial. This study aimed to assess the influence of symptomatic and asymptomatic anastomotic leakage on oncological outcomes after laparoscopic TME.

METHODS

All patients who underwent restorative laparoscopic TME for rectal adenocarcinoma with curative intent from 2005 to 2014 were identified from an institutional database. Asymptomatic anastomotic leakage was defined by CT performed systematically 4-8 weeks after rectal surgery, with no relevant clinical symptoms or laboratory examination findings during the postoperative course.

RESULTS

Of a total of 428 patients, anastomotic leakage was observed in 120 (28·0 per cent) (50 asymptomatic, 70 symptomatic). After a mean follow-up of 40 months, local recurrence was observed in 36 patients (8·4 per cent). Multivariable Cox regression identified three independent risk factors for reduced local recurrence-free survival (LRFS): symptomatic anastomotic leakage (odds ratio (OR) 2·13, 95 per cent c.i. 1·29 to 3·50; P = 0·003), positive resection margin (R1) (OR 2·41, 1·40 to 4·16; P = 0·001) and pT3-4 category (OR 1·77, 1·08 to 2·90; P = 0·022). Patients with no risk factor for reduced LRFS had an estimated 5-year LRFS rate of 87·7(s.d. 3·2) per cent, whereas the rate dropped to 75·3(4·3) per cent with one risk factor, 67(7) per cent with two risk factors, and 14(13) per cent with three risk factors (P < 0·001). Asymptomatic anastomotic leakage was not significantly associated with LRFS in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSION

Symptomatic anastomotic leakage is a risk factor for disease recurrence in patients with rectal adenocarcinoma.

Impact of anastomotic leakage on long-term oncologic outcome and its related factors in rectal cancer

Anastomotic leakage (AL) is a well-known cause of morbidity after low anterior resection (LAR) for rectal cancer, but its impact on oncologic outcome is not well understood. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of AL on long-term oncologic outcome and to identify factors associated with AL that may affect prognosis after LAR for rectal cancer.A retrospective analysis of patients who underwent curative resection for rectal cancer without diverting stoma was performed. To investigate AL related factors that may be associated with oncologic outcome, Clavien-Dindo grades, prognostic nutritional indices (PNI) and inflammatory indices were included.One hundred and one patients out of a total of 1258 patients developed postoperative AL, giving an AL rate of 8.0%. Patients with AL showed poorer disease-free survival (DFS), than patients without AL (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.6; 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.1-2.5; P = 0.01). In patients who developed AL, age over 60 (HR = 2.2; 95% CI: 1.1-4.7; P = 0.033), advanced pathologic stage (HR = 2.4; 95% CI: 1.4-4.0; P = 0.001), suppressed neutrophil-proportion (≤80%) (HR = 2.6; 95% CI: 1.2-5.8; P = 0.019) and PNI <36 (HR = 3.5; 95% CI: 1.2-9.6; P = 0.018) were associated with poorer DFS.AL was associated with poorer DFS. In patients with AL, a suppressed neutrophil-proportion and decreased PNI below 36 were associated with tumor recurrence.

Risk calculators-methods, development, implementation, and validation

INTRODUCTION

A surgical risk calculator (SRC) estimates the probabilities of unfavorable outcomes such as complications or death after a specific surgery. The risk estimates are based on information regarding the patient's medical history and his current status. They are calculated using risk models derived from the analysis of data from a large number of previous patients in a similar clinical situation.

METHODS

This paper discusses several aspects of the SRC development and its implementation into clinical practice: the development of the statistical risk models, their validation and software implementation, the use of the SRC output for shared decision making in clinical settings, and the evaluation of the SRC's impact on individual patient outcomes as well as on the institution's quality of care of the clinical institution.

RESULTS

Probably the most elaborate SRC is the ACS NSQIP SRC. A comparable project was started by the German Society for Visceral and General Surgery (DGAV) in the framework of its Study, Documentation, and Quality Center (StuDoQ). It is relevant to consider that the transportability of a SRC from a US American to a German setting is not straightforward.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk calculators are important instruments for shared decision making between patients and doctor. Their implementation into clinical practice has to solve technical issues, and it is related to appropriate training of clinicians. There are specific study designs to evaluate the clinical impact of a SCR.