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Aierken A, Aizezi Y, Atabieke F, Rehaman M, Aierken M, Li SX. No bidirectional relationship between constipation and colorectal cancer in European and Asian populations: A Mendelian randomization study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2024; 103:e40206. [PMID: 39470562 PMCID: PMC11520989 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000040206] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2024] [Revised: 09/23/2024] [Accepted: 10/04/2024] [Indexed: 10/30/2024] Open
Abstract
Traditional observational studies have reported a positive association between constipation and the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, evidence from other approaches to pursue the causal relationship between constipation and CRC is scarce. In the study, 2-sample Mendelian randomization analysis was conducted to investigate the potential causal relationship between constipation and CRC. Analysis of the results showed that there was no causal association between constipation and CRC, either in European populations (CRC: odds ratio [OR] = 1.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.99-1.00, P = .49; rectal cancer: OR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.99-1.00, P = .79) or in Asian populations (CRC: OR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.99-1.01, P = .30). Also there was no inverse causal association between CRC and constipation, either in European populations (CRC: OR = 0.10, 95% CI = 2.76E-03-3.45, P = .20; rectal cancer: OR = 0.05, 95% CI = 9.14E-07-2.64E + 03, P = .59) or in Asian population (CRC: OR = 1.18, 95% CI = 0.92-1.52, P = .20), there was no horizontal diversity in the instrumental variables in the Mendelian randomization analyses of the present study (all F statistics >10), and no heterogeneity was found in the regression analyses. The findings from bidirectional 2-sample Mendelian randomization analyses indicate that there is no evidence of a bidirectional causal association between constipation and CRC. However, further investigation is warranted through additional clinical studies and trials to thoroughly explore the association between these 2 factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ailikamu Aierken
- Graduate School of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
- Department of General Surgery, Children’s Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
| | - Yierzhati Aizezi
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
| | - Falide Atabieke
- The second Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
| | - Mayinuer Rehaman
- Department of Physiology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
| | - Munire Aierken
- Department of Disinfection and Vector-Borne Pathogen Control, Urumqi City Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
| | - Shui-Xue Li
- Department of General Surgery, Children’s Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
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Demb J, Kolb JM, Dounel J, Fritz CDL, Advani SM, Cao Y, Coppernoll-Blach P, Dwyer AJ, Perea J, Heskett KM, Holowatyj AN, Lieu CH, Singh S, Spaander MCW, Vuik FER, Gupta S. Red Flag Signs and Symptoms for Patients With Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. JAMA Netw Open 2024; 7:e2413157. [PMID: 38787555 PMCID: PMC11127127 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.13157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC), defined as a diagnosis at younger than age 50 years, is increasing, and so-called red flag signs and symptoms among these individuals are often missed, leading to diagnostic delays. Improved recognition of presenting signs and symptoms associated with EOCRC could facilitate more timely diagnosis and impact clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE To report the frequency of presenting red flag signs and symptoms among individuals with EOCRC, to examine their association with EOCRC risk, and to measure variation in time to diagnosis from sign or symptom presentation. DATA SOURCES PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and Web of Science were searched from database inception through May 2023. STUDY SELECTION Studies that reported on sign and symptom presentation or time from sign and symptom presentation to diagnosis for patients younger than age 50 years diagnosed with nonhereditary CRC were included. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS Data extraction and quality assessment were performed independently in duplicate for all included studies using Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses reporting guidelines. Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal tools were used to measure risk of bias. Data on frequency of signs and symptoms were pooled using a random-effects model. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Outcomes of interest were pooled proportions of signs and symptoms in patients with EOCRC, estimates for association of signs and symptoms with EOCRC risk, and time from sign or symptom presentation to EOCRC diagnosis. RESULTS Of the 12 859 unique articles initially retrieved, 81 studies with 24 908 126 patients younger than 50 years were included. The most common presenting signs and symptoms, reported by 78 included studies, were hematochezia (pooled prevalence, 45% [95% CI, 40%-50%]), abdominal pain (pooled prevalence, 40% [95% CI, 35%-45%]), and altered bowel habits (pooled prevalence, 27% [95% CI, 22%-33%]). Hematochezia (estimate range, 5.2-54.0), abdominal pain (estimate range, 1.3-6.0), and anemia (estimate range, 2.1-10.8) were associated with higher EOCRC likelihood. Time from signs and symptoms presentation to EOCRC diagnosis was a mean (range) of 6.4 (1.8-13.7) months (23 studies) and a median (range) of 4 (2.0-8.7) months (16 studies). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this systematic review and meta-analysis of patients with EOCRC, nearly half of individuals presented with hematochezia and abdominal pain and one-quarter with altered bowel habits. Hematochezia was associated with at least 5-fold increased EOCRC risk. Delays in diagnosis of 4 to 6 months were common. These findings highlight the need to identify concerning EOCRC signs and symptoms and complete timely diagnostic workup, particularly for individuals without an alternative diagnosis or sign or symptom resolution.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joshua Demb
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla
- Jennifer Moreno Veteran Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, California
| | - Jennifer M. Kolb
- Vatche and Tamar Manoukian Division of Digestive Diseases, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, Los Angeles, California
| | - Jonathan Dounel
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla
| | | | - Shailesh M. Advani
- Department of Internal Medicine, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, New York
| | - Yin Cao
- Division of Public Health Sciences, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri
- Alvin J. Siteman Cancer Center, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri
| | | | - Andrea J. Dwyer
- University of Colorado Cancer Center, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora
| | - Jose Perea
- Molecular Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine, Biomedical Research Institute of Salamanca, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain
- Surgery Department, Vithas Arturo Soria University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
| | - Karen M. Heskett
- UC San Diego Library, University of California San Diego, La Jolla
| | - Andreana N. Holowatyj
- Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee
| | - Christopher H. Lieu
- Division of Medical Oncology, University of Colorado Denver Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora
| | - Siddharth Singh
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla
- Division of Biomedical Informatics, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla
- Jennifer Moreno Veteran Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, California
| | - Manon C. W. Spaander
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Fanny E. R. Vuik
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Samir Gupta
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla
- Jennifer Moreno Veteran Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, California
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Skalitzky MK, Zhou PP, Goffredo P, Guyton K, Sherman SK, Gribovskaja-Rupp I, Hassan I, Kapadia MR, Hrabe JE. Characteristics and symptomatology of colorectal cancer in the young. Surgery 2023; 173:1137-1143. [PMID: 36872174 PMCID: PMC10116569 DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2023.01.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2022] [Revised: 12/22/2022] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 03/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The incidence of colorectal cancer in patients <50 years has rapidly risen recently. Understanding the presenting symptoms may facilitate earlier diagnosis. We aimed to delineate patient characteristics, symptomatology, and tumor characteristics of colorectal cancer in a young population. METHODS A retrospective cohort study was conducted evaluating patients <50 years diagnosed between 2005 and 2019 with primary colorectal cancer at a university teaching hospital. The number and character of colorectal cancer-related symptoms at presentation was the primary outcome measured. Patient and tumor characteristics were also collected. RESULTS Included were 286 patients with a median age of 44 years, with 56% <45 years. Nearly all patients (95%) were symptomatic at presentation, with 85% having 2 or more symptoms. The most common symptoms were pain (63%), followed by change in stool habits (54%), rectal bleeding (53%), and weight loss (32%). Diarrhea was more common than constipation. More than 50% had symptoms for at least 3 months before diagnosis. The number and duration of symptoms were similar in patients older than 45 compared to those younger. Most cancers were left-sided (77%) and advanced stage at presentation (36% stage III, 39% stage IV). CONCLUSION In this cohort of young patients with colorectal cancer, the majority presented with multiple symptoms having a median duration of 3 months. It is essential that providers be mindful of the ever-increasing incidence of colorectal malignancy in young patients, and that those with multiple, durable symptoms should be offered screening for colorectal neoplasms based on symptoms alone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary Kate Skalitzky
- Department of Surgery, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, IA
| | - Peige P Zhou
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Cleveland Clinic Florida, Weston, FL
| | - Paolo Goffredo
- Department of Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
| | - Kristina Guyton
- Department of Surgery, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, IA
| | - Scott K Sherman
- Department of Surgery, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, IA
| | | | - Imran Hassan
- Department of Surgery, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, IA
| | - Muneera R Kapadia
- Department of Surgery, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Jennifer E Hrabe
- Department of Surgery, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, IA.
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Arif KB, Said S, Khiro N, Ibrahem S, Al-Ghamdi S. Demographic and clinico-pathological characteristics of colorectal cancer in Kirkuk governorate, Iraq. Hum Antibodies 2023; 31:89-98. [PMID: 38217589 DOI: 10.3233/hab-230011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/15/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND World-wide Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer with one million new cases a year. Historically, a higher incidence of this disease has been recorded among the elderly in the western countries, but it is increasing in developing countries and in younger age groups. AIM This study aims to find whether CRC cancer is progressively affecting the younger age groups known as early onset (< 50 years). In addition, it describes the pathological characteristics of CRC in early onset CRC cases. METHOD The study is retrospective cross-sectional. It was conducted over a period of five months from October 1st 2019 till 1st March 1st 2020. Data were drawn from patients with CRC from their medical records at Kirkuk Oncology Centre (KOC) and from the IRAQI National CANCER REGISTRY (INCR) over thirteen years period from 2006 to 2018. The basic data we obtained for each patient include sex, age, and stage, grade of the disease at diagnosis and mode of presentation. RESULTS The Initial study population included 654 patients of both genders and all ages. CRC occurred in < 5.5/100,000 population per year which accounted for < 8% of total malignancies (2006-2018). The patients were divided into two groups; an early onset (< 50 years) group and a late onset CRC (⩾ 50 years) group. The final study population provided enough data for 238 patients for the years (2014-2018) with an age range of 20-91 and a mean of 54.4 years. The males were ∼54% while ∼46% were females. The age group under 50 years (early onset CRC) was ∼41% (no 98) while those who are 50 years and older (late onset) stood for 59% (no 140). There were no statistical differences between the two age groups regarding stage, grade, or presenting symptom. CONCLUSION CRC is common in early onsets or young age groups with similar pathological characteristics to those of the late onset cancer. Accordingly, even mild lower gastrointestinal symptoms should be taken seriously. The study points toward an increasing awareness of the population on the importance of colorectal cancer. Also, conducting more surveillance studies and investigations would be recommended for early detections of the disease in young populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khalid Bahram Arif
- Department of Pathology, College of Medicine, Kirkuk University, Kirkuk, Iraq
| | - Summer Said
- Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kirkuk University, Hepatology and Gastrointestinal Centre, Azadi Teaching Hospital, Kirkuk, Iraq
| | - Nawfal Khiro
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, Al-Nahrain University, Baghdad, Iraq
| | - Salih Ibrahem
- Department of Basic Medical Sciences, College of Dentistry, Kirkuk University, Kirkuk, Iraq
| | - Saleh Al-Ghamdi
- Applied Clinical Research Administration, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
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Xu D, Chen R, Jiang Y, Wang S, Liu Z, Chen X, Fan X, Zhu J, Li J. Application of machine learning in the prediction of deficient mismatch repair in patients with colorectal cancer based on routine preoperative characterization. Front Oncol 2022; 12:1049305. [PMID: 36620593 PMCID: PMC9814116 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.1049305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2022] [Accepted: 12/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple summary Detecting deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) in patients with colorectal cancer is essential for clinical decision-making, including evaluation of prognosis, guidance of adjuvant chemotherapy and immunotherapy, and primary screening for Lynch syndrome. However, outside of tertiary care centers, existing detection methods are not widely disseminated and highly depend on the experienced pathologist. Therefore, it is of great clinical significance to develop a broadly accessible and low-cost tool for dMMR prediction, particularly prior to surgery. In this study, we developed a convenient and reliable model for predicting dMMR status in CRC patients on routine preoperative characterization utilizing multiple machine learning algorithms. This model will work as an automated screening tool for identifying patients suitable for mismatch repair testing and consequently for improving the detection rate of dMMR, while reducing unnecessary labor and cost in patients with proficient mismatch repair. Background Deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) indicates a sustained anti-tumor immune response and has a favorable prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Although all CRC patients are recommended to undergo dMMR testing after surgery, current diagnostic approaches are not available for all country hospitals and patients. Therefore, efficient and low-cost predictive models for dMMR, especially for preoperative evaluations, are warranted. Methods A large scale of 5596 CRC patients who underwent surgical resection and mismatch repair testing were enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. The clinical features exploited for predicting dMMR comprised the demographic characteristics, preoperative laboratory data, and tumor burden information. Machine learning (ML) methods involving eight basic algorithms, ensemble learning methods, and fusion algorithms were adopted with 10-fold cross-validation, and their performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curves. The clinical net benefits were assessed using a decision curve analysis (DCA), and a nomogram was developed to facilitate model clinical practicality. Results All models achieved an AUC of nearly 0.80 in the validation cohort, with the stacking model exhibiting the best performance (AUC = 0.832). Logistical DCA revealed that the stacking model yielded more clinical net benefits than the conventional regression models. In the subgroup analysis, the stacking model also predicted dMMR regardless of the clinical stage. The nomogram showed a favorable consistence with the actual outcome in the calibration curve. Conclusion With the aid of ML algorithms, we developed a novel and robust model for predicting dMMR in CRC patients with satisfactory discriminative performance and designed a user-friendly and convenient nomogram.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dong Xu
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Air force Medical University, Xi’an, China,School of Clinical Medicine, Xi’an Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Rujie Chen
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Air force Medical University, Xi’an, China,Department of Neurosurgery, Xijing Hospital, Air Force Medical University, Xi’an, China,State Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Yu Jiang
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Air force Medical University, Xi’an, China,School of Clinical Medicine, Xi’an Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Shuai Wang
- Xi’an Institute of Flight of the Air Force, Ming Gang Station Hospital, Minggang, China
| | - Zhiyu Liu
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Air force Medical University, Xi’an, China,School of Clinical Medicine, Xi’an Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Xihao Chen
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Air force Medical University, Xi’an, China,School of Clinical Medicine, Xi’an Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Xiaoyan Fan
- Department of Experiment Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China
| | - Jun Zhu
- Department of General Surgery, The Southern Theater Air Force Hospital, Guangzhou, China,*Correspondence: Jipeng Li, ; Jun Zhu,
| | - Jipeng Li
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Air force Medical University, Xi’an, China,State Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China,Department of Experiment Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China,*Correspondence: Jipeng Li, ; Jun Zhu,
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Qiu B, Su XH, Qin X, Wang Q. Application of machine learning techniques in real-world research to predict the risk of liver metastasis in rectal cancer. Front Oncol 2022; 12:1065468. [PMID: 36605425 PMCID: PMC9807609 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.1065468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2022] [Accepted: 12/05/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The liver is the most common site of distant metastasis in rectal cancer, and liver metastasis dramatically affects the treatment strategy of patients. This study aimed to develop and validate a clinical prediction model based on machine learning algorithms to predict the risk of liver metastasis in patients with rectal cancer. Methods We integrated two rectal cancer cohorts from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and Chinese multicenter hospitals from 2010-2017. We also built and validated liver metastasis prediction models for rectal cancer using six machine learning algorithms, including random forest (RF), light gradient boosting (LGBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), multilayer perceptron (MLP), logistic regression (LR), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN). The models were evaluated by combining several metrics, such as the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy score, sensitivity, specificity and F1 score. Finally, we created a network calculator using the best model. Results The study cohort consisted of 19,958 patients from the SEER database and 924 patients from two hospitals in China. The AUC values of the six prediction models ranged from 0.70 to 0.95. The XGB model showed the best predictive power, with the following metrics assessed in the internal test set: AUC (0.918), accuracy (0.884), sensitivity (0.721), and specificity (0.787). The XGB model was assessed in the outer test set with the following metrics: AUC (0.926), accuracy (0.919), sensitivity (0.740), and specificity (0.765). The XGB algorithm also shows a good fit on the calibration decision curves for both the internal test set and the external validation set. Finally, we constructed an online web calculator using the XGB model to help generalize the model and to assist physicians in their decision-making better. Conclusion We successfully developed an XGB-based machine learning model to predict liver metastasis from rectal cancer, which was also validated with a real-world dataset. Finally, we developed a web-based predictor to guide clinical diagnosis and treatment strategies better.
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Affiliation(s)
- Binxu Qiu
- Department of Gastric and Colorectal Surgery, General Surgery Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Xiao hu Su
- Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Xinxin Qin
- Department of Gastric and Colorectal Surgery, General Surgery Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Quan Wang
- Department of Gastric and Colorectal Surgery, General Surgery Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
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Han T, Zhu J, Chen X, Chen R, Jiang Y, Wang S, Xu D, Shen G, Zheng J, Xu C. Application of artificial intelligence in a real-world research for predicting the risk of liver metastasis in T1 colorectal cancer. Cancer Cell Int 2022; 22:28. [PMID: 35033083 PMCID: PMC8761313 DOI: 10.1186/s12935-021-02424-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2021] [Accepted: 12/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Liver is the most common metastatic site of colorectal cancer (CRC) and liver metastasis (LM) determines subsequent treatment as well as prognosis of patients, especially in T1 patients. T1 CRC patients with LM are recommended to adopt surgery and systematic treatments rather than endoscopic therapy alone. Nevertheless, there is still no effective model to predict the risk of LM in T1 CRC patients. Hence, we aim to construct an accurate predictive model and an easy-to-use tool clinically. Methods We integrated two independent CRC cohorts from Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database (SEER, training dataset) and Xijing hospital (testing dataset). Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) methods were adopted to establish the predictive model. Results A total of 16,785 and 326 T1 CRC patients from SEER database and Xijing hospital were incorporated respectively into the study. Every single ML model demonstrated great predictive capability, with an area under the curve (AUC) close to 0.95 and a stacking bagging model displaying the best performance (AUC = 0.9631). Expectedly, the stacking model exhibited a favorable discriminative ability and precisely screened out all eight LM cases from 326 T1 patients in the outer validation cohort. In the subgroup analysis, the stacking model also demonstrated a splendid predictive ability for patients with tumor size ranging from one to50mm (AUC = 0.956). Conclusion We successfully established an innovative and convenient AI model for predicting LM in T1 CRC patients, which was further verified in the external dataset. Ultimately, we designed a novel and easy-to-use decision tree, which only incorporated four fundamental parameters and could be successfully applied in clinical practice. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12935-021-02424-7.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tenghui Han
- Xijing Hospital, Airforce Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Jun Zhu
- State Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, Airforce Medical University, Xi'an, China.,Department of General Surgery, The Southern Theater Air Force Hospital, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xiaoping Chen
- Department of General Surgery, The Southern Theater Air Force Hospital, Guangzhou, China
| | - Rujie Chen
- State Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, Airforce Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yu Jiang
- State Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, Airforce Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Shuai Wang
- Ming Gang Station Hospital, Xi'an Institute of Flight of the Air Force, Minggang, China
| | - Dong Xu
- School of Clinical Medicine, Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Gang Shen
- Ming Gang Station Hospital, Xi'an Institute of Flight of the Air Force, Minggang, China
| | - Jianyong Zheng
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Airforce Medical University, Xi'an, China.
| | - Chunsheng Xu
- Division of Digestive Surgery, Xijing Hospital of Digestive Diseases, Airforce Medical University, Xi'an, China.
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Mueller M, Schneider MA, Deplazes B, Cabalzar-Wondberg D, Rickenbacher A, Turina M. Colorectal cancer of the young displays distinct features of aggressive tumor biology: A single-center cohort study. World J Gastrointest Surg 2021; 13:164-175. [PMID: 33643536 PMCID: PMC7898186 DOI: 10.4240/wjgs.v13.i2.164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2020] [Revised: 01/02/2021] [Accepted: 01/21/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In recent years, a decrease in incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been observed in developed nations, presumably through public disease awareness and increased screening efforts. However, a rising incidence of CRC in young patients below the age of 50 years has been reported in several studies.
AIM To study tumor biology in CRC patients below 50 years of age.
METHODS All patients with CRC were prospectively enrolled in our single-center oncologic database from January 2013 to December 2018 and were grouped and analyzed according to age (≥ 50 and < 50 years). Clinical as well as histopathological features were analyzed and compared. The study was approved by the local Ethics Committee. Fisher’s exact test or t-test was used to test for differences between the groups, as appropriate. All statistical analysis was performed with IBM SPSS software Version 25 (SPSS Inc, Armonk, NY, United States) and with R-Studio using R Version 3.4.1 (RStudio, Boston, MA, United States).
RESULTS Seventeen percent of the 411 patients were younger than 50 years. Young patients were more often diagnosed with locally advanced T4-tumors and lymph node metastases (36.6% and 62% vs 17.7% and 42%; P < 0.01). In addition, a higher frequency of poorly differentiated (G3) tumors (40% vs 22.4% P < 0.05) was observed. More than every second patient below 40 years of age (51.8%) had distant metastases at diagnosis with a significant higher rate ring of signet cell differentiation compared to patients ≥ 50 years (14.8%, P < 0.05). Mutational status (KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, MSI) as well as selected behavioral risk factors showed no significant differences.
CONCLUSION Distinct histopathologic features of increased biologic aggressiveness are found in patients with CRC of young-onset. Those patients present more frequently with more advanced tumor stages compared to older patients. Features of aggressive tumor biology underscore the need for earlier uptake of routine screening measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matteo Mueller
- Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich 8091, Switzerland
| | - Marcel André Schneider
- Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich 8091, Switzerland
| | - Barla Deplazes
- Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich 8091, Switzerland
| | | | - Andreas Rickenbacher
- Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich 8091, Switzerland
| | - Matthias Turina
- Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich 8091, Switzerland
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Rajagopalan A, Antoniou E, Morkos M, Rajagopalan E, Arachchi A, Chouhan H, Nguyen TC, Teoh W. Is colorectal cancer associated with altered bowel habits in young patients? ANZ J Surg 2020; 91:943-946. [PMID: 33369851 DOI: 10.1111/ans.16532] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2020] [Revised: 12/04/2020] [Accepted: 12/06/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is a rising incidence in young-onset colorectal cancer, with these patients falling outside of routine screening programmes. The aim of the study is to characterize the nature of altered bowel habits in young patients who are diagnosed with colorectal cancer. METHODS A retrospective audit was conducted of adult patients younger than 45 years admitted under a Colorectal Surgery unit (Dandenong Hospital, Victoria) from 2011 to 2019 for the resection of colorectal cancer. We compared the patients' self-characterization of their bowel habits (from the medical record) with clinical and pathological data. RESULTS A total of 75 patients were identified, aged between 18 and 45 years, who had surgical resection of colonic or rectal adenocarcinoma between 2011 and 2019. Forty-two (56%) presented with altered bowel habit (irregular bowel habit n = 13, 17%; constipation n = 13, 17%; diarrhoea n = 23, 31%). Constipation approached significance in association with left-sided colonic cancer. Fatigue approached significance in association with right-sided colonic cancers, which were less likely to present with bleeding or constipation, and approached significance in being less likely to present with diarrhoea. Rectal cancers were more likely to present with bleeding. CONCLUSION Constipation was associated with left-sided colonic cancers, while right-sided colonic cancers were less likely to present with either constipation or diarrhoea. Our findings reinforce the need for clinicians to consider colorectal cancer as a differential diagnosis in young patients with altered bowel habits, or in patients with fatigue in the absence of specific bowel symptoms. Further prospective research is needed to further define bowel habits in this cohort.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ashray Rajagopalan
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Ellathios Antoniou
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Marina Morkos
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Ellen Rajagopalan
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Asiri Arachchi
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Hanumant Chouhan
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Thang Chien Nguyen
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - William Teoh
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.,Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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10
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Anele CC, Askari A, Navaratne L, Patel K, Jenkin JT, Faiz OD, Latchford A. The association of age with the clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis of colorectal cancer: a UK single-centre retrospective study. Colorectal Dis 2020; 22:289-297. [PMID: 31593358 DOI: 10.1111/codi.14871] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2019] [Accepted: 09/18/2019] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Colorectal cancer (CRC) is uncommon in patients under the age of 40 years and its association with poor histological features and survival is uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate age-related differences in clinicopathological features and prognosis in patients diagnosed with CRC. METHOD A single-centre retrospective review of all patients diagnosed with CRC between 2004 and 2013 was performed. Patients were stratified into three age groups: (1) 18-40 years, (2) 41-60 years and (3)> 60 years. Clinicopathological characteristics and outcomes were compared between the three groups. RESULTS A total of 1328 patients were included, of whom 57.2% were men. There were 28 (2.1%) patients in group 1, 287 (21.6%) in group 2 and 1013 (76.3%) in group 3. Group 1 had the highest proportion of rectal tumours (57.1% in group 1, 50.2% in group 2 and 31.9% in group 3; P < 0.001). Tumour histology and disease stage were comparable between the groups. Group 1 had significantly worse disease-free survival (DFS) than the two older groups (44%, 78% and 77%, respectively; P = 0.022). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age was not an independent prognostic factor whereas Stage III disease [hazard ratio (HR) 4.42; 95% CI 2.81-6.94; P < 0.001] and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.06-2.58; P = 0.026) were associated with increased risk of recurrence. CONCLUSION Patients under the age of 40 are more likely to present with rectal cancer and have comparable histological features than the older groups. Despite higher rates of adjuvant and neoadjuvant treatment, the young group were found to have worse DFS.
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Affiliation(s)
- C C Anele
- Surgical Epidemiology, Trials and Outcome Centre (SETOC), St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK.,Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - A Askari
- Surgical Epidemiology, Trials and Outcome Centre (SETOC), St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK.,Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - L Navaratne
- London North West University Hospital NHS Trust, Harrow, Middlesex, UK
| | - K Patel
- Surgical Epidemiology, Trials and Outcome Centre (SETOC), St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK.,Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - J T Jenkin
- Surgical Epidemiology, Trials and Outcome Centre (SETOC), St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK.,Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.,Department of Gastroenterology, St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK
| | - O D Faiz
- Surgical Epidemiology, Trials and Outcome Centre (SETOC), St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK.,Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - A Latchford
- London North West University Hospital NHS Trust, Harrow, Middlesex, UK.,Department of Gastroenterology, St Mark's Hospital and Academic Institute, Harrow, Middlesex, UK
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11
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Yu Y, Carey M, Pollett W, Green J, Dicks E, Parfrey P, Yilmaz YE, Savas S. The long-term survival characteristics of a cohort of colorectal cancer patients and baseline variables associated with survival outcomes with or without time-varying effects. BMC Med 2019; 17:150. [PMID: 31352904 PMCID: PMC6661748 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-019-1379-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2019] [Accepted: 06/27/2019] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer in the world. In this study, we assessed the long-term survival characteristics and prognostic associations and potential time-varying effects of clinico-demographic variables and two molecular markers (microsatellite instability (MSI) and BRAF Val600Glu mutation) in a population-based patient cohort followed up to ~ 19 years. METHODS The patient cohort included 738 incident cases diagnosed between 1999 and 2003. Cox models were used to analyze the association between the variables and a set of survival outcome measures (overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), recurrence/metastasis-free survival (RMFS), and event-free survival (EFS)). Cox proportional hazard (PH) assumption was tested for all variables, and Cox models with time-varying effects were used if any departure from the PH assumption was detected. RESULTS During the follow-up, ~ 61% patients died from any cause, ~ 26% died from colorectal cancer, and ~ 10% and ~ 20% experienced recurrences and distant metastases, respectively. Stage IV disease and post-diagnostic recurrence or metastasis were strongly linked to risk of death from colorectal cancer. If a patient had survived the first 6 years without any disease-related event (i.e., recurrence, metastasis, or death from colorectal cancer), their risks became very minimal after this time period. Distinct sets of markers were associated with different outcome measures. In some cases, the effects by variables were constant throughout the follow-up. For example, MSI-high tumor phenotype and older age at diagnosis predicted longer MFS times consistently over the follow-up. However, in some other cases, the effects of the variables varied with time. For example, adjuvant radiotherapy treatment was associated with increased risk of metastasis in patients who received this treatment after 5.5 years post-diagnosis, but not before that. CONCLUSIONS This study describes the long-term survival characteristics of a prospective cohort of colorectal cancer patients, relationships between baseline variables and a detailed set of patient outcomes over a long time, and time-varying effects of a group of variables. The results presented advance our understanding of the long-term prognostic characteristics in colorectal cancer and are expected to inspire future studies and clinical care strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yajun Yu
- Discipline of Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, 300 Prince Philip Drive, New Medical Education Building, St. John's, NL, A1B 3V6, Canada
| | - Megan Carey
- Discipline of Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, 300 Prince Philip Drive, New Medical Education Building, St. John's, NL, A1B 3V6, Canada
| | - William Pollett
- Discipline of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, St. John's, NL, Canada
| | - Jane Green
- Discipline of Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, 300 Prince Philip Drive, New Medical Education Building, St. John's, NL, A1B 3V6, Canada
| | - Elizabeth Dicks
- Discipline of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, St. John's, NL, Canada
| | - Patrick Parfrey
- Discipline of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, St. John's, NL, Canada
| | - Yildiz E Yilmaz
- Discipline of Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, 300 Prince Philip Drive, New Medical Education Building, St. John's, NL, A1B 3V6, Canada.,Discipline of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, St. John's, NL, Canada.,Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Memorial University, St. John's, NL, Canada
| | - Sevtap Savas
- Discipline of Genetics, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, 300 Prince Philip Drive, New Medical Education Building, St. John's, NL, A1B 3V6, Canada. .,Discipline of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University, St. John's, NL, Canada.
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12
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Law JH, Koh FHX, Wang S, Tan KK. Curative treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer in the young population: is it worth it? J Gastrointest Oncol 2019; 10:61-67. [PMID: 30788160 PMCID: PMC6351292 DOI: 10.21037/jgo.2018.09.11] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2018] [Accepted: 09/14/2018] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A significant proportion of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) presents with metastatic disease. In younger patients, a more aggressive approach is often adopted in an attempt to achieve cure and improve survival. The aim of this paper is to review the management and outcomes of young patients with metastatic CRC. METHODS All patients under 50 years diagnosed with CRC in a single institution from January 2007 to December 2015 were reviewed. Patient demographics, details of their treatments, progress and outcomes of treatment were collected for our review. RESULTS There were 154 newly diagnosed CRC patients who were <50 years old during the study period. Thirty-three patients (21.4%) had stage IV disease on presentation. Seventeen (51.5%) of these 33 patients were treated with curative intent; 9 (52.9%) of whom underwent upfront surgical resection alone while the remaining 8 (47.1%) patients had neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgical resection. Among the 16 patients who were treated with palliative intent, 9 (56.3%) had surgery while 7 (43.7%) had definitive chemo- or radio-therapy. There was no significant difference in the median survival of patients treated with curative and palliative intent (29 vs. 24 months, P=0.140). CONCLUSIONS Young CRC patients with stage IV disease typically survive for 2 years upon diagnosis. Those who were treated and underwent surgery with curative intent have a slightly longer but not statistically significant median survival than those treated with palliative intent. The role of aggressive treatment in these young patients with metastatic patients merits further evaluation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jia Hao Law
- Division of Colorectal Surgery, Department of General Surgery, University Surgical Cluster, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Frederick Hong Xiang Koh
- Division of Colorectal Surgery, Department of General Surgery, University Surgical Cluster, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Shi Wang
- Department of Pathology, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Ker Kan Tan
- Division of Colorectal Surgery, Department of General Surgery, University Surgical Cluster, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
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