Incidence and prognosis of pulmonary metastasis in colorectal cancer: a population-based study

A prediction model for lung metastases in patients with indeterminate pulmonary nodules in newly diagnosed colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Multidisciplinary teams treating patients with newly diagnosed Colorectal Cancer (CRC) often encounter the appearance of Indeterminate Pulmonary Nodules (IPNs) that warrants follow-up with repetitive medical imaging and anxiety for patients. We determined the incidence of IPNs in patients with newly diagnosed CRC and developed and validated a model for individualized risk prediction of IPNs being lung metastases.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Newly diagnosed CRC who underwent surgery between November 2011 to June 2014 were included to create the risk model, developed using both clinical experience and statistical selection. Discrimination and calibration slopes of the risk score were evaluated in an independent temporal validation sample. A nomogram is presented to assist clinicians in estimating an individual risk score.

RESULTS

Out of 2111 CRC patients staged with chest CT, 204 (9.6%) had IPNs and 54/204 (26%) had lung metastases. We identified 4 predictors: "location of primary tumour", "pathological nodal stage", "size of the largest nodule" and "extrapulmonary synchronous metastases at diagnosis". Discrimination of the final model in the validation sample was demonstrated by the difference in mean predicted risk between progressed cases en non-progressed cases (49% versus 21%, p = <0.001).

CONCLUSION

A prediction model with 4 clinical risk factors can be used to assist multidisciplinary teams in the prediction of individualized risk of lung metastases and imaging strategy in patients with IPNs and newly diagnosed colorectal cancer. The model performed well in new patients not included in the model development.

Pulmonary Metastasis as the First Site of Metastasis After Curative Surgery for Colon Cancer: Incidence and Risk Factors According to the TNM Stage

BACKGROUND

The lungs are one of the most common sites for colon cancer metastasis. A few studies reported that approximately 2% to 10% of patients with colon cancer developed pulmonary metastasis. However, among these studies, patient characteristics were heterogeneous, and information on pulmonary metastasis incidence by the TNM stage was scarce.

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the incidence of pulmonary metastasis in colon cancer without synchronous metastasis treated with radical surgery and identified risk factors for pulmonary metastasis according to the TNM stage.

DESIGN AND SETTINGS

This retrospective study included all patients with colon cancer without metastasis who underwent radical surgery for primary tumor at Samsung Medical Center between January 2007 and December 2016.

PATIENTS

A total of 4889 patients who underwent radical surgery for stage I and III colon cancer were included.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The main outcome measures were the incidence of pulmonary metastasis and overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 156 patients (3.2%) were diagnosed with pulmonary metastasis after a median of 16 months from the time of radical surgery for colon cancer to detection of pulmonary metastasis. The pulmonary metastasis incidence rate by the TNM stage was 0.5% in stage I, 1.6% in stage II, and 6% in stage III. Risk factors for pulmonary metastasis were preoperative CEA >5 ng/mL, cancer obstruction, N stage, vascular invasion, perineural invasion, and adjuvant chemotherapy for primary colon cancer in multivariable analysis.

LIMITATION

This was a retrospective single-center study.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative CEA >5 ng/mL, cancer obstruction, pN stage, vascular invasion, perineural invasion, and receiving adjuvant chemotherapy for primary colon cancer were risk factors for pulmonary metastasis in colon cancer. Therefore, patients with risk factors for pulmonary metastasis should be recommended for intensive follow-up to detect lung metastases. See Video Abstract .

METSTASIS PULMONAR EN EL PRIMER SITIO TRAS CIRUGA CURATIVA DEL CNCER DE COLON INCIDENCIA Y FACTORES DE RIESGO SEGN ESTADIO TNM

ANTECEDENTES:Los pulmones son uno de los sitios más comunes de metástasis del cáncer de colon. Algunos estudios informaron que aproximadamente entre el 2% y el 10% de los pacientes con cáncer de colon desarrollaron metástasis pulmonar. Sin embargo, entre estos estudios, las características de los pacientes fueron heterogéneas y la información sobre la incidencia de metástasis pulmonares según el estadio TNM fue escasa.OBJETIVO:Este estudio evaluó la incidencia de metástasis pulmonar en cáncer de colon sin metástasis sincrónica tratada con cirugía radical e identificó factores de riesgo para metástasis pulmonar según el estadio TNM.DISEÑO Y AJUSTES:Este estudio retrospectivo incluyó a todos los pacientes con cáncer de colon sin metástasis que se sometieron a cirugía radical por tumor primario en el Samsung Medical Center entre enero de 2007 y diciembre de 2016.PACIENTES:Se incluyó un total de 4.889 pacientes sometidos a cirugía radical por cáncer de colon en estadio I-III.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Las principales medidas de resultado fueron la incidencia de metástasis pulmonar y la supervivencia general.RESULTADOS:Un total de 156 pacientes (3,2%) fueron diagnosticados con metástasis pulmonar con una duración media de 16 meses desde el momento de la cirugía radical por cáncer de colon hasta la detección de la metástasis pulmonar. La tasa de incidencia de metástasis pulmonares por estadio TNM fue del 0,5% en el estadio I, del 1,6% en el estadio II y del 6% en el estadio III. Los factores de riesgo de metástasis pulmonar fueron CEA preoperatorio superior a 5 ng/ml, obstrucción por cáncer, estadio N, invasión vascular, invasión perineural y quimioterapia adyuvante para el cáncer de colon primario en un análisis multivariable.LIMITACIÓN:Este fue un estudio retrospectivo de un solo centro.CONCLUSIÓN:CEA preoperatorio superior a 5 ng/ml, obstrucción por cáncer, estadio pN, invasión vascular, invasión perineural y recibir quimioterapia adyuvante para el cáncer de colon primario fueron factores de riesgo de metástasis pulmonar en el cáncer de colon. Por lo tanto, se debe recomendar un seguimiento intensivo a los pacientes con factores de riesgo de metástasis pulmonares para detectar metástasis pulmonares. (Traducción-Dr Yolanda Colorado ).

Primary tumor resection improves prognosis of unresectable carcinomas of the transverse colon including flexures with pulmonary metastasis: a cohort study

PURPOSE

Studies of unresectable colorectal cancer pulmonary metastasis (CRPM) have rarely analyzed patient prognosis from the perspective of colonic subsites. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of primary tumor resection (PTR) on the prognosis of patients with unresectable pulmonary metastases of transverse colon cancer pulmonary metastasis (UTCPM), hepatic flexure cancer pulmonary metastasis (UHFPM), and splenic flexure cancer pulmonary metastasis (USFPM).

METHODS

Patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2000 and 2018. The Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) and cause-specific survival (CSS). The Kaplan-Meier analyses and log-rank tests were conducted to assess the effectiveness of PTR on survival.

RESULTS

This study included 1294 patients: 419 with UHFPM, 636 with UTCPM, and 239 with USFPM. Survival analysis for OS and CSS in the PTR groups, showed that there were no statistical differences in the the UHFPM, UTCPM, and USFPM patients. There were statistical differences in the UHFPM, UTCPM, and USFPM patients for OS and CSS. Three non-PTR subgroups showed significant statistical differences for OS and CSS.

CONCLUSION

We confirmed the different survival rates of patients with UTCPM, UHFPM, and USFPM and proved for the first time that PTR could provide survival benefits for patients with unresectable CRPM from the perspective of the colonic subsites of the transverse colon, hepatic flexure, and splenic flexure.

A predictive model for early death in elderly colorectal cancer patients: a population-based study

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to determine what variables contribute to the early death of elderly colorectal cancer patients (ECRC) and to generate predictive nomograms for this population.

Methods

This retrospective cohort analysis included elderly individuals (≥75 years old) diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) from 2010-2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result databases (SEER) databases. The external validation was conducted using a sample of the Chinese population obtained from the China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University. Logistic regression analyses were used to ascertain variables associated with early death and to develop nomograms. The nomograms were internally and externally validated with the help of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The SEER cohort consisted of 28,111 individuals, while the Chinese cohort contained 315 cases. Logistic regression analyses shown that race, marital status, tumor size, Grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, bone metastasis, surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were independent prognostic factors for all-cause and cancer-specific early death in ECRC patients; The variable of sex was only related to an increased risk of all-cause early death, whereas the factor of insurance status was solely associated with an increased risk of cancer-specific early death. Subsequently, two nomograms were devised to estimate the likelihood of all-cause and cancer-specific early death among individuals with ECRC. The nomograms exhibited robust predictive accuracy for predicting early death of ECRC patients, as evidenced by both internal and external validation.

Conclusion

We developed two easy-to-use nomograms to predicting the likelihood of early death in ECRC patients, which would contribute significantly to the improvement of clinical decision-making and the formulation of personalized treatment approaches for this particular population.

Prognostic impact of colorectal cancer patients with bone metastases: a single-center experience

The incidence of bone metastasis (BM) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients is low and the prognosis is poor. There is no clear conclusion on the risk factors affecting the survival of CRC patients with BM. The aim of this study was to investigate the factors that may affect the prognosis of CRC patients with BM. The clinical and pathological data of CRC patients with BM were retrospectively analyzed. The overall survival after BM diagnosis was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test, and a multivariable cox regression model was used to identify the prognostic factors of overall survival. This study included 178 CRC patients with BM, of whom 151 had left-sided CRC and 27 had right-sided colon cancer. 1124 CRC patients with BM from the SEER database were included to perform a sensitivity analysis of the primary outcome. Multivariate analysis showed that the N staging, site of BM, and primary tumor sidedness (PTS) were independent prognostic factors for CRC with BM. Among them, right-sided colon cancer patients with BM had a poorer prognosis. Sensitivity analyses showed that PTS was an independent prognostic factor in CRC patients with BM. Primary tumor sidedness and N stage may be potential prognostic markers for BM of CRC. The prognosis of N0 stage CRC with BM is better, while the prognosis of right-sided colon cancer is poor.

Prognostic value of extrahepatic metastasis on colon cancer with liver metastasis: a retrospective cohort study

Introduction

The occurrence of metastasis is a threat to patients with colon cancer (CC), and the liver is the most common metastasis organ. However, the role of the extrahepatic organs in patients with liver metastasis (LM) has not been distinctly demonstrated. Therefore, this research aimed to explore the prognostic value of extrahepatic metastases (EHMs).

Methods

In this retrospective study, a total of 13,662 colon patients with LM between 2010 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER). Fine and Gray's analysis and K-M survival analysis were utilized to explore the impacts of the number of sites of EHMs and different sites of EHMs on prognosis. Finally, a prognostic nomogram model based on the number of sites of EHMs was constructed, and a string of validation methods was conducted, including concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Patients without EHMs had better prognoses in cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) than patients with EHMs (p < 0.001). Varied EHM sites of patients had different characteristics of primary location site, grade, and histology. Cumulative incidence rates for CSS surpassed that for other causes in patients with 0, 1, 2, ≥ 3 EHMs, and the patients with more numbers of sites of EHMs revealed worse prognosis in CSS (p < 0.001). However, patients with different EHM sites had a minor difference in cumulative incidence rates for CSS (p = 0.106). Finally, a nomogram was constructed to predict the survival probability of patients with EHMs, which is based on the number of sites of EHMs and has been proven an excellent predictive ability.

Conclusion

The number of sites of EHMs was a significant prognostic factor of CC patients with LM. However, the sites of EHMs showed limited impact on survival. Furthermore, a nomogram based on the number of sites of EHMs was constructed to predict the OS of patients with EHMs accurately.

Survival rate of colorectal cancer in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

This study aims to comprehensively summarize the colorectal survival rate in China. Method: In PubMed and Web of Science, keywords such as "colorectal cancer", "survival" and "China" were used to search literatures in the past 10 years. Random effect models were selected to summarize 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates, and meta-regression and subgroup analyses were performed on the included studies.

Results

A total of 16 retrospective and prospective studies providing survival rates for colorectal cancer in China were included. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates of colorectal cancer in China were 0.79, 0.72 and 0.62, respectively. In the included studies, the 5-year survival rates of stage I (5474 cases), stage II (9215 cases), stage III (8048 cases), and stage IV (4199 cases) colorectal cancer patients were 0.85, 0.81, 0.57 and 0.30, respectively. Among them, the 5-year survival rates of colorectal cancer were 0.82, 0.76, 0.71, 0.67, 0.66, 0.65 and 0.63 in Tianjin, Beijing, Guangdong, Shandong, Liaoning, Zhejiang and Shanghai, respectively.

Conclusion

The 5-year survival rate in China is close to that of most European countries, but still lower than Japan and South Korea, and the gap is gradually narrowing. Region, stage, differentiation, pathological type, and surgical approach can affect 5-year survival in colorectal cancer.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ identifier, CRD42022357789.

A natural halogenated fluoride adenosine analog 5'-fluorodeoxy adenosine induced anticolon cancer activity in vivo and in vitro

Adenosine (ADO) and its analogs have been introduced into the anticancer clinical trials, especial for the ADO derivatives with fluoride. The biosynthesis of fluorinase produces a fluorine-containing ADO analog 5'-fluorodeoxy adenosine (5'-FDA). The toxicity and application of 5'-FDA has not been evaluated, which limits the application of ADO analogs. In order to study its potential mechanism, we carried out the following experiments. In our research, 5'-FDA displayed good antitumor activity in colon cancer cells and two colon cancer models. As a result, 5'-FDA concentration-dependently inhibited the proliferation, migration, and invasion in colon cancer cells through its proapoptosis and cell cycle arrest pathway. Furthermore, 5'-FDA inhibited the growth of colon cancer and its pulmonary metastasis in CT26 inbred mice without affecting their body weight. It was found that 5'-FDA remarkably increased the protein levels of Caspase 3 and cleaved-Caspase 9 and decreased Cyclin A2 and CDK2 via the regulation of p53 signaling pathway, and increased the protein levels of Caspase 8 and cleaved-Caspase 8 which participated in apoptosis pathway. All in all, 5'-FDA displayed excellent therapeutic effects on colon cancer and its pulmonary metastasis. We believed that our study provided a theoretical basis for further preclinical research of 5'-FDA in the treatment of cancer.

Nomogram predicting the cancer-specific survival of early-onset colorectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastasis: a population-based study

PURPOSE

This research aimed to explore prognostic factors for early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) patients with liver metastasis (LM) and develop nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) probability quantitatively.

METHODS

Our study included 4368 EO-CRC patients with LM registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017. Potential prognostic factors for EO-CRC patients with LM were identified by multivariable Cox regression analysis. Prognostic nomogram was subsequently constructed based on these prognostic factors. The discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

In the training cohort, marital status, primary tumor location, histopathological grade, T stage, number of metastatic organs, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), perineural invasion (PI), surgery of primary site, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, and metastatic lymph nodes ratio (LNR) were prognostic factors for cancer-specific mortality of EO-CRC patients with LM. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year AUC values of the prognostic nomogram were 0.777, 0.781, and 0.788, respectively. Calibration curves indicated acceptable agreement between nomogram-predicted survival and actual observed survival at 1, 2, and 3 years. DCA curves exhibited good positive net benefits in the prognostic model in most threshold probabilities at different time points. All of these results were reproducible in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified prognostic factors for EO-CRC patients with LM and developed a prognostic nomogram with good performance and clinical usability, which may help clinicians make better treatment decisions.

Heterogeneity of Synchronous Lung Metastasis Calls for Risk Stratification and Prognostic Classification: Evidence from a Population-Based Database

The epidemiology and associated potential heterogeneity of synchronous lung metastasis (sLM) have not been reported at a population-based level. Cancer patients with valid information about sLM status in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were enrolled. The prevalence of sLM, with a 95% confidential interval, and median survival of sLM, with interquartile range, were calculated and compared by Chi-square analyses and log-rank tests by primary cancer type and clinicopathological factors. Furthermore, the risk factors of sLM development were identified by multivariate logistic regression. Among 1,672,265 enrolled cases, 3.3% cases were identified with sLM, with a median survival of 7 months. Heterogeneity in prevalence and prognosis in sLM was observed among different primary cancers, with the highest prevalence in main bronchus cancer and best survival in testis cancer. Higher prevalence and poorer prognosis were observed in the older population, male population, African American, patients with lower socioeconomic status, and cases with advanced T stage, N stage, or more malignant pathological characteristics. Race, age, T stage, N stage, metastasis to other sites, insurance status and marital status were associated with sLM development (p < 0.001). The current study highlights the heterogeneity of the prevalence and prognosis in patients with sLM.

Risk and prognostic nomograms for colorectal neuroendocrine neoplasm with liver metastasis: a population-based study

PURPOSE

Liver metastasis (LM) significantly shortens the survival time of colorectal neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) patients. This research aimed to explore risk and prognostic factors in colorectal NENs patients with LM and develop nomograms for predicting the risk of LM and survival probability quantitatively.

METHODS

A total of 9926 colorectal NENs patients registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017 were included. Risk factors for LM in colorectal NENs patients were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Potential prognostic factors for colorectal NENs patients with LM were identified by multivariable Cox regression analysis. Nomograms were constructed for quantifying the probability of LM occurrence and survival.

RESULTS

At diagnosis, 8.7% of colorectal NENs patients suffered LM, with 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates of 44.3%, 26.5%, and 18.0%, respectively. Factors associated with LM occurrence included gender, age at diagnosis, primary tumor location, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), histological differentiation, T stage, and N stage. Age at diagnosis, race, histological differentiation, N stage, tumor size, primary tumor location, primary site surgery, and extraliver metastasis were prognostic factors of cancer-specific mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of the nomogram for predicting LM was 0.888 (95% CI: 0.877-0.898), and the C-index of the nomogram for estimating CSS probability was 0.705 (95% CI: 0.682-0.729).

CONCLUSIONS

This research identified the risk and prognostic factors in colorectal NENs patients with LM. The nomograms constructed by this study can be convenient tools for facilitating clinical decision-making.

Influence of KDR Genetic Variation on the Efficacy and Safety of Patients with Chemotherapy Refractory Metastatic CRC Who Received Apatinib Treatment

Background

The aim of the present study was to investigate the influence of kinase insert domain containing receptor (KDR) genetic variation on the efficacy of treatment and safety of patients with chemotherapy-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) receiving apatinib.

Methods

A total of 108 patients with chemotherapy refractory metastatic CRC who were treated with apatinib participated in this study retrospectively. Efficacy of the patients' treatment was evaluated. Prognosis was carried out and safety profile was documented, respectively. Blood specimens and peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) of the patients were obtained for the analysis of genetic variation and KDR gene mRNA expression, respectively. The association between genotype status and clinical outcomes was presented.

Results

Objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) of the 108 patients with metastatic CRC receiving apatinib treatment were 5.6% and 69.4%, respectively. Survival analysis results exhibited that the median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of the 108 patients with metastatic CRC was 3.6 months (95% confidence interval (CI): 3.03-4.17 months) and 8.9 months (95% CI: 7.57-10.23 months), respectively. Subsequently, the analysis of KDR genetic variation indicated that rs2071559 was of clinical significance. The minor allele frequency of rs2071559 was 0.22 and the genotype status corresponded with Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (P=0.949). Prognosis analysis in a dominant inheritance manner through the combination of patients with TC and CC genotype showed that the median PFS of patients with TT genotype and TC/CC genotype was 4.1 and 3.0 months, respectively (P=0.012). Furthermore, the median OS of patients with the two genotypes was 10.5 and 6.1 months, respectively (P=0.007). Additionally, multivariate Cox regression analysis of OS showed that TC/CC genotype was an independent factor for OS (Hazard ratio (HR)=0.65, P=0.021). Interestingly, mRNA expression analysis suggested that the mRNA expression of KDR in PBMC differed significantly according to rs2071559 genotype status (P<0.001).

Conclusion

Apatinib demonstrated a potentially superior clinical outcome for patients with chemotherapy-refractory metastatic CRC. KDR polymorphism rs2071559 could be used as a potential biomarker for the prognosis evaluation of patients with CRC receiving apatinib therapy.

Clinical significance of RBM3 expression in surgically treated colorectal lung metastases and paired primary tumors

BACKGROUND

The lungs are the second most common site of metastases in colorectal cancer (CRC). The aim of this study was to investigate prognostic factors, including RNA-binding motif protein 3 (RBM3) expression, in patients with CRC treated with pulmonary metastasectomy (PM).

METHODS

The cohort included all patients treated with PM at Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden, from 2000 to 2014. Clinicopathological, treatment, and survival data were collected. Immunohistochemical staining of RBM3 was evaluated on tissue microarrays with samples from all lung metastases and a subset of paired primary tumors. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards modeling were applied to examine the associations of investigative factors with overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

In total, 216 patients with a primary tumor in the rectum (57%), left colon (34%), or right colon (9%) underwent PM. The 5-year OS rate was 56%. Age > 60 years, more than one metastasis, size of metastasis > 3 cm, disease-free interval < 24 months, low RBM3 score in the lung metastasis, and no adjuvant chemotherapy following PM were prognostic factors for shorter OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Several prognostic factors, including RBM3 expression, may be of aid in selecting CRC patients with lung metastases for PM as well as adjuvant therapy.