Defining early recurrence in patients with resected primary colorectal carcinoma and its respective risk factors

Definition and Predictors of Early Recurrence in Neoadjuvantly Treated Esophageal and Gastroesophageal Adenocarcinoma: a Dual-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

ABSTARCT

BACKGROUND: Early recurrence after esophagectomy is often used as a surrogate for aggressive tumor biology and treatment failure. However, there is no standardized definition of early recurrence, and predictors for early recurrence are unknown. Therefore, we aimed to define an evidence-based cutoff to discriminate early and late recurrence and assess the influence of neoadjuvant treatment modalities for patients with esophageal or gastroesophageal-junction adenocarcinoma (EAC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This dual-center retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent esophagectomy for stage II-III EAC after neoadjuvant treatment with chemotherapy using 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, oxaliplatin, and docetaxel (FLOT) or radiochemotherapy according to the Chemoradiotherapy for Esophageal Cancer followed by Surgery Study (CROSS) protocol from 2012 to 2022. The optimal cutoff for early versus late recurrence was calculated by using the most significant difference in survival after recurrence (SAR). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify variables associated with early recurrence.

RESULTS

Of 334 included patients, 160 (47.9%) were diagnosed with recurrence. Most patients had systemic (60.5%) or multiple sites of recurrence (21.1%), whereas local-only recurrence (9.2%) and carcinomatosis (9.2%) were rare. The optimal interval between surgery and recurrence for distinguishing early and late recurrence was 18 months (median SAR: 9.1 versus 17.8 months, p = 0.039) with only 24% of recurrences diagnosed after the calculated cutoff. Advanced pathologic tumor infiltration (ypT3-4, p = 0.006), nodal positivity (p = 0.013), poor treatment response (>10% residual tumor, p = 0.015), and no adjuvant treatment (p = 0.048) predicted early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Early recurrence can be defined as recurrent disease within 18 months. Hallmarks for early recurrence are poor response to neoadjuvant therapy with persisting advanced disease. In those patients, adjuvant therapy and closer follow-up should be considered.

Post recurrence survival in early versus late period and its prognostic factors in rectal cancer patients

To identify factors associated with post-recurrence survival (PRS), we examined our institutional recurrence patterns following definitive resection for rectal cancer. We reviewed all patients with rectal cancer diagnosed at three hospitals in the east of Iran from 2011 to 2020. The optimal cut-off value was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to determine early recurrence. The effect of recurrence time was evaluated on PRS. 326 eligible patients with a mean ± SD age of 56 ± 12.8 years were included in this study. In a median (IQR: Inter-quartile range) follow-up time of 76 (62.2) months, 106 (32.5%) patients experienced at least any recurrence (locoregional or distant metastasis) following primary resection. The median (IQR) time from initial surgery to recurrence was 29.5 (31.2) months. Based on ROC analysis, early recurrence was specified at ≤ 29 months. However, for the patients who experienced only locoregional recurrence, 33 months was the cut-off to define early recurrence. Recurrence time and recurrence management were both significant variables on PRS. Moreover, TNM staging was significantly associated with early recurrence (P = 0.003). In this research, recurrence time, recurrence management and TNM staging were found to be correlated with PRS.

Influence of the initial recurrence site on prognosis after radical surgery for colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In this retrospective study, we aimed to elucidate how the initial recurrence site influences the post-recurrence survival (PRS) after the curative resection of colorectal cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We collected samples from patients with stage I-III colorectal adenocarcinoma who were admitted to Yunnan Cancer Hospital from January 2008 to December 2019. Four hundred and six patients who developed recurrence after radical resection were included. The cases were classified according to the original site of recurrence as follows: liver metastases (n = 98), lung metastases (n = 127), peritoneum (n = 32), other individual organ (n = 69), two or more organs or sites (n = 49), and local recurrence (n = 31). Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to compare the PRS of patients with different initial sites of recurrence. The influence of the initial recurrence site on PRS was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The 3-year PRS of simple liver metastasis was 54.04% (95% CI, 45.46%-64.24%), and the 3-year PRS of simple lung metastasis was 50.05% (95% CI, 42.50%-58.95%). No significant difference was observed between simple liver metastasis or simple lung metastasis and local recurrence with a 3-year PRS of 66.99% (95% CI, 53.23%-84.32%). The 3-year PRS for peritoneal metastases was 25.43% (95% CI, 14.76%-43.82%), and the 3-year PRS for two or more organ sites was 34.84% (95% CI, 24.16%-50.24%). The peritoneal (hazard ratio [HR], 1.75; 95% CI, 1.10-2.79; P = 0.0189) and metastasis to two or more organs or sites (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.05-2.43; P = 0.0304) were PRS-independent adverse prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of patients with peritoneum and multiple organs or sites recurred was poor. This study suggests early monitoring of peritoneal and multiple organ or site recurrence after surgery. This part of patients should receive comprehensive treatment as early as possible to improve their prognosis.

NCR, an Inflammation and Nutrition Related Blood-Based Marker in Colon Cancer Patients: A New Promising Biomarker to Predict Outcome

Background: Colorectal carcinoma (CRC) is a heterogeneous disease, and differences in outcomes have been reported among patients diagnosed with the same disease stage. Prognostic and predictive biomarkers provide information for patient risk stratification and guide treatment selection. Although numerous studies have analyzed the effects of systemic inflammatory factors on CRC outcomes, clinical significance remains to be elucidated. In particular, the treatment strategy of colon cancer patients is different from that of rectal cancer due to outcome and recurrence differences. The identification of patients with a poor prognosis who might benefit from intensive treatment approaches is clinically necessary. Methods: This study aimed to evaluate the value of different blood-based markers and assess the significance of our newly developed inflammatory-nutrition-related biomarker (NCR = BMI × albumin/CRP) in patients with colon cancer. A two-stage design was used with 212 patients with colon cancer (CC) in the discovery cohort (n = 159) and in an external validation cohort (n = 53). Results: A lower preoperative NCR level was significantly correlated with a worse prognosis, sidedness, undifferentiated histology, nodal involvement, and advanced UICC stage. We compared the NCR with other established prognostic indices and showed that the NCR is a more reliable indicator of a poor prognosis for patients with CC. Patients with low NCR levels experienced a significantly shorter Overall Survival (OS) than patients with high levels. Multivariate analysis confirmed preoperative NCR levels as an independent predictor for overall survival with a hazard ratio of 3.3 (95% confidence interval 1.628−6.709, p < 0.001). Finally, we confirmed the predictive value of the NCR in an independent validation cohort and confirmed NCR as an independent prognostic factor for OS. Conclusion: Taken together, we discovered a new prognostic index (NCR) based on BMI, albumin, and CRP levels as an independent prognostic predictor of OS in patients with colon cancer. In all UICC stages, our newly developed NCR marker is able to distinguish patients with better and worse prognoses. We, therefore, propose that NCR may serve as a supplement to the TNM staging system to optimize the risk stratification in CC patients towards personalized oncology. In particular, NCR can be used in clinical trials to stratify patients with UICC II and III tumors and help better select patients who might benefit from adjuvant treatment.

Clinicopathological and Molecular Features of Patients with Early and Late Recurrence after Curative Surgery for Colorectal Cancer

Simple Summary

Colorectal cancer patients with early recurrence had advanced pathological node categories, pathological tumor, node, metastasis stages, adjuvant chemotherapy treatment, a worse overall survival rate, more liver metastases and more APC mutations than those with late recurrence. Patients with right-sided colon cancer tended to have early recurrence than those with left-sided colon cancer or rectal cancer. The postrecurrence survival rates were not significantly different between patients with early and late recurrence, which was observed in right-sided colon, left-sided colon and rectum. Multivariate analysis showed that old age, early recurrence, multiple-site recurrence and BRAF and NRAS mutations were independent prognostic factors.

Abstract

Background: Few reports have investigated genetic alterations between patients with early and late recurrence following curative surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods: A total of 1227 stage I–III CRC patients who underwent curative resection were included retrospectively. Among them, 236 patients had tumor recurrence: 139 had early (<2 years after surgery) and 97 had late (≥2 years after surgery) recurrence. Clinicopathological features and genetic alterations were compared between the two groups. Results: Compared to those with late recurrence, patients with early recurrence were more likely to have advanced pathological node (N) categories; tumor, node, metastasis (TNM) stages; adjuvant chemotherapy treatment; liver metastases; APC mutations; and worse five-year overall survival rates. Patients with right-sided colon cancer were more likely to develop early recurrence than were those with left-sided colon cancer or rectal cancer. Regarding rectal cancer, patients with early recurrence were more likely to be at advanced pathological N categories and TNM stages than those with late recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed old age, early recurrence, multiple-site recurrence, and BRAF and NRAS mutations to be independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: CRC patients with early recurrence have a worse OS rate and more APC mutations than those with late recurrence.