Hwang SH, Shin SH, Kim YJ, Lee JH. Risk factors for recurrence in stage I colorectal cancer after curative resection: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Ann Surg Treat Res 2025;
108:39-48. [PMID:
39823035 PMCID:
PMC11735171 DOI:
10.4174/astr.2025.108.1.39]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2024] [Revised: 10/30/2024] [Accepted: 11/02/2024] [Indexed: 01/19/2025] Open
Abstract
Purpose
Patients with stage I colorectal cancer (CRC) rarely experience recurrence after curative resection. Therefore, the risk factors for stage I CRC recurrence are yet to be established. We aimed to identify risk factors for stage I CRC recurrence.
Methods
MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched for articles published between 1990 and 2022. The pooled proportions and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated. Fixed- or random-effect models were considered based on heterogeneity, using Cochran's Q-statistic and the I2-test.
Results
Nine studies involving 19,440 patients were included. Nine analyzed risk factors were identified. T2 stage (pooled HR, 2.070; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.758-2.438; P < 0.001; I2=0.0%), lymphovascular invasion (HR, 1.685; 95% CI, 1.420-1.999; P < 0.001; I2 = 0.0%), venous invasion (HR, 1.794; 95% CI, 1.515-2.125; P < 0.001; I2 = 0.0%), CEA level (HR, 1.472; 95% CI, 1.093-1.983; P = 0.011; I2 = 1.8%) and rectal cancer (HR, 2.981; 95% CI, 2.378-3.735; P < 0.001; I2 = 0.0%) were risk factors for the recurrence. However, the risk of recurrence in right-sided colon cancer was lower than in left-sided colon cancer. (HR, 0.712; 95% CI, 0.537-0.944; P = 0.018; I2 = 0.0%). No statistically significant differences were observed in the number of harvested lymph nodes, age, and sex.
Conclusion
T2 stage, lymphovascular invasion, venous invasion, CEA level, rectal cancer, and left-sided colon cancer were risk factors for recurrence in stage I CRC. Intensive monitoring and surveillance are warranted for patients with high-risk features of recurrence.
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