Serum progesterone level above 0.85 ng/mL and progesterone/estradiol ratio may be useful predictors for replacing cleavage-stage with blastocyst-stage embryo transfer in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles without premature progesterone elevation

Effects of trigger-day progesterone in c-IVF/ICSI cycles on blastocyst culture outcomes

Objective

To assess whether trigger-day progesterone (P) levels in conventional in vitro fertilization (c-IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles are associated with blastocyst culture outcomes.

Methods

In this retrospective analysis, 747 eligible patients (747 cycles) who adopted the gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol and underwent c-IVF/ICSI between January 2021 to June 2024 were recruited. The P cutoff values were 1.0 and 1.5 ng/ml when trigger-day serum P was measured, and 4177 day3 (D3) embryos for blastocyst culture were grouped according to trigger-day P levels. Furthermore, the effects of trigger-day P on blastocyst culture outcomes were evaluated.

Results

In total, 747 cycles, 4177 D3 embryos for blastocyst culture were analyzed. After adjustments, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that compared with those in the normal level group, available blastocyst rate (adjusted OR, 0.780; 95% CI, 0.645-0.942; P=0.010) and D5 available blastocyst rate (adjusted OR, 0.736; 95% CI, 0.604-0.898; P=0.003) in the high level group were significantly reduced. Subgroup analysis showed that when female age was less than 35 years old, compared with that (36.30%) in the normal level group, the D5 available blastocyst rate (36.92%, adjusted OR, 0.744; 95% CI, 0.602-0.920; P=0.006) in the high level group was significantly reduced. In ICSI cycles, compared with that (28.69%) in the normal level group, the D5 available blastocyst rate (19.13%, adjusted OR, 0.369; 95% CI, 0.194-0.703; P=0.002) in the high level group was significantly decreased.

Conclusions

This study demonstrated that in the c-IVF/ICSI population, the trigger-day slightly elevated P (1.0-1.5ng/ml) was not related to blastocyst culture outcomes, while the trigger-day elevated P (>1.5ng/ml) was an important factor affecting D5 available blastocyst rate, especially when the woman was younger than 35 years old or insemination type was ICSI.

Effect of progesterone concentration on hCG trigger day on clinical outcomes after high-quality single blastocyst transfer in GnRH antagonist cycles

Objective

To investigate whether progesterone levels on the human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) trigger day are associated with clinical outcomes in fresh cycles and the first frozen-thawed cycles (the freeze-all strategy) following the transfer of a high-quality single blastocyst.

Methods

This single-center retrospective analysis was conducted on patients undergoing in vitro fertilization with the gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol from January 2017 to December 2023. The study included the first and second oocyte retrieval cycles with progesterone levels ≤2 ng/ml on hCG trigger day. Clinical pregnancy rates and early miscarriage rates were compared among groups using curve fitting, threshold effect analysis, and multivariable regression.

Results

When progesterone levels were between 1 and 2 ng/ml, the pregnancy rate in fresh cycles was only 51% of that in cycles with progesterone levels ≤1 ng/ml (95% CI: 0.33, 0.79, p = 0.0028). And the pregnancy rate decreased by 25% (95% CI: 0.51, 1.09) for frozen cycles, although there was no statistically significant (p = 0.1273). When cycle types were used as a binary variable in multivariate regression analysis, it was found that the clinical pregnancy rate in frozen cycles was 1.84 times higher than in fresh cycles (OR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.38-2.47). For progesterone levels between 1 and 2 ng/ml, the clinical pregnancy rate in frozen cycles was 2.90 times that of fresh cycles (OR = 2.90, 95% CI: 1.59, 5.29, p = 0.0015). Progesterone levels on hCG day had no impact on the clinical pregnancy rate in thaw cycles, nor did they affect miscarriage rates in fresh or thaw cycles (p > 0.05).

Conclusion

When progesterone levels on hCG trigger day were between 1 and 2 ng/ml, the clinical pregnancy rate for frozen-thawed cycles of high-quality single blastocyst transfer using an GnRH antagonist protocol significantly surpasses that of fresh cycles, thus elective frozen embryo transfer after the freeze-all strategy is recommended.

A modified flexible GnRH antagonist protocol using antagonist early cessation and a gonadotropin step-down approach improves live birth rates in fresh cycles: a randomized controlled trial

STUDY QUESTION

Can pregnancy outcomes following fresh elective single embryo transfer (eSET) in gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocols increase using a gonadotropin (Gn) step-down approach with cessation of GnRH antagonist on the day of hCG administration (hCG day) in patients with normal ovarian response?

SUMMARY ANSWER

The modified GnRH antagonist protocol using the Gn step-down approach and cessation of GnRH antagonist on the hCG day is effective in improving live birth rates (LBRs) per fresh eSET cycle.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Currently, there is no consensus on optimal GnRH antagonist regimens. Studies have shown that fresh GnRH antagonist cycles result in poorer pregnancy outcomes than the long GnRH agonist (GnRHa) protocol. Endometrial receptivity is a key factor that contributes to this phenomenon.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

An open label randomized controlled trial (RCT) was performed between November 2021 and August 2022. There were 546 patients allocated to either the modified GnRH antagonist or the conventional antagonist protocol at a 1:1 ratio.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Both IVF and ICSI cycles were included, and the sperm samples used were either fresh or frozen from the partner, or from frozen donor ejaculates. The primary outcome was the LBRs per fresh SET cycle. Secondary outcomes included rates of implantation, clinical and ongoing pregnancy, miscarriage, and ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS), as well as clinical outcomes of ovarian stimulation.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Baseline demographic features were not significantly different between the two ovarian stimulation groups. However, in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population, the LBRs in the modified antagonist group were significantly higher than in the conventional group (38.1% [104/273] vs. 27.5% [75/273], relative risk 1.39 [95% CI, 1.09-1.77], P = 0.008). Using a per-protocol (PP) analysis which included all the patients who received an embryo transfer, the LBRs in the modified antagonist group were also significantly higher than in the conventional group (48.6% [103/212] vs. 36.8% [74/201], relative risk 1.32 [95% CI, 1.05-1.66], P = 0.016). The modified antagonist group achieved significantly higher implantation rates, and clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates than the conventional group in both the ITT and PP analyses (P < 0.05). The two groups did not show significant differences between the number of oocytes retrieved or mature oocytes, two-pronuclear zygote (2PN) rates, the number of embryos obtained, blastocyst progression and good-quality embryo rates, early miscarriage rates, or OHSS incidence rates (P > 0.05).

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

A limitation of our study was that the subjects were not blinded to the treatment allocation in the RCT trial. Only women under 40 years of age who had a good prognosis were included in the analysis. Therefore, use of the modified antagonist protocol in older patients with a low ovarian reserve remains to be investigated. In addition, the sample size for Day 5 elective SET was small, so larger trials will be required to strengthen these findings.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

The modified GnRH antagonist protocol using the Gn step-down approach and cessation of GnRH antagonist on hCG day improved the LBRs per fresh eSET cycle in normal responders.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This project was funded by grant 2022YFC2702503 from the National Key Research & Development Program of China and grant 2021140 from the Beijing Health Promotion Association. The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

The RCT was registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry; Study Number: ChiCTR2100053453.

TRIAL REGISTRATION DATE

21 November 2021.

DATE OF FIRST PATIENT’S ENROLLMENT

23 November 2021.

Impact of progesterone concentration on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day on clinical outcomes with one top-quality cleavage-stage embryo or blastocyst transfer in fresh in vitro fertilization cycles

Objective

To investigate the impact of the progesterone concentration on the human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) trigger day on clinical outcomes with an antagonist protocol.

Methods

The retrospective cohort study included a total of 1,550 fresh autologous ART cycles with one top-quality embryo transfer. Multivariate regression analysis, curve fitting, and threshold effect analysis were performed.

Results

A significant association was found between the progesterone concentration and clinical pregnancy rate (adjusted OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62-0.97; P = 0.0234), especially in blastocyst transfer (adjusted OR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.39-0.78; P = 0.0008). The association between the progesterone concentration and the ongoing pregnancy rate was insignificant. The clinical pregnancy rate showed a linear relationship with an increased progesterone concentration in cleavage-stage embryo transfer. In blastocyst transfer, as the progesterone concentration increased, the clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates showed a parabolic reverse-U curve; the curve initially increased before declining at high progesterone concentrations. The clinical pregnancy rate increased with a progesterone concentration up to 0.80 ng/mL rather than tended to be stable. The clinical pregnancy rate significantly decreased when the progesterone concentration was ≥0.80 ng/mL.

Conclusion

The progesterone concentration on the hCG trigger day exhibits a curvilinear relationship with pregnancy outcomes in blastocyst transfer cycles, and the optimal threshold of the progesterone concentration is 0.80 ng/mL.

Nomogram for Predicting Live Birth after the First Fresh Embryo Transfer in Patients with PCOS Undergoing IVF/ICSI Treatment with the GnRH-Ant Protocol

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is the leading cause of anovulatory infertility. A better understanding of factors associated with pregnancy outcomes and successful prediction of live birth after IVF/ICSI are important to guide clinical practice. This was a retrospective cohort study investigating live birth after the first fresh embryo transfer using the GnRH-ant protocol in patients with PCOS between 2017 and 2021 at the Reproductive Center of Peking University Third Hospital. A total of 1018 patients with PCOS were qualified for inclusion in this study. BMI, AMH level, initial FSH dosage, serum LH and progesterone levels on the hCG trigger day, and endometrial thickness were all independent predictors of live birth. However, age and infertility duration were not significant predictors. We developed a prediction model based on these variables. The predictive ability of the model was demonstrated well, with areas under the curve of 0.711 (95% CI, 0.672-0.751) and 0.713 (95% CI, 0.650-0.776) in the training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. Additionally, the calibration plot showed good agreement between the prediction and the observation (p = 0.270). The novel nomogram could be helpful for clinicians and patients in clinical decision-making and outcome evaluation.

Effects of trigger-day progesterone in the preimplantation genetic testing cycle on the embryo quality and pregnancy outcomes of the subsequent first frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer

Objective

To assess whether progesterone (P) levels on the trigger day during preimplantation genetic testing (PGT) cycles are associated with embryo quality and pregnancy outcomes in the subsequent first frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer (FET) cycle.

Methods

In this retrospective analysis, 504 eligible patients who underwent ICSI followed by frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) with preimplantation genetic test (PGT) between December 2014 and December 2019 were recruited. All patients adopted the same protocol, namely, the midluteal, short-acting, gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist long protocol. The cutoff P values were 0.5 and 1.5 ng/ml when serum P was measured on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) administration, and cycles were grouped according to P level on the day of HCG administration. Furthermore, the effect of trigger-day progesterone on embryo quality and the subsequent clinical outcome of FET in this PGT population was evaluated.

Results

In total, 504 PGT cycles were analyzed. There was no significant difference in the number of euploid blastocysts, top-quality blastocysts, euploidy rate, or miscarriage rate among the three groups (P>0.05). The 2PN fertilization rate (80.32% vs. 80.17% vs. 79.07%) and the top-quality blastocyst rate (8.71% vs. 8.24% vs. 7.94%) showed a downward trend with increasing P, and the between-group comparisons showed no significant differences (P>0.05). The clinical pregnancy rate (41.25% vs. 64.79%; P<0.05) and live birth rate (35.00% vs. 54.93%; P<0.05) in subsequent FET cycles were substantially lower in the high-P group than in the P ≤ 0.5 ng/ml group. After adjustments were made for confounding variables, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the high-P group had a lower clinical pregnancy rate (adjusted OR, 0.317; 95% CI, 0.145-0.692; P=0.004) and live birth rate (adjusted OR, 0.352; 95% CI, 0.160-0.773; P=0.009) than the low-P group in subsequent FET cycles, and the differences were significant.

Conclusions

This study demonstrates that in the PGT population, elevated P on the trigger day may diminish the top-quality blastocyst rate (although there is no difference in the euploidy rate). Trigger-day P is an important factor influencing clinical outcomes in subsequent FET cycles.

Predictive Value of Basal Serum Progesterone for Successful IVF in Endometriosis Patients: The Need for a Personalized Approach

The data regarding the role of progesterone (P4) in reproductive events of endometriosis patients are limited. This prospective study aimed to examine the predictive value of basal P4 serum levels for successful in vitro fertilization (IVF) in patients with primary infertility and endometriosis. The study included 73 patients divided according to endometriosis treatment (surgery vs. control—no treatment). The general data, basal hormonal status, and pregnancy rates were determined for every patient. Clinical pregnancy was achieved in 40.3% of patients, and more often in patients treated for endometriosis before IVF. The regression analysis showed that higher basal P4 serum levels were associated with achieving pregnancy through IVF. When regression was adjusted for the patient and IVF characteristics, higher basal P4 serum levels were associated with pregnancy achievement in both groups of women, along with the basal serum levels of FSH, LH, and AMH; EFI score; and stimulation protocol. The ROC analysis showed that the basal P4 serum level for successful IVF should be ≥0.7ng/mL. The basal P4 serum level cut-off for IVF success in endometriosis patients was determined for the first time. Constructed models for IVF success prediction emphasize the importance of determining the basal P4 serum levels for the personalized treatment of endometriosis-related infertility.

Effect of serum progesterone levels on hCG trigger day on pregnancy outcomes in GnRH antagonist cycles

OBJECTIVE

The present study analyzed the effect of hCG trigger day progesterone (P) levels on the live birth rate (LBR) in the gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was a single-center retrospective study. In vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles performed from January 2017 to December 2020 were included in the analysis. This study included people with a normal ovarian response to fresh embryo transfer of GnRH antagonist protocols. All cycles were divided into 2 groups by P level on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) trigger, P<1.0 ng/ml and P≥1.0 ng/ml. The primary outcome measure was LBR.

RESULT

A total of 867 cycles with P<1.0 ng/ml and 362 cycles with P≥1.0 ng/ml were included in the analysis. The clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) was higher in the P<1.0 ng/ml group than the P≥1.0 ng/ml group (44.9% vs. 37.6%, P=0.02). The early spontaneous abortion rate was comparable between the groups (14.4% vs. 14.7%, P=0.93). For live birth, the rate for the P<1.0 ng/ml group was 35.3%, which was significantly higher than the 29.0% in the P≥1.0 ng/ml group (P=0.03). After binary logistic regression analysis, the P level on the hCG trigger day (adjusted odds ratio=0.74, 95% CI=0.55-0.99, P=0.04) was an independent risk factor for LBR. For the P level on the hCG trigger day, the LBR was lower in the P≥1.0 ng/ml group compared to the P<1.0 ng/ml group.

CONCLUSION

For normal ovarian response patients using the GnRH antagonist protocol, serum P≥1.0 ng/ml on the hCG trigger day resulted in a lower LBR than the P<1.0 ng/ml group. When P≥1.0 ng/ml, whole embryo freezing may be considered.

GVBD rate is an independent predictor for pregnancy in ICSI patients with surplus immature oocytes

INTRODUCTION

It was reported that there were still up to 30% immature retrieved oocyte at germinal vesicle (GV) or metaphase I (MI) stage. Whether the spontaneous maturity competency of immature oocytes associated to the clinical outcome of in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles remains unclear and unexplored. This study aimed to investigate how the oocyte developmental parameters in in vitro maturation (IVM) affect clinical outcomes of intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included couples undergoing ICSI in a university-affiliated hospital. Surplus immature oocytes during ICSI were collected and cultured in vitro. The numbers of germinal vesicle (GV) oocytes undergoing GV breakdown (GVBD) and polar body 1 extrusion within 24 h culture were recorded. The main outcome measurements were demographic baselines and oocyte developmental parameters in IVM associated with pregnancy outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 191 couples were included with an overall GVBD rate of 63.7% (327/513) and oocyte maturation rate of 46.8% (240/513). 53.4% (102/191) of them had embryos transferred freshly, which originated from metaphase II oocytes that matured spontaneously in vivo, and 60.8% (62/102) got pregnant. Among factors with a P-value < 0.2 in univariate logistic regression analyses of pregnancy correlation, GVBD rate (OR 3.220, 95% CI 1.060-9.782, P=0.039) and progesterone level on human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) day (OR 0.231, 95% CI 0.056-0.949, P=0.042) remained significant in the multivariate model. The area under the curve (AUC) of the predictive nomogram was 0.729 (95% CI 0.632-0.826) with an acceptable calibration. Moreover, decision curve analyses illustrated the superior overall net benefit of models that included the GVBD rate in clinical decisions within a wide range of threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, GVBD rate and progesterone level on HCG day may be associated with pregnancy outcomes in infertile couples during the regular ICSI procedure. An elevated GVBD rate within 24 h may greatly increase the likelihood of pregnancy in infertile couples during ICSI. This preliminary study may optimize clinical pregnancy prediction, which provides support in decision-making in clinical practice.