The changing face of Irish head and neck cancer epidemiology: 20 years of data

HPV overtakes smoking as the leading cause of oropharyngeal cancer in Ireland: experience of a head and neck surgery tertiary referral centre

BACKGROUND

Worldwide, the incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) caused by human papillomavirus (HPV), a sexually transmitted virus, is increasing. This increase has yet to be demonstrated in an Irish cohort.

AIMS

To evaluate the number of OPSCC presentations locally, to stratify cases by HPV status and to estimate if any changes in the patient population had occurred over a 10-year period.

METHODS

A STROBE-compliant, retrospective evaluation of patients with OPSCC at St James's Hospital between 2012 and 2022 was performed. Patients with non-SCC histology, undocumented HPV status and residual or recurrent tumours were excluded.

RESULTS

We included 294 patients with a mean age of 60.4 years (95% CI 59.2-61.5 years) and 175 (59.5%) patients had HPV+ OPSCC. The number of new OPSCC diagnoses increased from 115 patients (39.1%) between 2012 and 2016 to 179 patients (60.9%) between 2017 and 2021. This was associated with an increased proportion of HPV-linked OPSCC (50.4% 2012-2016 vs. 65.4% 2017-2021, p = 0.011). Over time, more patients had a functionally limiting comorbidity (p = 0.011). The mean age of HPV+ OPSCC cases increased by 3.6 years (p = 0.019). Patients with HPV+ OPSCC had greater 2-year OS (83.9% vs. 54.9%; p < 0.001) and 2-year DFS (73.5% vs. 45.6%; p < 0.001). The 2-year OS and DFS did not change over time for HPV+ or HPV- patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In our institution, the number of patients with OPSCC is increasing due to an escalation in cases associated with HPV. Population-level interventions such as vaccination programs may alter the current increase in the incidence of these tumours.

The Role of Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms in MicroRNA Genes in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinomas: Susceptibility and Prognosis

BACKGROUND

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is one of the most prevalent cancers worldwide. The identification of molecular alterations adding to the individual risk of HNSCC development and progression is one of the most important challenges in studies on cancer genetics. MicroRNAs (miRNAs), which belong to the group of important post-transcriptional regulators of human gene expression, seem to be valuable options for consideration as key modifiers of individual cancer risk, and therefore may be helpful in predicting inter-individual differences in cancer risk, response to treatment and prognosis.

METHODS

There have not been many studies focused on the relationship between miRNA variants and HNSCC published in PubMed within the last 15 years. We found and analyzed 30 reviews, meta-analyses and research papers and revealed 14 SNPs which have been reported as significant in the context of HNSCC susceptibility and/or prognosis.

RESULTS

These 14 SNPs were located in 13 separate miRNAs. Among them, four were the most frequently studied (miRNA-146, -196, -149 and -499) and have been shown to have the greatest impact on the course of HNSCC. However, the presented results have been conflicting.

CONCLUSIONS

It must be concluded that, despite the years of studies, there are no conclusive reports demonstrating a significant role of SNPs in miRNAs in the context of the susceptibility to HNSCC or its prognosis.

Prediction of pathological complete response in locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy using volumetric multisequence MRI histogram analysis

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a multisequence MRI-based volumetric histogram metrics model for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) in advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy (NCIT) and compare its predictive performance with AJCC staging and RECIST 1.1 criteria.

METHODS

Twenty-four patients with locally advanced HNSCC from a prospective phase II trial were enrolled for analysis. All patients underwent pre- and post-NCIT MRI examinations from which whole-tumor histogram features were extracted, including T1WI, T2WI, enhanced T1WI (T1Gd), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) sequences, and their corresponding apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps. The pathological results divided the patients into pathological complete response (pCR) and non-pCR (N-pCR) groups. Delta features were calculated as the percentage change in histogram features from pre- to post-treatment. After data reduction and feature selection, logistic regression was used to build prediction models. ROC analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

Eleven of 24 patients achieved pCR. Pre_T2_original_firstorder_Minimum, Post_ADC_original_firstorder_MeanAbsoluteDeviation, and Delta_T1Gd_original_firstorder_Skewness were associated with achieving pCR after NCIT. The Combined_Model demonstrated the best predictive performance (AUC 0.95), outperforming AJCC staging (AUC 0.52) and RECIST 1.1 (AUC 0.72). The Pre_Model (AUC 0.83) or Post-Model (AUC 0.83) had a better predictive ability than AJCC staging.

CONCLUSION

Multisequence MRI-based volumetric histogram analysis can non-invasively predict the pCR status of HNSCC patients undergoing NCIT. The use of histogram features extracted from pre- and post-treatment MRI exhibits promising predictive performance and offers a novel quantitative assessment method for evaluating pCR in HNSCC patients receiving NCIT.

Human papillomavirus and p16INK4a in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas: A systematic review and meta-analysis

We intended to update human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence and p16INK4a positivity in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomars (SCC), and calculate HPV attributable fraction (AF) for oropharyngeal SCC by geographic region. We searched Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library to identify published studies of HPV prevalence and p16INK4a positivity alone or together in oropharyngeal SCC before December 28, 2021. Studies that reported type-specific HPV DNA prevalence using broad-spectrum PCR-based testing methods were included. We estimated pooled HPV prevalence, type-specific HPV prevalence, and p16INK4a positivity. AF of HPV was calculated by geographic region. One hundred and thirty-four studies including 12 139 cases were included in our analysis. The pooled HPV prevalence estimate for oropharyngeal SCC was 48.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 43.2-53.0). HPV prevalence varied significantly by geographic region, and the highest HPV prevalence in oropharyngeal SCC was noted in North America (72.6%, 95% CI 63.8-80.6). Among HPV positive cases, HPV 16 was the most common type with a prevalence of 40.2% (95% CI 35.7-44.7). The pooled p16INK4a positivity in HPV positive and HPV16 positive oropharyngeal SCC cases was 87.2% (95% CI 81.6-91.2) and 91.7% (84.3-97.2). The highest AFs of HPV and HPV16 were noted in North America at 69.6% (95% CI 53.0-91.5) and 63.0% (48.0-82.7). [Correction added on 31 October 2023, after first online publication: the percentage symbol (%) was missing and has been added to 63.0% (48.0-82.7) in the Abstract and Conclusion.] A significant proportion of oropharyngeal SCC was attributable to HPV. HPV16 accounts for the majority of HPV positive oropharyngeal SCC cases. These findings highlight the importance of HPV vaccination in the prevention of a substantial proportion of oropharyngeal SCC cases.

Survival in oral and pharyngeal cancers is catching up with laryngeal cancer in the NORDIC countries through a half century

BACKGROUND

Cancers of the head and neck (HN) are heterogeneous tumors with incidence rates varying globally. In Northern Europe oral and oropharyngeal cancers are the most common individual types. Survival for HN varies by individual tumor type but for most of them survival trends are not well known over extended periods of time.

METHODS

Data for a retrospective survival study were obtained for Danish, Finnish, Norwegian, and Swedish patients from the NORDCAN database from 1971 to 2020. Relative 1- and 5-year survival rates and 5/1-year conditional survival for years 2-5 were calculated.

RESULTS

Both 1- and 5-year survival improved for all HN cancers but only marginally for laryngeal cancer. For the other cancers a 50-year increase in 5-year survival was about 30% units for nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal cancers, 20% units for oral cancer and somewhat less for hypopharyngeal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

5-year survival reached about 65% for all HN cancers, except for hypopharyngeal cancer (30%). Human papilloma virus infection is becoming a dominant risk factor for the rapidly increasing oropharyngeal cancer, the prevention of which needs to emphasize oral sex as a route of infection.

Optimal treatment strategy and prognostic analysis for hypopharyngeal squamous-cell carcinoma patients with T3-T4 or node-positive: A population-based study

PURPOSE

To explore the optimal treatment strategy and relevant prognostic analysis for hypopharyngeal squamous-cell carcinoma patients (HSCC) with T3-T4 or node-positive.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

From 2004 to 2018, data for 2574 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER) and 66 patients treated at our center from 2013 to 2022 with T3-T4 or N + HSCC were collected. Patients in the SEER cohort were randomly assigned to the training set or validation set at a 7:3 ratio. Variables with statistically significant (P < 0.05) in univariate COX regression analysis or clinical significance were included in the multivariate COX regression model and subsequently used to construct the nomogram.

RESULTS

The 3-year OS (52.9%vs44.4%, P < 0.01) and 3-year CSS rate (58.7%vs51.5%, P < 0.01) rates in the surgery combined with postoperative adjuvant therapy (S + ADT) group were superior to the radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy (CRT) group. The multivariate Cox regression analysis of the training group showed that age, race, marital status, primary site, T stage, N stage, and treatment modalities were correlated with OS and CSS. Based on those variables, we constructed nomograms for OS and CSS. Both the internal and external validation showed high prediction accuracy of the nomogram.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with T3-T4 or node-positive, S + ADT was associated with superior OS and CSS compared to those treated with primary CRT, while the survival rate in the CRT group was comparable to S + ADT group in T2-T3 disease. The internal and external verification shows that the prognostic model has good discrimination ability and accuracy.

Age Alone Is Not a Barrier to Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy for Advanced Head and Neck Cancer

BACKGROUND

Head and Neck Cancer (HNC) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, especially when high stage disease is present. There exists a range of options for the management of locoregionally advanced HNC, though doubt remains as to the optimal strategy in the elderly population.

AIMS

To evaluate the benefits imparted by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) to the elderly population of HNC patients in Ireland.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using 20 years of cancer registry data provided by the National Cancer Registry of Ireland. Cox multivariate regression analysis was applied to test for the benefits of CCRT in HNC.

RESULTS

Survival analysis showed an overall benefit to the use of CCRT in patients with advanced disease over 70 years, particularly when used for hypopharyngeal, oropharyngeal, and laryngeal malignancy. There was a benefit to cancer-specific but not all-cause mortality in those over 75 years, and no benefit was observed to the addition of chemotherapy in those over 80 years; only 8 patients over 80 received CCRT. There was no statistically significant difference in the benefits derived by those over 70 years relative to those under 70 years.

CONCLUSION

CCRT confers significant survival benefits to appropriately selected elderly HNC patients and should therefore not be withheld solely on the basis of age.